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CMI Analyst Day PDF
CMI Analyst Day PDF
Mark Smith
Vice President - Investor Relations
Information provided in this presentation that is not purely historical are forward-looking statements within the meaning
of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements regarding our forecasts, expectations,
hopes, beliefs and intentions on strategies regarding the future. Our actual future results could differ materially from
those projected in such forward-looking statements because of a number of factors, including, but not limited to: the
adoption and implementation of global emission standards; the price and availability of energy; the pace of
infrastructure development; increasing global competition among our customers; general economic, business and
financing conditions; governmental action; changes in our customers’ business strategies; competitor pricing activity;
expense volatility; labor relations; the consummation and integration of the planned acquisitions of our North American
distributors; and other risks detailed from time to time in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings, particularly
in the Risk Factors section of our 2014 Annual Report on Form 10-K. Shareholders, potential investors and other
readers are urged to consider these factors carefully in evaluating the forward-looking statements and are cautioned
not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. Any or all of these factors could cause our results of
operations, financial condition or liquidity for future periods to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by
any forward looking statements. The forward-looking statements made herein are made only as of the date of this
presentation and we undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of
new information, future events or otherwise. More detailed information about factors that may affect our performance
may be found in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which are available at http://www.sec.gov
or at http://www.cummins.com in the Investor Relations section of our website.
Agenda
9:00 Welcome
9:05 Tom Linebarger, Chairman and CEO
9:50 Rich Freeland, President and COO
10:15 Break
10:30 Pat Ward, Vice President and CFO
10:50 Tom Linebarger, Chairman and CEO
11:00 Q&A
12:00 Lunch
CMI Analyst Day
Tom Linebarger
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
November 10, 2015
Agenda
6
Strong total shareholder return
Total Shareholder Return CMI Peers S&P 500 DJIA
Jan. 2005 to Oct. 2015 459% 129% 72% 65%
Share Price
Appreciation
CMI
Peers
S&P 500
DJIA
Peers Include: BorgWarner, Caterpillar, Daimler, Danaher, Deere, Donaldson, Eaton, Emerson, Honeywell, Illinois Tool Works, Ingersoll Rand, Navistar,
Paccar, Parker Hannifin, Textron, W.W. Grainger, Volvo
7
Driven by strong performance
From 2004 to 2014
1 2 3
Revenue CAGR EBIT Margin % Average ROE
9%
Improvement 22%
7%
14%
5%
1%
Global distribution
9
Used a mix of organic growth,
partnerships, and acquisitions
1996 1998 2002 2008 2012 2013
1973 1982 1994 Wuxi Nelson Emission SCR+EGR SCR Doser LiuGong 2015
Holset ISB Tata JV Turbo JV Industries Solutions Development JV QSK95
13
Leverage our capabilities to
deliver profitable growth
Technology Leadership
Global Distribution
14
Technology Scale Advantage Global Partnerships
Leadership in Manufacturing Distribution and Customers
and Supply Chain
15
Technology Scale Advantage Global Partnerships
Leadership in Manufacturing Distribution and Customers
and Supply Chain
Cummins
Toyota / Hino
Yuchai
Fiat
Daimler
Volkswagen Group
Weichai
Isuzu Motors
Ford Motors
Volvo Group
Cat-Perkins
Deere
0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000
18
Opportunities for partnerships and acquisitions
19
1 Build on our strength
in emissions control and fuel efficiency
20
2 Capitalize on our global distribution network
21
3 Increase our participation in attractive markets
Establish global leadership position in light
commercial vehicles
22
Acquisitions and partnerships will be
pursued with discipline
Investment criteria
– Drive significant sales and / or cost synergies
– Build upon clear strategy for sustainable growth and returns
– Leverage existing capabilities
Discipline
– Develop multiple strategic options
– Proactively analyze potential targets for sources of value
– Focus on return on investment
23
Allocation of capital going forward
24
CMI Analyst Day
Rich Freeland
President and Chief Operating Officer
November 10, 2015
Cummins Inc.
Global leader
26
Cummins Inc.
Q3'15 LTM revenue by marketing territory
India Africa
China 3% 2%
7%
Asia Pacific
8%
Latin America
+ Mexico US/Canada
7% 60%
Europe
+ Middle East
13%
$15,000 $14,342
$13,048 $13,226 8%
$12,500 $11,362 $10,800
6%
$10,000
$7,500 4%
$5,000
2%
$2,500
$- 0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3'15
LTM
EBIT excludes restructuring charges of $37M in 2008 and $99M in 2009. 2011 EBIT excludes $121 in gains from divestures. 2012 EBIT 28
excludes $52M in restructuring charges. 2014 EBIT excludes $32M in one-time charges within the Power Generation segment.
Global markets
On different cycles
NA HD
NA MD Truck
Truck
NA Construction NA Pickup
India Truck
International Commercial Marine Euro Truck
Oil & Gas
Data Centers India Construction
Global Mining
China Construction India
Brazil Truck Power Gen
China Truck
29
Engine Segment
Historical performance
Revenue $Millions 3 Year EBIT % Avg.
