Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Trade and Finanace
Trade and Finanace
Submitted to
MAHBUBA LIMA
Lecturer
Department of Finance
University of Dhaka
Dhaka
Submitted by
Sl.
no
Name ID
01.
Farzana Nasreen 15-004
02.
Sumaiya Akter 15-018
03.
Pramita Saha 15-030
04.
Mohammad Nayem 15-086
Uddin
05.
Fahmina Tasmin 15-144
Munia
06.
Shanaz parveen 15-134
Department Of Finance
B.B.A.( 15TH Batch),Section-B
University Of Dhaka
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Letter of Transmittal
MAHBUBA LIMA
Lecturer
Department of Finance
University of Dhaka
Dhaka
Dear Madam,
It gives us immense pleasure to submit our report on “An enquiry into the trade and
finance of Malaysia”. This report was assigned to us as a partial requirement of the
International Trade and Finance (F-208) course in fourth semester.
While making the report we come across many hurdles and pleasant experiences. But the
valuable experiences we have gained during the period will undoubtedly benefit us in the
years ahead. This report gave us an opportunity to apply our theoretical expertise,
sharpen our views, ideas, and communication skills, and bridge them with the real world
of practical experience, which will be a good head start for our future professional career.
We hope you would find the report in appropriate manner. We appreciate your
cooperation and we hope you will call upon us with any queries occasioned by this
report.
We have tried sincerely to comprehend and translate our knowledge in writing this report.
We enjoyed this project work and gladly attend any of your calls to clarify on our point,
if necessary.
Sincerely yours,
_____________
Farzana Nasreen
Section-B, 15th Batch
On behalf group members
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Acknowledgement
We are thankful and grateful to almighty Allah who has given us the strength and ability
to complete the report on “An enquiry into the trade and finance of Malaysia”. We
are also grateful to our Course Instructor Mahbuba Lima to prepare this very important
report. She has given all sorts of help required to complete this. We are also grateful to
those who have given us suggestion and interaction.
The presentation of this report is of a great expectation in our BBA program and we are
quite happy to submit it on time and work on such an interesting topic. Theoretical
knowledge should be valued when it is successfully applied in practical field. In this
respect, we found this report a great opportunity to deal with the use of theory of Trade
and Finance in the real world.
So lastly, we express special thanks from the bottom of our heart to all who help us
directly & indirectly to complete this term paper.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Table of Contents
Economy of Malaysia at a Glance..................................................................................................................7
.............................................................................................................................................................14
Malaysian Trade with the U.S.............................................................................................................14
Malaysia’s Top Exports to America....................................................................................................15
Fastest-Growing Malaysian Exports to the U.S..................................................................................15
Malaysia’s Top Imports from America...............................................................................................16
Fastest-Growing Malaysian Imports from the U.S.............................................................................16
Chapter 3
Inflation
Government Restriction
National Income
Exchange Rates
Methods
Forms
FDI in Malaysia
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Chapter 1
Introduction to
Malaysia
Economic
performance of
Malaysia at a Glance
Transformation of
Malaysia’s Economy
Commodity
Partners
Statistics
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
INTRODUCTION TO MALAYSIA
Malaysia has its origins in the Malay Kingdoms present in the area which, from the
18th century, became subject to the British Empire. The first British territories
were known as the Straits Settlements. Peninsular Malaysia, then known as Malaya,
was first unified under the commonwealth in 1946, before becoming the Federation
of Malaya in 1948. In 1963, Malaya united with Sabah, Sarawak, and Singapore to
form modern Malaysia. In 1965, Singapore was expelled from the federation, and
became an independent city state. Since its independence, Malaysia has had one of
the best economic records in Asia, with GDP growing an average 6.5% for the first
50 years of independence. The economy of the country has, traditionally, been
fuelled by its natural resources, but is now also expanding in the sectors of science,
tourism, commerce and medical tourist.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Statistics:
GDP: $381.1 billion (2009 est.)
GDP growth: -2.2% (2009 est.)
GDP per Capita: $ 14800 (2009 est.)
GDP by sector:
Agriculture: 10.1%, industry: 42.3%, service 46.7%
Inflation: 0.4%
Population below poverty line: 3.5%
Labor Force by Occupation: agriculture: 13%, industry: 36%, service 51%
Unemployment: 5%
Main Industries: Peninsular Malaysia-rubber and palm oil processing and
manufacturing, light manufacturing industry, electronics,
tin mining and smelting, logging and processing timber,
petroleum production and refining, tourism, logging
Ease of doing Business Rank: 2 1st
External
Export: $156.4 billion
Export Goods: electronic equipment, petroleum and liquefied natural gas,
wood and wood products, palm oil, rubber, textiles,
chemicals
Main Export Partners: Singapore 13.9%, China 12.2%, United States 10.9%,
Japan 9.8%, Thailand5.4%, Hong Kong 5.2% (2009 est.)
