Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Chapter 10
Chapter 10
M.B.S – Final
Measuring exposure to exchange rate fluctuations
………………………………………………………………………………………........
1) Is exchange rate risk relevant?
Ans: The relevance of exchange rate is relied on some theories which are
provided below –
1
c. Applying VAR to Transaction Exposure of a Portfolio
d. Limitations of VAR
Hedging includes:
Futures hedge,
Forward hedge,
Money market hedge, and
Currency option hedge.
◊MNCs will normally compare the cash flows that could be expected from each
hedging technique before determining which technique to apply.
◊A forward hedge differs from a futures hedge in that forward contracts are
used instead of futures contract to lock in the future exchange rate at which the
firm will buy or sell a currency.
Recall that forward contracts are common for large transactions, while the
standardized futures contracts involve smaller amounts.
◊ a money market hedge involves taking one or more money market position to
cover a transaction exposure.
Often, two positions are required.
¤ Payables: Borrow in the home currency, and invest in the
foreign currency.
¤ Receivables: borrow in the foreign currency, and invest in the
home currency.
◊ A currency option hedge involves the use of currency call or put options to
hedge transaction exposure. However, the firm must assess whether the
premium paid is worthwhile.
In general, hedging policies vary with the MNC management’s degree of risk
aversion and exchange rate forecasts. The hedging policy of an MNC may be to
2
hedge most of its exposure, none of its exposure, or to selectively hedge its
exposure.
MNCs that are certain of having cash flows denominated in foreign currencies for
several years may attempt to use long-term hedging.
Three commonly used techniques for long-term hedging are:
¤ long-term forward contracts,
¤ currency swaps, and
¤ Parallel loans.
The act of leading and lagging refers to an adjustment in the timing of payment
request or disbursement to reflect expectations about future currency
movements.
When a currency cannot be hedged, a currency that is highly correlated with the
currency of concern may be hedged instead.
The stronger the positive correlation between the two currencies, the more
effective this cross-hedging strategy will be.
With currency diversification, the firm diversifies its business among numerous
countries whose currencies are not highly positively correlated.