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Option Pricing Ibm Q Skit
Option Pricing Ibm Q Skit
Option Pricing Ibm Q Skit
Nikitas Stamatopoulos,1 Daniel J. Egger,2 Yue Sun,1 Christa Zoufal,2, 3 Raban Iten,2 Ning Shen,1 and Stefan Woerner2
1
J.P. Morgan Chase - Quantitative Research
2
IBM Research – Zurich
3
ETH Zurich
(Dated: May 8, 2019)
We present a methodology to price options and portfolios of options on a gate-based quantum
computer using amplitude estimation, an algorithm which provides a quadratic speedup compared to
classical Monte Carlo methods. The options that we cover include vanilla options, multi-asset options
and path-dependent options such as barrier options. We put an emphasis on the implementation
of the quantum circuits required to build the input states and operators needed by amplitude
estimation to price the different option types. Additionally, we show simulation results to highlight
arXiv:1905.02666v1 [quant-ph] 7 May 2019
how the circuits that we implement price the different option contracts. Finally, we examine the
performance of option pricing circuits on real quantum hardware using the IBM Q Tokyo quantum
device.
|0in
0 j m−1
III. IMPLEMENTATION ON A GATE BASED that represents the target distribution. The n-qubit state
QUANTUM COMPUTER |iin = |in−1 ...i0 i encodes the integer i = 2n−1 in−1 +
... + 2i1 + i0 ∈ {0, ..., 2n − 1} with ik ∈ {0, 1} and
k = 0, ..., n − 1. The probabilities pi (θ) approximate the
Here we review some of the building blocks needed to
random distribution underlying the training data. We
price options on a gate-based quantum computer.
note that the outcomes of a random variable X can be
mapped to the integer set {0, ..., 2n − 1} using an affine
A. Distribution loading mapping.
We now describe how to obtain E[f (X)] for a linear A. Path-independent options
function f of a random variable X which is mapped to
integer values i ∈ {0, ..., 2n − 1} that occur with proba- The price of path-independent vanilla options (e.g.
European call and put options) depend only on the dis-
P √ pi . To do this we create the operator that maps
bility
i pi |iin |0i to tribution of the underlying asset price ST at the option
maturity T and the payoff function f (ST ) of the option.
n
2X −1
√ h π π i To encode the distribution of ST in a quantum state we
pi |iin cos cf˜(i) + |0i + sin cf˜(i) + |1i truncate it to the range [ST,min , ST,max ] and discretize
4 4
i=0 this interval to {0, ..., 2n − 1} using n qubits. In the
using the procedure outlined in Sec. III C. The parameter quantum computer the distribution loading operator PX
c ∈ [0, 1] is a scaling parameter. The functions f˜(i) and creates a state
f (i) are related by n
2X −1
PX √
|0in −−→ |ψin = pi |iin , (8)
f (i) − fmin
f˜(i) = 2 − 1. (5) i=0
fmax − fmin
with i ∈ {0, ..., 2n − 1} to represent ST . This state, ex-
Here fmin = mini f (i) and fmax = maxi f (i). The rela- emplified in Fig. 3, may be created using the methods
tion in Eq. (5) is chosen so that f˜(i) ∈ [−1, 1]. Thus, discussed in Sec. III A.
4
We start by showing how to price vanilla call or put or equal to the strike price, only if there is a carry at the
options and then generalize our method to capture the last (most significant) qubit. This procedure along with
payoff structure of portfolios containing more than one the necessary gate operations is illustrated in Fig. 4. An
vanilla option. implementation for K = 1.9 and a three-qubit register is
shown in Fig. 6.
0.35 To prepare the operator for use with AE we add
|100i to |φ1 i a second ancilla qubit initially in the state
0.30 cos(g0 ) |0i + sin(g0 ) |1i. Here, g0 is an angle with a value
|011i that we will carefully select. Next, we perform a ro-
0.25
tation of the new ancilla qubit controlled by the com-
Probability
|101i
0.20 parator qubit |ci and the qubits in |ψin . The state
|φ1 i [cos(g0 ) |0i + sin(g0 )) |1i] is mapped to
0.15
X√
|010i pi |iin |0i [cos(g0 ) |0i + sin(g0 ) |1i] + (9)
0.10 |110i
i<K
0.05 X√
|001i |111i pi |iin |1i {cos[g0 + g(i)] |0i + sin[g0 + g(i)] |1i} .
|000i
0.00 i≥K
1.500
1.643
1.786
1.929
2.071
2.214
2.357
2.500
This operation, implemented by the quantum circuit in
Spot Price at Maturity ST Fig. 7, applies a rotation with an angle g(i) only if i ≥ K.
