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Project On Communication Industry Reliance Vs Tata: IBS Hyderabad Sec - B
Project On Communication Industry Reliance Vs Tata: IBS Hyderabad Sec - B
Sec – B
Presented By:
Amit Agarwal
Deepinder Gogna
Sharad Soni
Vanshaj anand
Vivek Bansal
Contents
1. Introduction
2. About the Companies
a. Reliance Communication Ltd
b. Tata Communications Ltd
3. Financial Data
a. Executive Summary
b. Equity Holding Pattern
c. Capital History Summary
4. Theoretical Concepts
5. Application of Concepts for Analysis
6. Observation and Analysis
7. Conclusion
8. Sources of Information
1.0 Introduction
The communication sector is amongst the fastest growing in the country. The
communication sector is predicted to emerge as the single largest sector of India's
economy with a 15 percent share of GDP by 2014-15. In India's transformation from an
agrarian to a services economy, communication is recognized as the fastest growing sector,
growing by 25.7 percent during 2001-08.
Seeing this communication revolution in India, we were inspired to select this sector for
our analysis. We have selected two major players in the communication sector in India,
namely, Reliance Communications Limited (ADAG) and Tata Communications Limited
(TGI). Another reason for selection of these two companies for our analysis is that both of
them control maximum market share in CDMA phones and also provide GSM services to a
wide range of consumers spread across the country. However, other major players in this
sector make their presence felt only in one of these areas.
The following report aims at understanding the concepts of Financial Management with
reference to calculation of risks, returns and cost of capital. We have prepared the report
with the following objectives in mind:
Reliance Communications was set up as Reliance Infocomm in 1999 and from 2000
onwards laying of optical fibers started in Maharashtra, Gujarat and Andhra Pradesh.
Reliance Infocomm was inaugurated in 2002 and first of interconnect (POI) was
established in New Delhi in same year. Also in that year, Reliance Communications
commissioned their 1st optic fiber backbone. In 2005, this company launched global
roaming facility and CDMA services. Reliance Communications was formed in 2006 and
listed in Bombay and National stock exchanges.
Reliance Communications is the flagship company of the Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group
(ADAG) of companies. Listed on the National Stock Exchange and the Bombay Stock
Exchange, it is India’s leading integrated telecommunication company with over 85 million
customers.
RCOM has established a pan-India, next generation, integrated (wireless and wireline),
convergent (voice, data and video) digital network that is capable of supporting best-of-
class services spanning the entire communications value chain, covering over 20,000 towns
and 450,000 villages, and growing.
Vision
“We will leverage our strengths to execute complex global-scale projects to facilitate
leading-edge information and communication services affordable to all individual
consumers and businesses in India.
We will offer unparalleled value to create customer delight and enhance business
productivity.
We will also generate value for our capabilities beyond Indian borders and enable millions
of India's knowledge workers to deliver their services globally.”
Services
Reliance’s business encompasses a complete range of telecom services covering mobile and
fixed line telephony. It includes broadband, national and international long distance
services and data services along with an exhaustive range of value-added services and
applications. The Company’s operations are classified into four business segments:
Wireless
Global
Broadband
Others (unallocated)
Performance
The company Reliance Communications Limited's market capitalization reached the top
with Rs.1 lakh crore on the Bombay Stock Exchange in February 2007. The company has
bagged the E- Governance project of the West Bengal government in May 2007. The
company Reliance Communications has won the Frost and Sullivan Market Leadership
Award in October 2005 and also the CDMA Industry Achievement Award for International
Leadership in October 2004. This shows that Reliance Communications has been doing
very good work that has been recognized by the industry. And this is the reason that the
company has received so many awards.
Rating information
Subsidiaries
Tata Communications Limited, formerly known as Videsh Sanchar Nigam Limited or VSNL,
is India's largest telecommunication company in international long distance, enterprise
data and internet services. Part of the Tata Group, Tata Communications is based in
Mumbai and has operations in over 80 cities spread across 40 countries.
