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IEEE-1366 - Reliability Indices
IEEE-1366 - Reliability Indices
Indices
National Grid 3
What’s a customer
Customer:
“A metered electrical service point for which an active bill account
is established at a specific location.”
Just remember:
A Three-decker is three customers.
An apartment building may be 100 customers.
National Grid 4
Interruption vs. Outage
Interruption: Outage:
“The total loss of electric power on one or more “The loss of ability of a component to deliver
normally energized conductors to one or more power.”
customers connected to the distribution portion
of the system.”
Part power?
Loss of “power” not “voltage”?
Distinction:
Interruption refers to CUSTOMERS
Outage refers to EQUIPMENT
National Grid 5
Momentary vs. Sustained Interruption
Each recloser operation is a separate Some companies and/or jurisdictions may use
momentary interruption one minute or some other interval.
The original intent was probably to exclude interruptions restored by automatic operation
National Grid 6
Duration and Step Restoration
National Grid 7
Fundamental Factors
CI = Customers Interrupted
National Grid 8
CAIDI and Her Sisters
The Big Three- SAIFI, SAIDI, CAIDI
National Grid 10
Comments on the Big Three
National Grid 11
The Building Blocks-
Calculating CI and CMI
Typical Distribution Feeder- Calculate CI and CMI
National Grid 13
Customers Served by Branch
CS = 10
CS = 500
CS = 1000
Total Customers Served= 1525
CS = 15
National Grid 14
Simple Fault
X
CS = 10
CS = 500
CS = 1000
Fault Occurs
CS = 15
National Grid 15
Simple Fault
X
CS = 10
Open CS = 500
CS = 1000
Fault Occurs
Fuse Opens
10 Customers out for 90 minutes CS = 15
CI = 10
CMI = (10) * (90) = 900 CMI
National Grid 16
Recloser Operation
CS = 10
CS = 500
CS = 1000
Fault Occurs
CS = 15
National Grid 17
Recloser Operation
CS = 10
Open
2 reclose operations CS = 500
CS = 1000
Fault Occurs
Station recloser trips and recloses twice at 10 sec. intervals
Recloser locks out (stays open) CS = 15
2 hours to restore (120 minutes)
National Grid 18
Recloser Operation
CS = 10
Open
2 reclose operations CS = 500
CS = 1000
CI = 1525
Momentary interruptions do not count
Duration = 120 minutes CS = 15
CMI = (1525) * (120) = 180,000 CMI
National Grid 19
Recloser With Fuse Save
CS = 10
CS = 500
CS = 1000
1. Fault occurs on fused branch
CS = 15
National Grid 20
Recloser With Fuse Save
CS = 10
Trips CS = 500
CS = 1000
1. Fault occurs on fused branch
2. Line recloser trips
CS = 15
National Grid 21
Recloser With Fuse Save
CS = 10
CS = 1000
1. Fault occurs on fused branch
2. Line recloser trips
3. Line recloser closes in 10 seconds CS = 15
National Grid 22
Recloser With Fuse Save
CS = 10
Successful CS = 500
reclose
CS = 1000 Opens
National Grid 23
Recloser With Fuse Save
CS = 10
Successful CS = 500
reclose
CS = 1000 Opens
National Grid 24
Recloser With Fuse Save
CS = 10
Successful CS = 500
reclose
CS = 1000 Opens
CI = 15
Momentary interruptions do not count
Duration = 45 minutes CS = 15
CMI = (15) * (45) = 675 minutes
National Grid 25
National Grid 26
Step Restoration
CS = 10
CS = 500
CS = 1000
CS = 15
National Grid 27
Step Restoration
CS = 10
CS = 500
