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GDP GDP YoY GDP QoQ Interest rate

United States 17419 1.80% 0.70% 0.50%


Euro Area 13410 1.60% 0.30% 0.05%
China 10355 6.80% 1.60% 4.35%
Japan 4601 1.60% 0.30% -0.10%
Germany 3868 1.70% 0.30% 0.05%
United Kingdom 2989 1.90% 0.50% 0.50%
France 2829 1.50% 0.20% 0.05%
Brazil 2346 -4.50% -1.70% 14.25%
Italy 2141 0.80% 0.20% 0.05%
India 2067 7.30% 1.90% 6.75%
Russia 1861 -3.80% -0.57% 11.00%
Canada 1785 1.20% 0.60% 0.50%
Israel 306 2.52% 0.51% 0.10%
Hong Kong 291 2.30% 0.90% 0.75%
South Africa 350 1.00% 0.70% 6.75%
Australia 1455 2.50% 0.90% 2.00%
South Korea 1410 3.00% 0.60% 1.50%
Saudi Arabia 746 3.60% 3.60% 2.00%
Switzerland 701 0.80% 0.00% -0.75%
Sweden 571 3.90% 0.80% -0.35%
Nigeria 569 2.84% 9.19% 11.00%
Belgium 532 1.30% 0.30% 0.05%
Taiwan 530 -0.28% -0.30% 1.62%
Norway 500 3.00% 1.80% 0.75%
Austria 436 1.10% 0.30% 0.05%
Inflation rate Value Currency Jobless rate Gov. Budget Debt/GDP
0.70% 0.60% 119.89 4.90% -2.50% 102.98%
0.40% 1.15% 1.13 10.40% -2.20% 93.50%
1.60% 0.85% 6.54 4.05% -2.10% 41.06%
0.20% 1.50% 113.5 3.30% -7.70% 230.00%
0.50% 1.15% 1.13 4.50% 0.50% 71.60%
0.20% 1.20% 1.45 5.10% -4.40% 88.60%
0.20% 1.25% 1.13 10.60% -3.70% 96.20%
10.71% -29.46% 3.93 6.90% -10.30% 66.23%
0.30% 0.45% 1.13 11.40% -2.60% 132.80%
5.61% -5.06% 67.86 4.90% -4.50% 66.10%
9.80% -24.60% 78.57 5.80% -0.50% 17.92%
1.60% -0.90% 1.39 7.20% -0.30% 86.51%
-1.00% 3.42% 3.88 5.20% -2.15% 67.50%
2.50% -0.95% 7.79 3.30% 2.80% 32.00%
5.20% -10.95% 15.9 25.50% -3.80% 39.00%
1.70% -1.20% 0.71 5.80% -3.10% 33.88%
0.80% 0.70% 1187.32 3.40% -1.80% 35.98%
2.30% -0.70% 3.75 5.70% -2.30% 1.60%
-1.30% 2.85% 0.97 3.80% -0.10% 34.20%
0.10% 4.15% 8.37 6.70% -1.00% 44.00%
9.60% -17.76% 198.82 9.90% 0.10% 10.50%
1.74% -0.49% 1.13 7.90% -2.90% 106.10%
0.81% -2.71% 32.94 3.88% -2.10% 36.50%
3.00% -0.75% 8.52 4.60% 9.10% 26.40%
1.00% 0.05% 1.13 10.90% -1.60% 85.90%
Current Account Population
-2.4 318.86
3.7 338.34
2.7 1374.62
0.5 126.82
8.8 81.17
-5 64.77
-1.4 66.09
-3.32 202.77
2.2 60.8
-1.4 1238.89
3.09 143.7
-2.1 35.67
2.97 8.3
1.9 7.23
-5.4 54
-2.8 23.49
6.3 50.42
10.31 30.77
7 8.24
5.4 9.75
2.6 178.52
1.6 11.26
12.3 23.43
8.5 5.17
3.3 8.58
Country GDP GDP YoY Interest rate Inflation rate Value
United States 17419 1.80% 0.50% 0.70% 0.60%
Euro Area 13410 1.60% 0.05% 0.40% 1.15%
China 10355 6.80% 4.35% 1.60% 0.85%
Japan 4601 1.60% -0.10% 0.20% 1.50%
Germany 3868 1.70% 0.05% 0.50% 1.15%
United Kingdom 2989 1.90% 0.50% 0.20% 1.20%
France 2829 1.50% 0.05% 0.20% 1.25%
Brazil 2346 -4.50% 14.25% 10.71% -29.46%
Italy 2141 0.80% 0.05% 0.30% 0.45%
India 2067 7.30% 6.75% 5.61% -5.06%
Russia 1861 -3.80% 11.00% 9.80% -24.60%
Canada 1785 1.20% 0.50% 1.60% -0.90%
Israel 306 2.52% 0.10% -1.00% 3.42%
Hong Kong 291 2.30% 0.75% 2.50% -0.95%
South Africa 350 1.00% 6.75% 5.20% -10.95%
Australia 1455 2.50% 2.00% 1.70% -1.20%
South Korea 1410 3.00% 1.50% 0.80% 0.70%
Saudi Arabia 746 3.60% 2.00% 2.30% -0.70%
Switzerland 701 0.80% -0.75% -1.30% 2.85%
Sweden 571 3.90% -0.35% 0.10% 4.15%
Nigeria 569 2.84% 11.00% 9.60% -17.76%
Belgium 532 1.30% 0.05% 1.74% -0.49%
Taiwan 530 -0.28% 1.62% 0.81% -2.71%
Norway 500 3.00% 0.75% 3.00% -0.75%
Austria 436 1.10% 0.05% 1.00% 0.05%
Currency Gov. Budget Debt/GDP Current Account Working
119.89 -2.50% 102.98% -2.4 95.100%
1.13 -2.20% 93.50% 3.7 89.600%
6.54 -2.10% 41.06% 2.7 95.950%
113.5 -7.70% 230.00% 0.5 96.700%
1.13 0.50% 71.60% 8.8 95.500%
1.45 -4.40% 88.60% -5 94.900%
1.13 -3.70% 96.20% -1.4 89.400%
3.93 -10.30% 66.23% -3.32 93.100%
1.13 -2.60% 132.80% 2.2 88.600%
67.86 -4.50% 66.10% -1.4 95.100%
78.57 -0.50% 17.92% 3.09 94.200%
1.39 -0.30% 86.51% -2.1 92.800%
3.88 -2.15% 67.50% 2.97 94.800%
7.79 2.80% 32.00% 1.9 96.700%
15.9 -3.80% 39.00% -5.4 74.500%
0.71 -3.10% 33.88% -2.8 94.200%
1187.32 -1.80% 35.98% 6.3 96.600%
3.75 -2.30% 1.60% 10.31 94.300%
0.97 -0.10% 34.20% 7 96.200%
8.37 -1.00% 44.00% 5.4 93.300%
198.82 0.10% 10.50% 2.6 90.100%
1.13 -2.90% 106.10% 1.6 92.100%
32.94 -2.10% 36.50% 12.3 96.120%
8.52 9.10% 26.40% 8.5 95.400%
1.13 -1.60% 85.90% 3.3 89.100%