Import: $119.5 billion (2009 est.)
Import Goods: electronics, machinery, petroleum products, plastics,
vehicles, iron and steel products, chemicals
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Main Import Partners: China 13.9%, Japan 12.5%, Singapore 11.1%, Thailand
6%, Indonesia 5.3%, South Korea 4.6%, Taiwan 4.2%,
Germany 4.2% (2009 est.)
Gross External Debt: N/A
Public Finances
Revenues: $61.6 billion (2009 est.)
Expenses: $60.72 billion (2009 est.)
Economic Aid: $31.6 million (2005)
Foreign Reserves: $98.02 billion (31 December 2009 est.
Malaysia is an economy on the move. The average income of Malaysians today is two
and a half times higher than it was 15 years ago. Malaysia’s impressive economic
performance has pushed poverty down to levels lower than many economies in the
region. Unemployment and inflation also are low, even by developed country standards.
Some structural issues need addressing but, on balance, Malaysia’s economic
performance is a ‘good news’ story.
The transformation began more than three decades ago, when the Malaysian Government
embarked on a campaign to industrialize Malaysia. At Independence in 1957, Malaysia
was reliant on tin, rubber and palm oil for its foreign exchange earnings. While palm oil
earnings remain significant – Malaysia is the largest exporter of palm oil in the world –
elaborately transformed manufactures in the shape of electronics and electrical products
now dominate Malaysia’s exports. In 2002,
Malaysia was the world’s fifth-largest exporter
of semi-conductors. Large inflows of foreign
direct investment have spurred the development
of Malaysia’s manufacturing sector.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
low and most Malaysians who want a job can find one. Inflation has been contained,
ensuring Malaysian purchasing power has not been eroded. Per capita income in 2003
was more than two and a half times larger than the level 15 years ago; real per capita
income was 70 per cent larger over the same period. Where nearly one third of
Malaysians were living in poverty in 1980, only five per cent were doing so in 2002.
Hardcore poverty – defined as half the poverty line income – is down to one per cent.
Students are staying at school longer, more are pursuing tertiary education and, as a
result, literacy rates have risen appreciably. Most of the country has access to basic
services such as water, electricity and roads. Fixed line phone coverage is somewhat
limited, but Malaysians have compensated for this by voraciously adopting mobile phone
technology.
Government’s Effort:
International Trade:
The exchange of goods and services between two or more countries is known as
international trade. In other words, when trade exceeds political boundary of a country it
is known as international trade.
Main reason of international trade is the existence of price differences between countries.
Price difference occurs from:
• Different supply conditions
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Level of technology
Labor skill
Factor abundance
Taste pattern
• Forestry
• Minerals
It is an exporter of natural and agricultural resources, the most valuable exported resource
being petroleum. At one time, it was the largest producer of tin, rubber and palm oil in
the world. In terms of agriculture, Malaysia is one of the top exporters of
natural rubber and palm oil, which together with sawn logs and sawn
timber, cocoa, pepper, pineapple and tobacco dominate the growth of the sector. Palm oil
is also a major generator of foreign exchange.
Regarding forestry resources, it is noted that logging only began to make a substantial
contribution to the economy during the nineteenth century. Today, an estimated 59% of
Malaysia remains forested. The rapid expansion of the timber industry, particularly after
the 1960s, has brought about a serious erosion problem in the country's forest resources.
However, in line with the Government's commitment to protect the environment and the
ecological system, forestry resources are being managed on a sustainable basis and
accordingly the rate of tree felling has been on the decline.
In addition, substantial areas are being silviculturally treated and reforestation of
degraded forest land is also being carried out. The Malaysian government provide plans
for the enrichment of some 312.30 square kilometres (120.5 sq mi) of land
with rattan under natural forest conditions and in rubber plantations as an inter crop. To
further enrich forest resources, fast-growing timber species such as meranti
tembaga, merawan and sesenduk are also being planted. At the same time, the cultivation
of high-value trees like teak and other trees for pulp and paper are also encouraged.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Rubber, once the mainstay of the Malaysian economy, has been largely replaced by palm
oil as Malaysia's leading agricultural export.
