Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Hong Kong Economic Analysis
Hong Kong Economic Analysis
A small territory though it is, Hong Kong experienced rapid development evolving from a small
fishing village to a metropolitan city.
It has sustained through several rounds of economic transformation and developed into one of
the most vibrant and dynamic cities in the world.
It occupies a strategic location at the heart of East/Southeast Asia, assuming the role as a
regional transportation hub and the southern
gateway to china.
The current population of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of the People's
Republic of China is 7,476,486 as of Saturday, February 29, 2020, based on World meter
elaboration of the latest United Nations data.
China, Hong Kong SAR 2020 population is estimated at 7,496,981 people at mid-year according
to UN data.
Demographics
LIFE EXPECTANCY
85.29 years
(life expectancy at birth, both sexes)
INFANT MORTALITY
1.2
(infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Historical Timeline
Political Issues
Year Event
2001 The Grand Bauhinia Medal being bestowed on Yeung Kwong, a leader of the Hong Kong 1967 Leftist Riots.
Aborted proposal to grant development rights for the West Kowloon Cultural District to a single developer.
2006 Aborted proposal to introduce a Goods and Services Tax
Battle for conservation of Star Ferry Pier
Between 1990 and 2018, Hong Kong, China (SAR)’s HDI value increased from 0.781 to 0.939,
an increase of 20.3 percent. Table A reviews Hong Kong, China (SAR)’s progress in each of the
HDI indicators.
Between 1990 and 2018, Hong Kong, China (SAR)’s life expectancy at birth increased by 7.2
years, mean years of schooling increased by 3.5 years and expected years of schooling increased
by 3.7 years.
Hong Kong, China (SAR)’s GNI per capita increased by about 130.1 percent between 1990 and
2018.
2 Sectorial Distributions
The Government has been actively pursuing economic development in order to keep up the
competitive advantage of Hong Kong
The traditional Four Key Industries in Hong Kong,
namely
financial services,
tourism
trading and logistics
professional and producer services
have been the driving force of Hong Kong's economic
growth, providing impetus to growth of other sectors
and creating employment.
Taken together, the share of the total value added of
the Four Key Industries in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was 57.3%, while the percentage
share of total employment was 46.3%. Compared with 2017
The value added of financial services industry recorded the highest growth rate (+10.9%),
or 19.7% of GDP.
The industry also employed 263 000 persons in 2018, or 6.8% of total employment.
Percentages
Industry section
2014 2018 2019@
Manufacturing 2.8 2.3 2.3
Electricity and gas supply 0.2 0.2 0.2
Water supply; sewerage, waste
0.2 0.2 0.2
management and remediation services
Construction 8.3 8.9 8.6
Import and export trade 13.8 12.5 11.6
Wholesale 1.6 1.5 1.5
Retail 8.8 8.5 8.2
Transportation, storage, postal and
8.5 7.9 8.0
courier services
Accommodation(1) and food services 7.4 7.2 7.2
Information and communications 2.9 2.9 3.0
Financing and insurance 6.3 6.8 7.1
Real estate 3.5 3.6 3.7
Professional, scientific and technical
4.9 5.1 5.3
services
Administrative and support services 5.1 5.3 5.2
Public administration 2.9 3.0 3.0
Education 5.4 5.6 5.8
Human health and social work services 4.9 5.2 5.4
Arts, entertainment and recreation 1.4 1.5 1.5
Other social and personal services 11.1 11.8 12.1
Others 0.1 0.1 0.1
All industry sections 100.0 100.0 100.0
3
Total employment ('000) 3 744.2 867.6 3 862.8
(+0.5) (+1.1) (-§)
Notes : Figures refer to the Composite Employment
Estimates. Figures for 2019 are averages of
the first 3 quarters of the year.
(1) Accommodation services cover
hotels, guesthouses, boarding houses
and other establishments providing
short term accommodation.