Value Currency Gov. Budget Debt/GDP


Value 1
Currency 0.0128782188 1
Gov. Budget 0.2673728906 -0.0047806249 1
Debt/GDP 0.28574037 -0.1081842418 -0.4645333316 1
Current Account 0.2511901679 0.1482023124 0.5045646363 -0.3386978852
Working -0.0468291876 -0.0378577322 -0.1847509773 -0.0160501342
Population Jobless rate Not Working
318.86 4.90% 15.62414
338.34 10.40% 35.18736
1374.62 4.05% 55.67211
126.82 3.30% 4.18506
81.17 4.50% 3.65265
64.77 5.10% 3.30327
66.09 10.60% 7.00554
202.77 6.90% 13.99113
60.8 11.40% 6.9312
1238.89 4.90% 60.70561
143.7 5.80% 8.3346
35.67 7.20% 2.56824
8.3 5.20% 0.4316
7.23 3.30% 0.23859
54 25.50% 13.77
23.49 5.80% 1.36242
50.42 3.40% 1.71428
30.77 5.70% 1.75389
8.24 3.80% 0.31312
9.75 6.70% 0.65325
178.52 9.90% 17.67348
11.26 7.90% 0.88954
23.43 3.88% 0.909084
5.17 4.60% 0.23782
8.58 10.90% 0.93522

Current Account Working

1
-0.1633156801 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.5760958834
R Square 0.3318864669
Adjusted R Square 0.1982637602
Standard Error 0.0766807759
Observations 25

ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 4 0.0584174059 0.0146043515 2.4837580023
Residual 20 0.1175988277 0.0058799414
Total 24 0.1760162336

