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CHAPTER

Discrete Probability Distributions


4
4.1 PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

4.1 Try It Yourself Solutions

1a. (1) measured (2) counted


b. (1) The random variable is continuous because x can be any speed up to the maximum speed of a
space shuttle.
(2) The random variable is discrete because the number of calves born on a farm in one year is
countable.

2ab. c.
x f P(x)
0 16 0.16
1 19 0.19
2 15 0.15
3 21 0.21
4 9 0.09
5 10 0.10
6 8 0.08
7 2 0.02
n = 100
∑ P( x) = 1

3a. Each P(x) is between 0 and 1.


b. ∑ P( x) = 1
c. Because both conditions are met, the distribution is a probability distribution.

4a. (1) Yes, each outcome is between 0 and 1. (2) Yes, each outcome is between 0 and 1.
b. (1) Yes, ∑
P( x) = 1 . (2) Yes, ∑ P( x) = 1 .
c. (1) Is a probability distribution (2) Is a probability distribution.

5ab.
x P(x) xP(x)
0 0.16 (0)(0.16) = 0.00
1 0.19 (1)(0.19) = 0.19
2 0.15 (2)(0.15) = 0.30
3 0.21 (3)(0.21) = 0.63
4 0.09 (4)(0.09) = 0.36
5 0.10 (5)(0.10) = 0.50
6 0.08 (6)0.08 = 0.48
7 0.02 (7)(0.02) = 0.14
∑ P( x) = 1 ∑ xP ( x) = 2.60
c. µ = ∑ xP( x) = 2.6
On average, a new employee makes 2.6 sales per day.

137

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138 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

6ab. From 5, µ − 2.6,


x f x−µ (x − µ)2 P(x)(x − µ)2
0 0.16 −2.6 6.76 (0.16)(6.76) = 1.0816
1 0.19 −1.6 2.56 (0.19)(2.56) = 0.4864
2 0.15 −0.6 0.36 (0.15)(0.36) = 0.0540
3 0.21 0.4 0.16 (0.21)(0.16) = 0.0336
4 0.09 1.4 1.96 (0.09)(1.96) = 0.1764
5 0.10 2.4 5.76 (0.10)(5.76) = 0.5760
6 0.08 3.4 11.56 (0.08)(11.56) = 0.9248
7 0.02 4.4 19.36 (0.02)(19.36) = 0.3872
∑ P( x) = 1 ∑ P ( x)( x − µ )2 = 3.72

c. σ = σ = 3.72 ≈ 1.9
2

d. Most of the data valves differ from the mean by no more than 1.9 sales per day.

7ab.
Gain, x P(x) xP(x)
$1995 1 1995
2000 2000
$ 995 1 995
2000 2000
$ 495 1 495
2000 2000
$ 245 1 245
2000 2000
$ 95 1 95
2000 2000
1995 9975
$ −5 −
2000 2000
∑ P( x) = 1 ∑ xP ( x) ≈ −3.08
c. E(x) = ∑ xP( x) = −$3.08
d. Because the expected value is negative, you can expect to lose an average of $3.08 for each ticket
you buy.

4.1 EXERCISE SOLUTIONS

1. A random variable represents a numerical value associated with each outcome of a probability
experiment. Examples: Answers will vary.

2. A discrete probability distribution lists each possible value a random variable can assume,
together with its probability.
Condition 1: 0 ≤ P(x) ≤ 1
Condition 2: ∑
P( x) = 1

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 139

3. No; Expected value may not be a possible value of x for one trial, but it represents the average
value of x over a large number of trials.

4. The mean of a probability distribution represent the “theoretical average” of a probability


experiment.

5. False. In most applications, discrete random variables represent counted data, while continuous
random variables represent measured data.

6. True

7. True

8. False. The expected value of a discrete random variable is equal to the mean of the random
variable.

9. Discrete, because attendance is a random variable that is countable.

10. Continuous, because length of time is a random variable that has an infinite number of possible
outcomes and cannot be counted.

11. Continuous, because the distance a baseball travels after being hit is a random variable that must
be measured.

12. Discrete, because the number of fatalities is a random variable that is countable.

13. Discrete, because the number of books in a university library is a random variable that is
countable.

14. Continuous, because the length of time it takes to get to work is a random variable that has an
infinite number of possible outcomes and cannot be counted.

15. Continuous, because the volume of blood drawn for a blood test is a random variable that must be
measured.

16. Discrete, because the number of tornadoes in the month of June in Oklahoma is a random
variable that is countable.

17. Discrete, because the number of measures that is posted each month on a social networking site is
a random variable that is countable.

18. Continuous, because the tension at which a randomly selected guitar’s strings have been strung is
a random variable that cannot be counted.

19. Continuous, because the amount of snow that fell in Nome, Alaska last winter is a random
variable that cannot be counted.

20. Discrete, because the total number of die rolls required to roll a 5 is a random variable that is
countable.

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140 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

21. (a) P(x > 2) = 0.25 + 0.10 = 0.35


(b) P(x < 4) = 1 − P(4) = 1 − 0.10 = 0.90

22. (a) P(x > 1) = 1 − P(x < 2) = 1 − (0.30 + 0.25) = 0.45


(b) P(x < 3) = 0.30 + 0.25 + 0.25 = 0.80

23. ∑ P( x) = 1 → P(3) = 0.22 24. ∑ P( x) = 1 → P(1) = 0.15


25. Because each P(x) is between 0 and 1, and ∑ P( x) = 1, the distribution is a probability
distribution.

26. No, ∑ P( x) = 0.97.


27. (a)
x f P(x)
0 1491 0.686
1 425 0.195
2 168 0.077
3 48 0.022
4 29 0.013
5 14 0.006
n = 2175 ∑ P( x) ≈ 1
(b)

Skewed right
(c)
xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0 −0.497 0.247 0.169
0.195 0.503 0.253 0.049
0.154 1.503 2.259 0.174
0.066 2.503 6.265 0.138
0.052 3.503 12.271 0.160
0.030 4.503 20.277 0.122
∑ xP ( x) = 0.497 ∑ ( x − µ )2 P ( x) = 0.812

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 141

µ = ∑ xP( x) = 0.497 ≈ 0.5


σ 2 = ∑ ( x − µ ) 2 P( x) = 0.812 ≈ 0.8
σ = σ 2 = 0.812 ≈ 0.9
(d) The mean is 0.5, so the average number of dogs per household is about 0 or 1 dog. The
standard deviation is 0.9, so most of the households differ from the mean by no more than 1
dog.

28. (a)
x f P(x)
4 20 0.190
5 23 0.219
6 23 0.219
7 36 0.343
8 3 0.029
n = 105
∑ P( x) = 1
(b)

Skewed left
(c)
xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0.760 −1.802 3.247 0.617
1.095 −0.802 0.643 0.141
1.314 0.198 0.039 0.009
2.401 1.198 1.435 0.492
0.232 2.198 4.831 0.140
∑ xP ( x) = 5.802 ∑ ( x − µ ) 2 P ( x) = 1.399
µ = ∑ xP( x) = 5.802 ≈ 5.8
σ = ∑ ( x − µ ) P( x) = 1.399 ≈ 1.4
2 2

σ = σ 2 = 1.399 ≈ 1.2
(d) The mean is 5.8, so the average number of games played per World Series was about 6. The
standard deviation is 1.2, so most of the World Series differed from the mean by no more
than about 1 game.

