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Putin Lines Up Sell-Off To Close Budget Gap After Oil Plunge
Putin Lines Up Sell-Off To Close Budget Gap After Oil Plunge
9 770174 736128
2 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Tuesday 2 February 2016
INTERNATIONAL
‘Symbol of evil’ weighs another reinvention saying the central bank’s governing
council would “review and possibly
reconsider” its policy stance.
A big reason for more action would be
if policymakers think the wave of disin-
meet other loans and Crédit Lyonnais flation caused by the fall in oil prices
Former tycoon considers run
‘ I made the seized the remainder of his assets. Then, risks feeding through to wages and long-
for president but must first in 1995, he was sentenced to eight er-term expectations of inflation in the
mistake of being months in jail over a football match- region.
reprise role in Lagarde case too successful. rigging scandal. Mr Draghi told lawmakers at the
To Mr Tapie, the cause of his troubles European Parliament yesterday that
ANNE-SYLVAINE CHASSANY — PARIS
From then on, Born 1943 in Paris is obvious: senior Socialist party figures what economists dub “second-round
Regional elections
MAKE A SMART INVESTMENT
Subscribe to the FT today at ft.com/subscription Call to use guns on illegal migrants sharpens German debate
STEFAN WAGSTYL — BERLIN law says.” She added: “I don’t want this ity to cope with so many newcomers. abandoned his caution over immigra-
either, but the use of armed force is But an SPD adviser thought other- tion, and lurched sharply to the right.
A rightwing German politician’s sug-
there as a last resort.” wise, saying: “It won’t damage her at all. The shift came just in time to capital-
gestion that police must “if necessary
In a statement released yesterday, Ms It emphasises very clearly the issue that ise on concern about the late-summer
use firearms” to stop migrants illegally
Petry and her fellow co-leader Jörg Meu- voters care about — law and order on the surge in migration and the outrage over
NOVEMBER 7 2015
Limited, registered office as above. Local Representative ulist German party, sought to qualify Petry’s words, with the SPD chief Sigmar dering, with the leadership split and son, an AfD Berlin regional official.
Tel: +44 207 775 6000, fte.subs@ft.com, office; C/ Infanta Maria Teresa 4, bajo 2, 28016, Madrid.
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her remarks yesterday. Gabriel urging the domestic security support below 5 per cent. Ms Petry and Ms Petry has established herself as a
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appeared to enhance the party’s immi- cratic groupings, to place the AfD under Lucke, the party’s bookish founder, GDR, she moved to western Germany
Letters to the editor: France; Publishing Director, Dominic Good, 40 Rue La gration-sceptic credentials as it cam- formal watch. Armin Laschet, a CDU after the fall of the Berlin Wall, took a
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letters.editor@ft.com 5376 8253; Commission Paritaire N° 0909 C 85347; ISSN paigns in regional elections that are rap- deputy chairman, condemned her com- science degree at Reading University in
Executive appointments: 1148-2753. idly turning into a referendum on Chan- ments as “an assault on the constitu- Britain and a doctorate in Germany. She
Tel: +44 20 7873 4909 Turkey; Dunya Super Veb Ofset A.S. 100. Yil Mahallesi
www.exec-appointments.com 34204, Bagcilar- Istanbul, Tel. +90 212 440 24 24. cellor Angela Merkel’s liberal refugee tion”. established a chemicals business in
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policy. Ms Petry appeared to be trying to Leipzig and had four children with her
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Petry said: “Police must stop migrants the strategy, with its reference to vio- emergencies, be stopped at the border
Abb.Post.DL. 353/2003 (conv. L. 27/02/2004-n.46) art. 1 For both services phone +44 20 7873 4816, or email crossing illegally from Austria, and, if lence, could backfire even though many Frauke Petry: co-leader of populist with guns. She later explained she
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Tuesday 2 February 2016 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES 3
INTERNATIONAL
South Africa
finance
its toll on Tatarstan trade links minister vows
to protect
Sanctions imposed for shooting down of Russian jet-fighter hit republic’s ties with Turkey
credit rating
KATHRIN HILLE — KAZAN
ANDREW ENGLAND AND
DAVID PILLING — PRETORIA
In Nizhnekamsk, a gritty town in the
Russian republic of Tatarstan, Almaz South Africa’s finance minister has
Khaivatov sells dresses, skirts and coats pledged to defend the country’s credit
made in Turkey. But he expects to lose rating and avoid the damaging conse-
his job any day. quences of Africa’s most industrialised
“We haven’t had any new shipments nation slipping to junk status.
this year, and my boss hasn’t been back
from Turkey since November,” says Mr A downgrade would raise the cost of
Khaivatov. borrowing for the government, trigger
As Russia’s economy has sputtered in outflows of funds from its bond mar-
recent months, forcing budget cuts and kets, weaken the rand and lead to the
sales of state assets, Tatarstan has downgrading of the country’s banks at a
remained unusually buoyant. While time many consider to be South Africa’s
Russia’s gross domestic product con- toughest economic period since its tran-
tracted 3.7 per cent last year, for exam- sition to democracy 22 years ago.
ple, Tatarstan’s was flat. The threat of a credit rating down-
The partly Muslim region in the Rus- grade to subinvestment looms large
sian heartland has managed to reduce after Standard & Poor’s changed its
its dependence on oil and gas revenues South Africa outlook from stable to neg-
and won top marks from the federal ative in December on its rating, which is
government for its appeal to investors. one grade above junk status.
But even Tatarstan’s resilience is “The consequences of [any] down-
being tested. The cause is not the plunge grade are well known, both within the
in oil prices or western sanctions that Treasury and now within govern-
have shaken the larger Russian econ- ment . . . we make no secret of it,”
omy but Moscow’s sanctions against A woman is reflected Pravin Gordhan, the finance minister,
Turkey, a key Tatar trading partner. in a puddle in Kazan told the Financial Times. “We are very
Since Turkey shot down a Russian in this photo rotated committed to restoring credibility in
military aircraft on the Syrian border in 180 degrees our fiscal path.”
