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  • Population Forecasting Problem Airthmetic Mean Method: PN Po+nxx

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    Kevin Shah
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    The document presents three methods for population forecasting: the arithmetic mean method which uses a constant incremental increase, the geometric mean method which uses a constant percentage increase, and the incremental increase method which uses a variable incremental increase. It provides population data from 1930 to 1970 and formulas to calculate the forecasted populations for 1990 and 2000 using each of the three methods. The goal is to compare the accuracy of the different forecasting techniques using the historical population data.

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    Population forecasting.xlsx

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    The document presents three methods for population forecasting: the arithmetic mean method which uses a constant incremental increase, the geometric mean method which uses a constant percentage increase, and the incremental increase method which uses a variable incremental increase. It provides population data from 1930 to 1970 and formulas to calculate the forecasted populations for 1990 and 2000 using each of the three methods. The goal is to compare the accuracy of the different forecasting techniques using the historical population data.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    19 views2 pages

    Population Forecasting Problem Airthmetic Mean Method: PN Po+nxx

    Uploaded by

    Kevin Shah
    The document presents three methods for population forecasting: the arithmetic mean method which uses a constant incremental increase, the geometric mean method which uses a constant percentage increase, and the incremental increase method which uses a variable incremental increase. It provides population data from 1930 to 1970 and formulas to calculate the forecasted populations for 1990 and 2000 using each of the three methods. The goal is to compare the accuracy of the different forecasting techniques using the historical population data.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    of 2

    NIRMA UNIVERSITY

    INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
    Department of Civil Engg
    Subject Name : CL503 Environmental Engineering I Semester: V
    Roll Number & Name of Student:17BCL107 Kevin Shah Batch:B3
    Population Forecasting Problem

    Airthmetic Mean Method


    Formula
    Year Population Increment
    Pn=Po+nxx
    1930 25000 0
    1940 28000 #NAME?
    Population in 1970 58000
    1950 34000 #NAME?
    1960 42000 #NAME?
    Population in 2000 63500
    1970 47000 #NAME?
    Total 22000
    xx = 5500

    Geometric Mean Method


    % Increase In Formula
    Year Population Increment
    Population
    1930 25000 0 #NAME?
    Pn=Po(1+R/100)^n
    1940 28000 #NAME? #NAME?
    1950 34000 #NAME? #NAME?
    Population in 1990 63661
    1960 42000 #NAME? #NAME?
    1970 47000 #NAME?
    Population in 2000 74090

    Geometric mean R = 16.38


    Incremental Increase Method
    Incremental Formula
    Year Population Increment Increase in
    Population
    Pn=Po+nxx+(n(n+1)/2)*y
    1930 25000 0
    1940 28000 #NAME? #NAME?
    1950 34000 #NAME? #NAME?
    Population in 1990 60001
    1960 42000 #NAME? #NAME?
    1970 47000 #NAME?
    Population in 2000 67502
    Total 22000
    Average xx 5500
    Average y 667

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