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09 Homework3 PDF
09 Homework3 PDF
D0106229
Table of Contents
Exports and imports.............................................................................................................. 1
Can imports or exports exceed GDP?................................................................................. 6
Nominal exchange rate ........................................................................................................ 8
Real exchange rate .............................................................................................................. 8
Uncovered interes parity relation ....................................................................................... 12
Exercise 8 ........................................................................................................................... 13
Formula:
Exportaciones netas = exportaciones – importaciones
Exports of goods and Imports of goods and Exportaciones netas
AÑO GDP (constant LCU) services (constant services (constant LCU) ̂𝒕
𝑵𝑿
LCU)
1970 $138,158,398,340,806.00 $11,609,035,797,470.70 $11,312,237,223,193.50 $296,798,574,277.20
1971 $146,393,644,598,281.00 $12,139,378,637,156.20 $13,590,859,486,231.70 -$1,451,480,849,075.50
1972 $157,620,789,204,195.00 $13,582,122,995,615.80 $11,804,872,357,997.30 $1,777,250,637,618.50
1973 $168,217,563,877,257.00 $14,608,259,474,303.50 $12,242,183,701,408.70 $2,366,075,772,894.80
1974 $177,882,936,646,683.00 $14,120,031,353,699.10 $13,466,275,375,844.10 $653,755,977,855.00
1975 $182,015,611,373,960.00 $16,159,190,745,851.60 $11,985,836,057,323.00 $4,173,354,688,528.60
1976 $190,621,980,628,253.00 $15,643,726,759,015.10 $13,463,952,621,243.60 $2,179,774,137,771.50
1977 $198,549,006,091,761.00 $14,939,881,364,073.60 $14,776,731,289,514.30 $163,150,074,559.30
1978 $215,365,910,023,838.00 $18,700,196,191,724.60 $17,838,333,012,412.10 $861,863,179,312.50
1979 $226,950,698,583,102.00 $20,262,223,556,922.80 $17,977,909,447,948.00 $2,284,314,108,974.80
1980 $236,226,976,297,753.00 $21,296,934,289,794.60 $21,349,282,170,741.80 -$52,347,880,947.20
1981 $241,605,563,942,918.00 $18,776,860,111,488.90 $22,394,521,740,942.80 -$3,617,661,629,453.89
1982 $243,897,001,332,472.00 $18,484,326,733,440.80 $24,178,819,593,104.10 -$5,694,492,859,663.30
1983 $247,735,832,912,147.00 $18,319,398,432,368.80 $21,984,872,293,227.60 -$3,665,473,860,858.80
1984 $256,036,677,181,166.00 $20,207,247,456,565.40 $21,114,472,796,587.50 -$907,225,340,022.11
1985 $263,992,008,635,957.00 $23,107,362,842,387.10 $19,717,441,484,173.40 $3,389,921,358,213.70
1986 $279,367,104,218,411.00 $27,891,796,677,153.00 $20,518,158,342,800.10 $7,373,638,334,352.90
1987 $294,366,134,488,110.00 $30,064,109,193,106.70 $21,614,498,514,211.00 $8,449,610,678,895.70
1988 $306,329,684,168,823.00 $30,139,512,193,138.10 $23,030,534,182,446.90 $7,108,978,010,691.20
1989 $316,788,073,995,614.00 $32,672,699,936,666.60 $22,380,374,053,831.00 $10,292,325,882,835.60
1990 $330,352,934,040,321.00 $38,420,980,815,311.70 $24,136,165,372,259.50 $14,284,815,443,052.20
1991 $336,965,303,464,300.00 $43,015,772,322,200.00 $24,961,587,893,500.00 $18,054,184,428,700.00
1992 $350,595,312,219,100.00 $45,418,580,965,400.00 $35,282,642,380,800.00 $10,135,938,584,600.00
