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Stats (Janakiram Sir's) PDF
Stats (Janakiram Sir's) PDF
Stats (Janakiram Sir's) PDF
PROBLEMS
IN
BUSINESS STATISTICS
(with detailed notes, Illustrations, Problems from
Previous Question Papers and Hints)
P r ic e R s . 9 6 /-
Printed a t :
Sree Ramana Process Pvt Ltd. S.D. Road, Sec-bad-3. Ph 27811750
CONTENTS
Chapter Page No.
V. Correlation................................................. 128-144
*
VI. Regression................................................. 145-155
w
PREFACE
We fe e l immensely happy to place this hook in your hands.
The coverage in BUSINESS STATISTICS, which is expected o f the
students at the B. Com level is intended to groom them fo r further
studies at higher levels viz., M.Com, C.A., I.C.W.A., M.B.A.,
M. C.A., etc. Naturally, the standard books which cater to the needs
o f the students at higher level, leave fo r the B. Com, students very
little to digest. That is, the fru it is too big fo r their appetite.
Therefore, keeping in view the ability and needs o f the B.Com
students, we have endeavoured to present in (his book a balanced
choice o f problems. The problems including those which appeared
at various examinations conducted by Universities/professional
bodies have been supported by illustrations, hints, and above all,
by concise descriptive notes. We fervently hope that with these
features the book will go a long way in helping the students.
We hope that both the lecturers and students will find the
book useful and rewarding. C onstructive suggestions fo r
improvement in the book will be gratefully acknowledged.
Authors
SAI SURI PUBLICATIONS
H.No. 1-30-266/2, Plot No. 290,
Telecom Colony, K anajiguda, Trim ulglierry,
Secunderabad - 500 015. Ph : 27791915
INTRODUCTION
Origin and Development of Statistics:
The word 'Statistics’” has been derived from the Latin word ‘Status’ or the
Italian word ‘Statista’ or the German word ‘statistik’ or the French word
‘statislique’ each of which means a political state.
In the ancient times the scope of Statistics was primarily limited in keeping
the records of population in regard to age and sex wise, birth, death, property,
wealth etc., of a country. This knowledge was used as a tool to know the man
power and also to fix taxes and levies. Statistics in the past was a by-product
of administrative activity o f the state. The state collected statistics for
administrative purposes and as such statistics was regarded as ‘The Science
of Kings’. Many people contributed to the development of Statistics.
Sixteenth century saw the applications of statistics for the collections of the
data relating to the movements of stars and planets to foretell their position
and to make forecasts of eclipses. It is on the basis of these statistics that Sir
lsac Newton formulated his famous theory of Gravitation.
Seventeenth century witnessed the origin of vital statistics. Captain John Graunt
of London (1620-1674) known as the father of vital statistics, studied statistics
of births and deaths.
Eighteenth century, Sussmilch, a Purssian clergyman, found out the natural
order of physiocratic school i.e., ‘ratio of births and deaths remains constant’
and gave statistical explanations^ the theory. J.Bernoulli discovered the law
o f large numbers. Laplace published the monumental work on the ‘Theory of
Probability’
During the end o f the eighteenth century in Germany systematic collection of
statistics was made by the state. In India also the systematic collection of
statistics had been an age old tradition. Megasthanese had given an account
of method o f collecting data in respect of revenue and expenditure, births and
deaths, military, land etc., during the Chandragupta’s regime.
Francis Galton( 1822-1921) pioneered the study of ‘Regression Analysis’. Karl
Pearson (1857-1936) pioneered the study of Correlation Analysis. R. A. Fisher
is another great scholar who propounded many concepts which are useful to
draw conclusions from the statistical data.
In India, Prof. P.C.Mahalanobis, Dr.V.K.R.V.Rao and R.C.Desai are notable
among the economists who have made considerable
contribution to the field of statistics.
Till the second half of nineteenth century, the use of statistics was limited
either to the requirements of the governments or to social problems. But now
there is hardly any field or branch of knowledge which does not make use of
statistical methods. This is because of the increasing data needs of the business,
governments and science.
1
Meaning of Statistics:
The word ‘statistics’ has many meanings. It may mean any one of the
following:
a. Numerical statement of facts or simply data.
b. Statistical methods to help analysis and interpretation of data.
c. A measure based on sample observations.
The illustrations on the three possible uses are as follow.
a. Statistics as a product refers to the statistical data It is tlu- aggregate of
numerical statement of facts. For example, we talk about statistics of national
income, production, sales, births, deaths etc., In this context, the term ‘statistics’
is understood in a plural sense.
b. Statistics as a process refers to statistical method Statistical methods are
tools and techniques which aid the statistical investigation. The main phases
of a statistical investigation are collection, organization, presentation, analysis
and interpretation of data. Here statistics is undet stood in a singular sense.
c. Statistics derived from a small representative gump taken from the whole
lot used for drawing inferences about the charactei r.tics of the whole. Here
statistics represents measures based on sample obsei \ it ions.
,
Definition of Statistics:
Different authors have framed different definitions ol Statistics from time-
to-time. While some ofthem defined Statistics as ‘Sinitsin nl I )ata’(in a plural
sense), others defined it as ‘Statistical methods’(in a singulat sense). Some of
the important definitions are given below:
A. Statistics defined as ‘Statistical data’: Bowles defined Statistics as
‘Numerical statements o f facts in any department ol enquiry placed in relation
to each other’
According to Yule and Kendall, ‘Statistics are quantitative data affected
to a marked extent by a multiplicity of causes’.
The definition given by Prof. Horace Secrist is considered to be the
comprehensive one. According to him ‘Statistics arc aggo-gate of facts affected
to a marked extent by m ultiplicity o f causes, immencally expressed,
enumerated or estimated according to reasonable standard o f accuracy,
collected in a systematic manner, for a pre-determined put pose and placed in
relation to each other’.
A close examination of this definition reveals the following characteristics
that statistics should possess:
a. Statistics are aggregates of facts: Aggregates o f facts relating to a
phenomenon which are comparable with other related aspects can only be
called statistics.
2
Singled and isolated figures relating to production, purchases, sales etc.,
are not statistics.
b. Statistics are affected to a marked extent by multiplicity of causes:
( ieiu'i ally speaking, facts and figures are affected to a considerable extent
by a number o f forces operating together. For example, statistics of
production of wheat are affected by the rainfall, quality o f soil, seeds and
manure, methods o f cultivation etc., So, statistical facts are not attributable
to a single factor.
c. Statistics are numerically expressed: All statistics are numerical statement
of facts i.e., expressed in numbers. Quantitative statements such as ‘India
is a developing country’ or ‘the population of India is rapidly increasing’
do not constitute statistics. Because such statements are vague facts and
one cannot make out anything from them.
d. Statistics are enumerated or estimated according to reasonable
standards of accuracy: Statistics about a given phenomenon can be
collected in two ways namely, enumeration and estimation. Enumeration
refers to the method of survey according to which data are collected for
each and every unit of the universe by actual counting. Estimation refers
to the prediction of values for a universe on the basis of general surveys.
Estimates are not as precise and accurate as enumeration studies. The
degree of accuracy desired depends upon the nature and purpose of study.
Reasonable standards of accuracy must, however be attained, otherwise
data may be altogether misleading.
e. Statistics are collected in dksystematic manner: Before collecting
statistics a suitable plan of data collection should be prepared and the
work carried out in a systematic manner. Data collected in a hasty and
haphazard manner would very likely to lead to misleading conclusions.
f. Statistics are collected for a pre-determined purpose: The purpose of
collecting data must be decided in advance. The purpose should be well
defined and specific. If the data are collected without any aim, much of
the collected data will not be useful. Money, time and energy spent on the
collection o f such data go waste.
g. Statistics are placed in relation to each other: Statistical data are mostly
collected for the purpose of comparison. In order to make valid comparison,
the data should be homogeneous, i.e. they should relate to the same
phenomenon or subject. For example, heights of the boys in a class are to
be compared with the corresponding heights of boys in another class. But
it would be meaningless to compare the heights of students with the heights
of trees.
Thus the definition of statistics given by Prof. Horace Secrist is regarded
as the best as it is exhaustive. It brings out all the characteristics which
statistical data should possess.
3
B. Statistics defined as statistical methods:
According to Bowley ‘Statistics is the science o f the measurements of
social organism regarded as a whole in all its manifestations’.
According to Croxton and Cowden statistics may be defined as the
collection presentation, analysis and interpretation of numerical data.
According to Ya-Lun-chou, ‘Statistics is a method ol decision-making in
the face of uncertainty on the basis of numerical data and calculated risks.
Statistics can also be defined as the science of collection, organization,
presentation, analysis and interpretation of numerical data. According to this
definition, statistical methods include five stages:
i. Collection of data: The first step of an investigation is the collection of
data. Before proceeding for the collection of data, certain aspects like
purpose of the study, sources of data, methods of collection and the degree
of accuracy desired will have to be planned and specified. After this, data
are to be collected systematically. There are different methods of collecting
data (census, sampling, primary, secondary etc.,). If the collected data are
faulty, results will also be faulty. Therefore, the investigator must take
special care in collection of the data.
ii. Organization of data: Data collected from published sources are generally
in an organized form. Mass data collected from a survey is usually in an
unorganized form and requires organization. The first step in the
organization o f data is editing. After the editing, data must be classified
according to same common characteristics of the items. After completing
the editing and classification, data are to be tabulated. In this stage data
are arranged in suitable columns and rows. The main object of tabulation
is to ensure clarity in the data presented.
iii. Presentation of data: The collected data are to be presented in tabular or
diagrammatic or graphic form. The data presented in a systematic order
will facilitate further analysis.
iv. Analysis of data: After the presentation of data, the next step is to analyze
the presented data. Analysis includes condensation, summarization,
conclusion, etc., through the means o f measures of central tendency,
measures o f dispersion, skewness, correlation, regression analysis etc.,
v. Interpretation of data: The last stage in the statistical investigation is
interpretation o f data. Figures do not speak for themselves. The duty of
the statistician is not complete with mere collection and analysis of data.
But, valid conclusions must be drawn on the basis of analysis. A high
degree of skill and experience is necessary for the interpretation. Correct
interpretation leads to valid conclusion.
Importance of statistics:
Statistics affects every one and touches life at many points. In the modern
age figures have become the basis of rational decisions and events are proving
4
dial dec is ions based on figures give better results. As Prof. Bowley said ‘A
know ledge of statistics is like the knowledge of foreign language or of algebra,
ii may prove of use at any time under any circumstances’. Some of the practical
.ipplii .it ions of statistical methods are mentioned below:
statistics in States: In olden days, statistics was regarded as ‘the science
o! kings’. Different policies of the state are based on statistics. Statistics is of
"icat help in promoting human welfare. The main object of every state is to
promote the welfare of the people. Before adopting any welfare scheme, the
state refers the statistics for the proper decision. The state may accept or
reject a policy on the basis of statistics. Periodical collection of data relating
to population, agriculture, national income, education, taxes, exports and
imports etc., are the main guidelines to the governm ent for a good
administration.
Statistics in Economics: Statistical data and methods o f statistical analysis
render valuable assistance in the proper understanding of various problems
such as balance of trade, wage structure, inflation, output of industries,
unemployment, saving and investment, national income etc., and in the
formulation of economic policies. All laws on consumption, production,
exchange and distribution are formulated with the help of statistics.
Statistics in Planning: Statistics is indispensable in planning. The modern
age is termed as ‘the age of planning’ and almost all organizations in the
government or business are resorting to planning for efficient working and
for formulating policy decisions. To achieve this end, the statistical data relating
to production, consumption, investment, prices, income, expenditure and so
on and the advanced statistical techniques such as index numbers, time series
analysis and forecasting techniques for handling such data are of paramount
importance.
Statistics in Business and Industry: Statistical information is required
right from the time business or industry is started. Decision regarding location,
size, production planning, quality control, marketing, sales and output all need
statistical data. To eliminate over production or under production proper
budgeting and costing is required which involves use of statistical methods.
Business runs on estimates and probabilities. An entrepreneur estimates
demand for his product, taking into account various factors such as taste,
habit, income, seasonal changes and adjust his output. His success depends
on correct decisions which in turn depend on reliable statistics.
Statistics to Bankers, Brokers and Insurance companies: Statistical
techniques like percentage, ratios, dispersion etc., are profusely used by the
bankers for evaluation of the credit worthiness of their customers. Knowledge
of probability will be useful to the brokers who are engaged in the purchase
and sale of shares. With the help of statistical methods, insurance companies
calculate financial risk on current life policies which would mature on future
dates.
5
Statistics in other Sciences: Statistics is being used more and more in
biological sciences as an aid of experiments Meteorology uses statistics to
forecast weather. Astronomy uses to predict eclipses.
Statistical methods are of wide almost universal applicability. They have
become very useful tools in the world of affairs
Limitations of Statistics:
The scope of statistics is very wide and it has great utility, but these are
restricted by its limitations. Following are the important limitations of statistics:
i. Statistics deals with only qu an titativ e phenom enon: Statistics is
numerical statement of facts. Statistics deals with only the quantitative
I I data. For example, per capita income, population growth etc., can be studied
by statistics but qualitative aspect such as honesty, poverty, intelligence,
blindness etc., cannot be studied directly.
ii. Statistics does not deal with individuals: Since statistics are aggregates
of facts, the study of an individual fact lies out side the scope of statistics.
For example, the per capita income is obtained by dividing the total income
by the total population. The per capita income does not reveal the poverty
o f individuals. Statistics proves inadequate, where one wants to study
individual cases. Thus it fails to reveal the true position.
iii. Statistical laws are true only on averages: Laws of physical sciences
are perfect. But statistical laws are not so perfect as the laws of physical
sciences. Statistical results are true only on the average. Statistical laws
are based on the theory of probability.
iv. Statistics is only one of the methods of studying problem: Statistical
tools do not provide best solution under all circumstances. Very often, it is
necessary to consider a problem in the light of a country’s culture, religion
and philosophy. Statistics cannot be of much help in studying such
problems. Hence statistical conclusions should be supplemented by other
evidences.
v. Statistics can be misused: The greatest limitation of statistics is that they
are liable to be misused. In this context, Prof.W.I.King pointed out, ‘one
of the short comings of statistics is that they do not bear on their face the
label of their quality’. So, it requires experiences and skill to draw sensible
conclusions from the data, otherwise, there is every likelihood of wrong
interpretations.
Collection of data:
Collection of data implies a systematic and meaningful assembling of
information for the accomplishment o f the objectives o f a statistical
investigation. It refers to the purpose of gathering of relevant information to
the subject matter of the study from the units under investigation. Collection
of data is the most important stage in the process of statistical investigation.
6
Source of data:
I lie tl.ua for the purpose of statistical investigation may be collected from
in imiiiy and secondary sources.
I i.u.i c.cncrated from a primary source is called primary data and data
i n il.. led Irom a secondary source may be referred to as secondary data. In
in oilier words, data originally collected in the process of investigation is
Known as primary data and that collected by the other person is known as
secondary data.
Methods of collecting prim ary data: Primary data may be collected by the
following methods:
i. Direct personal interviews
ii. Indirect oral interviews
iii. Information from agencies
iv. Questionnaires
v. Schedule
i. Direct personal interviews: Under this method, the data are collected by
the investigator personally. The investigator must be keen observer, tactful
and polite in behavior. He asks or cross-examines the informat and collects
necessary information. The enquiry is intensive, rather than extensive.
ii. Indirect oral interviews: Under this method, the investigator conducts
interviews with several third party informats who are supposed to have
the knowledge about the problem under investigation. Generally this
method is employed by different enquiry committees and commissions.
The police department generally adopts this method to get clues o f thefts,
riots, murders etc. ^
iii. In fo rm a tio n from agencies: In this method, persons known as
correspondents or local agents are appointed at different places to collect
data. These correspondents gather information regularly and send the same
to their central office for further processing and analysis.
iv. Q uestionnaires: In this method, a questionnaires consisting of a list of
questions pertaining to the enquiry is prepared. There are blank spaces for
answers. These questionnaires are sent through the post to the respondents
with a request to fill them up and return them to the investigator. This
method is adopted by research workers Private individuals, State and
Central Governments.
v. Schedule: Under this method a group of enumerators are asked to collect
data through schedules. A schedule is a form containing specific questions,
relating to the problem under investigation. The schedules are personally
served on the respondents and their answers are recorded by the
enumerators.
7
CONSTRUCTION OF A QUESTIONNAIRE OR SCHEDULE:
Questionnaire or Schedule occupy an important place in the collection of
primary data, since the success of the collection of relevant, adequate and
accurate data depends upon the careful and cautious preparation o f the
questionnaire or schedules. Although no hard and last rules exists for the
designing of the questionnaire the following essential general principles can
be followed.
a. The questionnaire should be brief. The number o f questions in the
investigations must be minimum and at the same time, they must fully
cover the object and purpose of the investigation
b. The questions should be simple to understand, questions should be prepared
in simple, clear and straight terms, so that, the meaning may be understood
in its proper perspective.
c. Questions should be arranged logically.
d. Questionnaire should consists of simple alternate questions and multiple
choice questions.
e. Questions of a sensitive and personal nature should be avoided.
f. Questions related to mathematical calculations should not be asked.
g. Questions should be capable of objective answer.
h. The questionnaire should look attractive and impressive.
i . , Necessary instructions for filing up the questionnaire must be given to
guide the respondents.
j. A covering letter along with the questionnaire should be sent by the
organizers to the respondents informing the purpose o f enquiry and
requesting them to give their co-operation. They should be assured that
the answers given by them will be kept confidential.
k. Pre-testing the questionnaire must be done before posting it. The
investigator can find out the defects of the questionnaire and suitable
changes can be made before it is send to a large number o f respondents.
l. The accuracy of the questionnaire must be judged. After pre-testing the
questionnaire, we can judge the accuracy of the questionnaire. Thus we
can know the accurate picture of information.
Sources of secondary data: Secondary data are those data which have been
already collected and analysed by same earlier agency for its own use and
later the same data are used by a different agency. The various sources of
secondary data are
1. Published sources
2. Unpublished sources
1. Published Sources: published sources o f secondary data can be obtained
from the following
8
it) G overnm ent Publications: Departm ents o f the union and state
I'.nvi-i nmcnts regularly publish reports on a number of subjects. They gather
additional information. Some ofthe important publications are :The R.B.I.
Bulletin, Census of India, Statistics Abstracts of States etc.
i>) l“nl>li«ilions of Semi-Government Organizations: Semi government
institutions like Municipal corporations, District Boards, Panchayat etc.,
Publish reports.
c) Publications of Research Institutions: Various research institutes publish
reports on the projects undertaken by them. Indian statistical institutions,
Institute of Labour Research, Various Universities etc are some of the
examples of research institutes bring out publications
d) Other Institutional Sources: Various public and private, commercial and
financial institutions such as the Institute of Chartered Accounts of India,
Stock Exchanges, State Financial Corporations, Banks etc, also publish
reports on aspects related to their activities
e) Newspapers and Journals: Current and Important materials on statistics
and socio-economic problems can be obtained from newspapers and
journals like. The Economic times, The Financial Express, Commerce,
Capital, Indian Finance etc.
f) International publications: International agencies and international
bodies publishes regular and occasional reports on economic and statistical
matters. They are The I.M.F, The I.B.R.D., The U.N.O. etc.
2. Unpublished Sources: Unpublished sources constitute the internal records
o f private organizations, results%)f research carried out by individual
researchers etc. The investigator has to visit their offices and take down such
information from documents and records.
SAMPLING: Statistical data can be collected either by census method or by
sampling method. If it is needed to study all the objects of a universe, census
method is followed. On the other hand, if it is proposed to study only a few
objects of the universe and draw conclusion concerning the entire universe,
sampling method is followed.
CENSUS METHOD: In a census method, information is collected for each
and every unit ofthe population or universe. The group of individuals or unit
under study is known as population or universe. For example, if a study
regarding wage pattern of workers in the Tata Iron and Steel Company includes
all the workers of the organizations such number is known as population.
Merits & Limitations of Census Method:
Merits
i. As the information is collected from every unit of the population the results
tend to be more accurate and reliable
ii. Intensive study is possible
iii. The data collected may be used for various surveys, analyses, etc.
9
Limitations
i. It requires large number of trained personnel and it is very costly method.
ii. It requires more money, labour, time, energy etc.
iii. It is not possible in some circumstances where the universe is infinite.
SAMPLE METHOD: This technique studies a part o f the total elements of
the universe and the results obtained on the basis of study are applied to the
universe from which the sample is drawn.
M erits & Limitations of Sample method:
M erits
i. As the data is collected from a part of the universe, it is economical.
ii. It saves time, because fewer items are collected and processed. When the
results are urgently required, this method is very helpful.
iii. If the population under study is infinite, sampling method is the only method
to be used.
iv. Often, the sampling method is used to test the accuracy of the results
obtained by the Census Method.
Limitations
i. A sample enquiry if not carefully planned and executed, the conclusions
may be inaccurate and misleading.
ii. As there is lack of trained personnel to plan and conduct a sample survey,
Its execution and analysis, the results o f the sample survey are not
satisfactory and trustworthy.
iii. There is organizational problem in sample investigation.
iv. The selection of sample and determination of sample size pose serious
problems.
THEO RIES OF SAMPLING: In statistics, where complete enumeration is
not possible, conclusions are drawn by studying the sample on the assumption
that the sample units are representative o f the population. This assumption is
based on the following two theories of sampling.
(i). Law of statistical regularity and
(ii) . Law of inertia of large numbers
LAW OF STATISTICAL REGULARITY:
According to W.l.KING, “The Law of Statistical Regularity lays down that a
moderately large number of items chosen at random from a very large group
are almost sure on the average to have the characteristics of the large group"
LAW OF INERTIA O F LARGE NUMBERS:
This law is also known as ‘Principle of stability of mass data’ is developed
from the law of statistical regularity. Th is law is based on the assumption that
the larger the size of data, the lesser the fluctuations, because of the cancellation
effect. It means that the moderately large number of items would balance the
variations of small observations. Thus, the law o f inertia of large numbers
10
- ii. ill it hy increasing the size of the sample, the results can be made more
i'' intilt*
I I '. ii U S OF SAMPLING:
fli.l ei|i.i in r of sampling is to draw inferences about the parent population,
din h mlriences would be true, if the sample has the following essentials.
. 11 Representativeness: Representativeness implies that the sample should
possess the characteristics of the population from which it is drawn.
(ii) . Homogeneity: Selected samples from the universe should have the similar
nature and should not have any difference, when compared with the
universe.
(iii) . Independent: While selectingthe sample, every unitmust be independent
of each other in order to be included in the sample.
(iv) . Adequacy: The size of the sample must be adequate to yield accurate
results. If a large number of items are included in the sample, they will
truly represent the universe.
METHODS OF SAMPLING:
There are many methods of sampling. The choice of method will be determined
by the purpose of sampling. The various methods can be grouped under two
groups:
1. Random Sampling:
(A) . Simple or unrestricted random sampling
(B) . Restricted Random sampling
2. Non-Random Sampling:
1. Random Sampling: A random sample is one where each item in the
universe has an equal chance o f known opportunity of being selected.
A. Simple Random Sampling
It is a technique in which sample is so drawn that each and every unit in
the population has an equal and independent chance of being included in
the sample. Several methods have been adopted for random selection of
the sample. They are:
(i) Lottery method. This is the most popular and simplest method; all
the items of the universe are numbered on separate slips of paper of
same size, shape and colour. They are folded and mixed up in a drum
or container. A blindfold selection is made. The selection of items
thus depends on chance.
(ii) Table of Random Numbers. As the lottery method cannot be used,
when the population is infinite, the alternative method is that of using
the table of random numbers. There are several standard tables of
random numbers. But the credit for this technique goes to prof.
L.H.C.Tippett (1927). The random number table (taken from the
II
British census Report) consists of 10,400 four-figure numbers giving
in all 10,400x4=41,600.There are various other random numbers.
They are Fisher and Yates (1938) comprising o f 15,000 digits arranged
in twos, Kendall and B.B.Smith (1939) consisting of 1,00.000 digits
grouped in 25,000 sets of 4 digited random numbers etc.
B. Restricted Random Sampling:
(i) Stratified sampling: When the population is heterogeneous with respect
to the variable under study, then it is stratified.
First the population is divided into a number of sub-groups or strata.
Each stratum is homogeneous. A sample is drawn from each stratum at
random.
There are two types of stratified random sampling. They are proportional
and non-proportional. In the proportional sam pling, equal and
proportionate representation is given to sub-groups. If the number of items
is large in the population, the same will have a higher size and vice versa.
