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General Partner Valuation Issues Midstream Business 2018 PDF
General Partner Valuation Issues Midstream Business 2018 PDF
NOV/DEC 2017
Topics
General Partner
Valuation Issues
Simple or complex, the relationship between general partner and limited
partner interests in master limited partnerships can be very dynamic.
By Jim Hanson
M
LPs have been a popular only receive increased IDRs as LPs IDRs reviewed
structure for the owner- enjoy increased distributions. When an MLP is formed, a partnership
ship of midstream and However, this IDR structure is agreement is created which defines the
certain other energy-related assets. complicated and can make traditional GP-LP relationship and outlines the
In a sustained low-interest rate envi- securities’ valuation techniques quite economic agreement. Typically, the GP
ronment, investors appreciate the difficult. The relative valuation of the starts out with a 2% economic interest
tax-efficient structure and the ability GP interest compared to the LP value in the MLP and the LP begins with 98%,
to receive an attractive yield with is dynamic. a portion of which is often also retained
upside, as distributions increase and The life cycle of an MLP often con- by the sponsor on a subordinated basis.
the MLP grows. cludes with a GP-LP simplification The partnership agreement specifies
Sponsors of MLPs can achieve transaction (Williams and ONEOK a minimum quarterly distribution
attractive economics due to their being the latest), which typically resets (MQD) level for the partnership. In
general partner (GP) interest in the tax basis in all of the assets owned by addition to its GP interest, the MLP
incentive distribution rights (IDRs). the LP. In order to evaluate the attrac- sponsor’s subordinated units act like
Limited partner (LP) investors have tiveness of these transactions for each common LP units as long as the MQD
accepted the IDR structure because it participant, we need to understand the is maintained until they eventually con-
incentivizes the GP to grow distribu- valuation implications of the IDR struc- vert into common LP units; typically,
tions and aligns their interests. GPs ture on relative valuations. after a certain amount of time or upon
Topics
reaching certain distribution levels for a A typical IDR breakdown would IDRs are at the 25% level. This refers
number of quarters. look like the accompanying table. At to the marginal rate. In actuality, the
The IDRs kick in as the LP distribu- each tier, the amount the GP receives GP would be entitled to $0.0352 for
tions reach certain levels, or tiers. is not the percentage of what the LPs every LP unit ((($0.4025 ÷ .98) x .02 =
Tier 1 represents LP distributions receive, but rather that percentage $0.0082) + ((($0.4375 - $0.4025) ÷ .85)
from the MQD to a certain threshold of the total. For example, using this x .15 = $0.0062) + ((($0.50 - $0.4375)
where Tier 2 begins. For LP distribu- table, at a $0.4025 LP distribution, ÷ .75) x .25 = $0.0208) = $0.0352). In
tions from the MQD up to the first the GP receives $0.0082 (($0.4025 ÷ this example with 100 LP units, the total
threshold, the LP investors get 98% .98) x .02). Assuming 100 LP units, distributions paid would be $50 to the
of the distributions and the GP gets the total distribution is $41.07 of LPs and $3.52 to the GP. The GP’s share
its proportionate 2%. When the LP which the LPs get $40.25 (98%) and of the MLP’s total distribution of $53.52
distributions reach specified levels, the GP gets 82 cents (2%). is 6.6%.
the GP is entitled to an increasing per- The IDR tiers work the same way The adjoining graphic represents the
centage of the distributions. The tier as income tax brackets. The IDR per- GP’s share of the total distribution at
levels are usually—but not always—set centage only applies to the amount over various LP levels.
at percentages above the MQD that the tier threshold. For example, using
correspond to the marginal GP IDR the same table, if the LP distribution Valuation techniques
percentage at that level. per unit were 50 cents, people say the Valuation of an MLP can be looked at
in several ways. Discounted cash flow,
public multiples (EV/EBITDA) and
distribution yield are common metrics
Limited Partner Tiers
in the industry. If one were to look at
Percentage the value of the equity in a traditional
Limited Partner General corporate entity with enterprise value
Quarterly Distribution per Unit
Unitholders Partner as a starting point, the exercise is fairly
simple: Enterprise Value — Net Debt =
MQD $0.3500 98% 2%
Equity Value.
In the case of public companies, ana-
Tier 1 Above $0.3500 up to $0.4025 98% 2%
lysts typically multiply the share price by
the number of shares to get equity value.
Tier 2 Above $0.4025 up to $0.4375 85% 15%
Net debt can then be added to get enter-
Tier 3 Above $0.4375 up to $0.5250 75% 25%
prise value, which can be compared
among similar companies.
