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PQT Model Exam Papers.106193634
PQT Model Exam Papers.106193634
(OR)
(b) (i) A random variable X has the p.d.f.
2 x, 0 x 1
f x
0, otherwise
1 1 1 3 1
Find (1) P X (2) P X (3) P X / X
2 4 2 4 2
(ii) Write the pdf of Gamma distribution. Find the MGF, mean and variance.
12. (a) (i) Let X and Y have joint p.d.f
X
0 1 2
0.1 0.4 0.1
Y 0
0.2 0.2 0
1
(OR)
(b) (i) Find the coefficient of correlation between production and export using the following
Data. Production (X) : 55 56 58 59 60 60 62
Export (Y) : 35 38 37 39 44 43 44
2, 0 x y 1
(ii)If the jpdf of the r.vs X and Y is given by f(x,y) = , find the pdf of the
0, otherwise
X
r.v U .
Y
13. (a) (i) Consider a random process X(t) defined by X t U cos t V 1 sin t , where U
and V are independent random variables for which
E U E V 0; E U 2 E V 2 1 .
(1) Find the auto-covariance function of X(t)
(2) Is X(t) WSS? Explain your answer.
(ii) The t.p.m of a Markov chain X n , n 1, 2,3,..... having 3 states 1,2 and 3 is
0.1 0.5 0.4
P 0.6 0.2 0.2 and the initial distribution is (0.7,0.2,0.1)
0.3 0.4 0.3
Find (1) P X 2 3 (2) P X 3 2, X 2 3, X 1 3, X 0 2
(OR)
(b) (i) A man either drives a car or catches a train to go to office each day. He never goes
2days in a row by train but if he drives one day, then the next day he is just as likely to
drive again as he is to travel by train. Now suppose that on the first day of the week, the
man tossed a fair die and drove to work iff a 6 appeared. Find
(1) The probability that he takes a train on the 3rd day.
(2) The probability that he drives to work in the long run.
(ii) Discuss the pure birth process and hence obtain its probabilities, mean and variance.
14. (a) (i ) Discuss the M/M/1 queuing model with finite capacity and obtain its steady state
probabilities and the mean number of customers in the system.
(ii) A petrol pump has 2 pumps. The service times follow the exponential distribution with
a mean of 4 mins and cars arrive for service in a Poisson process at the rate of 10
cars /hr. Find the probability that a customer has to wait for service . What is the
probability that pumps remain idle?
(OR)
(b) (i) A concentrator receives messages from a group of terminals and transmits them
over a single transmission line. Suppose that messages arrive according to a Poisson
process at a rate of one message every 4 milliseconds and suppose that message
transmissions times are exponentially distributed with mean 3 milliseconds. Find the mean
number of messages in the system and the mean total delay in the system. What
percentage increase in arrival rate results in doubling of the above mean total delay?
(ii) Find the probability distribution of birth and death process.
15. (a) (i) Automatic car wash facility operates with only one bay. Cars arrive according to a
Poisson process, with mean of 4 cars per hour and may wait in the facility’s parking lot if
the bay is busy. If the service time for all cars is constant and equal to 10 min, determine
(1) mean number of customers in the system, LS. (2) mean number of customers in the
queue (3) mean waiting time in the system (4) mean waiting time in the queue.
(ii) For a 2-stage (service point) sequential queue model with blockage, compute Ls and
WS , if 1, 1 1 and 2 2
(OR)
(b) (i) Find the steady state probabilities of Series queues with blocking .
(ii) There are 2 salesmen in a supermarket. Out of the 2 salesmen, one is incharge of
billing and receiving payment while the other salesmen is incharge of weighing and
delivering the items. Due to lack of space, only one customer is allowed to enter the shop,
only if the billing clerk is free. The customer who has finished his billing job has to wait
until the delivery section becomes free. If customers arrive according to a Poisson process
at rate 1 per hr and the service times of 2 clerks are independent and have exponential rates
of 3 per hr and 2 per hr. find
1. The proportion of customers who enter the supermarket.
2. The average number of customers in the supermarket.
3. The average amount of time a customers spends in the shop.
PROBABILITY AND QUEUING THEORY( MA 2262)
COMMON TO SEMESTER IV (CSE & IT)
MODEL EXAMINATION II
Max Marks: 100
Time : 3 hrs
PART – A (10 X 2=20) Answer All Questions
11. (a) (i) The number of monthly breakdowns of a computer is a random variable having
a Poisson distribution with mean equal to 1.8. Find the probability that this computer
will function for a month.