Tin and petroleum are the two main mineral resources that are of major significance in
the Malaysian economy. Malaysia was once the world's largest producer of tin until the
collapse of the tin market in the early 1980s. In the 19th and 20th century, tin played a
predominant role in the Malaysian economy. It was only in 1972 that petroleum
and natural gas took over from tin as the mainstay of the mineral extraction sector.
Meanwhile, the contribution by tin has declined. Petroleum and natural gas discoveries
in oil fields off Sabah, Sarawak and Terengganu have contributed much to the Malaysian
economy. Oil and gas resources are managed by PETRONAS, the state controlled oil
company which forms production sharing contracts with other players like Exxon-
Mobil and Royal Dutch Shell to explore oil fields in Malaysia. Other minerals of some
importance or significance include copper, bauxite, iron-ore and coal together with
industrial minerals like clay, kaolin, silica, limestone, barite, phosphates and dimension
stones such as granite as well as marble blocks and slabs. Small quantities of gold are
produced.
In an effort to diversify the economy and make Malaysia’s economy less dependent on
exported goods, the government has pushed to increase tourism in Malaysia. As a result
tourism has become Malaysia’s third largest source of income from foreign exchange,
although it is threatened by the negative effects of the growing industrial economy, with
large amounts of air and water pollution along with deforestation affecting tourism. The
majority of Malaysia's tourists come from its bordering country, Singapore. In 1999,
Malaysia launched a worldwide marketing campaign called “Malaysia, Truly Asia”
which was largely successful in bringing in over 7.4 million tourists.
Now we can look into the export and import statistics of Malaysia:
Export of Malaysia:
Commodities: electronic equipment, petroleum and liquefied natural gas, wood and
wood products, palm oil, rubber, textiles, chemicals
Partners: Singapore 14.94%, US 12.4%, China 10.19%, Japan 9.13%, Thailand 4.93%,
Hong Kong 4.75% (2009)
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Source: CIA World Fact book - Unless otherwise noted, information is accurate as of
2010
Numerical Presentation:
Total exports: $157.6 billion (2009 est.)
$199.7 billion (2008 est.)
Source: CIA World Fact book - Unless otherwise noted, information is accurate as of
2010
Import of Malaysia:
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Source: CIA World Fact book - Unless otherwise noted, information is accurate as of
2010
Numerical Presentation
Total imports: $119.3 billion (2009 est.)
$148.5 billion (2008 est.)
This entry provides the total US dollar amount of merchandise imports on a c.i.f. (cost,
insurance, and freight) or f.o.b. (free on board) basis. These figures are calculated on an
exchange rate basis, i.e., not in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Comparative advantage
Last year, Malaysian exports to America fell 5.8% to $30.7 billion. Over that same
period, Malaysia bought $12.9 billion worth of U.S. imports – an increase of 10.9%.
After subtracting imports from exports, one can quickly calculate Malaysia’s trade
surplus with the U.S. to equal a healthy $17.8 billion in 2008.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
The lists below present the top 10 exports and imports that American and Malaysian
enterprises exchanged in 2008. The fastest-growing trade product categories are also
listed.
Malaysia’s top 3 exports were hi-tech products that represented 51.8% of Malaysian
exports to the U.S. last year. In total, the following 10 Malaysian exports generated
77.1% of the total value of shipments from Malaysia to America in 2008.
Malaysian exported tin had the most dramatic increase in sales to the U.S., while 7 other
product categories showed impressive triple-digit gains.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Semiconductors, steelmaking and plastic materials illustrate the fact that many of
America’s exports to Malaysia are source inputs for Malaysian manufacturers. The
following top 10 exports from America to Malaysia accounted for 74.6% of Malaysia
overall imports from the U.S.
The top 10 list of Malaysian growth imports were for relatively small dollar amounts.
Three of these import categories were up by triple-digits while the remaining 7 product
categories had double-digit gains.
1. Artillery, guns, missiles and tanks … US$28.6 million, up 653.1% from 2007
2. Food oils and oilseeds … $8.4 million, up 553.9%
3. Other iron and steel products … $27.3 million, up 111.7%
4. Generators and accessories … $245.5 million, up 98.6%
5. Chemical fertilizers… $22 million, up 97.3%
6. Marine engines and parts … $34.1 million, up 84.7%
7. Trucks, buses and special purpose vehicles … $2.3 million, up 79.3%
8. Textile and sewing machines … $6.3 million, up 69.2%
9. Unmanufactured agriculture industry products … $27.1 million, up 67.4%
10. Unmanufactured tobacco … $20.9 million, up 66%.
During 2008, Malaysia exported $11.5 billion worth of computers and accessories to the
U.S. while importing $715 million of those same product categories from America.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
On the other hand, America exported $6.1 billion worth of corn to Malaysia in 2008
compared with $2.9 billion in Malaysian semiconductors imported into the U.S.