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value


Intercept -0.2325536222 0.3414759377 -0.6810249172 0.5036651824
Gov. Budget 1.00361169 0.5601813951 1.7915834026 0.0883449521
Debt/GDP 0.0964428068 0.0375857282 2.5659422161 0.0184333731
Current Account 0.0035132896 0.0041902172 0.8384504869 0.4116869425
Working 0.1612493307 0.3737882178 0.4313922242 0.6707975297
Significance F
0.0765371495

Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


-0.9448599444 0.4797527 -0.9448599444 0.4797527
-0.1649062208 2.1721296008 -0.1649062208 2.1721296008
0.0180403518 0.1748452617 0.0180403518 0.1748452617
-0.0052273502 0.0122539295 -0.0052273502 0.0122539295
-0.6184592265 0.9409578878 -0.6184592265 0.9409578878
Country GDP GDP YoY Interest rate Inflation rate Value
United States 17419 1.80% 0.50% 0.70% 0.60%
Euro Area 13410 1.60% 0.05% 0.40% 1.15%
China 10355 6.80% 4.35% 1.60% 0.85%
Japan 4601 1.60% -0.10% 0.20% 1.50%
Germany 3868 1.70% 0.05% 0.50% 1.15%
United Kingdom 2989 1.90% 0.50% 0.20% 1.20%
France 2829 1.50% 0.05% 0.20% 1.25%
Italy 2141 0.80% 0.05% 0.30% 0.45%
Israel 306 2.52% 0.10% -1.00% 3.42%
South Korea 1410 3.00% 1.50% 0.80% 0.70%
Switzerland 701 0.80% -0.75% -1.30% 2.85%
Sweden 571 3.90% -0.35% 0.10% 4.15%

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

ANOVA

Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Gov. Budget
Debt/GDP
Current Account
Working

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Currency Gov. Budget Debt/GDP Current Account Working
119.89 -2.50% 102.98% -2.4 95.100%
1.13 -2.20% 93.50% 3.7 89.600%
6.54 -2.10% 41.06% 2.7 95.950%
113.5 -7.70% 230.00% 0.5 96.700%
1.13 0.50% 71.60% 8.8 95.500%
1.45 -4.40% 88.60% -5 94.900%
1.13 -3.70% 96.20% -1.4 89.400%
1.13 -2.60% 132.80% 2.2 88.600%
3.88 -2.15% 67.50% 2.97 94.800%
1187.32 -1.80% 35.98% 6.3 96.600%
0.97 -0.10% 34.20% 7 96.200%
8.37 -1.00% 44.00% 5.4 93.300%

Regression Statistics
0.3977584067
0.1582117501
-0.322810107
0.0137708661
12

df SS MS F Significance F
4 0.0002494919 0.000062373 0.3289076116 0.8503322856
7 0.0013274573 0.0001896368
11 0.0015769492

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%


0.0077136793 0.1434290538 0.0537804518 0.9586127712 -0.331442139
-0.2155886875 0.4926847071 -0.4375794184 0.6748744458 -1.380602894
-0.0097002926 0.0152111221 -0.6377105248 0.5439498671 -0.045668881
0.0011040095 0.0015980624 0.6908425244 0.5119151893 -0.002674808
0.0091206338 0.1539155875 0.0592573759 0.9544033284 -0.354831897
Predicted Value Residuals
0.0091381352 -0.0031381352
0.0156437798 -0.0041437798
0.0199901753 -0.0114901753
0.0113749928 0.0036250072
0.018115815 -0.006615815
0.0117405564 0.0002594436
0.0129670126 -0.0004670126
0.010946699 -0.006446699
0.0177264076 0.0164735924
0.0238699024 -0.0168699024
0.021113884 0.007386116
0.0200726399 0.0214273601
Population Jobless rate Not Working
318.86 4.90% 15.62414
338.34 10.40% 35.18736
1374.62 4.05% 55.67211
126.82 3.30% 4.18506
81.17 4.50% 3.65265
64.77 5.10% 3.30327
66.09 10.60% 7.00554
60.8 11.40% 6.9312
8.3 5.20% 0.4316
50.42 3.40% 1.71428
8.24 3.80% 0.31312
9.75 6.70% 0.65325

