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Status of 5G (March 2020)
Status of 5G (March 2020)
Status of 5G (March 2020)
of 5G globally?
By Catherine Sbeglia
JUNE 2016
MARCH 2020
Report Sponsors:
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Introduction the world that offered it within the which will be in China.
5G has taken the world by storm. technology’s first year. By 2025, claims the report, there
While everything about a 5G deploy- “With 5G, though,” he continued, will be 2.6 billion 5G subscriptions
ment—from the rate, to the scale, to “[the U.S.] alone already has 24 live globally and 5G networks will car-
the success—depends on the specif- networks. The buildout of the net- ry nearly half of the world‘s mobile
ics of a country or an operator, it works is happening a lot earlier in data traffic.
can be argued that, without a doubt, the cycle than it did for 4G across VIAVI Solution’s report, The State
global deployments of the latest ad- the entire globe.” of 5G Deployments, now in its
vancement in cellular technology According to the most recent fourth year, looked at the aston-
are occurring at a much faster rate Ericsson Mobility Report, roughly ishing growth of 5G from a slightly
than the generations before it. 50 service providers around the different angle, showing that, as of
To demonstrate just how quickly world have already announced January 2020, commercial 5G net-
5G is becoming a reality worldwide, the availability of commercial works have been deployed in 378
Ericsson’s Peter Linder, head of 5G 5G networks, and that momen- cities across 34 countries.
marketing in North America, ex- tum is only expected to continue, Kashif Hussain, director of mar-
plained that when 4G was rolled producing 13 million 5G subscrip- keting at VIAVI Solutions, said he
out, there were four operators in tions by the end of 2020, many of is actually surprised by the amount
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3
THE 5G DEPLOYMENT
BALANCING ACT
Attaining Right-sized, Reliable Fiber Fronthaul
Deploying a 5G network is complex—it is not simply upgrading the 5. It must have perfect timing and synchronization. Latency and
RAN and the core, rather 5G deployment brings layers of complexity, jitter cannot be present, especially for mobility and URLLC applications.
each intertwined with the next. To overcome the myriad challenges a
6. It must be easy to manage and maintain. Network failures in
successful 5G deployment encompasses, it is essential to understand
fiber fronthaul have to be quickly resolved and high reliability for
the cause and effect implications of every decision. Each choice can
time sensitive applications must be achieved.
impact the cost and the strength of a service provider’s business case.
And, for SPs with multiple service offerings, a scalable access fiber
5G has three core use cases: enhanced Mobile Broadband (eMBB),
architecture that can easily support residential, business, enterprise,
ultra-reliable low latency communication (URLLC), and massive
and 5G midhaul/fronthaul on the same platform is essential.
machine type communications (mMTC). And, initially not all use cases
will be implemented. For example, URLLC applications require certain
network enhancements that early 5G deployments may not be able to Testing the 5G Network
deliver, but from the SP perspective, planning for those requirements 5G’s massively larger bandwidth demands a much denser fiber
is essential for a future-proof 5G network. Building the best network fronthaul, midhaul and backhaul network. This means not only more
infrastructure to support 5G use cases is the top priority for all major fiber cables and end points, but also a higher order of multiplexing
SPs and to achieve that goal upgrading the underlying fiber network which in turn increases the complexity and scale of fiber testing.
that connects the radios to the core is the critical first step to success. Previously we had a pair of fiber cable connected to a radio. Now, this
While deploying fiber is costly, the benefits undeniably outweigh the has evolved to upwards of twelve or more fiber pairs per radios. As a
deployment challenges. Fiber offers higher bandwidths (required for result, a visual fault location tool will not suffice to validate fiber signal
eMBB) with less attenuation, resists electromagnetic interference, integrity. Technicians may see light at the other end but will have no
offers lower latency (URLLC), and with improving multiplexing way to validate a specific wavelength path is correct.
technologies, can accommodate capacity growth on the same fiber Further, in a WDM system, testing for correct power levels will
infrastructure. require different set of instruments. Many fibers will drive more MPO
connector deployments, which will require an MPO light source and an
MPO tester. Ultimately, fiber field installations will be more complex
HOW MUCH FIBER with significantly more MPO and xWDM deployments.
This increase in the number of fibers and the types of connections will
IS ENOUGH?
drive the need for SPs and their contractors to have easy-to-use fiber
test instruments with integrated test process automation to scale 5G
deployments.
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compared to its closest rival. to get to market quicker.” in the spectrum that makes sense
In China, explained Hussain, there “But that being said,” he contin- for 5G is probably something that
is more going on in the areas of net- ued, “a lot of the fancy features we China has done better than the U.S.”
work convergence, network slicing talk about with 5G, like low latency North America, which has made
and network virtualization. and so on, will not be achievable great use of both low- and high-
Smith added that, unlike a lot of with a non-standalone network.” band, continues to have a hole in its
other countries, the U.S. included, The motivation behind China’s mid-band coverage, while in China,
China has made the decision to decision to include standalone as securing mid-band—previously re-
deploy standalone 5G “right out of part of its initial deployment may ferred to in this report as the goldi-
the shoot.” be due to the advantage of building locks of spectrum—for 5G has been
“For other areas around the out a native 5G network from the a priority.
world,” Smith offered, “the ground up, rather than spending
thought is around protecting in- the time to evolve a 4G network Highlights from other parts of
vestments in 4G and non-stand- into a 5G one. the world
alone is a simpler way of doing In summary, Smith stated, “North South Korea
that. There are pros and cons to America has some great technolo- According to the Ericsson
both. I can see it being less expen- gy, but from a readiness to deploy Mobility Report, South Korea has
sive to deploy the non-standalone and scale, I think China is probably experienced a big uptick in 5G sub-
first, and that it would be easier ahead. Deploying infrastructure scriptions, with around 3 million
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network, and in August, LG Uplus Dense Air Australia won 29 lots its commercial offers were not
reported 540,000 5G subscribers for AUD 18.49 million; Mobile JV, announced until May 2019.
on its 5G network, which includes the joint venture of TPG Telecom According to Ookla’s 5G map,
around 50,000 5G base stations in and Vodafone Hutchison Australia, Australia has 39 5G sites with com-
Seoul and surrounding areas, as won 131 lots for AUD 263.2 million; mercial availability. Telstra oper-
well as some metropolitan cities. Optus, the country’s second-largest ates 26 of those sites, while Optus
telecom, won 47 lots for AUD 185 operates the remaining 13.