That the U.S. shipped to Malaysia over twice the value of imported Malaysian
semiconductors clearly shows that America has a comparative advantage in trading
semiconductors with Malaysia.
The cheaper labor is also another important cause behind Malaysia’s comparative
advantage over USA.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Chapter 2
Tariff
Causes of Imposing
Tariff
Tariff Policy Of
Malaysia
Custom Unions
ASEAN
APEC
OIC
Balance of Payment
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Tariff
There are some arguments why a government goes for imposing tariff; although
export and import are the vital elements to strengthen a country’s economy. The
arguments are quoted below:
5. National self-sufficiency
7. Full employment
10. Retaliation
The Malaysian economy is relatively open to both trade in goods and foreign
investment, although rice and automotive products are notable exceptions (World
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Trade Organization,2001).More than half of all tariff lines are duty free and less than
one per cent attract non-ad valorem rates.
Malaysia has a wide range of non-tariff measures across many different products
and sectors, although they differ in terms of trade restrictiveness. Import licenses
cover 60 different products ranging from poultry, billets of iron or steel and
magnetic tape webs for video and sound recording (Ministry of International Trade
and Industry, 2004a).Some import licenses are restricted to a few importers with
specific quotas, such as in sugar and rice. Other licenses are easily obtainable, such
as those for meat.
The 50 per cent rebate on domestically produced motor vehicles also is a substantial
non-tariff measure.
Malaysia’s GATS Schedule tends to leave commercial presence unbound and notes
that foreign acquisition of a Malaysian corporation requires approval.
There also are restrictions on the movement of services providers into Malaysia.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Malaysia has generally left this mode of delivery unbound in the GATS, although
companies are allowed to bring in senior managers and two professionals, with
additional experts subject to a market test and training Malaysians.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Custom Unions
As we know, Customs Union is a union in which members remove all barriers to trade
among themselves and adopt a common set of external barriers thereby eliminating the
need for customs inspection at internal borders.
Malaysia has entered into some Customs Unions in collaboration with other countries for
the purpose of facilitating trade. The major Customs Unions Malaysia entered into are:
1. ASEAN
2. APEC
3. OIC
The net effects of trade creation and trade diversion by Malaysia with other countries in
each of the Customs Unions and the policy of each of the Customs Unions affecting
Malaysia’s trade and economy will be described and explained in this part of the report.
ASEAN stands for The Association of Southeast Asian Nations. ASEAN was preceded
by an organization called the Association of Southeast Asia, commonly called ASA, an
alliance consisting of the Philippines, Malaysia and Thailand that was formed in 1961.
The bloc itself, however, was established on 8 August 1967, when foreign ministers of
five countries– Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand– met at the
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Thai Department of Foreign Affairs building in Bangkok and signed the ASEAN
Declaration, more commonly known as the Bangkok Declaration.
The association now consists of 10 member states, as successively Brunei Darussalam
(1984), Vietnam (1995), Laos (1997), Myanmar (1997) and Cambodia (1999).
If the success ratio is higher than 1, intra-ASEAN trade integration would be mentioned
to be successful. If the measure is at unity, they have just reached the success level, and
otherwise, ASEAN is yet to reach the level of success.
The potential trade is projected by applying equation to Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia
and Thailand for the period of 2003 to 2008. Potential trade is estimated from two points
of view.
One is for the impact of regional integration and the other is for the impact of currency
union, by varying the value of currency union dummy.
Here is the information about actual and potential trade between Malaysia and three
selected ASEAN member countries:
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Micro-level observation of country pairs from the above figure provide detailed idea
about the pattern of success in the trade integration process. Trade patternBetween
Singapore – Malaysia, and Malaysia – Thailand look similar.Difference between actual
trade and potential trade for all three country pairs are quite high in 2003, which increase
over time. Difference between actual and potential trade is found quite low for Indonesia
– Malaysia pair during 2003-2004, which increases at a high rate afterward. These
observations are summarized in the following table:
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
The above stated Figure presents the potential trade with regional integration, potential
trade with currency union and actual trade of Malaysia with three selected ASEAN
members. From these figures, three major findings are significant.
Firstly, actual bilateral trade among these four members is higher than the estimated
potential trade throughout the period.
Secondly, for all selected country pairs, increasing rate of actual trade is much higher
than the increasing rate of potential trade.
