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INTRODUCTION TO

PROJECT FEASIBILITY
STUDY
Prepared by:
Ronald Aaron U. Po
DISCUSSION OUTLINE

1.0 The Project Development Cycle

2.0 Nature of Project Feasibility Analysis

3.0 Why Conduct Feasibility Study

4.0 Levels of Feasibility Analysis


MODULE OUTLINE

5.0 Stages of Project Feasibility Analysis


5.1 Overview of Project Feasibility Process
5.2 Marketing Analysis of Flow Process
5.3 Technical Analysis of Flow Process
5.4 Financial Analysis of Flow Process
5.5 Operational and Implementation Aspects
5.6 Social Profitability Process
5.7 Financing Analysis Process
MODULE OUTLINE

6.0 Project Identification


6.1 Product Criteria Selection
6.2 Product Rating
PROJECT DEVELOPMENT
CYCLE

 Transition of the project from


inception to maturity
PHASES OF PROJECT
DEVELOPMENT
I. Pre-investment Phase
 Project Identification
 Project Preparation
 Project Appraisal and Financing
PHASES OF PROJECT
DEVELOPMENT
II. Investment Phase
 Detailed Engineering/ Design
 Project Implementation

III. Post Investment Phase


 Project Operation
 Ex-post Evaluation
WHY CONDUCT
FEASIBILITY STUDY
 To minimize the risk of project
failures.
 To have an accurate estimate of
resources to be consumed by the
project.
 To justify an investment.
WHY CONDUCT
FEASIBILITY STUDY
 To have a working plan for project
implementation.
 To have a basis for future action like
detailed planning.
 To have a common language among
the interest groups in the project.
LEVELS OF FEASIBILITY
ANALYSIS
1.0 Pre-feasibility Study

2.0 Feasibility Study


WHY CONDUCT A PRE-
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS
 To narrow down the range of
possible alternative solutions.
 To determine whether there is a
need for a detailed feasibility study.
 To establish a work program for
further development of a project.
COURSE OF ACTIONS
EXPECTED
 Reject the project.
 Defer the conduct of the detailed
feasibility study.
 Proceed directly to detailed design
and implementation.
 Conduct a detailed feasibility study.
WHY CONDUCT A DETAILED
FEASIBILITY STUDY
 More detailed information is required to
produce more conclusive results.
 Alternative schemes of the project are
nearly of the same degree of feasibility
and/ or show marginal flexibility.
 New alternative solutions have emerged
whose feasibility need to be ascertained
through more detailed analysis.
IS THERE A NEED FOR A DETAILED
FEASIBILITY STUDY?
YES, if
 More detailed information is required to
produce more conclusive results
 Alternative schemes of the project are
nearly of the same degree of feasibility
and/ or show marginal feasibility
 New alternative solutions have emerged
whose feasibility need to be ascertained
through more detailed analysis
NATURE OF PROJECT
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS
 Conducted in a given institutional
frame
 Size, degree of complexity and risk of
the project affect the raneg of and
accuracy of information necessary fro
making decisions
 Different for each project; must be
tailor-fitted for each situation
NATURE OF PROJECT
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS
 Must provide a base – technical, economic
and commercial for an investment decision
 Most feasibility studies have the same or
similar coverage but usually differ in
orientation and emphasis
 Is not an end in itself but only a means to
arrive at an investment decision
 Data should be as accurate as possible;
oftentimes rely on assumptions
STAGES OF PROJECT
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS
1.0 Identification Stage
 Objectives to be attained
 Product/ Opportunity

2.0 Pre-selection Stage


 The need for a pre-feasibility study
 Scope and estimate of subsequent studies
 Results in a pre-feasibility study report
STAGES OF PROJECT
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS
3.0 Analysis Stage
 Marketing
 Technical
 Financial

4.0 Evaluation and Decision Stage

5.0 Social Profitability Analysis


STAGES OF PROJECT
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS
6.0 Investment Proposal
 General Information
 Project Description
 Miscellaneous Information

7.0 Project Implementation Stages


 Contracting
 Project Designing
 Selection of Materials
 Construction
STAGES OF PROJECT
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS
8.0 Project Identification
 Product Selection Criteria
 Product serves a presently unserved
market.
 Product serves an existing market in which
demand exceeds supply.
 Competitive edge over existing similar
products.
BASIC DATA CONTENT OF A
PREFEASIBILITY STUDY
1.0 Product Description

2.0 Market Description


 Where is the product now manufactured?
 How many companies exist and how specialized are they?
 What are the national production, imports, and exports?
 Are there government incentives?
 What is the estimated consumption?
 What is the estimated product longevity or future
consumption?
 What is the price structure?
BASIC DATA CONTENT OF A
PREFEASIBILITY STUDY
3.0 Outline of Technological Variants
 Labor
 Proximity to markets and raw materials
 Transportation facilities and costs
 Water
 Others (personal reference, competition, tax
considerations, environmental controls and so
on)

4.0 Availability of Main Factors of Production


BASIC DATA CONTENT OF A
PREFEASIBILITY STUDY
5.0 Cost Estimates

6.0 Estimate of Profits

7.0 Other Data


 Local attitudes towards industry
 Educational, recreational, and civic data
 Availability of local sites
MARKET ANALYSIS

