Stat and Prob Q1 W6

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School LONGOS SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL Grade Level Grade 11

GRADE 11
Teacher JOHN NIMROD M. LADIANA Learning Area Statistics and Probability
DAILY LESSON LOG
Teaching Dates and Time Quarter/Semester Quarter 4/ Sem 2

SESSION 1 SESSION 2 SESSION 3 SESSION 4


February 3, 2020 February 4, 2020 February 5, 2020 February 6/7, 2020
1. illustrates point and interval 1. Explains the how to determine the 1. Identifies the appropriate form of the The learner demonstrates
estimations. point estimate of the population mean. confidence interval estimator for the understanding of key concepts of
2. distinguishes between point and 2. Identifies point estimator for the population mean when: (a) the estimation of population mean and
I. OBJECTIVES
interval estimations. population mean. population variance is known, (b) the population proportion.
3. Computes for the point estimate of population variance is unknown, and (c)
the population mean. the Central Limit Theorem is to be used.
The learner demonstrates The learner demonstrates The learner demonstrates The learner is able to estimate the
understanding of key concepts of understanding of key concepts of understanding of key population mean and population
A. Content Standards estimation of population mean an estimation of population mean and concepts of estimation of population proportion to make sound inferences in
population proportion. population proportion. mean and population proportion. real-life problems in different
disciplines.
The learner is able to estimate the The learner is able to estimate the The learner is able to estimate the 1. Explain the process on how to
population mean and population population mean and population mean and population determine the t–
proportion to make sound inferences in population proportion to make sound proportion to make sound inferences in distribution value.
B. Performance Standards
real-life problems in different inferences in real- life problems in real-life problems in different 2. Illustrate the t– distribution
disciplines. different disciplines. disciplines. 3. Construct a t– distribution
M11-12SP-IIIg-2 and m11-12sp-IIIg-3
C. Learning M11/12SP-III-f-2 M11/12SP-IIIF-4 (M11/12SP-IIIg-1)
Competencies/Objectives M11/12SP-III-f-3 M11/12SP-IIIF-5
Write the LC Code for each

