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<h1 class="amp-wp-title">Teori Eficiency Market Hipotesis (EMH)</h1>
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<h3 class="amp-wp-inline-a6ec8840dd8107f0c4f9cbd7d00cece0">Teori
<em>Eficiency Market Hipotesis </em>(EMH)</h3><p class="amp-wp-inline-
a6ec8840dd8107f0c4f9cbd7d00cece0"><a
href="https://datakata.files.wordpress.com/2015/10/377943_07363213082015_bursa_efek
.jpg" target="_top"><amp-img alt="377943_07363213082015_bursa_efek"
class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-7284 amp-wp-enforced-sizes i-amphtml-layout-
responsive i-amphtml-layout-size-defined i-amphtml-element i-amphtml-layout"
height="200" i-amphtml-layout="responsive" sizes="(min-width: 300px) 300px, 100vw"
src="https://datakata-files-wordpress-
com.cdn.ampproject.org/i/s/datakata.files.wordpress.com/2015/10/377943_073632130820
15_bursa_efek.jpg?w=300&amp;h=200" width="300" style="width: 300px; --loader-delay-
offset:242ms !important;" i-amphtml-auto-lightbox-visited=""><i-amphtml-sizer
style="display:block;padding-top:66.6667%;"></i-amphtml-sizer><img class="i-
amphtml-blurry-placeholder" placeholder="" src="data:image/svg+xml;charset=utf-
8,%3Csvg xmlns='http%3A//www.w3.org/2000/svg' xmlns%3Axlink='http
%3A//www.w3.org/1999/xlink' viewBox='0 0 9 6'%3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-
interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='.5'%3E
%3C/feGaussianBlur%3E%3CfeComponentTransfer%3E%3CfeFuncA type='discrete'
tableValues='1 1'%3E%3C/feFuncA%3E%3C/feComponentTransfer%3E%3C/filter%3E%3Cimage
filter='url(%23b)' x='0' y='0' height='100%25' width='100%25' xlink%3Ahref='data
%3Aimage/jpeg;base64,/9j/4AAQSkZJRgABAQAAAQABAAD/2wBDABALDA4MChAODQ4SERATGCgaGBYWGD
EjJR0oOjM9PDkzODdASFxOQERXRTc4UG1RV19iZ2hnPk1xeXBkeFxlZ2P/2wBDARESEhgVGC8aGi9jQjhCY
2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2NjY2P/wAARCAAGAAkDASIA
AhEBAxEB/8QAFgABAQEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAMF/8QAHhAAAQQBBQAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAgABAwQRFVFVk+H
/xAAVAQEBAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABAv/EABcRAAMBAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABITH/2gAMAwEAAhEDEQA/AM
OERggpAZyOJC0mB3dsqutUONft8RFL0VT/2Q=='%3E%3C/image%3E%3C/svg%3E" style="opacity: 0
!important;"><img decoding="async" alt="377943_07363213082015_bursa_efek"
src="https://datakata-files-wordpress-
com.cdn.ampproject.org/i/s/datakata.files.wordpress.com/2015/10/377943_073632130820
15_bursa_efek.jpg?w=300&amp;h=200" sizes="(min-width: 300px) 300px, 100vw"
class="i-amphtml-fill-content i-amphtml-replaced-content" width="300"
height="200"></amp-img></a></p><p>Didalam konsep pasar efisien, perubahan harga
suatu sekuritas saham di waktu yang lalu tidak dapat digunakan dalam memperkirakan
perubahan harga di masa yang akan datang. Perubahan harga saham di dalam pasar
efisien mengikuti pola <em>random walk</em>, dimana penaksiran harga saham tidak
dapat dilakukan dengan melihat kepada harga-harga historis dari saham tersebut,
tetapi lebih berdasarkan pada semua informasi yang tersedia dan muncul dipasar.