Tier 4 Above $0.5250 50% 50%
In the MLP world, “equity” con-
sists of both the LP and GP interests:
Tables and graphics courtesy of Duff & Phelps LP Value + GP Value + Net Debt =
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
Marginal GP Share
50%
40%
30%
Average GP Share
20%
10%
0%
analysts often use yield as their go-to At that time, WMB’s equity market to the percentage implied by the
valuation technique. value was $23.7 billion and WMB had then-current GP share of distribu-
In the context of asset M&A or $4.9 billion of net debt (excluding tions. Of course, OKS–OKE and
GP-LP simplifications, however, WPZ debt). Therefore, at the time of WPZ–WMB had very similar IDR
yield falls subject to the same issues announcement, WMB’s enterprise value profiles at the time of announcement.
in terms of relative GP-LP values was $28.6 billion. Subtracting the $14.2
described above. billion value of its WPZ LP units leaves Publicly traded GPs
So where does that leave us when $14.4 billion of implied WPZ GP value In addition to the data that is available
trying to figure out where the actual at WMB. The market value of WPZ’s LP regarding relative GP-LP valuations
LP-GP valuation split falls within the units at that time was $23.9 billion. from recently announced transac-
hypothetical band described above? Therefore, $14.4 billion implied tions, we can look at the trading met-
We can look at actual examples to gain GP value represented 37.5% of the rics of several other MLPs and their
some insight. total WPZ “equity” value (LP and GP) pure-play publicly traded GPs—pure-
implied by the WPZ and WMB trad- play in that the entity only owns MLP
Recent transactions ing prices at that time, or about 6.5% LP units and the GP interest including
MLP GP-LP simplification transactions above the floor indicated by current IDRs. In a similar manner as Williams
seem to be accelerating. Kinder Morgan WPZ distributions. and ONEOK, we can look at the
began the trend when it rolled the MLP On Feb. 1, ONEOK announced implied enterprise value of the GP
into the corporate sponsor, KMI. Since a plan to simplify its structure. entities and then back out the value
then, several GP-LP transactions have However, unlike Williams, ONEOK of the MLP LP units owned to get the
taken place to adjust or eliminate the Inc. (OKE) announced its intention to implied value of the GP.
IDRs, especially for MLPs where the exchange OKE shares for all ONEOK This can then be compared to the
IDRs were well into the high splits. Partners LP (OKS) units not already public market value of the LP inter-
Let’s look at two recent transactions, owned by OKE, effectively eliminating est in the MLP to get the implied GP
Williams and ONEOK, to see what the IDR structure. share of the total “equity” in each MLP.
conclusions can be drawn regarding the Prior to the announcement, OKS’ The accompanying table shows five
GP-LP relative valuation. quarterly distribution was $0.79, putting GP-MLP pairs ranked by implied GP
On Jan. 9, The Williams Cos. Inc. it well into the 50% IDR splits. The GP’s percent ownership.
(WMB) and Williams Partners LP share of OKS’ total distributions (aver-
(WPZ) announced plans whereby age) was 32.2%. Option analogy
WMB permanently waived its IDRs in Like WMB, we can look at OKE’s One alternative to trying to allocate
exchange for 289 million common units trading metrics prior to the announce- equity value among the GP and LP
of WPZ. This brought WMB’s total ment to get an implied value of the GP is to consider each IDR tier as a
interest in WPZ to 72.3%. WMB effec- interest. OKE shares’ 10-day VWAP separate security.
tively traded its GP interest for $11.1 bil- prior to the announcement was $55.51 For example, using the hypothetical
lion worth of WPZ LP common units. and there were 210.7 million shares example MLP above, the enterprise value
We know that at the time of the outstanding, implying an equity market can be broken up into tiers. We know
announcement, WPZ had been paying value for OKE of $11.7 billion. Adding that the debt securities have a $1,000
quarterly distributions of 85 cents per net debt (excluding OKS debt) of $1.4 face value. Assume a 5% coupon. Each
quarter for the past two years, putting billion implied $13.1 billion of enter- quarter, note-holders get $12.50. Beyond
WPZ well into the 50% IDR splits. prise value. Subtracting the market that, cash flow first goes to pay the dis-
The GP’s average share of distribu- value of the 114.3 million OKS LP units tributions up through Tier 1, Tier 2 and
tions at the 85 cents-per-unit level (including Class B) held by OKE of $5 so forth. We know that the cash required
worked out to 31%. billion leaves an implied value of OKS’ for a full Tier 1 distribution is $41.07
As discussed above, the hypothetical GP of $8.1 billion. (($0.4025 x 100 LP units) ÷ .98). The
band of the GP’s share of equity value in The $8.1 billion of GP value plus cash flow required for a full Tier 2 dis-
WPZ would have therefore been 31%- $12.5 billion of LP market capitalization tribution is $4.106 (($0.4375 - $0.4025)
50%. We can calculate the actual average prior to announcement implies that x 100 LP units ÷ .85). The cash required
percentage because both WMB and the market was effectively valuing OKS’ for a full Tier 3 distribution is $11.667
WPZ were publicly traded. GP as 39.2% of OKS’ “equity” value, or (($0.5250 - $0.4375) x 100 LP units ÷
Prior to the announcement of the 7% above the “floor” represented by the .75). Above that, cash is split 50:50.