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142 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

29. (a)
x f P(x)
0 26 0.01
1 442 0.17
2 728 0.28
3 1404 0.54
n = 2600 ∑ P( x) = 1
(b)

Skewed left
(c)
xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0.00 −2.35 5.523 0.055
0.17 −1.35 1.823 0.310
0.56 −0.35 0.123 0.034
1.62 0.65 0.423 0.228
∑ xP ( x) = 2.35 ∑ ( x − µ )2 P ( x) = 0.627
µ = ∑ xP( x) = 2.35 ≈ 2.4
σ = ∑ ( x − µ ) P( x) = 0.627 ≈ 0.6
2 2

σ = σ 2 = 0.627 ≈ 0.8
(d) The mean is 2.4, so the average household in the town has about 2 televisions. The standard
deviation is 0.8, so most of the households differ from the mean by no more than 1 television.

30. (a)
x f P(x)
0 95 0.250
1 113 0.297
2 87 0.229
3 64 0.168
4 13 0.034
5 8 0.021
n = 380 ∑ P( x) ≈ 1

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 143

(b)

Skewed right
(c)
xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0 −1.5 2.25 0.563
0.297 −0.5 0.25 0.074
0.458 0.5 0.25 0.057
0.504 1.5 2.25 0.378
0.136 2.5 6.25 0.213
0.105 3.5 12.25 0.257
∑ xP ( x) = 1.5 ∑ ( x − µ ) 2 P ( x) = 1.542
µ = ∑ xP( x) = 1.5
σ = ∑ ( x − µ ) P( x) = 1.542 ≈ 1.5
2 2

σ = σ 2 = 1.542 ≈ 1.2
(d) The mean is 1.5, so the average batch of camping chairs has about 1 or 2 defects. The
standard deviation is 1.2, so most of the batches differ from the mean by no more than about
1 defect.

31. (a)
x f P(x)
0 6 0.031
1 12 0.063
2 29 0.151
3 57 0.297
4 42 0.219
5 30 0.156
6 16 0.083
n = 192 ∑ P( x) = 1
(b)

Approximately symmetric

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144 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

(c)
xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0 −3.41 11.628 0.360
0.063 −2.41 5.808 0.366
0.302 −1.41 1.988 0.300
0.891 −0.41 0.168 0.050
0.876 −0.59 0.348 0.076
0.780 1.59 2.528 0.394
0.498 2.59 6.708 0.557
∑ xP ( x) = 3.410 ∑ ( x − µ )2 P ( x) = 2.103
µ = ∑ xP( x) = 3.410 ≈ 3.4
σ = ∑ ( x − µ ) P( x) = 2.103 ≈ 2.1
2 2

σ = σ 2 = 2.103 ≈ 1.5
(d) The mean is 3.4, so the average employee worked 3.4 hours of overtime. The standard
deviation is 1.5, so the overtime worked by most of the employees differed from the mean by
no more than 1.5 hours.

32. (a)
x f P(x)
0 19 0.059
1 39 0.122
2 52 0.163
3 57 0.178
4 68 0.213
5 41 0.128
6 27 0.084
7 17 0.053
n = 320
∑ P( x) = 1
(b)

Approximately symmetric

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 145

(c)
xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0 −3.349 11.216 0.662
0.122 −2.349 5.518 0.673
0.326 −1.349 1.820 0.297
0.534 −0.349 0.122 0.022
0.852 0.651 0.424 0.090
0.640 1.651 2.726 0.349
0.504 2.651 7.028 0.590
0.371 3.651 13.330 0.706
∑ xP ( x) = 3.349 ∑ ( x − µ )2 P ( x) = 3.389
µ = ∑ xP( x) = 3.349 ≈ 3.3
σ = ∑ ( x − µ ) P( x) = 3.389 ≈ 3.4
2 2

σ = σ 2 = 3.389 ≈ 1.8
(d) The mean is 3.3, so the average student is involved in about 3 extracurricular activities. The
standard deviation is 1.8, so most of the students differ from the mean by no more than about
2 activities.

33. An expected value of 0 means that the money gained is equal to the spent, representing the
breakeven point.

34. A “fair bet” in a game of chance has an expected value of 0, which means that the chances of
losing are equal to the chances of winning.

35.
x P(x) xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0 0.02 0.00 −5.30 28.09 0.562
1 0.02 0.02 −4.30 18.49 0.370
2 0.06 0.12 −3.30 10.89 0.653
3 0.06 0.18 −2.30 5.29 0.317
4 0.08 0.32 −1.30 1.69 0.135
5 0.22 1.10 −0.30 0.09 0.020
6 0.30 1.80 0.70 0.49 0.147
7 0.16 1.12 1.70 2.89 0.462
8 0.08 0.64 2.70 7.29 0.583
∑ xP ( x) = 5.30 ∑ ( x − µ )2 P ( x) = 3.249

(a) µ = ∑ xP( x) = 5.3 (b) σ 2 = ∑ ( x − µ) P( x) = 3.249 ≈ 3.3


2

(c) σ = σ 2 = 3.249 ≈ 1.9 (d) E ( x) = µ = ∑ xP ( x) = 5.3


(e) The expected value is 5.3, so an average student is expected to answer about 5 questions
correctly. The standard deviation is 1.9, so most of the student’s quiz results differ from the
expected value by no more than about 2 questions.

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146 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

36.
x P(x) xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0 0.01 0 −3.02 9.120 0.091
1 0.10 0.10 −2.02 4.080 0.408
2 0.26 0.52 −1.02 1.040 0.270
3 0.33 0.99 −0.02 0.0004 0.000132
4 0.18 0.72 0.98 0.960 0.173
5 0.06 0.30 1.98 3.920 0.235
6 0.03 0.18 2.98 8.880 0.266
7 0.03 0.21 3.18 15.840 0.475
∑ xP ( x) = 3.02 ∑ ( x − µ ) 2 P ( x) = 1.918

(a) µ = ∑ xP( x) = 3.02 ≈ 3.0 (b) σ 2 = ∑ ( x − µ) 2


P ( x) = 1.918 ≈ 1.9
(c) σ = σ 2 = 1.918 ≈ 1.4 (d) E ( x) = µ = 3.0
(e) The expected value is 3.0, so in an average hour the expected number of calls is 3. The
standard deviation is 1.4, so the number of calls for most of the hours should differ from the
expected value by no more than about 1 or 2 calls.

37.
x P(x) xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
1 0.392 0.392 −1.04 1.082 0.424
2 0.265 0.530 −0.04 0.002 0.001
3 0.269 0.807 0.96 0.922 0.248
4 0.064 0.256 1.96 3.842 0.246
5 0.011 0.055 2.96 8.762 0.096
∑ xP ( x) = 2.04 ∑ ( x − µ ) 2 P ( x) = 1.015

(a) µ = ∑ xP( x) = 2.04 ≈ 2.0 (b) σ 2 = ∑ ( x − µ) 2


P ( x) = 1.015 ≈ 1.0
(c) σ = σ 2 = 1.015 ≈ 1.0 (d) E ( x) = µ = 2.0
(e) The expected value is 2.0, so an average hurricane that hits the U.S. mainland is expected to
be a category 2 hurricane. The standard deviation is 1.0, so most of the hurricanes differ from
the expected value by no more than 1 category level.

