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Co-37485489-V1-Investor Presentation Dated 11 November 2019
Co-37485489-V1-Investor Presentation Dated 11 November 2019
November 2019
Compelling and certain value at a premium to Takeaway.com’s offer
Implied Premium:
1. Closing Price of 589p per Just Eat Share on 21 October 2019 (last business day before Prosus’s firm offer announcement)
2. Value of the Takeaway.com Offer of 594 pence per Just Eat Share based on Takeaway.com’s Closing Price of €71.00 on 21 October 2019
3. The Offer is initially open for acceptance until 1pm on 11 December 2019. MIH Food Delivery Holdings B.V. reserves the right (but shall not be obliged, other than as may be required by the City Code) at any time or from time to time to extend the Offer after such time. The latest date and time by which the Offer may be declared or become
unconditional as to acceptances is 1pm on 10 January 2020 (unless extended with the consent of the Panel).
2
Prosus can justify the premium as we are uniquely positioned to address
the market opportunity and challenges faced by Just Eat
1 Prosus is a leading global operator and investor in Food Delivery with a proven track record
2 Food delivery is going through a global transformation, with own-delivery key to success
Just Eat is facing significant competitive pressure and requires investment in own-delivery,
3 marketing, product and technology
4 Market is underestimating the impact of the required transformation on Just Eat’s financials
3
Prosus is a leading global consumer internet group
TOP 10
PURE PLAY
INTERNET STOCK
77
LEADERSHIP POSITIONS3
c. €100bn
MARKET capitalisation1
US$18bn >1.5bn
REVENUES FY’192 CUSTOMERS ACROSS4
30% c.90
REVENUE GROWTH FY’192 MARKETS4
Over 900m
350m transactions
users1 processed1
38 >US$30bn
Countries2 total payment value1
Food Delivery
36 market leading
More than positions across 44
1bn3 countries4
Weixin and
WeChat users >4bn
people covered4
#1 online
platform in China5
>650k4
restaurant partners
Order growth1,2
Prosus portfolio
+320%
+122%
+92%
+35%
+22% +21% +16%
+10%
+10%
Swiggy iFood Delivery Hero Meiutan Yume Takeaway.com Just Eat Grubhub
1. FY2019 vs FY2018 for Swiggy (latest publicly disclosed information); six months ended in June 2019 vs June 2018 for iFood
2. Q3 2019 vs Q3 2018 for Delivery Hero, Takeaway.com (adjusted for acquisition of assets in Germany and Israel), Yume no Machi (quarter ending 31 August), Just Eat, Grubhub; Meituan Q2 2019 vs Q2 2018 (latest reported)
7
The food sector is evolving rapidly, moving from marketplace to own-
delivery and beyond. We are at the forefront of this transformation
Customer needs
Broader restaurant selection …best addressed by innovative,
own-delivery focused model
Increased food variety
+
customer experience
8
Historically, Just Eat had an excellent financial profile and leading portfolio…
80% 80%
No.1 in 13 of 13
60% 60%
geographies1
52%
51% 53% 50%
40% 40%
38%
31%
34%
20% 20%
19%
0% 0%
Mar-14 Dec-14 Sep-15 Jun-16 Mar-14 Dec-14 Sep-15 Jun-16
91%
85%
75% 75% 75%
53%
50% 50% 50% 50%
45%
43%
0% 0% 0%
Nov-16 Nov-19 Nov-16 Nov-19 Nov-15 Nov-19
1. Based on respective shares of Just Eat, Deliveroo and Uber Eats (source: SimilarWeb, data on Android platform)
2. Based on respective shares of Just Eat, Deliveroo and Uber Eats (source: Google Trends)
10
…and across other core markets…
100%
98% 96% 94%
75% 79%
50% 51%
41%
32%
25%
19%
0%
Nov-15 Nov-19 Nov-15 Nov-19 Nov-15 Nov-19 Nov-15 Nov-19
No.1 in 7/8 of 13
geographies1
60% 60%
50%
51%
Marketplace order
growth of 3.8%
40% 40%
in H1 19
38%
35%
8%
0% 0%
Mar-14 Feb-15 Jan-16 Dec-16 Nov-17 Oct-18 Sep-19 Mar-14 Feb-15 Jan-16 Dec-16 Nov-17 Oct-18 Sep-19