transaction, WMB owned 370.9 million current split. Instead of thinking about the LP
WPZ units (including Class B) that Interestingly, prior to each interest as a security and the GP inter-
were worth $14.2 billion—assuming announcement, the market was est as a security, think about each tier
the 10-day volume weighted average effectively allocating equity to each as a security with 100 “shares” that are
price (VWAP) prior to announcement. GP at the same 21 to 22% premium owned by different owners. For exam-
Public GP of Associated MLP
Less:
Enterprise Value of MLP LP
Preferred Value Units Owned
TEGP Tallgrass Energy GP, LP (1) 0 $4,321 $930
Publicly Traded General Partners (dollars in millions)
EQGP EQT GP Holdings LP 0 7,638 1,639
WGP Western Gas Equity Partners 0 8,828 2,563
ENLC EnLink Midstream LLC (3) 0
Public GP of Associated MLP 3,243 1,440
NSH NuStar GP Holdings LLC (5) 0 981
Less: Implied
420
Enterprise Value of MLP LP Value of
Preferred Value Units Owned MLP GP
TEGP Tallgrass Energy GP, LP (1) 0 $4,321 $930 $3,391
EQGP EQT GP Holdings LP 0 7,638 1,639 5,999
WGP Western Gas Equity Partners 0
Associated MLP
8,828 2,563 6,265
ENLC EnLink Midstream LLC (3) 0 3,243 1,440 1,599
NSH NuStar GP Holdings LLC (5) 0 981 420 Implied 560
LP GP % GP % of GP
Units Market
Associated MLP
Implied Share of Total MLP %
Out Cap GP Value “Equity” Distributions Dis
Implied
TEP Tallgrass Energy Partners LP 73.2
LP $3,403 GP %$3,391 GP % of 49.9%
GP Marginal 36.6%
EQM EQT Midstream Partners LPUnits Out
Market
80.6
Cap
Implied
6,054 Share of Total MLP
5,999 % of MLP
49.8% Current
32.7%
GP Value “Equity” Distributions Distributions LP Yield
WES Western GasEnergy
TEP Tallgrass Partners
PartnersLP
LP
(2)
73.2 165.3
$3,403 8,454 49.9%6,26536.6% 42.6%
$3,391 50.0% 34.9%
8.0%
EQM EQT Midstream Partners LP 80.6 6,054 5,999 49.8% 32.7% 50.0% 5.0%
ENLK EnLink Midstream Partners LP 403.0 6,556 1,599 19.6% 10.3%
WES Western Gas Partners LP 165.3 (2)
8,454 6,265 42.6% 34.9% 50.0% 7.0%
NS NuStar Energy
ENLK EnLink LP Partners LP 403.0
Midstream 93.0
6,556 3,829 19.6% 56010.3% 12.8%
1,599 48.4% 13.3%
9.6%
NS NuStar Energy LP 93.0 3,829 560 12.8% 13.3% 25.0% 10.6%
Prices asPrices as of market close 9/13/17. Source: S&P Capital IQ and Company SEC filings.
of market close 9/13/17. Source: S&P Capital IQ and Company SEC filings.
(1) TEGP Enterprise value assumes all Class B shares (and equity units) on an as-converted basis.
(1) TEGP(2)Enterprise
WES Market Cap value assumes
assumes all Class C all
unitsClass B sharesbasis.
on an as-converted (and equity units) on an as-converted basis.
(2) WES(3) EnLink Midstream LLC also owns 16% of the Tall Oak Midstream business purchased in 2016. 16% of the cash
Market Cap assumes all Class C units on an as-converted basis.
paid for the purchase price was also deducted from Enterprise value to conclude implied ENLK GP value.
(3) EnLink Midstream
(4) ENLK Market Cap LLC alsoall owns
assumes Preferred16%
on an of the Tallbasis.
as-converted Oak Midstream business purchased in 2016. 16% of the cash
paid (5)
forFollowing Permian crude system acquisition in April 2017, NSH agreed to waive IDRs for 10 quarters, capped at $22 million.
the purchase price was also deducted from Enterprise value to conclude implied ENLK GP value.
(4) ENLK Market Cap assumes all Preferred on an as-converted basis.
(5) Following Permian crude system acquisition in April 2017, NSH agreed to waive IDRs for 10 quarters, capped at $22 million.
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