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A Detailed Lesson plan on Mean and Variance of random Variable

I. OBJECTIVES

At the end of the lesson, the students should be able to;

1. Illustrate the probability distribution table of a discrete random variable;


2. Define mean and variance of a discrete random variable;
3. Compute the mean and variance of a discrete random variable;

II. SUBJECT MATTER

A. Topic: Mean and Variance of a Discrete Random Variable


B. Mathematical Concepts:
Mean of a discrete random variable
-
C. References
Mercado, J. P. (2016). “Next Century Mathematics: Statistics and Probability”. Phoenix
Publishing House Inc. Page 31-41.

Antonio, J. F., et.al. (2016) “Math Connections in the Digital Age: Statistics and
Probability”. Sibs Publishing House, Inc. Page 19-29.

D. Materials:
Chalk board (chalk)
Worksheet (Passport Acitvity)
Manila Paper

E. Strategies:
Exposition
III. PROCEDURE

Teacher’s Activity Student’s Activity


A. Review and Motivation

You have already learned how to find values


and compute probabilities corresponding to a
given random variable presented in graph and
probability distribution.

Think of your dream place that is outside the Student 1: Ma’am, I want to go to Disneyland.
country that you want to visit the most. What is Student 2: I want to go to South Korea.
it? Student 3: I want to go to USA or Hongkong.

Student 1: ½ ma’am, maybe.


What is the probability that you will reach that Student 2: I am very much sure ma’am that I
place? will reach that place. 100%. The probability is
1.
Student: I don’t know ma’am. Zero
probability.

We will see if your dream will come true. We


will have an activity where in it will tell if you
are capable of making your dream come true or
not. Are you ready? Yes, ma’am.

But first, you must have to get your passport in


order for you to be admitted to the international
airline. In order that your passport to be valid,
you need to go and get stamp from the front
desk clerk.

But then again, getting the stamp is not that


easy. I give to you your passport now and Wow. This is interesting.
inside that, you need to accomplish the tasks
that are present in there. Once they are
completed, and then come to me (as front desk
clerk) and you will get the stamp. Once you get
your stamp that means that you will definitely
make your dream come true.

I will give now your passports. But, first thing


that you must do is to listen to my instructions. (the students are excited)
Do not turn on the pages unless, I will say so.
Reaching your dreams starts from you. You Yes, Ma’am.
must be a good listener and follower. Is that
clear, class?

Welcome to the probability dream come true.


Now, turn to page 1. “TABLE ME OUT”
“A dream doesn’t become reality through
magic, it takes sweat, determination and
hardwork”

“TABLE ME OUT”
A fair coin is tosses thrice. Let X be equal to
the number of heads (H) observed. Constrcut
the discrete probability distribution of X.

Read the given problem, and then make a Problem: A fair coin is tossed thrice. Let X be
discrete probability distribution table. equal to the number of heads (H) observed.
Construct the discrete probability distribution
of X.

Outcome No. of Heads


HHH 3
HHT 2
HTH 2
HTT 1
THH 2
TTH 1
THT 1
TTT 0

x 0 1 2 3
P(x) 1/8 3/8 3/8 1/8

Are you done?


Is your table is the same with this? (a table will Yes, ma’am.
be posted in front)
Congratulations! You’ve pass the first
challenge.
Now, turn to page 2. “STOP! LOOK!
LISTEN!”

“STOP! LOOK! LISTEN!”

Do you have any idea about Mean and


Variance of a Discrete Random Variable?
How about computing the value of the mean
and variance of a probability distribution of a
discrete random variable? You better listen to
your speaker and get important informations
that will help you to accomplish the
succeeding tasks. Good luck and be alert!

In order for you to enjoy your trip, you need to


listen to the orientation of the tour guide first
that will be send now to you in advance.

Let us familiarize ourselves with the term


Mean and Variance of a discrete random
variable.

Mean of a discrete random variable - weighted


average of all possible values of the random
variables X.
- Also known as expected value
- Denoted as E(x), 𝑥̅ or μ.

What do you call this mathematical sign (μ)? Ma’am that is what we call “myu”.

Very Good. How do we compute the mean of a


discrete random variable?

If P(x) is the probability of every value of x,


then
E(x) or μ = ∑ [x P(x) ]
where;
x is the possible outcomes of the random
variable
P(x) is its probability.
For example:
Grade 11 students were asked to estimate the
length (in inches) of a table. The error in the
estimated values were recorded and tabulated
as follows:

Error (x) 2 3 4 5 6
P(x) 0.25 0.1 0.3 0.15 0.20

Based from the table, what is the mean of the


random variable X using the given formula? E(x) = ∑ [ x P(x) ]
= [ (2) ( 0.25) + (3) (0.10) + (4) (0.30) +
(5) (0.15) + (6) (0.20) ]
=( 0.5 + 0.3 + 1.2 + 0.75 + 1.2 )
= 3.95

Therefore, to get the mean, we need only to


multiply the value of the random variable and
its probability and then, get their sum.

Now turn to page 3.

Based from your probability x 0 1 2 3


distribution table in page 1, P(x) 1/8 3/8 3/8 1/8
compute for the expected mean .
E (x) = ∑ [ x P(x) ]
= [ (0)(1/8) + (1) (3/8) + (2) (3/8) + (3)
(1/8)]
= (0+3/8+3/4+3/8)
= 3/2 or 1.5

What is the computed value of the mean of 1.5 Ma’am.


random variable x?

Alright. Very Good. You have passed again the


challenge.
Then, let’s go to the variance of discrete
random variable.
So, what is all about this variance of discrete
random variable?
It is the measure of how spreads the data are. It
measures the variation of the values of a
random variable from the mean.
- Symbol used for variance is σ2.

If P(x) is the probability of every value of x,


then
σ2 = ∑ (x- μ) 2 P(x)
where;
x is the no. of possible outcomes of the random
variable
μ is the expected mean
P(x) is its probability

From the previous example, what is the


variance of the discrete random variable?
I’ll introduce to you the alternative method if
computing the variance. Here are the steps;
1.

x 0 1 2 3
P(x) 1/8 3/8 3/8 1/8

σ2 = ∑ (x- μ) 2 P(x)
σ2= [(0-1.5)2 (1/8) + (1-1.5)2 (3/8) + (2-1.5)2
Now turn on page 4. Going back to the first (3/8) + (3-1.5) 2 (1/8) ]
problem in page 1, compute for the variance of σ2 = (0.28 + 0.09 + 0.09 + 0.28)
the discrete random variable. σ2 = 0.74

Activity:
Listen to the speaker.
In your own words, define;
1. Mean of a discrete random variable
Are you done on answering? Now turn to page
5 for your last task.
Turn your passport on page 3. 2. Variance of a discrete random variable
Now, you know the guidelines, you are now
ready to apply them.
Based from the probability distribution table
on your first page, compute for the mean and
variance of the random variable.

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