Thirdly, impact of currency union on potential trade is insignificant.
One of the most important RTA (regional trade agreements) in Asia and the Pacific is the
Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN) Free Trade Area, also referred to as
AFTA. AFTA was established in 1992 and currently has a membership of 10 countries. It
was expected to become a full free trade area by the year 2008. This should result in
supporting economic cooperation between member countries.
This agreement was aimed at eliminating tariff barriers among member countries and
creating regional market of 500 million people. The Agreement on the Common
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Effective Preferential Tariff (CEPT) scheme required that tariff levied on a wide range of
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Brunei D. 3.78 2.64 2.54 2.02 1.61 1.37 1.55 1.26 1.17 0.96 1.04
Indonesia 17.27 17.27 15.22 10.39 8.53 7.06 5.36 4.76 4.27 3.69 2.17
Malaysia 10.79 10 9.21 4.56 4.12 3.46 3.2 3.32 2.71 2.62 1.95
Philippine 12.45 11.37 10.45 9.55 9.22 7.22 7.34 5.18 4.48 4.13 3.82
Thailand 19.85 19.84 18.16 14.21 12.91 10.24 9.58 6.12 5.67 4.97 4.63
ASEAN6 11.44 10.97 10 7.15 6.38 5.22 4.79 3.64 3.22 2.89 2.39
More than 99 percent of the products in the CEPT Inclusion List (IL) of ASEAN-6,
comprising Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and
Thailand, have now been brought down to the 0-5 percent tariff range. ASEAN new
members including Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Vietnam have also implemented
their commitment on the CEPT scheme with 80 percent of their products having been
moved into their CEPT Inclusion List.
Table 1. Average CEPT Rates, By Country, 1993-2003 Country
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Although the ASEAN Secretariat claims that AFTA is now virtually established, this
statement might somewhat disguise the truth. Rice, considered as a highly sensitive
product for the region, is still excluded from the AFTA agreement.
Moreover, several members are still very unresponsive when they have to lower tariffs on
certain other critical product groups. Malaysia refused to comply with the AFTA
deadlines and kept on levying tariffs on completely built up (CBUs) and completely
knocked down (CKDs) automotive units. By doing so, Malaysia undoubtedly wanted to
protect its state-controlled carmaker Proton. Only very recently, automotive CBUs and
CKDs have finally been transferred to Malaysia’s Inclusion List.
APEC is the acronym for the regional grouping Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation.
Among the 21 member countries Malaysia is one. APEC was established in November
1989. Since 1989, the member countries of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation
(APEC) forum have been meeting regularly to discuss measures for greater economic
cooperation. This forum which now has eighteen members from around the Pacific has
been argued to be a potentially important vehicle for significant trade reform in the
region.
Malaysia joined APEC on 6th November, 1989.
The extent of gains from APEC depends on the size of the liberalization, the linkage
between sectors within economies, the extent to which goods from certain sectors are
demanded by other economies whose income rise, the reaction of macroeconomic
policies and a range of other channels which are captures through empirical relationships
in the model.
Liberalization:
The economy-wide and broad sectoral impacts of APEC trade liberalisation, covering all
sectors including services and implemented on a non- discriminatory basis are very
important in case of Malaysia.
A key benefit of non-discriminatory trade liberalisation is the opportunity to make use of
the cheapest imports from the best sources, allowing some existing resources in import-
competing industries to be reallocated to better uses domestically. In addition to these
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
traditional static allocative efficiency gains, the current model allows for additional gains
from increased international specialisation. The gains from specialization tend to magnify
the overall effects of trade liberalization.
Welfare effects:
The first scenario is non discriminatory reduction in trade barriers by APEC economies.
It is assumed that each industrialized economy in APEC cuts protection on goods
beginning in 1995. The cuts in each period are gradually phased in such that their
measures of protection are equal to zero by 2010.
For developing economies like Malaysia, it is assumed the same linear reduction but with
a terminal date of 2020. The size of cuts depends on the initial levels of tariffs. These are
shown in the following table and are based on the WTO/World Bank database.
This table shows that there are significant differences in the level of protection across
sectors within Malaysia. This asymmetry in the cuts suggests that relative price changes
within economies will be important in the adjustment process and therefore a sectoral
disaggregation is important for analyzing APEC trade policy.
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From the chart stated above, we can conclude that GDP, Investment, consumption and
export have increased and only balance of Current account has decreased in case of
Malaysia due to Full APEC Liberalization.