1.0 Brief Description of the Market


 Market Area
 Methods and Rates of Transportation
 Channels of Distribution
 General Trade Practices

2.0 Analysis of Past and Present Demand


 Identification of Consumers of the Product
 Quantity and Value of Consumption
MARKET ANALYSIS

3.0 Analysis of Past and Present Supply


 Determine Competitive Position of the Product
 Selling Price
 Quality
 Marketing Practices of Competitors

4.0 Estimate of Future Demand for the


Product
MARKET ANALYSIS

5.0 Estimate Product’s Market Share


 Demand
 Supply
 Competitive Position
 Project’s Marketing Program
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

1.0 Description of the Product


 Physical properties
 Mechanical properties
 Chemical properties

2.0 Description of the Manufacturing Process


 Detailed flow charts
 Alternative processes
 Justification of process selected
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

3.0 Determination of Plant Size and Production


Schedule

4.0 Selection of Machinery and Equipment


 Specifications
 Equipment to be purchased and origin
 Quotations from suppliers and related information
 Comparative analysis of alternatives
 Cost
 Reliability
 Performance
 Spare Parts Availability
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

5.0 Identification of Plant’s Location and


Assessment of its Desirability
 distance from raw material sources
 markets
 comparative study of different sites

6.0 Design of Plant Layout


 cost of erection
 proposed types of buildings
 land improvements
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

7.0 Study of Availability of Raw Materials and


Utilities
 description of physical and chemical properties
 quantities needed
 current prospective costs
 terms of payment
 locations of sources of supply
 continuity of supply
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

8.0 Estimate of Labor Requirements


 detailed breakdown of the direct and
indirect labor
 supervision required for the
manufacture of product
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

9.0 Determination of the Type and Quantity of


Waste to be Disposed
 waste disposal method
 costs involved
 clearances required from proper authorities

10.0 Estimate of the Production Cost for the


Product
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

1.a. For Existing Companies


 audited financial statements
 balance sheets
 income statements
 cash flow statements

1.b. For New Companies


 statements of total project cost
 initial capital requirements
 cash flow relative to the project timetable
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

2.0 Financial Projections for Future Time Periods


 income statements
 cash flows
 balance sheets

3.0 Supporting Schedules for Financial Projections


 assumptions used as collection of sales
 inventory levels
 payment period of purchases and expenses
 elements of production costs, selling, administrative and
financial expenses
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

4.0 Financial Analyses


 Return of investment
 Return on equity
 Break-even volume
 Price analysis

5.0 Sensitivity Analyses


 Items with large impact on profitability
 Risk analysis
SOCIO-PROFITABILITY
ANALYSIS
1.0 Definition of the Project
 technical description
 alternatives that should be considered
 pertinent constraints

2.0 Enumeration of Costs and Benefits


 assessment of the validity and quantifiability of
the listed costs and benefits
SOCIO-PROFITABILITY
ANALYSIS
3.0 Collection of Data Needed to
Evaluate the Costs and Benefits

4.0 Measurement of Costs and Benefits

5.0 Presentation of Results


INVESTMENT PROPOSAL

I. General Information
 Information on the product
 Company History
 Nature of the industry
 Type of organization/ organizational
chart
 Reputation and qualification of the
existing proposed management
INVESTMENT PROPOSAL

II. Description of the Project


 Extracts from the economic feasibility
study
 Markets
 Production
 Selected manufacturing method
 Financial statements
INVESTMENT PROPOSAL

III. Miscellaneous Information


 Guarantees to be offered to lending
institutions
 Steps taken and formalities completed
toward the implementation of the
project
 Technical partners envisaged or
selected
PRODUCT SELECTION
CRITERIA
 Product Serves a Presently Unserved
Demand
 need has been unrecognized and undeveloped
 need did not exist
 no one knew how to make a product fulfill the
need

 Product Serves an Existing Market in which


Demand Exceeds Supply
PRODUCT SELECTION
CRITERIA
 Competition Edge Over Existing
Similar Products
 improve design
 lower price
 better quality
DECISIONS AT VARIOUS
PRE-INVESTMENT STAGES
DECISION ANALYSIS DECISION GOAL
TOOL STUDY
Identification General or  Identify opportunity
Project Opportunity  Determine critical
areas for support
Studies
studies
 Determine area for
pre-feasibility study

Preliminary  Support Studies  Determine which of


the possible choices
Analysis is the more viable
 Identify the choice
project criteria
DECISIONS AT VARIOUS
PRE-INVESTMENT STAGES
DECISION ANALYSIS TOOL DECISION GOAL
STUDY
Preliminary  Pre-feasibility  Determine the
provisional viability
Study
Analysis of the project
 Appraisal if the
feasibility study
should be launched

Final  Support Studies  Investigate in detail


selected criteria
Analysis requiring in-depth
study
DECISIONS AT VARIOUS
PRE-INVESTMENT STAGES
DECISION ANALYSIS DECISION GOAL
TOOL STUDY
Final  Feasibility Study  Make the final choices of
project characteristics
Analysis  Determine the feasibility
of the project selected
criteria

Project  Evaluation Study  Make final investment


decision
Evaluation

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