In 1986, VSNL was formed as a Government of India-owned company. In 2000, Tata Group
acquired controlling stake in VSNL which was later expanded to 46%. In February 2008,
VSNL was renamed as Tata Communications Limited.
Through its subsidiary Tyco Global Network, it is also one of the world's largest submarine
cable bandwidth providers and has the world's largest network of submarine cables. Other
subsidiaries of Tata Communications include VSNL International Canada, formerly known
as Teleglobe while it is the majority share-holder of Neotel, South Africa's second national
operator (SNO) for fixed line telecommunication services.
Tata Communications Limited is listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and the National
Stock Exchange of India and its ADRs are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. (NYSE:
TCL).
Vision
Deliver a new world of communications to advance the reach and leadership of our
customers.
Invest in building long-lasting relationships with customers and partners and lead the
industry in responsiveness and flexibility.
Services
Wholesale Voice
Enterprise and Carrier Data
Other Services.
The Wholesale Voice segment provides international long distance and national long
distance voice services.
The Enterprise and Carrier Data segment offers corporate data transmission services. It
also offers mobile signaling services, such as signal conversion and managed roaming
services; ethernet services; and Internet protocol and managed services, including Internet
telephony, multi protocol label switching based virtual private networks, Internet access,
managed hosting, collaboration and conferencing services, managed security services, and
other professional services.
The Other Services segment provides global roaming, Internet, virtual private network, and
data centre services. This segment offers various Internet services, such as connectivity,
messaging, Internet telephony, and a range of content services.
Performance
During the year, 2007-08, the Company earned a total revenue of Rs. 34.65 billion
compared to Rs. 39.58 billion during the previous year. Profit before tax for the year was
Rs. 4.49 billion, against Rs. 7.12 billion in the previous year. Profit after tax was Rs. 3.04
billion compared to Rs. 4.68 billion in the previous year.
On a consolidated basis, for 2007-08, the Company’s total income was Rs. 85.37 billion,
with an EBIDTA of Rs. 8.45 billion and profit before tax and exceptional items of Rs. 1.60
billlion.
During the year 2007-08, the Company completed the integration of its major international
acquisitions, TGN and Teleglobe, giving the Company expanded global reach and ability to
deliver IP-leveraged communications solutions to businesses and consumers worldwide.
On 13 February 2008, the Company launched its new identity and the brand “Tata
Communications” integrating the former VSNL, VSNL International, Teleglobe and CIPRIS
brands worldwide.
Rating Information
Month Instrument Rating Agency Amount Grade Rating status
(Rs. Crore)
Jun 2009 Short Term Debt P1+ CRISIL 250Investment Reaffirmed
Apr 2009 Pass Through Certificates P1+(SO) CRISIL 400Investment Initial Rating
Apr 2009 Pass Through Certificates P1+(SO) CRISIL 38.09Investment Initial Rating
Nov 2008 Pass Through Certificates P1+(SO) CRISIL 2.81Investment Initial Rating
Nov 2008 Pass Through Certificates P1+(SO) CRISIL 25.23Investment Initial Rating
Nov 2008 Pass Through Certificates P1+(SO) CRISIL 5.62Investment Initial Rating
Nov 2008 Pass Through Certificates P1+(SO) CRISIL 50.47Investment Initial Rating
Oct 2007 Short Term Debt P1+ CRISIL 250Investment Reaffirmed
Sep 2007 Short Term Debt P1+ CRISIL 100Investment Initial Rating
Jun 1998 Commercial Papers P1+ CRISIL Investment
May 1998 NCD (Fixed Interest Rate) AAA CRISIL 100 Investment
Dec 1997 NCD (Fixed Interest Rate) AAA CRISIL 100 Investment
Dec 1996 Commercial Papers P1+ CRISIL 112.5 Investment
Subsidiaries
Equity holding by type of investors Reliance Communications Ltd. Tata Communications Ltd.