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It is clear from these figures that full APEC liberalization is better for Malaysia shown
that the other alternatives. It is also clear that the consumption gains are larger and more
evenly spread that the production gains.
This is not surprising given that the production reallocations follow the improvements in
resource allocation in different sectors in different economies, whereas the consumption
gains accrue to the owners of factors of production wherever they are located.
The Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC), the largest Muslim international
organization, is curiously understudied in international relations literature. Between 2003
and 2007, Malaysia was the chair of this Organization.
Malaysia’s participation in the OIC has not been in singular search for self-benefit. In as
much as the Administration has displayed a clear sympathy for other Third World and
developing countries, in its economic aspiration it has also attempted to promote “South-
South” co-operation as a significant component of its foreign policy agenda, expressing
similar concerns within the OIC.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Trade represents the life-blood of the Malaysian economy with foreign direct investments
playing a pivotal role in the industrialisation process. Economic openness has brought
prosperity as well as vulnerability. To be sure, the Malaysian economy has been fairly
resilient until it was caught in a major currency turmoil that began in mid- 1997.
However, the origins of the current crisis are not entirely external. Domestic policies too
have inadvertently contributed to the economic woes of the country.
Nevertheless, the economy rests on solid foundations built since independence in 1957.
The current problems are viewed as no more than a passing phase. However, there is a
need to recognise policy failures, identify structural flaws in the system and set the house
in order. OIC member countries can find useful lessons, both positive and negative,
especially in the real of economic governance in Malaysia’s development experience.
Here, we can conclude that Malaysian exports of agricultural products to OIC members
have decreased gradually while export of manufacturing products to those countries have
increased gradually. Again, export of mining and other products to OIC member
countries finally decreased over the passing of time.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
The link between investment and trade is far more powerful than usually assumed, and
this is particularly pronounced in the case of Malaysia’s trade with industrialised and
newly industrialising economies.
Intra-industry trade in general and intra-firm trade in particular is intimately related to
foreign direct investments in Malaysia’s manufacturing sector. An important policy
implication is that Malaysia has little choice in the direction of its external trade in
manufactures, given the structure of FDI in the country. It would then follow that
Malaysia’s trade policy is heavily influenced by, or dependent on, its foreign investment
policy and not the other way around. Malaysia does not trade much with other OIC
members. This is so mainly because its investment links with them are either weak or
totally absent.
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Exports
For Malaysia, total export to D-8 constitutes only 3.3 percent of total trade to the world.
Commodity-wise, only VEGOIL, TEXT and FOOD have made quite substantial inroads
into the D-8 markets at 15, 10, and 9 percent, respectively. All other exports to D-8 have
been rather minute (1-4 percent) of total trade for each commodity. Of total trade to D-8,
the MANU sector constitutes the largest share at 47 percent and followed by VEGO (25
percent).
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
From the chart stated above, it is obvious that Malaysia has exported vegetable oil to the
largest extent to the D-8 countries and also to the rest of he OIC member countries while
she has exported forest and fisheries product to the largest extent to the rest of the world
countries.
Imports
The decomposition of imports by partner countries and sectors are depicted in the
following Table. The D-8 has been Malaysia’s source of imports for 28 percent of
RAWAG, 36 percent F&FISH, 18 percent MINERAL, 12 percent TEXT and 51 percent
VEGOIL. Overall imports from D-8 represent 4.2 percent of Malaysia’s total imports.
Decomposition of Import by Partner Country and Sector:
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Malaysia has imported vegetable oil most from the D-8 countries and mineral products
from the rest of the OIC member countries while Malaysian largest extent imports from
the countries other than OIC members constitute animal products.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
The highest import taxes imposed by Malaysia on the imports from D-8 countries, rest of
the OIC member countries and from countries other than OIC members are on the food
products.
In 2009, Malaysia has imposed export subsidy on the export of mineral products to D-8
member countries while she has imposed charge on the export of mineral products to the
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
rest of the OIC member countries. Malaysia has imposed charge on the export of food,
textile and mineral products to the countries other than OIC members.
Overall, the trade balance for Malaysia moves in a positive direction, in complete
contrast to that of ROIC and ROW. In Malaysia, VEGOIL, TEXT and RAWAG are not
capable of covering the negative trade balance from MANU and SCVS sector.
Text 491.69
Manu -1629.
1
Svcs -414.02
Mineral 18.1
7
Vegoil 972.01
Total -110.51
Impacts on Welfare:
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
The effect of a change in trade policies on the welfare of a region depends on the impacts
of changes in world prices on the welfare of the trading country and the efficiency gains
associated with output changes.
