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Investor+Day+2016 FINAL Posted
Investor+Day+2016 FINAL Posted
Investor+Day+2016 FINAL Posted
December 5, 2016
1
Forward-looking statements
This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act
of 1995 that reflect the Company’s current views with respect to certain current and future events and financial
performance. Words such as “expects,” “anticipates,” “projects,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates,” variations of
such words, and similar expressions are also intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking
statements are and will be, as the case may be, subject to many risks, uncertainties and assumptions relating to the
Company’s operations and business environment, all of which may cause the Company’s actual results to be materially
different from any future results, expressed or implied, in these forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties
include, without limitation, the Company’s ability to accurately forecast quarter and year-end results; economic volatility;
the price and availability of aircraft fuel; fluctuations in demand for transportation in the markets in which the Company
operates; the Company’s dependence on tourist travel; foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; and the Company’s
ability to implement its growth strategy.
The risks, uncertainties and assumptions referred to above that could cause the Company’s results to differ materially from
the results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements also include the risks, uncertainties and assumptions
discussed from time to time in the Company’s public filings and public announcements, including the Company’s Annual
Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015 and the Company’s Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, as well
as other documents that may be filed by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. All
forward-looking statements included in this document are based on information available to the Company on the date
hereof. The Company does not undertake to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect events or
circumstances that may arise after the date hereof even if experience or future events make it clear that any projected
results expressed or implied herein will not be realized.
2
MARK DUNKERLEY
President and Chief Executive Officer
3
Today’s agenda
4
Last year we told you that….
2016 is going to be
a better year than 2015.
5
Strengthen
competitive Achieve mastery
position
Grow long-term
shareholder value
6
Financial Snapshot
2015 3Q16 TTM Change
Adjusted EPS1 $3.09 $4.79 +$1.70
Adjusted Pre-tax
13.2% 17.5% +4.3pts
Margin1
Pre-tax ROIC 27.5% 33.1% +5.6pts
Leverage 2.7x 2.0x (0.7x)
Share price2 $35.33 $48.60 +38%
8
Leisure is better business
Leisure trips are increasing Leisure travel spending is
U.S. domestic travel increasing
Leisure travel spending share of total
Leisure Trip Share of all Trips Taken
U.S. Domestic Travel International
85% International
visitors to US
80% visitors to US
80%
80%
80%
US travelers
75%
75% 75% abroad
US travelers
abroad
70%
70%
70%
70%
65%
60%
60%
65%
65%
55%
60%
60%
50%
50%
2001
1999
2000
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
1994
1994 1998
1998 2002
2002 2006
2006 2010
2010 2014
2014 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014
Source: U.S. Travel Association, Tourism Economics
Source: BEA, Tourism Economics
9
….and has recently proven less volatile
Pre-tax Margin
Legacy Leisure
Note 1: Leisure carriers include, HA, ALGT, ALK, JBLU, LUV, & SAVE
Note 2: Legacy carriers include AAL, DAL, & UAL
Source: 10-K filings
10
…and enjoyed greater returns
Since 2000…
Legacy Leisure
($33B) $25B
Note 1: Leisure carriers include, HA, ALGT, ALK, JBLU, LUV, & SAVE
Note 2: Legacy carriers include AAL, DAL, & UAL
Note 3: Represents cumulative pretax income between 2000-2015
Source: 10-K filings 11
Hawai‘i is the premier leisure destination
12
Our mission is serving Hawai‘i
13
We tailor our products and services to Hawai‘i
14
2017 will be a year of…
15
Improving our financial position
16
PETER INGRAM
Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer
17
Overview
• Revenue momentum
• Balanced network
• Fleet evolution
• A321neo network opportunities
