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New Books: Annotated Listing 1805

HARVEY, A. C. The econometric analysis of time se- hauser, 1989. Pp. xxii, 209. ISBN 0-8176-3372-
ries. Second edition. LSE Handbooks in Econom- 3. JEL 90-1211
ics. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1990. Pp. xiii, Based on the report Some Personal Experiences
387. ISBN 0-262-08189-X, JEL 90-1209 in Popularizing Mathematical Methods in the Peo-
Afinalyear undergraduate or graduate level text- ple's Republic of China," presented by Hua Loo-
book on the econometric analysis of time series. keng at both the Fourth International Conference
This edition includes new material and revised sec- on Mathematical Methods and at Bell Laboratories
tions. Emphasizes the understanding of the main in 1980. Hua introduces some methods he helped
ideas and concepts in econometrics, rather than popularize in China for use in industrial produc-
rigorous proofs. Assumes the reader has had an tion—these methods are elaborated on in subse-
introductory course in matrix algebra and is famil- quent chapters, written with the participation of
iar with the basic ideas of statistical inference Wang Yuan. Compares various methods for calcu-
and with regression. Certain key topics, such as lating mineral reserves and hillside areas. Dis-
matrix differentiation, are dealt with in the intro- cusses the solution to a meshing gear-pair problem
duction and appendix. Covers regression; the raised by a Chinese worker. Describes optimum
method of maximum likelihood; numerical optimi- seeking methods for single- and two-variable prob-
zation; test procedures and model selection; regres- lems. Explores the connection between numerical
sion models with serially correlated disturbances; integration and the golden number. Introduces
dynamic models; and simultaneous equation various overall planning methods that have been
models. Includes exercises at the end of chapters. successfully popularized in China: the critical path
Harvey is Professor of Econometrics at the Lon- method, the program evaluation and review tech-
don School of Economics. Subject and author in- nique, a method for machine scheduling, and the
dexes. graphical and simplex methods for transportation
problems. Discusses methods for solving the post-
HENNERKES, WILHELM A. MAXDATA: A time series man problem of how to determine a shortest route.
database system. Berlin; New York; London and The late Hua Loo-keng was Director ofthe Mathe-
Tokyo: Springer, 1990. Pp. xiii, 150. $35.00, paper. matical Institute of the Academia Sinica, Beijing,
ISBN 0-387-52209-3. JEL 90-1210 from 1952 to 1984, and was succeeded by Wang.
This handbook gives a detailed introduction to No index.
the time series database system, MAXDATA,
which offers simple and convenient handling of vo- MoRCAN, MARY S. The history of econometric ideas. J'-i -t
luminous numerical databases on an IBM-compat- Historical Perspectives on Modern Economics. ^ T T
ible personal computer. MAXDATA handles data- Cambridge; New York and Melbourne: Cambridge
base creation, management, documentation, data University Press, 1990. Pp. xv, 296. $44.50. ISBN
export and import, database research, report, 0-521-37398-0. JEL 90-1212
graphics, statistics, calculation, creation of indica- Surveys the fundamental concepts and notions
tor models, multiple regression, ex-ante and ex- ofthe econometric approach that were thought out
post forecasts, etc. Describes the philosophy be- prior to 1950. ReRects the importance of applied
hind MAXDATA and the system itself. Provides work in the development of econometric ideas,
a summary of the MAXDATA options for the pre- where applications formed the catalyst for econo-
sentation of the centrally-stored data in different metricians both to recognize difficulties and to
viewing modes. Explains MAXDATA's central da- search for solutions. Traces the evolution of econo-
tabase system and describes how MAXDATA is metrics through the practical work on business cy-
installed, started, and operated. Covers the MAX- cles, considering Jevons's sunspot and Moore's Ve-
DATA main menu, some principal MAXDATA in- nus theories of the business cycle; Juglar's credit
quiries and characteristics, and the various MAX- cycle, Mitchell's statistical approach, and Persons's
DATA command options. Discusses possible business barometers; the entrance of random
program errors and their causes and correction. shocks into business cycle theory; and Tinbergen
A demonstration diskette is available. Hennerkes and macrodynamic models. Discusses the evolu-
is with DSI Data Service and Information, Bhein- tion of market demand analysis, focusing on the
berg. West Cermany. No index. narrowing of the data—theory gap in demand analy-
sis and the evolution of identification questions.
