Tugas Rekhid Gumbel

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SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.957973
R Square 0.917713
Adjusted R 0.915219
Standard E 0.051638
Observatio 35

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.98136 0.98136 368.035 1.82E-19
Residual 33 0.087994 0.002666
Total 34 1.069354

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 0.35042 0.017838 19.64485 8.84E-20 0.314129 0.386711 0.314129 0.386711
X Variable 0.596874 0.031113 19.18424 1.82E-19 0.533575 0.660173 0.533575 0.660173

PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Percentile Y
1.428571 0.33
4.285714 0.34
7.142857 0.36
10 0.41
12.85714 0.47
15.71429 0.49
18.57143 0.49
21.42857 0.52
24.28571 0.53
27.14286 0.57
30 0.57
32.85714 0.58
35.71429 0.6
38.57143 0.61
41.42857 0.62
44.28571 0.63
47.14286 0.64
50 0.64
52.85714 0.65
55.71429 0.66
58.57143 0.66
61.42857 0.66
64.28571 0.68
67.14286 0.68
70 0.7
72.85714 0.71
75.71429 0.74
78.57143 0.76
81.42857 0.8
84.28571 0.8
87.14286 0.88
90 0.92
92.85714 0.94
95.71429 0.96
98.57143 1.11
Normal Probability (Weibull)
1.2

0.8 f(x) = 0.0058029412x + 0.358710084


Xt (Curah Hujan)

R² = 0.9177129275
0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Probabilitas
Data Curah Hujan
Tahun 1910 1920 1930 1940
0 0.53 0.33 0.34
1 0.76 0.96 0.7
2 0.57 0.94 0.57
3 0.49 0.8 0.8 0.92
4 0.66 0.66 0.62 0.66
5 0.36 0.68 0.71 0.65
6 0.58 0.68 1.11 0.63
7 0.41 0.61 0.64 0.6
8 0.47 0.88 0.52
9 0.74 0.49 0.64

n 35
Mean 0.648857
Standar deviasi 0.11121
u 0.598808
alpha 0.08671

Periode Ulang 5 10 15
F(X) Weibull 0.8 0.9 0.933333
Yt 1.49994 2.25036733 2.673752
Xt 0.728868 0.79393702 0.830649
Cek Nilai Xt 0.72763 0.79268696 0.822371
Galat (%) 0.169751 0.15745173 0.996579
Data Distribusi Gumbel Weibull (Dist. Normal)
Rank Hujan (R) (Xi-Xbar)^2 f(X) f(X) (%) Tp P(X>=Xt) f(X) Tp
1 1.11 0.2126527 0.997252 99.72518 363.8757 0.027778 0.972222 1.028571 N
2 0.96 0.0968099 0.984598 98.45983 64.92792 0.055556 0.944444 1.058824
1.2
3 0.94 0.0847642 0.980642 98.06416 51.65725 0.083333 0.916667 1.090909
4 0.92 0.0735184 0.975681 97.56811 41.12031 0.111111 0.888889 1.125 1
5 0.88 0.053427 0.961702 96.17025 26.11135 0.138889 0.861111 1.16129
0.8

Xt (Curah Hujan)
6 0.8 0.0228442 0.906427 90.64267 10.68681 0.166667 0.833333 1.2
7 0.8 0.0228442 0.906427 90.64267 10.68681 0.194444 0.805556 1.241379 0.6
8 0.76 0.0123527 0.855703 85.57035 6.930173 0.222222 0.777778 1.285714 0.4
9 0.74 0.008307 0.8218 82.18003 5.611683 0.25 0.75 1.333333
0.2
10 0.71 0.0037384 0.757762 75.77617 4.128167 0.277778 0.722222 1.384615
11 0.7 0.0026156 0.732498 73.24983 3.738295 0.305556 0.694444 1.44 0
12 0.68 0.0009699 0.675669 67.56694 3.083273 0.333333 0.666667 1.5 0
13 0.68 0.0009699 0.675669 67.56694 3.083273 0.361111 0.638889 1.565217
14 0.66 0.0001242 0.610328 61.03278 2.56626 0.388889 0.611111 1.636364
15 0.66 0.0001242 0.610328 61.03278 2.56626 0.416667 0.583333 1.714286
16 0.66 0.0001242 0.610328 61.03278 2.56626 0.444444 0.555556 1.8
17 0.65 1.3061E-06 0.57458 57.45797 2.350616 0.472222 0.527778 1.894737
18 0.64 7.8449E-05 0.536949 53.6949 2.159589 0.5 0.5 2
19 0.64 7.8449E-05 0.536949 53.6949 2.159589 0.527778 0.472222 2.117647
20 0.63 0.0003556 0.497645 49.76453 1.990625 0.555556 0.444444 2.25
21 0.62 0.0008327 0.456953 45.69526 1.84146 0.583333 0.416667 2.4
22 0.61 0.0015099 0.415235 41.52346 1.710088 0.611111 0.388889 2.571429
23 0.6 0.002387 0.372935 37.29353 1.594732 0.638889 0.361111 2.769231
24 0.58 0.0047413 0.288739 28.87386 1.405953 0.666667 0.333333 3
25 0.57 0.0062184 0.24806 24.80599 1.329893 0.694444 0.305556 3.272727
26 0.57 0.0062184 0.24806 24.80599 1.329893 0.722222 0.277778 3.6
27 0.53 0.014127 0.109566 10.95661 1.123048 0.75 0.25 4
28 0.52 0.0166042 0.083615 8.361529 1.091245 0.777778 0.222222 4.5
29 0.49 0.0252356 0.029977 2.997667 1.030903 0.805556 0.194444 5.142857
30 0.49 0.0252356 0.029977 2.997667 1.030903 0.833333 0.166667 6
31 0.47 0.0319899 0.012068 1.206769 1.012215 0.861111 0.138889 7.2
32 0.41 0.0570527 0.000147 0.014716 1.000147 0.888889 0.111111 9
33 0.36 0.0834384 1.51E-07 1.51E-05 1 0.916667 0.083333 12
34 0.34 0.0953927 2.56E-09 2.56E-07 1 0.944444 0.055556 18
35 0.33 0.1016699 2.28E-10 2.28E-08 1 0.972222 0.027778 36
sum 22.71 1.0693543
Normal Probability (Weibull)
1.2
1
0.8 f(x) = 0.0058029412x + 0.358710084
Xt (Curah Hujan)

R² = 0.9177129275
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Probabilitas

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