CS = 1000
1. Fault occurs
CS = 15
National Grid 28
Step Restoration
CS = 10
Open CS = 500
CS = 1000
1. Fault occurs
2. Station recloser/breaker opens and locks out
CS = 15
National Grid 29
Step Restoration
CS = 10
Open
Close CS = 500
CS = 1000
1. Fault occurs
2. Station recloser/breaker opens and locks out
3. 20 Minutes later: CS = 15
Open Switch
Close breaker
National Grid 30
Step Restoration
CS = 10
Closed
CS = 500
CS = 1000
1. Fault occurs
2. Station recloser/breaker opens and locks out
3. 20 Minutes later: CS = 15
Open Switch
Close breaker
4. 60 minutes later
Close switch
National Grid 31
All customers restored
Step Restoration
CS = 10
CS = 500
CS = 1000
CS = 15
National Grid 32
Step 1
CS = 10
Open CS = 500
CS = 1000
CI = 1525 (the entire circuit)
Duration = 20 minutes
CMI = (1525) * (20) = 30,500 minutes CS = 15
National Grid 33
Step 2
CS = 10
Open
Close CS = 500
CS = 1000
CI = 515
Duration = 60 minutes
CMI = (515) * (60) = 30,900 minutes CS = 15
National Grid 34
Event Total
CS = 10
CS = 500
CS = 1000
CI = 1525
CS = 15
National Grid 35
Event Total
CS = 10
CS = 500
CS = 1000
CI = 1525 (each customer experienced only 1 interruption)
CMI = (step 1) + (step 2)
CS = 15
National Grid 36
Event Total
CS = 10
CS = 500
CS = 1000
CI = 1525 (each customer experienced only 1 interruption)
CMI = (30,500) + (30,900)
CS = 15
National Grid 37
Event Total
CS = 10
CS = 500
CS = 1000
CI = 1525 (each customer experienced only 1 interruption)
CMI = (30,500) + (30,900) = 61,400 minutes
CS = 15
National Grid 38
Calculating SAIFI, SAIDI
and CAIDI
Total of All Events
National Grid 40
Calculate: SAIFI, SAIDI, CAIDI
CS = 1,525
CI = 3,075
CMI = 242,975
CI 3075
= = = 2.02
CS 1525
CMI 242975
= = = 159
1525
National Grid 41
Let’s Expand Our Universe
Four Feeders
Feeder CS CI CMI
1 1,525 3,075 242,975
2 2,200 3,000 120,000
3 800 875 50,000
4 2,000 200 15,000
National Grid 42
Let’s Expand Our Universe
Four Feeders
Feeder CS CI CMI
1 1,525 3,075 242,975
2 2,200 3,000 120,000
3 800 875 50,000
4 2,000 200 15,000
Total 6,525 7,150 427,975
National Grid 43
Calculate: SAIFI, SAIDI, CAIDI
CS = 6,525
CI = 7,150
CMI = 427,975
CI 7150
= = = 1.10
CS 6525
CMI 427975
= = = 66
6525
427975 SAIDI 66
= = = 60 = = = 60
7150 SAIFI 1.10
National Grid 44
Some Lesser Known
Cousins
CAIFI and CTAIDI
CI
CAIFI =
Total number of distinct customers interrupted
CMI
CTAIDI =
Total number of distinct customers interrupted
National Grid 46
CAIFI and CTAIDI
Why?
Is that important?
National Grid 47
CEMIn and CELID
Intended to give a view of the relative number of customers with reliability below some
threshold
National Grid 48
Momentary: MAIFI, MAIFIE, CEMSMIn
National Grid 49
Momentary: MAIFI, MAIFIE, CEMSMIn
MAIFIE: Momentary Average Interruption Event Frequency Index- Excludes momentaries associated
with a sustained interruption (counts events)
National Grid 50
Load Based: ASIFI, ASIDI
Similar to SAIFI and SAIDI but based on kVA rather than customers
National Grid 51
Lies, Damn Lies, and
Statistics
Effect of Distribution Automation
Ckt. A #1 #2 #3
CS=100 CS=100
CS=100
Norm.
#4
Open
CS=100
CS=100 CS=100
Ckt. B #5 #6 #7
Simple two feeder system
CS = 600
Seven switches
National Grid 53
Ckt.