In non-proportionate sample, equal representation is given to all the sub
strata regardless o f their existence in the population.
(ii) Systematic sampling: A systematic sample is selected at random
sampling. When a complete list of the population is available, this method
is used. We arrange the items in numerical, alphabetical, geographical or
any other order. If we want to select a sample of 100 students from 1,000
students, under this method kth item is picked up from the sample frame
and k is the sample interval.
k =N/n k=Samp!ing interval N=Size o f universe n=Sample size
(iii) Cluster sampling: It refers to a sampling procedure, which is carried out
in several stages. The whole population is divided into sampling units,
and these units are again divided into sub-units. This process will continue
when we reach a least number.
2. Non-random sampling:
(a) Judgement sampling: The investigator has the power to select or reject
any item in an investigation. The choice of sample items depends on the
judgement of the investigator. He has the important role to play in collecting
the information.
(b) Quota sampling: This sampling is similar to stratified sampling. To collect
data, the universe is divided into quota according to some characteristics.
Each enumerator is then told to interview a certain number of persons
who are in his quota. The selection of sample items depends on personal
judgement.
(c) Convenience or Chunk sampling: Chunk is a convenient slice of a
population which is commonly referred to as a sample. It is obtained by
selecting convenient population units.
12
A .ample obtained from automobile registration, telephone directories, etc.,
is a convenience sample
I ABDICATION: Tabulation is the process of systematically arranging the
dal.i m columns and rows. Rows are horizontal arrangement where as columns
.in- vertical ones. A statistical table may be defined as follows “A statistical
table in the logical listing of related quantitative data in vertical columns and
horizontal rows of numbers, with sufficient explanatory and qualifying words,
phrases and statements in the form of titles, heading and notes to make clear
the full meaning of the data and their origin.”
Thus the statistical table is a condensed summary of the original data. It is
an orderly arrangement designed to give maximum possible information
leaving out unimportant and irrelevant figures.
General rules for tabulation: It is difficult to lay down any hard and fast
rules for tabulating because much depends upon the given data and
requirements o f the survey. Infact, constructing a good table is an art, and
therefore a practical experience is of immense help. However, the following
general consideration may be kept in view while tabulating data:
1. Every table should bear a suitable title. The title should be clear and
explanatory. Every table should be numbered so that it can be easily
identified.
2. In all tables the captions and stubs should be arranged in some systematic
order.
3. There should be proper ruling and spacing to be attractive.
4. The table should suit the size of the paper.
5. If certain figures are to be emphasized they should be in, distinctive type
or in a box or between thick lines.
6. The table should not be overloaded with details.
7. A miscellaneous column should be added for data which do not fit in the
classification made.
8. The arrangement of the table should be logical.
9. Percentages and ratios which are meant for comparison should be placed
adjacent to one another.
10. The sources o f data should be mentioned.
13
SPECIMEN FORM OF A TABLE
Table Number
Title Head Notes
Captions
Stub Column heading Column heading
Heading
x caption y caption x caption y caption
Stub A
Stub B Bo dy
Stub C
Total
Foot note Sources of the data
Parts of a table:
1. Table number: Every table should be numbered. The mat be given either
in the centre at the top above the title or in the side of the top or in the
bottom of the table on the left hand-side.
2. Title of the table: Every table must have a suitable title. The title should
be clear, brief and self-explanatory. Long titles cannot be read as promptly
as short titles. It should be in the form of a series of phrases rather than
complete sentences.
3. Captions: Captions refers to the column heading. Under a column heading
there may be a sub-heads. The caption should be clearly defined and placed
at the middle of the column. If the different columns are expressed in
different units, the units should be mentioned with the captions. As
compared with the main part of the table the caption should be shown in
the smaller letters.
4. Stub: Stubs are at the extreme left and perform the same functions for the
horizontal rows of the numbers in the table as the columns headings do for
the vertical columns of numbers. The stubs are usually wider than column
heading but should be kept as narrow as possible without sacrificing
precision and clarity of the statements.
5. Body: The body o f the table contains the numerical information. This is
in fact main part of the table. Data presented in the body are arranged
according to description or classification of the captions and stubs.
6. Head Note: It is a brief explanatory statement applying to all or major
part of the material in the table, and is placed below the title centered and
enclosed in brackets. It is used to explain certain points relating to the
whole table have not been included in the title, captions or stubs.
7. Foot Note: A foot note is a phrase or statement which classifies some
specific items or explains the omission thereof. It is placed on the bottom
of the table.
14
QUESTIONS
i I n-.tir.s die meaning and scope of statistics.
■ VVhut are Statistics? Describe their characteristics.
i '.late a few of the definitions of statistics and explain the one which you
think to be the best.
I Define ‘Statistics’ and discuss its importance and limitations.
5. Discuss briefly the importance of statistics in the following disciplines:
(i)Economics (ii) Planning (iii) Business and Industry (iv) Bankers, Brokers
and Insurance companies (v) Other Sciences.
6. Discuss the utility of statistics to the state.
7. Write a critical note on the origin and development of the science of
statistics.
8. Statistics may be described as the science of collection, organization,
presentation, analysis and interpretation of numerical data- Discuss.
9. Differentiate between primary and secondary data and discuss the various
methods of collecting Primary data.
10. What is a Secondary Source? What are the chief sources of Secondary
data.
11. What do you mean by a Questionnaire? Discuss the essentials of a good
Questionnaire. ^
12. Distinguish between census and sampling methods of collecting data and
compare their merits and demerits.
13. Define clearly the Law of Statistical Regularity and Law of Inertia of Large
Numbers.
14. What are the essentials of Sampling.
15. Discuss the various methods of random sampling.
16. Enumerate the various methods of non-random sampling.
17. What do you mean by “Classification of Data”? Explain the various bases
of classification.
18. What do you mean by seriation of data? Explain in detail the various types
of series.
19. Distinguish between cumulative frequency by ‘Less than method’ and ‘more
than method’.
20. Explain Tabulation? What are the essentials of a good Statistical Table?
15
CHAPTER I
Statistical Series :
According to H. Secrist "A series, as used statistically, may
be defined as things or attributes of things arranged according to
some logical order."
L -S
S — Smallest item,
.-in i;>• '■ r.
K «=- the number of classes.
(b) Class Lim its : The class limits are the lowest and th
highest values that can be included in the class. For example, take
the class 1 0-20. The lowest value of the class is 10 and the
highest 20. The tw o boundaries of a class are known as the lower
limit and the upper lim it of the class. The lower limit of a class is
the value below which there can be no item in the class. The upper
limit of a class is the value above which no item can belong to that
class-. The way in which class limits are stated depends upon the
nature of data. In statistical calculations, lower limits are represen
ted b y " /1" and the upper limits by " / a".
I II III IV
(Exclusive type) (Inclusive type) (open end classes)
a class interval of 10, nine classes would be formed. The first class
should be taken as 6 5 -7 5 .
6 5 -7 5 I 1
7 5 -8 5 II1 3
8 5 -9 5 fHI 5
9 5 -1 0 5 11 1 3
1 0 5 -1 1 5 m 6
1 1 5 -1 2 5 11 2
1 2 5 -1 3 5 fHI ■ 5
1 3 5 -1 4 5 111 o
1 4 5 -1 5 5 11 2
Total 30
30 54 15 42 30 36 37 31 36 31 16 21 33
42 40 17 25 27 28 54 36 22 19 42 22 41
30 48 51 41 42 26 44 40 30 48 32 40 21
Frequency Distribution
1 5 -1 9 III1 4
2 0 -2 4 1 1 11 4
2 5 -2 9 111 1 4
3 0 -3 4 IH1 I I I 8
3 5 -3 9 m i 4
4 0 -4 4 mi mi 10
4 5 -4 9 11 2
5 0 -5 4 111 3
Total 39
6
Preparation o f c o n tin u o u s F req u en cy D istrib u tio n : If
any in s tru c tio n s are given in th e problem , th e n p rep are th e
table accordingly. In th e a b s e n c e of a n y in s tru c tio n s , th e
following g u id e lin e s can be followed :
(v) In the table place th e class-in terv als in the first colum n,
tally m a rk s in th e seco n d co lu m n , an d co rresp o n d in g
freq u en cy rin th e th ird colum n.
C u m u la tiv e F r e q u e n c y D is tr ib u tio n : A F re q u e n c y
d is trib u tio n sh o w s how th e freq u en cy of a p a rtic u la r value
(variable or class) is occu rrin g . However, if we w ant to know
th e to tal n u m b e r of o b serv atio n s g ettin g a v alue Less th a n '
or More th a n ' a p a rtic u la r v alu e of th e variab le or class,
th is freq u en cy tab le fails to fu rn is h th e in fo rm atio n as
su c h . T his in fo rm atio n can be o b ta in ed very easily from th e
"Cum ulative F req u en cy D istrib u tio n ' w hich is a m odification
of th e given freq u en cy d is trib u tio n a n d is o b tain ed on
su ccessiv ely ad d in g th e freq u en cies of th e v a lu e s of th e
v ariable or class acco rd in g to a c ertain law. The freq u en cies
so o b ta in e d a re k n o w n a s th e cu m u la tiv e fre q u e n c ie s
ab b rev iated a s c.f. The cu m u lativ e freq u en cy d is trib u tio n is
of two types.
6a
(a) Less th a n cu m u lativ e freq u en cy d is trib u tio n .
(b) More th a n cu m u lativ e freq u en cy d is trib u tio n .
In case of Less th a n ' m e th o d , we s ta r t w ith u p p e r lim its
of th e c la sse s an d go on ad d in g th e freq u en cies. In case of
More th a n ' m ethod, we s ta rt w ith lower lim its of th e classes.
Total freq u en cy is w ritten a g a in s t th e first n u m b e r, th e n
th e frequency of th e first class is su b tra c te d a n d th e b alan ce
is w ritten ag ain st th e next class, th e n th e p ro cess is repeated
for th e rem a in in g classes.
Marks No. o f s tu d e n ts
10-20 4
20-30 6
30-40 10
40-50 20
5 0 -6 0 ' 18
60-70 2
Less th a n 20 4 4
Less th a n 30 4+6 10
Less th a n 40 10+10 20
Less th a n 50 20+20 40
Less th a n 60 40+18 58
Less th a n 70 58+2 60
6b
(h) F o rm a tio n of a m o re th a n C u m u lativ e F req u en cy
D istribution:
Marks (f) c.f.
More th a n 10 (Table freq u en cy 60) 60
More th a n 20 (60-4) 56
More th a n 30 (56-6) 50
M ore th a n 40 (50-10) 40
More th a n 50 (40-20) 20
More th a n 60 (20-18) 2
More th a n 70 0
0-20 41
20-40 92-41=51
40-60 156-92=64
60-80 194-156=38
80-100 201-194=7
201
6c
•. •i ArM
Illu stra tio n 6 : C onvert th e following cu m u lativ e frequency
into sim ple freq u en cy table.
Marks No. o f s tu d e n ts
1
More th a n 30 70
More th a n 35 65
More th a n 40 55
More th a n 45 40
More th a n 50 10
More th a n 55 5
More th a n 60 0
Marks F requ en cy
30-35 70-65=5
35-40 65-55=10
40-45 55-40=15
45-50 40-10=30
50-55 10-5=5
55-60 5-0=5
70
...
PROBLEMS
P r e s e n t th e d a t a giv en in t h e fo rm of a d is c r e te
fre q u e n c y d i s t r ib u t io n
8 0 2 0 9 3 10 2 4 10 6 5
3 2 5 1 5 0 3 8 7 4 2 3 2
Marks No. o f s tu d e n ts
(j
More th a n 30 70
More th a n 35 65
More th a n 40 55
More th a n 45 40
More th a n 50 10
More th a n 55 5
More th a n 60 0
30-35 70-65=5
35-40 65-55=10
40-45 55-40=15
45-50 40-10=30
50-55 10-5=5
55-60 5-0=5
j pi >,i ■■ -i
i . . 70
PROBLEMS
P r e s e n t th e d a t a giv en in t h e f o rm of a d is c r e te
fre q u e n c y d i s t r ib u t io n
8 0 2 0 9 3 10 2 4 10 6 5
3 2 5 1 5 0 3 8 7 4 2 3 2
T he follow ing d a ta s h o w s th e p r e v io u s te a c h in g
experience of te ach ers in a school. P repare a F requency
d is trib u tio n tab le in D iscrete form.
Less th a n 5 29
Less th a n 10 224
Less th a n 15 465
Less th a n 20 582
Less th a n 25 634
Less th a n 30 644
Less th a n 35 650
Less th a n 40 653
Less th a n 45 655
S ize F requency
B elow 10 5
Below 20 20
Below 30 50
Below 40 105
Below 50 190
Below 60 250
Below 70 295
-1
1■ •
Below 80 320 '
6h
l '• C onvert th e following' c u m u la tiv e fre q u e n c y d is trib u tio n
into sim ple freq u en cy d istrib u tio n .
Marks above No. o f s tu d e n ts
o ' . 80
10 77
20 72
30 65
40 55
50 43
60 28
70 16
80 10
90 8
100 0
I
f
1
•f
j
C H A P T E R il
1. Arithmetic Mean
Its value is obtained by adding together all the items and by
dividing this total by the number of items. Arithmetic mean mo/
either be
• (i) Simple arithmetic Mean or
(ii) Weighted arithmetic mean
- , - .i; ■ /]
( i) Calculation o f Simple Arithm etic Mean ;
The simple Arithmetic Mean can be computed by making use
of tw o methods namely (a) Direct Method and (b) Short cut Method ;
8
<n Indirect Method in the case of three series namely (A) Series of
individual observations (B) Discrete series and (C) Continuous series-
tf
X== N
■
sum : The formula involves tw o steps in calculating mean :
f'i) Add together all the values of the variable X and obtain
the total, i.e., 2 X .
(ii) Divide this total by the number of observations, i.e., N.
Where
X = Arithmetic Mean
2X ■= Sum of all the values of v a r i a b l e X.
N •=» Number' of observations.
(b) Short-cut Method The formula for calculating mean is
j: d
A +
N
1 56
2 75
3 ‘34
4 64
5 48
6 22
N 6 2 X = 299
v 2 X
X -~ N
2 X -2 9 9 , N - 6
1 56 -f* 8
2 75 + 27
3 34 — 14
4 64 + 16
5 48 0
6 22 — 26
/V= 6 2 d - + 11
10
X “ A +
N
A 48 2 cf = 1 1 N = 6
Steps : (i) Multiply the frequency of each row with the variable
and obtain the total ^ fX .
Where f — Frequency.
X = The variable in question.
X - A -f
d « (X -A )
Marks 20 30 40 50 60 85
No. of students : 8 12 20 10 6 4
T JX _ 2 ,5 2 0
N 60
Hence the average marks - 42
"
12
2. 0 8 — 20 — 160
30 12 — 10 - 120
40 20 0 0
50 10 4 10 + 100
60 6 - 20 4- 120
85 4 +- 45 -f 180
s:
+
to
T fd - 120
II
Y ,fd 120
A + 40 + 40 -f 2 = 42
N 1 60
■
40-50 40 45 1,800
50-60 20 55 1 ,100
„ 'E.fm 6,600
X N 200
0-10 5 10 — 30 — 300
10-20 15 20 — 20 — 400
20-30 25 50 —10 — 500
30-40 35 60 0 0
40-50 45 40 + 10 + 400
50-60 55 20 + 20 + 400
N - 200 S t t = — 400
A - 35
200
15
A - 45
2/c/x
'Z fd x ^ —4 X ~ A + — jg - X C
N = 150
C =10
—4
45 X 10
150
45—0.27
44.73
Combined Mean : If we have the arithmetic mean and
number of items of tw o or more than tw o related groups, we can
compute combined average of these groups by applying the following
formula :
V /V i* i+ ^ X a
X' 9 ~ +
10
Where
X 3a - Combined mean of the tw o groups.
X x = arithmetic mean of first group.
X a •=* arithmetic mean of second group.
Nx — number of items in the first group.
N % «-» number of items in the second group.
A/.Xj + WaXffi
Solution :
Nr+Na
^ - 6 0 , X i- 4 0 , A/a= 4 0 , X a= 35
6 0 x 4 0 4 -4 0 x 3 5 2,400 + 1,400
Xl* ” 00 + 40 ” 100
3800
- 38.
100
v*>W _~~ J S
<
2 W
( 2) 17
Steps : (i) Multiply the weights by the variable x and obtain the
total £ w x .
(ii) Divide this total by the sum of the weights, i.e., 2 vv
to obtain the exact weighted arithmetic mean.
Where
Xw = Weighted arithmetic mean
x = Variable
w = Weight
2 W = Total of the product of wx
2 w = Total of weights.
Solution t
Calculation of Weighted Arithmetic Mean
2 w = 350 Z w x - 1,06.000
2 ;wx 1,06,000
Xw — - e 302.86
2 W 350
18
Solution:
Calculation of Median
1 160
2 180
3 200
4 280
5 300
6 320
7 400
A/+1
M s size of th item
2
19
7+ 1
4th item.
Illu s tra tio n 8. Obtain the value of median from the fo llo w in g
data :
12, 15, 40, 23, 20, 17, 89, 75.
: +■>},> + ski** l ■
S olution :
Calculation of Median
1 12
v
2 15
3 17
4 20
5 23
6 40
7 69
8 75
N+ 1
M size of —y~ th item
8 r 1
« 4.5th item
20+23 43
- 21.5
S olution :
■•■ •i 'tiki Calculation of Median ..
90 16 ■ 16
120 24 40
160 26 66
190 30 96
220 20 116
260 6 122
N — 122
M “ *• size of —— ! t h item
122 4-1
■ » ---- y - - —6 1 .5th item
M = rL J + (m -c )
*1
21
Where
M = Median
L1 <=* Lower lihriit of the median class
L t — Upper limit of the median class
- Frequency of the median class
m - N/2
C =* Cumulative frequency of the class preceding the
median class^
0 — 20 1
20— 40 14
40 — 60 35
60— 80 85
80 — 100 90
100— 120 45
120— 140 18
140— 160 2
(C.A.)
S olution:
Calculation of Median
20— 40 14 15
40 — 60 35 50
60— 80 85 135
80 — 100 90 225
100— 120 45 270
120— 140 18 288
140— 160 2 290
N
M = size of th item
22
290
«■* 145th item
2
Median lies in the class 80 — 100
M <=LX + — 1 (m — c)
'x
100—80
-8 0 + -^ q- - (1 4 5 -1 3 5 )
20
-.8 0 + ^ X10
— 80 + 2 .22
—< 8 2 .2 2 inches.
0 — 20 42 42
21— 30 38 80
31— 40 120 200
41— 50 84 284
51— 60 48 332
51— 70 36 368
71— 80 31 399
23
N
Median «=* size of -^ -th item
399
= — 2 — — 199.5 th item
M = jL1+ (m -c)
h
= 30.5 + — ®2 q— (199.5-8C&
4 i*f)i tr0 y I
- 30.5 + X 2 0 ' X 1 1 9 -5
= 30.5 + 9.96
— 40.46
Hence Median marks = 40.46
N +-1
Qj - Size of — ^— th item
3 (7V+1;
Qo = Size of th item
, 30 ( N + l )
Size o f------— —th item
100
In Continuous Series
N
<?^ = Size of -^ -th item
3N
Q j = Size of —-^ -th item
3N
aj Size of th item
10
30 N
30 =» Size of th item
100
illustration 12. From the follow ing data compute the values
of Q j, <2S, D„, and P2a.
Marks: 0-10 10-20 2 0 -3 0 3 0 -4 0 4 0-50 5 0 -6 0 6 0 -7 0 7 0-80
No. of
students: 5 25 40 70 90 40 20 10
Solution :
Calculation of Qu Qs, Ds, and Pta.
Marks f c.f
0 -1 0 5 5
1 0-20 25 30
2 0-30 40 • 70
3 0 -4 0 70 140
4 0-50 90 230
5 0 -6 0 40 270
6 0-70 20 290
70-80 10 300
N =>300
25
N
Size of—2-t h item
4
300
Size of 75th item
Qx - c,
30 + — 7Q— (7 5 -7 0 )
10
= 30 X5
70
Qx - 30 + 0.71 = 30.71
3N
<?3 r Size o f—^—th item
= 4 0 f - 5° ~ ^ ° (2 2 5 - 14° )
- 40+ - s r x 85
Qa - 40 + 9.44 = 49.44
dg - Size of ^ th item
- 40 + -5 °a y - (1 8 0 -1 4 0 )
- 4 0 + - § r * 40
Dt = 40 + 4.44 - 44.44
26
P ao - Size of th item
20x300
Size of 60th item
100
Pa# lies in the class
>s 2 0 -3 0
L ~ Lx (p-c)
fi
3 0 — 20
-20 + (6 0 — 30)
40
2°+4^ x 30
Pflo = 20 + 7
Thus Q i = 30.71
Q 3 = 49.44
D. = 4 4 .4 4
P 20 = 27.5
3. Mode
The Mode refers to that value in a distribution which occurs
most frequently.
Calculation of Mode
(A) Series of individual observations
in a series of individual observations, Mode is the most
frequently occuring item and hence can be located by inspection.
4 2
4.5 2
5 4
5.5 1
6 1
Central Frequency
size (1 ) (2 ) (3) (4) (5) (6 )
10 7 *1 'V
> 19 1
20 12 I 36 ^
J 'I >
> 29 j 1
30 17 ] > 58 >
40 29 > 46 1 1 J[ 1
> 77
J
50 31 ■S J■ 6 0 > 65
■; f
11
j J
60 5 39
/ 36 1 J I1>
70 3 i 8 Ji
Analysis Table
1
2
3
4
5
6
Total 1 3 5 4 1
29
40 size is the mode as it occurred the maximum number
of times.
Where
Mo =* Mode
L *» Lower Umit of the modal class.
A i = The difference between the frequency of the modal
class and the frequency of the pre-modal class, i.e.
preceding class (ignoring signs).
A ? = The difference between the frequency of the modal
class and the frequency of the post-nr.odal class i.e.,
succeeding class (ignoring signs).
/ = The class-interval of the modal class
Note : While calculating the value of mode it should be seen
that the class intervals of the different classes are equal otherwise
the above formula will not give correct results.
Another important point to be noted is that when mode is ill-
defined the above formula is not applicable. In that case the value
of mode is indirectly obtained by applying the following formula.
Mode •=» 3 Median— 2 Mean
This measure is called an empirical mode.
L + — A jl -X /
Ai+A a
£ - 2 0 0 , A .* = (2 7 — 18) —9, (2 7 — 20) = 7, /= 1 0 0
M „=200 + 5 - x 100
y+ /
-200 + _ A _ x 100
- 200 + 56.25
- 256.25
0— 3 9 15— 18 15
3— 6 3 18— 20 25
6 — 8 5 20 — 24 13
8 — 10 5 24 — 28 25
1 0 — 12 14 23 — 30 8
12— 15 21 3 0 — 36 6
Class Frequency
0 — 6 12
6— 12 24
12— 18 36
18— 24 38
24 — 30 33
3 0 — 36 6
M 0—L +
Ai X /
A i+ A a
£.=■18, A i = 3 8 — 36 = 2, A , ~ 3 8 — 33 =5, / = 6
=18 + X 6
2+ 5
—18+ - y - X 6
=18 + 1.71
= 19.71
Frequency
Weight 1 2 3 4 5 6
9 0 -1 0 0
100-110
1 1 0 -1 2 0
1 2 0 -1 3 0
1 3 0 -1 4 0
140-150
1 5 0 -1 6 0
1 6 0 -1 7 0
1 7 0 -1 8 0
Analysis Table
Class in which mode is expected to lie
Total 2 5 5 3 1
(m -A ) die
Weight f m d dx fdx c.f
9 0 — 100 4 95 -4 0 —4 — 16 4
1 0 0 - 1 1 0 2 105 — 30 -3 — 6 •
1 1 0 — 120 18 115 — 20 — 2 — 36 24
1 2 0 — 130 22 125 —10 —1 — 22 46
1 3 0 — 140 21 135 0 0 0 67
1 4 0 — 150 19 145 + 1 0 + 1 + 19 86
1 5 0 — 160 10 155 + 20 + 2 + 20 96
1 6 0 — 170 3 165 -+30 + 3 + 9 99
1 7 0 — 180 2 175 +40 +4 + 8 101
N - 101 2 fdx = — 24
„ , 2 fdx w „
A + —7— X C
135 + X 10
101
240
135 —
101
— 135 — 2.38
— 132.62
NV
/
Median item — ~ 2 “th item
JI01
50.5th item
2
it lies in the class 130— 140
M - J-! + 7 — (m -c )
•i
140 — 130
130 + (5 0 .5 -4 6 )
21
34
- 1 3 0 + 4 t x 4 -s
= 130 + 2.14 = 132.14
Mode = 3 Median — 2 Mean
= 3 (1 3 2.14) — 2 (1 3 2.62)
= 396.42 — 2 6 5 .2 4
= 131.18
Illustration 18.