Gov. Budget Residual Plot


0.03
Debt/GDP Residual
0.02 Plot
Residuals

0.03 0.01
0.02 Current Account Residual
0
Residuals

-10.00% -8.00%
0.01 -6.00% -4.00% -2.00% 0.00% 2.00%
-0.01
0.03
0 -0.02
0.02 Working Residu
Residuals

0.00%
-0.01 Gov. Budget 0.030.01150.00% 200.00% 250.00
50.00% 100.00%
-0.02 0.02 0
-6 -4 -2-0.01 0
Debt/GDP 2 4 6
Residuals

0.01
-0.02
0
88.000%Current
-0.01
Account
90.000% 92.000% 94.0

-0.02

Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Working


0.3468694981 -0.3314421395 0.3468694981
0.9494255188 -1.3806028939 0.9494255188
0.0262682955 -0.0456688807 0.0262682955
0.0048828266 -0.0026748077 0.0048828266
0.3730731645 -0.3548318969 0.3730731645
ual Plot
0.03
Residual
0.02 Plot
0.01
Account
0 Residual Plot
.00% 0.00% 2.00%
-0.01
0.03
Working Residual Plot
-0.02
0.02
0.00%
.030.01150.00% 200.00% 250.00%
.02 0
-2 0 2 4 6 8 10
.01-0.01
Debt/GDP
-0.02
0
88.000%Current
.01
Account
90.000% 92.000% 94.000% 96.000% 98.000%

.02
Working
Country GDP GDP YoY Interest rate Inflation rate Value Currency Gov. Budget
Brazil 2346 -4.50% 14.25% 10.71% -29.46% 3.93 -10.30%
India 2067 7.30% 6.75% 5.61% -5.06% 67.86 -4.50%
Russia 1861 -3.80% 11.00% 9.80% -24.60% 78.57 -0.50%
Canada 1785 1.20% 0.50% 1.60% -0.90% 1.39 -0.30%
Hong Kong 291 2.30% 0.75% 2.50% -0.95% 7.79 2.80%
South Afric 350 1.00% 6.75% 5.20% -10.95% 15.9 -3.80%
Australia 1455 2.50% 2.00% 1.70% -1.20% 0.71 -3.10%
Saudi Arabi 746 3.60% 2.00% 2.30% -0.70% 3.75 -2.30%
Nigeria 569 2.84% 11.00% 9.60% -17.76% 198.82 0.10%
Belgium 532 1.30% 0.05% 1.74% -0.49% 1.13 -2.90%
Taiwan 530 -0.28% 1.62% 0.81% -2.71% 32.94 -2.10%
Norway 500 3.00% 0.75% 3.00% -0.75% 8.52 9.10%

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.6040137888
R Square 0.3648326571
Adjusted R Squar 0.0018798897
Standard Error 0.1037057867
Observations 12

ANOVA
df
Regression 4
Residual 7
Total 11

Coefficients
Intercept -0.0480787735
Gov. Budget 1.0707705666
Debt/GDP 0.1475936996
Current Account 0.0058001022
Working -0.0997560431
Debt/GDP Current Account Working Population Jobless rate
66.23% -3.32 93.100% 202.77 6.90%
66.10% -1.4 95.100% 1238.89 4.90%
17.92% 3.09 94.200% 143.7 5.80%
86.51% -2.1 92.800% 35.67 7.20%
32.00% 1.9 96.700% 7.23 3.30%
39.00% -5.4 74.500% 54 25.50%
33.88% -2.8 94.200% 23.49 5.80%
1.60% 10.31 94.300% 30.77 5.70%
10.50% 2.6 90.100% 178.52 9.90%
106.10% 1.6 92.100% 11.26 7.90%
36.50% 12.3 96.120% 23.43 3.88%
26.40% 8.5 95.400% 5.17 4.60%

SS MS F Significance F
0.0432423778 0.0108105944 1.0051794335 0.4650024565
0.0752842314 0.0107548902
0.1185266092

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
0.5664975303 -0.0848702261 0.9347408966 -1.3876325716 1.2914750247 -1.38763
0.7812880549 1.370519567 0.2128543318 -0.7766821149 2.9182232482 -0.77668
0.1178896581 1.251964778 0.2507929242 -0.1311710448 0.426358444 -0.13117
0.0077779176 0.745714017 0.4801265175 -0.0125917503 0.0241919546 -0.01259
0.6329652774 -0.1576011302 0.8792209003 -1.5964810881 1.3969690019 -1.59648
Upper 95.0%
1.291475
2.918223
0.426358
0.024192
1.396969

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