Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 4

Yield Frequency Cells you should edit are highlighted in red Notes

-0.25 0.00% Average odds (o) 2 Enter the record's average odds in c
-0.24 0.00% Expected yield -2.31% Enter value for the yield in cell F3 (p
-0.23 0.00% Implied average fair odds 2.047292
-0.22 0.00% Implied win % (p) 48.85%
-0.21 0.00% Number of bets (n) 1500 Enter the number of bets in a bettin
-0.2 0.00% Yield standard deviation 2.581%
-0.19 0.00% % Profitable 18.54% Cell F8 calculates the percentage of
-0.18 0.00% %<x 7.64% -6.00% Change the value in cell G9 to see w
-0.17 0.00% %>x 4.75% 2.00% Change the value in cell G10 to see
-0.16 0.00%
-0.15 0.00%
Distribution of possible betting yields about an expected yield with average odds o and number of bets n
-0.14 0.00%
-0.13 0.00%
40%
-0.12 0.01%
Frequency

-0.11 0.05% 35%


-0.1 0.18%
30%
-0.09 0.54%
-0.08 1.36% 25%
-0.07 2.97% This calculato
-0.06 5.56% 20% about an exp
using the foll
-0.05 8.98% 15%
-0.04 12.47%
10%
-0.03 14.91%
-0.02 15.34% When o = 1/p
5%
-0.01 13.59% (p = fair bet w
0%
8.67E-17 10.36% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
0.01 6.79%
0.02 3.83% Yield
0.03 1.86%
0.04 0.78%
0.05 0.28%
0.06 0.09%
0.07 0.02%
0.08 0.01%
0.09 0.00%
0.1 0.00%
0.11 0.00%
0.12 0.00%
0.13 0.00%
0.14 0.00%
0.15 0.00%
0.16 0.00%
0.17 0.00%
0.18 0.00%
0.19 0.00%
0.2 0.00%
0.21 0.00%
0.22 0.00%
0.23 0.00%
0.24 0.00%
0.25 0.00%
record's average odds in cell F2
ue for the yield in cell F3 (profit divided by number of bets) This could be your actual yield, or a yield you thought you could achieve.

number of bets in a betting record in cell F6

lculates the percentage of yields that are profitable, i.e. the probabiity of being profitable
he value in cell G9 to see what percentage of yields will be less than this threshold
he value in cell G10 to see what percentage of yields will be more than this threshold

Scroll the number of bets (n) up or down in increments of 100 and see how the distribution changes.

Scroll the averge odds (o) up or down in increments of 1 and see how the distribution changes.

This calculator allows you to see the range of possible yields a betting record could have
about an expected value. The distribution has a standard deviation calculated in cell F7
using the following equation:

σ=(o√(p 〖− p 〗 ^2 ))/√n

When o = 1/p (for a yield of 0%) the equation reduces to: σ=√(o−1)/√n

(p = fair bet win probability, o = average odds, n = nuber of bets


hought you could achieve.

ribution changes.

You might also like