(a) In a moderately asymmetrical distribution the value of
median is 42.8 and the value of mode is 40. Find the value of
mean.
Solution :
40 = 3 X 42.8 — 2 mean
2 mean = 1 28-4— 40
2 Mean = 88.4
Mean = 44.2
(b) We are given Mode — 32.1
Mean — 35.4
Substituting the values in the formula
Mode — 3 Median — 2 Mean
32.1 = 3 M edian— 2 x 3 5 .4
32.1 =• 3 Median — 70.8
35
—3 Median — — 70.8—32.1
,■ —3 Median = —■ . 102.9 • r . ,yj
Median — 34.3
4. Geometric Mean
:
The geometric mean of a series containing’ N observation
is the A/th root of the product of the values.
(iii) Formula :
G.M. = Antilog
N
■o
36
- AL 2.04005
= 109,6
Discrete Series
The following steps must be followed :
(i) Find the logarithms of the variable X
(ii) Multiply these logarithms with the respective frequencies
and obtain the total 2 f log X
(iii) Divide 2 f log X by the total frequency and take the
antilog of the value so obtained. This gives the value of
geometric Mean.
<iv) Formula :
G.M. « A n t il o g ^ - - —?—
X f Log X f log X
1 C 12 1 .0 0 0 0 1 2 .0 0 0 0
20 15 1 .3 0 1 0 1 9 .5 1 5 0
30 25 1.4771 3 6 .9 2 7 5
40 20 1.6021 3 2 .0 4 2 0
50 6 1 .6 9 9 0 1 0 .1 9 4 0
60 2 1 .7 7 8 2 3 .5 5 6 4
80 f 2 Log X — 1 1 4 .2 3 4 9
S f log X
G .M . = Ant i log =
N
114.2349
= AL
80
= AL 1.4279
= 26.79
(C ) Continuous Series:
(i) Find out the mid-points of the classes and take their
logarithms.
(ii) Multiply these logarithms with the respective frequencies
of each class and obtain the total log m.
(iii) Divide the total log m by the total frequency and take
the antilog of the value so obtained. This gives the
value of geometric mean.
(ivj 'l'he f o r m u l a is: C. M. = A.L.HfLoijm
N
/lustration 21. Calculate Geometric mean for the following
cats.
Value: 0 -1 0 1 0 -2 0 2 0 -3 0 3 0 -4 0 4 0 -5 0
Frequency : 8 12 20 6 4
(B Com., Madras)
96
m.p.
Marks m f Log m f log m
0 -1 0 5 8 0.69S0 5 5320
1 0 -2 0 15 12 1.1761 14.1132
20-30 25 20 1.3979 27.9580
3 0 -4 0 35 6 1.5441 9.2646
4 0 -5 0 45 4 1.6532 6.6128
/V=» 50 "Z f log m = 63.5406
6 .M . - AL M lg
N
6 3.540 6
AL AL 1.2708 ~ 18.65.
50
H^M. = N
1 1 1 , 1
Xa + + x; +
Computation of Harmonic Mean ; -
We apply the given formula depending upon the series in
computation of H.M.
(A) Individual Series
N
H .M .
2 (1 IX )
iB) Discrete Series:
N
H .M . =
2 (fIX )
(CJ Continuous Series
N
H .M .
2 fflm )
39
1
X
X
125 0.0080
130 0 .0 0 7 7
75 0.0 1 3 3
1 0 0.1000
45 0.0222
5 0.2000
0 .5 2.0000
0.4 2.5000
500 0.0020
150 0.0067
o
T—
2 ( 1 / x ) - 4.8599
II
N 10
H. M ~ - -------------------------------------
k > _ --------------------------------------- 2.0 6
2 ( 1 /X ) 4.8599
Size : 3 5 7 9
Frequency : 20 40 30 10
Size Frequency m )
X f
3 20 6.6667
5 40 8.0 0 00
7 30 4.2857
9 10 1.1111
N 100
= --------------- - = ----------------- - = 4.98
2 ( f /X ) 2 0.063 5
Class : 4 0 -5 0 5 0 -6 0 6 0 -7 0 7 0 -8 0 8 0 -9 0 9 0 -1 0 0
Frequency: 19 25 36 72 51 43
4 0 -5 0 19 45 0 .4 2 2 2
5 0 -6 0 25 55 0.4545
6 0 -7 0 36 65 0.5 5 3 8
7 0 -8 0 72 75 0 .9 6 0 0
8 0 -9 0 51 85 0.6000
9 0 -1 0 0 43 95 0.4 5 2 6
N 246
Harmonic Mean = ----- ---------- HZ — ---- ~=71.45
2 (flm ) 3.4431
Important Illustrations
Illustrations 2 5 : From the following data of calculation of
arithmetic mean, find the missing item :
110 25 2,750
112 17 1,904
113 13 1,469
117 15 1,755
Z 14 14Z
125 8 1,000
128 6 768
130 2 260
N = 100 2 f x = 9906 I-1 4Z
X=
N
9906 + 14Z
1 1 5 -86 - — Too—
11586 = 9 9 0 6 + 14Z
— 14Z = — 11586 + 9906
— 14Z = — 1680
1680
120
14
Hence missing Value is 120.
Illu s t r a t io n 26. A market with 187 operating firms has
the following distribution of avarage numbar of workers in various
income groups •
Income - groups : 150-300 300-500 500 -8 0 0 8 0 0 -1 2 0 0
No. of firms : 40 32 39 34
Average No. of
workers : 8 12 5 7
Income-groups 1,200-1,800
No. of firms 42
Average No. of
workers
Find the average salary paid in the whole market.
42
5 0 - -59 54.5 1 + 20 +2 + 2
4 0 - -49 44.5 3 + 10 + 1 +3
3 0 - -39 34.5 8 0 0 0
2 0 - -29 24.5 10 — 10 —1 -1 0
1 0 --19 14.5 15 — 20 — 2 —30
0-- 9 4.5 3 —30 —3 — 9
N = 40 2 /c fx = — 44
43
A = 34.5
SfoTx = — 44 X = A + C
/V = 40
C = 10 = 34.5 + ^ ^ X 1 0 = 3 4 .5 — 11 = 2 3 .5
Wages in Rupees
100, 90, 99, 70, 76, 75, 89, 66, 109, 93, 97, 92 95, 67,
108, 86, 112, 68, 81, 77, 88, 105, 80, 85, 61, 72, 69, 118,
82, 78, 69, 71, 60, 63, 73, 65, 79, 64, 78, 84.
(B.Com.)
S o lu tio n :
Formation of frequency distribution and calculation of mean
£ / c / = — 100
I!
4=85
Zfd
X=A +
N
( - 100 )
=85+
40
= 8 5 — 2.5
= 8 2 .5
44
3,800 = 6 0 X i + 1,400
—60 X i = — 3 ,8 0 0 + 1 ,4 0 0
—60 Xx = — 2,400
_ 2,400
Al _ 60
X a = 40
45
Illustration : 3 1 . The mean yearly salary of employees of
company was Rs. 2 0,000 . The mean yearly salaries of male anc
female employees were Rs. 20,800 and Rs. 16,800 respectively
Find out the percentage of males and females employed by the
company. (B. Com
Value Frequency
Less than 10 4
20 16
30 40
40 76
50 96
60 112
70 120
46
■olution ! • i- K- * v t.J.I „ !• f > i; "l
Calculation of Median
Value Frequency c f.
0 — 10 4 4
10— 20 12 16
20— 30 24 40
30— 40 36 76
40— 50 20 96
50— 60 16 112
60— 70 8 120
70— 80 5 125
N - 125
M = L 1 - f — ~ - J- (m -c)
'1
= 30 + X 22 5
= 30 - f 6.25
= 36.25
1 'r: ■■ ; ,. cfc '
Illustration : 33. Find the missing frequency in the following
distribution if N is 1 70 and median is 35.
Variable : 0 - 1 0 1 0 -2 0 2 0 -3 0 3 0 -4 0 4 0 -5 0 5 0 -6 0 6 0 -7 0
Frequency: 10 20 ? 40 ? 25 15
47
Variable f c.f
0 -1 0 10 10
1 0 -2 0 20 30
2 0 -3 0 + 30+ +
3 0 -4 0 40 70++
4 0 -5 0 + 7 0 + / , + ,+
5 0 -6 0 25 95 + + + +
6 0 -7 0 15 110 + ++ +
N
M = Size of -^ -th item
170
— ■
— 2 — — 35th item
35 = 30 + -1 2 .(5 5 -^ )
35 - 30 = —
20 = 55— f t
f T = 55— 20
f, =35
The frequencies of the classes other than the missing ones are
(10 + 2 0 + 4 0 + 2 5 + 1 5 ) = 1 1 0 .
48
1 1 0 4 -^ + ^ = 1 7 0
Hence A ,+ fa= 1 7 0 — 1 1 0 = 6 0
Since 71+ / 1= 6 0
/ „ = 6 0 — 35
/ a= 25
Thus missing frequencies are ^ = 3 5 , f %— 25.
Calculation of Median
28
= 14th item
= 20 + ~ X 2 = 2 0 + 2 .5
M = 2 2 .5
Illustration : 3 5 Calculate the Mean, Median and Mode from
the following data of marks obtained by 10 students :
Solution .
Calculation of Mean, Median and Mode
S.No. Marks obtained (Marks arranged in ascending order)
, ii. i in .
1 31
2 37
3 43
4 48
5 48 "in^ 1
6 57
7 59
8 60
9 65
10 78 v?V \
3S
<r—
0
2X=526
II
A/4-1
(ii) Median=Size of - 2 th ltem
= 5.5th item
5th ite m + 6 th item
Size of 5.5 th item = ^ -----------
4 8 + 5 7 _ 2.05 _
52 5
60
i4 = 25
C = 5
Calculation of Mean :~
2/cf'x
X=A X C
N
-21 4
25+ X 5
384
= 25— 2.79
= 22.21
Calculation of Median
A /+ 1
Medians Size of —J-—th item
334+1
192.5
2
51
Calculation of Mode
Note: Pr epare Grouping and a n a l y s i s Table
Marks 20 i s th e Mode as i t o cc ur ed th e Maximum numbe
o f times.
Illustration 37 Calculate Mean, Median and Mode from the
following data :
Age : 2 0 -2 5 25 -3 0 30-35 35-40 40-45
No. of persons 40 60 100 200 130
Age : 45-50 50-55 55-60
No. of persons : 170 60 40
Mark 5 mp (m -A ) d jc
m f d dx fdx C-f
2 0 — 25 22.5 40 — 15 —3 — 120 40
2 5 — 30 27.5 60 — 10 —2 — 1 20 100
3 0 —35 32.5 100 — 5 —1 — 100 200
3 5 —40 37.5 200 0 0 0 400
4 0 — 45 42.5 130 + 5 + 1 + 130 530
45 —50 47.5 170 + 10 + 2 + 340 700
50 —55 52.5 60 + 15 + 3 + 180 760
55— 60 57.5 40 + 20 + 3 + 160 800
N = 800 2 fdx = + 4 7 0
4 = 3 7 .5
C-5
(i) Mean
X = A +
470
37 5 + ~800” X5
= 3 7 .5 + 2 .9 4
= 40.44
52
(It) Median
N
Median = Size of -y-th item
— ? ^ - = 400th item
Median = Ll + — — (m — c)
'1
o N
*? o
in
o
o
o
o
cs
=35+
1
o
=35+ 5 X 200
200 A
=35 + 5
= 40
Mode
M ode= L + Ai X i
A i+ A *
= 35+ 100 ~ 5
100+70 A 3
JOO
= 35+
170
= 3 5 + 2 .9 4
= 3 7 .9 4
LIST OF FORMULAE
Individual Series Discrete Series Continuous Series
TT _ S fX . . S fm
Direct Method ;
X ~ "TV- X N
Short cut Method
A N Short cut Method
* - a + h t
Short cut Method :
Step deviation Method
X - * + c
I n d i v i d u a l S e r ie s D is c r e t e S e r ie s I C o n tin u o u s S e r ie s
4. Geometric M ean :
s .m .= al a.M, . * ( * £ # £ )
AL — Antitog
5. Harmonic M e a n :
PROBLEMS
Family : A B C D E F G H 1 J
wH# Income : 30 70 10 75 500 8 42 250 40 36
Calculate the arithmetic average by (a) Direct method anj
(b) Short-cut method.
. (B.Com. Kashmir)
(Ans : X = 1 0 6 .1 >
•t
(B.A Madras)
(Ans : X = 208)
56
37.5— 42.5 4
42.5— 47.5 6
47.5— 52.5 1
52.5— 57.5 1
(I C W .A )
(Ans: X = 28.25)
6 10 58 56 0 25 32 35 35 9
78 17 60 50 35 38 30 10 48 5
68 48 35 30 31 21 23 23 50 72
19 25 35 40 46 42 45 25 60 41
35 36 38 35 33 46 28 31 35 42
46 38 39 45 48 50 28 29 31 55
(B.Com., Mysore)
(Ans : X = 3 7 )
Hint : Combine the first and second classes and then com
pute arithmetic mean.
®i
(Ans: X — 7T ? *5'
16. From the following data compute the mean marks of all
the students of 50 schools in a city.
Marks obtained No. of schools Average No. of
students in a school
More than 35 7 200
3 0 — 35 10 250
2 5 —30 15 300
20 — 25 9 200
15— 20 5 150
Less than 15 4 100
(B.Com. Rajasthan)
(Ans : X = 27.85)
(M .A ., Economics, Punjab) il
{A n s : X , 9 = 5 9 .2 5 cm s.)!
(M .B.A., Delhi)
50. From the following table given below, find the mean and
in median :
Marks No. of students Marks No. of students
1— 5 7 21— 25 24
6— 10 10 26 —30 18
11 — 15 60 31 — 35 10
16— 20 32 3 6 — 40 5
41— 45 1
(B.Com. Osmania)
i.'fy'v! ' ''• ••»Mf'- (Ans : X = 1 8.42 M = 16 .5 2 )
S.No. : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Marks : 54 71 57 52 49 45 72 57 47
(Ans : X = 5 6 ; M = 5 4 ; M u= 5 7 )
66. Calc ulate mean, median and mode from the following
frequency distribution of marks at a test in
statistics : ■,sr
Marks 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
No. of students : 20 43 75 76 72 45 39 9 8 6
(B.Com. Punjab)
(Ans : X = 2 2 .1 6
M =20
M 0= 20)
67. Calculate mean, median and mode for the following
frequency :
Monthly income No. of lecturers
30 0 — 325 5
3 25— 350 17
3 50— 375 80
375— 400 227
4 0 0 — 425 326
4 2 5 — 450 248
4 50— 475 88
475— 500 9
(B.Com. Nagpur)
(Ans : X=41 2.33
M„ = 413.98)
71
68. Find the mean, median and mode from the following :|
Below Marks No. of students
10 5
20 9
30 17
40 29
50 45
60 60
70 70
80 78
90 83
100 85
(M.A.
(Ans : X = 4 8 .4 1
M = 4 8 .4 4
M 0= 4 8 )
69. From the figures given below find the mode, median
quartiles
Age : 20-25 25-30 3 0 -3 5 35-40 40-45 45-5
No. of persons : 50 70 100 180 150 120
Age : 50-55 55-60
No. oF persons : 70 50
(B.Com. Agr,
(Ans: M 0= 3 8 .6 4
M = 3 9 .8 6
Qx= 3 3 .8 9
Qs = 4,6.80)
72. Find the mean, median and mode of the following distri
bution.
Class : 2 0 -2 4 2 5 -2 9 3 0 -3 4 3 5 -3 9 4 0 -4 4 4 5 -4 9
Frequency 10 20 12
Class : 5 0 -5 4 5 5 -5 9
Frequency : 3 1
(B. Com. Gujarat)
(Ans : X = 3 7 67
M = 3 7 .5
M 0= 3 7 ,3 )
73
Size of item : 0 -1 0 1 0 -2 0 2 0 -3 0 3 0 -4 0 4 0 -5 0 5 0 -6 0
Frequency 2 18 30 45 35 20
11JM
Size of item 6 0 -7 0 7 0 -8 0
Frequency 6 3
(B.Com. Nagpur)
(Ans : Q1= 2 6 .5 8
Q3= 4 6 .9 3
D l = 1 7 .7 2 )
X : 10 20 30 40 50 60
f : 12 15 25 10 6 2
(A n s : G .M = 2 5 .3 0 )
Marks : 0 -1 0 1 0 -2 0 2 0 -3 0 3 0 -4 0 4 0 - 5 0
No. of students : 5 7 15 25 8
(Ans: G M = 2 5 .6 3 )
1 0 0 -1 1 0 1 1 0 -1 2 0 1 2 0 -1 3 0 1 3 0 -1 4 0
No. of persons 14 16 30 20
Weight 1 4 0 -1 5 0 1 5 0 -1 6 0
No. of persons 15 5
(Ans: G.M = 126.3)
74
Family : A B C D E F G H I J
i .come (Rs): 85 70 10 75 500 8 42 250 40 36
(B.Com. Mysore)
(,Ans : H.M.= 2 8 .8 )
X : 10 12 14 16 18 20
f : 5 1« 20 10 6 1
(A n s : H .M = 1 3.5)
Class : 5 -1 0 1 0 -1 5 1 5 -2 0 2 0 -2 5 2 5 -3 0 3 0 -3 5
Frequency : 2 9 29 54 11 5
(A n s: H.M = 1 9 . 6 5 )
(B.Com., Osmania Nov., 1983) According to Simpson and Kafka "The measurement of the-
(Ans : Median = 1 5.73) ,, uttemess of the mass of figures in a series about an average is
niiod measure of variation or dispersion."
85. Calculate the Median annual income of a group of
employees from the data given below : The following are the important methods of studying,
ll Annual Income in Rupees •iitpersion :
No. of employees
([iff: Under — 2000 15 1. The Range
,i 2 0 0 0 — 2999 32
300 0 — 3999 2. The Quartile Deviation
65
4000 — 4999 79 3. The Mean Deviation or Average Deviation
'§ 5 0 0 0 — 5999 90
6000 — 6999 A. The Standard Deviation and
i 57
# 7000 — 7999 36 5. The Lorenz curve (This one is graphic method).
/ 800 0 and above 14
Measures of dispersion may be either absolute or relative.
l l (B.Com., Osmania, May 1984)
Absolute measures of dispersion are expressed in the same statistics f
■ (Ans : M = 5 0 3 2 .8 3 )
unit in which the original data are given such as rupees, cms.,
86. Given below is the distribution of profits (in '000 Rs 1 lonnes etc. These values may be used to compare the variation in
b earned by 94 book depots in a certain territory. Find the mo da i wo distributions provided the variables are expressed in the same
1 value. units and of the same average size. A measure of relative dispersion
L tj* it the ratio of a measure of absolute dispersion to an appropriate
Profit No. of book depots average and is also sometimes known as a coefficient o*- dispersion.
\ Below 20 5 Ii is a pure number and is independent of units of measurement.
By, ft. „ 30 14 Therefore, for comparison between two or more distributions;
„ 40 27 employing different units of measurement, say rupees and tonnes,
. „ 50 48 M only a relative measure of variability can be useful.
1] „ 60 68
70 83
„ 80
1. Range
91
90 94 Range is defined as the difference between the highest
value and the lowest value included in the distribution. Range
(A n s: M o d e = 5 0 .0 4 ) (B.Com., Osmania, May 1985)
77
and c o e ffic ie n t of range w ill be computed by applying the follow
ing formulae.
Range = L—S
Where 1 = Largest value, and
S = Smallest value
Coefficient of Range =
L+ S
Illustration 1. The following are the wages of 8 workers
of a factory. Find the range of variation and also compute the
coefficient of range.
Wages in Rs.
125, 175, 230, 80. 95, 195, 275, 150
Solution :
Range = L—S
L - 275
S = 80
Range = 2 7 5 — 80 = Rs. 195
L— S
Coefficient of Range =
L+ S
275 — 80 195
0.549
275 + 80 355
Marks 10-20 2 0 -3 0 3 0 -4 0 4 0 -5 0 5 0 -6 0
No. of students 16 20 24 16 8
Solution f
Range — L — S
L = 60
S = 10
Range = 60 — 10 = 50
L— S 6 0 — 10 50
Coefficient of Range = = 0.71
L+ S ~ 6 0 + 10 70
78
Qt Qi
Coefficient of Quartile Deviation
Q , + Qy
Calculation of Quartile Deviation :
(A) Individual Series
H lustration3. Find out the value of quarti le deviati on and
its coefficient from the following data :
Roll No. : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Marks : 30 42 60 18 45 24 75
Solution : Calculation of Quartile Deviation
Marks are arranged in ascending order : 18 24 30 42 45
60 75
A/4-1
Q. = Size of — \— th item
1 4
7+1
=S ize of th item = 2 nd item
3X8
Size of 3 (■ 7+ ) th item 6th item
Q.D. = °1 _ 7— 4 3
1.5
2 ” 2 ~~
O
7— 4
I
m
i-= 0 .2 7 3
I
Q i 4*Q|. 7+4 11
80
( loss Interval :
10-15 1 5 -2 0 2 0 -2 5 2 5 -3 0 3 0 -4 0 4 0 -5 0 5 0 -6 0 6 0 -7 0
I requency :
4 12 16 22 10 8 6 4
(C.A. Intermediate)
Solution i
Calculati on of Quartile Deviation and its coefficient.
1 0 -1 5 4 4
1 5 -2 0 12 16
2 0 -2 5 16 32
2 5 -3 0 22 54
3 0 -4 0 10 64
4 0 -5 0 8 72
5 0 -6 0 6 78
6 0 -7 0 4 82
82
=Size of i|L th item = ■= 20.5th item
x 4
lies in the class 2 0 -2 5
P ■
H*1
^ (q -O
II
'i
2^— 20
Qi = 20+ (2 0 .5 -1 6 )
20+ X 4.5
22.5
= 20 +
16
- 2 0 + 1 .4 1
= 21.41
81
3 N 3 X 82
<?3 =Size of —jj- th item = —- — = 6 1 .5th item
Q. = / 1 + M * (q?-c)
h ^
4 0 — 30
Qa = 30 + (6 1 .5 — 54)
10
= 30 + ~ X 7.5
= 30 + 7.5
= 37.5
Q3 — Q t 3 7 .5 — 21.41 _ 16.09
Q.O =8.045
2 ~ 2 2
Q ,— Q i 3 7 .5 — 21.41
Coefficient of Q.D. =
Q 3 + Q i ~ 3 7 .5 + 2 1 .4 1
16.09
= 0.27
58.91
2 ID I
Mean Deviation or M. D. = — -
Note : Only the measure of central value which has been used
for calculating deviations should be taken in the denominator.
Illustration 6 Calculate the Mean Deviation from (i) Mearv
(ii) Median and (iii) Mode in respect of the marks obtained by nine
students given below.
MarKs (out of 25) 7, 4, 10, 9, 15, 12, 7. 9, 7,
Solution t Calculation of mean deviation from mean, median and
mode.
Mean
„ 2X
* ” N
2 X = 7+4+10+9+15+12+7+9+7
= 80
v __ 80
A ~ g 8 .9
Median :
M = Size o f H + 1 th item
94-1
= size of — _ 5 th item
Mode :
M 0= 7 . (Since 7 is repeated the maximum number of
times i. e., 3)
2 I D | = 2 1 .1 2 D | =21 2 D | =23
3T | D I 21 1
Mean deviation (from Mean) = — —L = —g—= 2.34
Solution:
Coefficient of M.D. (from M ean )= o ,26
' Mean 8.9
»* TOO
Coefficient of M.D (from Median) = - ■ — = — - — = 0 . 2 6
Median 9
M .D ~ S M Q 1
N
Illustration 8. Calculate mean deviation (take deviations
from mean) from the following data. Also find out its coefficient.