November, Russia has suspended its Kirill Kudryavtsev/AFP/Getty Images Mr Gordhan was reappointed finance
visa-free regime for Turkish citizens, minister in December after President
cut tourism to Turkish resorts, Jacob Zuma sent shockwaves through
restricted Turkish imports, limited new Tatarstan v Russia financial markets by appointing an
labour permits for Turkish workers and Year-on-year growth (%), Jan-Nov 2015 unknown backbencher to the post until
threatened to exclude Turkish compa- he reversed his decision four days later.
nies from new contracts. The mishandling of the events running
Far from easing, there were signs of up to Mr Gordhan’s reinstatement have
fresh tension this weekend when threatened to harm the hard-won credi-
E
SAL
Ankara accused Russia of again violat- bility of South Africa’s Treasury and is
ing its airspace — a claim denied by Mos- deemed by many observers to have
cow but which is stoking businesses’ heightened the risk of a downgrade.
fears that the trade war will escalate. Mr Gordhan, who was respected dur-
“This is a political fight, but you are ing a first period as finance minister
punishing businesses and the people,” Industrial Agricultural Real fixed asset CPI inflation Real household Retail from 2009-2014, said the government
says Naki Karaaslan, head of the Associ- production production investment* income** trade and the ruling African National Con-
ation of Russian and Turkish Entrepre-
15.8 gress had “a very profound and practical
neurs, a business group in Moscow. Tatarstan
13.0 commitment to further fiscal consolida-
Mr Karaaslan expects Turkish invest- tion,” as well as creating a “more
Russia
ment in Russia, much of which ends up dynamic growth path”.
in Tatarstan, to fall by half this year, and
3.8 2.9
warns that more than 100,000 Russian
jobs depend on Turkish-owned compa-
0.1 0.1 ‘We want to navigate a
nies, many of which are at risk. path which will enable
“We may be able to keep investors -3.2
who are here already, but we will not be
-4.0
-9.2
us to take on board what
able to attract new ones,” says Shamil -5.8 -7.0 the rating agencies feel’
Ageev, president of Tatarstan’s chamber -12.8
Source: Rosstat * Jan-Sep 2015 ** Jan-Oct 2015
of commerce and industry. “There will “Finance ministers, in particular, are
be no growth this year.” very good at not wasting crises, and in a
For more than 20 years, Turkish busi- Turkish companies, says management. being torn to shreds by the sanctions. in name. As the largest partly Muslim sense, focusing the mind, both within
nesses have been pouring into this The Tatarstan authorities are deter- “What are 64 companies compared region in the Russian heartland, it also government and outside, on the neces-
region where half of the population mined to protect all this. “We cherish with almost 2,000?” asks Mr Karaaslan. plays a key role in preserving political sity to do the fiscally correct things,”
belongs to an ethnic group that shares our close and friendly economic ties He complains that the vague nature of stability. When Moscow reorganised said Mr Gordhan.
ethnic, cultural and religious roots. which have grown over many years, and Moscow’s sanctions decree has relations with the Russian regions after Mr Gordhan is under pressure to
According to the regional govern- we cannot give them up,” says Taliya prompted many bureaucrats in Russia’s the collapse of the Soviet Union with a deliver an austere budget later this
ment, 12.9 per cent of all foreign direct Minullina, chief executive of the repub- regions to implement them as strictly as federation treaty, Tatarstan and Chech- month. He is expected to outline meas-
investment over the past decade came lic’s investment agency. Under heavy possible, resulting in crackdowns that in nya refused to sign. While war ensued in ures to raise additional revenue and cut
from Turkish companies. lobbying from Kazan, Moscow has pub- effect kill small businesses. Chechnya, Tatarstan agreed to become government spending under the watch-
“The real role Turkey plays for our RUSSIA lished a “white list” of 64 Turkish com- This is clearly felt in the towns of a member of the Russian Federation ful eyes of rating agencies and investors.
economy is even bigger,” Marat Safiul- RUSSIA panies exempt from the restrictions. All Yelabuga and Nizhnekamsk, not far under a separate bilateral treaty. “We want to navigate a path which
lin, vice-rector for economic and strate- of the Alabuga zone’s Turkish tenants from the Alabuga zone. Echoing Mr Even as Mr Putin has greatly reduced will enable us to take on board what the
gic development at Kazan Federal Uni- are on it. Khaivatov’s worries, local travel agents, regional governments’ powers over the rating agencies feel, but that is not going
versity, explains. He estimates that Kazan
Drawn by the cheap rouble, which hit translators, drivers and hotel staff say years, Tatarstan leaders have retained to be the sole determinant of what we
Turkish companies account for about 15 Yelabuga a record low against the dollar last week, the flow of Turkish visitors has noticea- their clout. But so far, Mr Putin is not do,” Mr Gordhan said. “Every enter-
per cent of all local jobs. Kastamonu is doubling its investment bly thinned. showing any appetite for moderation. prise, including the state, has fat in the
Nizhnekamsk
Turkey’s economic impact is evident Naberezhnye to open a second production line for “If this continues, the Tatarstan gov- Last week, he threatened to expand system which, when the time comes,
TATARSTAN
at the Alabuga Special Economic Zone, Chelny fibre boards used in furniture and floor- ernment will be a lot less co-operative restrictions on Turkish companies. you will have to attend to and make sure
an industrial park with special tax ing. The company is betting that its and more assertive in its relations with Claiming that Turkish companies had you can trim.”
incentives located across the river from products will replace Chinese and Euro- Moscow,” an official in Kazan predicts. bagged a total of $50bn in construction Last month, the International Mone-
the city of Nizhnekamsk. pean imports on the Russian market. That matters because Tatarstan is one contracts in Russia over the years, Mr tary Fund slashed its 2016 South Africa
As much as a quarter of the $3bn 100km But beyond such large companies, the of the few, if not the only, regions in Rus- Putin encouraged Russian businesses to growth forecast to 0.7 per cent from 1.3
invested in Alabuga comes from fabric of bilateral economic relations is sia to which federalism applies not just grab their piece of the pie. per cent, which would be its lowest level
since the 2009 recession.
Government debt has increased from
20 per cent of gross domestic product in
Nigeria Loans sought to fund yawning budget deficit but IMF rescue highly unlikely 2008, to 47 per cent, while the Treasury
is battling twin fiscal and current
account deficits.
The central bank, meanwhile, raised
interest rates by 50 basis points last
MAGGIE FICK — LAGOS simply funding the deficit in the “cheap- modity producing nations: Angola, Iraq, market investment destination has suf- means his government will probably do week as it sought to stem inflation,
est way possible”. “It’s my strategy for Kazakhstan and Colombia. fered since Mr Buhari took office, everything possible to avoid a rescue. fuelled largely by the dramatic fall in the
The economy of oil revenue-dependent borrowing for capital projects,” she told Nigeria wants a parallel loan worth largely because foreign investors and value of the rand over the past year, as
Nigeria is ailing, and President Muham- the FT. But the World Bank does not $1bn from the ADB and is looking to tap the local business community think the What about the exchange rate? well as by a serious drought that had
madu Buhari’s government may get make this type of loan in normal times. export credit agencies “such as China unorthodox measures adopted by the One big question is whether multilateral pushed up food prices.
some relief from the World Bank and ExIm Bank due to their concessionary central bank are exacerbating the institutions would provide loans with- The twin challenges of deteriorating
African Development Bank to ease the Can Nigeria still access markets? interest rates”, the minister has said. impact of low oil prices. Capital controls, out Nigeria agreeing to devalue the growth and rising inflation in a country
pain. Loans totalling some $3.5bn are It can and Ms Adeosun still wants to tap including import restrictions, have naira and loosen capital controls, as rec- plagued by chronically high levels of
under discussion. the eurobond market. But Nigeria will How deep a hole is Nigeria in? choked the foreign exchange market, ommended by IMF chief Christine unemployment and widespread pov-
pay dearly for a bond issuance given its The International Monetary Fund reck- reducing liquidity. Lagarde. erty, highlights the extent and complex-
Why is Nigeria asking for loans? current risk profile, says Lanre Buluro, ons the economy grew by 2.8-2.9 per The president has repeatedly backed Although the World Bank makes a ity of the task facing Mr Gordhan.
