Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • Infra Budget and Econ Growth

    Uploaded by

    satria setiawan
    7 views7 pages
    This document shows infrastructure budget and growth percentage data for India from 2009 to 2018. It finds a moderate negative correlation between budget and growth of -0.3997 for the full 10 years. Regression analysis finds the relationship is not statistically significant. Limiting to the 5 years under Prime Minister Jokowi, it finds a strong positive correlation of 0.9209 between budget and growth. Regression analysis for this period finds the relationship is statistically significant.

    Original Description:

    Econ Growth

    Copyright

    © © All Rights Reserved

    Available Formats

    XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    Report this Document
    This document shows infrastructure budget and growth percentage data for India from 2009 to 2018. It finds a moderate negative correlation between budget and growth of -0.3997 for the full 10 years. Regression analysis finds the relationship is not statistically significant. Limiting to the 5 years under Prime Minister Jokowi, it finds a strong positive correlation of 0.9209 between budget and growth. Regression analysis for this period finds the relationship is statistically significant.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    7 views7 pages

    Infra Budget and Econ Growth

    Uploaded by

    satria setiawan
    This document shows infrastructure budget and growth percentage data for India from 2009 to 2018. It finds a moderate negative correlation between budget and growth of -0.3997 for the full 10 years. Regression analysis finds the relationship is not statistically significant. Limiting to the 5 years under Prime Minister Jokowi, it finds a strong positive correlation of 0.9209 between budget and growth. Regression analysis for this period finds the relationship is statistically significant.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    of 7

    x y

    years infra budget (T) growth (%)


    2009 76.3 4.5
    2010 86 6.1
    2011 114.2 6.5
    2012 145.5 6.23
    2013 184.3 5.78
    2014 177.9 5.02
    2015 290.3 4.79
    2016 317.1 5.02
    2017 388.3 5.07
    2018 409 5.17
    estimated 2019 420.5 5.3
    total
    average 237.2181818182 5.407272727

    correlation 10 years
    infra budget (T) growth (%)
    infra budget (T) 1
    growth (%) -0.3997279717 1

    Regression 10 years
    SUMMARY OUTPUT

    Regression Statistics
    Multiple R 0.3997279717
    R Square 0.1597824514
    Adjusted R Square 0.066424946
    Standard Error 0.6243449571
    Observations 11

    ANOVA
    df SS MS F Significance F
    Regression 1 0.6671585527 0.667158553 1.711512 0.22321255
    Residual 9 3.5082596291 0.389806625
    Total 10 4.1754181818

    Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%


    Intercept 5.8721064206 0.4020973846 14.60369215 1.42E-07 4.96249894 6.781714
    infra budget (T) -0.0019595197 0.0014978203 -1.308247522 0.223213 -0.00534782 0.001429
    correlation 5 years Jokowi
    infra budget (T) growth (%)
    infra budget (T) 1
    growth (%) 0.9209189733 1

    Regression 5 years Jokowi

    SUMMARY OUTPUT

    Regression Statistics
    Multiple R 0.9209189733
    R Square 0.8480917555
    Adjusted R Square 0.797455674
    Standard Error 0.0853315213
    Observations 5

    ANOVA
    df SS MS
    Regression 1 0.121956 0.121956
    Residual 3 0.021844 0.007281
    Total 4 0.1438
    Lower 95.0%
    Upper 95.0%
    4.962499 6.781714 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat
    -0.00535 0.001429 Intercept 3.9701217958 0.271449 14.62568
    infra budget (T) 0.0030130347 0.000736 4.092525
    F Significance F
    16.74876 0.0263768207

    P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%


    Lower 95.0%
    Upper 95.0%
    0.000693 3.1062506573 4.833993 3.106251 4.833993
    0.026377 0.0006700263 0.005356 0.00067 0.005356
    SUMMARY OUTPUT

    Regression Statistics
    Multiple R 0.3997279717
    R Square 0.1597824514
    Adjusted R Square 0.066424946
    Standard Error 127.36189752
    Observations 11

    ANOVA
    df SS MS F Significance F
    Regression 1 27762.5199131 27762.519913 1.711511578 0.2232125498
    Residual 9 145989.476451 16221.052939
    Total 10 173751.996364

    Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%


    Intercept 678.13607869 339.210064313 1.9991626135 0.076656243 -89.21039798
    X Variable 1 -81.54164199 62.3289099642 -1.308247522 0.22321255 -222.5394321
    Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
    1445.482555 -89.21039798 1445.482555
    59.45614813 -222.5394321 59.45614813
    SUMMARY OUTPUT

    Regression Statistics
    Multiple R 0.9209189733
    R Square 0.8480917555
    Adjusted R Square 0.797455674
    Standard Error 26.08115191
    Observations 5

    ANOVA
    df SS MS F Significance F
    Regression 1 11392.9525452 11392.952545 16.74876 0.026377
    Residual 3 2040.6794548 680.22648493
    Total 4 13433.632

    Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%


    Lower 95,0%
    Intercept -1062.034548 348.897698783 -3.043971203 0.055692 -2172.38 48.31364 -2172.38
    X Variable 1 281.47426982 68.7776488812 4.0925253247 0.026377 62.5931 500.3554 62.5931
    Upper 95,0%
    48.31364
    500.3554

    You might also like