Period Actual Demand Naïve Forecasting SMA (Forecasting),3

1 42
2 40 42
3 43 40
4 40 43 41.6666666666667 2.77777777777777
5 41 40 41 0
6 39 41 41.3333333333333 5.44444444444446
7 46 39 40 36
8 44 46 42 4
9 45 44 43 4
10 38 45 45 49
11 40 38 42.3333333333333 5.44444444444446
12 40 41
MSE 13.3333333333333

Period 3
Alpha 0.1

50
45
40
35
30
Axis Title

25
20 Column B
Linear (Column B)
15
10
5
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Axis Title
 SMA Forecasting,4 WMA,3 WMA,4

42 4
41.25 0.0625 40.9 0.01 40.8 0.04
41 4 40.9 3.61 41 4
40.75 27.5625 39.7 39.69 39.95 36.6025
41.5 6.25 43.4 0.36 43.25 0.5625
42.5 6.25 44.1 0.81 43.35 2.7225
43.5 30.25 44.8 46.24 44.35 40.3225
43.25 10.5625 40.7 0.49 41.1 1.21
41.75 39.9 40.75
12.1339285714286 11.90125 12.20857143

Column B
Linear (Column B)
Exponential Smoothing
42 0.002267574
42 4 0.0009
41.8 1.44 0.001993726
41.92 3.6864 0.00033124
41.728 0.529984 0.004193984
41.6552 7.05008704 0.013974392
41.38968 21.2550505 0.0021831
41.850712 4.619438907 0.004447554
42.0656408 8.610463915 0.009383481
42.35907672 19.00154985 0.002561343
41.923169048 3.698579187 1.088415013
41.7308521432 1.130651407
7.38915534
 d f
8 1 1 540 587.0553 603 554.6667
8 2 2 522 575.4406 587.055288461539 532.5361
8 3 3 515 529.3381 575.440585009141 559.8537
8 4 4 674 561.6149 529.338068181818 635.2642
9 1 5 574 624.018 561.614923998158 516.5988
9 2 6 569 627.2523 624.018028846154 566.0661
9 3 7 616 633.15 627.252285191956 610.262
9 4 8 712 593.2787 633.15 759.85
10 1 9 550 597.9267 593.278673422386 545.7246
10 2 10 550 606.3071 597.926682692308 542.3978
10 3 11 629 646.5119 606.307129798903 589.8842
10 4 12 785 654.1064 646.511931818182 775.8858
603

Q1 1664 554.6667 0.919845

Q2 1641 547 0.907131
Q3 1760 586.6667 0.972913
Q4 2171 723.6667 1.200111

Alpha 1
 0.000391 0.000391
0.006419 0.006419
0.003718 0.003718
0.012346 0.012346
2.686E-05 2.686E-05
8.841E-05 8.841E-05 Chart Title
0.003966 0.003966
900
6.138E-05 6.138E-05
0.000196 0.000196 800

0.004397 0.004397 700

0.000138 0.000138 600

500
0.031748 0.031748 1
400

1 300

200

100

0
0 2 4 6 8
 Chart Title

4 6 8 10 12 14
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.984036
R Square 0.968328
Adjusted R 0.96516
Standard E 8.082529
Observatio 12

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 19972.73 19972.73 305.7334 7.949E-09
Residual 10 653.2727 65.32727
Total 11 20626

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 25.18182 4.974453 5.062229 0.00049 14.09805 36.26559 14.09805 36.26559
X Variable 11.81818 0.675895 17.48523 7.949E-09 10.31219 13.32417 10.31219 13.32417
Upper 95.0%
 1 50 36.99
2 54 48.8
3 61 60.61
4 69 72.42
5 78 84.23
6 87 96.04
7 100 107.85
8 113 119.66
9 128 131.47
10 143 143.28
11 161 155.09
12 180 166.9

a 25.18
b 11.81