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VIETNAM

LNG SECTOR
UPDATE
SEPTEMBER 2019
This article provides an overview of the liquefied natural gas (LNG) market in Vietnam, as well as a
discussion of the opportunities, main investment steps and key challenges for foreign investment in LNG.

Market Overview and Opportunities


THE NEED FOR LNG PROJECTS LNG PROJECTS IN THE GAS MASTER PLAN
Vietnam’s need for LNG projects is greater than ever due to The master plan for the gas industry until 2035 was issued by
instability of the power system, power shortages caused by Vietnam’s Prime Minister under Decision 60/QD-TTg dated 16
delayed investment of other power projects and energy security January 2017 (the Gas Master Plan). Pursuant to the Gas Master
requirements. For Vietnam, coal and hydro reserves are running Plan, the scale of Vietnam’s gas market and imported LNG is
out, local gas fields are being depleted, renewable energy is estimated to grow steadily for the period from 2016 to 2035.
limited and relies on certain weather conditions and nuclear
power projects are on hold. In these circumstances, imported
LNG and gas power emerge as comparatively desirable solutions
to ensure energy security. The potential is considerable, but
currently there are no LNG terminals in operation and only a few
operating gas-fired power plants in Vietnam.

CHART 1 - GAS MARKET AND LNG IMPORT FORECAST FOR VIETNAM

Unit: to billion m3/year

Period 2016 - 2020

Period 2021 - 2026

Period 2026 - 2035

05 10 15 20 25 30 35

LNG Import Vietnam Gas Market

The Gas Master Plan sets out a list of LNG terminal, storage, regasification facilities and
LNG pipeline projects that Vietnam plans to develop between now and 2035.

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TABLE 1 - LNG STORAGE FACILITIES UNDER THE GAS MASTER PL AN

Expected Date of
Location Phase of Forecast Output
No. Name of Project Commencement
(Province) Project (billion m3 per year)
of Operation
1. Thi Vai LNG storage facilities Thi Vai N/A 2020 – 2022 1–3
South-Western region LNG storage 1 2022 – 2025 1
2. Ca Mau
facilities 2 After 2025 2
1 2023 – 2025 1–3
3. Son My LNG storage facilities Binh Thuan 2 2027 – 2030 3
3 2031 – 2035 3
proposed to be in Tien
4. South-Eastern region LNG storage facilities N/A 2022 – 2025 4–6
Giang
Thai Binh floating storage and LNG
5. Thai Binh N/A 2026 – 2030 0.2 – 0.5
delivery (FSRU)
6. Northern region LNG store Hai Phong N/A 2030 – 2035 1-3
7. Khanh Hoa LNG store Khanh Hoa N/A 2030 – 2035 3

TABLE 2 - PIPELINE PROJECTS UNDER GAS MASTER PL AN

Expected Date of Capacity


Length Diameter
No. Gas Pipeline Commencement (billion m3
(km) (inches)
of Operation per year)

Pipeline from the LNG Thi Vai re-gasification terminal to the


1. 2020 - 2022 4.5 12 18
existing gas distribution centre

2. Pipeline from the South-Western LNG terminal to Ca Mau 2022 – 2025 5 85 20 - 28

3. Pipeline from Son My LNG terminal to Son My Electricity Centre 2023 – 2025 5 – 11 10 38 - 45

4. Son My – Phu My pipeline 2023 – 2025 9 85 30 – 34

5. Son My – Su Tu Trang [White Lion] (offshore) pipeline after 2025 2–4 80 – 100 20 – 28

6. Pipeline from the FSRU terminal to Thai Binh pipeline 2026 0.5 20 – 50 8 – 10

Pipeline connecting east and southwest regions of Vietnam


7. 2026 – 2035 2–5 N/I N/I
(depending on gas sources)

8. Trans-ASEAN Pipeline (depending on sources of imported gas) 2026 – 2035 5 – 10 N/I N/I

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LNG AND VIETNAM'S POWER DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
Pursuant to the Gas Master Plan, around 70 - 80% of the country's
total gas consumption will be used for gas-fired power plants.
Under the current national power master plan VII issued under
Decision 428/QD-TTg, dated 18 March 2016 (Power Master Plan
VII), it is planned that gas-fired power plants will account for
about 15% of Vietnam's total power capacity in the coming years.

