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Estimation Methods PDF
Estimation Methods PDF
Estimation
Harnanti Yogaputri Hutami, M.T
Geostatistika 2020
The Objective
• We are no longer interested in describing the sample
data set.
z* = li z( xi )
n
i =1
where z(xi) = Sample Data Value at Location zi, li = Weight Assigned to z(xi),
and z* = Estimated Value at Location zi
Local Estimation Mean
• Estimation Algorithms Can Be Classified In Many Ways. One Useful Classification
Is
• Global Estimation
• Estimate Value Over Large Area (Volume)
• Local Estimates
• Global Estimates
• Consider Data Within Area (Volume) to Be Estimated
• Point Estimation
• Estimate Value Over Small Area (Volume)
• Point Values
• Block Values
• Consider Data Outside Area (Volume) to be Estimated
Local Estimation Mean
• Point Estimation Methods
• Geological Experience and/or Artistic License
• Traditional Algorithms That Use Weights Based on Euclidean (Geometric) Distance
• Polygon Method (Nearest Neighbor)
• Triangulation
• Local Sample Mean
• Inverse Distance
• Geostatistical Algorithms That Use Weights Based on “Structural” (or Statistical) Distance
• Simple Kriging
• Ordinary Kriging
• Universal Kriging
• Kriging with Trend
• Collocated Cokriging
Local Estimation Mean
• Problems Affecting All Point Estimation Methods
• How to Weight Samples
• Search Neighborhood
• Data Clustering
• For All Point Estimation Methods:
• Estimate (z*) is a Weighted Linear Combination
l z( x )
n
z* = i i
i =1
z = ax + by + c (11.1)
2. Triangulation 140
+1
477
+2
696
+5 +6
606 791
Method *P
???
130
+3 +4 +7
227 646 783
60 70 80
2. Triangulation Method
• Triangulation (continued)
• Advantages of Method
• Easy to Understand
• Fast Calculations in 2D
• Can Be Done Manually
• Disadvantages
• Triangulation Network Is Not Unique. The Use of Delaunay Triangles Is an Effort to Work With A
“Standard” Set of Triangles
• Not Useful for Extrapolation
• Difficult to Implement in 3D
3. Local Sample Mean
• All Samples Weighted Equally Within Local Neighborhood
• If All Data Shown Are In the Local Neighborhood the Estimate = 603.7
1
( )
n
d p z ( x i )
z* = i=1 n
1
d p
i=1
Exp = 3
Well X Y Value Distance to X 1/d w = (1/d)/[Sum of (1/d)] w * Data Value
1 61 139 477 4.47 0.0112 0.2746 130.9832
2 63 140 696 3.61 0.0213 0.5240 364.7007
3 64 129 227 8.06 0.0019 0.0469 10.6389
4 68 128 646 9.49 0.0012 0.0288 18.5828
5 71 140 606 6.71 0.0033 0.0814 49.3056
6 73 141 791 8.94 0.0014 0.0343 27.1509
7 75 128 783 13.45 0.0004 0.0101 7.8974
18
• Inverse Distance Methods (continued)
19
• Inverse Distance Methods
(continued)
• Comparison of Results
Obtained From Different
Exponents
20
• Advantages
• Easy to Understand
• Easy to Implement
• Changing Exponent Adds Some Flexibility to Adapt method to Different
Estimation Problems
• This Method Can Handle Anisotropy
• Disadvantages
• Difficulties Encountered When Point to Estimate Coincides With Data Point
(d = 0, Weight is Undefined)
• Possible Solutions
• Assign Data Value to Point to Be Estimated
• Add Small Constant to Weights (Data Are No Longer Honored!)
• Susceptible to Clustering
21
Local Estimation
• Limitations of Traditional Estimation Methods
• Weights Are Based On Arbitrary Schemes
• No Model of Spatial Continuity Is Used
• Estimates Are Biased Towards Clustered Data
• No Measure of Estimate Uncertainty
• Estimated Field of Values Is Much Smoother Than the
Underlying Random Field (Function) That Was
Sampled. (This Is True For All Estimation Techniques,
Including Kriging.)
22
Clustering
• Types of Areal Data
Distributions
Uniform Regular
Random
Clustered Anisotropic
23