$16,000 12%
11.1%
$14,000
9.6% 10%
$12,000 $11,307 $10,962 $10,760
7.6% $10,733
$10,013 8%
$10,000
$8,810
$8,182 $7,888
$8,000 $7,511 6%
$6,405
$6,000
4%
$4,000
2%
$2,000
$- 0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3'15
LTM 30
EBIT excludes restructuring charges of $15M in 2008, $47M in 2009 and $20M in 2012.
Global leader 2.8-17L Diesel Engines
Scale advantage
Cummins
Toyota / Hino
Yuchai
Fiat
Daimler
Volkswagen Group
Weichai
Isuzu Motors
Ford Motors
Volvo Group
Cat-Perkins
Deere
0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000
Source: Power Systems Research, 2014 Production Year; Cummins volumes include JV Volumes
31
Engine business
32
New global products gaining traction
2.8/3.8L 10/12L 95-120L
On- and Off-Highway On- and Off-Highway Industrial, Power Gen
33
Distribution Segment
Historical performance
Revenue $Millions 3 Year EBIT $ Avg.
$Millions
$7,000 $450
$421
$6,216
$400
$6,000
$5,174 $350
$5,000 $306
$300
$- $-
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3'15
34
EBIT excludes restructuring charges of $2M in 2008, $5M in 2009 and $14M in 2012. LTM
Global distribution well positioned
Target from
2013 Analyst Day Current estimate
36
North American distributors
Capturing synergies
Cost synergies
– Consolidate back office operations and reduce overlap
– Leverage our strength in purchasing across the network
Sales synergies
– System-wide focus on key end markets
– Opportunity to sell more products through our network
37
Components Segment
Historical performance
Revenue $Millions 3 Year EBIT % Avg.
$9,000 14%
12.2%
$8,000 12%
$7,000
8.9% 10%
$6,000
$5,118 $5,257 8%
$5,000
$4,342
5.1% $4,063 $4,012 6%
$4,000
$3,152 $3,046
$2,932 4%
$3,000
$2,281 $2,355
$2,000 2%
$1,000 0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3'15
LTM
EBIT excludes restructuring charges of $14M in 2008, $35M in 2009 $6M in 2012. 38
Components business
39
Continuing opportunity from criteria
emission regulations
EPA 13 Tier 4:
/Euro VI: ~20%
~40%
Below
EPA 13 Below
/Euro VI: Tier 4:
~60% ~80%
$6,000 12%
10.4%
$5,000 9.5% 10%
$4,000 7.8% 8%
$3,500 $3,498
$3,268
$3,060 $2,919 $3,031 $2,896 $2,846
$3,000 6%
$2,416 $2,417
$2,000 4%
$1,000 2%
$- 0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3'15
LTM 42
EBIT excludes restructuring charges of $3M in 2008, $12M in 2009 and $12M in 2012. EBIT in 2014 excludes one-time charges of $32M
Power Generation
Important earnings contributor across the company
44
Relentless focus on cost reduction
Operational improvements
– Value engineering and material costs
– Supply chain
– Quality
Restructuring
– Targeted capacity reductions
– Professional workforce actions
45
46
CMI Analyst Day
Pat Ward
Vice President and
Chief Financial Officer
November 10, 2015
Creating shareholder value
through return on capital
48
Disciplined investment
has delivered strong returns
ROANA, return on average net assets, is a non-GAAP measure which is defined as earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by average net assets
ROE, return on equity, is a non-GAAP measure- equity excludes non-controlling interests, defined benefit postretirement plans and special items.
49
ROIC, return on invested capital, is defined as net operating profit after tax divided by average total capital.
Relentless focus on performance improvement
~13.2%
4.8%
Diluted EPS
$18.53
$4.78
$4.8B
$1.9B
$1,400
$1,200
$1,000
40% of OCF
$800
25% of OCF
$600
$400
$200
$-
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
~ OCF = Operating Cash Flow
~ Includes an estimate for 2015. 53
Increasing cash returned to shareholders
Share Repurchase Dividend
• Reduced diluted shares • Increased > 1,100% since 2005
by 12% since 2005 • Top 5% in growth in S&P 500
Share Price
Appreciation
Peers Include: BorgWarner, Caterpillar, Daimler, Danaher, Deere, Donaldson, Eaton, Emerson, Honeywell, Illinois Tool Works, Ingersoll
Rand, Navistar, Paccar, Parker Hannifin, Textron, W.W. Grainger, Volvo 55
Improvement since 2013,
but not in expected range
Sales $B EBIT %
23 15.5%
20
14.0%
17
12.5%
57
Current environment
Low growth
58
Capital allocation plans to increase returns
Organic Dividend
Growth Growth
Capital
Structure
Partnerships Repurchase
Strong
Balance
Sheet 59
Capital allocation plans to increase returns
Organic Dividend
Growth Growth
Capital
Structure
Partnerships Repurchase
Strong
Balance
Sheet 60
Capital allocation plans to increase returns
Organic Dividend
Growth Growth
Capital
Structure
Partnerships Repurchase
Strong
Balance
Sheet 61
Capital allocation plans to increase returns
Organic Dividend
Growth Growth
Capital
Structure
Partnerships Repurchase
Strong
Balance
Sheet 62
Focused on creating shareholder value
63
CMI Analyst Day
Tom Linebarger
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
November 10, 2015
Summary
65
Summary
We will continue to seek adjacent growth through a combination
of organic growth, partnerships and acquisitions