HuA, Loo-KENG AND WANG, YUAN. Popularizing Examines the development of forrtial models in
mathematical methods in the People s Republic of econometrics, especially errors-in-variables and er-
China: Some personal experiences. Revised and rors-in-equations models and Haavelmo's probabil-
edited by J. C. C. HEIJMANS. Mathematical Model- ity model. An outgrowth of the author's doctoral
ing series, no. 2. Boston; Basel and Bedin: Birk- dissertation at the London School of Economics
1806 Journal of Economic Literature
(1984). Morgan is a Lecturer in the Department equations; critical points; periodic solutions; the
of Economic History at the London School of Eco- theory of stability; linear equations; stability by
nomics. Index. linearization; stability analysis by the direct
method; perturbation theory; the Poincar6-Lind-
TuRVEY, RALPH. Consumer price indices: An ILO stedt method; the method of averaging; relaxation
manual. With contributions by D. J. SELLWOOD oscillations; bifurcation theory; chaos; and Hamilto-
ET AL. Ceneva: International Labour Office, 1989. nian systems. Includes examples and exercises.
Pp. xii, 186. $19.25, paper. ISBN 92-2-106436- Verhulst is with the Department of Mathematics,
0- JEL 90-1213 University of Utrecht, the Netherlands. Index.
A manual for practicing statisticians who have
to construct or revise a consumer price index. Re- See also: Book numbers JEL 90-1080, 90-1313
flects the standards adopted by the Fourteenth In- 220 ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL STATISTICAL DATA
ternational Conference of Labour Statisticians in
AND ANALYSIS
the resolution concerning consumer price indices,
but goes beyond this document in detail. Reviews CHAUDHURI, PRAMIT. Economic theory of growth.
the purposes and nature of consumer price indices. Ames: Iowa State University Press, 1989. Pp. viii,
Examines the major choices made in designing an 181. $19.95. ISBN 0-813&-0627-5.
index that depend on the purposes of the index. JEL 90-1215
Discusses the choice and weighting of elementary Explains, at an elementary level, how economic
aggregates, and sampling within elementary aggre- theory can be used to gain understanding of the
gates. Examines the calculation of the elementary process of growth and change. Material is kept as
price indices using the sample price data. Dis- nonmathematical and nontechnical as possible.
cusses computation of the index; sources of error; Concerned with the following questions: is growth
and publication of the index. Appendices contain proportional; is economic growth stable or unsta-
the resolution concerning consumer prices indices ble; is growth terminal; and who benefits from eco-
adopted by the Fourteenth International Confer- nomic growth? Reviews the contributions to
ence of Labour Statisticians and seven articles (one growth theory made by Adam Smith, David Ri-
in French with an English summary) reprinted cardo, Karl Marx, Roy Harrod, and Joseph Schum-
from the ILO Bulletin of Labour Statistics that peter. Discusses some of the assumptions and im-
discuss the measurement of liability insurance pre- plications of the neoclassical view of the process
mium trends and their inclusion in the French of economic growth. Explores aspects of economic
consumer price index; adjusting the consumer growth that different theories have addressed, cov-
price index for indirect taxes; reduction of errors ering linkages that may exist between sectors of
in a consumer price index; the treatment of finance- the economy and their implications for growth;
related commodities in a consumer price index; technical progress; the impact of foreign trade on
the pricing of new vehicles in the Australian Con- growth; and the relationship between growth and
sumer price index; price indices below the basic income distribution. Chaudhuri is Reader in Eco-
aggregation level; and the treatment of seasonal nomics at the School of African and Asian Studies,
fresh fruit and vegetables in the consuemr price University of Sussex. Bibliography; author and sub-
index. Turvey is Director of the Labour Informa- ject indexes. . ^
tion and Statistics Department ofthe International
Labour Organisation. Index. DAVIDSON, PAUL AND KREGEL, JAN, eds. Macroeco- Ini
nomic problems and policies of income distribu- ' ^
tion: Functional, personal, international. Aider-
VERHULST, FERDINAND. Nonlinear differential equa- shot, U.K.: Elgar; Brookfield, Vt.: Cower, 1989.
tions and dynamical systems. Translation. New Pp. 292. $47.95. ISBN 1-85278-206-4.
York; Berlin; London and Tokyo: Springer, 1990. JEL 90-1216
Pp. ix, 277. $22.00, paper. ISBN 0-387-50628-4. Eighteen papers discuss the current problems
JEL 90-1214 of income distribution in various nations around
A textbook on both the qualitative and quantita- the world. Papers explore the implications of
tive aspects of nonlinear differential equations and macrodistribution of personal income; the effects
dynamical systems written to bridge the gap be- of monetary policy on income distribution; Keynes,
tween elementary courses and the modern re- income distribution, and income policy; public
search literature in this field. Originally published debt and the size distribution of income; increasing
in Dutch in 1985 under the title Nietlineaire Differ- inequality in the United States; poverty, affiuence,
entiaalvergelijkingen en Dynamische Systemen. and the income cost of children; macroeconomic
The English version contains a number of correc- conditions and the size distribution of income in
tions and some extensions. Discusses autonomous the United Kingdom; the welfare state in a program

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