38.
x P(x) xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
1 0.555 0.555 −0.697 0.486 0.270
2 0.298 0.596 0.303 0.092 0.027
3 0.076 0.228 1.303 1.698 0.129
4 0.047 0.188 2.303 5.304 0.249
5 0.014 0.070 3.303 10.910 0.153
6 0.010 0.060 4.303 18.516 0.185
∑ xP ( x) = 1.697 ∑ ( x − µ ) 2 P ( x) = 1.013

(a) µ = ∑ xP( x) = 1.697 ≈ 1.7 (b) σ 2 = ∑ ( x − µ) 2


P ( x) = 1.013 ≈ 1.0
(c) σ = σ 2 = 1.013 ≈ 1.0 (d) E ( x) = µ = 1.7

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 147

(e) The expected value is 1.7, so an average car crossing the Tacoma Narrows Bridge is expected
to have either 1 or 2 people in it. The standard deviation is 1.0, so most of the car occupancies
differ from the expected value by no more than 1 occupant.

39.
x P(x) xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
1 0.275 0.275 −1.491 2.223 0.611
2 0.332 0.664 −0.491 0.241 0.080
3 0.159 0.447 0.509 0.259 0.041
4 0.136 0.544 1.509 2.277 0.310
5 0.063 0.315 2.509 6.295 0.397
6+ 0.036 0.216 3.509 12.313 0.443
∑ xP ( x) = 2.491 ∑ ( x − µ ) 2 P ( x) = 1.882

(a) µ = ∑ xP( x) = 2.491 ≈ 2.5 (b) σ 2 = ∑ ( x − µ) 2


P( x) = 1.882 ≈ 1.9
(c) σ = σ 2 = 1.882 ≈ 1.4 (d) E ( x) = µ = 2.5
(e) The expected value is 2.5, so an average household is expected to have either 2 or 3 people.
The standard deviation is 1.4, so most of the household sites differ from the expected value
by no more than 1 or 2 people.

40.
x P(x) xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0 0.29 0 −1.59 2.528 0.733
1 0.25 0.25 −0.59 0.348 0.087
2 0.17 0.34 0.41 0.168 0.029
3 0.16 0.48 1.41 1.988 0.318
4 0.13 0.52 2.41 5.808 0.755
∑ xP ( x) = 1.59 ∑ ( x − µ ) 2 P ( x) = 1.922

(a) µ = ∑ xP( x) = 1.59 ≈ 1.6 (b) σ 2 = ∑ ( x − µ) 2


P( x) = 1.922 ≈ 1.9
(c) σ = σ 2 = 1.922 ≈ 1.4 (d) E ( x) = µ = 1.6
(e) The expected value is 1.6, so an average household is expected to have either 1 or 2 cars. The
standard deviation is 1.4, so most of the households differ from the expected value by no
more than 1 or 2 cars.

41. (a) P(x < 2) = 0.686 + 0.195 = 0.881


(b) P(x ≥ 1) = 1 − P(x = 0) = 1 − 0.686 = 0.314
(c) P(1 ≤ x ≤ 3) = 0.195 + 0.077 + 0.022 = 0.294

42. (a) P(x = 4) = 0.190


(b) P(x ≥ 5) = 1 − P(x = 4) = 1 − 0.190 = 0.810
(c) P(4 ≤ x ≤ 6) = 0.190 + 0.219 + 0.019 = 0.628

43. A household with three dogs is unusual because the probability of this event is 0.022, which is
less than or equal to 0.05.

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148 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

44. A World Series in which eight games were played is unusual because the probability of this event
is 0.029, which is less than 0.05.

⎛ 37 ⎞ ⎛1 ⎞
45. E(x) = µ = ∑ xP( x) = (−$1) ⋅ ⎜⎝ 38 ⎟⎠ + ($35) ⋅ ⎜⎝ 38 ⎟⎠ ≈ −$0.05
46. E(x) = µ = ∑ xP( x)
⎛ 1 ⎞ ⎛ 1 ⎞ ⎛ 20 ⎞ ⎛ 5978 ⎞
= ($3445) ⋅ ⎜ ⎟ + ($745) ⋅ ⎜ ⎟ + ($20) ⋅ ⎜ ⎟ + (−$5) ⋅ ⎜ ≈ −$4.22
⎝ 6000 ⎠ ⎝ 6000 ⎠ ⎝ 6000 ⎠ ⎝ 6000 ⎟⎠

47. (a)
x P(x)
0 0.432
1 0.403
2 0.137
3 0.029
∑ xP ( x) = 1

(b) Skewed right

48. (a)
x P(x)
1 0.128
2 0.124
3 0.124
4 0.122
5 0.123
6 0.125
7 0.127
8 0.128
∑ xP ( x) = 1

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 149

(b) Approximately uniform

49. µ x = a + bµ x = 1000 + 1.05(36,000) = $38,800

50. σ y = b σ x = (1.04)(3899) = $4054.96

51. µ x + y = µ x + µ y = 1524 + 1496 = 3020


µ x − y = µ x − µ y = 1524 − 1496 = 28

52. σ x2− y = σ x2 + σ 2y = (317) 2 + (307) 2 = 194,738 ⇒ σ x − y = σ x2− y = 441.29

4.2 BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTIONS

4.2 Try It Yourself Solutions

1a. Trial answering a question


Success: the question answered correctly
b. Yes, the experiment satisfies the four conditions of a binomial experiment.
c. It is a binomial experiment.
n = 10, p = 0.25, q = 0.75, x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10

2a. Trial: drawing a card with replacement


Success: card drawn is a club
Failure: card drawn is not a club
b. n = 5, p = 0.25, q = 0.75, x = 3
5!
c. P(3) = (0.25)3 (0.75)2 ≈ 0.088
(5 − 3)!3!

3a. Trial: Selecting an adult and asking a question


Success: selecting an adult who likes texting because it works where talking won’t do
Failure: selecting an adult who does not like texting because it works where talking won’t do
b. n = 7, p = 0.75, q = 0.25, x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

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150 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

c. P(0) = 7 C0 (0.75)0 (0.25)7 ≈ 0.00006


P(1) = 7 C1 (0.75)1 (0.25)6 ≈ 0.00128
P(2) = 7 C2 (0.75) 2 (0.25)5 ≈ 0.01154
P(3) = 7 C3 (0.75)3 (0.25)4 ≈ 0.05768
P(4) = 7 C4 (0.75)4 (0.25)3 ≈ 0.17303
P(5) = 7 C5 (0.75)5 (0.25)2 ≈ 0.31146
P(6) = 7 C6 (0.75)6 (0.25)1 ≈ 0.31146
P(7) = 7 C7 (0.75)7 (0.25)0 ≈ 0.13348
d.
x P(x)
0 0.00006
1 0.00128
2 0.01154
3 0.05768
4 0.17303
5 0.31146
6 0.31146
7 0.13348
∑ xP ( x) = 1

4a. n = 250, p = 0.71, x = 178


b. P(178) ≈ 0.056
c. The probability that exactly 178 people from a random sample of 250 people in the United States
will use more than one topping on their hot dog is about 0.056.
d. Because 0.056 is not less than or equal to 0.05, this event is not unusual.