The probability to find the second ancilla in state |1i,
FIG. 3. Example price distribution at maturity loaded in a efficiently measurable using AE, is
three-qubit register. In this example we followed the Black- X X
Scholes-Merton model which implies a lognormal distribution P1 = pi sin2 (g0 ) + pi sin2 [g0 + g(i)]. (10)
of the asset price at maturity T with probability density func- i<K i≥K
(ln ST −µ)2
1
tion P (ST ) = S σ√ exp − 2 . σ is the volatility
T 2πT
2σ T Now, we must carefully chose the angle g0 and the func-
of the asset and µ = r − 0.5σ 2 T + ln(S0 ), with r the risk-
tion g(i) to recover the expected payoff E[f (i)] of the
free market rate and S0 the asset’s spot at t = 0. In this
figure we used S0 = 2, σ = 10%, r = 4% and T = 300/365. option from P1 using the approximation in Eq. (6). We
will further require that g(i) ∈ [−c, c] for i ≥ K to maxi-
mize the accuracy. The payoff function of vanilla options
is piece-wise linear
1. Vanilla options (
a< · i + b< i < K,
f (i) = (11)
To price vanilla options with strike K, we implement a≥ · i + b≥ i ≥ K.
a comparison between the values in state (8) with K. A
We now focus on a European call option with payoff
quantum comparator circuit sets an ancilla qubit |ci, ini-
f (i) = max(0, i − K), i.e., a< = b< = 0, a≥ = 1,
tially in state |0i, to the state |1i if i ≥ K and |0i other-
and b≥ = −K. To reproduce f (i) = i − K for i ≥ K
wise. The state |ψin in the quantum computer therefore
and simultaneously satisfy g0 + g(i) − π/4 ∈ [−c, c], see
undergoes the transformation
Sec. III D, we must set
X√ X√
|ψin |0i → |φ1 i = pi |iin |0i + pi |iin |1i . 2c(i − K)
i<K i≥K g(i) = , (12)
imax − K
This operation can be implemented by a quantum com-
where imax = 2n − 1. This choice of g(i) forces us to
parator [33] based on CNOT and Toffoli gates. Since we
chose
know the value of the strike, we can implement a cir-
cuit tailored to the specific strike price. We use n ancilla π
g0 = − c. (13)
qubits |a1 , ..., an i and compute the two’s complement of 4
the strike price K in binary using n bits, storing the digits
in a (classical) array t[n]. For each qubit |ik i in the |iin To see why, we substitute Eqs. (12) and (13) in Eq. (10)
register, with k ∈ {0, ..., n − 1}, we compute the possible and use the approximation in Eq. (7). Therefore,
carry bit of the bitwise addition of |ik i and t[k] into |ak i. X 1 X
2c(i − K) 1
If t[k] = 0, there is a carry qubit at position k only if P1 ≈ pi −c + pi + −c
there is a carry at position k − 1 and |ik i = 1. If t[k] = 1, 2 imax − K 2
i<K i≥K
there is a carry qubit at position k if there is a carry at 1 2c X
position k − 1 or |ik i = 1. After going through all n = −c+ pi (i − K). (14)
2 imax − K
qubits from least to most significant, |iin will be greater i≥K
5
t[1] = 1
|i1 i •
|i2 i • •
.. .. t[n] = 0 t[n] = 1
. .
|in i • •
|a1 i • •
|a2 i OR
.. .. • •
. t[2] = 0 t[2] = 1 .
|an i OR •
|c i
FIG. 4. Circuit that compares the value represented by an n-qubit register |iin , to a fixed value K. We use n ancilla qubits
1 value of K’s two’s complement and a qubit |ci which will hold
|a1 , ..., an i, a classical array t[n] holding the precomputed binary
the result of the comparison with |ci = 1 if |ii ≥ K. For each qubit |ik i, with k ∈ {1, ..., n}, we use a Toffoli gate to compute
the carry at position k if t[k] = 1 and a logical OR, see Fig. 5, if t[k] = 0. For k = 1, we only need to use a CNOT on |i1 i if
t[1] = 1. In the circuit above, only one of two unitaries in a dotted box needs to be added to the circuit, depending on the
value of t[k] at each qubit. The last carry qubit |an i is then used to compute the final result of the comparison in qubit |ci.