X : 2 4 6 8 10
f : 1 4 6 4 1
(B.Com. Banarasl
2 1 2 4 4
4 4 16 2 8
6 6 36 0 0
8 4 32 2 8
10 1 10 4 4
A /= 1 6 £ /X := 96 2 f [ D | =24
-ZfX 96
= 6
N 16
D I 24
M.D - 2 / = 1 .5
N 16
Mean deviation
Coefficient of M D =
Mean
N = :50 y J \D \ =360
A/+1
Median = Size of — th item
50+1
:25.5th item
_ Zf\D I 360
M.D 7.2
” N ~ 50
MD. 7.2
Coefficient of M.D = 0.36
Median 20
M.D - SM Q l
~ N
N: =50 -£ fd x = 3 2 / | D | = 191.16
X fd x
X=A+
N
4 = 1 0 .5
C= 3
■2fdx=3
A /=50
* = '° - 5+ 4 > x3
= 1 0 .5 + 0 .1 8 = 10.68
191.16
M .D = ^ = - -- 3.82
50
M .D _ 3.82
Coefficient of M .D = 0.36
X 10.66
Age group : 1 6 -2 0 2 1 -2 5 2 6 -3 0 3 1 -3 5 3 6 -4 0
Mo. of Policy holders i 8 15 13 20 11
' r*■r'"'.; ,vv,: •• • v■L-
Age group : 4 1 -4 5 4 6 -5 0 5 1 -5 5 5 6 -6 0
.Mo. of Policy holders : 7 3 2 1
Calculate mean deviation from the median.
87
1 6 -2 0 8 8 18 13.5 108.0
2 1 -2 5 15 23 23 8.5 127.5
2 6 -3 0 13 36 28 3.5 45.5
3 1 -3 5 20 56 33 1.5 30.0
3 6 -4 0 11 67 38 6.5 71.5
4 1 -4 5 7 74 43 11.5 80.5
4 6 -5 0 3 77 48 16.5 49.5
5 1 -5 5 2 79 53 21.5 43.0
5 6 -6 0 1 80 58 26.5 26.5
oo
o
Zf\D =582
II
M= L 1+ (m -c )
'i
3 5 .5 — 30.5
= 3 0 .5 + (4 0 —36)
20
= 3 0 .5 +
= 3 0 .5 + 1 = 31.5
^ f \ D \ _ 582
MD— 7.28
N ~ 80
tii) Take the deviations of the items from the mean, i.e,, find
(X -X )- Denote these deviations by x.
/ 5 -343 t -is y
V 10 v 10 /
/ 225
— / \ J 534.3 100
= \ / 534.3 — 2,25
= V 532.05
= 23.066
(ii) Find the deviation of the items from the mean i.e.,
(X— X ) and denote these deviations by x.
(iii) These deviations are then squared and multiplied by
the respective frequencies and then obtain the total
i.e., S f r 2
fti
(iv) Apply the following formula
/2 W 2 f Zfd\'
V N V N )
Where d — ( X—A)
/4=Assumed mean
, S ftfa* / *Zfd,
^fdx\ ^ n
a ~ V N V N /
Where,
(X -A )
dx =
>1=Assumed mean
C=Common factor.
Note : The use of this formula simplifies calculations.
Marks
X (V ! „=39 fd fd 2
a
10 8 — 20 — 160 3 ,200
20 12 — 10 — 120 1,200
30 20 0 0 0
40 10 + 10 + 100 1,000
50 7 + 20 + 140 2,800
60 3 + 30 + 90 2,700
N = 60 % f d = + 50 = 10,900
92
/ 2W 2 ^' 's.fd y
r=V . N )
1 10,900 ( 50 Y
=v 60 V 60 /
/ 10,900 2500
=y 60 3600
V7 181.67 — 0.69
= \ / 180.98
= 13.45
(iv) Square the deviations and multiply them with the respective
frequencies of each class and obtain S fr/x 2.
C
T= v ^ _ f B V x c
V N N )
(m — A )
dx =
/2 W x a
g =
V N - { n r ) ' x c
-2 6 y v „
* / 112 (
V 76 V
— / 112
676 X 2
V 76 5776 X 2
= — 0 12X2
= V/1.35 X 2
= 1.16 X 2
f■l
2.32
_ //V 1g , a + N ag 22 + /V1rf13 + / \ W
13 ' A/ N\ + N 2
Where g ia = Combined standard deviation.
g( = Standard deviation of first group.
ga = Standard deviation of second group,
di = (^ i r/a= ( X * —
94
Solution :
/v 1x , + n , x 2
* 1. N x+ N t
N y = 280, Wa = 3 5 0 , Xj - 45, X a = 54
(2 8 0 x 4 5 ) + (3 50X 54 ) 12600 + 18900
X ja " 280 + 350 ~ 630
31500
^ia 630 50
_ _ //Vi<Tia+A/a<T,*+/V1</Ja+/Varfaa
“ V 7^+N2
Nx = 280, Na = 350, <jx = 6, = 4
dx = ( X x - X .a ) = ( 4 5 - 5 0 ) = - 5
e/a =* (X a- X i a) - (5 4 -5 0 ) - 4
'280(6)2 + 3 5 0 (4 )a + 280 (—5)a + 350(4)*
>12
V 280 + 350
5 0 0 — 700 5 A
7 0 0 — 900 11 30
9 0 0 — 1100 26 12
1100-1-1300 10 8
1300— 1500 8 6
60 60
(C.A. Intermediate)
96
mp (m— 1000)
Length of Life f dx = fdx fdx*
3 m 200
5 0 0 -7 0 0 600 5 —2 — 10 20
7 0 0 -9 0 0 800 11 —1 — 11 11
9 0 0 -1 1 0 0 1000 26 0 0 0
1 100-13 00 1200 10 + 1 + 10 11
1300-1500 1400 8 +2 + 16 32
N = 60 2 f d x = 5 -2 fdx*
=73
2 fdx
Mean = A + ~~j\j X C
= 1 0 0 0 + — 60" x 2 00
= 10 0 0 + 16.67 = 1,016.6 7
J.fd x* /
<y= V / N V N )
_ / 73
( 5 ^ 200
60 V 60 )
73
25 X
- V - 60 :3600
1.1 X 2 0 0 = 220
<T 220
C.V. = - j j - X 100 = ~1t0 16.67 X 100 = 21.64
(7 ) 97
5 0 0 - 700 600 4 —2 — 8 16
7 0 0 - 900 800 30 —1 — 30 30
9 0 0 -1 1 0 0 1000 12 0 0 0
1 1 0 0 -1 3 0 0 1200 8 + 1 -Jr 8 8
1 3 0 0 -1 5 0 0 1400 6 + 2 + 12 24
N--= 60 X f d x = — 18
-7 8
•2. fdx -1 8
CJ
X
fZ fd x 2 ( 2 fdx y
<j= x c
V N \ N
( - 18 y X 200
=
V/ 78
60 \ 60/
32 4 v 200
=
V/ 78
60 " 3600
= V 1.3 — 0.09 X 200
ssx v /1 .2 1 X 2 0 0
220
C .V . - -|x 100 X 1 00 = 23.40
9 40
Variance «= a 2
or a - v/Variance
98
Important illustrations
1 39 7 42
2 40 8 43
3 40 9 43
4 41 10 44
5 41 11 44
6 42 12 45
(B.Com,, Meerut)
Solution i
Calculation of Quartile Deviation and its Coefficient.
The values are already arranged in ascending order.
/V4-1
Q, — Size of — j - t h item
4
= = 3 .2 5 item
Q8 = Size of 3 ^ th item
= = 9.75th item
4
0 .0 = = ^ 7 5 -4 0 .2 5 = J O , 76
Am i. Z
99
Les6 than 35 14 14
3 5 — 37 62 76
38 — 40 99 175
41 — 43 18 193
over— 43 7 200
N 200
Q, = Size o f-j-th item = —j— = 5 0 th item
1 4 4
Qi = K +
= 34.5 + 3 - —g (50— 1 4)
= 34.5 + ^ X 36
= 34.5 + 1.74
= 3 6.24.
\
100
3 a/ 3 y 900
arg = Size of th *tem = — 4 — — 1 5 0 + item
03 = /, + '^ P ^ ( m - c )
'i
4 0 .5 — 37.5
= 37.5 + (1 5 0 — 76)
99
= 37.5 X 74
99
= 37.5 + 2.24
~ 39.74
QD - Qa— Qx _ 3 9 - 7 4 - 3 6 .2 4 ^ 3.5
2 2 2
Boys Girls
Number 100 50
Mean weight 60Kgs. 45Kgs.
Variance 9 4
d i = (Xj—X 12 ). = ( X ; - X l 2)
N
Ni + Na ■
100X60 + 50X45
100 + 50
Coeffici'
55
#
mula
/)X 4 1 + (1 0 0 X 2 5 )+ (5 0 X 1 0 0 )
fia - * y —
100+50
, 900+200+2500+5000
” V ^50
8600
ygQ = v/5 7 .3 3 = 7.57
C,V. X 100
3
= W x 100 = 5
Girls
C.V. = X 100
2
= “4 5 " X 1 0 0 = 4 .4 4
Note : a - ^/variance
102
t. Quartile Deviation :
Q.D. = Q3“ Q l
Q 3- q i
2 Coefficient of Q.D.
Coefficient of Q.D. _ ^3—Q l
Q .-Q i Q s+Q x
Q »+Q i
/2 d 8 ( Td \ a _ / S tt2 / V
'Zfd
c ” V N K N J ° V N \ N )
iiscrete and Continuous
CoefficJL
Series
N V N )
/ tion or <jia
/ N ^ S + N o S + N ^ S + N td *
'u V Nt+ N t
d\ ™ X i Xia
d j — Xa X 12
a
c.v. -x 100
7. Variance :
Variance = <ja
or _________
<y *= y/Variance
y. Loe i f i c i e n t o f s ta n d a r d d e v i a t i o n =
it i
104
PROBLEMS
Marks : 0 -1 0 1 0 -2 0 2 0 -3 0 3 a - 40 4 0 -5 0
No, of students : 4 12 20 18 15
Marks : 5 0 -6 0 6 0 -7 0 7 0 -8 0
No. of students : 8 §2 1
(B.Ctrm. Osmania)
(Ans : (a) Range = 80
(b) Coefficient of Range = 1)
3. Find out the value of quartile deviation and its coaff icient
from the following data :
Size : 3 2 -3 6 3 6 -4 0
Frequency : 6 2
(C.A.)
(Ans / Q.D. = 5.21)
8. Calculate the quartile deviation and its coefficient fr
the given data :
W ag es: 2 0 -2 5 2 5 -3 0 3 0 -3 5 3 5 -4 0 4 0 -4 5
No. of workers: 2 10 25 16 7
.
(B.Com., Jodhpur)
(Ans i (a) Q.D. = 3.45
(b) Coefficient of Q.D. = 0 .10)
106
9. Compute the quartile deviation for the following distri
bution :
Marks: 0 -9 1 6 -1 9 2 0 -2 9 3 0 -3 9 4 0 -4 9 5 0 -5 9
•'■quency : 3 9 15 30 18 5
(B,A., Madras)
(A n s: Q.D. = 8.17)
Mid-point : 15 20 ?5 30 35 40 45
Frequency : 15 33 5fe 103 40 32 10
Ans : (a) G( D- = 4.56
(b) Coefficient of Q.D. = 0.156)
* f X f
300— 399 14 800— 899 62
400— 499 46 900— 999 48
5 00— 599 58 1 0 0 0 -1 0 9 9 22
600— 699 76 1 1 0 0 -1 1 9 9 6
700— 799 68
* c ;a „ Intermediate)
(Ans : M = 7 0 8 .3 2 ;: M 0= 6 6 5 .7 3 ; Q ,D .= 1 4 6 .1 6 )
13. Compute the mean deviation from (i) Mean (ii) Medltfi
and (iii) Mode in respect of the marks obtained by nine student
given below : ■
Marks (out of 50) : 14, 8, 20, 18, 30, 24, 14. 18, 14
(Ans t (i) M .D .= 4 .6 l
(ii) M .D .= 4 .6 |
(iii)M .D .«5.11)
17. Calculate the mean deviation from mean for the follow
ing series. Also find out its coefficient.
Marks : 0 -1 0 1 0 -2 0 2 0 -3 0 3 0 -4 0 4 0 -5 0
No. of students : 5 8 15 16 6
(B.Com.)
(Ans : (i) M.D = 9.44
(ii) Coefficient of M .D.= 0 .3 5 )
108
50, 55. 57, 49, 54, 61, 64, 59,, 58, 56.
(Ans : a = 4 . 3 8 )
23. Find the mean value and the standard deviation of the
daily out put of finished articles :
No. of articles : 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
No. of workers : 3 7 11 14 18 17 13 8 5 4
(B.Com. Madurai)
(Ans: X : 22.38
O : 2 .1 8 )
109
110
*u't under : 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 no
hi of persons
dying : 15 30 53 75 100 110 115 125
(B.Com. Keral.i)
(Ans : X ■ 35.16
a : 19.76)
30. From the data given below state which series is more
variable :
109
1 vl.C.W.A)
Age under 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
No. of perrons
dying 15 30 53 75 1 00 1 10 115 125
(B.Com. Kerala)
01, ( Ans : X : 35.16
1j : 19.76)
30. From the data given below state which series is more
variable :
Variable Series A. Series B.
1 0 -2 0 10 18
2 0 -3 0 18 22
3 0 -4 0 32 40
4 0 -5 0 40 32
5 0 -6 0 22 18
6 0 -7 0 18 10
. 4fy ;'V': (C.A.)
(Ans : C.V. (A) - 3 3 .3 4
W p;| X C.V. (B) = 37.2
Series B is more variable compared to A)
111
31. Calculate the Standard Deviation from the following
data :
Temperature 'C' No. of Days
_ 4 0 to — 30 10
— 30 to — 20 28
— 20 to — 10 30
— 10 to 0 42
0 to 10 65
10 to 20 180
20 to 30 10
(B. Com. Nagpur)
{Ans: 0 = 14.73)
( 8) 113
|
i
f
t
/
CHAPTER IV
Skewness
a —z
skewness (or SKP )
&
115
Where a=M ean. z=M o d e. <T=Standarcl deviation
Measurement, 10 11 12 13 14 15
Frequency : 2 4 10 8 5 1
Measurement (X -1 2 )
X f d fd fd*
10 2 —2 —4 8
11 4 —1 —4 4
12 10 0 0 0
13 8 + 1 +8 8
14 5 + 2 + 10 20
15 1 + 3 +3 9
N = 30 ^.fd = 13 == 49
116
= 12 + = 1 2 + 0 .4 3 = 12.43
Standard deviation :
/lE fd *
° - V N V N )
0.43
0.36
1.2
Illustration 2 . Calculate the coefficient of skewness for the
following distribution.
Class-interval 0 - '10 1 0 -2 0 2 0 -3 0 3 0 -4 0 4 0 -5 0 | 5 0 -6 0
f 3 5 7 10 12 15
Class-interval : 6 0 -•70 7 0 -8 0 8 0 -9 0 9 0 -1 0 0
1 : 12 6 2 8
m.p. (m -5 5 )/ 10
Class-interval f m dx fdx fdx2
0 — 10 3 5 —5 — 15 75
10— 20 5 15 —4 — 20 SO
20 — 30 7 25 —3 — 21 63
3 0 — 40 10 35 —2 — 20 40
4 0 — 50 12 45 —1 — 12 12
50— 60 15 55 0 0 0
6 0 — 70 12 65 + 1 + 12 12
70— 80 6 75 + 2 + 12 24
80 — 90 2 85 + 3 + 6 18
90 — 100 8 -05 + 4 + 32 128
N = 80 = = — 26 S fd x * = 452
tr—
o
Standard Deviation:
V 5.J65 0.11 X 10
O' - 4 fdx2 - f *-fd x \
ff . = v 5.54 X TO
• = 2.35 X 10 = 23.5
0- . /~ Z z M*\ x C o -e ffic ie n t of Skewness = Mean - Mode
JO/
51.75 - 55 -3.25
V
20 8 8
21 10 18
22 11 ■ :! 29
23 16 '■rjy “'■!■,1 45
24 20 65
25 25 8v . 90
26 15 105
27 9 114
28 5 119
Q 3 4 -Q 1 — 2 Median
Hence Median = 24
2 5 + 2 3 -2 (2 4 ) _ 4 8 -4 8 _
- 25 — 23 2
Vbriable : 7 0 -8 0 8 0 -9 0
frequency : 8 4
Solution
Calculation of Bowley's Coefficient of Skewness
Variable f c.f.
1 0 -2 0 5 5
2 0 -3 0 9 14
3 0 -4 0 14 28
4 0 -5 0 20 48
5 0 -6 0 25 73
6 0 -7 0 15 88
7 0 -8 0 8 96
8 0 -9 0 4 100
3 N 3X100
3s=S ize of th item = ----- ^-----= 7 5 th item (Q3 lies in 6 0 — 70)
N 100
Median=Si7e of -^-th item = - y = 50th item (M lies in 5 0 — 60)
Q i= ^ + qQ' c)
'l
= 30 + ^ ° I= ? -0 ( 2 5 - 1 4 ) = 3 0 + X 11 = 3 0 + 7 .8 6 = 3 7 .8 6
14
119
/ _l —__—1(q ,
tl+ h
■JA CA 4A
= 60 + n r — ( 7 5 - 7 3 ) = 6 0 + 4 ^ - X 2 = 6 0 + 1 .3 3 = 6 1 .3 3
10 10
M = Z.1+ ^ ~( Ll (m—c)
= 50 + 6° ~ ! ° (50— 4 8 ) = 5 0 + 4 j - X 2 = 5 0 + 0 .8 - 50 8
zo zb
Q 3+ Q x— 2 Median
SK
Q3— Q j
6 1 .3 3 + 3 7 .8 6 — 2 (50.8)
6 1 .3 3 — 37.86
Im p o rtan t Illustrations
lilustation 5. For a moderately skewed distribution Mean =
160, Mode = 157 and standard deviation = 40. Find (i) Coeffi
cient of variation (ii) Pearson's coefficient of skewness and (iii)
Median.
Solution :
40
(i) C.V. = X 100 = X 1 0 0 = 25.
160
Mean—Mode 160— 157
(ii) Pearson's coefficient of S K = = 0.08
O 40
(ifi) Median : With the help of the following formula
1 5 7 - 3 Median — 320
— 3 Median - — 3 2 0 — 157
477
Median = 159
120
Solution :
_ tc . , i Mean—Mode
Coefficient of skewness = --------- ---------
a
0 32 _ 2 9 .6 —Mode
6.5
Mode - 29.6— 0 .3 2 x 6 .5
— 29 6 —2.08
= 27.52
PROBLEMS
(Ans : Coefficient of SK ■
------- 0 .2 4 ;
x : 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
f : 12 27 29 19 8 4 1 0
(Ans : Coefficient of SK = 0)
70 — 80 12 110— 120 50
8 0 — 90 18 120— 130 45
9 0 — 100 35 1 3 0 — 140 20
100— 110 42 140— 150 8
Mid-value Frequency
75 35
100 40
125 48
150 100
175 125
200 80
225 50
250 22
H in t: It is a bi-modal series.
Mid-value : 10 20 30 40 50 60
frequency : 8 12 20 10 7 3
x: 0 -1 0 1 0 -2 0 2 0 -3 0 3 0 -4 0 4 0 -5 0 5 0 -6 0 6 0 -7 0
f: 6 12 22 48 56 32 18
x ■ 7 0 -8 0
f: 6
yh 4';
(Ans : Coefficient of SK = — 0 .0 5 2 )
(Ans ■ a - 22.5).
Variable : 2 1 -2 3 2 4 -2 6 2 7 -2 9 3 0 -3 2 3 3 -3 5 3 6 -3 8
Frequency : 17 193 399 194 27 10
(Ans: Coefficient of SK = 0.07)
21. Find Bowley's coefficient of skewness for the following
frequency distribution.
Size : 1 0 -2 0 2 0 -3 0 3 0 -4 0 4 0 -5 0 5 0 -6 0 6 0 -7 0
Frequency 6 10 18 30 12 10
Size : 7 0 -8 0 8 0 -9 0
Frequency : 6 2
(B.Com. Osmania)
(Ans : Coefficient of Skewness=:0.04)
23. Find a suitable measure of skewness from the following
distribution :
Correlation
x - (X -X ); Y - (Y— Y)
2 x y =• Sum of the product of deviations in
“ \ / r x 9X 2 y *
Where x = (X—X)
Y = (Y— Y )
(c) Square the deviations and obtain the sum of the res
pective squares of deviations, i. e., 2 x * and 2 y 9
PROBABLE €RROR
(b) If the value of r is more than six times the probable error
the coefficient of correlation is practically certain, i.e.,
the value of r is significant.
Solution:
Calculation of coefficient of correlation
X (X -X ) X = 6 Y (Y -Y ) 'Y = 13
X X2 y ya xy
3 —3 9 9 —4 16 + 12
4 —2 4 11 -2 4 + 4
6 0 0 14 + 1 6
7 + 1 2 15 + 2 4 + 2
10 +4 16 16 +3 9 + 12
2X=30 2 x = 0 2 x a= 3 0 2 V = 65 2 y = 0 2 y ?= 3 4 S * y = 3 0
131
2 xy
x = (X— X) y = (Y — Y)
2 X 2 /
1
'X N Y~ n r
30 65
= 6 13
2 x y - 30, S xa 31, 2 y 2 = 34
_ 30 30 30
+ 0 .9 4
r " v/3 0 x 3 4 “ V 1020 3 1 .9 4
2 d xX 2</y
2 d xd ,
N
P-—
/ ( 2 d x)* (-2d,)*
V 3 /,* — N V xdy N
Illustration 2. Find the coefficient of correlation from the
following data :
X: 46 54 56 56 58 60 62
Y: 36 40 44 54 42 58 54
Solution:
Calculation of Coefficient of Correlation
X (X-56) Y (y -4 5 )
dx dx* dy d,* dxdy
46 — 10 100 36 — 9 81 +90
54 — 2 4 40 — 5 25 + 10
56 0 0 44 — 1 1 0
56 0 0 54 + 9 81 0
5.8 + 2 4 42 — 3 9 — 6
60 + 4 16 58 + 13 169 + 52
62 + 6 36 54 + 9 81 + 54
447 + 200
*
0 160 + 13
II
2 d xdy-
N
(.2 d x)*
2d* -
' N
0X13
200 —
7
74 4 7 - (1 3 )a
V 7
_________ 200_______
= V/ T60" V 422.86
200 _ 200
~ 1 2 .6 5 x 2 0 .5 6 ~ 2 6 0 . 13 “ + ° - 769
133
Solution:
1— ra
P.E. r = 0 .6 7 4 5 X
v/7v-
1— (0 .8 )2
— 0 ,6 7 4 5 X
1— 0.64
= 0.6 7 4 5 X
2,65
6SD2
A/3—
A B O D E
X 1 2 3 5 4
V 2 1 4 3 5
Solution i5
*
Calculation of Rank Correlation Coefficient
X y
*2 D
1 2 —1 1
2 1 + 1 1
3 4 —1 1
5 3 + 2 4
4 5 —1 1
2 D a= 8
= W = N ? D * = 8 ,N = 5
6X8 48 - 1 48 0 .4 = 0 .6
5 3— 5 “ 1 125— 5 ~ 1 120
X 99 47 68 57 76 61 30 44 82 58
y 75 63 72 42 74 41 20 64 68 67
Illustration .7
he given data :
N - 7. ■3
CD
elation Coefficient
Solution “ O
* ? -
I1 I i D D2
CD (O
0 0
o /r 1 1
a u> 1 1
-1 1
/4 2 1 1
5 41 9 -4 16
30 10 20 10 0 0
44 9 64 6 3 9
82 2 68 4 -2 4
58 6 67 5 1 1
2 D *= 3 4
6 20*
tm — 1-
A/3—/V
6X34 204 204
1 = 1— 1— 0 .2 1 = 0 .7 9
io»—io: -
1 0 0 0 — 10 990
X fli Y (/?}
D D1
2 0 1 45 1 0 0 . 0 0
25 3 80 1 0 —7 49.00
75 9 63 6 + 3 9.00
2 D 2 = 1 19.5
6 / S D 24- - A - ( m s— m ) + (m 3— m) \
re = 1 — 1 12 12 J
N s—N
The item 25 is repeated 3 tim es in series X, So m = 3 ir>
series / th e item 5 0 repeated 2 tim es so m = 2.
:; < 1 1 9 .5 + + (3 » -3 ) + + ( 2 .- 2 )
_____
6 [ 1 1 9 .5 + 2 + 0 .5]
= 1
990
6X122 732
1 — 0 .7 4 = 0 .2 6
990 990
137
/ 72 c—n \
rc - ± a/ ± ( — 77— j
Solution :
Calculation of correlation by concurrent Deviation Method.