1993 $369,476,307,007,500.00 $48,243,545,535,100.00 $48,361,862,376,400.00 -$118,316,841,300.00
1994 $390,960,105,089,700.00 $48,264,224,618,700.00 $60,090,506,151,600.00 -$11,826,281,532,900.00
1995 $411,299,560,568,600.00 $49,982,835,572,600.00 $64,453,654,153,900.00 -$14,470,818,581,300.00
1996 $419,755,281,965,700.00 $54,782,696,284,200.00 $65,930,081,279,000.00 -$11,147,384,994,800.00
1997 $434,154,120,867,200.00 $56,509,117,135,000.00 $70,013,387,453,500.00 -$13,504,270,318,500.00
1998 $436,627,861,973,400.00 $60,676,933,700,700.00 $67,273,705,717,600.00 -$6,596,772,016,900.00
1999 $418,271,960,097,800.00 $64,271,378,031,100.00 $50,670,124,490,100.00 $13,601,253,541,000.00
2000 $430,505,835,553,500.00 $68,221,784,981,500.00 $53,685,211,656,300.00 $14,536,573,325,200.00
2001 $437,729,285,682,800.00 $70,139,415,356,700.00 $58,377,375,991,600.00 $11,762,039,365,100.00
2002 $448,689,941,488,100.00 $68,471,910,682,600.00 $58,569,467,204,300.00 $9,902,443,478,300.01
2003 $466,270,833,399,700.00 $73,511,645,791,500.00 $63,354,618,368,600.00 $10,157,027,422,900.00
2004 $491,137,159,839,000.00 $80,722,114,663,800.00 $69,862,472,892,500.00 $10,859,641,771,300.00
2005 $514,252,805,347,500.00 $85,334,551,680,100.00 $78,177,453,194,800.00 $7,157,098,485,299.98
2006 $549,116,087,505,700.00 $93,308,527,946,500.00 $92,904,315,244,300.00 $404,212,702,200.00
2007 $586,723,152,705,500.00 $99,525,645,120,100.00 $105,445,596,502,300.00 -$5,919,951,382,199.98
2008 $605,833,010,146,800.00 $103,179,598,295,800.0 $118,163,292,743,600.00 -$14,983,694,447,800.00
0
2009 $613,135,855,112,900.00 $98,764,219,882,300.00 $107,944,796,899,300.00 -$9,180,577,016,999.98
2010 $639,792,263,022,100.00 $100,800,541,239,600.0 $119,634,711,154,400.00 -$18,834,169,914,800.00
0
2011 $686,897,166,175,500.00 $113,154,823,202,900.0 $145,949,084,012,400.00 -$32,794,260,809,500.00
0
2012 $713,707,135,002,000.00 $118,689,956,624,400.0 $159,629,437,946,000.00 -$40,939,481,321,600.00
0
2013 $746,301,210,416,700.00 $124,241,213,969,200.0 $171,440,100,816,800.00 -$47,198,886,847,600.00
0
2014 $781,588,661,940,700.00 $123,882,149,212,100.0 $184,747,909,967,800.00 -$60,865,760,755,700.00
0
2015 $804,692,000,000,000.00 $125,936,000,000,000.0 $182,750,000,000,000.00 -$56,814,000,000,000.00
0
2016 $821,489,000,000,000.00 $125,673,000,000,000.0 $176,279,000,000,000.00 -$50,606,000,000,000.00
0
2017 $832,590,000,000,000.00 $128,829,000,000,000.0 $178,390,000,000,000.00 -$49,561,000,000,000.00
0
2018 $853,981,077,024,600.00 $133,887,909,991,900.0 $192,534,497,610,600.00 -$58,646,587,618,700.00
0
2019 .. .. .. …
2. Maket a plot of GDP (constant LCU) (𝑌̂𝑡 in the model expressed in real terms),
Exports of goods and services (constant LCU) (𝑋̂𝑡 in the model expressed in real
terms) Imports of goods and services (constant LCU) (𝐼𝑀̂ 𝑡 ∗ 𝜀𝑡 in the model
̂
expressed in real terms) and net exports (𝑁𝑋𝑡 in the model expressed in real
terms). (3.5 points)
PIB, Exportaciones, Importaciones y Exportaciones Netas
En Términos Reales
$1,000,000,000,000,000.00
$800,000,000,000,000.00
$600,000,000,000,000.00
$400,000,000,000,000.00
$200,000,000,000,000.00
$0.00
($200,000,000,000,000.00)
𝑋̂𝑡
3. Calculate the exports as a percentage of GDP, ∗ 100, the imports as a percentage of
𝑌̂𝑡
̂ 𝑡 ∗𝜀𝑡
𝐼𝑀 ̂𝑡
𝑁𝑋 𝑋̂𝑡−𝐼𝑀
̂ 𝑡∗𝜀𝑡
GDP, ∗ 100 and net exports as a percentage of GDP, ∗ 100 ≡ ∗ 100.