A #1 #2 #3
CS=100 CS=100
CS=100
Norm.
#4
Open
CS=100
CS=100 CS=100
Ckt. #5 #6 #7
B
Assume:
No automation
Manual switching time: 20 minutes
Repair time: 60 minutes
National Grid 54
Ckt.
A #1 #2 #3
CS=100 CS=100
CS=100
Norm.
#4
Open
CS=100
CS=100 CS=100
Ckt. #5 #6 #7
B
Time Action Cust out
Fault
0:00 #2 open auto 200
National Grid 55
Ckt.
A #1 #2 #3
CS=100 CS=100
CS=100
Close #4
CS=100
CS=100 CS=100
Ckt. #5 #6 #7
B
Time Action Cust out
Fault
0:00 #2 open auto 200
#3 open manually
0:20 #4 close manually 100
National Grid 56
Ckt.
A #1 #2 #3
CS=100 CS=100
CS=100
Open #4
CS=100
CS=100 CS=100
Ckt. #5 #6 #7
B
Time Action Cust out
Fault
0:00 #2 open auto 200
#3 open manually
0:20 #4 close manually 100
#3 close manually
#2 close manually
1:20 #4 open manually 0
National Grid 57
National Grid 58
Ckt.
A #1 #2 #3
CS=100 CS=100
CS=100
Norm.
#4
Open
CS=100
CS=100 CS=100
Ckt. #5 #6 #7
B
Assume:
Distribution Automation
Repair time: 60 minutes
National Grid 59
Ckt.
A #1 #2 #3
CS=100 CS=100
CS=100
Close #4
CS=100
CS=100 CS=100
Ckt. #5 #6 #7
B
Time Cust out
Fault
#2 opens auto
0:00 100
#3 opens auto
#4 closes auto
National Grid 60
Ckt.
A #1 #2 #3
CS=100 CS=100
CS=100
Open #4
CS=100
CS=100 CS=100
Ckt. #5 #6 #7
B
Time Cust out
Fault
#2 opens auto
0:00 100
#3 opens auto
#4 closes auto
#2 close manually
1:00 0
#4 open manually
National Grid 61
Compare CAIDI (How quickly the utility restores power)
Duration Duration
Step (Min) CI CMI Step (Min) CI CMI
Total 80 10,000
National Grid 62
Compare CAIDI (How quickly the utility restores power)
Duration Duration
Step (Min) CI CMI Step (Min) CI CMI
Total 80 10,000
National Grid 63
Availability: ASAI
National Grid 64
ASAI
0.99?
0.999?
0.9999?
National Grid 65
ASAI
National Grid 66
ASAI
National Grid 67
ASAI
National Grid 68
ASAI
National Grid 69
Some days are diamond,
Some days are stone
Storms/Major Events
Why?
What level of service is reasonable and economical?
National Grid 71
What’s a major event?
IEEE-1366:
2.5 β Method
National Grid 72
Background
1400
SAIDI by day
1200
1000
Frequency
800
600
400
Frequency
200
Bin
National Grid 73
Background
Natural Log (SAIDI) by day
1000
900
800
700
Frequency
600
500
400
Frequency
300
200
100
0
Bin
National Grid 74
2.5 β Method
.
=
National Grid 75
Don’t be Intimidated!
National Grid 76
Don’t be Intimidated!
National Grid 77
Don’t be Intimidated!
National Grid 78
Don’t be Intimidated!
National Grid 79
Don’t be Intimidated!
National Grid 80
Calculating TMED
Step 2:
In a table:
Collect daily SAIDI for five years
Days with no interruptions will be excluded
Calculate Ln(SAIDI) for each day
Find α
Find β
Calculate TMED
.