145 170
150 + 155 — —
165 + 180 + +
140 — 210 + —
175 + 220 + +
C-= 2
rc - ± V / ± ( M r ?)
c = 2. n <= 5 — 1 = 4
/ / 2 X 2— 4 ) - \ / o
fc - ± V 4 V "4~= ° '
Important illustrations
Illu s t r a t io n 8 . Ten competitors in a beauty contest are
tanked by three judges in the following order :
1st Judge 1 5 4 8 9 6 10 7 3 2
2nd Judge 4 8 7 6 5 9 10 3 2 1
3rd Judge 6 7 8 1 5 10 9 2 3 4
1 4 6 9 25 4
5 8 7 9 4 1
4 7 8 9 16 1
8 6 1 4 49 25
9 5 5 16 16 0
6 9 10 9 16 1
10 10 9 0 1 1
7 3 2 16 25 1
3 2 3 1 0 1
2 1 4 1 4 9
74 156 44
List of Formulae
;V. ■ ■ i; " '% $j , f ;fi, k t :i! 0 'ii'/ '& ? > M ' ■1
X *y 2xy Sx2
or ; (Tx =
/Vcrx<Ty s/^^'ZY N
/ — *2
x = (X— X ) ; y — (y—-y ) ; (T,
Vor
(ii) When deviations are taken from assumed mean :
S cfx x ~Zdy
S cfx dy —
/V
r — (2»/x)a ('ZdyV
Scfx "2,dy
V N N
2(m*— m) + yL + ... )
's = 1 ( * ° 2+V.
N s—N
'
3. Concurrent Deviation Method :
r c= ±
4. Probable error :
P.E. r = 0.6745
VN
5. covariance _
= Ix_y
N
141
PROBLEMS
1. Find out the coefficient of Correlation between the height
of father and son from the following data :
Heights of father (in inches) : 65, 66, 67, 67, 68, 69. 70, 72
Heights of son (in inches) 67, 68, 65, 68, 72, 72, 69, 71.
(Ans • r — + 0.60) (B.Com., Osmama)
£.XY = atY + b £ Y
In case of Regression equation of Y on X:
Y a - bX
e* Na + b£X
147
c r*
bxy or r ----- value is Ce l
< ry 2
Cy
Instead of finding out the value of r,8"x a n d c y we can
directly find out the value of regression coefficient by
.h
calculating £_xy and £_y and dividing the former by the
latter.
{i i ) Regression Equation of Y on X
rr y _
Y - Y = r ---- - (X - X)
s- x
<r x
r ----- is the regression coefficient of Y on X
y
It is denoted by byx. It measures the change in Y
corresponding to a unit change in X. Thus byx or
cry
(
£ x
X X
^0 |i’ll
X N£_XY - (£ x ) (C O *
X byx = --------------- *
vt 2 *
X N£x (£ x ) *
N
5) Take the deviations - of Y series from tha_
mean of Y and denote these deviations by y(y= Y-Y)
6) Square these deviations and obtain the total
r
i-e.,£.y
7) Multiply the deviations of x and y series and
obtain the total, i . e . , £ x y .
(Note: The above steps are same as in the case of
correlation)
_ __ ?. %
8) Substitute the values of X, Y, £_xy, £ x and£y
in the above equations.
Now the two regression equations can be written as
follows:
(i) Regression Equation of X on Y
X - X = ----- (Y - Y)
a
L y
(ii) Regression Equation of Y on X
C xy _
Y - Y = — (X - X)
a
<£_dxdy - £ d x X £.dy
CT X N
The value of r ----- = --------------------
tr y 2 a
£dy
(£dy) -
N
Where dx = (X - A ) ; dy = (Y - A)
A = Assumed Mean.
(il) Regression Equation of Y on X:
_ c ry _
Y - Y = r — - (X - X)
5" x
p dxdy - £ dx X £ d y
try N
The values of r ---
S' X i u
£_dx - (£.dx)
N
r = J bxy X byx
X (X - X) X Y (Y - Y)
X X y y xy
2 8 64 18 _ 6 36 + 48
4 - 6 36 16 - 8 64 + 48
6 - 4 16 20 - 4 16 + 16
8 - 2 4 24 0 0 0
10 0 0 22 - 2 4 0
12 + 2 4 26 + 2 4 + 8
14 + 4 16 28 + 4 16 + 16
16 f6 36 32 + 8 64 + 48
18 + 8 64 30 + 6 36 + 48
£_X 90 _ £Y 216
x = ---= ---- = 10, Y ----- = ---= 24
N 9 N 9
crx g_xy 232
r ---= ----- = ----- = 0.97
fy % 240
fe y
Substituting the values:
X - 10 = 0.97 (Y - 24)
X - 10 = 0.97Y - 23.28
X = 0.97Y - 23.28 + 10
X = 0.97Y - 13.28
(ii) Regression Equation of Y on X:
rry
151
Y - 24 = 0.97 (X - 10)
Y - 24 = 0.97 X - 9.7
Y = 0.97 X - 9.7 + 24
Y = 0.97 X + 14-3
Y = 0.97 (6.2) + 14.3
Y = 6.01 + 14-3
Y = 20.31
Cc/rrelation Coefficient i.e. ,
r = J bxy x byx
Y (X - A) Y (Y - A)
A = 5 a A = 20 r
dx dx dy dy dx dy
o - 3 9 10 - 10 100 30
*+ - 1 1 20 0 0 0
6 + 1 1 25 + 5 25 5
8 + 3 9 30 + 10 100 30
a a
: X=20 £dx=0 £dx=20 0>85 £ d y = 5 £dy =225 £dxdy=65
_ 5 -x _
(i) Regression Equation of X on Y: X - X = r ---- (Y - Y)
£. X 20
N 4
g_Y 85
= ----- = ----- = 21.25
N 4
try t. /i
£_dy - .( £ d y ) 225
N
65 65 65
0.30
225 -25 225 - 6.25 218..75
4
X - 5 = 0 .3 0 (Y - 2 1.25)
X - 5 = 0.30Y - 6 • 375
X- = 0.30Y - 6.375 + 5
X = 0.30Y - 1.375
( i i ) R e g re ssio n E q u atio n o f Y on X:
try
Y - Y = r ------ (X - X)
tT x
£_dxdy -tdx_X tdy 65 - 0 X 5
<r y N 4 65
= 3-25
<r x 'i '1 - 2 0 - 0 20
£dx - (£dx) 4
N
Y - 2 1 .2 5 = 3-25 (X - 5)
Y = 3.2 5 X - 16.25 + 21.25
Y = 3.2 5 X + 5
*****
PROBLEMS
E s tim a te th e v a lu e o f Y which s h o u ld c o rr e s p o n d on an
a v e rag e to X = 6 .2 (B.Cora, B a n g a lo re , 1981)
(Ans:X=0.95 Y -6 .4 ;Y = 0 .9 5 X + 7 .2 5 ;r= 0 .9 5 ;V alu eo f Y=13.14)
3
3. The Mean age of 250 employees is 25.8 years. The mean age
of 150 of them is 24. Find out the mean age of remaining
employees. (Ans. Mean Age = 28.5 years)
1
157
Size Frequency
0-5 15
5-10 ;;r:§§ - 32
10-15 49
15-20 56
20-25 51
25-30 23
30-35 .i i . ) | ; 17
35-40 7
( B.Com. Osm) (Ans. = 17.92)
15. Calculate Mean, Median and Mode from the following data:-
5
161
7
163
Standard Deviation (minutes) 8 6
Who is more consistent worker ? ( B.Com, Osm, A p ril, 1986)
(Ans. Worker B is more consistent)
5. Two Typists were employed on identical job work. Show the
following results.
Typist "X" Typist "Y"
Mean time of completing
job (minutes) 40 30
Standard Deviation (minutes) 5 6
13. The first of two sub groups has 100 items with mean 15
8. A person purchases one Kilogram of Cabbages from each
of the four places at the rate of 20 kg; 1 6kg; 12 kg and 10 kg per- and standard deviation 3. If the whole group has 250 items with
rupee respectively. On the average how many kilograms of mean 15.6 and standard deviation \ / 1 3.44, find the standard devia
cabbages has he purchased per rupee. tion of the second sub-group.
(Ans : 13.5 Kgs. per rupee)
(Ansi <ra= 4 )
(Hint : Use H. M .) 9
0
1
Groups
I
. 2X 45 55
2Xa 118 132
18. Find the actual class groups from the data given below:
d1 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
f 10 15 25 25 10 10 5
You are given that the mean of the distribution is 31 and
standard deviation 15.9.
(Ans : C = 1 0 ; Assumed mean = 35 and class groups
are : 0-10, 10-20, 20-30, 30-40, 40 50, 50-60 and
60-70)
III. Skewness
21. In a certain d istrib u tio n the fo llo w in g results were
obtained :
Mean =» 45; Median = 48; C oefficient of skewness = — 0.4.
Estimate the value of cx. (Ans : <j,= 2 2 .5 )
22 For a distribution Bow ley's coefficient of skewness is
— 0.3 6, Q j = 8.6 and Median = 1 2.3. What is its Q uartile C oeffi
cient of dispersion.
(Ans : 0.24)
23. Karl Pearson's co e fficie n t of skewness of a distribution
is —
j—0.40. Its or is 8 and X is 30. Find Mode and Median of the
distribution. ( Ans : Mode = 26.8
Median =■ 28.9)
24. The sum of a set of 100 numbers is 4000 and the sum
of its square is 162500 and Median is 4 1 . Find the coefficient of
skewness. (Ans : — 0.6)
25. In a frequency d istrib u tio n the co e fficie n t of skewness
based on quartiles is 0.6. If the sum of the upper and the lower
quartiles is 100 and the median is 38 find the value of the Upper
Quartiie. (Ans : G 8 = 70)
26. In a distribution, the difference of tw o quartiles is 15,
their sum is 35 and median 20, find the coefficient of skewness.
(Ans : — 0 .3 3 )
IV. CORRELATION
27. Calculate Correlation C oefficient fio m the fo llo w in g
results :
N = 10; 2 x = 1 4 0 ; 2 y = 1 5 0 .
2 ( x — 10)2 = 180; £ ( y — 1 5 )a~ 2 1 5 .
S (x — 10) (y— 1 5) = 60.
(Ans ! r—4-0.818)
169
(Ans : 0.606)
31. From the data given below find the number of items 'n'
r = 0 .5 , £ x y = 120, S.D. of y = 8, 2 x a= 9 0
(Ans : 10)
(B.Com., Osmania, May’85)
(Ans : — 0.577)
(B.Com., Osmania, May 1984)
1
L o g a rith m s 170
Mean Differences
0 i 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10 0000 0043 0086 0128 0170 0212 0253 0294 0334 0374 4 8 12 17 21 25 29 33 37
11 0414 0453 0492 0531 0569 0607 0645 0682 0719 0755 4 8 11 15 19 23 26 30 34
12 0792 0828 0864 0899 0934 0969 1004 1038 1072 1106 3 7 10 14 17 21 24 28 31
13 1139 1173 1206 1239 1271 1303 1335 1367 1399 1430 3 6 10 13 16 19 23 26 29
14 1461 1492 1523 1553 1584 1614 1644 1673 1703 1732 3 Q 9 12 15 18 21 24 27
15 1761 1790 1818 1847 1875 1903 1931 1959 1987 2014 3 6 8 11 14 17 20 22 25
16 2041 2068 2095 2122 2148 2175 2201 2227 2253 2279 3 5 8 11 13 16 18 21 24
17 2304 2330 2355 2380 2405 2430 2455 2480 2504 2529 2 5 7 10 12 15 17 20 22
18 2553 2577 2601 2625 2648 2672 2695 2718 2742 2765 2 5 7 9 12 14 16 19 21
19 2788 2810 2833 2856 2878 2900 2923 2945 2967 2989 2 4 7 9 11 13 16 18 20
20 3010 3032 3054 3075 3096 3118 3139 3160 3181 3201 2 4 6 8 11 13 15 17 19
21 3222 3243 3263 3284 3304 3324 3345 3365 3385 3404 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 18 18
22 3424 3444 3464 3483 3502 3522 3541 3560 3579 3598 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 15 17
23 3617 3636 3655 3674 3692 3711 3729 3747 3766 3784 2 4 6 7 9 11 13 15 17
24 3802 3820 3838 3856 3874 3892 3909 3927 3945 3962 2 4 5 7 9 11 12 14 16
25 3979 3997 4014 4031 4048 4065 4082 4099 4116 4133 2 3 5 7 9 10 12 14 13
26 4150 4168 4183 4200 4210 4232 4249 4265 4281 4298 2 3 5 7 8 10 11 13 15
27 4314 4330 4346 4362 4378 4393 4409 4425 4440 4456 2 3 5 6 8 9 11 13 14
28 4472 4487 4502 4518 4533 4548 4564 4579 4594 4609 2 3 5 0 8 9 11 12 14
29 4624 4639 4654 4669 4683 4698 4713 4728 4742 4757 1 3 4 6 7 9 10 12 13
00 4771 4786 4800 4814 4829 4843 4857 4871 4886 4900 1 3 4 6 7 9 10 11 l3
31 4914 4928 4942 4955 4969 4983 4997 5011 5024 5038 1 3 4 6 7 8 10 11 12
32 5051 5065 5079 5092 5105 5119 5132 5145 5159 5172 1 3 4 5 7 8 9 11 12
33 5185 5198 5211 5224 5237 5250 5263 5276 5289 5302 1 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 12
34 5315 5328 5340 5353 5366 5378 5391 5403 5416 5428 1 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11
35 5441 5453 5465 5478 5490 5502 5514 5527 5539 5551 1 2 4 5 6 7 9 10 11
36 5563 5575 5587 5599 5611 5623 5635 5647 5658 5670 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 10 11
37 5682 5694 5705 5717 5729 5740 5752 5763 5775 5786 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10
38 5798 5809 5821 5832 5843 5855 5860 5877 5888 5899 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10
39 5911 5922 5933 5944 5955 5966 5977 5988 5999 6010 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 10
40 6021 6031 6042 6053 6064 6075 6085 8096 6107 6117 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10
41 6128 6138 6149 6180 6170 6180 6191 6201 6212 6222 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
42 6232 6243 6253 6263 6274 6284 6294 6304 6314 6325 i 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
43 6335 6345 6355 6365 6375 6385 6395 6405 6415 6425 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
44 6435 6444 6454 6464 6474 6484 6493 6503 6513 6522 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
45 6532 6542 6551 6561 6571 6580 6590 6599 6809 6618 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
46 6628 6637 6646 6656 6665 6675 6684 6693 6702 6712 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 8
47 6721 6730 6739 6749 6758 6767 6776 6785 6/94 6803 1 2 3 4 5 5 6 7 8
48 6812 6821 6830 -6839 6848 6857 6866 6875 6884 6893 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 7 8
49 8902 6911 6920 6928 6937 6946 6955 6964 6972 6981 i 2 3 4 4 5 6 7 8
50 6990 6998 7007 7016 7024 7033 7042 7050 7059 7067 i 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8
5f 7076 7084 7093 7101 7110 7118 7126 7135 7143 7152 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8
52 7160 7168 7177 7185 7193 7202 7210 7218 7226 7235 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 7
53 7243 7251 7259 7267 7275 7284 7292 7300 7308 7316 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 7
54 7324 7332 7340 7348 7356 7364 7372 7380 7388 7396 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 7
Logarithms 171
Mean Differences
0 i 2 3 4 5 < 7 8 9 i 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 t
55 7404 7412 7419 7427 7435 7443 7451 7459 7466 7474 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 8 7
56 7482 7490 7497 7505 7513 7520 7528 7536 7543 7551 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 7
57 7559 7566 7574 7582 7589 7597 7604 7612 7619 7627 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 7
58 7634 7642 7649 7657 7664 7672 7679 7686 7694 7701 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 7
59 7709 7716 7723 7731 7738 7745 7752 7760 7767 7774 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 7
60 7782 7789 7796 7803 7810 7818 7825 7832 7839 7846 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 6
61 7853 7860 7868 7875 7882 7889 7896 7903 7910 7917 1 1 .2 3 4 4 5 6 6
7924 7931 7938 7945 7952 7959 7966 7973 7980 7987 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 6
s'ssa 8 S 8 3 8 S2SS2 83333! 3 2 3 3 3 o 8 2 3 £ 8 2 8 8
7993 8000 8007 8014 8021 8028 8035 8041 8048 8055 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
8062 8069 8075 8082 8089 8096 8102 8109 8116 8122 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
8129 8136 8142 8149 8156 8162 8169 8176 8182 8189 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
8195 8202 8209 8215 8222 8228 8235 8241 8248 8254 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
8261 8267 8274 8280 8287 8293 8299 8306 8312 8319 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
8325 8331 8338 8344 8351 8357 8363 8370 8376 8382 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 6
8388 8395 8401 8407 8414 8420 8426 8432 8439 8445 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 8
8451 8457 8463 8470 8476 8482 8488 8494 8500 8506 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 8
8513 8519 8525 8531 8537 8543 8549 8555 8561 8567 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5
8573 8579 8585 8591 8597 8603 8609 8615 8621 8627 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5
8633 8639 8645 8651 8C57 8663 8669 8675 8681 8686 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5
8692 8698 8704 8710 8716 8722 8727 8733 8739 8745 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5
8751 8756 8762 8768 8774 8779 8785 8791 8797 8802 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 5
8808 8814 8820 8825 8831 8837 8842 8848 8854 8859 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 5
8865 8871 8876 8882 8887 8893 8899 8904 8910 8915 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
8921 8927 8932 8938 8943 8949 8954 8960 8965 8971 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
8976 8982 8987 8993 8998 9004 9009 9015 9020 9025 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
9031 9036 9042 9047 9053 9058 9063 9069 9074 9079 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
9085 9090 9096 9101 9106 9112 9117 9122 9128 9133 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
9138 9143 9149 9154 9159 9165 9170 9175 9180 9186 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
9191 9196 9201 9206 9212 9217 9222 9227 9232 9238 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
9243 9248 9253 9258 9263 9269 9274 9279 9284 9289 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
9294 9299 9304 9309 9315 9320 9325 9330 9335 9340 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
9345 9350 9355 9360 9365 9370 9375 9380 9385 9390 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
9395 9400 9405 9410 9415 9420 9425 9430 9435 9440 0 i 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
9445 9450 9455 9460 9465 946* 9474 9479 9484 9489 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
9494 9499 9504 9509 9513 9513 9523 9528 9533 9538 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
9542 9547 9552 9557 9562 9566 0571 9576 9581 9586 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
9590 9595 9600 9605 9609 9614 9619 9624 9628 9633 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
9638 9643 9647 9653 9657 9661 9666 9671 9675 9680 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
9685 9689 9694 9699 9703 9708 9713 9717 9722 9727 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
9731 9736 9741 9745 9750 9754 9759 9763 9768 9773 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
95 9777 9782 9786 9791 9795 9800 9805 9809 9814 9818 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
9823 9827 9832 9836 9841 9845 9850 9854 9859 9863 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
96
97 9868 9872 9877 9881 9886 9890 9894 9899 9903 9908 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
9912 9917 9921 9926 9930 9934 9939 9943 9948 9952 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
98
9956 9961 9965 9969 9974 9978 9983 9987 9991 9996 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 4
99
A n tilo g a rith m s 172
Mean Differences
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
00 1000 1002 1005 1007 1009 1012 1014 1016 1019 1021 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
.01 1023 1026 1028 1030 1033 1035 1038 1040 1042 1045 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
02 1047 1050 1052 1054 1057 1059 1062 1064 1067 1069 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
■03 1072 1074 1076 1079 1081 1084 1086 1089 1091 1094 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
•04 1096 1099 1102 1104 1107 1109 1112 1114 1117 1119 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
05 1122 1125 1127 1130 1132 1135 1138 1140 1143 1146 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
-06 1148 1151 1153 1156 1159 1161 1164 1167 1169 1172 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
•07 1175 1l76 1180 1183 1186 1189 1191 1194 1197 1199 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
-08 1202 1205 1208 1211 1213 1216 1219 1222 1225 1227 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3
•09 1230 1233 1236 1239 1242 1245 1247 1250 1253 1256 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3
•10 1259 1262 1265 1268 1271 1274 1276 1279 1282 1285 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3
•11 1288 1291 1294 1297 1300 1303 1306 1309 1312 1315 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3
•12 1318 1321 1324 1327 1330 1334 1337 1340 1343 1346 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3
•13 1349 1352 1355 1358 1361 1365 1368 1371 1374 1377 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3
•14 life) 1384 1387 1390 1393 1396 1400 1403 1406 1409 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3
•15 1413 1416 1419 1422 1426 1429 1432 1435 1439 1442 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3
•16 1445 1449 1452 1455 1459 1462 1466 1469 1472 1476 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3
•17 1479 1483 1486 1489 1493 1496 1500 1503 1507 1510 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3
•18 1514 1517 1521 1524 1528 1531 1535 1538 1542 1545 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3
•19 1549 1552 1556 1560 1563 1567 1570 1574 1578 1581 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3
•20 1585 1589 1592 1596 1600 1603 1607 1611 1614 1618 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3
•21 1622 1626 1629 1633 1637 1641 1644 1648 1652 1656 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3
•22 1660 1663 1667 1671 1675 1679 1683 1687 1690 1694 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3
•23 1698 1702 1706 1710 1714 1718 1722 1726 1730 1734 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4
•24 1738 1742 1746 1750 1754 1758 1762 1766 1770 1774 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4
•25 1778 1782 1786 1791 1795 1799 1803 1807 1811 1816 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4
•26 1820 1824 1828 1832 1837 1841 1845 1849 1854 1858 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 4
•27 1862 1866 1871 1875 1879 1884 1888 1892 1897 1901 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 4
•28 1905 1910 1914 1919 1923 1928 1932 1936 1941 1945 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
•29 1950 1954 1959 1963 1968 1972 1977 1982 1986 1991 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
30 1995 2000 2004 2009 2014 2018 2023 2028 2032 2037 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
•31 2042 2046 2051 2056 2061 2065 2070 2075 2080 2084 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
•32 2089 2094 2099 2104 2109 2113 2118 2123 2128 2133 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
•33 2138 2143 2148 2153 2158 2163 2168 2173 2178 2183 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
•34 2188 2193 2198 2203 2208 2213 2218 2223 2228 2234 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
•35 2239 2244 2249 2254 2259 2265 2270 2275 2280 2286 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
•36 2291 2296 2301 2307 2312 2317 2323 2328 2333 2339 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
•37 2344 2350 2355 2360 2366 2371 2377 2382 2388 2393 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
•38 2399 2404 2410 2415 2421 2427 2432 2438 2443 2449 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
•39 2455 2460 2466 2472 2477 2483 2489 2495 2500 2506 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 5
-40 2512 2518 2523 2529 2535 2541 2547 2553 2559 2564 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5
•41 2570 2576 2582 2588 2594 2600 2606 2612 2618 2624 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5
•42 2630 2636 2642 2649 2655 2661 2667 2673 2679 2685 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 6
•43 2692 2698 2704 2710 2716 2723 2729 2735 2742 2748 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 6
•44 2754 2761 2767 2773 2780 2786 2793 2799 2805 2812 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 6
•45 2818 2825 2831 2838 2844 2851 2858 2864 2871 2877 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
•46 2884 2891 2897 2904 2911 2917 2924 2931 2938 2944 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
•47 2951 2958 2965 2972 2979 2985 2992 2999 3006 3013 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6
'48 3020 3027 3034 3041 3048 3055 3052 3069 3076 3083 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 6
49 3090 3097 3105 3112 3119 3126 3133 3141 3148 3155 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 6
I
173
Loflnrlt' Mean Differences
/7 i 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1 « / / S
/ 3214 3221 3228 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 7
,i 3289 3296 3304 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 7
<7 3365 3373 3381 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 7
1 36 3443 3451 3459 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 7
r\ >16 3524 3532 3540 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 7
-55 Ox. . 597 3606 3614 3622 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 7
•M 3631 3639 3648 3681 3690 3698 3707 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8
■57 3715 3724 3733 3741 3 ,^ 3767 3776 3784 3793 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8
■58 3802 3811 3819 3828 3837 3846 3855 3864 3873 3882 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 7 8
■59 3890 3899 3908 3917 3926 3936 3945 3954 3963 3972 1 2 3 4 5 5 6 7 8
SO 3981 3990 3999 4009 4013 4027 4036 4046 4055 4064 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 7 a
•St 4074 4083 4093 4102 4111 4121 4130 4140 4150 4159 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 3 9
. 62 4169 4178 4138 4198 4207 4217 4227 4236 4246 4256 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
■63 4266 4276 4285 4295 4305 4315 4325 4335 4345 4355 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
•64 4365 4375 4385 4395 4406 4416 4426 4436 4446 4457 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
•85 4467 4477 4487 4498 4503 4519 4529 4539 4550 4560 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
•68 4571 4581 4592 4603 4613 4624 4634 4645 4856 4667 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 10
•67 4677 4688 4699 4710 4721 4732 4742 4753 4764 4775 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 10
•68 4786 4797 4808 4819 4831 4842 4853 4884 4875 4887 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10
■69 4898 4909 4920 4932 4943 4955 4968 4977 4989 5000 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10
•70 5012 5023 5035 5047 5058 5070 5082 5093 5105 5117 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 11
71 5129 5140 5152 5164 5176 5188 5200 5212 5224 5236 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 10 11
72 5248 5260 5272 5284 5297 5309 5321 5333 5346 5358 1 2 4 5 6 7 9 10 11
•73 5370 5383 5395 5408 5420 5433 5445 5458 5470 5483 1 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11
•74 5495 5508 5521 5534 5546 5559 5572 5585 5598 5610 1 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 12
•75 5623 5636 5649 5662 5675 5689 5702 5715 5728 5741 1 3 4 5 7 8 9 10 12
76 5754 5768 5781 5794 5803 5821 5834 5848 5861 5875 1 3 4 5 7 8 9 11 12
■n 5888 5902 5918 5929 5943 5957 5970 5984 5998 6012 1 3 4 5 7 8 10 11 12
•78 6026 6039 6053 6067 6031 6095 6109 6124 6138 6152 1 3 4 6 7 8 10 11 13
•79 6166 6180 6194 6209 6223 6237 6252 6266 6281 6295 1 3 4 8 7 9 10 11 13
80 6310 6324 6339 6353 6368 6383 8397 6412 6427 6442 1 3 4 6 7 9 10 12 13
81 6457 6471 6486 6501 6516 6531 6546 6561 6577 8592 2 3 5 6 8 9 11 12 14
■82 6607 6622 6637 6653 6668 6683 6699 6714 6730 6745 2 3 5 8 8 9 11 9 14
•83 6761 6776 8792 6808 6823 6839 6855 6871 6887 6902 2 3 5 6 8 9 11 13 14
84 6918 6934 6950 6966 6982 6998 7015 7031 7047 7063 2 3 5 8 8 10 11 13 15
85 7079 7096 7112 7129 7145 7161 7178 7194 7211 7228 2 3 5 7 8 10 12 13 15
86 7244 7261 7278 7295 73'1 7328 7345 7362 7379 7396 2 3 5 7 8 10 12 13 15
87 7413 7430 7447 7464 7*82 7499 7516 7534 7551 7568 2 3 5 7 9 10 12 14 16
88 7586 7603 7621 7638 7656 7674 7691 7709 7727 7745 2 4 5 7 9 11 12 14 16
89 7762 7780 7798 7816 7834 7852 7870 7889 7907 7925 2 4 5 7 9 11 13 14 16
•90 7943 7962 7980 7998 8017 8035 8054 8072 8091 8110 2 4 6 7 9 n 13 15 17
91 8128 8147 8166 8185 8204 8222 8241 8260 8279 8299 2 4 6 8 9 11 13 15 17
92 8318 8337 8356 8375 8395 8414 8433 8453 8472 8492 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 15 17
93 8511 8531 8551 8570 8590 8610 8630 8650 8670 8690 2 4 3 8 10 12 14 16 18
•94 8710 8730 8750 8770 8790 8810 8831 8851 8872 8892 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
95 8913 8933 8954 8974 8995 9016 9036 9057 9078 9099 2 4 6 8 10 12 15 17 19
96 9120 9141 9162 9183 9204 9226 9247 9268 9290 9311 2 4 6 8 11 13 15 17 19
•87 9333 9354 9376 9397 9419 9441 9462 9484 0506 9528 2 4 7 9 11 13 15 17 20
98 9550 9572 9594 SGI 8 S638 9661 9683 9706 0727 9750 2 4 7 9 11 13 16 18 20
•99 9772 9795 9817 9840 9863 9886 9908 9931 6954 9977 2 5 7 9 11 14 16 18 20
CHAPTER-IX
ANALYSIS OF TIME SERIES
Introduction :
One of the most important tasks before economists and businessmen
these days is to make estimates for the future. For example, an economist
is interested in knowing the likely population in the coming year so that
there can be proper planning to meet situations like food supply, job
opportunities, etc. Similarly, a businessman is interested in knowing what
would be his sales for the coming year so that he could adjust his
production accordingly. In this connection, we collect figures at specified
intervals of times usually at equal intervals and the same is known as time
series. For example, if we observe production, population, sales, imports,
exports, etc., at different points of time say over the last 10 or 15 years, the
set of observations formed shall constitute time series. The analysis of
such figures is called the Analysis of Time Series. Time series analysis is
done primarily for the purpose of making forecasts for future and also for
the purpose of evaluating past performances.