5a. (1) x = 2 (2) x = 2, 3, 4, or 5 (3) x = 0 or 1


b. (1) P(2) = 5 C2 (0.21) (0.79) ≈ 0.217
2 3

(2) P(1) = 5 C1 (0.21)1 (0.79)4 ≈ 0.409


P(x ≥ 2) = 1 − P(0) − P(1) ≈ 1 − 0.308 − 0.409 = 0.283
or
P(x ≥ 2) = P(2) + P(3) + P(4) + P(5)
≈ 0.217 + 0.058 + 0.008 + 0.0004
≈ 0.283
(3) P(x < 2) = P(0) + P(1) ≈ 0.308 + 0.409 = 0.717
c. (1) The probability that exactly two of the five men consider fishing their favorite
leisure-time activity is about 0.217.
(2) The probability that at least two of the five men consider fishing their favorite leisure-
time activity is about 0.283.
(3) The probability that fewer than two of the five men consider fishing their favorite
leisure-time activity is about 0.717.

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 151

6a. Trial: Selecting a business and asking if it has a website


Success: Selecting a business with a website
Failure: Selecting a business without a website
b. n = 10, p = 0.55, x = 4
c. P(4) ≈ 0.160
d. The probability of randomly selecting 10 small businesses and finding exactly 4 that have
a website is 0.160.
e. Because 0.160 is not less than or equal to 0.05, this event is not unusual.

7a. P(0) = 4 C0 (0.81)0 (0.19) 4 ≈ 0.001


P(1) = 4 C1 (0.81)1 (0.19)3 ≈ 0.022
P(2) = 4 C2 (0.81)2 (0.19) 2 ≈ 0.142
P(3) = 4 C3 (0.81)3 (0.91)1 ≈ 0.404
P(4) = 4 C4 (0.81)4 (0.19)0 ≈ 0.430
b.
x P(x)
0 0.001
1 0.022
2 0.142
3 0.404
4 0.430
c.

Skewed left
d. Yes, it would be unusual if exactly zero or exactly one of the four households owned a computer,
because each of these events has a probability that is less than 0.05.

8a. Success: selecting a clear day


n = 31, p = 0.44, q = 0.56
b. µ = np = (31)(0.44) ≈ 13.6
c. σ 2 = npq = (31)(0.44)(0.56) ≈ 7.6
d. σ = npq = (31)(0.44)(0.56) ≈ 2.8
e. On average, there are about 14 clear days during the month of May. The standard deviation is
about 3 days.
f. Values that are more than 2 standard deviations from the mean are considered unusual. Because
13.6 − 2(2.8) = 8 and 13.6 + 2(2.8) = 19.2, a May with fewer than 8 clear days, or more than 19
clear days would be unusual.

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152 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

4.2 EXERCISE SOLUTIONS

1. Each trial is independent of the other trials if the outcome of one trial does not affect the outcome
of any of the other trials.

2. The random variable measures the number of successes in n trials.

3. (a) p = 0.50 (graph is symmetric)


(b) p = 0.20 (graph is skewed right → p < 0.5)
(c) p = 0.80 (graph is skewed left → p > 0.5)

4. (a) p = 0.75 (graphs is skewed left → p > 0.5)


(b) p = 0.50 (graph is symmetric)
(c) p = 0.25 (graph is skewed right →p < 0.5)

5. (a) n = 12 (x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12)


(b) n = 4 (x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4)
(c) n = 8 (x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8)
As n increases, the distribution becomes more symmetric.

6. (a) n = 10 (x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10)
(b) n = 15 (x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15)
(c) n = 5 (x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5)
As n increases, the distribution becomes more symmetric.

7. (a) 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 11, 12 (b) 0 (c) 0, 1, 2, 8

8. (a) 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 (b) 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 15 (c) 0, 1

9. It is a binomial experiment.
Success: baby recovers
n = 5, p = 0.80, q = 0.20, x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

10. It is a binomial experiment.


Success: person does not make a purchase
n = 18, p = 0.74, q = 0.26, x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18

11. It is a binomial experiment.


Success: Selecting an officer who is postponing or reducing the amount of vacation
n = 20, p = 0.31, q = 0.69, x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20

12. Not a binomial experiment because the probability of a success is not the same for each trial.

13. µ = np = (50)(0.4) = 20 14. µ = np = (84)(0.65) = 54.6


σ 2 = npq = (50)(0.4)(0.6) = 12 σ 2 = npq = (84)(0.65)(0.35) = 19.1
σ = npq = (50)(0.4)(0.6) ≈ 3.5 σ = npq = (84)(0.65)(0.35) ≈ 4.4

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 153

15. µ = np = (124)(0.26) = 32.2 16. µ = np = (316)(0.82) = 259.1


σ = npq = (124)(0.26)(0.74) = 23.9
2
σ 2 = npq = (316)(0.82)(0.18) = 46.6
σ = npq = (124)(0.26)(0.74) ≈ 4.9 σ = npq = (316)(0.82)(0.18) ≈ 6.8

17. n = 5, p = 0.25
(a) P(3) ≈ 0.088
(b) P(x ≥ 3) = P(3) + P(4) + P(5) ≈ 0.088 + 0.015 + 0.001 = 0.104
(c) P(x < 3) = 1 − P(x ≥ 3) ≈ 1 − 0.104 = 0.896

18. n = 7, p = 0.7
(a) P(5) ≈ 0.318
(b) P(x ≥ 5) = P(5) + P(6) + P(7) ≈ 0.318 + 0.247 + 0.082 = 0.647
(c) P(x < 5) = 1 − P(x ≥ 5) ≈ 1 − 0.647 = 0.353

19. n = 10, p = 0.59


(a) P(8) ≈ 0.111
(b) P(x ≥ 8) = P(8) + P(9) + P(10) ≈ 0.111 + 0.036 + 0.005 = 0.152
(c) P(x < 8) = 1 − P(x ≥ 8) ≈ 1 − 0.152 = 0.848

20. n = 12, p = 0.1


(a) P(4) ≈ 0.021
(b) P(x ≥ 4) = 1 − P(x < 4) = 1 − P(0) − P(1) − P(2) − P(3)
≈ 1 − 0.282 − 0.377 − 0.230 − 0.085 = 0.026
(c) P(x < 4) = 1 − P(x ≥ 4) ≈ 1 − 0.026 = 0.974

21. n = 8, p = 0.55
(a) P(5) ≈ 0.257
(b) P(x > 5) = P(6) + P(7) + P(8) ≈ 0.157 + 0.055 + 0.008 = 0.220
(c) P(x ≤ 5) = 1 − P(x > 5) ≈ 1 − 0.220 = 0.780

22. n = 20, p = 0.7


(a) P(1) ≈ 1.627 × 10−9
(b) P(x > 1) = 1 − P(x ≤ 1) = 1 − P(0) − P(1)
≈ 1 − 3.487 × 10−11 − 1.627 × 10−9 ≈ 0.9999999983
(c) P(x ≤ 1) = P(0) + P(1) ≈ 3.487 × 10−11 + 1.627 × 10−9 ≈ 1.662 × 10−9

23. n = 14, p = 0.43


(a) P(5) ≈ 0.187
(b) P(x ≥ 6) = 1 − P(x ≤ 5)
= 1 − (P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) + P(4) + P(5)
≈ 1 − (0.0004 + 0.004 + 0.020 + 0.060) + 0.124 + 0.187)
≈ 0.605
(c) P(x ≤ 3) = P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) ≈ 0.0004 + 0.004 0.020 + 0.060 ≈ 0.084

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154 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