• Aircraft cabins for our missions
• Growing value-added revenue
18
Outperforming the industry
+3% to +6%
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16E
HA Industry ex-HA
Note 1: Industry RASM represents weighted RASM averages including AAL, ALK, DAL, JBLU, LUV, & UAL
Note 2: Company guidance as of 12/5/2016
19
Maximizing RASM for our business model
Trailing Twelve Month RASM (cents)
DAL
AAL
UAL
LUV
ALK
HA
JBLU
VA
ALGT
SAVE
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16
20
Hawaiian’s market share by geography in 2010
North America
~23%
Japan
~1%…
Other
International
~20%
Note 1: North America includes major O&D markets from Canada and US ex Hawai‘i to Hawai‘i
Note 2: Other International includes all international O&D markets excluding Japan and Canada to Hawai‘i
21
Hawaiian’s market share by geography in 2014
North America
Japan ~15% ~24%
Other
International
~30%
Note 1: North America includes major O&D markets from Canada and US ex Hawai‘i to Hawai‘i
Note 2: Other International includes all international O&D markets excluding Japan and Canada to Hawai‘i
22
Growing our market share in Japan
North America
Japan ~24% ~25%
Other
International
~30%
Note 1: North America includes major O&D markets from Canada and US ex Hawai‘i to Hawai‘i
Note 2: Other International includes all international O&D markets excluding Japan and Canada to Hawai‘i
24
Achieving a balanced network: flying where
Hawai‘i’s visitors are from
2010 2017
57%
49%
26
Many growth opportunities remain
Edmonton
Vancouver Calgary
Montreal
Toronto
Boston
Chengdu Nagoya Philadelphia
Shanghai
Washington
Austin
Guangzhou
Hong Kong
Bangkok
Jakarta
Ho Chi Minh City
Singapore
Melbourne
POTENTIAL MARKETS
Metropolitan Population
>20M 10-20M 5-10M 3-5M 1-2M Source: US Census Bureau, OECD, national statistics bureaus 27
Low to mid-single digit capacity growth
28
Noel Villamil
Vice President, Financial Planning & Analysis
29
Our fleet continues to evolve
DC-10 767-300 A330
717-200
30
Yesterday’s fleet
1 Hr 6 Hr 12 Hr
31
Today’s fleet
1 Hr 6 Hr 12 Hr
32
Evolution of fleet for today’s mission
1 Hr 6 Hr 12 Hr
33
Unit cost of the A321neo rivals the A330
737-800
CASM
A321neo A330-200
Aircraft Capacity
A321-200
(181 seats) A320-200
(146 seats)
A321neo
Trip Cost
(189 seats)
737-9Max 737-800
(177 seats) (157 seats)
737-8Max
(156 seats)
CASM
1 Hr 6 Hr 12 Hr
36
Efficient fleet distribution across our network
2016 2019
Number of O&D Markets
767
767 A321
37
Fleet evolution drives margin expansion
RASM
CASM
38
BRENT OVERBEEK
Vice President, Revenue Management & Schedule
Planning
39
Growing our West Coast revenue premium
HA PRASM
8% PRASM
premium
Other
Airline
PRASM
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
Note: West Coast to Hawai'i PRASM for trailing twelve month ending June 30, 2016
Source: USDOT DB1B and T100 data
40
Outperforming on all West Coast markets
Hawaiian Airlines earns a PRASM premium where it competes
HNL OGG
LAX l l
SFO l l
OAK l l
SJC l l
SEA l l
PDX l Key
SAN l l Over 5%
PHX l l 2% to 5%
Note: Estimates for the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2016
Source: USDOT DB1B and T100
41
Drivers of our success
Service Schedule
Commercial
Product
Execution
42
20 large U.S. to Hawai‘i markets
Large markets = O&D
with 200+ passengers
each way per day
• Unmatched presence
with ~90% seat share
• Unrivaled schedule with
160+ daily flights
• 2/3 of traffic is local
50
Neighbor Island growth during peak periods
+11.0%
+2.2%
2017 ASM
Growth
+2% to +5%
Tokyo Growth A321neo Other Neighbor Island Mod Line New A330 seat
Induction Growth configuration
52
PETER INGRAM
Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer
53
Investing in aircraft cabin configuration
Launch of Extra Lie-flat seats & additional Arrival of A321neos
Comfort Extra Comfort
54
Mission specific interior cabins
55
Building on the success of Extra Comfort
Extra Comfort & Preferred Seats
Flown Annually
+104%
56
Growing value-added revenue per passenger
$23.37
$22.01
$19.72
$14.69
Note 1: “Other” includes ticket fees, first class upgrades, vacation commissions and on-board sales
57
We are positioned to build on recent revenue success
• Balanced network
• Mission optimized fleet
• Customer focused products & services
Our understanding of the Hawai‘i customer is unmatched
The A321neo unlocks new North America network