Definition
According to Ya-Lun-Chou “A time series may be defined as a
collection of magnitudes belonging to different time periods, of some
variable or composite of variables, such as production of steel, per capita
income, gross national product, price of tobacco or index of industrial
production”.
The above points indicate the utility of time series analysis. However
like all other statistical tools, the time series analysis also gives us only
approximate indicators.
1. Secular T rend : The word secular is derived from the Latin word
‘Saeculum’ which means a generation or age. Secular trend, is also known
as a long term trend which requires 15 or 20 years. If we study various
types of economic and business data, we can observe that there is an
upward or downward trend in time series. For e.g., population, price,
income, etc., are rising, whereas death rate, purchasing power of money
are falling. The former is an upward trend and the latter is a downward
trend.
MEASUREMENT O F TREND
The various methods by which trend values can be determined are :
(A) Freehand or Graphic method
(B) Semi-average method
(C) Moving average method
(D) Method of Least squares
(A) Freehand o r G raphic M ethod : Firstly all the values of a time series
are plotted on a graph paper, certain up and down movements are noted.
After this a freehand smoothed curve is drawn through these points in such
a way that the curve represents the general tendency of the data. In the
process of drawing a smooth curve the seasonal, cyclical and irregular
variations are eliminated.
A-4
Merits :
(i) This is the simplest method of measuring trend.
(ii) This is adaptable and flexible, and it can be used to describe all
types of trend i.e., linear and non-linear.
D em erits :
(i) The main demerit of this method is that it is highly subjective
Different persons will get different lines or curves.
(ii) Because of the subjective nature of the free hand trend curve, it
will be dangerous to use it for forecasting or making predictions
(iii) Dependable freehand curves can be drawn only by experienced
persons not by novices (new persons).
(B) Semi-average method : In this method, the whole time series data is
divided into two equal parts. However, in case of odd number of years, the
two equal parts are obtained on omitting the values for the middle period
Having divided the given series into two equal parts, an arithmetic mean of
each part is obtained. These means are called Semi-averages. Then these
semi-averages are plotted as points against the middle point of the
respective time periods covered by each part. The line joining these points
gives the straight line trend fitting the given data The line can be extended
downward or upward to get intermediate values or to predict future values
I '- t.'- h f •> !,»■,, ». i t A
Merits :
(i) This method is simple and easier to understand than the moving
average and the method of least squares.
(ii) This method is an objective method of measuring trend as
everyone who applies the method is bound to get the same result.
(iii) As the line can be extended both ways, we can get the
intermediate values and predict the future values.
D em erits :
(i) This method assumes the presence of linear trend which may not
exist.
(ii) It is affected by the limitations of arithmetic mean.
Merits:
(i) This method is simple and easy to understand as compared to the
method of least squares.
(ii) This method is more flexible than other m ethods.
(iii) This method is not only used for the m easurem ent of trend, but
also for the measurement of seasonal, cyclical and irregular
fluctuations.
Demerits:
(i) In this method we cannot get the trend v alu es for all the given
observations. We have to forego the tre n d values for some
observations at both the extremes depending on the period of the
moving average.
(ii) Since the moving average is not represented by a mathematical
function, this method cannot be used in forecasting or predicting
which is one of the main objectives of trend analysis.
(iii) Utmost care lias to be exercised in selecting the period of
moving average. No hard and fast rules are available for the
choice of the period and one has to use his ow n judgement.
LY = Na + bXX
EXY = aXX + bSX 2
A -6
If deviations are taken from the middle period so that EX = 0 then the
values of a and b can be obtained from the following formula :
EY EXY
a = ----- and b = --------
N EX 2
M erits :
(i) This is the most objective method, as trend values are calculated
with the help of a mathematical formula.
(ii) The line obtained by this method is called the line of best fit,
because sum of the deviations of the actual values and trend
values is zero and the sum of the squares of these deviations is
minimum.
(iii) By this method we can estimate or predict the values of the
variable for the future or intermediate periods of the given series.
(iv) Trend values for all the years ar e obtained.
Demerits :
(i) It is difficult for a non-mathematical person to calculate and it
will take more time to calculate than the other methods.
A-7
(ii) Future forecasts made by this method are based only on trend
values. The seasonal, cyclical or irregular variation are
completely ignored.
(iii) If we add a new observatibn, then the calculations must be done
once again.
Solution
Drawing of a free hand curve
values
l<Iii
From the above graph the trend values for any year can be read on the
trend line.
units)
These two figures, namely 102 and 109, shall be plotted at the middle
of their respective period, i.e,. at the middle of the years 1993 and 1994
and 1997 and 1998. By joining these two points we get a trend line which
describes the given data.
Illustration 3 : Fit a trend line for the following data by the method of
semi-averages.
tons)
f
A-9
Since seven years are given the middle year shall be left out and an
average of first three years is 105 and the last three years is 112. These two
ixiints 105 and 112 which shall be plotted corresponding to their respective
middle years i.e., 1991 and 1995. By joining these two points we shall
obtain the required trend line.
Illustration 4 :
B
Illustrate 2 L . 1995 1996 1997 1998
1 <T>
the fo ilii
—
o
in 1I 5. 58 62 61 65
m w jm h o h . v y o iv u ic r u u n u i i u u i J C O U J itlO V lI lg B V 6 IB § 6
In the above illustration we have first taken four yearly totals and of
these total we have again taken two-yearly totals and divided these totals
by 8 to get the trend values.
Illustration 6 :
The Production of Iron during 1977-1983 is given below :
Year 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983
Production
48 50 58 52 45 41 49
(in lakhs of tons)
Solution :
Fitting the Straight Line Trend
Production Trend
Year X XY X2
Y Values (Yc)
1977 48 -3 -144 9 52
1978, 50 -2 -100 4 51
1979, 58 -1 -58 1 50
1980. 52 0 0 0 49
1981 45 +1 +45 1 48
1982 41 +2 +82 4 47
1983 49 +3 +147 9 46
><
£Y 343
Since XX = 0; a = ---- = ------- = 49,
N 7
IX Y -28
b= ------- = ------- = - l
IX 2 28
Solution :
Fitting Straight line Trend by the Method of Least Square
Year Earning Deviation Deviation XY X2
0 0 from x Multiplied
1981.5 by 2 (X)
1978 38 -3.5 -7 -266 49
1979 40 -2.5 -5 - 2 0 0 25
1980 65 -1.5 -3 -195 9
1981 72 -0.5 - 1 -72 1
w
2XY= 626 EX2 = 168
X
o
EY = 536
11
Yc = a + bX
2Y 536
N 8
IX Y 626
il
%<
w
168
Y = 67 + 3.72X
For 1987 X will be +11
X = 67+ 3.72(11)
= 67 + 40.92= 107.92
Estimated earnings for 1987
= 107.92
(i) Fit a straight line by the ‘least squares’ method, and tabulate the
trend values.
A-13
(ii) Eliminate the trend. What components of the time series are thus
left over ?
(iii) What is the monthly increase in the production of sugar ?
1978 94 - 1 -94 1 87
1979 85 0 0 0 89
1980 91 +1 +91 1 90
1981 98 + 2 + 196 4 92
1984 90 +5 +450 25 96
N=7 EY = 623 EX = +1 ZXY= 159 ' EX2 = 5i EYC= 623
The equation of the straight line trend is
Yc = a + bX
Since EX is not zero we have to solve the following two normal
equations
EY = Na + b E X
EXY = a2X + bZX 2
623 = 7a + b ... (i)
159 = a + 5 1 b ...(ii)
Multiplying eq. (ii), by 7
623 = 7a + b
1113 = 7a + 357 b
-490 = - 356b
356b = 490
490
b = -------- = 1.376 or 1.38
356
Solution :
_______ Fitting Straight line Trend by the Method of Least Square
Year Earning Deviation Deviation XY X2
0 0 from x Multiplied
1981.5 by 2(X)
1978 38 -3.5 -7 -266 49
1979 40 -2.5 -5 - 2 0 0 25
1980 65 -1.5 -3 -195 9
1981 72 -0.5 -1 -72 1
W
N= 8 EXY= 626 EX2 = 168
X
>*
o
O
II
II
Yc = a + bX
EY 536
a = ------- ------ =67
N 8
exy 626
b = ------- ------ =3.72
EX2 168
Y = 67 + 3.72X
For 1987 X will b e +11
X = 67+ 3.72(11)
= 67 + 40.92= 107.92
Estimated earnings for 1987
= 107.92
(i) Fit a straight line by the ‘least squares’ method, and tabulate the
trend values.
A-13
(ii) Eliminate the trend What components of the time series are thus
left over ?
(iii) What is the monthly increase in the production of sugar ?
^ . . 't : (. /
Solution : Fitting of Straight Line by Method of Least Squares
Year Production Deviation XY X2 Trend
(‘000 Qtls) from 1979 Values Yc
Y X
1975 77 -4 -308 16 83
1977 88 - 2 -176 4 86
1978 94 - 1 -94 1 87
1979 85 0 0 0 89
1980 91 + 1 +91 1 90
1981 98 + 2 +196 4 92
1984 90 +5 +450 25 96
M
N=7 XX = +1
Lfi
XY = 623
II
-490 = - 356b
356b = 490
490
b = —------ = 1.376 or 1.38
356
(ii) After eliminating the trend we are left with cyclical and irregular
variations.
(iii) The monthly increase in the production of sugar is
b/12 = 1.38/12 = 0.115 thousands qtl.
Illustration 9 : The following table gives the sterling assets of the R.B.I
in crores of rupees :
(a) Fit a straight line trend
(b) Show the trend on the graph
Y ear 1976-77 1977-78 1978-79 1979-80 1980-81 1981-82
Assets 83 92 71 90 169 191
Also estimate the figures for 1986-87.
XX2 = ZX Y =
N= 6 Z Y = 696 zx=o 17.50 395
ZY C = 696
A-15
Yc = a + bX
IY 696
a = = 116
N 6
IX Y 395
22.6
EX 2 17.50
Yc = 116+ 22.6X
Shifting of Origin :
When we compute the trend value, the origin is generally-taken in the
middle year of the series. But some times to compare the trend values or to
convert a trend equation from an annual to half-yearly or monthly basis, it
is necessary to change the origin of the trend equation to some other point
in the equation. We shall explain the technique by an example.
Yc = a + bX
For example if we shift the origin from 1985 to 1990 then the new
trend equation on changing the value of X to X+5 would be
Yc = a + b (X + 5),
Similarly, if we want to shift the origin to 1982, i.e., 3 years back, the
new trend equation becomes :
Yc = a + b ( X - 3 ) ,
Thus shifting of origin only affects the value of constant ‘a ’ in the
equation, while the slop ‘b’ of the equation remains the same.
T
A-16
Solution : The origin has to be shifted from 1995 to 2000 i.e., 5 years
hence. The required equation would be
Yc = 210+ 1.5 (X+5) or
Yc = 210 + 1.5X + 7.5 or
Yc = 217.5 +T.5X
Solution : The origin has to be shifted from 1990 to 1987 i.e., 3 years
backward. The required equation would be
Yc = 1 50 + 2 (X-3) or
Yc = 150 + 2 X - 6 or
Yc = 144 + 2X
50 0.8
Yc = ------- + -------X
12 144
Yc = 4.167 + 0.0056X
A-17
The following are some of the methods more popularly used for
measuring seasonal variations:
M erits and Demerits : This is the simplest and the easiest of all the
methods of measuring seasonality. However, it is not a very good method.
It assumes that there is no trend component in the series. But this is not a
justified assumption.
1200 400
= ---------------------------------- or = --------------------------------------
Sum of monthly indices Sum of quarterly indices
The main defect of this method is that it does not follow the actual
data as a 12 month moving average method. So the seasonal index
calculated by this method is more biased.
(C) Ratio to Moving Average M ethod : This is the mostly widely used
method of measuring seasonal variations. The steps are :
(i) Calculate 12 month moving average, (in case of quarterly data,
calculate 4 quarter moving average).
(ii) Express the original values as a percentage of centres moving
average values for all months, i.e.,
Original Value
-------------------------------- x 1 0 0
(iii) Arrange these percentages season wise for all the years. By
averaging these percentages for each month, we can eliminate
irregular variations. Mean or Median can be used for averaging
(iv) The sum of these indices should be 1,200 (400) for monthly or
quarterly data. If it is not so, an adjustment is made, i.e.,
1200 400
= — t----------------------------- or = --------------------------------------
Sum of monthly indices Sum of quarterly indices
(D) Link Relative Method : This method is also known as the Pearson’s
Method. The steps are :
( i f Calculate the seasonal link relatives for each seasonal figures by
V the following method :
(ii) Calculate the average of link relative for each season. Arithmetic
Mean or Median can be used for this purpose.
(iii) Convert the link relative (L.R.) into chain relatives (C.R.) on the
basis of the first season. The formula is
(iv) Calculate the chain relative of the first season on the basis of the
last season.
(v) For correction, the chain relative of the first season calculated by
the first method is deducted from the chain relative of the firiit
season calculated by the second method. The difference i«
divided by the number of seasons. The resulting figure
multiplied by 1, 2, 3 are deducted respectively from the chain
relatives of the 2nd, 3rd, 4th seasons. There are corrected chain
relatives.
(vi) The seasonal indices are available when we express the corrected
chain relatives as percentages of their respective averages.
Y TSCI
Deseasonalised values = ------- or --------- = TCI
S S
A-21
S o lu tio n :
C o m p u tatio n , o f S e a so n a l In d ice s
Y ear l “ Q u a rte r 2 Kd Q u a rte r 3rd Q u a rte r 4 th Q u a rte r
1974 72 68 80 70
1975 76 70 82 74
1976 74 66 84 80
1977 76 74 84 78
1978 78 74 86 82
T o ta l 376 352 416 384
A v erag e 7 5 .2 7 0 .4 83.2 7 6 .8
S easo n al 9 8 .4 3 92 .1 5 108.90 10 0 .5 2
In d ex
7 5 .2 + 7 0 .4 + 83.2 + 76.8
Average of quarterly average = ----------------------------------
4
3 0 5 .6
= 76.4
4
A-22
7 5 .2
S e a so n a l In d ex fo r 1st Q u a rte r = x 100 l= 98 .4 3
7 6 .4
7 0 .4
S e aso n al Index fo r 2nd Q u a rte r = x 100 = 92 .1 5
7 6 .4
8 3 .2
S e aso n al In d ex fo r 31,1 Q u a rte r x 1 0 0 = 108.90
7 6 .4
7 6 .8 . V,ifl
S easo n al In d ex fo r 4 th Q u a rte r = x 1 0 0 = 100.52 m
7 6 .4
C a lc u la tin g tr e n d b y th e m e th o d o f le a s t sq u a re s
Y ear Y e a rly Y e a rly D e v ia tio n s XY X2 T re n d
to tal a v e ra g e f ro m m id v a lu e s
Y year X Yc
1990 140 35 -2 -7 0 4 32
1991 180 45 -1 -4 5 1 44
1992 200 50 0 0 0 56
1993 260 65 +1 +65 1 68
1994 340 85 +2 + 170 4 80
E Y -2 8 0 I X Y = 1 2 0 S X 2= 1 0
EY 280
a= ------- = ------- = 56
N 5
EXY 120
b = ------- - = ------- = 1 2
EX2 10
12
Q u a rte rly in c re m e n t = ------- = 3
4
C a lc u la tio n o f Q u a rte rly T re n d V alu es. C o n s id e r 1986. T re n d v a lu e fo r
th e m id d le q u a rte r, i.e., h a lf o f 2nd a n d h a lf a n d 3 rd is 32.
3
Q u a rte rly in c re m e n t is 3. So th e tre n d v a lu e o f 2nd q u a rte r is 32 - —
2
3
i.e., 3 0 .5 , a n d fo r 3rd q u a rte r is 3 2 H------ , i.e ., 3 3 .5 . T r e n d v a lu e fo r
2
th e 1st q u a rte r is 3 0 .5 -3 , i.e., 2 7 .5 a n d o f 4 th q u a rte r is 3 3 .5 + 3 , i.e., 36.5.
T re n d v a lu e s
Y ear 1st Q u a rte r 2 nd Q u a rte r 3rd Q u a rte r 4 th Q u a rte r
1990 27.5 3 0 .5 3 3 .5 3 6 .5
1991 39.5 4 2 .5 4 5 .5 4 8 .5
1992 51.5 54.5 5 7 .5 60.5
1993 63.5 6 6 .5 6 9 .5 7 2 .5
1994 75.5 7 8 .8 8 1 .5 85.5
92.78x400
= -------- ---------- =92.07
403.08
S im ila rly o th e r c a lc u la tio n s h a v e b e e d o n e .
S o lu tio n :
R a tio to m o v in g a v e ra g e m e th o d to d e te rm in e S e a so n a l Index.
Y ear Q uarter Given 4 figure 2, figure Moving Given figures
"
values moving moving average as percentage
totals totals centered o f moving
= (5+8) average =
[ 3/6 x 100 ]
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1970 1 40
II 35
153 1. '
A-25
C a lc u la tio n o f S e a s o n a l In d e x
Y ear I Q u a rte r II III IV
Q u a rte r Q u a rte r Q u a rte r
1970 - - 9 8 .7 0 1 0 2 .5 6
1971 10 6 .6 0 9 4 .2 7 100.31 9 8 .7 0
1972 107 .5 6 9 0 .9 0 9 6 .2 0 10 4 .6 8
1973 112 .5 0 9 0 .8 6 9 1 .4 2 1 0 3 .8 0
1974 1 1 0 .0 0 9 4 .1 3 - - T o ta l
A-26
T o ta l 4 3 6 .6 6 3 7 0 .1 6 38 6 ,6 3 4 0 9 .7 4 1603.19
A v e ra g e (S .I.) 10 9 .1 6 9 2 .5 4 96 .6 5 102.43 4 0 0 .7 8
A d ju ste d 108.95 9 2 .3 6 9 6 .4 6 102.23 4 0 0 .0 0
S e a so n a l
In d e x
T h e to ta l o f th e a v e ra g e s o f in d ic e s is 4 0 0 .7 8 . T h e re fo re the
,,, 400/
c o rre c tio n fa c to r w o u ld b e /4 0 0 78-
9 2 .5 4 x 4 0 0
S e c o n d Q u a rte r = ---------------------- = 92 .3 6
4 0 0 .7 8
96 .6 5 x 4 0 0
T h ir d Q u a rte r = ---------------------- = 9 6 .4 6
4 0 0 .7 8
102.43 x 4 0 0
F o u rth Q u a rte r = ---------------------- = 102.23
4 0 0 .7 8
I l l u s t r a t i o n 16 : C a lc u la te th e se a so n a l in d ic e s b y th e lin k re la tiv e m e th o d
f o r th e fo llo w in g d a t a :
O u tp u t o f R ic e in M illio n T o n n e s
Y ear 1st Q u a rte r 2 nd Q u a rte r 3rd Q u a rte r 4 th Q u a rte r
1995 6 .0 6.5 6 .2 6 .9
1996 6.2 6.8 6.5 6.8
1997 6.5 7 .0 6 .4 6 .2
1998 7.0 7.5 6.8 6.7
1999 7 .2 8 .0 7 .0 7.8
L in k re la tiv e fo r a n y q u a rte r
C u rre n t S e a s o n ’s fig u re
= ----------------------------------------- x 100
P re v io u s se a s o n ’s fig u re
= — x 1 0 0 = 108.3
6.0
6.2
= ------ x 1 0 0 = 9 5 .4
6.5
Chain Relatives
L in k re la tiv e fo r II x 100
C.R. fo r 2nd q u a rte r =
100
A-28
10 8 .7 8 x 100
100
= 10 8 .7 8
L in k re la tiv e fo r III x C .R . fo r II
C .R . fo r 3 rd q u a rte r =
100
9 2 .1 2 x 108.78
= 100.21
100
1 0 4 .5 4 x 100.21
C .R . fo r 4 th q u a rte r = = 104.76
100
100 100
= 106.31
6.31
D iffe re n c e p e r q u a rte r = -------- = 1 .5 8
4
1 0 0 + 1 0 7 . 2 + 9 7 . 0 5 + 100.02
4 0 4 .2 7
= 101.07
4
A-29
Seasonal In d ice s :
100
Q u a rte r I = ----------- x 100 = 98.94
101.07
107.2
Q u a rte r II = ----------- x 100= 106.07
101.07
97.05
Q u a rte r III = ----------- x 100=96.02
101.07
W % \ ‘i i * '{ r ' »'.'•••»• \ ' ' '{■■■■ :»•
100.02
Q u a rte r IV = ----------- x 100 = 98.96
101.07
THEORY QUESTIONS
1. D e fin e tim e se rie s ? E n u m e ra te th e v a rio u s c o m p o n e n ts o f a tim e
se rie s in detail.