Australia: million; and Telstra won 143 lots for OpenSignal’s analysis of de-
At the end of 2018, Australia’s AUD 386 million. vice-based data collected between
communications agency allocated Telstra, the country’s largest tele- April 1 and June 30, 2019 from eight
5G spectrum to four major tele- com, has been operating 5G-enabled countries, concluded that 5G speeds
coms, raising nearly AUD 853 mil- sites across Australia since August overall were “dramatically high-
lion ($615.6 million) after selling 2018, making it the country’s er” than currently available peak
350 available spectrum lots. first 5G-ready carrier. However, download speeds on 4G networks.
8
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The U.S. proved to have the fasted 800 MHz, 1.8 GHz, 2.3 GHz, 2.5 GHz subscriptions increase and whether
speeds, with users experiencing and 3.4-3.6 GHz ranges. the country can effectively build
peak 5G download speeds of 1.8 Despite these challenges, the coun- out an affordable 5G that encour-
Gbps, followed by Switzerland, try’s largest operators, Vodafone ages a dramatic uptick in user sub-
with 5G peak speeds of 1.14 Gbps. Idea, Reliance Jo and Bharti Airtel, scriptions remains to be seen.
Australia’s 5G speeds, however, are preparing their networks for a
produced an interesting result. 5G future, and according Ericsson’s South Africa:
Of the countries measured, it is Mobility Report, 5G subscriptions According to a GSMA trade asso-
the only one where the maximum are expected to become available ciation survey report, the increase
speed experienced by 4G users was in 2022 and will represent 11% of in 5G activity expected in sub-Sa-
so fast—close to the theoretical mobile subscriptions at the end of haran Africa will be led by South
best performance of 4G—that the 2025. LTE, however, is predicted to Africa, “the most advanced mar-
maximum 5G speed was actually remain the majority of mobile sub- ket in the region.” The report also
slightly slower than the maximum scriptions, at 80% by the end of that states, however, that mass deploy-
4G speed. same year. ment and adoption of 5G in Sub-
However, there still remains some Saharan Africa are still several
India uncertainly around which, if any, years away,” mostly due to the cost
For some time, it was looking as of the operators will turnout for of 5G infrastructure, which must
if India’s 5G spectrum auctions the scheduled auction. be denser to allow transmission on
would take place by the end of In fact, as recently as February higher frequencies, exacerbating
2019. However, high spectrum pric- 2020, Bharti Airtel has suggested the challenge of funding and build-
es continue to throw a wrench in that it may not participate in the ing enough base stations to provide
India’s 5G timeline. Rakesh Bharti country’s upcoming spectrum auc- adequate coverage.
Mittal, vice-chairman of Bharti tion if the telecom regulator fails to Ericsson’s Mobility Report pre-
Enterprises, had stated that the re- lower current prices. dicts that discernible volumes of 5G
serve price of 5G airwaves suggest- Smith weighed in on the uncer- subscriptions in Sub-Sahara Africa
ed by the telecom regulator “is sev- tain cellular situation in India, will not be expected until 2022, and
en times higher than global peers.” commenting, “The number of peo- that approximately 120 million 5G
India expects to award spectrum ple that have a data plan in India subscriptions are forecast for the
worth about $74 billion in an auc- today is still a small percentage of end of 2025.
tion scheduled in the first quarter the mobile users. Most of what you Further, not only are operators in
of the next fiscal year that begins see in India is heavy Wi-Fi usage.” the region facing high implementa-
in April. The auction process will Because of this, he believes it will tion prices, they also do not expect
include frequencies in the 700 MHz, take some time before those cellular to be able to pass along those price
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Device output is picking up so deployed it and put the band and India’s 5G future remains rocky
quickly, in fact, that according to other support around [the modem] due to ongoing controversy around
The Ericsson Mobility Report, 2020 is a different story. But for the the price of spectrum, so it seems
device volumes are projected to guts of the phone, by the end of Realme might be jumping the gun
reach 160 million units as China this year, it is going to be hard to a bit on delivering a 5G phone to
continues its massive deployment buy a non-5G modem.” that market. Of course, a 5G phone
of 5G coverage, and additional Even users in India, which does will work perfectly fine on ex-
sources expect that by the begin- not have a single functioning 5G isting 4G networks, but it can be
ning of 2021, it is very likely that all network, already have the option assumed that the next-generation
handset devices will support 5G. to purchase a 5G phone, if they so device will cost more than a phone
“At some point,” Smith explained, choose. In February, Chinese device not future-proofed for 5G, causing
“you’re not going to be able to buy manufacturer Realme released the one to wonder if Indian consumers
a modem that doesn’t support 5G. X50 Pro 5G, powered by Qualcomm’s will be interested in purchasing a
Of course, whether the OEM has Snapdragon 865 processor. phone at a higher price without
5G device availability
Courtesy of Ericsson
13
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