Last revision date : 19
December 2019
3 Economic Status
Hong Kong’s economy contracted by 2.9% quarter-on-quarter in real terms in the fourth
quarter of 2019, after a fall of 2.8% in the preceding quarter. Considering the slowdown in global
economic growth and the threat of novel coronavirus infection, the Government forecasts Hong
Kong’s economy to grow by -1.5% to 0.5% in 2020.
Overall consumer prices rose by 1.4% in January 2020 over the same month a year
earlier, lower than the corresponding increase of 2.9% in December 2019. Considering inflation
rates in Hong Kong’s major import sources are likely to remain contained the Government
forecasts Hong Kong’s underlying consumer price inflation at 2.5% in 2020.
The value of retail sales, in nominal terms, decreased by 19.4% year-on-year in
December 2019 over the same month a year earlier, compared with a year-on-year decrease of
23.7% in November 2019.
The labor market conditions showed signs of easing. The seasonally adjusted
unemployment rate increased from 3.3% in October – December 2019 to 3.4% in the three
months ending January 2020.
Merchandise exports fell by 22.7% in January 2020 over the same month a year earlier,
after a year-on-year increase of 3.3% in December 2019.
Inflation
Consumer price inflation went up in 2019, primarily due to a sharp increase in pork
prices amid reduced supply of fresh pork since May. .
External price pressures receded through 2019, thanks to the moderation in inflation rates
in many of our major import sources and generally soft international commodity and
energy prices amid the global economic slowdown.
The strengthening of the Hong Kong dollar along with the US dollar against other major
currencies during the year also contributed to the lower imported inflation.
As a broad measure of the overall change in prices in the economy, the increase in GDP
deflator moderated from 3.6% in 2018 to 2.4% in 2019.
The terms of trade deteriorated slightly in 2019, as the rise in export prices was somewhat
slower than that in import prices. Taking out the external trade components, the domestic
demand deflator rose by 2.7% in 2019, 0.7 percentage points lower than the
corresponding increase in 2018.
Total exports of goods compiled under the GDP accounting framework fell by 4.7% in real terms
in 2019, in contrast to the 3.5% growth in 2018, as the global economic slowdown and US-
Mainland trade tensions dampened global trading and investment activities.
Exports of services deteriorated sharply and fell by 10.4% in real terms in 2019 after the solid
expansion of 4.6% in 2018. This represented the largest annual decline on record.
Exports of travel services plunged by 21.0% for the year as a whole, the largest annual decline
on record.
Specifically, exports of transport services turned to a visible fall, reflecting subdued cargo and
passenger flows.
Exports of financial as well as business and other services also declined, as cross-border
financial and commercial activities weakened amid softening global economic growth.
Imports of goods fell markedly by 7.6% in real terms in 2019, having grown by 5.9% in 2018.
Retained imports, which refer to the imports for domestic use and accounted for around one-
quarter of total imports, plummeted by 14.7%, reflecting the significant fall-offs of domestic
demand.
Imports of services switched to a decline of 2.3% in real terms in 2019, after recording a 2.7%
growth in 2018.
Investment Flows (FDI)
According to the UNCTAD World Investment Report 2019, global FDI inflows to Hong
Kong amounted to US$115.7 billion in 2018, ranked 3rd globally, behind only Mainland China
(US$139 billion) in Asia.
In terms of FDI outflows, Hong Kong ranked 3rd in Asia with US$85.2 billion, after
Japan (US$143.2 billion) and Mainland China (US$129.8 billion).
In terms of FDI stock, Hong Kong was the world’s 2nd largest host with US$1,997.2
billion, after the United States, and the world’s 4th largest investor with US$1,870.1 billion in
2018.
The most important source for Hong Kong’s inward Direct Investment is the British
Virgin Islands (BVI), accounting for 32.8% of the total position of Hong Kong’s Inward Direct
Investment at the end of 2017.
The second largest source of investment is from the Mainland China, accounting for
25.5% of the total position of Hong Kong’s Inward Direct Investment at the end of 2017.
The Cayman Islands, the Netherlands and Bermuda took up another 7.9%, 5.8% and 4.3%
respectively.
One distinct feature of such direct investment was the indirect channeling of capitals
from non-operating companies in tax haven economies.