The country has been hurting since the head of investment research at the cent in 2015 and predicted it would these measures and has described the loan independently of the IMF, under its Mr Gordhan took a swipe at the rating
oil price began to sink in 2014, but the Lagos-based brokerage Primera Africa. accelerate slightly to 3.25 per cent naira as appropriately valued, a move processes it still needs the fund’s agencies, saying they needed “to seri-
crisis has deepened in recent months. Mr Buluro estimated yields would be growth this year. That is down from an that, analysts say, brings the independ- endorsement of a country’s economic ously reflect on their pro-cyclical char-
With the oil price so low, there are no about 10 per cent, far higher than in average 6.8 per cent growth in the dec- ence of the central bank into question. policies to go ahead with it. acter”, implying they were too quick to
painless monetary and fiscal policy Nigeria’s last debt sale back in July 2013 ade to 2014. Although Nigerian economists and The IMF has criticised Nigerian mon- downgrade at the first sign of trouble.
choices for Africa’s top crude producer. when it raised $500m of five-year bonds The country’s reputation as a frontier businesspeople say the goal of the poli- etary policy, much as it did in the 1980s “They need to have some sense of
Mr Buhari hopes parliament will this and $500m of 10-year bonds, at yields of cies may be sound — to reduce reliance during Mr Buhari’s rule, but the presi- social and historical context: where do
month pass his proposed 2016 budget, 5.38 per cent and 6.63 per cent respec- on imports — in the short term they act dent is staunchly defending the central we come from and what are indeed the
the country’s biggest ever, aimed at tively. “We have no choice,” he said. “We as a further drag on the economy. bank’s actions. Mr Buhari said last week kind of structural challenges that this
stimulating the economy through huge can’t print money. The local market he remains unconvinced that devaluing government is trying to cope with,” Mr
outlays for spending on long overdue can’t buy all the debt.” Will Nigeria end up with an IMF the naira is in the best interests of Nige- Gordhan said. “In the past 20 years, has
infrastructure projects. Ms Adeosun said last month the gov- bailout? rians, particularly the poorest citizens. the ANC government not kept its fiscal
Kemi Adeosun, finance minister, is ernment would finance half the deficit Highly unlikely. Mr Buhari clashed with Most economists, analysts, investors promises?”
looking to fund a yawning budget deficit through domestic bonds and half by the IMF when he ran the country as mil- and Nigerian business figures say the Jabu Mabuza, executive chairman of
expected to reach $15bn or 3 per cent of borrowing abroad. itary ruler from 1983 to 1985. He was macroeconomic fundamentals show Sphere Holdings and one of the coun-
gross domestic product this year. It will toppled in a coup amid a public outcry devaluation is inevitable. Many argue try’s most prominent businessmen, said
not be easy. That is why she is in talks How much are they trying to raise? over the conditions the IMF wanted to that putting it off any longer will cause it was crucial South Africa avoided a
with the World Bank and the African Nigeria is looking for $2.5bn from the impose in exchange for loans after Mr greater damage. credit rating downgrade.
Development Bank to obtain $3.5bn in World Bank, under its “development Buhari’s attempts to halt the currency’s Additional reporting by Shawn Donnan in “Pravin has got a big job to do. His
loans. Ms Adeosun strongly insists these policy” lending. The bank has recently Kemi Adeosun: finance minister decline through import restrictions Washington main job is how to avoid a ratings down-
are no emergency loans and says she is given similar loans to other oil or com- wants to tap the eurobond market failed. His opposition to IMF conditions Editorial Comment page 8 grade. That would be the final nail.”
4 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Tuesday 2 February 2016
INTERNATIONAL
‘Safe harbour’
Argentina
Millennials’ home ownership hopes fade resumes talks
Third of those aged 18-34 live
with holdout
with their parents, a higher creditors after
rate than in the last recession
loan agreed
ANNA NICOLAOU — NEW YORK
Big China steel producers suffer $9.8bn losses ued peso in December after lifting strict
capital controls in place since 2011.
Last week, the centre-right govern-
ment also began removing costly elec-
CHRISTIAN SHEPHERD AND 12 per cent in both December and early with steel-intensive industries, includ- tricity subsidies, with prices for con-
TOM MITCHELL — BEIJING
January. ing the once-resilient property sector, sumers set to multiply by more than six
A sharp reversal in China’s steel indus- The National Bureau of Statistics unwilling to launch new projects in the times.
try has led to more than half of its big attributed the steeper than expected fall face of overhanging inventories. The previous populist government of
producers reporting losses last year. on the government’s campaign to Cisa, blaming industry losses on Cristina Fernández de Kirchner pre-
reduce industrial overcapacity, espe- plummeting domestic prices, said its sided over some of the cheapest electric-
Member companies of the China Iron cially in the steel and coal sectors, as price index fell more than 30 per cent ity prices in the world, pushing the fiscal
and Steel Association (Cisa) suffered a well as a spillover effect from the lunar over the course of 2015. deficit last year to almost 8 per cent of
combined loss of Rmb64.5bn ($9.8bn), new year holiday. The holiday begins on Mill closures remain unlikely despite gross domestic product.
compared with profits of Rmb22.6bn in February 7 and companies often sus- the losses, however, in part due to fears Nearly 3 per cent of GDP has been
2014. pend activity weeks in advance. that the subsequent mass job losses ploughed into subsidising domestic
The country’s steel industry, which China’s economic slowdown hit could lead to social instability. energy consumption, with electricity
accounts for more than half of global domestic steel demand hard in 2015, The closure of so-called zombie com- bills for many households costing as lit-
production, contracted for the first time panies alone could mean 400,000 lay- tle as $3 a month.
in almost 35 years in 2015, with raw steel offs, according to a recent speech by Li Any agreement with the holdouts will
production dropping 2.3 per cent — the Xinchuang, head of the China Metallur- then have to be approved by the opposi-
first fall since 1981. gical Industry Planning and Research tion-dominated congress, with delicate
Steel demand is wilting as construc- Institute. negotiations with the divided Peronist
tion and heavy industry stutter, a slow- Faced with these issues, ramping up movement expected to follow. Despite
down highlighted yesterday when export volume remains the industry’s his tough economic reform programme,
China’s official manufacturing purchas- chosen palliative for overcapacity. Mr Macri, who was previously mayor of
ing managers’ index for January fell to China’s steel exports grew more than the city of Buenos Aires, enjoys approval
49.4, from 49.7 in December. 20 per cent in 2015 to 112m tonnes. ratings of 71 per cent after his first
PMI readings below 50 indicate a fall- The flood of Chinese steel is stoking month in office, according to Poliarquia,
off in activity. trade protectionism as companies in a local pollster.
