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MBA 533 - Group3 - HR FORECAST V1
MBA 533 - Group3 - HR FORECAST V1
MBA 533 - Group3 - HR FORECAST V1
Group 3
Nikole Lionelli
Carlos Moncayo
Crystal Munday
Daynarine Ramkissoon
Amanda Ryals
Christopher Steger
Tracy Sysk
MBA 533 – Human
Resource in Management - HR Project 2
Table of Contents
Executive Summary 3
Labor supply/demand 3
3. Motors and More’s workforce will become more diverse as the company hires more
4. The president will start another company and will hire someone to manage the daily
5. Motors and More will decide to develop an additional product to broaden its portfolio. 9
References 9
References 11
MBA 533 – Human
Resource in Management - HR Project 3
Executive Summary
As we have learned from the previous development of this comprehensive plan, we are
finally to the point of implementation concerning the HR Planning process. As the complexity of
opportunities that arise. With the digital transformation taking place throughout the country,
organizations must have accurate information that they can rapidly access. The ultimate goal of
the HR Plan is to identify and eliminate any gaps that may exist between supply and demand. In
the following HR Forecast, we will determine the number and types of employees to be recruited
into the Motors and More Organization that is undergoing radical expansion opportunities. HR
As Becker points out, “strategic planning refers to an organization’s decision about what
it wants to accomplish (its mission) and how it wants to go about accomplishing it” (Becker &
Becker, 2006, page 903). For Motor’s and More to complete the development of their Human
Resource Planning, the organization must complete four phases that make up the HR forecasting
process. (Ivancevich & Konopaske, 2013) In the following HR Forecast, we will examine the
four stages including (1) situational analysis and environmental scanning, (2) forecasting demand
for human resources, (3) analysis of the supply of human resources, (4) and the development of a
plan of action (Ivancevich & Konopaske, 2013). Motors and More recognizes that there is no
shortage of Human Resource experts that are calling for a more strategic job function. For
Human Resources to become more strategic, which is our ultimate goal, the HR team at Motors
and More must pursue the following processes aggressively. This includes focus on the future
and developing creative and unique ways to prepare for the transition. Also, HR needs to ensure
MBA 533 – Human
Resource in Management - HR Project 4
employees have the capabilities necessary to do the job effectively with the ultimate objective to
develop and support the overall organizational goals. (Becton & Schraeder, 2015)
The overall purpose of the HR Forecast is to: (1) ensure the organization has adequate
human resources to meet its goals and operational plans, (2) allow the organization to stay on top
of the current social, economic, legislative and technological trends that affect human resources,
and (3) allow the organization to remain flexible to the dynamic changes in the environment.
Labor Supply/demand
1. Labor supply/demand will become more rigorous (demand for workers will increase, but
the labor pool will remain the same or shrink). Labor costs will increase.
Motor’s and More has realized a 96% growth in production orders. As a result, the
company needs to hire new employees to keep up with product demands. At the current time,
there is a shortage of workers available. Motors and More will have to make a difficult choice
and incur an increase in overall labor costs. Technological advances will help Motor’s and More
to deal with the labor shortage by automating certain tasks that employees would normally
handle.
Furthermore, the organization must learn to adapt to future objectives and workforce
planning goals. Motor’s and More must be cognizant of this increase in demand; the organization
must first look to use technological change to rapidly identify and bring on employees that
previously may not have been needed by the organization. Secondly, Motors and More will
invest in an HRIS system to begin the process of eventually replacing labor with technology. The
Human Resources function is experiencing a digital transformation, and Motor’s and More wants
Based on the organization’s strategic plan, the first step is to evaluate the existing human
resource capacity of the organization. The knowledge, skills, and abilities of current employees
need to be identified. This identification can be made by developing a skills inventory for each
employee. The skills inventory must go beyond the skills required for a particular position.
Instead, it should list all the skills each person has demonstrated. For example, community or
volunteer activities may involve special skills that could be relevant to the organization.
Education levels and certificates or additional training should also be included. Once a
performance assessment has been completed, it can be reviewed to determine if the person is
ready and willing to take on more responsibility and to look at the person’s current development
plans.
The second step is to predict human resource needs for the future based on the strategic goals of
the organization. A realistic forecast of human resources contains the estimation of both supply
and demand. When forecasting the possible demand for human resources, it is also vital to assess
the challenges the organization will have in meeting its staffing needs based on the external
environment. This assessment must focus on how the external environment may impact human
resource needs.
“Modeling and forecasting can give management important information about the
implications of different human resource strategies that can be used to support the goals of the
The modeling techniques can range from the relatively simple to the substantially complex. “ It
is important that the model was chosen to be straightforward enough so that it will be better
understood by management, and the results will be more likely accepted” (Bechet, 2002, p. 210).