24. n = 10, p = 0.14


(a) P(2) ≈ 0.264
(b) P(x > 6) = P(7) + P(8) + P(9) + P(10)
≈ 8.046 × 10−5 + 4.912 × 10−6 + 1.777 × 10−7 + 2.893 × 10−9
≈ 8.555 × 10−5
(c) P(x ≤ 5)= P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) + P(4) + P(5)
≈ 0.221 + 0.360 + 0.264 + 0.115 + 0.033 + 0.006
= 0.999

25. n = 10, p = 0.28


(a) P(2) ≈ 0.255
(b) P(x > 2) = 1 − P(x ≤ 2) = 1 − (P(0) + P(1) + P(2))
≈ 1 − (0.037 + 0.146 + 0.255)
≈ 0.562
(c) P(x ≤ 2 ≤ 5) = P(2) + P(3) + P(4) + P(5)
≈ 0.255 + 0.264 + 0.180 + 0.084
= 0.783

26. n = 12, p = 0.25


(a) P(4) ≈ 0.194
(b) P(x > 4) = 1 − P(x ≤ 4)
= 1 − (P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) + P(4))
≈ 1 − (0.032 + 0.127 + 0.232 + 0.258 + 0.194)
≈ 0.157
(c) P(4 ≤ x ≤ 8) = P(4) + P(5) + P(6) + P(7) + P(8)
≈ 0.194 + 0.103 + 0.040 + 0.011 + 0.002
= 0.350

27. (a) n = 6, p = 0.63 (b)


x P(x)
0 0.003
1 0.026
2 0.112
3 0.253
4 0.323
5 0.220
6 0.063
Skewed left
(c) µ = np = (6)(0.63) ≈ 3.8
σ 2 = npq = (6)(0.63)(0.37) ≈ 1.4
σ = npq = (6)(0.63)(0.37) ≈ 1.2
(d) On average, 3.8 out of 6 adults are visiting the dentist less because of the economy. The
standard deviation is 1.2, so most samples of 6 adults would differ from the mean by no more
than 1.2 people The values x = 0 and x = 1 would be unusual because their probabilities are
less an 0.05.

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 155

28. (a) n = 5, p = 0.25 (b)


x P(x)
0 0.237
1 0.396
2 0.264
3 0.088
4 0.015
5 0.001
Skewed right
(c) µ = np = (5)(0.25) ≈ 1.3
σ 2 = npq = (5)(0.25)(0.75) ≈ 0.9
σ = npq = (5)(0.25)(0.75) ≈ 1.0
(d) On average, 1.3 adults out of 5 have no trouble sleeping at night. The standard deviation is
1.0 adults, so most samples of 5 adults would differ from the mean by no more than 1 person.
The values x = 4 and x = 5 would be unusual because their probabilities are less than
0.05.

29. (a) n = 4, p = 0.05 (b)

x P(x)
0 0.814506
1 0.171475
2 0.013538
3 0.000475
4 0.000006
Skewed right
(c) µ = np = (4)(0.05) ≈ 0.2
σ 2 = npq = (4)(0.05)(0.95) ≈ 0.2
σ = npq = (4)(0.05)(0.95) ≈ 0.4
(d) On average, 0.2 eligible adults out of every 4 gives blood. The standard deviation is 0.4, so
most sample of 4 eligible adults would differ from the mean by at most 0.4 adult. The values
x = 2, x = 3, or x = 4 would be unusual because their probabilities are less than 0.05.

30. (a) n = 5, p = 0.39 (b)

x P(x)
0 0.084
1 0.270
2 0.345
3 0.221
4 0.071
5 0.009
Skewed right
(c) µ = np = (5)(0.39) ≈ 2.0
σ 2 = npq = (5)(0.39)(0.61) ≈ 1.2
σ = npq = (5)(0.35)(0.61) ≈ 1.1

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156 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

(d) On average, 2.0 adults out of 5 have O+ blood. The standard deviation is 1.1, so most
samples of 5 adults would differ from the mean by at most 1.1 adults. The value x = 5 would
be unusual because the probability is less than 0.05.

31. (a) n = 6, p = 0.37


x P(x)
0 0.063
1 0.220
2 0.323
3 0.253
4 0.112
5 0.026
6 0.003
(b) P(x = 2) ≈ 0.323
(c) P(x ≥ 5) = P(x = 5) + P(x = 6) ≈ 0.026 + 0.003 = 0.029

32. (a) n = 5, p = 0.48


x P(x)
0 0.038
1 0.175
2 0.324
3 0.299
4 0.138
5 0.025
(b) P(x = 2) ≈ 0.324
(c) P(x < 4) = 1 − P(x ≥ 4) = 1 − P(x = 4) − P(x = 5)
≈ 1 − 0.138 − 0.025
= 0.837

33. n = 6, p = 0.37, q = 0.63


µ = np = (6)(0.37) ≈ 2.2
σ = npq = (6)(0.37)(0.63) ≈ 1.2
On average, 2.2 out of 6 travelers would name “crying kids” as the most annoying. The standard
deviation is 1.2, so most samples of 6 travelers would differ from the mean by at most 1.2
travelers. The values x = 5 and x = 6 would be unusual because their probabilities are less than
0.05.

34. n = 5, p = 0.48, q = 0.52


µ = np = (5)(0.48) ≈ 2.4
σ = npq = (5)(0.48)(0.52) ≈ 1.1
On average, 2.4 out of 5 owners would name financial management as the skill they want to
develop further. The standard deviation is 1.1, so most samples of 5 owners would differ from the
mean by at most 1.1 owners. The values x = 0 and x = 5 would be unusual because their
probabilities are less than 0.05.

35. (a) P(x = 9) ≈ 0.081


(b) P(x ≥ 7) ≈ 0.541
(c) P(x ≤ 3) ≈ 0.022; This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 157

36. (a) P(x = 4) ≈ 0.270


(b) P(x ≥ 5) ≈ 0.431
(c) P(x < 2) ≈ 0.024; This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.

5 2 2 1
10! ⎛ 9 ⎞ ⎛ 3 ⎞ ⎛ 3 ⎞ ⎛ 1 ⎞
37. P(5, 2, 2, 1) = ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ = 0.033
5!2!2!1! ⎝ 16 ⎠ ⎝ 16 ⎠ ⎝ 16 ⎠ ⎝ 16 ⎠

5 2 2 1
10! ⎛ 5 ⎞ ⎛ 4 ⎞ ⎛ 1 ⎞ ⎛ 6 ⎞
38. P(5, 2, 2, 1) = ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ = 0.002
5!2!2!1! ⎝ 16 ⎠ ⎝ 16 ⎠ ⎝ 16 ⎠ ⎝ 16 ⎠

4.3 MORE DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

4.3 Try It Yourself Solutions

1a. P(1) = (0.74)(0.26)0 ≈ 0.74


P(2) = (0.74)(0.26)0 ≈ 0.192
b. P(shot made before third attempt) = P(1) + P(2) ≈ 0.932
c. The probability that LeBron makes his first free throw shot before his third attempt is 0.932.

30 (2.71828)−3 31 (2.71828) −3
2a. P (0) ≈ ≈ 0.050 P (1) ≈ ≈ 0.149
0! 1!
32 (2.71828) −3 33 (2.71828) −3
P (2) ≈ ≈ 0.224 P (3) ≈ ≈ 0.224
2! 3!
34 (2.71828) −3
P (4) ≈ ≈ 0.168
4!
b. P (0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) + P(4) ≈ 0.050 + 0.149 + 0.224 + 0.224 + 0.168 = 0.815
c. 1 − 0.815 = 0185
d. The probability that more than four accidents will occur in any given month at the intersection is
0.185.