opportunities
Low to mid-single digit capacity growth in 2017 and through
the end of the decade
58
MAHALO
Q&A
59
Jon Snook
Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer
60
On-time performance leader for 12 years
#1
2004 -
2015
61
Award winning hospitality
62
Operational excellence is rooted in our people
63
Investing in our people
64
Investing in facilities for our people
65
Labor agreements for our business
Represented Number of
Employee Group Amendable Date
by Employees1
Maintenance and
IAM-M 883 January 1, 2021
Engineering
66
Investing in our operations to improve
productivity and service
Processes Harness
Re-engineering Technology
Service
Consistency
67
Fuel efficiency program
Mid-single digit fuel consumption
2015-2020 Initiatives
savings by 2020
Applying best in class tools
and process
• APU Usage Reduction
Fuel Gallons consumed
Continuous Improvements
• Reduce aircraft weight
• Reduce over-fueling
Competitive Advantage
• Investment in flight
planning & optimization
tools
Base 2015 2016 2017 2018-2020 2020
Initiative Initiative Initiative Initiative Total Fuel
Savings Savings Savings Savings Consumption
68
Next generation flight technology drives fuel
consumption savings
HND
Dispatcher-adjusted route:
manually changed to avoid icing, HNL
significant weather, and military
ops areas
69
Jim Landers
Vice President, Maintenance and Engineering
70
Our maintenance cost per ASM has decreased
Other Airlines Hawaiian
+2.2%
-5.9%
Note 1: Other airlines include ALK, JBLU, LUV, AAL, DAL and UAL
Source: SEC filings
71
Maintenance cost control focus
Vendor
Fleet Renewal
Management
72
We have the youngest mid-to-long haul fleet
17.1 yrs
13.5 yrs
11.7 yrs
11.1 yrs
73
Our fleet is becoming younger
Short Haul Fleet Age Mid-to-Long Haul Total Fleet Age
Forecast Fleet Age Forecast Forecast
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
74
Vendor management yields cost savings
Stronger Financials
One-time
Better Relationships MX Savings: ~$5M1
Annual Recurring
Contract Renegotiations
MX Savings: ~$15M2
Note 1: One-time savings are over the period between mid-2015 and mid-2016
Note 2: Annual recurring savings are forecasts for 2017 and beyond
75
Mastering 717 maintenance program
76
Reprogram of 717 maintenance program
110
100
Extended Limit of Validity
90
Cycles (in thousands)
80
70
60
50
40 HA Average
30
20
10
Original Limit of Validity
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
Hours (in thousands)
77
Driving efficiencies in 717 maintenance checks
Original state Current/Future state
A-Check Mechanic POU = Point of Use
C-Check Mechanic A-Check Mechanic
Line Mechanic C-Check Mechanic
Line Mechanic
Supply Agent
Tool Boxes
Tool Boxes
Tool Boxes
• Skilled A&P mechanics suffer productivity • Applied industry best practice point of use
loss due to travel and wait time (POU) carts and material delivery
78
More days available to fly 717s
79
Controlling costs to maintain 717s
Savings
Maintenance Cost
from
initiatives
Costs with
mitigation strategy
80
Evolution of our maintenance program
81
Maintenance program evolution
Outsourced In-house
Economies of scale
Special capabilities Contract labor
Network density MX proficiency
Geographic isolation
A321
82
A321neos arriving 2017
83
Jon Snook
Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer
84
Deliver operational excellence
85
MAHALO
Q&A
86
Shannon Okinaka
Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
87
Pathway to long-term value
Strong
financial Strengthen Optimize
performance balance cost of
sheet capital
Increase
enterprise
SHAREHOLDER value
VALUE
88
Strong financial performance
Adjusted EPS Adjusted Pre-tax Margin Pre-tax ROIC
17.5% 33.1%
$4.79
27.5%
13.2%
$3.09
16.3%
6.9%
$1.55
2014 2015 3Q16 TTM 2014 2015 3Q16 TTM 2014 2015 3Q16 TTM
89
Strong results generate robust cash flow
Cash flow from operations Cash & cash equivalents
$694M
$579M $560M
$524M
$476M
$300M
90
2015-2019: Cash flow funds multiple uses
Sources of cash Uses of cash
(2010 – 2014)
Return to
shareholders
$600M
Investments
in the
Business
$1,184M Return to
shareholders (2015 – 2019)
2010-2014 Projected
Net Debt Investments
2015 - 2019 Reduction in the
Business
Net Debt Increase
Cash flow from Ops
91
2015-2016: Our cash flow funded multiple uses
Debt
$168M
$223M
$50M Aircraft and Aircraft
related