The welfare measure in the analysis employs the equivalent variation (EV) criterion, a
measure of absolute welfare gains for each regional household, expressed in millions of
USD. The EV can be interpreted as the change in regional household income at constant
prices that is equivalent to the proposed changes. Because the EV uses initial period
prices as its base, welfare results from any given simulation can be compared directly.
Changes in welfare as a result of trade liberalization could be due to changes in terms of
trade, better use of resources (allocative efficiency) and others, i.e. less costly imports
and scale effects.
The Table stated above suggests that improvement in effectiveness of use of resources,
followed by increases in terms of trade contribute to the increase in Malaysian societal
welfare that includes poverty alleviation. Aggregate effects of other factors seem to have
a small negative effect on social welfare. The increase in Malaysian GDP results in the
decline of dead welfare loss and this implies that Malaysian aggregate supply before
trade liberalization has been inefficient.
Balance of Payment
Balance of Payment can be simply defined as the difference between the inflow and outflow of
foreign currency. Positive balance of payment refers to surplus of foreign currency while
negative balance of payment refers to deficiency of foreign currency. Generally income and
borrowings are credited while spending and lending are debited. So positive balance always
does not show favourable condition of a country, especially when that has been achieved
through borrowing.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Balance of Payments
Ringgit Malaysia in 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Million (RM in
Million)
Goods (net) 128,892 134,558 127,673 170,116 108,10
3
Services and income -33,555 -24,202 -11,520 -23,131 -11,474
(net)
Current account balance 78,367 93,504 100,410 129,936 80,003
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
41
“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Chapter 3
Factors affecting
International Trade Flows
Inflation
Government Restriction
National Income
Exchange Rates
Methods
Forms
FDI in Malaysia
Determination of Foreign
Exchange Rate
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
• National Income
• Government Restrictions
• Exchange Rates
Inflation:
Malaysian
inflation since
the 1970s
compares
favorably to
other economies
in the region.
Inflation is well
under control in
Malaysia, having
been below two
per cent in each of the last four years to 2003 (Bank Negara Malaysia, 2004b). Prudent
macro-economic policies, low imported inflation, stability of the exchange rate peg and
excess capacity in some sectors of the economy helped achieve low and stable
inflation (International Monetary Fund, 2004). The Malaysian Government has price
controls on selected goods, including petrol, but the number of goods they cover is
small.
National Income:
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Household spending was buoyed by a strong labor market, a hefty (7.5–42%) increase in
public sector salaries from July 2007, low interest rates, and the wealth effect felt by
individuals from stock market gains. Rural incomes benefited from high global prices for
agricultural commodities. Public consumption also grew, by 6.4%.Gross fixed capital
formation increased robustly by 10.2% last year, the highest rate since 2000, supported
by both stronger public and private investment.
The former was bolstered by development projects implemented under the Ninth
Malaysian Plan 2006–2010, and the latter by the solid economic growth, low interest
rates, and improvements to the investment climate.
Among policy changes in 2007 that helped private investment, the Government cut the
corporate tax rate by 2 percentage points over 2 years to 26%; approved a 10-year tax
exemption for venture capital; and eased foreign exchange restrictions somewhat. In
addition, investment incentives were introduced for domestic and foreign investors in the
Iskander Development Region, one of three economic development regions being
developed under the Ninth Plan.
Government Restrictions:
Government policy during this early post-independence period is perhaps best described
as a “holding” program, designed to suppress simmering inter-communal rivalries. The
policy thrust was to continue with the colonial open-door approach relating to trade and
industry policy, while addressing ethnic and regional economic imbalances through rural
development schemes and the provision of social and physical infrastructure. Like in
many other developing countries, import-substitution industrialization was on the policy
agenda in Malaysia during this period. However, unlike in other countries, attempts were
not made to achieve “forced” industrialization through direct import restrictions and the
establishment of state-owned industrial enterprises. The industrialization strategy of the
Malaysian government at the time was largely a “promotional effort, geared to the
provision of an investment climate favorable to private enterprise, especially to foreign
private enterprise” (Wheelwright, 1993).
Very few industries enjoyed nominal tariffs of more than 30% and non-tariff barriers
were almost non-existent Low average tariffs, modest inter-industry tariff dispersion and
limited incidence of non-tariff barriers characterize Malaysia’s trade regime and have
assisted Malaysia’s industrial development. Malaysia is the fourth most open economy in
the world, measured by trade as a share of GDP. In the economy of Malaysia exports
have played a crucial role in sustaining rapid economic growth.