2000
3a. µ = = 0.10
20, 000
b. µ = 0.10, x = 3
c. P(3) = 0.0002
d. The probability of finding three brown trout in any given cubic meter of the lake is 0.0002.
e. Because 0.0002 is less than 0.05, this can be considered an unusual event.

4.3 EXERCISE SOLUTIONS

1. P (3) = (0.65)(0.35) 2 = 0.08

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158 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

2. P (1) = (0.45)(0.55)0 = 0.45

3. P (5) = (0.09)(0.91) 4 = 0.062

4. P (8) = (0.28)(0.72)7 = 0.028

(5)4 (2.71828) −5
5. P (4) ≈ = 0.175
4!

(6)3 (2.71828)−6
6. P (3) ≈ = 0.089
3!

(1.5) 2 (2.71828)−1.5
7. P (2) ≈ = 0.251
2!

(9.8)5 (2.71828) −9.8


8. P (5) ≈ = 0.042
5!

9. In a binomial distribution, the value of x represents the number of success in n trials, and in a
geometric distribution the value of x represents the first trial that results in a success.

10. In a binomial distribution, the value of x represents the number of successes in n trials, and in a
Poisson distribution the value of x represents the number of occurrences in an interval.

11. Geometric, You are interested in counting the number of trials until the first success.

12. Poisson. You are interested in counting the number of occurrences that takes place within a given
unit of time.

13. Binomial. You are interested in counting the number of successes out of n trials.

14. Geometric. You are interested in counting the number of trials until the first success.

15. p = 0.19
(a) P (5) = (0.19)(0.81) 4 ≈ 0.082
(b) P(sale on 1st, 2nd, or 3rd call) = P (1) + P (2) + P(3)
= (0.19)(0.81)0 + (0.19)(0.81)1 + (0.19)(0.81) 2 ≈ 0.469
(c) P(no sale of first 3 calls) = 1 − P(sale on 1st, 2nd, or 3rd call) ≈ 1 − 0.469 = 0.531

16. µ = 2
(2)5 (2.71828)−2
(a) P (5) ≈ ≈ 0.036
5!
This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.
(b) P(x ≥ 5) = 1 − (P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) + P(4))
≈ 1 − (0.135 + 0.271 + 0.271 + 0.180 + 0.090)
= 0.053

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 159

(c) P(x > 5) = 1 − (P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) + P(4) + P(5))


≈ 1 − (0.135 + 0.271 + 0.271 + 0.180 + 0.090 + 0.036)
= 0.017
This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.

17. µ = 4
(4)3 (2.71828) −4
(a) P (3) = = 0.195
3!
(b) P(x ≥ 3) = 1 − P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3)
≈ 0.018 + 0.073 + 0.147 + 0.195
= 0.433
(c) P(x > 3) = 1 − (P(x ≤ 3) ≈ 1 − 0.433 = 0.567

18. p = 0.648
(a) P(2) = (0.648)(0.352)1 ≈ 0.228
(b) P(completes 1st or 2nd pass) = P(1) + P(2) = (0.648)(0.352)0 + (0.648)(0.352)1 ≈ 0.876
(c) P(does not complete first 2 passes) = 1 − P(completes 1st or 2nd pass)
≈ 1 − 0.876
= 0.124
2!
P(0) = (0.648)0 (0.352) 2 = 0.124
0!2!

19. µ = 0.6
(0.6)1 (2.71828) −0.6
(a) P (1) ≈ = 0.329
1!
(b) P(x ≤1) = P(0) + P(1) ≈ 0.549 + 0.329 =0.878
(c) P(x > 1) = 1 − (P(x ≤ 1) ≈ 1 − 0.878 = 0.122

1
20. p = = 0.002
500
(a) P (10) = (0.002)(0.998)9 = 0.002
This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.
(b) P(1st, 2nd, or 3rd part is defective)
= P(1) + P(2) + P(3) = (0.002)(0.998)0 + (0.002)(0.998)1 + (0.002)(0.998) 2 = 0.006
This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.
(c) P(x > 10) = 1 − P(x ≤ 10) = 1 − [ P (1) + P (2) + " + P (10)] = 1 − 0.020 = 0.980

1
21. p = = 0.25
4
(a) P(4) = (0.25)(0.75)3 ≈ 0.105
(b) P(prize with 1st, 2nd, or 3rd purchase)
= P(1) + P(2) + P(3) = (0.25)(0.75)0 + (0.25)(0.75)1 + (0.25)(0.75) 2 = 0.578

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160 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

(c) P(x > 4) = 1 − P(x ≤ 4) = 1 − [ P (1) + P (2) + P (3) + P (4)] = 1 − 0.684 = 0.316

22. µ = 9.5
(9.5)10 (2.71828)−9.5
(a) P (10) ≈ = 0.124
10!
(b) P(x ≤10) ≈ 0.645
(c) P(x > 10) = 1 − P(x ≤ 10) ≈ 1 − 0.645 = 0.355

23. µ = 8
(a) P (8) ≈ 0.140
(b) P(x ≤ 3) ≈ 0.042
This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.005.
(c) P(x > 12) ≈ 0.064

24. µ = 45
(a) P (50) = 0.043
This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.
(b) P(x ≥ 65) ≈ 0.003
This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.
(c) P(x ≤ 40) ≈ 0.256

1
25. (a) n = 6000, p = = 0.0004
2500
6000!
P(4) = (0.0004)4 (0.9996)5996 ≈ 0.1254235482
5996!4!
6000
(b) µ = = 2.4 cars with defects per 6000.
2500
P(4) ≈ 0.1254084986
The results are approximately the same.

26. (a) P (0) =


( 2 C0 )( 13 C3 ) = (1)(286) = 0.629
15 C3 455
( 2 C1 ) ( 13 C2 ) (2)(78)
(b) P (1) = = = 0.343
15 C3 455
( 2 C2 ) ( 13 C1 ) (1)(13)
(c) P (2) = = = 0.029
15 C3 455

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 161

1
27. p = = 0.001
1000
1 1
(a) µ = = = 1000
p 0.001
q 0.999
σ2 = 2 = = 999, 000
p (0.001) 2
σ = σ 2 ≈ 999.5
On average, you would have to play 1000 times in order to win the lottery. The standard
deviation is 999.5 times.
(b) 1000 times, because it is the mean.
You would expect to lose money, because, on average, you would win $500 every 1000 times
you play the lottery and pay $1000 to play it. So, the net gain would be −$500.

28. p = 0.005
1 1
(a) µ = = = 200
p 0.005
q 0.995
σ2 = 2 = = 39,800
p (0.005) 2
σ = σ 2 ≈ 199.5
On average 200 records will be examined before finding one that has been miscalculated. The
standard deviation is 199.5 records.
(b) 200, because it is the mean.

29. µ = 3.9
(a) σ 2 = µ = 3.9
σ = σ 2 ≈ 2.0
The standard deviation is 2.0 strokes, so most of Phil’s scores per hole differ from the mean
by no more than 2.0 strokes.

(b) For 18 holes, Phil’s average would be (18)(3.9) = 70.2 strokes.