Point and Interval Point Estimate for a Mean Interval Estimation for a t – Distribution
II. CONTENT
Estimations Mean
III. LEARNING RESOURCES
A. References
1. Teacher’s Guide pages
Mercado, Jesus P., et al., Next Century
Mathematics
2. Learner’s Material pages Statistics and Probability, 2016
Belecina, Rene R., et al., Statistics and
Probability, 2016
Mercado, Jesus P., et al., Next Century Statistics and Probability for Senior High
Mathematics School
Statistics and Probability, 2016 Authors: Christian Paul O. Chan Shio &
3. Textbook pages
Belecina, Rene R., et al., Statistics and Maria Angeli
Probability, 2016 T. Reyes
Pages 194 - 200
4. Additional Materials from
Learning Resource (LR)
portal
B. Other Learning Resources
Ask a student to illustrate the graph of
normal distribution.
Call other set of students to
label the components of the normal
IV. PROCEDURES curve (line of
symmetry, asymptote, location of
measures of
central tendency and standard
deviation)
A quick review of the concept of Daily routine (opening prayer, checking In the previous lesson, you have learned Emphasize that there are
parameter and statistic will be made of attendance) how to construct a point estimator of a situations that can be treated by
before discussing the concept of Point What do you mean by parameter? population parameter. However, a much normal distribution, t–
and Interval estimate. In what situation in the field of better method for estimating a distribution instead.
business, agriculture, education, parameter would be to incorporate a Present the learning
technology and health you use or take “margin of error” to construct an objectives. (Write or post the
sample to describe the characteristics of interval that contains the true learning objectives on the board)
the parameter value. This method is called
A. Reviewing previous lesson or population? Is it valid or acceptable? interval estimation.
presenting the new lesson Why?
Present a picture of group of people or
crowd.
According to reports, there are 500,000
people who attended the
PenafraciaTranslacion.
What you do think is the basis of the
said report? Did the reporter count the
actual number of participants?
At this point, reiterate to the Present the learning In interval estimation, two Emphasize that there are situations that
learners that in reality, we do not objectives. (Write or post the numbers are calculated based can be treated by normal distribution, t–
have the whole population to learning objectives on the board) on sample data, forming an distribution instead.
work on. Hence, a interval where the Present the learning objectives. (Write
representative obtained through parameter’s value is expected to or post the learning objectives on the
random sampling is important in lie. In this case, the formula is board)
B. Establishing a purpose for making inference about the called interval estimator, while Emphasize to the class that the
the lesson population and or its the range of values obtained is computed t- value needs to be compare
parameters. In making called interval estimate or a to the critical t- tabular value.
inferences about the population, confidence interval. Guide the students on how to
determine the degree of freedom and
learners can either provide a
how to find the critical t value given the
value or values for the
sample size (refer to the Table of t
parameter or evaluates a
critical values).
statement about a parameter.
Inform the learners that the
focus of the lesson is on the two
ways of estimation (point and
interval estimation) and
differentiate one from another.
Guessing Game How can you estimate the lifespan or Illustrative example 1: Determining the Let the students find the critical t- value
(This is a modified activity of the activity life expectancy of Confidence Interval for the Population given the following data:
found in TG p. 317) Filipinos? Mean 1) n = 10; confidence level = 95% ; one
(large sample or normal population, σ is tail
Distribute three meta-cards to the Provide a set of data showing the known) 2) n = 18; confidence level = 99% ; two
learners. The learners will be asked lifespan of 30 tails
answer the statements/phrases below Filipinos: Illustrative example 2: Confidence 3) n = 25; confidence level = 90% ; one
by writing their responses on specified Interval for the Population Mean and two tails
meta-cards. (large sample, σ is unknown) Ask at least 4 students to illustrate t -
1. His/her “best” guess of your age by 82 78 75 67 78 48 34 91 88 distribution curves of the given data
Card giving a single number 78 above with its corresponding critical
Yellow meta- 65 67 39 75 50 67 58 75 68 value.
2. His/her “best guess of the range 93 Let others students evaluate the
Card wherein your age will likely fall. 72 78 82 78 78 58 78 40 70 answers and illustrations of their
3. His/her confidence from 0% (not 66 classmates.
Green meta-confident) to 100% (very
confident) card in his/her educated Divide the class into four(4) groups
guess of the range of values un number and let the muse their calculator to
2. determine the average lifespan of:
C. Presenting
Set A: Any five (5) randomly selected
examples/instances of the new
data
lesson Set B: First ten(10) data (first row)
Set C: First twenty (20) data (first two
rows)
Set D: All the given (30) data