Motors and More can also consider outsourcing some of the organizations nonskilled
work functions; this is sometimes called “staff sourcing” in which the organization pays a fee to
an employee leasing company or professional employer (PEO) that handles job functions such as
payroll, employee benefits, and administrative HR functions. Since Motors and More is a small
to medium-sized business, they should utilize an outsourcing firm to save the Capex expense of
hiring a large number of employees internally at one time. By utilizing employees on a leased
basis from a reputable temporary employee provider, the total cost of hire ranges from $750-
$2,000 which is significantly less than hiring internally (Ivancevich, J. M., & Konopaske,
R.,2013)
Outsourcing strategies
outside their human resource pool and contract for certain skills. This is particularly helpful for
accomplishing specific, specialized tasks that don't require ongoing full-time work. Some
Enhancement Services, “a solution to the problem posed by the significant expenses associated
with traditional recruitment is Recruitment Process Outsourcing (RPO)” (Siegel, 2005) RPO is
the transfer of the talent hiring process from an organization’s Human Resource department to a
supplier/partner whose core competency lies in that very area. RPO can result in several benefits
to an organization, including the reason Motors and More will use temporary, or part-time
employees are the low relative cost for labor and access to an experienced labor pool that
MBA 533 – Human
Resource in Management - HR Project 7
maintains flexibility in changes to the business and demand for workers. The reason for the cost
advantage in using temporary staffing help is that Motors and More will not have to provide
Furthermore, the organization does not have to train, compensate, or promise a specified
career path for the temporary employee; this is done through the temporary organization. The
ability to move workers in an out of different positions as the business needs change is one of the
significant positive reasons for utilizing an outsourced or temporary employment firm. Motors
and More should seek a firm that can provide workers for non-crucial positions such as
Another option that Motor’s and More needs to explore is its existing employee base and
offer additional shifts, including overtime opportunities to reduce the extra workforce required to
keep up with production. With the necessary increase in product output estimated to be at 96%,
Motors and More should seek the President’s approval for adding a second work site for specific
defined tasks. By adding worksite with production equipment, the organization will effectively
be able to use existing employees to increase output immediately. This second location will need
to be located close to the current site as the President has made it clear he does not intend on
Another massive opportunity for Motors and More is the expansion of the salesforce. By
training customer service employees on sales skills and the ability to upsell, you can increase the
customer service job into an inside sales position as well, thus increasing the ability to sell more
products. Customer service agents can also serve the inside sales function and present buying
opportunities for the customer through the customer service line. With an increased output of the
Based on the fact that the labor pool has decreased significantly, production defects will
also continue to increase. When mistakes are made, and a production defect is a result, there is a
high cost to the organization. An analysis should be conducted to determine the root cause of the
increasing defect rate. It is appealing to assume that the lack of training with temporary
employees is the problem and therefore training is the solution. We cannot pinpoint an exact
cause of the defective product, so a needs analysis will be completed to get to the root of the
issue. Given the increased output demand, there could be machine maintenance issues. By
placing a focus only on speed may cause carelessness within the business unit. A unit-produced
incentive might be providing a bonus based on output and quality together to avoid the majority
of defects in quality. We need to recognize that not all employees maybe want to work an
overtime shift and maybe tired of working overtime house or perhaps don’t care about quality.
The other possibility is that the organization needs to purchase a higher quality of raw materials.
The root cause must be determined and then addressed. Adding staff in quality control will
increase costs but will not address the issue of growing defects. Quality control catches mistakes
Once the root cause of product defects is established, leadership will develop a tailored
training program that will address the issue at hand. The company will also create a monthly
spiff where employees who complete their work without defect will be rewarded with an extra
$200 bonus per month. This will provide the necessary motivation to reduce defects in quality as
well as provide employees the opportunities to earn additional income just by doing their job.
