Probability (Certain, likely, unlikely, impossible)Discuss the degree of likelihood of events and use terminology such as “certain,” “likely,” “unlikely”. Concept Ski Probal A probability is the chance of an event occurring. Problem: A spinner has 4 equal sectors colored yellow, blue, green and red. What are the chances of landing on blue after spinning the spinner? What are the chances of landing on red? Solution: The chances of landing on blue are 1 in 4, or one fourth. The chances of landing on red are 1 in 4, or one fourth. ‘An experiment is a situation In the problem above, the involving chance or probability that experiment is spinning the leads to results called outcomes. spinner. An outcome is the result of a single The possible outcomes are trial of an experiment. landing on yellow, blue, green or red. An event is one or more outcomes of One event of this an experiment. experiment is landing on blue.Example: Suppose a regular number cube is rolled. What is the probability of getting a 3 or a 6? There are a total of 6 possible outcomes. Rolling a 3 or a 6 are two of them, so the probability is the ratio of 2/6 = 1/3. When working with probability, you should be familiar with many words. *Certain — When an event will always happen. *Impossible - When an event will never happen. *Likely — When an event has a good chance of happening. *Unlikely — When an event does not have a good chance of (als Oy This spinner has 4 sections. You are equally likely to land on any color above. It is impossible to land on purple because there is no color purple.Example 2: Look at the spinner cut into 4 equal parts? ale What is the probability of spinning a color green? Step 1: What is the total number of outcomes? (There are 4 different colors cut into equal parts). Step 2: How many parts are shaded in green? (There is in section labeled G for green). Step 3: What is the probability? (Since there is only one green section and 4 total parts, the possible outcome or probability is 1 out of 4 or %.“Teacher Practice Materials” Example 1: If you select a marble without looking, how likely is it that you will pick a yellow one? Blue Blue Yellow Yellow Yellow certain likely unlikely impossible Pouca Step 1: Make a list of the possibilities. (I have two different color marbles. I have blue and yellow marbles). Step 2: Find the possibility of pulling out a yellow marble. (There are 2 blue marbles and 3 yellow marbles. You have 3 out of 5 chance of pulling out a yellow marble). Step 3: What is the answer? (There are more yellow marbles than blue marbles so you are likely to pull out a yellow marble).Example 2: Identify the possible outcome as either likely, unlikely, or impossible. 3 8 6 9 10 Look at the five cards that have been placed on a table. What is the probability of picking a 2? Step 1: What are all of the possibi S? (There are 5 different cards on the table, so there are only 5 different possibilities). Step 2: Find if one of the cards is a 2. (There is no card with a 2, so we will never pick a card with a2). Step 3: What is the answer? (Since there is no card with the number 2, it is impossible to pull out a card with the number 2).Spinner B If Sara and two of her friends were going to play a game, which spinner should they use so it is a fair game? Why is the spinner you did not choose not fair? On spinner A, what is your chance of landing on A? A. impossible B. certain Cc. likely D. unlikelyWhich picture is the spinner most likely to land on? Explain why? What is the chance of the spinner landing on the pumpkin? A. B. Cc D. impossible certain likely unlikelyColor of shirt Number of shirts Black 2 Blue 16 Green 15 Orange 1 Yellow 7 The above table shows how many T-shirts of each color Dan has in a drawer. If Dan picks a T-shirt without looking, what is the probability that Dan will pick a red shirt? impossible certain likely . Unlikely popp What is the probability of Dan choosing a Blue or Green shirt? A. impossible B. certain Cc. likely D. Unlikely Explain how you know?The picture below shows the different numbers of fruit in a bowl. Se Coane What is the likelihood of choosing an apple? A. Certain B. Likely Cc. Unlikely D. Impossible Which fruit is most likely to be chosen and why?“KEY” Spinner A Spinner B If Sara and two of her friends were going to play a game, which spinner should they use so it is a fair game? and her friends should use Spinner B. Why is the spinner you did not choose not fair? Spinner A is not fair because there are more chances to land on B than C. On spinner A, what is your chance of landing on A? *A. impossible B. certain Cc. likely D. unlikely“KEY” Which picture is the spinner most likely to land on? Explain why? Th cause the rest. e with bat is larger than the What is the chance of the spinner landing on the pumpkin? A. impossible B. certain Cc. likely *D. unlikely“KEY” Color of shirt Number of shirts Black 2 Blue 16 Green 15 Orange 1 Yellow 7 The above table shows how many T-shirts of each color Dan has in a drawer. If Dan picks a T-shirt without looking, what is the probability that Dan will pick a red shirt? *A. impossible B. certain Cc. likely D. Unlikely What is the probability of Dan picking a Blue of Green shirt? A. impossible B. certain *C. likely E. Unlikely Explain how you know? itis likely that Dan will pick a blu een T-shirt use are more of those colors than the rest.“KEY” The picture below shows the different numbers of fruit in a bowl. What is the likelihood of choosing an apple? A. Certain B. Likely *C. Unlikely D. Impossible Which fruit is most likely to be chosen and why? The banan: je there are more of .