YoY order growth EBITDA margin YoY order growth EBITDA margin
12
Just Eat’s global peers have been impacted by similar challenges
50% 9% 80
60
25%
2019 guided EBITDA margin
decline vs 2018A2 40 -61%
0%
Nov-16 Nov-19 20
Grubhub Doordash Uber Eats Postmates Nov-18 Nov-19
100%
100
75%
50% 16% 80
60
2019A operating profit margin -57%
25% 40
decline vs 2018A
0% 20
Nov-16 Nov-19 Nov-18 Nov-19
Yume No Machi Uber Eats
Before After
Significant multi-year
iFood market leading
investment led by Prosus
incumbent in Brazil
($400m announced in 2018)
14
Just Eat requires substantial investment in own-delivery, marketing,
product and technology
4.9% own-delivery
H1 2019
€350m
$200m+ Announced investment in
strategic growth initiatives
$100m Investment in marketing
in 20195
Economic impact of the urgent transformation required… …is not reflected in the current market consensus forecasts
44%
40% 42%
Transformation
Gross Profit and EBITDA margins should impact is
decrease given incremental delivery and 28% underestimated
Transformation
impact is
Capital requirements should increase due underestimated
to requirement to build logistics
infrastructure
2017 2018 2019E 2020E 2021E 2017 2018 2019E 2020E 2021E
Actuals Forecasts
1. Just Eat consensus comprises all analyst notes available to Prosus since 31 July 2019 (the date of Just Eat’s H1 2019 Results statement) as of 8 November 2019 (the last practicable date prior to the publication of the Offer Document) and includes group level estimates from the following analysts(excluding connected advisors): Arete Research
Services (04 November 2019), Barclays (01 August 2019), Berenberg (09 August 2019), Credit Suisse (22 October 2019), Exane BNP Paribas (30 October 2019), HSBC (22 October 2019), Investec (18 September 2019), Jefferies (13 August 2019), Liberum (23 October 2019), Macquarie (02 October 2019), Numis Securities (31 October 2019), Peel
Hunt (21 October 2019), RBC Capital Markets (24 October 2019). Group EBITDA margin is calculated as consensus group EBITDA divided by consensus group revenue. The minimum / maximum / arithmetic mean group EBITDA margin per the consensus is as follows: 2019: 10.2% / 18.9% / 17.0%, 2020: 14.9% / 20.0% / 18.2%, 2021: 16.1% /
23.8% / 20.0%. In accordance with Rule 28.8(c) of the City Code, the consensus estimates are not shown with the agreement or the approval of Just Eat.
2. The Just Eat consensus UK EBITDA margin forecast comprises those analysts from the list in footnote (1) that have published EBITDA margin forecasts for the UK. These analysts are: Barclays (01 August 2019), Credit Suisse (22 October 2019), Jefferies (13 August 2019), Liberum (23 October 2019), Numis (31 October 2019). UK EBITDA margin
is calculated as consensus UK EBITDA divided by consensus UK revenue. The minimum / maximum / arithmetic mean UK EBITDA margin per the consensus is as follows: 2019: 39.9% / 40.5% / 40.2%, 2020: 38.8% / 45.1% / 41.5%, 2021: 42.0% / 47.0% / 44.1%
16
Takeaway.com trading near all-time highs with outlier valuation
Enterprise Value / 2020E revenue1,2,3 Share price as of 26 July 2019 as % of all-time high5
3.9x 50.9%
3.6x
2.4x
1 Prosus is a leading global operator and investor in Food Delivery with a proven track record
2 Food delivery is going through a global transformation, with own-delivery key to success
Just Eat is facing significant competitive pressure and requires investment in own-delivery,
3 marketing, product and technology
4 Market is underestimating the impact of the required transformation on Just Eat’s financials
18
If you require any further information, please visit our website
www.prosus.com
or alternatively email Eoin Ryan (Head of Investor Relations)
at InvestorRelations@prosus.com