Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Vebu
Vebu
SOCIAL TECHNOLOGICAL
S1 – Environmental Tax Fee Effect T1 - Emergence of Mobile Devices
S2 – Climate Change Endangering Air T2 - Development of Hassle-free
Travel Online Transactions
S3 – ‘Tanim-bala’ Sowing Fear among T3 - Usage of Data Analytics
Tourists T4 - In-flight Entertainment
S4 – Growing Market of Solo Travelers T5 - Better Security on Airlines
S5 – Air Passengers Demand T6 - New Technology Cut Fuel Cost
Actionable Information T7 - Development of Aircrafts
S6 – Propensity to Travel Produces Less Noise In-flight
S7 – Millenials as The Largest Travel T8 - Improved Systems for Airline
Group Punctuality
S8 – Personalized Travel T9 - Usage of Modern Feedback
S9 – Sustainable Aviation: Boosting Technologies
Biofuel Use T10 - Aircraft Health Management
S10 – Consumer perceptions to in- and Technology
flight catering
Political Factors
P1 - Terrorism: Aircraft Hijacking
It shall be the duty of all carriers, their officers, agents, and employees to exert
every reasonable effort to make and maintain agreements concerning rates of
pay, rules, and working conditions, and to settle all disputes, whether arising out
of the application of such agreements or otherwise, in order to avoid any
interruption to commerce or to the operation of any carrier growing out of any
dispute between the carrier and the employees thereof: All disputes between a
carrier or carriers and its or their employees shall be considered, and, if possible,
decided, with all expedition, in conference between representatives
designated and authorized so to confer, respectively, by the carrier or carriers
and by the employees thereof interested in the dispute. (Paul, 2005)
P5- Air Carrier Access Act
The Air Carrier Access Act prohibits discrimination on the basis of disability in air
travel. The Department of Transportation has a rule defining the rights of
passengers and the obligations of airlines under this law. This rule applies to all
flights of U.S. airlines, and to flights to or from the United States by foreign airlines.
(US Departmet of Transportation, 2015)
P6- Freedom of the Air
The first freedom allows a state’s aircraft (A) to fly over another state’s airspace
(B) while the aircraft is on its way to another destination (C). The second
freedom is very similar however, it allows state A’s aircraft to land in state B while
on its way to state C for noncommercial purposes, such as refueling or technical
stops. The third freedom allows state A’s airline to carry passengers from state A
to state B, while the fourth freedom allows the return from state B back to state
A. Fourth ensures that an airline does not have to make the return journey with
an empty plane. Fifth freedom allows a plane from state A traveling to state B
under the third freedom, to embark passengers and cargo in state B and fly
them to state C. This freedom allows airlines to build their networks even when
demand between state A and B are relatively weak. The addition of demand
between states A and C and B and C to the A to B demand makes the route
worthwhile for the airline. (Hayden-Lefebvre, Simple Flying, 2019)
P7- Pilot Strike
Pilot strike is basically pilots who is having a union towards the airline or related to
the government. There was a 10-days Pilot Strike incident happened on 2015
involving TAP Air Portugal over the government’s plans to privatize the struggling
airline. Unions accused the government of failing to honor a 1999 agreement
which would have set aside a significant percentage of the company for
employee’s ownership should the state-owned airline be privatized. Pilots also
sought the payment of seniority bonuses which had been frozen since 2011.