Li-Gang Liu, China chief economist at other parts of the world struggle to com- The holdouts’ own bonds had a face
ANZ, said the reading suggested “the pete with Chinese prices. In 2015, value of about $6bn in 2001, but accu-
contraction in the manufacturing sector 37 cases were filed against Chinese steel mulated interest means that the value
became more entrenched”. Mr Liu Machinery sits idle in an abandoned producers, most on anti-dumping of Argentina’s holdout claims is now
noted that year-on-year steel output fell steel plant in north-east China grounds. estimated to be more than $20bn.
Tuesday 2 February 2016 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES 5
6 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Tuesday 2 February 2016
INTERNATIONAL
Donors’ conference
China pop hitmaker accused of corruption Myanmar’s civilian MPs flock to parliament
CHARLES CLOVER — BEIJING by Heyi Film, Youku’s film studio, and luded with contracting companies for MICHAEL PEEL — BANGKOK over parliament’s choice of president to able journey from more than 15 years
published in the Chinese press, said the kickbacks. The accusations are not succeed Thein Sein, the former general under house arrest to victory at the bal-
The man behind one of China’s most Myanmar has made more history in its
allegations against Mr Lu arose from an related to any one show. who has led the country since the mili- lot box. She is constitutionally barred
catchy pop songs was detained by transition from military rule with the
audit of Youku finances that “found Mr Lu’s case appears similar to that tary dictatorship stepped down in 2011 from the presidency because her two
police yesterday after Youku Tudou, launch of its first civilian-dominated
some points of serious suspicion in cer- of Liu Chunning, an executive at Ali- after almost half a century in power. But sons by her late British husband hold
his former employer and the country’s parliament for more than 50 years.
tain production projects”. baba in charge of video content who was the military will hold crucial ministries foreign passports.
largest internet video site, accused him
“From the information we have now, detained by police last July after an Hundreds of MPs from Aung San Suu and have powers to override parliament Changing the constitution would
of corruption.
internal probe by Tencent, his former Kyi’s National League for Democracy, under certain circumstances. require a 75 per cent plus one parlia-
Lu Fanxi, former president of peer- employer. Both men were in video pro- including former political prisoners, Aung San Suu Kyi came in by a side mentary supermajority, meaning that
The ‘Little Apple’
generated content at Youku Tudou, was duction and were turned over to police. yesterday entered the vast legislative door and did not make a speech. Her some military representatives would
song has drawn
famous for producing popular content comparisons with The popularity of Little Apple by the complex in the military-built capital entrance underscored how she has have to agree to the measure.
including Little Apple, a much played popular track duo Chopstick Brothers helped pave the city of Naypyidaw. shied away from triumphalism despite Aung San Suu Kyi has said she will
but critically panned hit. ‘Gangnam Style’ way for more peer-generated content to “Today is a day to be proud of in the size of her party’s mandate. Many instead appoint a proxy as president —
Drawing comparisons with South by Psy, right catch on at China’s online video sites. It Myanmar’s political history and for the see this as a strategy to be inclusive and some say possibly even her personal
Korean pop star Psy’s “Gangnam Style”, was the theme song to Old Boys: The Way democratic transition,” said Win Myint, avoid antagonising a military that doctor — and make the important deci-
the song has grown into a viral internet we know that former employee Lu of the Dragon, a film released in 2014 and the new lower house Speaker, in his aborted a previous NLD landslide elec- sions herself.
meme and also became the basis Fanxi is suspected of exploiting his posi- one of the first full productions financed acceptance speech. A quarter of both tion win in 1990. There had been speculation of a last
for a People’s Liberation Army recruit- tion to take illegal and criminal activi- by Youku Tudou. houses in the new parliament are for the The NLD is appointing people from effort by her supporters to install her in
ing video. ties,” the company said. “Lu has been Largely because of Mr Lu’s marketing military. But NLD members, swept to other parties and ethnic minority what many see as her rightful place in
Mr Lu left Youku last July in unclear taken away by the police to help with the blitz, as well as repetitive melodies and power by the NLD’s landslide win in groups to some of the four parliament the top job. But an army-run newspaper
circumstances, months before the plat- investigation.” simple lyrics, it was an internet hit and November’s elections, have 80 per cent speaker and deputy speaker positions. appeared to scotch that plan yesterday,
form was taken over by Alibaba, the A person with close ties to the online helped popularise a dance form known of the elected seats, enough to give the All eyes are now on how Aung San Suu stating that “for the goodness of the
ecommerce group. video industry said the allegations arose as square dancing. party an overall majority. Kyi will handle high popular expecta- mother country” the constitutional
An internal letter sent to employees from suspicions that Mr Lu had col- Additional reporting by Ma Fangjing The party’s strength gives it control tions and wield power after her remark- clause should remain.
Tuesday 2 February 2016 ★ † FINANCIAL TIMES 7
A surge in attacks claimed by Isis — or groups inspired by it — suggests that its violent, ultra-conservative
ideology, shared with other extremist factions, is extending its influence to Asia from the Middle East.
By Victor Mallet
Letters
Email: letters.editor@ft.com or
Fax: +44 (0) 20 7873 5938
Include daytime telephone number and full address
Corrections: corrections@ft.com
Nigeria calls in the World new “facts” might emerge. For years,
investigative journalists from OCCRP
and elsewhere have observed the first
protests. This is no small development
given the government’s own hostility
towards an oppressed society. OCCRP
benefits from any transactions with the
government. These moves are designed
to prevent any public scrutiny or
economic safety of Azerbaijan’s
citizens, it is President Ilham Aliyev
himself.
The fund is the agency that should lead the response to the crisis
What more must Najib do Boot was on the other foot national organising both tended, in the
The latest victim of the fall in oil prices can show a return. Having extended long run, to enforce party cohesion, as
has called for help. The news that credit to the country for decades, the to be called ‘successful’? after Deepwater Horizon they still do today.