Informasi yang masuk ke pasar dan berhubungan dengan suatu sekuritas saham akan
mengakibatkan kemungkinan terjadinya pergeseran harga keseimbangan yang baru. Jika
pasar bereaksi dengan cepat dan akurat terhadap suatu informasi yang masuk dan
segera membentuk harga keseimbangan yang baru, maka kondisi pasar yang seperti ini
yang disebut dengan <strong>pasar efisien</strong> (Hartono,
2013:547).</p><p></p><p>Teori <em>eficiency market</em> pertama kali ditemukan
dalam penelitian yang dilakukan oleh Bachelier pada tahun 1900 yang ingin
mengetahui apakah harga saham berfluktuasi secara acak atau tidak. Pada tahun 1905
Pearson memperkenalkan pola <em>random-walk</em>, namun pada saat itu dikenal
sebagai konsep <em>drunkardwalk</em>. Sayangnya, penelitian Bachelier dan konsep
<em>drunkardwalk </em>milik Pearson diabaikan dan tidak ada studi lebih lanjut
sampai tahun 1930-an. Pada tahun 1953, Kendall pertama kalinya menggunakan dan
memperkenalkan istilah&nbsp;<em>random-walk</em> dalam literatur keuangan
(Yalcin,2010). Fama kemudian membahas beberapa bukti empiris yang mendukung teori
<em>random-walk </em>dalam disertasi doktornya dan mempelopori munculnya teori
EMH<em> (Efficiency Market Hypotesis) </em>pada tahun 1970. Teori EMH yang
diperkenalkan Fama menjadi teori yang cukup populer dan banyak dijadikan sebagai
dasar dalam berbagai penelitian mengenai anomali pasar belakangan
ini.</p><p>Belkaoui (2007:139) merangkum beberapa definisi berkaitan dengan
<strong>efisiensi pasar <em>(market efficiency) </em></strong>dari para ahli: (1)
Fama (1970) mengemukakan bahwa <strong>“Dalam suatu pasar yang efisien harga akan
“mencerminkan sepenuhnya” informasi yang tersedia dan sebagai implikasinya harga
akan bereaksi dengan seketika tanpa adanya bias terhadap informasi baru”.
</strong>(2) Beaver (1989) mengemukakan bahwa <strong>“Efisiensi pasar <em>(market
efficiency)</em> sebagai hubungan antara harga-harga sekuritas saham dengan
ketersediaan informasi”.</strong></p><p>Tandelilin (2010:219) mendefinisikan konsep
pasar efisien sebagai berikut:&nbsp; <strong>“Konsep pasar yang efisien lebih
ditekankan pada aspek informasi, artinya pasar yang efisien adalah pasar dimana
harga sekuritas yang diperdagangkan telah mencerminkan semua informasi yang
tersedia.”</strong></p><p>Dari berbagai definisi yang ada, konsep pasar efisien
sangat berhubungan dengan ketersediaan informasi. Pasar dikatakan efisien apabila
nilai sekuritas setiap waktu mencerminkan semua informasi yang tersedia, yang
mengakibatkan harga suatu sekuritas berada pada tingkat keseimbangannya. Harga
keseimbangan suatu sekuritas mengakibatkan tidak akan adanya kesempatan yang
diperoleh investor untuk mendapatkan <em>return</em> yang <em>abnormal</em> dari
selisih harga sekuritas saham.</p><p>Hartono (2013:569) memberikan beberapa ciri-
ciri dari pasar efisien sebagai berikut:</p><ol><li>Investor adalah penerima harga
<em>(price takers), </em>yang berarti bahwa sebagai pelaku pasar, investor seorang
diri tidak dapat mempengaruhi harga dari suatu sekuritas.</li>
<li>Informasi tersedia luas kepada semua pelaku pasar pada saat yang bersamaan dan
harga untuk memperoleh informasi tersebut murah.</li>
<li>Informasi dihasilkan secara acak <em>(random) </em>dan tiap-tiap pengumuman
informasi sifatnya random satu dengan yang lainnya sehingga investor tidak dapat
memprediksi kapan emiten akan mengumumkan informasi yang baru.</li>
<li>Investor bereaksi dengan menggunakan informasi secara penuh dan cepat, sehingga
harga sekuritas berubah dengan semestinya mencerminkan informasi tersebut untuk
mencapai keseimbangan yang baru.</li>
</ol><p>Hartono (2013:571) juga memberikan beberapa ciri-ciri dari pasar yang tidak
efisien yaitujika kondisi-kondisi berikut terjadi:</p><ol><li>Terdapat sejumlah
kecil pelaku pasar yang dapat mempengaruhi harga dari sekuritas.</li>
<li>Harga dari informasi adalah mahal dan terdapat akses yang tidak seragam antara
pelaku pasar yang satu dengan yang lainnya terhadap suatu informasi.</li>