Let each group representative present


their answer on the board.
Ask the class to compare the different
results.
Guide questions:
What can you say about the
computed mean from Set A, B and C?
Which of answer is closer to
the population mean (Set D)?
What if we will take 25
randomly selected sample scores, how
would you describe its mean in relation
to the entire population mean?
Inform the learners that the numbers Emphasize to the class that the Discussion of solution to Illustrative Let us try to use t- distribution to solve
that they wrote on the red meta-cards previous activity is a process of point example 1. this problem:
can be considered point estimate. The estimation A group of Grade 12 Practical Research 2
range of values or set of values that they State and discuss the meaning of: students, conducted a survey regarding
wrote on the yellow meta-cards can be - Estimation is the process of finding the family profile of SHS
considered as interval estimate. The parameter students in terms economic status.
percentage that they wrote on the value. Based from the data collected, they are
green meta-cards can be considered as - Estimate is a value or range of values suspecting that it is significantly lower
confidence coefficient. When interval that than the national record stating that the
estimate is combined with confidence approximate a parameter based on Filipino families average monthly
coefficient, it is now referred to as sample statistics computed from sample income is P22,000. Is their suspicion
confidence interval estimate. data. correct? Use 95% confidence level.
- Point Estimate is a specific numerical Below are the monthly income (in
value of thousands) of 16 respondents:
D. Discussing new concepts and
the population parameter.
practicing new skills #1
Based from the previous example:
a) What population parameter we used
to estimate the population?
b) Why do we use mean as point
estimator instead
of median or mode? Emphasize the
advantages of using mean and the
limitations of median and mode as point
estimator. Identify the sample mean,
median and mode of the given data and
compare it to the population mean.
c) What are the other properties of
good estimator?
Considering the same data above (the Discussion of solution to Illustrative Group Activity:
life expectancy of 30 Filipino samples), example 2. Divide the class into five groups
do you think the average or and let each group perform the given
mean of the means from each column of task.
data will be In your respective group,
the same as your answer in set D? Why? calculate and illustrate the value of t-
distribution.
E. Discussing new concepts and 82 78 75 67 78 48 34 91 88 Formulate appropriate conclusion.
practicing new skills #2 78
65 67 39 75 50 67 58 75 68
93
72 78 82 78 78 58 78 40 70
66
Can you consider the mean of the
means as the point estimate of the
population parameter?
Emphasize to the students the
difference between the mean of the
means of: (a) samples and (b)
population.
Is it true? Activity: “Do you know me?” Let’s Practice:
Get a piece of paper. Your teacher will a 1. Ask each student to estimate Grade Find and interpret a (1 – ά) 100% What is the importance
statement for you. If the statement is 11 students’ profile by determining the confidence interval for the population of t- distribution in
correct, write TRUE. Otherwise, write averages of each of the following: mean μ given the following values. decision making?
FALSE. number of siblings, weight, height, Let at least five students cite
average daily allowance and sleeping real- life situations where
time. Let them write the answers in they can apply the concept
their notebook. of t-distribution.
2. By group, let them gather basic
information about
their classmates’ profile:
a. Number of siblings in the family
F. Developing Mastery (Group 1)
(Leads to Formative Assessment) b. Weight (Group
2)
c. Height
(Group 3) d. Average daily allowance
(Group 4) e. Sleeping time
(Group 5)
Let each group representative present
their findings.
Ask:
Are the estimated averages/ means the
same as the actual class means?
What makes your estimate afar or closer
to the actual mean?
Can you cite other real-life phenomenon Think –Pair - Share Calvin owns a water refilling station in What new insights you gained
involves point estimate? How about What is the importance of point his neighbourhood. To assess the from our lesson today?
real-life phenomenon involves interval estimate? efficiency of his company’s operation, What is t distribution?
estimate? Think of instances or real life he decided to do a study of the water What are the steps in
situations where estimation is used in consumption of his costumers. He construct t- distribution?
the field of technology, science selected 45 households at random
and economics. where the number of liters (L)
G. Finding practical applications
By dyad: share your insights or of water consumed by each household
of concepts and skills in daily
answers to your partner. during the past six months was
living Ask at least 10 student– recorded. The average consumption was
representatives to present their answers found to be 134.6 L with a standard
to the class. deviation of
21.1 L. What is a 95% confidence
interval for the mean water
consumption during the past six months
among his company’s customers?
A point estimate is a numerical value What are the significant learning you How do you compute the confidence The mean scores of a random
and it identifies a location or position in gained from our lesson today? interval estimate based on the sample of 22 TVL students in
the distribution of possible values. A What is the point estimator of the appropriate form of the estimator for General Mathematics test is 43.
point estimate of a population population mean? the population mean? If the standard deviation
H. Making generalizations and parameter is a single value of a sample How do you calculate the point How do you solve problems involving of the scores is 6.2 and
abstractions about the lesson statistic. estimate of the population mean? confidence interval estimation of the population mean scores is
An interval estimate is a range of values Why is it important to population mean? 40.4, find the t- distribution
where most likely the true value will fall. determine the point estimate of the value and describe the result.
population mean? Use 90
% confidence level, two-tails.
Directions. The statements below What are the significant learning you Seatwork: Find and interpret a (1 – ά)
contain statistic which can be classified gained from our lesson today? 100% confidence interval for the
as either point estimate or an interval What is the point estimator of the population mean μ given the following
estimate. Read each item carefully and population mean? values.
I. Evaluating learning write PE if the underlined measure is a How do you calculate the point
point estimate and IE if interval estimate of the population mean?
estimate. Why is it important to
determine the point estimate of the
population mean?
M11/12SP-IIIF-4 and
M11/12SP-IIIF-5
1. Explain the how to
determine the point estimate of the
J. Additional activities for
population mean.
application or remediation 2. Identify point estimator for
the population mean.
3. Compute for the point
estimate of the population mean.
V. REMARKS
VI. REFLECTION
A. No. of learners who earned
80% on the formative
assessment
B. No. of learners who require
additional activities for
remediation
C. Did the remedial lessons work?
No. of learners who have
caught up with the lesson
D. No. of students who continue to
require
E. Which of my teaching strategies
worked well? Why did these
work?
F. What difficulties did I encounter
which my principal or supervisor
can help me solve?
G. What innovation or localized
materials did I use/discover
which I wish to share with other
teachers?
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