|iin •
|ci •
|ai X • X
|0i Ry [g0 ] Ry [g(i)]
|bi X • X
|ci X FIG. 7. Circuit that creates the state in Eq. (9). We ap-
ply this circuit directly after the comparator circuit shown
in Fig. 6. The multi-controlled y-rotation is the gate shown
in Fig. 2 controlled by the ancilla qubit |ci that contains the
FIG. 5. Circuit that computes the logical OR between qubits result of the comparison between i and K.
|ai and |bi into qubit |ci.
|0i
• •
recover the expected payoff of the option given the prob-
|ii3 |0i PX • • ability distribution of the underlying asset. We should
|0i X • X note that the fair value of the option requires appropri-
ately discounting the expected payoff of the option to
|ci : |0i X today, but as the discounting can be performed after the
expectation value has been calculated we omit it from our
|ai : |0i X • X discussion for simplicity. We check the correctness of our
approach by running amplitude estimation using Qiskit
[34] on the overall circuit produced by the elements de-
FIG. 6. Quantum circuit that sets a comparator qubit |ci scribed in this section, and verifying the convergence to
to |1i if the value represented by |ii3 is larger than a strike
the analytically computed value or classical Monte Carlo
K = 1.9, for the spot distribution in Fig. 3. The unitary PX
represents the set of gates that load the probability distribu- estimate. An illustration of the convergence of a Eu-
tion in Eq. (8). An ancilla qubit |ai is needed to perform the ropean call option with increasing evaluation qubits is
comparison. It is uncomputed at the end of the circuit. shown in Fig. 8.
1.0 |iin • • •
m=3
|cm i •
.. ···
0.5 .
|c2 i •
0.0 |c1 i •
1.0 m=5 |0i Ry [g0 (i)] Ry [g1 (i)] Ry [g2 (i)] · · · Ry [gm (i)]
0.5
FIG. 9. Quantum circuit that implements the multi-
Probability
2. Asian Options
1 T −1
~ = exp − 2 (ln S − µ) Σ (ln S − µ)
P (S) Qd , (20)
(2π)d/2 (detΣ)1/2 i=1 Si We now examine arithmetic average Asian options
which are single-asset, path-dependent options whose
where ln S = (ln S1 , ln S2 . . . , ln Sd )T and µ = payoff depends on the price of the underlying asset at
(µ1 , µ2 . . . µd )T , where each µi is the lognormal distri- multiple time points before the option’s expiration date.
bution parameter for each asset defined in the caption of Specifically, the payoff of an Asian call option is given by
8
3.5
S2·∆t
d between 0 and the option maturity T
2.0
d
1X 1.5
S̄ = St . (23)
d t=1
1.0
The probability distribution of asset prices at time t 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5
options, we can follow the same steps and apply an X uniformly controlled gates, we do not need any ancilla
gate to the ancilla barrier qubit before using it as control, qubits.
in this manner knocking the option out if the barrier level We now execute A |0i3 on the IBM Q Tokyo 20-qubit
has been crossed. A circuit displaying all the components device and estimate the probability P1 of measuring |1i
required to price a Knock-In barrier option is shown in in the objective qubit using 8192 shots. The connectivity
Fig. 12. Results from amplitude estimation on a barrier of IBM Q Tokyo allows to choose three fully connected
option circuit using a quantum simulator are shown in qubits, thus, no additional swaps are required [34]. The
Fig. 13. experiment on quantum hardware results in P1Q = 40.9%
Even though we have focused our attention on bar- compared to the analytic result of P1SIM = 39.7% ob-
rier options where the barrier event is the underlying as- tained using a simulator. This is a relative error of only
set crossing a barrier from below, we can use the same 3%, i.e., the real hardware accurately reproduces the de-
method to price barrier options where barrier events are sired quantum state. Mapped to the expected payoff of
defined as the asset crossing the value from above. This the option, this corresponds to 0.287, i.e., a relative error
only requires changing the comparator circuits to com- of 12%. The increased error results from applying the
pute St ≤ B in the barrier register |bid . inverse approximation scaling 1/c = 4.