<li>Informasi yang disebarkan dapat diprediksi dengan baik oleh sebagian dari
pelaku-pelaku.</li>
<li>Investor adalah individual-individual yang lugas <em>(naive investor)</em> dan
tidak canggih.</li>
</ol><p>Fama (1970) dalam Hartono (2013:548) membagi efisiensi pasar kedalam tiga
bentuk utama yaitu :</p><ol><li>Efisiensi pasar bentuk lemah <em>(weak
form)</em></li>
</ol><p>Pasar dikatakan efisien dalam bentuk yang lemah adalah apabila harga-harga
dari saham atau sekuritas mencerminkan secara penuh <em>(fully reflect)</em>
informasi masa lalu. Informasi dikatakan masa lalu jika informasi tersebut sudah
terjadi. Bentuk efisiensi pasar secara lemah ini sangat berkaitan dengan teori
langkah acak <em>(random walk theory)</em> yang menyatakan bahwa data masa lalu
tidak dapat dihubungkan dengan nilai yang sekarang. Dengan begini nilai-nilai di
masa lalu tidak dapat digunakan untuk memprediksi harga sekarang.</p><ol
start="2"><li>Efisiensi pasar bentuk setengah kuat <em>(semistrong form)</em></li>
</ol><p>Pasar dapat dikatakan efisien setengah kuat jika harga-harga sekuritas
saham secara penuh mencerminkan semua informasi yang dipublikasikan <em>(all
publicly available information) </em>termasuk informasi yang berada di laporan-
laporan keuangan.</p><ol start="3"><li>Efisiensi pasar bentuk kuat <em>(strong
form)</em></li>
</ol><p>Pasar dapat dikatakan efisien dalam bentuk yang kuat apabila harga-harga
sekuritas saham secara penuh mencerminkan seluruh informasi yang tersedia termasuk
informasi yang sangat rahasia sekalipun. Jika pasar efisien dalam bentuk ini memang
ada, maka individual investor atau grup dari investor yang mendapatkan keuntungan
yang tidak normal <em>(abnormal return)</em>.</p><p>Ketiga bentuk pasar efisien
tersebut memiliki keterkaitan satu sama lain berupa tingkat kumulatif. Hubungannya
yaitu bahwa pasar efisien bentuk kuat berarti mencakup juga pasar efisien bentuk
semi kuat, dan pasar efisien bentuk semi kuat mencakup juga pasar efisien bentuk
lemah. Namun tidak berlaku sebaliknya, pasar efisien bentuk lemah tidak harus
berarti pasar efisien bentuk semi kuat. Hal ini dapat digambarkan dengan diagram
berikut.</p><p><a href="https://datakata.files.wordpress.com/2015/10/capture-
20151018-041254.png" target="_top"><amp-img alt="capture-20151018-041254"
class="size-medium wp-image-7286 aligncenter amp-wp-enforced-sizes i-amphtml-
layout-responsive i-amphtml-layout-size-defined i-amphtml-element" height="166" i-
amphtml-layout="responsive" sizes="(min-width: 300px) 300px, 100vw"
src="https://datakata-files-wordpress-
com.cdn.ampproject.org/i/s/datakata.files.wordpress.com/2015/10/capture-20151018-
041254.png?w=300&amp;h=166" width="300" style="width: 300px;" i-amphtml-auto-
lightbox-visited=""><i-amphtml-sizer style="display:block;padding-
top:55.3333%;"></i-amphtml-sizer><img class="i-amphtml-blurry-placeholder"
placeholder="" src="data:image/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http
%3A//www.w3.org/2000/svg' xmlns%3Axlink='http%3A//www.w3.org/1999/xlink' viewBox='0
0 10 5'%3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur
stdDeviation='.5'%3E%3C/feGaussianBlur%3E%3CfeComponentTransfer%3E%3CfeFuncA
type='discrete' tableValues='1 1'%3E%3C/feFuncA%3E%3C/feComponentTransfer%3E
%3C/filter%3E%3Cimage filter='url(%23b)' x='0' y='0' height='100%25' width='100%25'
xlink%3Ahref='data
%3Aimage/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAoAAAAFCAIAAADzBuo/AAAAhklEQVQImWP4///
/lx9/Zu5/OHffHWQ0a//DX3/+MgCl3335NbF/
+ul2s6mTrKdMtAaSZ9tMJ/dN+fHrD1S6buLKLU1JK+sSV9Ynr25M2daS2jhpJVT6x8/fBy7cO3D+7p5T984
/+HDx0ScI+vvvH0gaAr5+/fr06dO7d+++evX6169fEEEAU6t3TO7qfpAAAAAASUVORK5CYII='%3E
%3C/image%3E%3C/svg%3E"></amp-img></a></p><p>Tujuan Fama (1970) mengklasifikasikan
pasar efisien menjadi tiga bentuk ini bertujuan untuk mempermudah penelitian-
penelitian yang dilakukan terhadap efisiensi pasar (Tandelilin, 2010:223). Pada
tahun 1991, Fama melakukan penyempurnaan atas klasifikasi efisiensi pasar tersebut.