(No. of shares)
Mar 2008 Mar 2008
In No. of shares In % In No. of shares In %
Total Shares 2,06,40,26,881 100 28,50,00,000 100
Promoters 1,36,48,11,060 66.12 21,72,72,076 76.24
Indian 1,36,48,11,060 66.12 21,72,72,076 76.24
Individuals & HUF 98,45,089 0.48
Central & State Govt. 7,44,46,885 26.12
Corporate Bodies 1,35,49,65,971 65.65 14,28,25,191 50.11
Non-promoters 64,66,29,737 31.33 5,15,75,478 18.1
Institutions 39,17,53,211 18.98 4,19,13,897 14.71
Mutual Funds/UTI 6,43,54,925 3.12 66,28,848 2.33
Banks, FIs,Insurance Cos. 12,20,20,863 5.91 3,02,28,957 10.61
Insurance Companies 11,75,06,832 5.69 2,98,62,679 10.48
Financial Institutions & Banks 34,44,856 0.17 3,66,278 0.13
Central & State Government 10,69,175 0.05
FIIs 20,53,77,423 9.95 50,56,092 1.77
Non-institutions 25,48,76,526 12.35 96,61,581 3.39
Corporate Bodies 4,08,69,654 1.98 26,17,031 0.92
Individuals 20,10,77,740 9.75 65,98,394 2.31
Nominal invest. Upto Rs. 1 lakh 18,46,63,949 8.95 60,14,996 2.11
Nominal invest. Over Rs. 1 lakh 1,64,13,791 0.8 5,83,398 0.2
Others 1,29,29,132 0.63 4,46,156 0.16
Custodians 5,25,86,084 2.55 1,61,52,446 5.67
3.3 Capital History Summary
The following concepts have been used to derive the conclusions on the financial aspects of
the communication sector:
RISK
Risk is the “possibility of loss or injury”, in financial terminology, risk means the chance
that an investor’s actual return varies from his expected return. This implies that higher the
variability between the actual and the expected return, the greater the risk.
Risk is the result of the presence of following factors:
Interest rates
Securities Market
Inflation
Business related factors
Financial leverages
Liquidity
RETURN
Return are benefits received by an investor for making investments. An investor, while
making an investment decision evaluates the risks associated with the investments. So,
while determining his required rate of return, he analyses risks involved. His analysis helps
him in evaluating and selecting the best investment option out of the various investment
schemes available.
Components of Return
The rate of return is measured as the total returns calculated as a percentage of the value of
the investments made in the beginning of the holding period.
The CAPM developed by William F Sharpe, John Lintner and Jan Mossin aims at establishing
a linear relationship between the rate of return of a security required by an investor and its
systematic (undiversifiable risk) or beta.
For a Company, Cost of Capital raised by it is the minimum rate of return that it has to earn
from its operations to satisfy all the investors who have invested their money in the
company in form of shares, debentures or term loans.
For calculating the overall company-wide cost of capital (K C), first of all, we need to
compute cost of various individual sources from which the company has raised funds.
We have different methods of calculating cost of equity capital. Some of them are:
Among the above mentioned methods, the most commonly used is the Dividend Forecast
Approach. The equation is as follows:
Ke = D1 + g
P0
Where, D1 = expected dividend per share at the end of year 1
P0 =current market price per equity share
g = dividend growth rate
The cost of a preference share (redeemable) is that discount rate at which the proceeds
from issue of preference capital is equal to the payments associated with it.
D+ (F-P)
KP = n
(F+P)/2
The valuation methodology followed for calculating cost of debentures is same as that
followed in calculating Kp.
I (1-t) + (F-P)
KD = n
(F+P)/2
Now to compute the overall cost of capital of a company we calculate the cost of various
individual sources of funds as explained above and then take their weighted average as the
cost of capital.
Preferably, market values should be taken as the weights of the securities, but in absence of
the market values, book value can be considered for calculating the weights.
5.0 Application of Concepts
To derive at a fair conclusion, we have done the following analysis, using the concepts
discussed above.
1. We have taken historical monthly closing data of BSE Sensex and share prices of
Reliance Communications and Tata Communications from Prowess for 3 yrs starting
from April’05 to March’08
2. Then, we calculated the returns from the two securities and the market using the
formula:
Return = (Pt-Pt-1)/Pt-1
3. After this, we calculated average returns from the above mentioned data
4. Then we calculated, the co-variance between the security and market for both the
securities
5. Then we calculate the variance of market returns.
6. After this, we calculated Beta for both the companies taking the ratio of the
respective co-variances and the variance of the market.