𝑌̂𝑡 𝑌̂𝑡 𝑌̂𝑡
(3.5 points)
𝑋̂𝑡
4. Maket a plot of exports as a percentage of GDP, ∗ 100, the imports as a
𝑌̂𝑡
̂ 𝑡 ∗𝜀𝑡
𝐼𝑀 ̂𝑡
𝑁𝑋
percentage of GDP, ∗ 100 and net exports as a percentage of GDP, ∗
𝑌̂𝑡 𝑌̂𝑡
𝑋̂𝑡−𝐼𝑀
̂ 𝑡∗𝜀𝑡
100 ≡ ∗ 100 where the x-axis corresponds to the date and y-axis
𝑌̂𝑡
corresponds to the values of these variables. (3.5 points)
Las importaciones como porcentaje del PIB Las exportaciones como porcentaje del PIB
Las exportaciones netas como porcentaje del PIB
Si es posible, ya que como lo dice el libro hay algunos países que incluyen
exportaciones e importaciones de bienes intermedios. Por lo cual al dividir las
exportaciones o importaciones de un país sobre el PIB pueden arrojar un resultado
mayor a 1. Un ejemplo de esto es Singapur el cual es un país donde las manufacturas
desempeñan un papel importante tanto en sus importaciones como exportaciones,
confirmando lo dicho en el libro; se presenta la siguiente información en donde muestra
que las importaciones y exportaciones superan el PIB en Singapur desde el año 2009
hasta el 2018.
$800.000.000.000
$700.000.000.000
$600.000.000.000
$500.000.000.000
$400.000.000.000
$300.000.000.000
$200.000.000.000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
$100.000.000.000 AÑOS
$-
GDP (constant LCU) Exports of goods and services (constant LCU)
TRM (COP/USD)
$ 4,500.00
$ 4,000.00
$ 3,500.00
$ 3,000.00
$ 2,500.00
$ 2,000.00
$ 1,500.00
$ 1,000.00
$ 500.00
$ 0.00
27/11/1991
27/11/1998
27/11/1999
27/11/2000
27/11/2001
27/11/2002
27/11/2003
27/11/2004
27/11/2005
27/11/2006
27/11/2007
27/11/2008
27/11/2009
27/11/2010
27/11/2011
27/11/2012
27/11/2013
27/11/2014
27/11/2015
27/11/2016
27/11/2017
27/11/2018
27/11/2019
27/11/1992
27/11/1993
27/11/1994
27/11/1995
27/11/1996
27/11/1997
El tipo de cambio real es el precio relativo de los bienes entre diferentes países. Se
define usualmente como la relación entre el poder de compra de una divisa en relación
a otra divisa. El poder de compra de una divisa es la cantidad de bienes que pueden
ser comprados con una unidad de esa divisa.
Formula:
8. Maket a plot of the real exchange rate using the information you found in point 6
where the x-axis corresponds to the dates of the table above and y-axis
corresponds to the value of the real exchange rate. (3.5 points)
2,5
1,5
0,5
10. In Colombia, the nominal exchange rate between pesos and US dollars is
𝑝𝑒𝑠𝑜𝑠
expressed as . What modifications would have to be made to the condition
1 𝑑𝑜𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑟
pointed out in point 9 if someone want to write the uncovered interes parity
relation for a resident in Colombia who has to decide to invest between financial
products of Colombia and the USA? (3.5 points)
𝑖𝑡 = 𝑖𝑡∗ − 𝐸𝑡+1
𝑒
− 𝐸𝑡 / 𝐸𝑡
El arbitraje de los inversionistas implica que el tipo de interés nacional debe ser igual al
tipo de interés extranjero menos la tasa esperada de apreciación de la moneda
nacional. Como primera medida se debe ver cuál es la tasa de interés, ya que si se
invierte en dólares o en pesos deben ofrecer la misma rentabilidad para que las
inversiones estén libres de riesgo.
𝑇̂𝑡 = 10
• Imports and exports are given by:
̂ 𝑡 = 0.3𝑌̂𝑡
𝐼𝑀
𝑋̂𝑡 = 0.3𝑌̂𝑡∗
where 𝑌̂𝑡∗ denotes foreign output.
11. Solve for equilibrium output, 𝑌̂𝑡 and point out the multiplier for the domestic
economy. (3.5 points)
22 + 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 ∗
𝑌̂𝑡 =
0.5
Y el multiplicador de para la economía nacional sin tener en cuenta aun lo que sucede
en el extranjero es:
1
𝑀= =2
0.5
12. Assume that the foreign economy is characterized by the same equations as the
domestic economy (with asterisks reversed). (3.5 points)
𝑇̂𝑡∗ = 10
̂ 𝑡∗ = 0.3𝑌̂𝑡∗
𝐼𝑀
𝑋̂𝑡∗ = 0.3𝑌̂𝑡
Solve for the equilibrium output of each economy and point out the multiplier for the
domestic and the foreign economy.