CHART 2- VIETNAM POWER CAPACITY UP TO 2030

Year 2030
Year 2025 (129,500MW)
Year 2020
(96,500MW)
(60,000MW) 3.60% 1.20%
0% 1.50%
0% 2.40%

12.50% 16.90%
9.90%
21%
21.10%
30.10%
14.90% 15.60%

42.70% 14.70% 42.60%


49.30%

Imported power Gas-fired plants (including LNG)

Nuclear power plants Coal-fired plants

Renewable energy plants Hydropower plants


(including small hydropower plants,
wind, solar and biomass)

There are currently four gas-fired power plants that are planned Public sources suggest Japanese and US investors are discussing
to use imported LNG approved under Power Master Plan VII, the possibility of developing Nhon Trach 3 and 4, as well as
which are: Son My 2 power plants. It is also said that foreign investors are
>> Son My 1 LNG power plant, using imported LNG from Son My considering opportunities to develop other gas-fired power
terminal. The project has been granted to EDF, Sojitz and two plants in Quang Nam, Quang Tri and Ninh Thuan provinces.
other investors to develop as a BOT project. Given the current delay status of around 15 ongoing BOT power
projects, including Son My 1 power project as mentioned
>> Nhon Trach 3 and 4 LNG power plant, using imported LNG under Report No.58/BC-BCT of the Ministry of Industry and
from Thi Vai terminal. These projects are currently granted to Trade dated 4 June 2019, development of LNG projects is one
PVN/PV Power. of the key solutions being considered by Vietnam to resolve
>> Son My 2 LNG power plant, using imported LNG from Son My the anticipated and oncoming power shortage situation. It is
terminal. PVN is currently named as the investor of Son My 2. expected the increased number of LNG gas-fired power plants
will be an important change under power master plan VIII, which
is currently being prepared by the MOIT as mentioned in Notice
229/TB-VPCP of the Government Office dated 5 July 2019.

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LNG Project – Potential Investment Considerations
LNG TO POWER CHAIN AND BUSINESS CONDITIONS
The chart below demonstrates a typical business model for Investors can, based on the master plan and policy, select to
an integrated LNG project in which LNG imported by sea is develop an entire integrated LNG project or a part of the project
received and stored at LNG terminals before being regasified and chain. Under Vietnamese law, some business conditions and
transported via pipelines to power plants. certificates may be required in respect of different business
activities to be implemented in an LNG value chain, such as LNG
storage or transport.

CHART 3 – A TYPICAL LNG CHAIN

>> Certificate** required for LNG >> Business conditions apply


import activities to LNG transportation
>> PVGas is the importer in activities
coming period for LNG – >> Certificate required if
based power plants transport via vehicles
(such as trucks, etc)
LNG import
Gas Power
Plants
>> Onshore (Power plants
LNG Terminal >> Pipeline
Carriers
LNG Terminal burning gas)
LNG >> FSRU* LNG >> ISO tank
(Receipt & Storage
Projects >> FSU Transport >> Lorry/ Truck
of imported LNG)
>> ATB >> Train Industry

Regasification
Unit(s)

>> Must satisfy conditions*** as Certificate required &


LNG storage service provider business conditions apply to
LNG stations
>> Other conditions/certificates
required if conducting sales or
processing activities

* FSRU = Floating Storage Regasfication Unit


** Certificate = Certificate on satisfaction of business conditions
*** Business conditions apply depending on the activities, such as being an enterprise established
in Vietnam, satisfy firefighting and safety requirement, having storage tanks and jetty, etc

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INVESTMENT PROCESS AND POTENTIAL STRUCTURE
In the absence of a legal instrument stipulating otherwise, in seems possible that one sub-project could be structured as a PPP
theory, an investor may invest in an integrated LNG project project (eg, the power plant component) and other sub-projects
or a part of the project chain by using the general investment could be structured as non-PPP projects (eg, terminals and
pathway, in the same manner as all other types of investment pipeline components).
in Vietnam, or by using a Public Private Partnership (PPP) The chart below describes, at a high level, the key steps required
structure (which is created primarily to attract investment in for implementing an LNG project in Vietnam by using one of the
the infrastructure sector). Although there is no precedent yet, it two structures of (i) a PPP project, or (ii) a non-PPP project.