(Hayden-Lefebvre, Simple Flying , 2019)
P8- R.A. 9479 Civil Aviation Authority Act of 2008
To provide safe and efficient air transport and regulatory services in the
Philippines by providing for the creation of a civil aviation authority with
jurisdiction over the restructuring of the civil aviation system, the promotion,
development and regulation of the technical, operational, safety, and aviation
security functions under the civil aviation authority. (Senate of the Philippines,
2008)
P9- Hong Kong Airport Protest
Hong Kong has been colonized by Britain for more than 150 years until the British
handed it back over to China in 1997 with a condition of “one country, two-
system” policy. It guarantees freedoms that are unavailable to Chinese
mainlanders, such as the right to protest, the right to a free press and freedom of
speech for 50 years after the handover. But many residents say mainland China
is already starting to encroach on those rights. The airport emerged as a key
protest target as anti-government demonstrators looked to take their message
directly to the international community. Protestors view Hong Kong's
International Airport as something of a safe protest space away from the streets,
where clashes between demonstrators and police have become
commonplace. (Federal Aviation Administration, 2019)
P10- National Transportation Safety Board Act
Economic Factors
E1- Increase in fuel price
According to International Air Transport Association (IATA), jet fuel price average
has increased above the feared $80 per barrel. Last 2018, fuel bill of the global
airline industry is expected to be $39.9 billion. (Factors that cause effects on the
airline industry, 2018) (Burbaitė, 2018)
E2- Low interest rate
According to IATA (or the International Air Transport Association), there has been
a 4.6% growth in spending on air transport, which lead to increase up to $710
billion in 2013 and was driven by a 2.4% growth in world GDP. In 2014, the total
spending on air transport is expected to increase by 5% to $746 billion, or 1% of
GDP. As of 2018, the world GDP growth on the airline industry is 3.4%. Greater
than the 2017 record of 3.2%. (Cederholm, 2014) (Economics, 2018)
E5- Increase in Consumer Price Index (CPI)
According to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) of USA June 2014 was
the seventh consecutive month that recorded a year-over-year growth in
employment by the U.S. scheduled passenger airlines. The number of workers
increased by 1% year-over-year to 385,475 workers. (Cederholm, 2014)
E7- Scarce of Seating Capacity in Aircraft/Airport
More and more people want to use air services to and from the airport, but no
more inbound or outbound flights can be added, as there is not enough airport
capacity to accommodate them. Instead airlines react to the higher demand
by raising prices and allocating aircraft seats to the passengers who pay the
highest prices. This premium that airlines can charge passengers is known as the
‘scarcity rent’ – it is a price passengers are paying which does not correspond to
any underlying cost incurred by the airline. In Europe, these scarcity rents
currently amount to €2.1 billion per annum. In recent years the European
Commission has been looking closely at slot policy more generally, and in 2011
proposed a set of measures to reform current regulatory arrangements –
including proposed legislating to formally allow for secondary airport slot
trading. Of all the proposed measures, secondary slot trading was estimated by
the Commission to have by far the greatest potential overall economic benefits
- at over €3.1 billion each year. (Contemporary Issues Affecting Aviation Industry,
n.d.)
E8- Air transport as a major employer
Social Factors
S1– Environmental Tax Fee Effect
Passengers may choose not to travel as a result of the price increase, may
substitute other means of travel for air travel (i.e., train, automobile, etc.) or may
attempt to divert air travel to a jurisdiction where such a tax has not been
levied, all of which reduces productivity and may result in displacing
environmental problems to other locations. (International Air Transport
Association, n.d.)
S2 – Climate Change Endangering Air Travel
A number of recent surveys and the Adventure Travel Trade Association’s (ATTA)
report, 20 Adventure Trends to Watch in 2018, indicate solo travel is on the rise.
Additionally, ATTA members hosting solo travelers confirm this is a trend worth
watching. A May 2018 study by Booking.com of 20,500 global travelers notes 40
percent of Baby Boomers have taken a solo trip in the past year, yet
Under30Experiences, which is Millennial-focused, reports more than 80 percent
of its clients travel on their own, indicating an interest in solo travel across all age
groups. Additionally, a survey conducted by MMGY Global found 25 percent of
respondents plan to travel on their own in 2018. (Haugen, 2018)
S5 – Air Passengers Demand Actionable Information
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) found that 81% of travelers
want the ability to track their bags at any point during their journey, and 93%
want real-time flight status updates. Successful airlines are also providing
location- and context-aware interactions. This means knowing not just where
travelers are, but also what stage of their trip they’re in: before, during, or after.
(Astute, 2016)
S6 – Propensity to Travel
According to Skift and Adobe’s 2018 Digital Transformation Report, digital travel
sales are projected to reach $219 billion by 2021, with nearly half of these
transactions coming from mobile devices. This is hardly surprising, considering the
trend of growing mobile usage among consumers for browsing and transactions
of all kinds. But other digital activities, such as social media usage, may be
contributing to the bump in mobile bookings as well: a surge of attractive travel
blogs, breathtaking Instagrams, and up-to-the-minute vacation updates on
Facebook have heightened wanderlust for recreational travelers and, in turn,
the demand for travel personalization. (Morien, 2018)
S9- Sustainable Aviation: Boosting Biofuel Use
The heavy use of mobile devices nowadays makes it easier for companies to
get in touch with their passengers and prospective clients. Announcements and
promos can easily reach their target. (Kumar & Zymbler, 2019)
T2- Development of Hassle-free Online Transactions
The growth of technology has given way to a more diverse and more efficient
devices and machines that can help aid in security and other safety protocols
when entering and leaving for a flight. Better security makes passengers be
more at ease inside the airlines and in-flight. (Hau, 2017)
T6- New Technology Cut Fuel Cost
Newer versions of aircrafts produce less noise to as much as 30% than older ones
which make passengers feel safer and less bothered during their flights.