Shareholder Returns
$(118)M
$493M
Pension and Other
Postretirement
92
Our balance sheet is stronger today
Liquidity Ratio Free Cash Flow Unencumbered Leverage Ratio Credit Rating
Aircraft
29%
23%
4.2x
($126M)
Note 1: Liquidity ratio excludes revolver and is defined as cash & cash equivalent / revenue
Note 2: Leverage ratio is defined as adjusted debt to EBITDAR
Note 3: Credit rating from Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch in respective order
93
Jay Schaefer
Vice President, Treasurer
94
Building a strong liquidity base
New $500M1 Cash Target We are financially stronger
• Improved cash position to meet
contingent and non-discretionary
Revolving Credit needs
Facility
95
New liquidity target is in line with our peers
57%
37%
Current
Target
29% 24%
22% $500M
21% 17% 17%
13%
8%
Note 1: Liquidity as of trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2016 (cash & cash equivalents / TTM
revenue) and excluding revolver
Source: SEC filings
96
Our capital expenditures are manageable
Capital Expenditures 2017 CAPEX
$442M
$410M-$420M
$45M
$30M
$40M
$160M-$170M $300M
$119M
97
Financing plan for 2017 aircraft deliveries
Aircraft & Engine related CAPEX1
$300M $324M
$258M
$42M
4.2x
3.5x
3.0x
2.0x 2.1x
1.4x 1.5x
1.4x
1.0x
0.7x
Note: Leverage (adjusted debt to EBITDAR) as of the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2016
Source: SEC filings
99
Managing our benefit obligations
Net pension and other postretirement liabilities Reducing annual expenses
and managing future
contributions
3Q2016 Pension
100
Shannon Okinaka
Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
101
2017 CASM ex-fuel outlook
Year-over-year
CASM ex-fuel (in cents)
CASM ex-fuel Headwinds
Up low-to-mid
Up 2.5% to
single digit range1
4.5%1
8.15 8.31
1.0% Facilities2
1.0% Fleet
Transition
Wages &
1.5%
Benefits
Note 1: Excludes any assumptions related to the Pilots and impairment charge related to the 767s
Note 2: Facilities includes increases to D&A related to the new Hangar and other rental & landing fees in Hawaii
Note 3: 2016E excludes the impairment charge for the 767s estimated to be $45 - $50 million
102
Investing to lower our long-term unit costs
Business as
Investments
usual (BAU)
People
103
Lowering our long-term cost structure
104
Fuel costs remain manageable
Economic fuel cost per gallon1 Current fuel hedge position2
Note 1: 2016E and 2017E economic fuel cost per gallon estimates are based on the November 30, 2016 fuel
forward curve
Note 2: Based on the Company’s hedge portfolio as of November 30, 2016
105
Growing shareholder value
17.5%
6.0%
106
MAHALO
Q&A
107
MARK DUNKERLEY
President and Chief Executive Officer
108
2017 will be a year of…
109
Improving our financial position
110
MAHALO
Q&A
111
Appendix
112
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
($ in thousands) FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 3Q2016
Net Income (Loss), GAAP $(2,649) $53,237 $51,854 $68,926 $182,646 $102,545
Lease termination expense 70,014 - - - - -
Loss on extinguishment of debt - - - (3,885) 12,058 -
Changes in fair value of fuel derivatives 6,432 3,958 (8,684) 43,106 (1,015) (1,076)
Tax effect of adjustments (25,432) (1,583) 3,474 (18,796) (4,417) 409
Adjusted Net Income, Non-GAAP $43,218 $55,612 $46,644 $97,121 $189,272 $103,121
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
($ in thousands, except CASM data) FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 3Q2016
GAAP Operating Expenses $1,630,176 $1,832,955 $2,022,118 $2,069,747 $1,891,364 $497,982
Less: aircraft fuel, including taxes and delivery (513,284) (631,741) (698,802) (678,253) (417,728) (94,818)
Less: lease termination expense (70,014) - - - - -
Adjusted operating expenses - excluding aircraft fuel and lease
$1,046,878 $1,201,214 $1,323,316 $1,391,494 $1,473,636 $403,164
termination
Available Seat Miles 12,039,933 14,687,472 16,785,827 17,073,630 17,726,322 4,894,768
CASM - GAAP (in cents) 13.54 12.48 12.05 12.12 10.67 10.17
Less: aircraft fuel and lease termination expense (in cents) (4.84) (4.30) (4.16) (3.97) (2.36) (1.93)
CASM Excluding Fuel and lease termination expense (in cents) 8.70 8.18 7.88 8.15 8.31 8.24
The Company evaluates its financial performance utilizing various GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures, including operating income and CASM.