So, µ = 70.2 .
P(x > 72) = 1 − P(x ≤ 72) ≈ 1 − 0.615 = 0.385

30. µ = 29.9
(a) σ 2 = µ = 29.9
σ = σ 2 ≈ 5.5
The standard deviation to 5.5 inches, so most of the January snowfalls in Mount Shasta differ
from the mean by no more than 5.5 inches.
(b) 3 feet = 36 inches
P(x > 36) = 1 − P(x ≤ 36) ≈ 1 − 0.884 = 0.116

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162 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

CHAPTER 4 REVIEW EXERCISE SOLUTIONS

1. Continuous, because the length of time spent sleeping is a random variable that cannot be
counted.

2. Discrete, because the number of fish caught is a random variable that is countable.

3. Discrete. 4. Continuous

5. Continuous 6. Discrete

7. No, ∑ P( x) ≠ 1. 8. Yes.

9. Yes

10. No, P(5) > 1 and ∑ P( x) ≠ 1.


11. (a)
x f P(x)
2 3 0.005
3 12 0.018
4 72 0.111
5 115 0.177
6 169 0.260
7 120 0.185
8 83 0.128
9 48 0.074
10 22 0.034
11 6 0.009
n = 650
∑ P( x) ≈ 1
(b)

Approximately symmetric

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 163

(c)
xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0.010 −4.377 19.158 0.096
0.054 −3.377 11.404 0.205
0.444 −2.377 5.650 0.627
0.885 −1.377 1.896 0.336
1.560 −0.377 0.142 0.037
1.295 0.623 0.388 0.072
1.024 1.623 2.634 0.337
0.666 2.623 6.880 0.509
0.340 3.623 13.126 0.446
0.099 4.623 21.372 0.192
∑ xP ( x) = 6.377 ∑ ( x − µ )2 P ( x) = 2.857

µ = ∑ xP( x) = 6.377 ≈ 6.4


σ 2 = ∑ ( x − µ ) 2 P( x) = 2.857 ≈ 2.9
σ = σ 2 = 2.857 ≈ 1.7
(d) The mean is 6.4, so the average number of pages per section is about 6 pages. The
standard deviation is 1.7, so most of the sections differ from the mean by no more
than about 2 pages.

12. (a)
x f P(x)
0 29 0.207
1 62 0.443
2 33 0.236
3 12 0.086
4 3 0.021
5 1 0.007
n = 140
∑ P( x) = 1
(b)

Skewed right

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164 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

(c)
xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0 −1.292 1.669 0.345
0.443 −0.292 0.085 0.038
0.472 0.708 0.501 0.118
0.258 1.708 2.917 0.251
0.084 2.708 7.333 0.154
0.035 3.708 13.749 0.096
∑ xP ( x) = 1.292 ∑ ( x − µ ) 2 P ( x) = 1.002

µ = ∑ xP( x) = 1.292 ≈ 1.3


σ 2 = ∑ ( x − µ )2 P( x) = 1.002 ≈ 1.0
σ = σ 2 = 1.002 ≈ 1.0
(d) The mean is 1.3, so the average number of hits per game is about 1 hit. The standard
deviation is 1.0, so most of the games differ from the mean by no more than 1 hit.

13. (a)
x f P(x)
0 5 0.020
1 35 0.140
2 68 0.272
3 73 0.292
4 42 0.168
5 19 0.076
6 8 0.032
n = 250
∑ P( x) = 1
(b)

Approximately symmetric

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 165

(c)
xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0 −2.804 7.862 0.157
0.140 −1.804 3.254 0.456
0.544 −0.804 0.646 0.176
0.876 0.196 0.038 0.011
0.672 1.196 1.430 0.240
0.380 2.196 4.822 0.366
0.192 3.196 10.214 0.327
∑ xP ( x) = 2.804 ∑ ( x − µ ) 2 P ( x) = 1.733

µ = ∑ xP( x) = 2.804 ≈ 2.8


σ = ∑ ( x − µ ) P( x) = 1.733 ≈ 1.7
2 2

σ = σ 2 = 1.733 ≈ 1.3
(d) The mean is 2.8, so the average number of cellular phones per household is about 3. The
standard deviation is 1.3, so most of the households differ from the mean by no more than
about 1 cellular phone.

14. (a)
x f P(x)
15 76 0.1342
30 445 0.7862
60 30 0.0530
90 3 0.0053
120 12 0.0212
n = 566
∑P( x) = 1
(b)

Skewed right

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166 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

(c)
xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
2.0145 −16.8015 282.2904 37.9116
23.5860 −1.8015 3.2454 2.5515
3.1800 28.1985 795.1554 42.1432
0.4770 58.1985 3387.0654 17.9514
2.5440 88.1985 7778.9754 164.9143
∑ xP ( x) = 31.8015 ∑ ( x − µ ) 2 P ( x) = 265.4720

µ = ∑ xP( x) = 31.8015 ≈ 31.8


σ = ∑ ( x − µ ) P( x) = 265.4720 ≈ 265.5
2 2

σ = σ 2 = 265.4720 ≈ 16.3
(d) The mean is 31.8, so the average length of an advertising block is 31.8 seconds. The
standard deviation is 16.3, so most of the commercials differ from the mean by no more
than 16.3 seconds.

15. E ( x) = µ = ∑ xP( x) ≈ 3.4


16. E ( x) = µ = ∑ xP( x) ≈ 2.5
17. No; In a binomial experiment, there are only two possible outcomes: success or failure.

18. Yes; The experiment has 20 independent trials, there are two possible outcomes (C and not C),
the probability of success is the same for each trial, and the random variable x represents the
number of outcomes of C.
The possibility of success for each trial is 0.20.

19. It is a binomial experiment.


n = 12, p = 0.24, q = 0.76, x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12

20. Not a binomial experiment because the experiment is not repeated for a fixed number of trials.

21. n = 8, p = 0.25
(a) P(3) ≈ 0.208
(b) P(x ≥ 3) = 1 − P(x < 3) = 1 − [ P (0) + P (1) + P (2)] = 1 − [0.100 + 0.267 + 0.311] = 0.322
(c) P(x > 3) = 1 − P(x ≤ 3) =
1 − [ P (0) + P (1) + P (2) + P (3) ] = 1 − [0.100 + 0.267 + 0.311 + 0.208] = 0.114

22. n = 12, p = 0.25


(a) P(2) ≈ 0.232
(b) P(x ≥ 2) = 1 − [ P (0) + P (1) ] = 1 − [0.032 + 0.127] = 0.841
(c) P(x > 2) = 1 − P(x ≤ 2) = 1 − [ P(0) + P(1) + P (2)]
≈ 1 − [0.032 + 0.127 + 0.232] = 0.609

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 167

23. n = 9, p = 0.43
(a) P(5) ≈ 0.196
(b) P(x ≥ 5) = P(5) + P(6) + P(7) + P(8) + P(9)
≈ 0.196 + 0.098 +0.032 + 0.006 + 0.001
= 0.333
(c) P(x > 5) = P(6) + P(7) + P(8) + P(9)
≈ 0.098 + 0.032 + 0.006 + 0.001
= 0.137

24. n = 5, p = 0.31
(a) P(2) ≈ 0.316
(b) P(x ≥ 2) = P(2) + P(3) + P(4) + P(5) ≈ 0.316 + 0.142 + 0.032 + 0.003 = 0.493
(c) P(x > 2) = P(3) + P(4) + P(5) ≈ 0.142 + 0.032 + 0.003 = 0.177

25. (a) n = 5, p = 0.34 (b)

x P(x)
0 0.125
1 0.323
2 0.332
3 0.171
4 0.044
5 0.005
Skewed right
(c) µ = np = (5)(0.34) = 1.7
σ 2 = npq = (5)(0.34)(0.66) ≈ 1.1
σ = npq = (5)(0.34)(0.66) ≈ 1.1
The mean is 1.7 , so an average of 1.7 out of 5 women have spouses who never help with
household chores. The standard deviation is 1.1, so most samples of 5 women differ from the
mean by no more than 1.1 women.
(d) The values x = 4 and x = 5 are unusual because their probabilities are less than 0.05.