CHART 4 – POTENTIAL PROCESS FOR AN INTEGRATED LNG PROJECT

Law on ERC
Enterprises

Law on In-principle
Investment approval / IRC
Non-PPP
Project GSPA
PPA >> Gas Trading
Commercial LLA (see Chart 3)
Contracts >> Corporate
Other contracts
Option 1 GGU Regulatory >> Tax
Approvals >> Labour
Master
---------
Plan >> Construction
Sub-licence/
Project Contract/BOTC >> Environment
Permits
BOT company >> Financing
establishment >> Land/Sea rights
Decree 63 / GSPA >> Others
PPP Project PPA
Draft PPP Law
GGU
LLA
Other contracts
Option 2 Package

BOTC: BOT Contract


ERC: Enterprise Registration Certificate
GSPA: Gas Sale and Purchase Agreement
GGU: Government Guarantee and Undertakings
IRC: Investment Registration Certificate
LLA: Land Lease Agreement
PPA: Power Purchase Agreement

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Some key issues for LNG investment in Vietnam
Outlined below are some of the key issues when considering investment in the LNG sector in Vietnam.
Some of the issues mentioned are common across most large-scale infrastructure projects in Vietnam
and not specific to LNG.

1. LACK OF LEGAL FRAMEWORK AND 3. MASTER PLANS AND NEW LAW ON PLANNING
IMPLEMENTING REGULATIONS
The master plan approval process is currently in 'go slow' mode,
Given the LNG market is relatively new in Vietnam, the partly due to a new Law on Planning that came into effect
regulations governing the sector are still in the early stages of from 1 January 2019. The new Law on Planning contains some
development. In addition to general regulations applicable to ambiguities, such as MOIT’s authority during the planning
foreign investment in Vietnam, such as the Law on Investment, appraisal process, and the timeline and process to add a new
investment in LNG trading in Vietnam is currently subject to project into existing master plans. Decree 37/2019/ND-CP
Decree 87/2018/ND-CP of the Government, dated 15 June dated 7 May 2019 of the Government on implementing the
2018 (Decree 87). Decree 87 sets out the conditions, rights and Law on Planning, as well as the Resolution on interpreting
obligations in respect of different business activities involving the Law on Planning which has been issued recently by the
LNG, LPG and CNG, including the importation and distribution of National Assembly, do not, unfortunately, entirely resolve these
such gas products. Pursuant to Decree 87, enterprises conducting ambiguities.
gas trading activities, such as gas import and gas distribution
activities, must obtain a 'certificate' from the authorities
4. PRICE PASS-THROUGH
certifying that certain conditions have been met before
commencement of these activities. Generally, the conditions for Given the volatility of international LNG prices, it is important for
conducting LNG trading activities as set forth in Decree 87 are LNG project investors to have assurances the price fluctuation
general and high-level. They require further regulations to be risk it takes from wholesale suppliers will be passed through
implemented in practice. to end-users. Even though Vietnamese laws lack guidelines on
LNG pricing at the moment, the Prime Minister's recently-issued
decision on the LNG sector approves, in principle, that the price
2. FOREIGN OWNERSHIP CAPS
of LNG imported to supply two specific gas-fired power plants in
Generally, there is no limitation on foreign ownership with Vietnam will be passed through to the electricity tariff. However,
respect to the main activities associated with LNG projects, it is uncertain whether this price pass-through mechanism will
including LNG regasification facilities, pipeline transportation of serve as precedent for future LNG projects.
regasified LNG and LNG-based power plants. However, investors
should be mindful that foreign ownership limitations may apply
in respect of certain ancillary activities. For example, foreign
investment in a company engaging in LNG tanker towing services
is capped at 49%. Accordingly, LNG investors should check to
see whether a foreign ownership cap may apply to any of their
proposed business activities.
As for the importation of LNG, a recent policy decision regarding
two specific gas-fired power projects in Vietnam has been issued
by the Prime Minister which suggests PetroVietnam Gas JSC
(PVGas) is the designated importer of LNG bound for LNG-based
power plants in Vietnam in the coming period. Although it is
not clear from the decision (i) how long this will apply and (ii)
whether this policy only addresses these two specific gas-fired
power projects or if it also covers other gas-fired power projects,
foreign investors eager to carry out LNG import activities in the
near future would probably need to partner with PVGas or obtain
approval or endorsement from the Prime Minister to participate
in such activities.