Pursuant to Regulation G, the Company has included the following reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial measures to comparable financial
measures reported on a GAAP basis. The Company believes that excluding fuel costs from certain measures is useful to investors because it
provides an additional measure of management’s performance excluding the effects of a significant cost item over which management has limited
influence.
113
Pre-tax margin
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
($ in thousands) FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 3Q2016
Income Before Income Taxes, as reported $(1,082) $85,786 $86,410 $113,447 $295,688 $164,159
Add back:
Changes in fair value of fuel derivatives 6,432 3,958 (8,684) 43,107 (1,015) 1,076
Loss on extinguishment of debt - - - 3,885 12,058 -
Lease termination expense 70,014 - - - - -
Adjusted Income Before Income Taxes, Non-GAAP $75,364 $89,744 $77,726 $160,438 $306,731 $165,235
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
($ in thousands) FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 3Q2016
Pre-Tax Margin, as reported (0.1)% 4.4% 4.0% 4.9% 12.7% 24.4%
Add back:
Changes in fair value of fuel derivatives, net of tax 0.4% 0.2% (0.4)% 1.8% - 0.2%
Loss on extinguishment of debt, net of tax - - - 0.1% 0.5% -
Lease termination expense, net of tax 4.3% - - - - -
Adjusted Pre-Tax Margin 4.6% 4.6% 3.6% 6.9% 13.2% 24.6%
The Company evaluates its financial performance utilizing various GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures, including operating income and CASM.
Pursuant to Regulation G, the Company has included the following reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial measures to comparable financial
measures reported on a GAAP basis. The Company believes that excluding fuel costs from certain measures is useful to investors because it
provides an additional measure of management’s performance excluding the effects of a significant cost item over which management has limited
influence.
114
Leverage
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
($ in thousands) FY 2014 FY 2015 3Q2016 TTM
Debt and capital lease obligations $1,049,637 $772,144 $564,677
Add back:
Aircraft leases capitalized at 7x last 12 months’ aircraft
744,954 809,571 848,862
rent
Adjusted debt and capital lease obligations $1,794,691 $1,581,715 $1,413,539
Adjustments
Add back:
Changes in fair value of derivative contracts 43,108 (1,015) (32,802)
Loss on extinguishment of debt 3,885 12,058 14,755
Adjusted EBITDAR $426,843 $583,643 $690,279
The Company evaluates its financial performance utilizing various GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures, including operating income and CASM.
Pursuant to Regulation G, the Company has included the following reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial measures to comparable financial
measures reported on a GAAP basis. The Company believes that excluding fuel costs from certain measures is useful to investors because it
provides an additional measure of management’s performance excluding the effects of a significant cost item over which management has limited
influence.
115
Return on Invested Capital
HAWAIIAN AIRLINES – RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL (ROIC) – WORKING CAPITAL CASH METHODOLOGY 1
Notes:
1 All unrestricted cash removed from invested capital, except for working capital required to operate the business,
116