Evaluating P1 for the state A |0i3 on a quantum com-
puter corresponds to a classical Monte Carlo simulation,
V. QUANTUM HARDWARE RESULTS where the actual samples are generated by a quantum
computer. This does not provide a conceptual speed-
In this section we show results for a European call up but demonstrates that generating quantum samples
option evaluated on quantum hardware. We use three is possible on current quantum hardware.
qubits in total, two to represent the uncertainty and one It has been shown that a quadratic speed-up can also
to encode the payoff. be realized by measuring Qk A |0i for different k com-
We consider a log-normal random distribution with bined with a maximum likelihood estimation [40], lead-
S0 = 2, σ = 13%, r = 5%, and T = 40/365, (see Fig. 3) ing to significantly shorter circuits than the original im-
and truncate the distribution to the interval defined by plementation of AE. Thus, to demonstrate the improved
three standard deviations around the mean. With two scaling, we also evaluate QA |0i3 on real hardware. After
qubits encoding this distribution, the possible values optimization, the resulting circuit consists of 24 CNOT
are [1.21, 1.74, 2.28, 2.81], represented by |00i , . . . , |11i, gates and 28 single-qubit gates. However, this is slightly
with corresponding probabilities 0.1%, 55.4%, 42.5%, and out of reach for current hardware as our measurement
1.9%. We set the strike price to K = 1.74. The resulting P1Q = 60% deviates significantly from P1SIM = 79%.
exact expected payoff of this option is equal to 0.256.
We now show how to construct the operator A that
VI. CONCLUSION
is required for AE. The log-normal distribution can be
loaded using only two CNOT gates and three single qubit
Y-rotations. The corresponding circuit is illustrated in We have presented a methodology and the quantum
Fig. 14. circuits to price options and option portfolios on a gate-
To encode the payoff function we exploit the small based quantum computer. We showed how to account
number of qubits and apply a uniformly controlled Y- for some of the more complex features present in exotic
rotation instead of the generic construction using com- options such path-dependency with barriers and aver-
parators introduced in Sec. IV. A uniformly controlled ages. The results that we show are available in Qiskit
Y-rotation implements a different rotation angle for each Finance [34]. Future work may involve calculating the
possible state of the control qubits, i.e., it applies the price derivatives [41] with a quantum computer. Pric-
operation ing options relies on AE. This quantum algorithm al-
lows a quadratic speed-up compared to traditional Monte
|iin |0i 7→ |iin Ry (θi ) |0i , (28) Carlo simulations. However, larger quantum hardware
capable of running deeper quantum circuits with more
for given angles θi , i = 0, . . . , 2n − 1. For n = 2, qubits than the currently available quantum computers
this operation can be efficiently implemented using four is needed to price the typical portfolios seen in the fi-
CNOT gates and four single qubit Y-rotations [25, 39]. nancial industry. Additionally, more research is needed
Although we use a uniformly controlled rotation, the to reduce the quantum resources required by the algo-
rotation angles are constructed in the same way de- rithms. Future work could focus on reducing the number
scribed in Sec. III D. We use an approximation scaling of quantum registers in our implementation by perform-
of c = 0.25 and the resulting angles are [θ0 , . . . , θ3 ] = ing some of the computation in-place.
[1.1781, 1.1781, 1.5708, 1.9635], which shows the piece- Algorithms based on AE will most likely require a uni-
wise linear structure of the payoff function. versal fault-tolerant quantum computer [42]. However,
The total resulting circuit requires six CNOT gates and research to improve the algorithms is ongoing [43–45]
seven single-qubit Y-rotations, see Fig. 14. Since we use and methods such as error mitigation are being devel-
10
|i1 in1 •
..
. PX
|id ind • • •
|b1 i CB [i1 ≥ B] •
..
.
|bd i CB [id ≥ B] •
|b| i OR[b1 , ..., bd ] • •
|ci1 CK [id ≥ K] •
|pi1 Ry [f (ST )]
FIG. 12. Circuit that encodes the payoff of a Knock-In barrier option in the state of an ancilla qubit |pi1 . The unitary
operator PX is used to initialize the state of Eq. (17). Comparator circuits CB are used to set a barrier qubit bj for all j ∈ [1, d]
if the asset price represented by |ij i crosses the barrier B. The logical OR of all bj qubits is computed into ancilla |b| i. The
strike comparator circuit CK sets the comparator qubit |ci1 to |1i if the asset price at maturity |id i ≥ K. Finally, Y-rotations
encode the payoff qubit |pi1 , controlled on |id i, the strike qubit |ci1 and the barrier qubit |b| i which is |1i only if the asset price
has crossed the barrier at least once before maturity.
VII. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
1.00 Monte Carlo
m=7
0.75
Probability
|q1 i Ry • • • •
1.46
|q2 i Ry Ry Ry Ry
1.47 -0.10 0.10 -0.29
FIG. 14. The A operator of the considered European call option: 1 first, the 2-qubit approximation of a log-normal distribution
is loaded, and second, the piecewise linear payoff function is applied to last qubit. This operator can be used within amplitude
estimation to evaluate the expected payoff of the corresponding option.