(Chandrappa, 2014)
T8- Improved Systems for Airline Punctuality
Online feedbacks like emails after flights and social media channels help airline
companies have a better grasp of obtaining quality feedback from passengers
the way they want to and where they want instead of filling up forms in-
flight.(Kumar & Zymbler, 2019)
T10- Aircraft Health Management and Technology
The aircraft health management system can provide timely access to the health
status of the aircraft, and effective management of the health status of the
aircraft throughout its life cycle. Some of these techs are ATG or Satellite
Communication for real-time transmission of massive aircraft operation data
and the Aircraft Communications Addressing and Reporting System (ACARS)
which generates post-flight messages for fault reports and ACMS event and
configuration reports. (Zhaobing et al., 2019)
STRENGTH WEAKNESSES
S1- Juan Effect Program W1- It has Limited Destination
S2- Profitable low-cost carrier W2- Cancellation of Flights Due to
S3- Cebu Pacific income soars 115.7% Operational Issues
in Jan-June 2019 W3- Very Narrow Seats
S4- Cebu Pacific Air: Philippines W4- Trade’s error
market leader W5- Poor Treatment of Employees
S5- Decongesting Manila Flights W6- Poor Customer Service
S6- Constant Seat Sales and W7- P52.11 Million fine due to Flight
Promotions Delays and Cancellation
S7- Launching New Aircraft W8- 50.6% decline in 2018 net profits
S8- Achieves Highest Rating in Safety W9- Seeks Fare Hike
S9- Cadet Pilot Program
OPPORTUNITIES THREATS
O1- Surge Up of Millennial Travelers T1- Fall in Revenue
O2- Air Transport Employment Hike T2- Potential Delays and Cancellation
O3- Personalized Travel at Fingertips of Flights
O4- Convenience of Online T3- Sudden Increase in Fuel Price
Transactions T4- Decrease of Travel Passengers
O5- Efficiency of Mobile Platform T5- Shortage of Pilot Threaten Aviation
O6 Aircraft Modernization Cuts Fuel
Cost
O7- Equal Rights to Travel
O8- Safe & Secured Travel
O9- Airline Financing at Low
O10- Systematic Airline Punctuality
Monitoring
STRENGTHS
S1 – Juan Effect Program (SMM)
As Cebu Pacific (CEB) targets to fly 22 million passengers in 2018, the airline
integrates sustainable tourism program dubbed as Juan Effect advocating for
responsible travel and environmental protection. The campaign, in partnership
with the Department of Tourism (DOT), is a two-pronged program aimed to
“engage travelers and local stakeholders to mitigate the environmental impact
of tourist arrivals.” (Perez, 2018)
S2 – Profitable low-cost carrier (AFM)
ATW’s World Airline Report special feature cited Cebu Pacific as 5th in net profit
and 8th in operating profit in a list of international low-cost carriers including
USA’s Southwest Airlines and Europe’s Ryanair. They based the financial rankings
on data for the most recent fiscal year. A monthly magazine, ATW has been
covering global airline and commercial air transport manufacturing for nearly 48
years. (Sun.Star Cebu, 2011)
S3 – Cebu Pacific income soars 115.7% in Jan-June 2019 (AFM)
The operator of low- cost carrier Cebu Pacific saw its earnings more than double
to P7.139 billion in the first half of the year, driven mainly by higher passenger
revenues. In a disclosure on Tuesday, listed Cebu Air Inc. said the amount was a
115.7-percent increase from P3.309 billion in January to June 2018. The
Gokongweiled airline’s topline also improved by 18.2 percent to P44.703 billion in
the first six months from P37.835 billion year- on- year, with passenger revenues
growing by 17.8 percent to P33.352 billion from P28.303 billion last years. The
increase in average fares, from P2,734 to P2,974, boosted passenger revenues,
according to Cebu Air. Shares of Cebu Pacific slid by 1.62 percent or P1.50 to
finish at P91 apiece on Tuesday. (Esmael, 2019)
S4 - Cebu Pacific Air: Philippines Domestic Market Leader (AFM)
Cebu Pacific started to pursue rapid expansion in 2005 and has since increased
its passenger traffic tenfold from 2 million in 2005 to 20 million in 2017. Cebu
Pacific became the largest airline group in the Philippine domestic market in