7. The beta thus calculated gives us a fair picture as to which among the two securities
is riskier. The company with higher beta obviously carries greater risk compared to
the company with lower beta.
8. Then we calculated the cost of equity for both the securities using the CAPM model.
9. We have taken return on National Savings Certificate (NSC) which is 8%
compounded semi-annually as our risk free rate of return (R f). The effective risk free
rate of return compounded annually comes to 8.16%.
10. Cost of retained earnings (KR) has been taken as equal to cost of equity as per
established norms and procedures.
11. We have also calculated weighted average cost of capital as explained above.
1. We found out that Reliance Communications is a leveraged company and which has
raised Long term funds by issuing FCCBs, where as Tata communications has no
long term obligations to third parties and is an equity-oriented company.
2. Tata Communications has maintained a stagnant dividend payout ratio in the past
two years. So, we have taken growth rate for it as zero, assuming that they
maintained the same payout ratio.
3. We calculated various ratios for both the companies and made the following
observations.
4. Calculated required rate of return for both the companies using CAPM Model shows
the effect of Beta (which reflects the risk factors involved) on the required ROR. The
required ROR for Reliance and Tata are 20.5117 and 13.2729 respectively.
To derive the Cost of Equity, we are taking the CAPM model and gives us the cost
of equity on Reliance and Tata as 27.39% and 24.69% respectively.
In case of Tata Communications, there are no long term borrowings and hence
the weighted average cost of capital is equal to the cost of equity.
In the case of Reliance, we found out that they raised $500 million (2225 crores
INR) by issuing 5 lakh zero coupon bonds at $1000/bond (44500 INR) on 22 nd
March, 2006 with a maturity of 5 years and to be converted at the
predetermined share price of Rs. 480.68/ share, a premium of 50% to last
closing price.
And another $1 billion (around 4000 crores INR) by issuing 10000 zero coupon
bonds at $1 lakh each (40 lakh INR) in Feb, 2008 with a maturity of 5 years and
set at a conversion price of Rs. 661/ share, a premium of 30% to the prevailing
market price.
(Reliance has started buying back the FCCBs issues in two tranches, however
the buyback started after 31st March, 2008 and hence we are considering the
total FCCBs issued for our calculation. Also in the absence of the issue price per
bond, we are considering the issue price to be at 50% and 30% below the
redemption price for first and second issue respectively, as they are paid at a
premium of the above mentioned prices).
Calculation of WACC
Amts Amts
Reliance (crores) Tata (crores)
No. of Shares (in
Crores) 206.40 28.50
MV per sh 508.3 513.75
Market Cap (in Crores) 104914.4864 14641.875
Ke (including Kr) 0.273988016 104914.4864 0.24693225 14641.875
Kd (Bonds, FCCBs) 1st 0.08 2225 - -
Kd (Bonds, FCCBs) 2nd 0.052352438 4000 - -
Total Capitalization 111139.4864 14641.875
WACC 0.262127554 0.24693225
26.21% 24.69%
Thus, we can infer from the above calculation that Reliance Communications will have to
perform better in terms of earnings to meet its cost of capital.
7.0 Conclusion and Recommendations
From the above analysis, it is clearly evident that Reliance Communications carries more
risk as compared to Tata Communications. So, a risk averse investor who wishes to invest
his money in one of these two companies should ideally choose Tata Communications,
where both required rate of return and risk element are lower. On the other hand, an
investor who is willing to take higher risk to get higher returns should invest in Reliance
Communications.
Also from the WACC perspective, we can say that Reliance Communication has to
effectively utilize its funds and generate better revenues to meet its cost of capital.
8.0 Sources of Information
www.rcom.co.in
www.tatacommunications.com
www.moneycontrol.com
www.bseindia.com
www.financialexpress.com
www.businessline.com
Prowess