Appendix A: Circuit implementation of weighted gates: X (NOT), controlled-NOT, and the Toffoli gate
sum operator (controlled-controlled-NOT). These three gates suffice to
build any Boolean function [35]. Starting from the first
1. Weighted sum of single qubits column in Ω, for each column j, we find all elements
with Ωi,j = 1 and add the corresponding state qubit
In this appendix, we demonstrate an implementation |ai i to |sj i. The addition of two qubits involves three
of the weighted sum operator on a quantum circuit. The operations detailed in Fig. 15: (a) computation of the
weighted sum operator S computes the arithmetic sum carry using a Toffoli gate (M), (b) computation of the
of the values of n qubits |ain = |a1 . . . an i weighted by current digit using a controlled-NOT (D), (c) reset of
n classically defined non-negative integer weights ω = the carry computation using two X gates and one Toffoli
(ω1 , ω2 , . . . , ωn ), and stores the result into another m- f When adding |ai i to the j-th qubit of the sum
gate (M).
qubit register |sim = |s1 · · · sm i initialized to |0im . In register, the computation starts by applying M and then
other words, D to |ai i, |sj i and |cj i, which adds |ai i to |sj i and stores
n + the carry into |cj i. Then, using the same two operations,
X it adds the carry |cj i to the next sum qubit |sj+1 i with
S |ain |0im = |ain ωi ai , (A1) carry recorded in |cj+1 i. The process is iterated until all
i=1 m carries are handled. Finally, it resets the carry qubits by
applying M f in reverse order of the carry computation.
where
$ !% We reset the carry qubits in order to reuse them in later
n
X computations if necessary.
m = log2 ωi + 1. (A2) In general, we need max(k − 2, 0) carry qubits to com-
i=0
pute the addition of |ai i on |sj i, where k ≥ 1 is the
The choice of m ensures that the sum register |sim smallest integer satisfying
is large enough to hold the largest possible weighted s
k h1|ρj,j+k−1 |1ik = 0, (A3)
sum, i.e. the sum of all weights. Alternatively, we
can write the weights in the form of a binary matrix where ρsj,j+k−1 is the density matrix corresponding to
n×n∗
Ω = (Ωi,j ) ∈ {0, 1} , where the i-th row in Ω is the |sj · · · sj+k−1 i. In the k = 1 case, i.e. |sj i = 0, the
binary representation of weight ωi and n∗ = maxdi=1 ni . computation is reduced to “copying” |ai i to |sj i using
We use the convention that less significant digits have the bit addition operator D, and no carries would be
smaller indices, so |s1 i and Ωi,1 are the least significant produced. For k ≥ 2, Eq. (A3) guarantees no carries from
digits of the respective binary numbers. Using this bi- |sj+k−1 i and beyond. Therefore we can directly compute
nary matrix representation, S is to add the i-th qubit the carry from |sj+k−2 i into |sj+k−1 i without worrying
|ai i of the state register to the j-th qubit |sj i of the sum about additional carries. This eliminates the need for
register if and only if Ωi,j = 1. Depending on the values an ancilla qubit |cj+k−2 i, and hence the number of carry
of the weights, an additional quantum register may be qubits needed is k − 2. To further reduce the number of
necessary to temporarily store the carries during addi- ancilla qubits, we can use any sum qubit |sj i = |0i during
tion operations. We use |cj i to denote the ancilla qubit the computation. In our case, since we are processing Ω
used to store the carry from adding a digit to |sj i. These column by column, all sum qubits more significant than
ancilla qubits are initialized to |0i and will be reset to |sj+k−1 i would be |0i. In other words, we have the last
their initial states at the end of the computation. m − (j + k − 1) sum qubits usable as carry qubits in the
Based on the above setup, we build quantum circuits computation described above.
for the weighted sum operator using three elementary As the weights are known at the time of building the
12
(c) |sj i f
M = X • X (i) (i)
where |a1 . . . ani i , i ∈ [1, d] is the binary representation
|cj i |0i of the i-th integer to sum with ni qubits, least significant
figure first. Then we set the weights as
|a1 + b1 i → |s1 s2 i
|a2 + b2 i → |s2 s3 i
a1 : •
|a3 + b3 i → |s3 s4 i
|ai3 a2 : •
a : •
3
b1 : • •
|bi3 b2 : • •
b : • •
3
s1 : |0i •
s
|si4 2 : |0i •
|a + bi4
s : |0i •
3
s4 : |0i
FIG. 16. A circuit computing the sum of binary numbers |ai3 and |bi3 into |si4 implemented using the weighted sum operator
with weights ω = (1, 2, 4, 1, 2, 4).
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