Nigeria, Africa’s biggest oil producer, bank has nearly 30 projects on the go Sir, Many Malaysians are puzzled by Sir, John Gapper suggests that An outcome like the one Dr Urdank
needs $3.5bn in help to plug a $15bn and around $6bn in credit outstanding. your newspaper’s recent attack on the “American politicians are angry at envisions is by no means inconceivable
government deficit is hardly surpris- No doubt there is more that could be record of our prime minister Najib what some call ‘a direct threat to the for the 2016 election; but it is far less
ing. A series of hydrocarbon producers, done. Nigeria has long-term structural Razak and the suggestion that his interests of the US’” (“Alphabet and likely that such a fracturing of the two-
including Ghana and potentially and development needs requiring leadership of Malaysia has been Apple spell global tax war”, January party system would prove permanent
Azerbaijan, have been caught by the investment. Oil income has driven up “disastrous” (“The threat Najib poses 28). or even long-lasting. Although fraught
downturn in oil and gas revenue and the real exchange rate and inhibited to Malaysia’s reputation”, editorial, Where were those same politicians political moments and the strong
have brought in the International Mon- economic diversification. It has also January 28). This runs counter to the when, following the 2010 Deepwater personalities of individual candidates
etary Fund to help finance their bal- inflicted huge damage on the quality of real, tangible progress that has been Horizon tragedy, the US government may break open parties from time to
ance of payments. both national and state government, made since the prime minister played a significant role in the vitriol time, the fundamental forces of
So far, so sadly predictable. The twist where politics has all too often involved assumed office in 2009. and positioning of public debate on BP, American politics always push them
with Nigeria is that it has asked the a fight to control oil revenues rather To give just a few examples: with a White House spokesman back into some kind of equilibrium.
World Bank and the African Develop- than the conduct of constructive eco- Malaysian gross national income has claiming that “the president’s job is to David AMcM Wilson
ment Bank for loans rather than going nomic policy. grown by 47.7 per cent, 1.8m jobs have keep his boot on the throat of the Brookline, MA, US
to the IMF. This is understandable but But Nigeria’s immediate issue is a been created, and private investment company”. The resulting statement
mistaken. Nigeria’s immediate short- classic balance of payments and fiscal in the country has more than tripled from the president himself that “he An enduring curiosity of
term problem is a classic balance of deficit issue arising from a shortfall in since the establishment of his ‘I got a bit overenthusiastic and I had no interest in undermining BP’s
payments and budget deficit issue. The oil export revenue. That is the concern Economic Transformation Programme broke the emergency brake’ value” was laughable, given BP’s the civil aviation industry
IMF, which is set up to do crisis lending, of the IMF, which has the financial in 2010. Unemployment has declined significant weighting in the pension Sir, Analysts are a bit hard on Boeing
is the right institution to take the lead. instruments, the expertise with condi- to under 3 per cent — from 3.7 per cent funds of many UK investors and their (“Boeing: technical difficulties”, Lex,
It is easy to see why Nigeria wants to tionality and the credibility to do the in 2009 — and Malaysia’s poverty rate between cracking down on corporate reliance upon the dividends the and “Cabin pressure”, report, both
borrow from development banks task. The IMF can also require the kind has been cut in half. On the global tax avoidance and encouraging company paid. January 28). Its mostly “demand-pull”
rather than the IMF, and why the of fiscal adjustments likely to be neces- stage, relations with both China and entrepreneurship. Both are valid and I would call that action an equally production makes it subject to the
World Bank in particular is so keen to sary if the oil price fails swiftly to the US have never been better, while important and do not conflict. Many direct threat to the interests of the UK. larger industry’s economics. Its order
oblige. Although such loans will recover a good portion of its recent President Barack Obama recently American companies seem not to Terry Mellish book or book-to-bill ratio is a
require the fund to approve Nigeria’s losses. described Malaysia’s voice as being understand how Europe differs from Colchester, Essex, UK traditional valuation guide that should
government policies, there is far less The IMF and the World Bank have “critical in the debate that is taking the US in respect to attitudes towards be at or above 1.0 for several years.
stigma involved in inviting in the struc- started dealing with what will no doubt place internationally around taxation. America has a ridiculously Fracture of the two-party That ratio can cut both ways, however,
tural engineers from the World Bank to be a string of oil exporters suffering terrorism”. complex tax code that encourages as airlines can hesitate to make long-
improve the economic edifice rather from a fall in crude prices for which I know the FT sets the bar high, but if manipulation, as well as a government system would not last long term commitments when delivery
than admitting it is ablaze and calling they are unprepared. The Venezuelan these and many other factual that is not trusted by many of its Sir, Albion Urdank (Letters, January dates are extended: manufacturers and
in the IMF fire brigade. government, if it can accept that achievements make him a “disastrous” citizens to spend the money well. And 29) imagines a break-up of the US airlines are often out of sync in this
From the bank’s point of view, it is chavismo has failed and recognise the prime minister, we wonder what he let’s not forget that avoiding taxes was party system in which Bernie Sanders regard, which is one reason financial
grateful for something to do, given that shambles it has made of its economy, would have to do to be considered one of the principal drivers of revives the long-dormant Socialist intermediaries like leasing companies
its role in longer-term development looks like a prime candidate for a loan successful by your leader writers. American independence. The UK, party and Rand Paul splits from the play a bridge role between them,
finance across the emerging world has before long. Ahmad Rasidi Hazizi along with a few other European Republicans to run on a Libertarian focusing on managing supply and
often been supplanted, including in It is important that the two official High Commissioner of Malaysia to the countries, is healthier in these respects, ticket. residual value.
Nigeria, by lending from China. And lending institutions agree a division of United Kingdom and Northern Ireland so tax avoidance is more distasteful. Sir Such a splintering of established This also helps explain why investors
the size of the problem is not, or not labour based on comparative advan- Michael, a Brit, should know this. parties would not be wholly are so obsessed with order books: they
yet, too large for it to take on. Although tage rather than bureaucratic conven- UK has a healthy distaste Perhaps he has been away too long. unprecedented in the history of are monetising sales volume of
some of the revenue from high oil ience and borrower preference. That Ryan Notz American politics: the election of 1824 traditional products, rather than
prices was squandered, Nigeria at least Nigeria needs short-term balance of for those who avoid tax Chief Executive, provides an interesting comparison. betting on science and technology per
resisted the temptation to rack up sov- payments support and long-term Sir, I found Sir Michael Moritz’s op-ed MyBuilder.com, The Democratic-Republican party, se, as in computing or pharmaceuticals.
