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Valuation
Valuation
Valuation
Valuation of ABC based on P/E = P/E * Earnings (PAT) = 553 * 10 = 5530 Crore
So, swap ratio = 742.28/ 90 = 1 share of ABC in exchange of 8.23 shares of XYZ
…….
Issues in valuation
Q2
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
If the acquiring firm has higher PE than the target firm, overall PE post merger would reduce for the
acquiring firm, which increases the earnings for shareholders. Similarly, target firm’s share price increases
in anticipation of higher PE post-merger
Q3
Enterprise value = 7.1*190 = 1349 crore
Assuming cost of capital = 15%, growth rate after 5 years of 5% (to calculate terminal value), and
neglecting liabilities, XYZ should grow at 29.80 % to justify valuation of 190 per share
Q4
Assuming conservative growth rate of 10% for XYZ, growth rate after 5 years of 5% (to calculate terminal
value), and neglecting liabilities:
ABC should not pay more than 96.5 for a share of XYZ ltd
Q5
Assuming growth rate would follow optimistic scenario (as acquirer’s are bullish), their stocks are
currently undervalued (15% growth rate without merger vs 20% growth rate with merger), ABC should
pay to the XYZ shareholders in cash either with their excess cash reserve or through cheap debt financing
Q6
Strategy of risk arbitragers during takeover – They take long positions in the target stock, hoping that
takeover will go through. They are usually hedged by taking short position on acquirer’s stocks
Q7
Steps in a Merger
There are three major steps in a merger transaction: planning, resolution, implementation.
1. Planning, the most complex part of the merger process, entails the analysis, the action plan, and the
negotiations between the parties involved. The planning stage may last any length of time, but once it is
complete, the merger process is well on the way.
More in detail, the planning stage also includes:
the Board of Directors calling an extraordinary shareholders’ meeting whose item on the agenda is
the merger proposal;
the extraordinary shareholders’ meeting being called to pass a resolution on the item on the agenda;
any opposition to the merger by creditors and bondholders within 60 days of the resolution;
3. Implementation is the final stage of the merger process, including enrolment of the merger deed in the
Company Register.
Normally medium-sized/big mergers require one year from the start-up of negotiations to the closing of
the transaction. This is because, in addition to the time needed technically, there are problems relating to
the share exchange ratio between the merging companies which is rarely accepted by the parties without
drawn-out negotiations.
During the merger process, share prices will adjust to the share exchange ratio. On the effective date of
the merger, financial intermediaries will enter the new shares with the new quantities in the dossiers. The
shareholders may trade without constraint the new shares and benefit from all rights (dividends, voting
rights).
The ABC management could start with the objective of merger, and address a few questions as:
1. Does the merger make strategic sense to ABC given its current business operations?
2. What is the worth of XYZ and other acquisitions offer at table?
3. What are the likely risks as different culture?
4. Does it add shareholders value?
So, to address these issues company ABC could form a committee with top management and cross-
functional team. Make detailed timeline, state the clear terms and conditions, examine the positives and
negatives repercussions of deal, financial projections. Prepare a detailed report on this.
Second stage involve presenting it to Board and shareholders of ABC. Share the likely positive benefit the
company derives from the merger. Get the shareholders on board. Resolve the conflicts or doubts.
Finally, prepare the legal framework and structure of the deal merging XYZ. Take it to government
authorities for approvals under the acts. Implement the merger and enter the new shares.
Q8
Since both the companies hold shares in other company, effectively ABC would be taking control over
remaining 80% of XYZ, as it already holds 20% share of XYZ. If the shareholders of XYZ are given shares
of ABC with the given swap ratio, Mr. K would impart higher control in the new entity as value of ABC is
around 8 times that of XYZ.