26. (a) n = 6, p = 0.68 (b)

x P(x)
0 0.001
1 0.014
2 0.073
3 0.206
4 0.328
5 0.279
6 0.099
Skewed left

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168 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

(c) µ = np = (6)(0.68) ≈ 4.1


σ 2 = npq = (5)(0.68)(0.32) ≈ 1.3
σ = npq = (6)(0.68)(0.32) ≈ 1.1
The mean is 4.1, so an average of 4.1 out of 6 families say that their children have an
influence on their vacation destinations. The standard deviation is 1.1, so most samples of 6
families differ from the mean by no more than 1.1 families.
(d) The values x = 0 and x= 1 are unusual because their probabilities are less than 0.05.

27. (a) n = 4, p = 0.4 (b)

x P(x)
0 0.130
1 0.346
2 0.346
3 0.154
4 0.025

(c) µ = np = (4)(0.4) = 1.6 Skewed right


σ 2 = npq = (4)(0.4)(0.6) ≈ 1.0
σ = npq = (4)(0.4)(0.6) ≈ 1.0
The mean is 1.6, so an average of 1.6 out of 4 tracks have diesel engines. The standard
deviation is 1.0, so most samples of 4 trucks differ from the mean by no more than 1 truck.
(d) The value x = 4 is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.

28. (a) n = 5, p = 0.63 (b)

x P(x)
0 0.007
1 0.059
2 0.201
3 0.342
4 0.291
5 0.099
Skewed left
(c) µ = np = (5)(0.63) = 3.2
σ 2 = npq = (5)(0.63)(0.37) = 1.2
σ = npq = (5)(0.63)(0.37) = 1.1
The mean is 3.2, so an average of 3.2 out of 5 mothers choose fast food one to three times a
week. The standard deviation is 1.1, so most samples of 5 mothers differ from the mean by no
more than 1.1 mothers.
(d) The value x = 0 is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 169

29. p = 0.22
(a) P(3) = (0.22)(0.78)2 ≈ 0.134
(b) P(4 or 5) = P(4) + P(5) = (0.22)(0.78) 2 + (0.22)(0.78) 4 ≈ 0.186
(c) P(x > 7) = 1 − P(x ≤ 7)
= 1 − [ P (1) + P (2) + P (3) + P(4) + P(5) + P(6) + P(7) ]
= 1 − [0.220 + 0.172 + 0.134 + 0.104 + 0.081 + 0.064 + 0.050]
= 0.175

33
30. p = = 0.429
77
(a) P(1) = (0.429)(0.571)0 ≈ 0.429
(b) P(2) = (0.429)(0.571)1 ≈ 0.245
(c) P(1 or 2) = P(1) + P(2) ≈ 0.429 + 0.245 = 0.674
(d) P(within first 3 games) = P(1) P(2) + P(3) ≈ 0.429 + 0.245 + 0.140 = 0.814

6755 97.9
31. µ = ≈ 97.9 tornado deaths/year → µ = ≈ 0.268 deaths/day
69 365
(0.268)0 (2.71828) −0.268
(a) P(0) ≈ ≈ 0.765
0!
(0.268)1 (2.71828) −0.268
(b) P(1) ≈ ≈ 0.205
1!
(c) P(x < 2) = P(0) + P(1) + P(2)
≈ 0.765 + 0.205 + 0.027
= 0.997
(d) P(x > 1) = 1 − P(x ≤ 1) = 1 − [ P (0) + P (1) ] = 1 − [0.765 + 0.205] = 0.030
This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.

32. (a) µ = 10
P(x ≥ 3) = 1 − P(x < 3)
= 1 − [ P (0) + P (1) + P (2) ≈ 1 − [0.000 + 0.0005 + 0.0023] ≈ 0.997
(b) µ = 5
P(x ≥ 3) = 1 − P(x < 3)
= 1 − [ P (0) + P (1) + P (2) ≈ 1 − [0.00 + 0.034 + 0.084] ≈ 0.875
(c) µ = 15
P(x ≥ 3) = 1 − P(x < 3)
= 1 − [ P (0) + P (1) + P (2) ≈ 1 − [0.0000 + 0.0000 + 0.0000] ≈ 1

33. The probability increases as the rate increases, and decreases as the rate decreases.

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170 CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

CHAPTER 4 QUIZ SOLUTIONS

1. (a) Discrete because the number of lightning strikes that occur in Wyoming during the month of
June is a random variable that is countable.
(b) Continuous because the fuel (in gallons) used by the Space Shuttle during takeoff is a random
variable that has an infinite number of possible outcomes and cannot be counted.

2. (a)
x f P(x)
1 114 0.400
2 74 0.260
3 76 0.267
4 18 0.063
5 3 0.011
n = 285 ∑ P( x) ≈ 1
(b)

Skewed right
(c)
xP(x) (x − µ) (x − µ)2 (x − µ)2P(x)
0.400 −1.028 1.057 0.423
0.520 −0.028 0.001 0.000
0.801 0.972 0.945 0.252
0.252 1.972 3.889 0.245
0.055 2.972 8.833 0.097
∑ xP ( x) = 2.028 ∑ ( x − µ )2 P ( x) = 1.017

µ = ∑ xP( x) = 2.028 ≈ 2.0


σ = ∑ ≤ ( x − µ ) P( x) = 1.017 = 1.0
2 2

σ = σ 2 = 1.017 = 1.0
On average, the intensity of a hurricane will be 2.0. The standard deviation is 1.0, so most
hurricane intensities will differ from the mean by no more than 1.0.
18 3
(d) P ( x ≥ 4) = P (4) + P (5) = + = 0.074
285 285

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CHAPTER 4 │ DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 171

3. (a) n = 6, p = 0.85

x P(x)
0 0.00001
1 0.00039
2 0.00549
3 0.04145
4 0.17618
5 0.39933
6 0.37715
(b)

(c) µ = np = (6)(0.85) = 5.1


σ 2 = npq = (6)(0.85)(0.15) = 0.8
σ = npq = (16)(0.85)(0.15) = 0.9
The average number of successful surgeries is 5.1 out of 6. The standard deviation is 0.9, so
most samples of 6 surgeries differ from the mean by no more than 0.9 surgery.
(d) P(3) ≈ 0.041
This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.
(e) P(x < 4) = P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) ≈ 0.047
This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.

4. µ=5
(5)5 (2.71828)−5
(a) P(5) ≈ ≈ 0.175
5!
(b) P(x < 5) = P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) + P(4)
≈ 0.007 + 0.034 + 0.084 + 0.140 + 0.175
= 0.440
(5)0 (2.71828) −5
(c) P(0) ≈ ≈ 0.007
0!

5. p = 0.602
P(4) = (0.602)(0.398)3 ≈ 0.038
This event is unusual because its probability is less than 0.05.

6. p = 0.602
P(2 or 3) = P(2) + P(3) = (0.602)(0.398)1 + (0.602)(0.398) 2 ≈ 0.335
This event is not unusual because its probability is greater than 0.05.

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