=
National Grid 81
Calculating α and β
National Grid 82
Develop the Spreadsheet Date SAIDI/day (min) ln(SAIDI/day)
Dec 1, 1993 26.974 3.295
Dec 2, 1993 0.956 -0.046
Dec 3, 1993 0.131 -2.033
Dec 4, 1993 1.292 0.256
Dec 5, 1993 4.25 1.447
Typically use 5 years worth of data
Dec 6, 1993 0.119 -2.127
Calculate CMI and SAIDI for each day Dec 7, 1993 0.13 -2.042
Dec 8, 1993 12.883 2.556
Dec 9, 1993 0.226 -1.487
Dec 10, 1993 13.864 2.629
Dec 11, 1993 0.015 -4.232
Dec 12, 1993 1.788 0.581
Dec 13, 1993 0.41 -0.891
Dec 14, 1993 0.007 -4.967
Dec 15, 1993 1.124 0.117
National Grid 84
Develop the Spreadsheet
Date SAIDI/day (min) ln(SAIDI/day)
Dec 1, 1993 26.974 3.295
Dec 2, 1993 0.956 -0.046
Dec 3, 1993 0.131 -2.033
Dec 4, 1993 1.292 0.256
Typically use 5 years worth of data Dec 5, 1993 4.25 1.447
Calculate CMI and SAIDI for each day Dec 6, 1993 0.119 -2.127
. . .
. . .
. . .
Dec 30, 1993 1.75 0.56
Dec 31, 1993 3.622 1.287
Average= -0.557
Standard Dev= 1.91
Calculate α and β
National Grid 85
Calculate TMED
.
=
α = -0.557
β = 1.91
National Grid 86
Apply TMED Date
Jan 1, 1994
SAIDI/Day
0.24
Jan 2, 1994 0.014
Jan 3, 1994 0.075
Jan 4, 1994 2.649
Jan 5, 1994 0.666
TMED is 66.7 Jan 6, 1994 0.189
Jan 7, 1994 0.009
Jan 8, 1994 1.117
Jan 9, 1994 0.111
Any day where SAIDI >66.7 is a Major Event Day Jan 10, 1994 8.683
Jan 11, 1994 0.277
Jan 12, 1994 0.057
Jan 13, 1994 0.974
Jan 14, 1994 0.15
Jan 15, 1994 0.633
Jan 16, 1994 0.434
Jan 17 1994 5.7
Jan 18, 1994 0.109
Jan 19, 1994 0.259
Jan 20, 1994 1.142
Jan 21, 1994 0.262
Jan 22, 1994 0.044
Jan 23, 1994 0.243
Jan 24, 1994 5.932
Jan 25, 1994 2.698
Jan 26, 1994 5.894
Jan 27, 1994 0.408
Jan 28, 1994 237.493
Jan 29, 1994 2.73
Jan 30, 1994 8.11
Jan 31, 1994 0.046
National Grid 87
Apply TMED Date
Jan 1, 1994
SAIDI/Day
0.24
Jan 2, 1994 0.014
Jan 3, 1994 0.075
Jan 4, 1994 2.649
Jan 5, 1994 0.666
TMED is 66.7 Jan 6, 1994 0.189
Jan 7, 1994 0.009
Jan 8, 1994 1.117
Jan 9, 1994 0.111
Any day where SAIDI >66.7 is a Major Event Day Jan 10, 1994 8.683
Jan 11, 1994 0.277
Jan 12, 1994 0.057
Jan. 28 is a Major Event Day Jan 13, 1994 0.974
Jan 14, 1994 0.15
Date SAIDI/Day Jan 15, 1994 0.633
Jan 28, 1994 237.493 Jan 16, 1994 0.434
Jan 17 1994 5.7
Jan 18, 1994 0.109
Jan 19, 1994 0.259
Jan 20, 1994 1.142
Jan 21, 1994 0.262
Jan 22, 1994 0.044
Jan 23, 1994 0.243
Jan 24, 1994 5.932
Jan 25, 1994 2.698
Jan 26, 1994 5.894
Jan 27, 1994 0.408
Jan 28, 1994 237.493
Jan 29, 1994 2.73
Jan 30, 1994 8.11
Jan 31, 1994 0.046
National Grid 88
An Actual Dataset
National Grid 89
Don’t be Intimidated!
National Grid 90