𝑌̂𝑡 = 𝐶̂𝑡 (Y -𝑇̂𝑡 ) + 𝐼̂𝑡 +𝐺̂𝑡 - 𝐼𝑀
̂ 𝑡 + 𝑋̂𝑡
𝑌̂𝑡 = 10 + 0.8 ( 𝑌̂𝑡 − 10) + 10 + 10 − 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 + 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 *
𝑌̂𝑡 = 10 + 0.8𝑌̂𝑡 − 8 + 10 + 10 − 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 + 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 *
𝑌̂𝑡 = 22 + 0.5𝑌̂𝑡 − 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 *
𝑌̂𝑡 − 0.5𝑌̂𝑡 = 22 + 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 *
0.5𝑌̂𝑡 = 22 + 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 *
22 + 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 ∗
𝑌̂𝑡 =
0.5
La producción de equilibrio del otro país es:
22 + 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 ∗
𝑌̂𝑡 =
0.5
Y el multiplicador de para la economía extranjera inicialmente sería:
1
𝑀 ∗= =2
0.5
Producción de equilibrio:
Primero se dejan en términos de 𝑌̂𝑡
22 + 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 ∗
𝑌̂𝑡 ∗=
0.5
𝑌𝑡 ∗ (0.5) = 22 + 0.3𝑌̂𝑡
̂
𝑌̂𝑡 ∗ (0.5) − 22
= 𝑌̂𝑡
0.3
Se igualan las dos ecuaciones
22 + 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 ∗ 𝑌̂𝑡 ∗ (0.5) − 22
=
0.5 0.3
(22 + 0.3𝑌̂𝑡 ∗)(0.3) = (𝑌̂𝑡 ∗ (0.5) − 22)(0.5)
6.6 + 0.09 𝑌̂𝑡 ∗ = 0.25𝑌̂𝑡 ∗ −11
6.6 + 11 = −0.09𝑌̂𝑡 ∗ +0.25𝑌̂𝑡 ∗
17.6 = 0.16𝑌̂𝑡 ∗
17.6
= 𝑌̂𝑡 ∗
0.16
110 = 𝑌̂𝑡 ∗
22 + 0.3(110)
𝑌̂𝑡 ∗=
0.5
𝑌̂𝑡 ∗= 110
Con un nivel de producción de 125 para la economía interna el gasto debe ser:
Para un aumento en la producción a 125 el aumento en el gasto tiene que ser de 7.5:
↑𝐺̂2𝑡 − 𝐺̂1𝑡 =𝛥 𝐺̂𝑡
14.8 − 10 = 4.8
Exportaciones netas nacional
̂ 𝑡∗ ≡ 𝑋̂𝑡∗ − 𝐼𝑀
𝑁𝑋 ̂ 𝑡∗
̂ 𝑡∗ ≡ 0.3𝑌̂𝑡∗ − 0.3𝑌̂𝑡
𝑁𝑋
̂ 𝑡∗ ≡ 0.3(119) − 0.3(125) = 35.7 − 37.5
𝑁𝑋
̂ 𝑡∗ = −1.8
𝑁𝑋
Déficit presupuestario nacional
̂ 𝑡∗ ≡ 𝑋̂𝑡∗ − 𝐼𝑀
𝑁𝑋 ̂ 𝑡∗
̂ 𝑡∗ ≡ 0.3𝑌̂𝑡∗ − 0.3𝑌̂𝑡
𝑁𝑋
̂ 𝑡∗ ≡ 0.3(125) − 0.3(119) = 35.7 − 37.5
𝑁𝑋
̂ 𝑡∗ = 1.8
𝑁𝑋
Déficit presupuestario extranjero
14. Suppose each government has a target level of output of 125 and that each
government increases government spending by the same amount. What is the
common increase in 𝐺̂𝑡 and 𝐺̂𝑡∗ necessary to achieve the target output in both
countries? Also solve for net exports, 𝑁𝑋 ̂ 𝑡 ≡ 𝑋̂𝑡 − 𝐼𝑀
̂ 𝑡 and 𝑁𝑋̂ 𝑡∗ ≡ 𝑋̂𝑡∗ − 𝐼𝑀
̂ 𝑡∗, and the
budget deficit, 𝑇̂𝑡 − 𝐺̂𝑡 and 𝑇̂𝑡 − 𝐺̂𝑡 , in each country for this new situation. (4.5
∗ ∗
points)
Para el país A (nacional)
Gasto para la producción 125
𝑇̂𝑡 − 𝐺̂𝑡 = 10 − 13 = −3
Para el país B (extranjero)
Gasto para la producción 125
↑𝐺̂2𝑡
∗
-𝐺̂1𝑡
∗
= 𝛥 𝐺̂𝑡
3 − 10 = 3
Exportaciones netas extranjero
̂ ∗ = 𝑋̂ ∗ − 𝐼𝑀
𝑁𝑋 ̂ 𝑡,𝑦
∗
𝑇̂𝑡∗ − 𝐺̂𝑡∗ = 10 − 13 = −3
Bibliografia
https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators#
https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/public-licenses#cc-by
https://github.com/TheEconomist/big-mac-data
http://www.banrep.gov.co/
Material de apoyo