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CHART 5 - REGUL ATORY APPROVALS AND AUTHORITIES INVOLVED

>> Local PC
>> MONRE/DONRE
Land/ Water
surface
>> Prime Minister
Investment >> SBV
>> MPI/DPI
license Currency Tax >> MOF
>> MOIT
(IRC, ERC) >> Tax Department
>> Local PC

>> MOC/DOC >> MOLISA/


Construction Employment
>> NAC LNG DOLISA

Project
Chain

>> MONRE/DONRE Agreements >> PVN/ PVGas


>> MST Environmental/ with counter >> EVN
>> MOP technical parties >> MOIT
standards

Government
Jetty/ Port Guarantee/
>> MOIT >> >> GOV >> SBV
Undertaking
>> VMA >> MOIT >> MPI
>> Local PC >> MOJ

MPI: Ministry of Plan and Investment 5. LENGTHY REGULATORY APPROVAL PROCESS


MOIT: Ministry of Industry and Trade FOR FULL PROJECT CHAIN
MOC: Ministry of Construction Unlike more developed LNG markets such as Japan and South
MOLISA: Ministry of Labour, Invalids and Social Affaires Korea, which already have ample LNG infrastructure and an
MONRE: Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment
assortment of domestic LNG consumers in place, Vietnam's
LNG sector will require substantial investment in all aspects of
MST: Ministry of Science and Technology
the LNG project chain, including the development of in-country
MOF: Ministry of Finance
transportation facilities and LNG-based power plants, in order
MOJ: Ministry of Justice to ensure a sustainable long-term LNG market. Investors in
MOT: Ministry of Transport Vietnam's LNG sector must therefore be prepared for the
MOT: Ministry of Tax complex and time-consuming regulatory approval process
SBV: State Bank of Vietnam associated with each component of the LNG-to-power chain
PC: People Committee that must be completed before an LNG project chain can be
DPI: Department of Plant and Investment implemented.
DOLISA: Department of Labour, Invalids and Social Affaires
DONRE: Department of Natural Resources and Environment
DOC: Department of Construction
NAC: National Acceptance committee
VMA: Vietnam Maritime Administration

