REPUBLIC OF THE PHILIPPINES Semcy MTONL OTE RETNA MSE COOL es iD NDRRMC ADVISORY TO : CHAIRPERSON, RDRRMC/OCDROs |, Il, Ill, CALABARZON MIMAROPA, Y, VI, VII, VIII, IX, X, XI, XIl, NCR, CAR, BARMM, CARAGA FROM : Executive Director, NDRRMC and Administrator, OCD SUBJECT : — Severe Weather Bulletin No. 04 for Tropical Storm (TS) “URSULA” (I.N. PHANFONE) DATE 23 December 2019, 8:00 PM TROPICAL STORM “URSULA” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS EASTERN VISAYAS. Rainfall Outlook: + Between tomorrow afternoon and Wednesday (25 December) morning: © Moderate to heavy rains over Dinagat Islands, Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands, Easter Visayas, Romblon, Aklan, Antique, Capiz, lloilo, and the northem portions of Cebu and Negros Occidental. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over Bicol Region, Quezon, Marinduque and the rest of Visayas and Surigao del Norte. © Between Wednesday morning and late evening: Moderate to heavy rains over Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, Romblon, Aklan, Antique, Capiz, and northern portion of Palawan including Cuyo and Calamian Islands. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over CALABARZON. © Residents in these areas are advised to take appropriate measures to reduce the potential impact of flooding and rain-induced landslides, especially in areas identified to be highly to very highly susceptible to these hazards. Strong Winds: + Damaging winds associated with this Tropical Storm may begin to affect the areas under TCWS #2 tomorrow afternoon. This may bring light to moderate to high risk structures. + Strong winds may begin to affect: northeastern Mindanao and the rest of Eastern Visayas tomorrow moming; southem portion of Bicol Region and some portions of Central Visayas tomorrow afternoon; some portions of Western Visayas tomorrow evening. This may bring light damage to medium to high-risk structures. Other Hazards and Information: Telefax: NORRMC Opcen (+632) 911-1406, 912-2665; 912-5668, NORRMC Secretariat (+632) 912.0447; 012.5947, Office of the Administrator, Office of Cwil Defense (+632) 912-2424 Email: opcan@ndrimc.qov.oh Website: wiww.ndrime.cov.ph National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Center, Camp Aguinado, Quezon Cty, Philipines+ "URSULA" is forecast to gradually intensify to at most Severe Tropical Storm category prior to landfall over Eastern Visayas tomorrow afternoon or evening, + Suspension of maritime activities may be experienced in areas where Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) is in effect. TCWS#1 may be raised over Occidental Mindoro and the rest of Quezon in the next Severe Weather Bulletin. + Moderate to rough seas will prevail over the eastem seaboards of the country today. However, rough to very rough seas may be experienced over the northern and eastern seaboards of Bicol Region and the eastern seaboards of Eastern Visayas and Caraga Region beginning tonight or tomorrow morning. As such, sea travel is risky over these areas, especially for those using small seacrafts. Location of | At 7:00 PM, the center of Tropical Storm "URSULA” was estimated based on all available data eye/center: | at 625 km East of Surigao City, Surigao del Norte (10.1 °N, 131.2 °E) Strengti Maximum sustained winds of up to 75 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 90 kph. Movement:_| it is moving West Northwest at 25 kmih. + 24 Hour (Tomorrow afternoon): 40 km East Northeast of Guian, Eastern Samar (11.3°N, 126.0°E) + 48 Hour (Wednesday afternoon): 55 km Northeast of Coron, Palawan (12.4°N, 120.5°E) * 72 Hour (Thursday afternoon): 385 km West Southwest of Subic, Zambales (13.5°N, 117.0°E) ‘* 96 Hour (Friday afternoon); 545 km West of Subic, Zambales (14.2°N, 115.3°E) * 120 Hour (Saturday afternoon): 790 km West of Subic, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR) (14.4°N, 113.0°E) Forecast Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal Area Luzon Visayas ~_ [Mindanao Tows Impacts of the wind ‘+ Light to moderate damage to high risk structures; + Very light to ight damage to medium-risk structures: + No damage to very light damage to low risk structures + Unshieided, old dilapidated schoolhouses, makeshift shanties, and other structures Eastern Samar and of light materials are partially damaged or unrooted. ‘Southern portion of Samar + numberof ripe ond cogon 5 (San Jose de Buan, houses may be partially or (e110 Motiong, Jiabong, totally unrooted, km/h winds Gatbalogan, Daramn, qoloog peter teen prevailing oF Zumarraga, Paranas, aoa off Hinabangan, San + Some wooden, old elect eer Sebastian, Calbiga, posts ae titled or downed, ) Pinabacdao, Villareal, ‘+ Some damage to poorly Talalora, Sta. Rita, Basey, neal en + Ingeneral, tho winds may bring Marabut) light to moderate damage to the exposed communities. Most banana plants, a fow mango trees, ipiip and similar types of trees are downed oF broken + Some coconut tees may be tiled with fow others broken, + Rice and com may be adversely affectedConsiderable damage to shrubbery and trees with some heavy-foliaged trees blown down, 1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours) Southern portion of Quezon (Pitogo Gumaca Plaridel Unisan Agdangan Atimonan Pade Burgos Quezon Alabat Perez Buenavista Calauag Catanauan General Luna Guinayangan Lopez Macalelon Mulanay San Andres San Francisco San Narciso Tagkawayan) Camarines Sur Camarines Norte Catanduanes Albay Marinduque Romblon Oriental Mindoro Sorsogon Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands Norther Samar rest of Samar Biliran Leyte Southern Leyte Northern Cebu (Carmen Asturias Tuburan Catmon Sogod Borbon Tabuelan Tabogon San Remigio Bogo Medellin Daanbantayan Bantayan Islands Camotes Islands) Central Cebu Aloguinsan Carcar Pinamungahan San Fernando Naga Toledo Minglenilla Balamban, Talisay Cebu City Cordova Lapu-Lapu Mandaue Consolacion iloan Compostela Danao) Northeastern Bohol (Inabanga Danao Dagohoy Pilar Guindulman Anda Candijay Alicia Buenavista + Jetafe + Talibon Dinagat Islands Surigao del Norte includin 9 Siargao Islands Very light or no damage to low risk structures. Light damage to medium to high risk structures. Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift ‘structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, ‘@ few downed and leaves are generally damaged. Twigs of small trees may be broken. Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when itis in its flowering stage.© Trinidad Bien Unido + San Miguel + Ubay + Mabini + Pres, Carlos P, Garcia) + Aklan + Antique + Capiz * Holo + Guimaras + northern Negros Occidental (Bacolod + Bago © Cadiz + Calatrava + Enrique 8. Magalona + Escalante + La Carlota + La Castellana + Manapla + Moises Padilla © Binalbagan © Hinigaran + Isabela © Murcia + Pontevedra © Pulupandan + Sagay * Salvador Benedicto + San Carlos + San Enrique + Silay + Talisay + Toboso + Valladotia * Victorias) + and northern Negros Oriental (Canlaon + Guihuingan + Jimalalud + LaLibertad = Vallehermoso) The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11:00 PM today.In order to better inform/warn communities, you are reminded to disseminate these through local/community leaders and through your local media, including community radio stations. Conduct press briefings as often as needed. This local effort will complement and reinforce efforts at the national level. Emphasis should be on proactive actions — evacuation rather than rescue. Let's untiringly aim for zero casualty. Submit report on actions taken. BY AUTHORITY OF THE CHAIRPERSON, NDRRMC: RICARDO B JALAD tor, NDRRMC_