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Exhibit 2

VICTORIA CHEMICALS (A)


Frank Greystock's DCF Analysis of Merseyside Project
(financial values in millions of British pounds)

Assumptions
Old Annual Output in tons 250000 Discount Rate 10.00%
Out Gain/Original Output 7.00% Tax Rate 30.00%
New Annual Output in tons 267500 Investment 12000000 2000000
Price Per ton 675 Depreciable Life 15 10
Inflation Rate 0 Salvage Value 0 0
Gross Margin 12.50% WIP Inventory/Cost of goods 3.00%
Old Gross Margin 11.50% Months down 1.5
Earning Savings Prelim. Engineering cost
1-5years 1.25% Overhead/Investments
6-10years 0.75%
11-15years 0.00%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Year Now 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1. Estimate of Incremental Gross Profit
New Output (tons) 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500
Lost Output--Construction (33,438)
New Sales (Millions) 157.99 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56
New Gross Margin 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
New Gross Profit 21.72 24.83 24.83 24.83 24.83 23.92 23.92 23.92 23.92 23.92 22.57 22.57 22.57 22.57 22.57

Old Output 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000
Old Sales (Millions) 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75
Old Gross Profit 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41
Incremental Gross Profit 2.32 5.42 5.42 5.42 5.42 4.52 4.52 4.52 4.52 4.52 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16

2. Estimate of Incremental WIP inventory


New WIP inventory 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.70 4.70 4.70 4.70 4.70 4.74 4.74 4.74 4.74 4.74
Old WIP inventory 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48
Incremental WIP inventory 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26
3. Estimate of Incremental Depreciation
New Depreciation 1.60 1.39 1.20 1.04 0.90 0.78 0.68 0.59 0.51 0.44 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57
More Depreciation 0.400 0.320 0.256 0.205 0.164 0.131 0.105 0.084 0.17 0.17
4. Overhead 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
5. Prelim. Engineering Costs (Sunk Cost) 0.00
Pretax Incremental Profit 0.72 4.03 4.22 3.98 4.20 3.48 3.64 3.77 3.88 3.97 2.51 2.42 2.42 2.59 2.59
6. Cash Flow Adjustments
Less Capital Expenditures 12.00 2.00
Add back Depreciation 1.60 1.39 1.20 1.44 1.22 1.04 0.88 0.75 0.64 0.55 0.66 0.74 0.74 0.57 0.57
Less Added WIP inventory -0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
7. Free Cash Flow -12.00 1.91 4.21 4.16 2.23 4.16 3.50 3.43 3.39 3.35 3.33 2.45 2.44 2.44 2.39 2.39

NPV = 12.01
IRR = 25.79% Two way data table
Price
12.01 $ 500 $ 525 $ 550 $ 575 $ 600 $ 625 $ 650 $ 675
IRR 25000
25.79% 50000
25000 75000
50000 100000
75000 Units 125000
100000 150000
125000 175000
150000 200000
175000 225000
200000 250000
225000 275000
250000
275000
Exhibit 2
VICTORIA CHEMICALS (A)
Frank Greystock's DCF Analysis of Merseyside Project
(financial values in millions of British pounds)

Assumptions
New Annual Output
Annual Output (metric tons) 250,000 Discount rate 10.0%
Output Gain/Original Output 7.0% Tax Rate 30%
Price/ton (pounds sterling) 675 Investment Outlay (mill.) 12.0
Inflation Rate (prices and costs) 0.0% Depreciable Life (years) 15
Gross Margin (ex. Deprec.) 12.50% Salvage Value 0
Old Gross Margin 11.5% WIP Inventory/Cost of Goods 3.0%
Energy Savings/Sales Yr. 1-5 1.25% Months Downtime, Construction 1.5
Yr. 6-10 0.75% Preliminary Engineering Costs 0.5
Yr. 11-15 0.0% Overhead/Investment 3.5%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Year Now 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1. Estimate of Incremental Gross Profit
New Output (tons) 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500
Lost Output--Construction (33,438)
New Sales (Millions) 157.99 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56 180.56
New Gross Margin 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
New Gross Profit 21.72 24.83 24.83 24.83 24.83 23.92 23.92 23.92 23.92 23.92 22.57 22.57 22.57 22.57 22.57

Old Output 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000
Old Sales 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75 168.75
Old Gross Profit 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41 19.41
Incremental Gross Profit 2.32 5.42 5.42 5.42 5.42 4.52 4.52 4.52 4.52 4.52 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16

2. Estimate of Incremental WIP inventory


New WIP inventory 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.70 4.70 4.70 4.70 4.70 4.74 4.74 4.74 4.74 4.74
Old WIP inventory 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48 4.48
Incremental WIP inventory 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26
3. Estimate of Incremental Depreciation
New Depreciation 1.60 1.39 1.20 1.04 0.90 0.78 0.68 0.59 0.51 0.44 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57
4. Overhead 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42
5. Prelim. Engineering Costs 0.50
Pretax Incremental Profit -0.20 3.61 3.80 3.96 4.10 3.32 3.42 3.51 3.59 3.66 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17
6. Cash Flow Adjustments
Less Capital Expendit -12.00
Add back Depreciation 1.60 1.39 1.20 1.04 0.90 0.78 0.68 0.59 0.51 0.44 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57
Less Added WIP inventory -0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
7. Free Cash Flow -12.00 1.27 3.92 3.86 3.81 3.77 3.08 3.07 3.05 3.02 3.00 2.05 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09

NPV = 10.45
IRR = 24.04%

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