2009 and its domestic market share has been more than 50% since 2013. While
Philippine Airlines is still bigger in the international market, Cebu Pacific now has
a significant international presence and has captured over 20% market share
since 2015. Cebu Pacific has been consistently profitable since completing an
IPO in 2010. Cebu Pacific has outperformed PAL in virtually every metric for the
last decade and has become one of the strongest airlines in Asia. (CAPA, 2018)
S5 – Decongesting Manila Flights (POM)
Cebu Pacific plans to stop operating turboprops from Manila, driving further
capacity growth there, as its Manila-based ATR 72-600s are transferred to other
airports. The group had been planning to move its Manila-based turboprops to
the Cebu and Clark bases. The government’s recent decision to open Sangley
Air Base to turboprop services has opened up the opportunity for Cebu
Pacific to move its Manila turboprop services instead to Sangley, which is
approximately 30km by road from central Manila. In this case, flights will be
decongested from Metropolitan leading to convenience due less people traffic.
(CAPA, 2019).
S6 - Constant Seat Sales and Promotions (SMM)
Cebu Pacific in constantly offering a piso fare they refer to the base fare, the
cost of the plane ticket. It can go as low as 1 peso or even 0 at times. There will
be other charges to be added to the fare such as web admin fees and
government taxes. Regardless, this promotion will give huge discounts and will
allow customers to travel cheap. (The Poor Traveler, 2017).
S7 – Launching New Aircrafts (POM)
Cebu Pacific ordered 16 A330neo and 15 A320neo-line jets worth roughly $6.8
billion, to be delivered between 2021 and 2026. These follow the 32 A321neo
aircraft ordered from Airbus back in 2011, with the delivery to be completed in
three years.
S9 - Cadet Pilot Program (HRM)
The airline will initially shoulder $25 million to train 250 cadet pilots, who will
become Cebu Pacific First Officers and can pay back the investment through
salary deductions. It seeks to address the airline's expansion requirements over
the next 5 years. The training will be conducted in partnership with Australia's
Flight Training Adelaide (FTA). Cadet pilots will undergo a 56-week program that
features integrated flying training, flight theory, and education courses. After
completion of the program, the cadet pilots will become First Officers at Cebu
Pacific, flying both domestic and international routes. (Schnabel, 2017)
WEAKNESS
W1 – Limited Destination (POM)
Cebu Pacific only has limited destination focusing only in Asia. As of now the
total number of destination 36 domestic and 27 international destinations in 17
countries across Asia and Oceania.
W2 – Cancellation of Flights Due to Operational Issues (POM)
Cebu Pacific has been cancelling “approximately 10 flights a day” for the
month of May, on top of the 23 flights it had already cancelled from April 28 to
30. It said in a disclosure to the stock exchange on Tuesday that it is reducing its
daily operations of 400 flights this month to create space in its schedule for
operational recovery. (Valdez, 2019)
W3 – Very Narrow Seats (POM)
Cebu Pacific Air (CEB) encountered turbulence on the trading floor as its shares
dropped by a whopping 38% on Tuesday, July 9. From around P90 apiece, CEB's
stock price closed at just P58. Brokerage firm COL Financial addressed queries
and told investors that the large decline may likely have been caused by a
trader's error. (Rivas, 2019)
W5 – Poor Treatment of Employees (HRM)
The poor services provided by Cebu Pacific have angered their passengers and
they express it through Consumer Affairs, a consumer news and advocacy
organization providing consumer reviews. According to Gina of Brisbane (2018),
she would not recommend Cebu Pacific and rated Cebu Pacific 1 out of 5
because the staff were horrible and rude. She said that her mother was a
wheelchair-bound and the staff ordered her mother to wait for another plane
for 5 hours. She also stated that there was no compensation.