ereign debt and its current budget defi- development finance seems incontro- in defence of Google’s tax avoidance, Surbiton, Surrey, UK for some years previously the only Boeing (and Airbus) are largely
cit, at 3 per cent, is not catastrophic. vertible. The World Bank will stay unconvincing and disingenuous national political party, was bitterly producing and modifying aircraft first
It is right that the World Bank con- involved in Nigeria but the IMF is the (“Google should be emulated not Sir, Sir Michael Moritz’s de haut en bas divided and failed to agree on a single introduced decades ago (they are still
tinue to lend to Nigeria if its projects right agency to lead the crisis response. berated”, January 29). I’m an American defence of the indefensible is the latest candidate. The result was a four-way making the “mainframe” or “aspirin”
tech entrepreneur living and working in a long line of output by the great and contest between John Quincy Adams, of aviation).
in the UK, and I don’t share his point of good of Silicon Valley extolling the Andrew Jackson, Henry Clay and Why this is so, is an enduring
view. Tax avoidance is clearly a zero- virtues of their business model William Crawford. Jackson, in some curiosity of civil aviation. Economic
sum game. The money has to come (“Google should be emulated not ways the pioneer of the populist history may be a guide: when aircraft
from somewhere and Google should berated”, January 29). tradition to which Donald Trump is technology cycles were fast and
Britain must not go from pay its fair share. Aggressive tax
avoidance by one of the world’s largest
and most profitable companies is
But his critique of the EU omits two
important points. We actually like our
social safety nets and proper labour
heir, won the most votes but lacked an
electoral college majority: Adams was
thus chosen by the House of
disruptive, government was a sponsor
and risk partner. The Hoover,
Roosevelt and Kennedy
Comment
B
May, the home secretary, and Boris only nine months ago. He is not yet 50. The race is not even about anything. tics of the period — the human tendency OPINION
ritain’s Conservatives should Johnson, the London mayor, to decide Next to the prime ministers who were Ms May seems a slightly more conven- to “gather around poles” as Ed Balls,
have sensed the quest to lead on the tawdriest calculations. tional conservative than Mr Osborne or a Treasury adviser at the time, recently Peter
them was getting out of hand Faced with virtually any event in gov- Mr Johnson, with their London sensibil- phrased it — filled the space where Sands
as early as last October. When
Nicky Morgan publicly envis-
ernment, neutral scribes, Tories and
even Labour MPs looking for a jaunty
Tories should remember ities and global interests. Beyond that,
finding substance in their three-way
interparty competition should
have been.
T
aged herself fronting the party of Win- distraction from their own party’s roll- they are running a country, tussle — if, as everyone assumes, it really Looking back, it was the narcissism of
ston Churchill and Margaret Thatcher
on the back of 15 nondescript months in
ing farce are poised with the questions of
a huckster: who gains? What is the angle
not an internal recruitment exists — is like trying to pierce vapour
with a spoon. This is politics within poli-
small differences. It was also a waste of
talent and energy that materially
he rapid spread of the Zika
virus powerfully demon-
the cabinet, a free-for-all was in effect. here? process tics and politics for the sake of politics. affected the running of the country. The strates the threat posed by
If the education secretary’s presump- If the protagonists are as cynical as we It is nice of the Conservatives to pro- Tories are nowhere close to that kind of infectious disease crises.
tion seems only normal, it is because we believe, Britain is in trouble. Ambition physically hollowed out by the stresses vide their own competition in the fever but they are starting to find the The Ebola epidemic, which
have chosen to normalise it. Since David can end up distorting the business of of power, he looks like he has spent the absence of any from Labour, but not if it question of Mr Cameron’s successor began in December 2013, revealed flaws
Cameron blurted his intention to step government, as rivals start to view pol- past five years in a spa. He still often runs out of control and trivialises gov- more interesting than is healthy, much in almost every aspect of our ability to
down as prime minister before 2020, icy choices as moves in a card game. The scores a net-positive approval rating in a ernment. Tories should remember they earlier than is necessary. He will not respond to such catastrophes. Yet with
everything said and done by any plausi- state becomes a venue for their frivolity. country that has had a decade to tire of are running a country, not an internal undo his pledge to leave but he should Ebola now less visible on the front
ble successor has been studied finely for If they are not — and the stereotype of his patter. Were he to renege on his com- recruitment process. instruct his party to focus on what mat- pages, the political commitment to
ulterior motives, as if personal advance- politics as a blade-strewn pit of intrigue mitment to quit, the only mystery at the Some sport and gossip might be ters, for there is rather a lot of it. And the spend the money required has waned
ment to the exclusion of all else is the is as exaggerated as I, Claudius — it says next election would be whether Labour excused during a sleepy patch in British rest of us should follow. dramatically. Zika shows that we cannot
natural way of things. something that we would excuse them if emerges with enough votes to bother history but the coming years could afford to continue as we are.
Real money and real people are they were. carrying on as a party. include Brexit, an economic downturn janan.ganesh@ft.com The business case for investing in pre-
paredness is compelling. A recent report
by the commission on a Global Health
Risk Framework for the Future esti-
mated that the expected economic cost
There is no
of potential pandemics was more than
$60bn a year. It proposed spending
$4.5bn a year to strengthen our
defences.
Globalisation means our economic
vulnerability to infectious disease out-
Brexit from a
breaks has increased. In a media-
saturated world, fear is much more con-
tagious than any infection. Fear of infec-
tion drives people to change behaviour,
cancelling holidays and business trips or
Europe in crisis
avoiding imported products. It is this
behavioural change rather than the dis-
ease itself that determines the scale of
the economic effect.
We see this with Zika. After warnings
to pregnant women against travelling to
infected areas, Caribbean nations whose
economies are dependent on tourism
remains the only nation capable of giv- are seeing cancellations escalate by the
FOREIGN AFFAIRS ing some leadership to the EU. But the day. The challenges faced by Brazil, the
authority of Angela Merkel, its chancel- epicentre of the outbreak, are particu-
Gideon lor, has been badly damaged by the refu-
Rachman gee crisis. The Merkel government is,
anyway, increasingly estranged from
eastern Europe over refugees; and from
A handful of Ebola
southern Europe over the euro. cases unleashed a
D
avid Cameron should hurry
Amid all this, Mr Cameron’s demands
for minor changes in Britain’s relation-
torrent of rumours
up and hold that referen- ship with the EU seem almost bizarrely and conflicting advice
dum on British member- besides the point. As one German
ship of the EU. If the UK policymaker fumed to me: “The Euro- functioning success story. But, perhaps Brexit would deal another blow to the EU means that Britain is unable to con- larly acute. The Olympic Games in Rio
prime minister does not get pean house is burning down and Britain paradoxically, the fact Europe is in crisis EU and could even be a major step along trol its borders, which could be danger- de Janeiro in August ought to boost the
a move on, there might not be an EU left wants to waste time rearranging the actually strengthens my own resolve to the road to its collapse. Given Europe’s ous at a time of turmoil in the Middle country’s struggling economy but peo-
to leave. furniture.” vote for Britain to stay inside the EU. bloody past and troubled present, help- East and Europe. The Brexit camp ple may simply stay away.