Balance of Payments
Hong Kong recorded a BoP deficit of $59.8 billion (as a ratio of 8.3% to GDP) in the third
quarter of 2019, as against a surplus of $28.3 billion (as a ratio of 4.1% to GDP) in the second
quarter of 2019. Reserve assets correspondingly decreased by the same amount ($59.8 billion) in
the third quarter of 2019.
Trade Relations
Founding member of the World Trade Organization (WTO)
Member of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)
Member of the Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC)
Member of the Asian Development Bank (ADB)
Member of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB)
Associate member of the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and
the Pacific (ESCAP)
Observer of the Trade Committee of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and
Development (OECD)
Trade Policies
Hong Kong is a free port and does not levy any Customs tariff on imports or exports,
except there are four types of dutiable commodities which are liquors, tobacco,
hydrocarbon oil and methyl alcohol.
The certification system in Hong Kong is to facilitate local products to be exported
outside Hong Kong by certifying their origins. Imports do not require origin
certification.
Any persons who import or export any goods (other than exempted articles) are required
to lodge accurate and complete import/export declarations to Hong Kong Customs within
14 days after the import/export of goods.
Subject to certain conditions, shipping companies, airlines and freight companies which
have registered with the Trade and Industry Department are exempted from the
import/export licensing requirements for their transshipment cargoes.
5 Global Integrations
Hong Kong is the world’s freest economy. It is the world's most services-oriented economy, with
services sectors accounting for more than 90% of GDP.
According to World Trade Organization (WTO), Hong Kong is the world's 8th largest exporter
of merchandise trade and the world's 15th largest exporter of commercial services in 2018.
Hong Kong is an important banking and financial center in the Asia Pacific. Hong Kong
is the 3rd leading global financial center, only after New York and London, according to
the Global Financial Centre Index.
2020-21 Budget
The Financial Secretary, Mr Paul Chan, unveiled his 2020-21 Budgets on 26 February 2020.
Below are some highlights:
Provide a counter-cyclical measures of a massive scale involving above HK$120 billion,
including the HK$30 billion Anti-epidemic Fund already established and HK$18.3 billion
relief measures for enterprises
Waive the stamp duty on stock transfers paid by ETF market makers in the course of
creating and redeeming ETF units listed in Hong Kong
Provide tax concessions for the ship leasing business, including a profits tax exemption to
qualifying ship lessors and a half-rate profits tax concession to qualifying ship leasing
managers
Implement the two-way wealth management connect scheme in Guangdong-Hong Kong-
Macao Greater Bay Area as early as possible
6 Recommendations
Hong Kong has been positioning itself as Asia’s World City.
According to an array of international surveys and global benchmarking indexes, Hong
Kong stands out as a highly competitive global city, a leading financial center and
business hub, an attractive tourist destination, a city with a reputable brand, and a city
with world-class infrastructure.
Some of the comparative advantages are good international and regional connectivity,
compact city form, high urban mobility, a vast expanse of green spaces and large areas
of nature and cultural heritage conservation importance.
It has the most open economy, a stable monetary system, a low and simple tax
regime, advance legal and accounting systems and an efficient public service.
Nevertheless, Hong Kong only has a moderate performance for liveability and
innovation, which must be enhanced.
The development of Belt and Road Initiative & Greater Pearl River Delta (PRD) would
give Hong Kong as much more opportunities in the coming future.
In areas where Hong Kong does well, they should be reinforced in future planning to
maintain leading position and they are taking efforts through the Planning & Vision
Strategy 2030.
They have an entire different council to promote, assist and develop Hong Kong's
trade, they organizes international exhibitions, conferences and business missions to
create business opportunities for companies, particularly small and medium-sized
enterprises (SMEs), in the mainland and international markets. They also provide up-to-
date market insights and product information via trade publications, research reports and
digital news channels.
No Doubt there is some political instability & economic slowdown due to protest and
coronavirus and currently it had impacted the growth of the country.
But looking the above facts and figures we can say that it would be the world’s leading
business hub.
And we could recommend setting up the company/ business in the country.