MBA 533 – Human
Resource in Management - HR Project 9
3. Motors and More’s workforce will become more diverse as the company hires more
At present, the labor shortage will require Motors and More to hire a more diverse
workforce. As a result, a formal community program will be enacted to welcome the new
community groups to the area with the ultimate goal of bringing them into the organization and
retaining their employment. For Motors and More to remain productive and meet customer
needs, the organization must actively manage diversity. Motors and More must portray the
culture and image that diversity is valued within the organizations and that all new employees
will be trained to have the necessary skills to do their jobs. Motors and More may want to
Government policies are one of the most important factors in planning. Requirements for
an equal employment opportunity and promotion call for more HR planning initiatives for
women and other employees in minority groups. Finally, the types of people employed and the
tasks they perform are important in determining the type of planning that is necessary. Since the
organization is planning for executive-level replacement, the planning process could require the
company to anticipate needs ten or more years into the future. (Bartech, 2009)
Motors and More will ensure that HR encourages the diversity of the workforce due to
increased staff retention and productivity. The concept of embracing a diverse culture refers to
maximizes the potential of all employees by valuing diversity” (Whitlock, 2020, pg. 1). When
we refer to diversity, we are alluding to human abilities that are different from our own and
separate from the groups to which we belong. However, the real advantage of a diverse
workforce is manifested in other individuals and groups. The layers of diversity include age,
MBA 533 – Human
Resource in Management - HR Project 10
geographic location, income, marital or partner status, military experience, parental status,
increasingly diverse world of customers, improves relations with the surrounding community,
increases our ability to cope with change, and expands the creativity of our organization. Also,
Motors and More will offering cultural training as our organizational forecast predicts that since
increased employment is necessary immediately. The company will need to utilize the town's
new population of new cultures, including the Kurds and the Hispanic population that live close
to the community. The company needs a strong message on ethical considerations and how to
manage and value diversity. Management modeling and coaching may also be important. If the
work environment is a team-based structure, team training will support productivity. Because of
the current lack of diversity among the management team (there is just one female supervisor
while all the other managers are men), HR should utilize the HRIS system to conduct a job
Based on this assumption, the pay grade would be higher, and the organization needs to
see if this would be the best strategy moving forward or if changing to a pay for performance
system would work better for the organization as a whole. If customer service expands to include
minority hiring to provide a more balanced workforce and better reflect the local population. The
practice of seniority-based promotions should change to the practice of hiring the best, most
qualified person for the job. Changing these practices should improve employee relations and
4. The president will start another company and will hire someone to manage the daily
President of Motors and More has decided to diversify the companies capabilities and
will be leaving to focus on opening a second business. Due to the absence of our leader, Motors
and More must have a succession plan that will provide the most talented replacement to carry
out the company’s mission and meet organizational goals. Succession planning is defined as
“the process where an organization ensures that employees are recruited and developed to fill
Organizations change and grow daily, and leadership positions are constantly being filled
by the experienced talent and are normally taken positively, especially with regards to the vision,
skill, and enthusiasm of the people who lead and manage them. Over time you will see that the
organizations slowly starts to manifest the Presidents “embodiment of their judgment, values,
and decisions” (Seymour, 2008, p. 3) If they retire or leave for other reasons, the attitude and
dynamics of the business will be likely to change without a strong handoff from the current
leader to the one who will be taking over. If the value of the business is to be maintained or
The first action item is to decide what type of effect the President’s departure will make
on the organization and the remaining staff members. Once we gain a better understanding of the
management of key account relationships, we can identify possible sources of talent to succeed
in his position. It is my recommendation that the current company CFO take over the Presidents
duties while he is working at his other company. The CFO will undergo a complete training plan
that will help the organization train a current high-level executive to assume the Presidents role
MBA 533 – Human
Resource in Management - HR Project 12
while he is out of town. This training program will be conducted, and performance will be
monitored through the use of the HRIS system. Coaching, job rotation, work assignments, and
outside development are all training opportunities. The organization will be diligent in
considering that existing managers have the only departmental area experience, and some may
have managed more than one function. If Motors and More decide to hire from outside of the
organization, a head hunter will be utilized to find the appropriate person with the requisite
amount of experience, especially with a candidate with a history of leading organizations that
have increased demand for the product and a shrinking talent pool. The perfect candidate for this
role should have comprehensive management experience, be comfortable with the organization’s
culture and initiatives. Eventually, Motors and More would like to find a professional that works
with the existing President to take the proper steps to change the organization’s culture
progressively. Also, the candidate must be willing to relocate to a small town, and a relocation
packet will be available if we decide to use an external hire for this position.