2. W h a t a re th e u se s o f A n a ly s is o f T im e S e rie s ?
3. D e fin e d tre n d . E x p la in th e d iffe re n t m e th o d s o f m e a s u rin g se c u la r
tr e n d in a g iv e n tim e series.
4. W h a t is a se a so n a l v a r ia tio n ? W h a t a re its c a u s e s ?
5. W h a t a re c y c lic v a ria tio n s ? H o w a r e th e y c a u s e d ?
6. W h a t a re irre g u la r v a ria tio n s ? H o w a r e th e y c a u s e d ?
,7. D isc u ss th e m e rits a n d d e m e rits o f d iffe re n t m e th o d s o f m e a s u rin g
T re n d ?
8. D is tin g u is h b e tw e e n tre n d , se a so n a l v a ria tio n s a n d c y c lic a l
flu c tu a tio n s in a tim e se rie s.
9. W h a t a re d iffe re n t m e th o d s o f.e s tim a tin g s e a s o n a l v a ria tio n s ?
(B.Com., Andhra)
10. W h a t d o y o u u n d e rs ta n d b y D e s e a s o n a lis a tio n o f D a ta ? E x p la in b y
m e a n s o f a n illu stratio n .
PROBLEMS
1. P lo t th e f o llo w in g d a ta o n a g ra p h a n d a s c e rta in tre n d b y th e fre e h a n d
m e th o d :
Year 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Production 100 120 95 105 108 102
(Million tonnes)
A-30
5, F in d th e tr e n d v a lu e s b y 3 - y e a rly m o v in g a v e ra g e :
Year 1 99 0 1991 1992 1 993 1994 1 995 1996 1 997 1998
Annual
S a le s (R s. 40 42 40 44 49 46 42 44 44
in '0 0 0 )
(B.Com., O.U.2000)
6, U s in g 3 -y e a r m o v in g av e ra g e , d e te rm in e th e tren d .
Year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
P ro 21 22 23 25 24 22 25 26 27 26
duction
(B.Com., O.U.1999)
8. C a lc u late 5 - y e a rly m o v in g a v e ra g e s o f n u m b e r o f s tu d e n ts in a
c o m m erce co lleg e a s s h o w n in b y th e fo llo w in g fig u re s : _______
Y ear 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970
N o. o f 332 317 357 392 402
S tu d en ts
1 9 7 9 -8 0 8 ,2 0 ,0 0 0 1 9 8 3 -8 4 1 2 ,3 1 ,0 0 0
1 9 8 0 -8 1 9 ,0 7 ,0 0 0
(A n s : 9 1 3 7 1 4 .2 8 + 1 0 0 4 2 8 .5 7 X ) (B.Com.SKU)
22. A s s u m in g th a t th e tr e n d is a b s e n t, d e te rm in e i f th e re is a n y
s e a s o n a lity in th e d a ta g iv e n b e lo w .
A-34
26. C a lc u la te th e se a so n a l in d ic e s b y th e r a tio to th e m o v in g a v e ra g e
m e th o d fro m th e fo llo w in g d a t a
O u t p u t o f W h e a t in M illio n to n s
Y ear 1st Q u a rte r 2 nd Q u a rte r 3 rd Q u a rte r 4 th Q u a rte r
1994 68 62 61 63
1995 65 58 56 61
1996 68 63 63 67
1997 70 59 56 62
1998 60 55 51 58
(A n s : 107 .0 2 ; 9 6 .4 3 ; 9 4 .4 3 ; 102.12).
27. C a lc u la te se a so n a l in d ic e s b y (A ) th e r a tio to m o v in g a v e ra g e m e th o d
a n d (B ) th e m e th o d o f lin k re la tiv e f r o m th e fo llo w in g data.
W h e a t P ric e s ( in R u p e e s p e r Q u in ta l)
Y ear 1975 1976 1977 1978
Q u a rte r
Q. 75 86 90 100
q 2 60 65 72 78
q 3 54 63 66 72
Q4 59 80 85 93
A ns. ( A ) : 122.37; 9 2 .4 3 ; 8 4 .6 9 ; 1 0 0 .5 1 1
(B ) : 124.19; 9 3 .4 6 ; 8 2 .4 9 ; 9 9 .8 6 J
28. C a lc u la te th e se a so n a l v a r ia tio n in d ic e s b y th e m e th o d o f lin k
re la tiv e s fo r th e fo llo w in g fig u re s :
Y ear
Q u a rte r
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994
I 45 48 49 52 60
II 54 56 63 65 70
III 72 63 70 75 84
IV 60 56 65 72 86
( A n s : 82; 9 8 .4 ; 116.8; 102.6)
A-36
U s in g th is in fo rm a tio n , ca lc u la te e stim a te s o f m o n th ly sa le s o f th e
c o m p a n y . A s s u m e th a t th e re is n o trend.
2 4 ,0 0 ,0 0 0
[ H i n t : (i) M o n th ly S ale s = ------------------- = Rs. 2 ,0 0 ,0 0 0
12
S easo n al In d ex
(ii) S e a s o n a l E ffe c t = ---------------------------
100
(iii) T h e e s tim a te d sa le fo r a n y m o n th w o u ld b e m o n th ly sa les
x se a s o n a l e ffe c t ]
30. T h e se a so n a l in d ic e s o f th e v s a le o f re a d y -m a d e g a rm e n ts o f a
p a r tic u la r ty p e in a c e rta in sto re a re g iv e n b e l o w :_____________________
Q u a rte r S e a so n a l In d e x
I J a n u a ry - M a rc h 98
II A p ril - Ju n e 89
III J u ly - S e p te m b e r 82
I V O c to b e r - D e c e m b e r 130
(A n s : 9 ,0 8 2 ; 8 ,3 6 7 ; 13,265).
10000x89
[ H i n t : S a le s f o r II Q u a rte r = = 9 ,0 8 2 ]
98
CHAPTER-X
INDEX NUMBERS
Introduction :
H isto ric a lly , th e firs t in d f x n u m b e r w a s c o n stru c te d in t h e y e a r 1764
b y a n Ita lia n n a m e d C a rli th e co m p are th e c h a n g e s in th e p ric e f o r th e y e a r
1750 w ith th e p ric e le v e l fo r th e y ea r 1500. T h o u g h o rig in a lly d e v e lo p e d
f o r m e a s u rin g th e e ffe c t o f c h a n g e in p ric e s, th e re is h a rd ly a n y p h e n o m e n a
to d a y w h e re in d e x n u m b e rs a re n o t u sed . N e w sp a p e rs h e a d lin e th e fa c t th a t
p ric e s are g o in g u p o r d o w n , th a t in d u stria l p ro d u c tio n is r is in g o r fa llin g ,
th a t im p o rts a n d e x p o rts a re in c re a sin g o r d e c re a s in g in a p a r tic u la r p e rio d
c o m p a re d to th e p re v io u s p e rio d as d isc lo se d b y in d e x n u m b e rs . In d e x
n u m b e rs a re s u p p o s e d to b e b a ro m e te rs o f e c o n o m ic a c tiv ity , i.e ., i f o n e
d e s ire s to g e t a n id e a a s to w h a t is h a p p e n in g to a n e c o n o m y , h e sh o u ld
lo o k to im p o rta n t in d ic e s lik e th e in d e x n u m b e r o f in d u stria l p ro d u c tio n ,
a g ric u ltu ra l p ro d u c tio n , b u sin e ss activ ity , etc. T h e im p o rta n c e o f in d e x
n u m b e rs in th e re a lm o f q u an tita tiv e te c h n iq u e s c a n n o t b e o v e r
em p h asised .
In d e x N u m b e rs h a v e b e e n d e fin e d b y C ro x to n a n d C o w d e n a s
“D e v ic e s fo r m e a s u rin g d iffe re n c e s in th e m a g n itu d e o f a g r o u p o f r e la te d
v a ria b le s” .
IMPORTANCE
In d e x n u m b e rs a re in d is p e n sa b le to o ls in th e h a n d s o f g o v e rn m e n t
o ffic ia ls, b u sin e ssm e n , e c o n o m is ts, in d u s tria lis ts a n d p ro fe s s io n a l m e n to
B-2
(iv ) In d e x n u m b e rs m e a s u re th e p u rc h a s in g p o w e r o f m o n e y a n d h e lp in
f in d in g o u t th e re a l w a g e s o r in c o m e s o f th e p eo p le.
L im i ta ti o n s :
In d e x n u m b e rs, d e s p ite o f its u se fu ln e ss to e c o n o m is ts, b u s in e s s m e n
a n d o th e rs, h a v e f o llo w in g lim ita tio n s :
(i) S in c e in d e x n u m b e rs a re b a s e d o n s a m p le d a ta , th e y o n ly p ro v id e
a p p ro x im a te re su lts w h ic h m a y n o t e x a c tly re p re s e n t th e c h a n g e s in
re la tiv e lev els. (
(iii) A s in d e x n u m b e rs a re s p e c ia lis e d a v e ra g e s , th e y a re su b je c t to th o se
lim ita tio n s to w h ic h a n a v e ra g e su ffe rs.
K in d s o f I n d e x N u m b e r s :
O n th e b a s is o f th e s tu d y o f re la tiv e c h a n g e s in d iffe re n t v a ria b le s ,
in d e x n u m b e rs a re b r o a d ly c la s s ifie d in to v a rio u s ty p es.
1. P r ic e I n d e x N u m b e r s : A m o n g a ll th e in d e x n u m b e rs , p ric e in d e x
n u m b e rs a re m o s t c o m m o n ly u s e d in e c o n o m ic a n d b u sin e ss fie ld s to
m e a su re th e re la tiv e p r ic e le v e l c h a n g e s o f c o m m o d itie s a t so m e tim e
o r a t c e rta in p la c e w ith re f e r e n c e to so m e b a s e p e rio d . P ric e in d e x
n u m b e rs a re fu rth e r d iv id e d in to tw o ty p es.
b) R e ta il P ric e In d e x N u m b e r s : R e ta il p ric e in d e x n u m b e rs a re
v e r y u s e fu l to m e a s u r e g e n e r a l c h a n g e s in re ta il p ric e s o f v a rio u s
c o m m o d itie s s u c h a s c o n s u m p tio n g o o d s, b a n k d e p o s its, b o n d s,
s h a re s etc. T h e y a re p o p u la rly k n o w n a s th e “ C o st o f L iv in g
In d e x N u m b e rs ” o r “ C o n s u m e r P ric e In d e x N u m b e rs ” .
2. Q u a n t i t y I n d e x N u m b e r s : T h e s e in d e x n u m b e rs stu d y th e c h a n g e s
in th e v o lu m e o f g o o d s p r o d u c e d , c o n s u m e d a n d d istrib u te d d u rin g a
p a rtic u la r p e r io d o f tim e a s c o m p a re d to its b a s e p e rio d . In d ic e s o f
a g ric u ltu ra l a n d in d u s tria l p ro d u c tio n , im p o rts a n d e x p o rts, etc., a re
e x a m p le s o f q u a n tity in d e x n u m b e rs .
3. V a lu e I n d e x N u m b e r s : T h e s e in d e x n u m b e rs a re m e a n t to m e a su re
th e c h a n g e s in th e to ta l v a l u e o f c o m m o d itie s c o n c e rn e d fo r a p e rio d
o f tim e. H o w e v e r, th e s e a r e n o t c o m m o n ly u se d lik e p ric e a n d
q u a n tity in d e x n u m b e rs .
P R O B L E M S I N T H E C O N S T R U C T I O N O F IN D E X N U M B E R S
1. T h e p u r p o s e o f t h e i n d e x n u m b e r s : S in ce in d e x n u m b e rs are
c o n s tru c te d f o r a v a r ie ty o f ite m s lik e p ric e s, w ag e s, p ro fits, fo re ig n
tra d e a n d s im ila r o th e r ite m s , w e sh o u ld first d e c id e th e p u rp o se fo r
w h ic h in d e x n u m b e r h a s to b e c o m p u te d . F a ilu re to c le a rly d e fin e tire
p u rp o se o f th e in d e x n u m b e r , w o u ld n o t le ad to a n y u se fu l resu lts.
B-4
a) B a se y e a r c h o s e n sh o u ld b e a y e a r o f n o rm a l a n d sta b le
e c o n o m ic c o n d itio n s.
b) T h e b a s e y e a r sh o u ld n o t b e to o d is ta n t fro m th e c u rre n t year.
c) W h ile s e le c tin g th e b a s e a d e c is io n h a s to b e m a d e a s to w h e th e r
th e b a s e sh a ll re m a in fix e d o r n o t, i.e., w h e th e r w e h a v e a fix e d
b a s e o r c h a in b a s e in d e x .
1. Unweighted indices a n d
2. Weighted indices
(A ) S im p le A g g re g a tiv e M e th o d , a n d
(B ) S im p le A v e ra g e o f P ric e R e la tiv e s M e th o d .
IP i
Poi = ----------- x 100
SP0
w h e re , P 0i = P ric e in d e x fo r c u rre n t y e a r o n th e b a s is o f b a s e y e a r
prices.
E P i = T o ta l o f c u rre n t y e a r p ric e s o f v a rio u s c o m m o d itie s.
I P o = T o ta l o f b a s e y e a r p ric e s o f v a rio u s co m m o d itie s.
B-6
(B ) S im p le A v e r a g e o f P r ic e R e la tiv e s M e th o d : U n d e r th is
m e th o d p ric e re la tiv e s a re c o m p u te d fo r e a c h c o m m o d ity . P ric e
re la tiv e is th e ra tio o f c u r r e n t y e a r p ric e to th e b a s e y e a r price.
E ith e r A rith m e tic M e a n o r G e o m e tric M e a n is used.
(a ) W h e n A r ith m e tic M e a n is u s e d , th e fo llo w in g p ro c e d u re is
a d o p te d to c o m p u te p ric e in d e x .
(i) C a lc u late th e p ric e re la tiv e (P ) fo r e a c h co m m o d ity b y
Pi
u s in g th e f o rm u la ----------- x 100
Po
B-7
IP
(iii) A p p ly th e f o r m u l a : P 0I ~
N
N = N u m b e r o f ite m s o r c o m m o d itie s.
(b ) W h e n G e o m e tr ic M e a n is u s e d , th e fo llo w in g p ro c e d u re is
a d o p te d to co m p u te p ric e in d e x .
(i) C a lc u la te p ric e re la tiv e s f o r e a c h c o m m o d ity
Pi
( i . e . , P = ----------- x 1 0 0 )
Po
(ii) F in d o u t lo g v a lu e s fo r v a rio u s p ric e re la tiv e s (lo g p ) a n d
o b ta in th e to ta l E lo g p.
E lo g p
(iii) A p p ly th e f o rm u la : P0i = A n tilo g -----------
N
W h e re, E lo g p = S u m o f lo g v a lu e s o f p ric e re la tiv e s
N = N u m b e r o f ite m s
I l l u s tr a tio n 2 : C a lc u la te In d e x N u m b e r b y A v e ra g e o f re la tiv e m e th o d
u s in g A rith m e tic M e a n a n d G e o m e tric M e an .
C o m m o d ity A B C D E
P ric e in 1990 6 10 2 12 5
P ric e in 1995 8 15 4 8 5
P ric e
P ric e in P ric e in R e la tiv e s
C o m m o d ities Pi lo g p
1990 1995
p = — X too
Po
Po Pi P
A 6 8 133.33 2 .1 2 4 9
B 10 15 15 0 .0 0 2.1 7 6 1
C 2 4 2 0 0 .0 0 2 .3 0 1 0
B-8
D 12 8 6 6 .6 7 1 .8 2 4 0
E 5 5 1 0 0 .0 0 2 .0 0 0 0
X P = 650 S lo g p =
1 0 .4 2 6
(a ) W h e n A rith m e tic M e a n is u s e d :
IP 650
P01= -------- = --------- = 130
N 5
(b ) W h e n G e o m e tric M e a n is u s e d :
E lo g p 10.426
Poi = A n tilo g -------------- = A n tilo g --------------
N 5
= A n tilo g 2 .0 8 5 2 .
= 121.7
(A ) W e ig h te d A g g re g a tiv e In d ic e s, a n d
(B ) W e ig h te d A v e ra g e o f R e la tiv e s In d ice s.
£Piq0
Poi = ----------- x 100
2 P 0q 0
B-9
(ii) P a a s c h e ’s M e th o d : U n d e r th is m e th o d th e w e ig h ts a re
d e te rm in e d b y q u a n titie s in th e g iv e n y e a r. T h e f o llo w in g
ste p s a re r e q u ire d fo r c o n s tru c tin g in d e x :
(a ) M u ltip ly c u rre n t y e a r p ric e s o f v a rio u s c o m m o d itie s w ith
c u rre n t y e a r w e ig h ts a n d o b ta in Z P iq i.
(b ) M u ltip ly th e h a s e y e a r p ric e s o f v a r io u s c o m m o d itie s
w ith c u rre n t y e a r w e ig h ts a n d o b ta in X P0qi.
(c ) A p p ly th e f o llo w in g f o r m u l a :
EPjqi
Poi = ----------- x 100
EPoqi
W h e re , L = L a sp e y re s In d e x , P = P a a s c h e ’s In d e x
(iv ) D o rb is h a n d B o w le y ’s M e th o d :
EP^o EPiqi
SPoqo EP0qi
Poi = ----------------------------------- x 100
2
EPiqo + EP.qi
Poi = --------------------------- x 100
E P 0q 0 + E P 0q i
q0+qi EPiq
q = ----------- ; Poi = ------------ x 100
2 £P0q
B-10
(i) L a s p e y re ’s m e th o d
(ii) P a a s c h e ’s m e th o d
(iii) D o ib is h B o w ie y ’s m e th o d
(iv ) M a rs h a ll-E d g e w o rth m e th o d
(v ) F is h e r’s Id e a l m e th o d
Solution :
C o n s tru c tio n o f W e ig h te d P ric e In d ice s
Com 1995 1998
m o d it Poqo Poqi
Po qo Pi qi Piqo P iq i
ies
A 3 10 5 20 50 100 30 60
B 6 12 « 15 96 120 72 90
C 5 15 ( 6 20 90 120 75 100
D 4 20 3 30 60 90 80 120
.1! ' t 2 p iq 0 S p iq i Epoqo Spoqi
=296 =430 =257 =370
(i) L a s p e y r e ’s m e th o d
Spiqp
Poi = ----------- x 100
Epoqo
296
Poi = ------- x 100
257
= 115.17
■
B -ll
Spiqi
Poi = ------------- x 100
Spoqi
430
P o i= ---------x 100
370
= 116.2
Spiqo Epiqi
-----------+ ------------
Epoqo Epoqi
P o i= -------------------------------------- x 100
296 430
--------+ ----------
257 370
Po.= x 100
2.31
x 100
2
115.52
E p,qo + E p ,q ,
P 01= ------------------------------- x 100
Epoq0 + Epoqi
296+430
Poi= ------------------ x 100
257 + 370 i . 11 11 1
726
x 100
627
= 115.78
B-12
= V l . 1 5 x 1 .1 6 x 100
= V 1 .3 3 4 x 100
= 1 .1 5 5 x 1 0 0
= 115.5
Illustration 4 :
F o llo w in g a r e th e p ric e a n d q u a n titie s o f c e rta in ite m s. C o n s tru c t K e lle y ’s
in d e x .
Q u a n titie s P ric e (in R s.)
Ite m s
1991 1993 1991 1993
R ic e 20 30 10 20
W heat 40 60 8 10
D al /— 30 80 20 30
O th e rs ( 10 30 10 20
E p iq
P 0i = -------------- x 100
Spoq
3050
= ----------- x 100
1950
= 156.41
(ii) C a lc u la te v a lu e w e ig h ts (V ), V = P 0 x qO a n d o b ta in th e to ta l
IV .
(iii) M u ltip ly e a c h (p ) v a lu e w ith v a lu e w e ig h ts (V ) a n d o b ta in th e
to ta l I P V .
(iv ) A p p ly th e fo llo w in g f o r m u l a : P 0i = I P V / I V
N o te : I f w e ig h ts a re g iv e n in th e p ro b le m (W ) th e n d o n o t c a lc u la te v a lu e
w eig h ts
B 25 10 40
C 40 6 50
Epv 93993
P 01= --------------= --------------- = 14 1 .3 4
Ev 665
qo Pi
A 35 5 48 137.1 2.1370 175 373.98
B 25 10 40 160.0 2.2041 250 551.03
C 40 6 50 125.0 2.0969 240 503.26
EV ZlogPV
=665
1428.27
S lo g P V 1 4 28.27
Poi = A n tilo g ---------------- = A n tilo g ---------------
= A n tilo g 2 .1 4 7 8
B-15
T e s ts o f A d e q u a c y o f In d e x N u m b e r s
T h e f o llo w in g fo u r te sts h a v e b e e n d e v e lo p e d fo r c h o o s in g a su itab le
in d e x :
(i) U n it t e s t : T h is re q u ire s th a t th e in d e x n u m b e rs m u s t b e in d e p e n d e n t
o f th e u n its in w h ich , o r fo r w h ic h , p ric e s a n d q u a n titie s a re q u o te d . A ll
f o rm u la e e x c e p t th e sim p le (u n -w e ig h te d ) a g g re g a tiv e in d e x sa tisfy th is
test.
(ii) T im e r e v e r s a l t e s t : It is o n e w h ic h h e lp s in d e te r m in in g w h e th e r a
g iv e n m e th o d w ill w o rk in b o th w a y s in tim e , f o rw a r d a n d b a c k w a rd .
T h is te s t im p lie s th a t i f th e tim e s u b s c rip t o f a n y in d e x f o rm u la b e
in te r c h a n g e d th e n th e r e s u ltin g in d e x s h o u ld b e th e r e c ip r o c a l o f th e
o r ig in a l in d e x ( o m ittin g th e f a c to r 100 fro m e a c h in d e x ). T h is te s t
w a s p r o p o u n d e d b y P ro f. I rv in g F ish e r.
S y m b o lic a lly ,
Pol x Pio = 1
T h e F is h e r’s Id ea l In d ex sa tisfie s th is te st
T h e f a c to r r e v e r s a l te s t is s a tis f ie d o n ly b y th e F is h e r ’s Id e a l In d ex .
(iv ) C i r c u l a r t e s t : T h is te s t is a n e x te n s io n o f th e tim e re v e rs a l te st a n d is
c o n c e r n e d w ith th e m e a s u r e m e n t o f p ric e c h a n g e s o v e r a p e rio d o f
tim e , w h e n it is d e s ira b le to s h ift th e b ase.
O n ly th e s im p le a g g r e g a tiv e m e th o d a n d th e w e ig h te d a g g re g a tiv e
w ith f ix e d w e ig h ts m e e t th is test.
S y m b o lic a ll y :
Poi x P 12 x P20 = 1
T h e s im p le a g g r e g a tiv e p r ic e in d e x sa tisfie s th e c irc u la r T e s t w h ic h is
show n b e lo w :
Illustration 6 : From the data given below show that Fisher’s Ideal Index
satisfies both Time Reversal and Factor Reversal Tests :
1982 1983
Commodities
Po qo Pi qi
A 8 50 2 0 60
B 2 15 6 10
C 1 2 0 2 25
D 2 10 5 8
E 1 40 5 30
Solution :
Computations for Time Reversal Test and Factor Reversal Test
Com 1982 1983
modi Po qo Pi Piqo Poqo Poqi
qi Piqi
ties
A 8 50 2 0 60 1 ,0 0 0 400 1 ,2 0 0 480
B 2 15 6 1 0 90 30 60 2 0
C 1 2 0 2 25 40 2 0 50 25
D 2 1 0 5 8 50 2 0 40 16
E 1 40 5 30 2 0 0 40 150 30
2piq0 2p0q0 Epiqi Spoqi
=1,380 =510 =1,500 =571
EPiqi
Poi =
EPoqi
B-18
F a c to r R e v ersa l T e s t :
IP jq i
Factor reversal test is satisfied when P 0i x Q0i =
SPoqo
i.1
/ S q iP 0 E q iP i
and Qoi =
E q0P0 EqoPi
Q u a n tity In d e x N u m b e rs :
Quantity indices are used to measure average changes in quantities.