(1) without a breakdown
(2) with only one breakdown and
(3) with atleast one break down.
(ii) The life time X in hours of a component is modeled by a Weibull distribution with
2 . Starting with a large number of components, it is observed that 15% of the
components that have lasted 90 hrs. fail before 100 hrs. Find the parameter .
(OR)
(b) (i) Find the mgf of f x pq , x 1, 2,3,... and hence obtain its mean and
x 1
variance.
(ii) In a continuous distribution, the probability density is given by
f x kx 2 x , 0 x 2 . Find k , mean, variance and the distribution function.
12. (a) (i) The joint density function of the random variable (X,Y) is given by
f x, y 8 xy, 0 x 1, 0 y x
0, elsewhere
Find the (1) marginal density of Y (2) condition density P X / Y y and
1
(3) P X
2
(ii) Calculate the correlation coefficient for the following data:
X: 65 66 67 67 68 69 70 72
Y: 67 68 65 68 72 72 69 71
(OR)
(b) (i) If X and Y are independent exponential random variables each with parameter 1 ,
find the pdf of U = X-Y.
(ii) State central limit theorem in Lindberg-Levy’s form. A random sample of size 100 is
taken from a population whose mean is 60 and variance is 400. Using central limit
theorem, with what probability can we assert that the mean of the sample will not differ
from 60 by more than 4? Area under the standard normal curve from 0 to 2 is 0.4772.
13. (a) (i) At the receiver of an AM radio, the received signal contains a cosine carrier
signal at the carrier frequency 0 with a random phase that is uniformly distributed
over 0, 2 . The received carrier signal is X t A cos 0t . Show that the process
is second order stationary.
(ii) Assume that a computer system is in any one of the three states: busy, idle and under
repair respectively denoted by 0, 1, 2. Transition probability matrix is
0.6 0.2 0.2
P 0.1 0.8 0.1 . Find out the 3rd step transition probability matrix. Determine the
0.6 0 0.4
limiting probabilities.
(OR)
(b) (i) Queries presented in a computer data base are following a Poisson process of rate
6 queries per minute. An experiment consists of monitoring the data base for m
minutes and recording N(m), the number of queries presented.
(1) What is the probability that no queries in a one minute interval?
(2) What is the probability that exactly 6 queries arriving in one minute interval?
(3) What is the probability of less than 3 queries arriving in a half minute interval?
(ii) Three boys A, B and C are throwing a ball to each other. A always throws the ball to
B and B always throws the ball to C, but C is just as likely to throw the ball to B as to A
show that the process is Markovian. Find the tpm and classify the states.
14. (a)(i) Arrivals at a telephone booth are considered to be Poisson with an average time of
12 min. between one arrival and the next. The length of a phone call is distributed
exponentially with mean 4 minutes
(1) What is the average number of customers in the system?
(2) What fraction of the day the phone will be in use?
(3) What is the probability that an arriving customer have to wait?
(ii) There are three typists in an office. Each typist can type an average of 6 letters per
hour. If letters arrive for being typed at the rate of 15 letters per hour.
(1) What is the probability that no letters are there in the system?
(2) What is the probability that all the typists are busy?
(3)
(OR)
(b) (i) Explain an M/M/1, finite capacity queuing model and obtain expressions for the
steady state probabilities for the system size.
(ii) Patients arrive at a clinic according to Poisson distribution at a rate of 30 patients
per hour. The waiting room does not accommodate more than 14 patients.
Examination time per patient is exponential with mean rate of 20 per hour.
(1) What is the probability that an arriving patient will not wait?
(2) What is the effective arrival rate?