W7 – P52.11 Million fine due to Flight Delays and Cancellation (POM)
Cebu Pacific has been ordered by the government to pay a fine of P52 Million
pesos for a multi-day incident at Manila’s Ninoy Aquino International Airport
Terminal 3 that caused delays and flight cancellations for thousands of
passengers during the peak Christmas period. The fine of P5,000 “for each
violation,” as prescribed under the Civil Aeronautics Act of the Philippines of
1952, was the basis of the penalty. (Camus, 2015)
W8 - 50.6% decline in 2018 net profits (AFM)
Cebu Pacific has seen a dramatic change in its net income where in it decline
for about 50.60% in 2018, from P7.9 billion net income in 2017 down to P3.9 billion.
According to CEB, it is due to the high fuel price, intense interest rates in the
Philippine Peso, increased competition, the 6 month rehabilitation of Boracay,
and operational limitations in the country’s key airports. (Aguilar, 2019)
W9 - Seeks Fare Hike (AFM)
Cebu Air Inc., the operator of the country’s biggest budget carrier, is seeking to
raise air fares on the back of skyrocketing fuel costs and the weakening of the
peso against the dollar. Gokongwei said Cebu Air has applied for fuel
surcharges with the Civil Aeronautics Board amounting to P70 to P250 for
domestic flights. (Gonzales, 2018)
OPPORTUNITIES:
O1- Surge Up of Millennial Travelers
Gone are the days when travelling is just meant for foreign education, business
opportunities, and medical purposes. Today, the list of reasons added for
instagram sake. Thanks to the new breed of travelers - the millennials who
consider traveling as venue for updating their social media posts. (S5)
O2- Air Transport Employment Hike
With everything becoming instant, social media is the way to go. Facebook,
Instagram, Twitter and the like make marketin easy and efficient. Through this
platform, promo updates for potential travelers pop up at their fingertips. (S8)
O4- Convenience of Online Transactions
Who wishes to spend money for fare of even waste time just to book and rebook
airline tickets whether for domestic or international travel? Since the advent of
the internet, transactions fir airline services are already done online. This
absolutely brings convenience to the prospects especially those who travel most
often. (T3)
O5- Efficiency of Mobile Platform
Airline industry requires large amount of operating cost. With the aircraft
modernization, the budget allocation for fuel will be trimmed down. In effect,
other aspects of operation will then be funded. (T6)
O7- Equal Rights to Travel
Any law that recognizes equal rights such as right to travel brings positive image
to the specific industry. This is proven true by Air Carrier Access Act which
warrants the right of disabled person to travel. This gesture motivates the public
to patronize airline industry due to its sensibility to the needs of specially
challenged travelers. (P5)
Every industry that provides services to the public must take precautionary
measures to ensure the safety of its clients. This is enshrined in the National
Transportation Safety Board Act. Through this act, enticing the public to travel
more often will just be a walk in the park. (P10)
O9- Airline Financing at Low
Traffic congestion is not only experienced by land transportation but also air
transportation specially during peak hours. This causes the delay of flights and
takes-off. Through the improved monitoring system of airline punctuality,
scheduled flights will push through avoiding inconvenience to the travelers. (T8)
THREATS:
T1- Fall in Revenue
Most of the airline who encountered such terrorism reflects on their financial
status. Momentarily decrease in demand will have a great impact in their
revenue. (P1, E3, S3)
T2- Potential Delays and Cancellation of Flights
Constant flight delays and cancellations may likewise have a major effect to
their profit. It tends to be a risk to the carrier supposing delays and cancellation
of flights is unavoidable and because of the law under the Air Passenger Bill of
Right, compensation will be given to the travelers that will add up to their
operational cost. (P3, P7, P9, S2, E4)
T3- Sudden Increase in Fuel Price
As the fuel price increases, the expense of an airline company will also increase.
In the other hand, there is a possibility that they might also increase their airfare
for them to gain their usual revenue. (E1)
Tourism plays a big role in the aviation industry, thus decreasing the number of
travelers booking in an airline will lead to low demand. This implies that if the
demand decreases, price, profit, sales and market share also decreases. (S1, P1,
E3, S3)
T5- Pilot Shortage Threatens Aviation
As airlines around the world are expanding their fleets, everyone is looking for
people to do the flying. In addition, it takes a tremendous amount of time and
money to train a pilot. (E3)