These are very useful to measure and compare the physical volume of
commodities produced or marketed or distributed in the given year with
reference to any base year. The quantity indices are computed by using
various formulae of price indices by interchanging q to p and p to q.
Thus,
i) Laspevre’s quantity index
Sqipo
Qoi = —------ x 1 0 0
2q0po
B-19
Sqipi
x --------- x 10 0
£q0pi
V a lu e In d e x N u m b e r s :
The value of commodity is the product of its price and quantity, the
value index can be obtained by expressing the total value of current year as
percentage of the total value in the base year.
Thus, ik
Spiqi
V = ---------- x 1 0 0
Epoq0
T H E C H A IN IN D E X N U M B E R S :
The following steps must be followed for the construction of Chain Index
Numbers.
: '■■■■' ; , 11; : To.,*}©,! ’l '[ : if.u ■;! ;l
(i) Calculate link relatives for each year
(ii) C h a in In d e x fo r th e c u rre n t y e a r =
100
F IX E D B A S E D I N D E X N U M B E R S :
U n d e r fix e d b a s e in d e x n u m b e rs th e y e a r o r th e p e rio d o f y e a rs to
w h ic h a ll o th e r p ric e s a re r e la te d to b e k e p t c o n s ta n t fo r all tim es. F o r
in sta n c e i f th e in d ic e s o f 1991, 1992 a n d 1993, a re a ll c a lc u la te d w ith 1980
a s th e b a s e y e a r, su c h in d ic e s w ill b e c a lle d fix e d b a s e in d ices.
C o n v e r s io n o f C h a i n B a s e I n d e x N u m b e r s to F ix e d B a s e I n d e x
N u m b ers :
F ix e d b a s e in d e x (F .B .I) n u m b e rs c a n b e o b ta in e d fro m th e c h a in
b a s e in d e x (C .B .l) n u m b e rs b y u s in g th e fo llo w in g fo rm u la:
C u rre n t Y e a r C .B .l x P re v io u s Y e a r F B I
C u rre n t Y e a r F .B .I = --------------------------------------------------------------------------
100
D lu s tr a t io n 7 : C o n s tru c t In d e x N u m b e r b y C h a in b a s e m e th o d fo r th e
fo llo w in g d a t a ______ _________ _____________________________________________
Y ear 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
P ric e o f W h e a t
530 600 770 800 840 900
p e r 100 K g
900 107.14x158.50
1997 900 ------- x 100 = 107.14 ---------------------------- 169.82
840 100
I l l u s t r a t i o n 8 : F ro m th e fo llo w in g d a ta o f th e w h o le s a le p ric e s o f w h e a t
f o r th e te n y e a rs c o n s tru c t in d e x n u m b e rs ta k in g (a ) 1 9 7 9 a s b a s e , a n d (b )
b y c h a in b a s e m e th o d .________________________________ ____________________
Y ear P ric e o f W h e a t Y ear P ric e o f W h e a t
(R s. p e r 2 0 k g ) (R s. p e r 2 0 k g )
1979 50 1984 78
1980 60 1985 82
1981 62 1986 84
1982 65 1987 88
1983 70 1988 90
S o lu tio n :
(a ) C o n s tru c tio n o f In d e x N u m b e rs ta k in g 1979 a s b a s e
Year Price of Index Number Year Price of Index Number
Wheat (1979=100) Wheat (1979=100)
78
1979 50 100 1984 78 -----x 100=156
.... „ . ., 50
60 82
1980 60 -----x 100=120 1985 82 -----x 100=164
50 50
62 84
1981 62 -----x 100=124 1986 84 ----- x 100=168
50 50
65 88
1982 65 -----x 100=130 1987 88 ----- x 100=176
50 50
70 1 90
1983 70 ----- x 100=140 1988 90 -----x 100=180
50 50
(b ) C o n s tru c tio n o f C h a in In d ices
Y ear P ric e o f L in k R e la tiv e s C h a in In d ices
w heat (1 9 7 9 = 1 0 0 )
1979 50 10 0 .0 100.0
60 120x100
1980 60 ------ x.100 = 120.0 ------------------------ = 1 2 0 .0
50 100
62 1 0 3 .3 x 1 2 0
1981 62 ------ x 100 = 103.3 ---------------------- = 124.0
60 100
65 1 0 4 .8 x 1 2 4
1982 65 ------- x 100 = 104.8 ---------------------- = 129.95
62 100
70 1 0 7 .7 x 1 2 9 .9 5
1983 70 -------x 100 = 107.7 ------------------------ = 139.96
65 100
78 1 1 1 .4 x 1 3 9 .9 6
1984 78 -------x 1 0 0 = 111.4 ---------------------- = 155.92
70 100
82 105.1 x 155.92
1985 82 ------ x 100 = 105.1 ---------------------- = 163.87
78 100
84 1 0 2 .4 x 1 6 3 .8 7
1986 84 ------ x 100 = 102.4 ------------------------ = 1 6 7 .8 0
82 100
88 1 0 4 .8 x 1 6 7 .8 0
1987 88 ------ x 100 = 104.8 ---------------------- = 1 7 5 .8 5
84 100
90 1 0 2 .3 x 1 7 5 .8 5
1988 90 ------ x 100 = 102.3 ---------------------- = 1 7 9 .8 9
88 100
S o lu tio n : (a ) C o m p u ta tio n o f C h a in b a s e in d e x n u m b e rs
Relatives based on proceeding year
Group
1973 1974 1975 1976 1977
6 8 10 12
i 100 -----X 100=150 — X 100=133.33 — X 100=125 -----X 100=120
4 6 8 10
20 24 30 36
h 100 -----X 100=125 ----- X 100=120.00 -----X 100=125 — X 100=120
16 20 24 30
10 16 20 24
n 100 — X 100=125 ---- X 100=160.00 ---- X 100=125 ---- X 100=120
8 10 16 20
Total of
300 400 413.33 375 360
L.R.
Aver
age
100 133.33 137.78 125 120
L.R.
(AM )
1 0 0 X 1 3 3 .3 3 1 3 7 .7 8 X 1 3 3 .3 3 1 2 5 X 1 8 3 .7 0 1 2 0 X 2 2 9 .6 3
Chain
100 100 100 100 100
Indices
= 1 3 3 ,3 3 = 1 8 3 .7 0 = 2 2 9 .6 3 = 2 7 5 .5 6
(b ) C o m p u ta tio n o f fix e d b a s e in d e x n u m b e rs
Price Relatives (1973=100)
Group
1973 1974 1975 1976 1977
6 8 10 12
I 100 -----X 100=150 -----X 100=200 — X 100=250 -----X 100=300
4 4 4 4 ,
20 24 30 36
H 100 ---- X 100=125 -----X 100=150 — X 100=187.5 ---- X 100=225
16 16 16 16
10 16 20 24
n 100 ---- X 100=125 ---- X 100=200 — X 100=250 ---- X 100=300
8 8 8 8
Total of
Relativ 300 400 550 687.5 825
es
Index
No.
(Aver
100 133.33 183.33 229.17 275
age of
Rela
tives)
I l l u s tr a tio n 10 : F ro m th e c h a in b a s e in d e x n u m b e rs g iv e n b e lo w fin d
fix e d b a s e in d e x n u m b e rs :
Y ear 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
C h a in b a s e in d e x n u m b e rs 90 120 130 120 140
B-24
130X108
1997 130 = 140.40
10 0
120X140.40
1998 1 2 0 = 168.48
10 0
140X168.48
1999 140 = 235.87
10 0
Base Shifting
Base Shifting means changing the Base year period of a series of
index numbers and finding out the index numbers with new base period.
The shift in Base period is made in the following situations.
(a) To compare two or more series of index numbers with different Base
periods.
(b) When the Base period is too distant from the current year to make
meaningful comparisons.
1990 180 1 0 0 .0 0
1991 2 0 0 100
-------X 200 = 111.11
180
1992 2 2 0 100
------- X 220 = 122.22
180
100
Shifted Index No. = __________________ x Original Index No.
Index No. of
New Base period
Splicing
The technique of combining two or more overlapping series of index
numbers into one continuous series is known as Splicing. This continuity
of the series of index number is required to facilitate comparisons.
Illustration 12 : Two sets of Indices, one with 1969 as base and the other
with 1977 as base are given below
(a) Year Index Nos. (b) Year Index Nos.
1969 10 0 1977 10 0
400
1978 105 105 X ------- = 4 2 0
100
400
1979 90 90 X ------- = 360
100
400
1980 95 95 X ------- = 380
100
400
1981 102 102 X ------- = 4 0 8
100
400
1982 110 110 X ------- = 4 4 0
100
400
1983 96 96 X ------- = 384
100
It 11
D e fla tin g :
T h e p ro c e s s o f d e c re a s in g .1 I i hu " " i i l i i i i - ii»t, • ■
a s to a llo w f o r c h a n g e in th e p i n e lnv«*l i- -tii- i t . m ,, ,
te c h n iq u e a se rie s o f m o n e y w a g e s .......... mi* <mi » - . . . . . . i,,, , . t(
c h a n g e s to f in d o u t th e le v e l o f re a l w agm , m i i i n m i . 1 1. . ............ . , ,
M oney w age
R eal w ages = ------------------------- x 100
P ric e in d e x
R e a l w a g e in d e x o r R e a l in c o m e in d e x =
In d e x o f m o n e y w a g e
--------------------------------------- x 100
P ric e in d e x N o .
(o r)
R e a l w a g e o f th e c u rre n t y e a r
= -------------------------------------------------------- x 100
R e a l w a g e o f th e b a s e y e a r
I l l u s t r a t i o n 13 : T h e a n n u a l w a g e s ( in R s .) o f w o r k e r s a r e g i v e n alone
w ith C o n s u m e r P ric e In d ic e s. F in d (i) th e re a l w a g e s a n d ( ii) t h e r e a l w a g e
in d ic es.
Y ear 1990 1991 1992 1993
W ages 1800 2200 3400 3600
C o n s u m e r P ric e In d ic e s 100 170 300 320 ~
C o st o f liv in g in d ic e s m e a su re th e c h a n g e in th e c o st o f liv in g o f
w o rk e rs d u e to c h a n g e in th e re ta il price. A c h a n g e in th e p ric e level
a ffec ts th e c o s t o f liv in g o f d iffe re n t c la sse s o f p e o p le d iffe re n tly . T h e
g e n e ra l in d e x n u m b e r fa ils to re v e a l th is. So th e re is th e n e e d to c o n stru c t
c o n s u m e r p ric e in d e x .
£Piqo
Consumer Price Index ------------ x 100
SPoqo
T h is is in fa c t L a sp e y re s m e th o d d is c u s s e d p rev io u sly
Pi
Where P = ------- x 100 for each item
Po
B 6 Quintal 10 .0 0 16 0 0 96 60
C IK g Kg 12 .0 0 18.00 18 12
D 6 Kg Kg 16.00 2 0 .0 0 12 0 96
E 4 Kg Kg 4.00 3.00 1 2 16
F 1 Kg Kg 40.00 30.00 30 40
£Piqo IPoq>
= 348 = 293
SPiqo 348
Consumer Price index = ----------- x l0 0 = -------- x 100= 118.77
iPoqo 293
(ii) Construction of consumer price Index Number by the Family
_____ Budget Method. ______ ______ _________ _______________
Price Price Pi
Quantity ----- x 100
Com in in Poqo
Consumed Units Po PV
modities 1982 1983 V
qo P
Po Pi
A 6 Quintal Quintal 11.50 12.00 104.35 69 7200.15
B 6 Quintal Quintal 10.00 16.00 160.00 60 9600.00
C 1 Kg Kg 12.00 18.00 150.00 12 1800.00
D 6 Kg Kg 16.00 20.00 125.00 96 12000.00
E 4 Kg Kg 4.00 3.00 75.00 16 1200.00
F 1 Kg Kg 40.00 30.00 75.00 40 3000.00
ZV = ZV =
293 34,800.15
EPV 34,800.15
Consumer Price Index ---------- = ------------- = 118.77
EV 293
Illustration 15 : Construct the cost of living index number from the table
given below :_________ __________________________________________
Group Index for 1982 Expenditure
1. Food 550 46%
2. Clothing 2 2 0 7%
3. Lighting 215 1 0 %
S o lu tio n :
Construction of cost of Living Index Number
Group Index Number I Expenditure W IW
Food 550 46 25,300
Clothing 2 2 0 7 1,540
Lighting 215 1 0 2,150
House Rent 275 25 6,875
Miscellaneous 150 1 2 1,800
IW = 10 0 £ IW = 37,665
XIW 37,665
Cost of Living Index = --------- = ----------- =376.65
EW 100
THEORY QUESTIONS
1. Explain the term ‘Index Number. Why Index Numbers are called
economic baromters ?
3. Write a brief notes on (a) Price Index Number (b) Value Index
Number and (c) Quantity Index Number.
9. What is meant (i) Base shifting, (ii) Splicing and deflating of index
numbers ? Explain and illustrate.
10. What do you understand by cost of living number ? What are its
uses ? Discuss the methods used for the computation.
B.-32
PROBLEMS
1. Compute a price index for the following by
(a) Simple aggregative method and
(b) Average of price relative method by using (i) arithmetic mean
and (ii) geometric mean
Commodity A B C D E F
Price in 1990 (Rs.) 2 0 30 10 25 40 50
Price in 1995 (Rs.) 25 30 15 35 40 55
(Ans : (a) PM= 114.29 (b) (i) 120.83; (ii) 119.3)
3. Compute price indices for 1999 and 1997 taking 1992 as base year
from the data given below :____________________________________
Commodities
Year
A B C D E F
1999 90 55 70 25 130 70
1997 80 40 60 2 0 1 2 0 50
1992 60 30 40 10 80 40
(Ans : Price index for 1997 = 142.3
Price index for 1999 = 169.2 )
Price in 1997 5 8 4 15 8
B 50 1 0 60 5
C 40 15 50 10
D 2 0 2 0 2 0 15
(Ans : (a) 124.69 (b) 125.23 (c) 124.97)
7. Compute weighted price index from the following data by using (i)
Laspeyre’s method (ii) Paasche’s method and (iii) Fisher’s Ideal
Method.
1982 1983
Items
Price Qty Price Qty
A 10 1 2 1 2 15
B 7 15 5 2 0
C 5 24 9 2 0
D 16 5 14 5
(Ans : (i) 118.82; (ii) 112.76; (iii) 115.75)
B 4 16 8 40
C 1 10 2 24
D 5 25 10 60
(AnS : 219.12) (B.Com., Andhra)
9. C o n s tru c t F is h e r ’s Id e a l In d ex N u m b e r a n d sh o w h o w it sa tisfie s th e
tim e r e v e rs a l anc fa c to r re v e rsa l t e s t s :
B a se y e a r 1981 C u rre n t y e a r 1988
C o m m o d itie s
P ric e Q ty P ric e Q ty
P 10 100 20 140
Q 8 150 8 200
R 12 120 18 160
S 20 80 30 80
T 16 160 24 200
(AnS : 148.84) (B.Com., Osmania)
10. C o m p u te F is h e r ’s Id ea l In d e x fro m th e d a ta g iv e n b e lo w a n d p ro v e
th a t it sa tis fie s tim e re v e rsa l a n d fa c to r re v e rsa l te sts :
1986 1988
C o m m o d itie s
P ric e Q ty P ric e Q ty
A 4 8 5 8
B 6 9 8 11
C 3 5 4 6
D 7 3 9 4
E 4 2 6 2
(A n s : 1 3 1 .5 6 ) (B.Com., Kakatiya)
D 2
E 1
12. Compute weighted index numbers for the given d.ii.i .......... ........
Bowley’s method, (b) Marshall Edgewortli method. h i i ■i i , -
method.
Comm Base year Current ycai
odities Price Qty Price Qty
A 2 2 0 4 45
B 4 24 5 30
C 6 30 8 40
D 8 40 1 0 60
(Ans : (a ) 133.20; (b ) 133.46; ( c ) 133.46) (B.Com.,Kakatiya)
C 2 19 2 13
D 4 14 5 10
14. From the following data compute price index by weighted average of
price relatives method using (I) Arithmetic Mean and (II) Geometric
Mean.
Commodities A B C D E
Price in 1990 30 28 40 25 35
Quantity in 1990 1 3 6 10 5
Price in 1995 40 42 50 40 48
(Ans: (1) 141.97; (II) 143.2)
B-36
15. From the following data compute price index by using weighted
average of price Relatives Method using (a) Arithmetic Mean and (b)
Geometric Mean
Commodity Base year price Base year Current year
(Rs.) Quantity price (Rs.)
X 2 2 4
Y 3 2 0 4
Z 4 5 6
16. The following table gives the average prices of five commodities for
the years 1975 and 1980.______________________________________
Commodity Weight Price in Rs.
1975 1980
A 5 3.75 4.80
B 7 2.50 4.00
C 6 4.00 5.25
D 3 2.80 4.20
E 4 3.00 4.80
Calculate the price index number for 1980 with 1975 as the base year
using:
(a) Simple average of price relatives (Ans : 145.85)
(b) Weighted average of Price relatives (Ans : 145.5)
17. From the following data compute quantity indices by using (i)
Laspeyer’s Method, (ii) Paasche’s Method and (iii) Fisher’s Ideal
Method.
Base year 1999 Current year 2000
Items
Price Qty Price Qty
A 4 40 5 50
B 1 0 30 1 2 40
C 3 80 4 10 0
D 5 50 8 50
E 8 40 10 50
(Ans : ( i) = 132.28; (ii) = 130.97; (c) = 131.62)
B-37
18. Compute by suitable method the index number of quantity from the
data given b elo w :_________________ ____ ______ ______________
1998 1999
Commodities
Price Total Value Price Total Value
X 8 80 1 0 1 1 0
Y 10 90 1 2 108
o
Z 16 256 340
(A n s: Qoi = 105.64)
Hint: Since we are given, the value and the price we can obtain quantity
figure by dividing value by price for each commodity. We can then
apply Fisher’s method for finding out quantity index.
S 5 15 8 2 0
(Ans: 174.08)
20. Show with the help of the following data that simple aggregative
index satisfies the circular Test.
Prices of Articles
Year
P Q R S T
1994 6 8 1 2 1 0 15
1992 4 6 1 2 1 0 8
1990 10 8 5 4 3
IP , IP 2 IP 0
H int: P0 1 X P 1 2 X P 20= 1 i.e., ------- x ------- x — = 1
IP 0 IP , IP 2
21. From the following data, show how fixed weighted Aggregative
Method satisfies the circular Test ?
Price (in Rs.)
Commodities
1990 1994 1998 Weights
A 2 0 30 40 2 1
B-38
B 30 40 50 23
C 2 0 30 40 1 2
D 1 0 2 0 30 2 1
E 40 50 60 23
Z P ]q S P 2q Z P 0q
H int: P 0i x P i2 x P 20 = 1 i.e., ----------- x ----------- x ----------- = 1
Z P 0q X P ,q Z P 2q
23. Construct index number by Chain base method for the following
data.
Year 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995
Price 2 0 30 35 25 28 40
(Ans. 1 0 0 ; 150; 175; 124.98; 139.98; 199.96)
24, Construct Chain index numbers from the link relatives given below.
Year 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
Link
10 0 1 2 0 103.33 104.84 107.69
Index
(Ans : 100; 120; 124; 130; 140)
25. From the following prices of three groups of commodities for the
years 1994 to 1998. Calculate fixed base and chain base index
numbers with 1994 as base y e a r:_______________________________
Group 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
X 5 6 9 10 1 2
Y 8 10 15 2 0 25
Z 16 2 0 24 30 36
(Ans: (a) Fixed index numbers : 1 0 0 ; 123.33; 172.5; 212.5; 259.16
(b) Chain index numbers : 1 0 0 ; 123.33; 172.67; 212.63; 258.70)
26 From the chain base index immlwii, jin. it ... n ,..i i ....
index numbers.
Year 1994 19(95 1 our,
27. Prepare fixed base index numbers from the cli.im lM .f m.i. , .......u . -
given b elo w : _________ _________ ______
Year 1991 1992 1993 1994 1905
Index
92 1 0 2 104 98 103 10 1
No.
(Ans : 92; 93.84; 97.59; 95.64; 98.51; 99.50)
28. From the following Chain Base Index Numbers calculate Fixed Base
Index Num bers:
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
80 95 1 0 2 98 105 10 0
31. In the following series of index numbers shift the base from 1992 to
1994 and recast the index numbers.
Year 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
Index No. 10 0 108 1 2 0 150 2 1 0
1993 1 2 0
33. Splice the following two index number series, continuing series A
forward and Series B backwards.
Year 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993
Series A 10 0 1 2 0 150
Series B 10 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 150
34. The following data relate to the income of the people and General
Index Numbers of prices of a certain region. Calculate Index
Numbers of Real Income with 1988 as base :
1991 876 1 2 0
35. Following table shows the annual wage and price index of a labour.
Prepare the real wage index for the labour._____________ __________
Year Wages Price Year Wages Price
(Rs.) Index 1 ' i:1 (Rs.) Index
1987 2 0 0 10 0 1971 360 300
1988 240 160 1972 370 320
1989 350 280 1973 375 330
1990 360 290
(Ans : 100; 75; 62.5; 62; 60; 57.8, 56.8)
B 25 6 .0 0 7.50
C 1 0 5.00 5.25
D 2 0 48.00 52.30
E 65 15.00 16.50
F 30 19.00 27.00
(Ans : Consumer price Index = 124.6)
37. Calculate the index number using both the Aggregate Expenditure
Method and Family Budget Method for the year 1973 with 1960 as
the base year from the following data.___________________________
Commodity Quantity in Price per Unit in Price per Unit in
Units in 1960 1960 (Rs.) 1973
A 10 0 8 .0 0 1 2 .0 0
B 25 6 .0 0 7.50
C 1 0 5.00 5.25
D 2 0 48.00 52.00
E 25 15.00 16.50
F 30 9.00 27.00
(Ans: 142.1) (B.Com., Bangalore)
B-42
38. Calculate the Index Number, using family budget method for the year
_____ 1980 with 1970 as base year from the following d ata:_____________
Commodity Quantity Price 1970 Price per unit
Consumed 1970 (R s) 1980 (Rs.)
A 10 0 8 1 2
B 25 6 7.50
C 1 0 5 5.25
D 2 0 48 52
E 95 15 16.50
(Ans: 119.57)
40. An enquiry into the budgets of middle class families in a certain city
gave the following information :________________ _______________
Food Fuel Clothing Rent Misc.
Expenses o n :
35% 1 0 % 2 0 % 15% 2 0 %
(Ah'. I ‘ f• I
43. lii tin- tniiM m .in.il ..I ,i i i-ii.m i nl Living Index Number, the
followmi’. j'.iiH111 in.i.■ - 11111111u•i •. were found. Calculate the cost of
I ,i vi iif. Iin I* , in .... . i i.. iim ii|- (i ) Weighted arithmetic mean, and (ii)
M im I’lliuieous 250 2
EIW Elog 1 W
Hi n t: Formulae (0 - (ii) Antilog
EW EW
44 A textile worker in the city of Bombay earns Rs.350 per month. The
cost of living for a particular month is given as 136. Using the
fol lowing data find the amounts he spent on house rent and clothing.
Group Expenditure Group Index
Food 140 180
Clothing ? 150
House Rent ? 10 0
Miscellaneous 63 80
(Ans : He spent Rs.42 on Clothing and
Rs.49 on House Rent)
J
B-44
45. An enquiry into the budgets of the middle class families of a certaii
city revealed that on an average the percentage expenses in th
different groups were :
Food 45, Rent 15, Clothing 12, Fuel and Light 8 , Miscellaneous 2J
The group indices for the current year as compared with a fixed bas
period were respectively 410, 150, 343, 248 and 285. Calculate th
cost of Living Index Number for the current year.
Mr. X was getting Rs.240 in the base period and 430 in the curr : r
( year. State how much he ought to have received as extra allows Jur
to maintain his former standard of living ?
(Ans: Rs. 350 more to maintain the base year’s Standard of
living)
I
1
I '1
j.
1
J
1