Manuel Valls, the French prime min- Even more strange is the fact that the For all its faults, the EU champions ing to destroy the major vehicle for believes that the Channel can once again If fear and behavioural change shape
ister, said recently that, unless Europe British debate about whether to quit the ideas that are crucial to peace and free- European co-operation cannot be a serve as a firebreak, protecting Britain the economic impact of epidemics, then
gets a grip on the migration crisis, “the EU (Brexit) seems to have barely fac- dom in Europe. These include co-opera- good idea. from what is happening in Europe. effective communication of the risks
European project can die, not in decades tored in the idea that the organisation tion between nations, the rule of law, the It is true that the crisis within the EU But that view, while superficially and potential mitigants should be cen-
or years but very fast”. Even allowing for itself is in crisis. Both sides — pro and protection of human rights and the pro- may soon require a fundamental attractive, ignores the patterns of his- tral components of any response.
a degree of hyperbole in that statement, anti — are deploying arguments that motion of free trade. Nationalist politi- rethink of the organisation’s aims and tory. These suggest that if there is politi- Yet with Ebola, governments strug-
there is no doubt that Mr Cameron is have hardly changed since the 1990s. cal forces that challenge all of these methods, well beyond the minor cal turmoil and conflict in Europe, Brit- gled to get their messages across.
negotiating with an organisation that is The Brexit crowd claims that Europe is ideas are growing in strength across changes that Mr Cameron is able to ain inevitably gets sucked in, whether it In west Africa, for example, efforts to
in grave trouble. proceeding headlong towards a federal Europe, from France to Poland, and negotiate. is the wars of the Spanish succession, contain the virus were hindered by local
The refugee issue and the threat that state, ignoring the fact that it is in much they are united by their hostility to the But when the moment comes for a the struggle against Napoleon or the two communities’ distrust of official pro-
it poses to the EU’s border-free Schen- greater danger of disintegration. The supranational EU. fundamental reappraisal of Europe’s world wars of the 20th century. nouncements. And in the developed
gen area is the most obvious emergency. pro-EU camp stresses the virtues of the Outside the EU, a hostile and freshly future, it is vital — both for the UK and Britain cannot isolate itself from the world, a handful of cases of Ebola
But it may not even be the most funda- single market while trying to avert their aggressive Russia is cheering on the pos- the rest of Europe — that Britain is a full troubles of Europe. In its own interests, unleashed a torrent of rumours and
mental problem. The very basis of the eyes from the horrible political mess sible collapse of the European project — participant in the debate. However, a it must contribute to the stability on the conflicting advice.
European idea is that the EU is a com- unfolding on the other side of the Eng- and is probably funding some of its most UK government that had helped to pre- European continent. For the past 50 We are seeing the same happen with
munity of democratic, law-governed lish Channel. ardent internal opponents. cipitate the collapse of the EU is more years, the EU has been crucial to under- Zika: stories circulate about the poten-
states. But the independence of the If the two sides in the Brexit debate likely to be cast in the role of scapegoat pinning peace, prosperity, diplomatic tial for the virus to be transmitted
courts and media are clearly under were to acknowledge the extent of the than architect. dialogue and the rule of law within through sexual contact or the alleged
threat in Poland and Hungary, powerful
countries that retain full voting rights
EU’s political problems, how might that
affect the referendum campaign? It
In its own interests, Eurosceptic voices in Britain will
argue that all this is far too theoretical. If
Europe. It would be a serious mistake
for the UK to undermine an organisa-
triggering of the outbreak by genetically
modified mosquitoes. Whether or not
within the union. seems much more likely that the image the UK must the European house is indeed “on fire”, tion that, whether we realise it or not, is such stories are true, they drive people’s
The euro crisis has not gone away
either and Greece may well need
of an EU in crisis would help the Brexit
camp. A squabbling, paralysed EU is a
contribute to stability surely it makes sense for Britain to get
out fast? In particular, they will argue
crucial to Britain’s own security. actions.
The old model, in which people
another bailout this summer. Germany much tougher sell than a smoothly on the continent that free movement of people within the gideon.rachman@ft.com responded obediently to public health
messages from authoritative sources, no
longer works. Governments now need
sophisticated communication strategies
using all the digital tools at their dis-
The path to enlightenment and profit starts inside the office posal. They must engage with people
rather than simply tell them what to do.
They need to accept that since there will
be a multitude of voices and data
sources, they will have to earn the right
revolution and globalisation. Flying As the driving force of capitalism, and Israel, and tech partnerships with grow comfortable doing what they have to be listened to. Too often, instructions
INNOVATION blind, companies seem happier to cut competition gives companies a purpose, universities in China, the US, Abu always done and only ever make incre- are handed down from on high.
costs and buy back their shares than to a mission and a sense of direction. But Dhabi, India and the UK. mental change. “This . . . leads to irrele- Governments also need to work
John invest purposefully for the future. Take how can companies compete in such a But even if you foresee the danger, it vance over time,” he wrote. together through the World Health
the European telecommunications sec- shape-shifting environment? There are does not mean you can deal with it. Google operates a 70/20/10 rule Organisation. A co-ordinated approach
Thornhill tor. Not long ago most telecoms compa- perhaps two (partial) answers. After all, Kodak invented the first digital where employees are encouraged to to travel advice will be far more effective
nies were national monopolies with lit- The first is to do everything to under- camera but failed to exploit the technol- spend 70 per cent of their time on their and less economically damaging than
tle, or no, competition. Today, it is hard stand the technological changes that are ogy. The incentive structures of many core business, 20 per cent on working the blizzard of restrictions we saw with
C
to predict where the next threat is going transforming the world, to identify the companies are to minimise risk rather with another team and 10 per cent on Ebola. However, this requires a degree
ompetition used to be easy. to erupt. threats and opportunities early. than maximise opportunity. Innovation moonshots. How many traditional com- of real-time co-ordination that neither
That is in theory, if not WhatsApp, the California-based mes- is often a young company’s game. panies focus so much on radical ven- the WHO nor most national public
always in practice. Until saging service, was founded in 2009 and The second answer is that companies tures? health agencies are set up to deliver.
recently, most competent
companies had a clear idea
only registered in most companies’ con-
sciousness when it was acquired by
The incentive structures of must look as intensively inwards as they
do outwards. Well-managed companies
Vishal Sikka, chief executive of the
Indian IT group Infosys, says that inter-
While containing the spread of Zika is
the immediate priority, we also need to
of who their rivals were, how to compete Facebook for more than $19bn in 2014. many companies are to enjoy many advantages: strong brands, nal constraints can often be far more break the pattern of responding to each
and on what field to fight.
