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6 Endogenous Growth
6 Endogenous Growth
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ASIDE
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The Golden rule level of capital is the steady-state value
of k that maximizes consumption
y (n+g+δ) k
f(k)
c2
c s2∙f(k)
c1 s∙f(k)
s1∙f(k)
k
k1* k* k2*
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Dynamics of the model
Golden rule level of capital
y (n+g+δ) k
f(k)
y* c
s∙f(k)
s f(k*)
y*gold
cgold sgold∙f(k)
s f(k*gold)
k
kgold* k*
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generalization
At k < k*, actual investment is greater than break-even investment. The
neoclassical assumptions of the production function assure that eventually,
actual investment will be less than break-even investment, and such is that
case when k > k*.
At k < k*gold, an increase in the capital stock raises output more than
break-even costs, thus consumption rises. At k > k*gold, an increase in the
capital stock reduces consumption because the increase in output (i.e.,
denoted by slope, my(k)) is smaller than the increase in break-even costs
(i.e., denoted by slope, m(n+g+δ)k).
y (n+g+δ) k
f(k)
y* c
s∙f(k)
s f(k*)
y*gold At k > k*gold, a reduction in the
saving rate causes an immediate
cgold sgold∙f(k)
increase in consumption and an
equal decrease in investment. Over
s f(k*gold) time, as capital stock falls, output,
consumption, and investment fall
k together. Mankiw, 9th ed., pp 228 – 231.
kgold* k*
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Dynamics of the model
growth accounting
γY = αK(γK) + αL(γL) + SR
Solow residual
Growth accounting captures the directly observable contribution of factor
input growths (i.e., capital and labor growth) to output growth. The non-
directly observable contribution of technological progress unrelated to
changes in capital and labor is referred to as the Solow Residual, or Total
factor productivity (TFP) growth. This is the portion of increase in total
output which is not due to the growth of factor inputs.
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Brief case study of the solow residual
American technological boom
EndoGENOUS GROWTH
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Aggregate PRODUCTION FUNCTION
model
Y(t) = AK(t)
In contrast to a Solow-Swan model with a production function that
exhibits diminishing returns, the Rebelo AK model production function is
linear with respect to capital, and has constant (positive) technology.
𝐾 = sY – δK [3.2]
* For simplicity in notation, equation [3.2] as well as succeeding equations are written such that capital, capital growth, andoutput, are not
explicitly declared as functions of time. At this point, students should know which variables are time-bound.
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Dynamics of the model
growth OF INPUTS
The growth of capital accumulation per capita* is similar with the Solow-
Swan model, except that technology is constant, and f(k) is linear with
respect to capital. This small difference bears an important implication that
the general case of the Rebelo AK model is one without steady state.
* Unlike the Solow-Model, no effective labor is present and thus, equation of capital accumulation is in per capita terms only. Furthermore,
the capital accumulation equation in Mankiw (page 261) differs in that no population growth is accounted for in the AK model.
f(k)
y*
s∙f(k)
s*
Solow-swan Rebelo ak
Since the Rebelo AK production function is linear, savings never crosses
break-even investment line. This means that there is no steady state.
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Dynamics of the model
growth OF INPUTS
Capital per capita growth rate increases with total factor productivity and
the saving rate, and declines with any component of break-even
investment costs. Because growth rate in this model is influenced by other
parameters, instead as being given, Rebelo AK model is an endogenous
growth model.
Solow-Swan RebeloAk
Y(t) F(K,AL) F(A,K)
Steady-state? Exists DNE
𝑘 s∙f(k) – (n+g+δ)k s∙Ak – (n+δ)k
𝐾/𝐿
𝐾/𝐿
= γK/L g (at steady-state) sA – (n+δ)
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Growth of key variables at steady state
summary
Variable (x) K Y C
Growth (γx) n n n
Growth per
𝑥
effective labor γ (𝐴𝐿)
Growth per
capita γ (𝑥𝐿) sA – (n+δ) sA – (n+δ) sA – (n+δ)
generalizations
1 Absence of convergence
The Rebelo AK model does not predict convergence of
per capita output. Two economies with same technology
and savings rates will enjoy the same (per capita) growth
rate, regardless of their starting position.
This means that their per capita incomes will evolve in parallel and there will be no
tendency for “poorer” economies to catch up with the “richer economies.”
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generalizations
generalizations
3 eNDogeneity
Per capita growth rate of the Rebelo AK model is
influenced by other parameters other than technological
growth. It is not taken as a given.
By getting rid of diminishing returns, the Rebelo AK model can obtain continuous
growth of per capital income without the need to postulate an exogenous rate of
technological progress.
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Other endogenous growth models
barr0 1990
rOMER 1986
lucas 1988
Public capital externalities Private capital externalities Human capital accumulation
e.g., tax-financed government services e.g., knowledge as input to production e.g., learning by doing, knowledge
that has increasing marginal productivity accumulation by research and
development activities
Barro, Robert J. (1990): “Government Spending in Romer, Paul M. (186): “Government Spending in a Lucas, Robert E. Jr. (1988): “The On the
a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth,” Simple Model of Endogenous Growth,” mechanics of economic development,”
Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), S103–S105. Journal of Political Economy, 94(5), 1002-1037. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22(1,), 3-42.
http://www1.worldbank.org/publicsector/pe/pfm http://www.dklevine.com/archive/refs42232.pdf http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/
a06/BarroEndogGrowthJPE88.pdf 0304393288901687?via%3Dihub
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Exercise. Determine what is asked
Consider a neoclassical economy with a production function
Yt = K t 1/2 (A t L t )1/2
Saving and depreciation rates are constant at 16 and 10 percent, respectively.
Labor and technology stock grows as 2 and 4 percent per year, respectively.
1. Find the steady-state (i) capital stock per effective labor; (ii) output per
effective worker; (iii) growth rate of output per effective worker; and
(iv) growth rate of output.
2. Recompute your answers to above if growth rate of effectiveness per
worker doubles.
S M T W T F S
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pset3 CH10
Ch 8-9 review
10 12
CH10 (cont.) Chapter
Quiz
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