Exchange Rates:
44
“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
The only legal tender in Malaysia is the Malaysian Ringgit. As of 20 March 2008, the
Ringgit is traded at MYR 3.18 at the US dollar. The Ringgit was not internationalized
since September 1998, an effect due to the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis in which the
central bank impose capital controls on the currency.
As a part of series of capital controls, the currency was pegged between September 1998
to 21 July 2005 at MYR 3.80 to the dollar. In recent years, Bank Negara
Malaysia beginning to relax certain rules to the capital controls although the currency
itself is still not traded internationally yet.
Methods:
The foreign direct investor may acquire voting power of an enterprise in an economy
through any of the following methods:
45
“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
The counterpart to a liberal trade regime was a receptive environment for foreign direct
investment (FDI). Even in the 1950s and 1960s, when distrust of FDI and multinational
corporations held strong sway in the developing world, Malaysia had a relatively open
and welcoming policy (Athukorala and Menon, 1995). Nevertheless, even in the non-FDI
sphere, Malaysia’s policy regime throughout the post-war period was much more liberal
than in most other developing countries (Williamson and Mahar, 1998). In terms of
monetary policy, this period was typical of the general approach taken by the Central
Bank, the Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM), which is one of minimal intervention. For the
most part, BNM has been mainly focused on ensuring stable interest rates and has not
often used its instruments to conduct counter-cyclical policy (Ariff, 1991).
By the late 1960s, there was growing recognition that the so-called easy stage of import
substitution industrialization was coming to an end, and that future prospects for
industrial development would require the expansion of export-oriented industries.
Through the enactment of the Investment Incentives Act in 1968, policy shifted to
promoting export-oriented activities, especially through FDI.
Foreign direct investment (FDI) net inflows rose by 54.4% to $9.4 billion in 2007, with
manufacturing, particularly the electrical and electronics subsector, attracting more than
half the total in Malaysia. Gross fixed capital formation added 2.3 percentage points to
GDP growth (although this was more than offset by a decline in inventories). On the
external front, real exports and imports each grew by about 4%, the weakest performance
for several years, largely reflecting soft global demand for electrical products, and net
exports did not make a significant contribution to GDP growth.
Malaysia received RM46.1 billion foreign direct investment (FDI), which was all time
high, for the whole of 2008. The foreign investments accounted for 73.4 percent of the
total investments of RM62.8 billion approved for 2008.The Minister of International
Trade and Industry, Datuk Mustapa Mohamed announced that there was a sharp
reduction in FDI and Malaysia only received RM4.2 billion FDI, about 78% reduction,
for the first five months of 2009.
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“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
was traded RM2.50 at the dollar. Due to speculative activities, the Ringgit fell as much as
RM4.10 to the dollar in matter of weeks. Bank Negara Malaysia, the nation's central
banks decided to impose capital controls to prevent the outflow of the Ringgit in the open
market. The Ringgit is not traded internationally, a traveler needs to declare to the central
bank if taking out more than RM10,000 out of the country and the Ringgit itself was
pegged at RM3.80 to the US dollar.
The fixed change rate was abandoned to floating exchange rate in July 2005; hours
after People's Republic of China announced the same move. At this point, the Ringgit is
still not internationalized. The Ringgit continues to strengthen to 3.18 to the dollar in
March 2008. Meanwhile, many aspect of the capital control has been slowly relaxed
by Bank Negara Malaysia. However, the government continues to not internationalize the
Ringgit. The government stated that the Ringgit will be internationalized once it is ready.
To realize the reason of accepting floating exchange rate in place of fixed exchange rate,
we have to gain clear understanding of these concepts.
Fixed foreign exchange rate is an exchange rate which is fixed by government. In a fixed
foreign exchange rate exchange rates are either held constant or allowed to fluctuate only
within very narrow boundaries.
1. The risk of international traders is reduced as the rate won’t fluctuate further.
2. Arbiters cannot be benefited by moving demand and supply curve artificially.
3. It is easy to make any decision based on exchange rate.
Disadvantages of Fixed Foreign Exchange Rate:
Floating foreign exchange rate is one in which exchange rate values are determined by
market forces without intervention by governments. This exchange rate adjusts on a
continual basis in response to demand and supply conditions for the currency.
1. Government can reduces own burdens by adopting floating foreign exchange rates.
2. Macro problem of a country won’t affect another country.
47
“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
48
“An Enquiry into the Trade and Finance of Malaysia”
Bibliography
• International trade
By H. G. Manure
• CIA factbook
• www.wikipedia.com
• GTAP database V7
• Yahoo Finance
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