5. Motors and More will decide to develop an additional product to broaden its portfolio.
To increase market share and the overall success of the organization, the company has
decided to promote a team that will handle research and development. The goal is to create
additional products to help level the current product demand and increase overall sales. Currenly,
the organization has not identified a new product to introduce to the market. However, since
Motors and More is a company that has a strong prospector strategy, the organization will benefit
from being the first to market, and we plan to develop and produce an upgraded version of our
best-selling motor. The new product will require a new production line and more staff. We will
utilize existing employees, and add overtime opportunities to help staff requirements. We will
MBA 533 – Human
Resource in Management - HR Project 13
also utilize an outsourcing firm for administrative and labor tasks. The current facility is at max
employees will be crucial to the success of this operations, as there are more jobs than there are
available workers. Based on these assumptions, we have decided that this is a good opportunity
to establish a second manufacturing facility. Motor’s and More recognizes that the President is
committed to the local area and will plan to develop a new plant within a 20 mile proximity to
the current location, and of course it will be located within the southern United States so that the
company can stay true to its roots. In addition, we have decided to stay in the South because of
the lower wage threshold and lack of union representation. This expansion will require additional
labor forecasting, as the current and new operations must be taken into consideration. The
current facility cannot hold the expansion; therefore, the president of the company decided to
open a second manufacturing facility based in the USA. According to previous assessment, the
South is the best option for the expansion because lower wages and fewer unions. Motors and
More will conduct a further labor forecasting assessment taking into consideration current and
Forecasting Demand:
In conducting the assessment, Motors and More will utilize different metrics, such as
expert estimates, trend projections, statistical modeling, and unit demand forecasting. Under the
expert estimate, the organization designates one or more subject matter experts to provide
Motors and More with demand estimates based on “experiences, guesses, intuition, and
subjective assessments of available economic and labor force indicators” (Ivancevich &
Trend Projection
relationship with the employer, taking into account patterns in the industry to predict the
organization’s future talent needs. Within this analysis, Motors and More will seek to develop
additional position types, gain a better understanding of the turnover rate, and also provides
information with regards to salary. Through the use of trend projection, Motors and More can
measure the percentage of growth to develop a plan for success in the new company and to
determine staff needed to satisfy customers ’ demands. It assists in determining factors such as
competition, the economic environment, and technology to improve productivity, the primary
Judgmental Forecast:
The final forecast that Motors and More will employ is called a judgmental forecast. This
type of forecast relies significantly on the manager’s ability to foresee future talent needed.
Managers have a better understanding of the organization's objectives and understand what is
required daily since they deal with the operations and customer management functions. Motors
and More will utilize front line managers to help assist in deciding a quantitative prediction of
staff and skill levels needed. A major component that is used to assess the current supply of
Furthermore, Motors and More will develop a specific management inventory. The point
of these inventories is to gain a better understanding of the types of skills, abilities, experience,
and training that employees currently possess. Within the skills inventory, our HRIS system will
provide a distinct inventory for managerial employees. In the most basic form, Motors and More
will establish a database of employee names, characteristics, and the skill sets of employees
MBA 533 – Human
Resource in Management - HR Project 15
currently employed. Finally, within the skills inventory, Motors and More will keep tracking of
three key categories, including (1) data that summarizes the employee's past, (2) data the
summarizes the employee's current skills, and (3) focus points for the future.
By utilizing the third party employee leasing company, also known as co-employment,
the company would operate the same as it currently does, and current staffers still do their day-
to-day jobs. However, the main benefit to Motors and More is that officially they work for
another company called a professional employer organization. These firms operate as the HR
department for tons of small business that exist, and are responsible for payroll, managing
Conclusion:
The various methods discussed in the HR Forecast is designed to show that there is no one best
method for conducting HR Planning. The amount of time required for HR planning, which
forecasting techniques will work the best, and how far in the future should the HR team estimate
their planning activities are all different and will be specific to the given organization. Our text
indicates that a majority of companies do not devote enough time and energy to this process.
(Ivancevich & Konopaske, 2013) The other situation arises where organizations are not yet
aware of the solutions that exist to help close the gap between the supply and demand of labor.
Human resource planning can be an integral part of the HRM program. It is directly related to
recruitment, selection, training, and promotion. By matching supply and demand, the
organization can know how many people of what type it needs to fill positions from within (by
promotion or training) and how many it must acquire from outside (by recruitment and
selection).
MBA 533 – Human
Resource in Management - HR Project 16
References
Bartech, K. (2009, November). The Employment Projections for 2008-2018. Monthly Labor
Review.
Becker, B. &., & Becker, B. (2006). Strategic Human Resources Management: Where Do We Go
from Here? Journal of Management, 899-902.
Becton, J. B., & Schraeder, M. (2015). Are we there yet? What's next for HR? Human Resource
Management Review, 25(2), 188-204. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hrmr.2015.01.004
Ivancevich, J. M., & Konopaske, R. (2013). Human Resource Management (12 ed.). New York,
New York: McGraw-Hill Irwin.
Seymour, S. (2008). Boost your business value with succession planning. Human Resource
Management International Digest, 16(4), 3-5.
doi:https://doi.org/10.1108/09670730810878385
Siegel, B. (2005). The Business Case for Recruitment Process Outsourcing. Recruitment
Enhancement Services , 6-24.
Sunoo, B. P. (2007). Are Temporary Executives the Wave of the Future? HR Focus, 84(9), 10-11.