Efisiensi pasar bentuk lemah disempurnakan menjadi suatu klasifikasi yang lebih
bersifat umum untuk menguji return prediktabilitas <em>(return
predictability)</em>. Pada klasifikasi ini, informasi mengenai pola<em> return</em>
sekuritas, seperti pola <em>return</em> lebih tinggi di bulan Januari dan hari
Jum’at yang dimanfaatkan oleh investor untuk memperoleh keuntungan yang
<em>abnormal</em>. Sedangkan efisiensi bentuk setengah kuat diubah menjadi studi
peristiwa <em>(event studies),</em> dan pengujian efisiensi pasar dalam bentuk kuat
disebut sebagai pengujian informasi rahasia <em>(private information)</em>
(Tandelilin, 2010:224).</p><p>Berbeda dengan Fama (1970), Levi (1996) dalam Halim
(2015:101) menggambarkan dengan cukup jelas tentang bagaimana keterkaitan informasi
dan pasar efisien sebagai berikut:</p><p class="amp-wp-inline-
a6ec8840dd8107f0c4f9cbd7d00cece0"><a
href="https://datakata.files.wordpress.com/2015/10/capture-20151018-041109.png"
target="_top"><amp-img alt="capture-20151018-041109" class="alignnone size-medium
wp-image-7285 amp-wp-enforced-sizes i-amphtml-layout-responsive i-amphtml-layout-
size-defined i-amphtml-element" height="152" i-amphtml-layout="responsive"
sizes="(min-width: 300px) 300px, 100vw" src="https://datakata-files-wordpress-
com.cdn.ampproject.org/i/s/datakata.files.wordpress.com/2015/10/capture-20151018-
041109.png?w=300&amp;h=152" width="300" style="width: 300px;" i-amphtml-auto-
lightbox-visited=""><i-amphtml-sizer style="display:block;padding-
top:50.6667%;"></i-amphtml-sizer><img class="i-amphtml-blurry-placeholder"
placeholder="" src="data:image/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http
%3A//www.w3.org/2000/svg' xmlns%3Axlink='http%3A//www.w3.org/1999/xlink' viewBox='0
0 10 5'%3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur
stdDeviation='.5'%3E%3C/feGaussianBlur%3E%3CfeComponentTransfer%3E%3CfeFuncA
type='discrete' tableValues='1 1'%3E%3C/feFuncA%3E%3C/feComponentTransfer%3E
%3C/filter%3E%3Cimage filter='url(%23b)' x='0' y='0' height='100%25' width='100%25'
xlink%3Ahref='data
%3Aimage/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAoAAAAFCAIAAADzBuo/AAAAgklEQVQImSWM2w7
CIBBE+f9vq2+kMVxi4AHTQheQW9GArjoPm5k52SHG3LXWAJBzTinVWvG21jCeZyfvn9b1ppSi9CqlRDzn9B
7xkwBE545tA2tdCCHGaIzdd/Del1IQp+NI6MYYIZQYH/897Ht/fcd775xzISSldFkujDEhBH5j/wFwNouCU
y55VgAAAABJRU5ErkJggg=='%3E%3C/image%3E%3C/svg%3E"></amp-img></a></p><p>Pada Gambar
2.2 dijelaskan bahwa berdasarkan pada tingkatannya informasi dapat dibedakan
menjadi lima kelompok. Pasar dikatakan tidak efisien bilamana semua informasi yang
ada tersedia dapat dimanfaatkan untuk memperoleh <em>return abnormal</em> di pasar.
Dikatakan pasar efisien sempurna bilamana tidak sebuah informasipun yang dapat
dimanfaatkan untuk memperoleh <em>return abnormal</em> dipasar (Halim,
2015:102).</p><p>Walaupun terdapat berbagai definisi dan klasifikasi bentuk pasar
efisien, pembahasan yang paling sering ditekankan adalah definisi dan klasifikasi
menurut Fama (1970). Selain itu secara teoritis, operasional, dan empiris yang
paling mendapat perhatian dan paling sering digunakan sebagai dasar dalam suatu
pengujian adalah teori pasar efisien yang dikemukakan oleh Fama (1970)
tersebut.</p> </div>

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