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6. FOREIGN CURRENCY CONVERTIBILITY AND 8. GOVERNMENT EVENTS
AVAILABILITY
Another common concern of foreign investors is political risks
As stipulated under Vietnam's Ordinance on Foreign Exchange in the country such as war, widespread strikes, repudiation of
Control, transactional prices between Vietnamese companies contracts, expropriation or nationalisation of assets. To mitigate
generally must be quoted and paid in Vietnamese Dong without such risks, some high-profile foreign-invested projects have
reference to foreign currency. As a result, an LNG project been able to obtain Government assurances that the investors
company incorporated in Vietnam may be exposed to losses will be compensated if an adverse government or political event
when selling LNG (or the regasified LNG or power at later stage occurs. For example, for some large Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT)
in the downstream project component) to Vietnamese buyers power plant projects in the past, the underlying BOT contract
during times of devaluation of the Dong (ie compared to selling with the Government gives investors the right to terminate the
the LNG or gas in US Dollars). There also exists a risk that the contract upon the occurrence of certain government or political
availability of US dollars in the domestic market may be limited events and to be compensated by the Government for such
at times, which presents a challenge for investors who want to termination. Foreign investors in LNG projects may also attempt
convert Dong proceeds into US Dollars. to include government and political risk provisions in their project
While some high-profile, foreign-invested projects in the past agreements.
have been able to obtain guarantees from the Government
regarding foreign currency availability, the Government has 9. GOVERNING LAW: VIETNAMESE LAW VS
become increasingly reluctant to provide such guarantees for FOREIGN LAW
new projects. Foreign investors often prefer a well-developed foreign law such
as English law or Singapore law to be the governing law of the
7. LAND USE RIGHTS AS SECURITY key project agreements, while Vietnamese counter parties (in
The Law on Land allows foreign-invested enterprises to mortgage particular, State owned enterprises such as PVN/PVGas or EVN)
both their land use rights in Vietnam as well as the assets that are strongly advocating for Vietnamese governing law. Whether
are attached to that land for financing purposes. However, the an LNG project investor will be able to have its key project
land use rights can only be mortgaged where the land rent due agreements governed by a foreign law will depend heavily on the
to the authorities has been paid in full and up front. This means negotiating power of such investor.
that for LNG project companies that pay land rent annually, or
are exempted from land rent as part of project incentives, only 10. ENFORCEMENT OF FOREIGN ARBITRAL AWARDS
assets attached to land can be mortgaged. Therefore, if lenders Vietnam is a party to the New York Convention on Recognition
require an LNG company to mortgage both land use rights and and Enforcement of Foreign Arbitral Awards, whereby it has
the assets attached thereto, the company will need to pay the agreed to allow enforcement of arbitral awards made in, or
land rent in full and up front. by, an arbitral tribunal of a country that is also a party to the
In addition, at law, a land use right is not able to be mortgaged to New York Convention. However, to be enforced in Vietnam, a
a foreign lender. foreign arbitration award must be subject to the recognition
and approval of the courts of Vietnam. Pursuant to the Civil
In some past projects, these issues have been resolved as part
Procedure Code of Vietnam, Vietnamese courts have the
of the Government’s guarantee and undertaking, where the
authority to refuse to recognise and enforce a foreign arbitral
Government has allowed the mortgage of rental-free land and a
award in Vietnam, if, in their view, the award fails to comply with
local lender acting as agent for foreign lenders to hold the land
'the fundamental principles of Vietnamese law'. Again, since the
use right as part of the security package for the project. However,
meaning of this term is not clearly defined, it gives Vietnamese
it is not clear whether this approach will be taken in future
courts significant discretion in deciding whether to enforce a
projects.
foreign arbitral award. LNG investors need to take this issue into
Further complications in terms of granting security arise for consideration when drafting the dispute resolution provisions of
projects that are allocated sea use rights pursuant to Decree project agreements, as well as preparing alternative solutions in
51/2014/ND-CP. There is no land use right certificate granted case a foreign arbitral award cannot be enforced in Vietnam.
to investors over such sea areas, however such a certificate is
compulsory for registration of mortgage over the land use rights
and assets attached to land. MONRE and other Government
authorities are working on a draft decree to replace Decree
51/2014/ND-CP, but there is currently no clear picture as to how
this issue will be resolved.

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What's next?
Firstly, as mentioned above, PPP is one of potential structures to Secondly, the Government is revising the current law on
carry out an LNG project in Vietnam. The PPP regime is currently investment and law on enterprises, and these amended laws are
regulated under Decree 63/2018/ND-CP of the Government expected to be issued in 2020. If these draft amended laws are
dated 4 May 2018. The Government, with MPI acting as the enacted, the current definition of State-owned enterprise (SOE)
focal point, is preparing a draft law on PPP, replacing current will be broadened to include companies other than those 100%
regulations under Decree 63. The draft law is in its early stages held by the State as currently defined. This may consequently
and it is not entirely clear how this new law will impact future widen the scope of guarantee that can be provided by the
PPP investment in the LNG sector. At the current stage, the draft Government with respect to SOEs under the current Law on
law gives rise to a number of concerns, including in relation to: Investment.
>> the requirement to pay a performance security deposit, (in Thirdly, the governmental authorities are preparing different
the amount of up to 3% of total project investment capital); master plans as contemplated under the new Law on Planning.
>> compulsory requirements on use of domestic contractor/sub- An LNG project might fall within the scope of one or all of the
contractor and domestic suppliers; following master plans: national overall master plan, national
power master plan VIII, national energy master plan and master
>> Vietnamese law governing the PPP contract and relevant plan for national reserve storages/warehouse system. As a
documents; result, potential investors should pay close attention to the
>> allocation of responsibilities between the investors and the development of these master plans.
local People's Committee in relation to land compensation,
site clearance and resettlement;
>> the limitation on guarantee of foreign exchange rate
fluctuation and no guarantee on the availability of foreign
currency; and
>> compensation for expropriation and requisition in
accordance with Vietnamese law.

Contacts

Bill Magennis Chung Le Melissa Keane


Head of Vietnam Partner Partner
T +84 24 3936 0990 T +84 24 3936 0990 T +84 24 3936 0990
M +84 903 404 440 M +84 936 040 712 M +84 903 404 442
Bill.Magennis@allens.com.au Chung.Le@allens.com.au Melissa.Keane@allens.com.au

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