Hoja1

4
7
9

19 357 1.3
20 660 2.4

Página 1
 Hoja2

PENDIENTE 5.1063636364
INTERS 45.3709090909

FT E ABS MAPE
1 48.3 50.47727273 2.1772727273 2.177272727 4.51%
2 58.5 55.58363636 -2.9163636364 2.916363636 4.99%
3 61.7 60.69 -1.01 1.01 1.64%
4 64.9 65.79636364 0.8963636364 0.896363636 1.38%
5 70 70.90272727 0.9027272727 0.902727273 1.29%
6 78.3 76.00909091 -2.2909090909 2.290909091 2.93%
7 77.5 81.11545455 3.6154545455 3.615454545 4.67%
8 88.7 86.22181818 -2.4781818182 2.478181818 2.79%
9 87.9 91.32818182 3.4281818182 3.428181818 3.90%
10 98 96.43454545 -1.5654545455 1.565454545 1.60%
11 102.3 91.32818182 -10.9718181818 10.97181818 10.73%
12 96.43454545
13 101.5409091
14 106.6472727
15 121.9663636
16 127.0727273
17 132.1790909
18 137.2854545
19 142.3918182
20 147.4981818
21 152.6045455
22 157.7109091
23 162.8172727
24 167.9236364
25 173.03

MAD 2.9320661157
MAPE 3.67%
MSE 15.9026555973
ME -0.9284297521

120

100

80

60 Página 2
Column C

40
100

80 Hoja2

60 Column C

40

20

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Página 3
 Hoja2

ALPHA 0.1
BETA 0.3

SED ST GT FT
4.740516529 45.37090909 5.106363636 50.47727273
8.50517686 1 48.3 50.25954545 5.041045455 55.30059091
1.0201 2 58.5 55.62053182 5.137027727 60.75755955
0.803467769 3 61.7 60.85180359 5.165300941 66.01710453
0.814916529 4 64.9 65.90539408 5.131787805 71.03718188
5.248264463 5 70 70.9334637 5.100672348 76.03413604
13.07151157 6 78.3 76.26072244 5.168648267 81.42937071
6.141385124 7 77.5 81.03643364 5.050767146 86.08720078
11.75243058 8 88.7 86.3484807 5.129151122 91.47763183
2.450647934 9 87.9 91.11986864 5.021822168 96.14169081
120.3807942 10 98 96.32752173 5.077571443 101.4050932
11 102.3 101.4945839 5.104418648 106.5990025 TAO
12 106.5990025 1
13 111.7034212 2
14 116.8078398 3
15 121.9122584 4
16 127.0166771 5
17 132.1210957 6
18 137.2255144 7
19 142.329933 8
20 147.4343517 9
21 152.5387703 10
22 157.643189 11
23 162.7476076 12
24 167.8520263 13
25 172.9564449 14

Página 4
Column C
 Hoja2

Column C

Página 5
 Hoja2

E MAPE

7.000590909 14.49% 49.00827308

2.257559545 3.86% 5.096575101
4.317104532 7.00% 18.63739154
6.137181884 9.46% 37.66500147
6.034136044 8.62% 36.41079779
3.129370706 4.00% 9.792961018
8.587200782 11.08% 73.74001727
2.777631826 3.13% 7.715238561
8.241690811 9.38% 67.92546743
3.405093173 3.47% 11.59465952
4.299002504 4.20% 18.48142253

MAD 5.107869338
MAPE 7.15%
MSE 30.55161866
ME 5.107869338

Página 6
 Hoja3

M 2
N 4

a 0.5 pendiente -6.23809524

b 0.5 intersepto 82.82142857
g 0.01

P Dt St Gt Yt Dt/Yt

-3
-2
-1
0 82.82142857 -6.23809524
1 80 68.67747164 -10.1910261 76.58333333 1.044613711
2 90 57.02044162 -10.9240281 70.3452381 1.279404299
3 35 46.93264323 -10.5059132 64.10714286 0.545961003
4 15 43.49214189 -6.97320728 57.86904762 0.259205925
5 82 49.4049174 -0.53021588 51.63095238 1.588194605
6 89 51.90593384 0.985400276 45.39285714 1.960660897
7 36 51.01251597 0.045991204 39.1547619 0.919428398
8 11 44.0670233 -3.44975073 32.91666667 0.334177215

100

90

80

70

60

50
Column C
40

30

20

10
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0
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Column C
40

30
Hoja3
20

10

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Página 8
 Hoja3

3.965823025 4
CT CT NORM ft E abs MAPE

1.316404158 1.327748767
1.620032598 1.633993839
0.7326947 0.739008973
0.29669157 0.299248421
1.326119931 76.99180009 -3.00819991 3.008199907 3.76%
1.633437714 74.67769262 -15.3223074 15.32230738 17.02%
0.739076379 26.68967202 -8.31032798 8.310327978 23.74%
0.299704836 10.83486004 -4.16513996 4.165139959 27.77%
1.32945627 64.33886028 -17.6611397 17.66113972 21.54%
1.634249739 85.6856854 -3.3143146 3.314314599 3.72%
0.738742707 37.41029761 1.410297608 1.410297608 3.92%
0.299203985 12.05080237 TAO 1.050802366 1.050802366 9.55%
44.0670233 1
32.88960602 2
36.48418107 3
39.97297546 4

MAD 6.78031619
MAPE 13.88%
MSE 82.02824682
ME -6.1650412

90

80

70

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Column C
50

40

30

Página 9 20

10
8
0
1 2 3 4 5 6
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Column C
50

40
Hoja3
30

20

10
8
0
1 2 3 4 5 6

Página 10
 Hoja3

9.049266679
234.7731034
69.0615511
17.34839088
311.9158563
10.98468126
1.988939343
1.104185612

Página 11

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
 Hoja3

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Página 12