One of the starkest — and scariest —
Yet in its short life WhatsApp has taken
huge bites out of the lucrative text mes-
minimise risk rather than masses of consumer data, valuable his-
toric data sets, networks of smart people
damaging than external threats. “The
traditional definition of competition is
pandemic as it occurs.
A more robust framework for protect-
declarations of competitive intent came saging markets. Today, WhatsApp has maximise opportunity and easy access to capital. But what is irrelevant. We are increasingly compet- ing humanity from such threats is
from Komatsu, the Japanese construc- close to 1bn users sending 30bn mes- often lacking is the ambition that marks ing against ourselves,” he says. required. That will involve strengthen-
tion equipment manufacturer, in the sages a day. The global SMS text messag- Gavin Patterson, chief executive of out the new tech companies, their abil- Quoting Siddhartha by the German ing public health systems at the national
1970s. As employees trooped into work ing market is just 20bn a day. BT, the British telecoms group, says one ity to innovate rapidly and their writer Hermann Hesse, Mr Sikka argues level and more effective global
they would walk over doormats exhort- Car manufacturers are rapidly wising of the functions of corporate leaders is extraordinary connection with consum- that companies remain the masters of responses led by the WHO. Without
ing: “Kill Caterpillar!”. Companies up to the threat posed by new genera- to scan the horizon as never before. “As ers. In that sense, the main competition their own salvation whatever the mar- them, the cost in human lives and liveli-
benchmarked their operations and tion tech firms, such as Tesla, Google a CEO you have to be on the bridge look- of so many established companies lies ket pressures: “Knowledge can be com- hoods will be immense.
market share against their competitors and Uber, all intent on developing “apps ing outwards, looking for signs that within their own organisations. municated. Wisdom cannot.” He adds:
to see where they stood. on wheels”. Chinese and Indian compa- something is happening, trying to antic- Larry Page, co-founder of Google, “Every company has to find its own The writer is senior fellow at the Harvard
But that strategic clarity has blurred nies, little heard of a few years ago, are ipate it before it becomes a danger.” constantly urges his employees to keep unique wisdom.” Kennedy School and chairman of the com-
in so many industries today to the point bouncing out of their own markets to To that end, BT has opened innova- being radical. In his Founders’ Letter of mission on a Global Health Risk Frame-
of near-invisibility thanks to the digital emerge as bold global competitors. tion “scouting teams” in Silicon Valley 2013, he warned that companies tend to john.thornhill@ft.com work For the Future
10 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Tuesday 2 February 2016
BUSINESS LIFE
Lasting lessons
‘
“I will support you when I believe you The trigger for Mr Perot’s After studying GM in the 1940s,
are right . . . I will tell you candidly intervention was GM’s 1985 agreement management thinker Peter Drucker Art of persuasion
for smug CEOs when I think you are wrong . . . If you
continue your present autocratic style,
I will be your adversary on critical
to buy Hughes Aircraft. Smith was
convinced advanced technology was
the solution to the carmaker’s serious
hinted at the danger of relying on the
management style of its legendary
leader Alfred Sloan to sustain its Google, taxes and the trouble
and somnolent issues.” (Ross Perot, writing to Roger
Smith of General Motors, 1985)
problems with production quality and
labour relations. Lesson one for today’s
success. The third lesson of the Perot-
Smith set-to is that directors and
with millions and billions
shareholders The open letter to the board is a
well-known weapon in the armoury
tech-obsessed managers: it is not.
Mr Perot, who had become a GM
Directors
must call
owners must call out poor managers
before they destroy the companies they
SAM LEITH
of activist shareholders. Carl Icahn has director and its largest shareholder run. Mr Perot warned Smith “your
been firing missives at AIG’s board following its 1984 purchase of his out poor style intimidates people . . . Losing
recently, urging it to break up the company Electronic Data Systems, managers your temper hurts GM . . . Your
insurer and become a “smaller, simpler wrote: “I do not believe that GM can tendency to try to run over anyone
company”. Artisan Partners last week become world class and cost before they who disagrees with you hurts your
lambasted Johnson & Johnson for competitive by throwing technology destroy the effectiveness . . . GM’ers at all levels
“value destruction, litigation charges, and money at its problems.” The use terms like ruthless and bully in
chronic restructuring and longstanding Japanese, he went on, “use old companies describing you”.
underperformance”. equipment, and build better, less they run Closer shareholder engagement has
’
These letters, however, do not match expensive cars by better management”. made managers more responsive over
the power of the one that Mr Perot sent A second lesson is the value of true the past 30 years but they will always Cole Burston/Bloomberg
to Smith, then chairman and chief director independence. Plenty of be a mixed bunch. “You do have some
executive of the US carmaker, in boards, from Enron to pre-crisis Royal exceptional [CEOs], but the vast Does £130m sound like a lot when you consider that your
October 1985. It marked a turning Bank of Scotland, looked well-balanced majority aren’t,” Mr Gramm told me. of money to you? It does to absolute risk of colorectal
point in American corporate on paper, only to fail in practice. As Mr Dear Chairman is not a paean to me. Or at least it did until cancer is scarcely more than
governance and shareholder activism Gramm says of a different boardroom activists, however. Their tactics are I read that Google’s UK half of one-tenth of one per
— and, as the extract above suggests — fight, where the leading dissident was hard to categorise and sometimes hard back-tax bill represents a cent each year: 18 per cent
it still holds valuable lessons for the chief executive’s wife, “incentives to condone. Sound corporate oversight, tax rate of about 3 per cent. of not very much is still not
directors, investors and managers. and conflicts matter, but true Mr Gramm writes, needs “a team effort If my experience resembles very much.
Mr Perot’s missive is published for independence is also a state of mind”. from able managers, demanding that of most people, this A good, head-bending
the first time in Dear Chairman, a new When Mr Perot failed to dissuade directors, and engaged shareholders”. might be where Google lost example of how percentages
book by hedge fund manager Jeff Smith from buying Hughes, he voted When they work towards the same the argument in the court can mislead is offered by
Andrew Hill Gramm. He uses shareholders’ letters against the deal (the only director to do goal, they can achieve real progress. Mr of public opinion. Peter Frederick in his book
to trace a century of US activism. For so) and then went public with his wider Perot’s letter shows that he was With exceptions, human Persuasive Writing: How To
Onmanagement those who think governance and
investor rights are a dull, grey sludge,
criticisms, as he had threatened in his
letter. GM, eager to rid itself of this
determined, difficult, sometimes
angry, but he never lost sight of that
beings are notoriously bad
at making sense of big
Harness the Power of
Words. What if you had
in which do-gooders, carpetbaggers noisy nuisance, agreed to buy out his goal — a final lesson for venal directors, numbers. Many of us will software, he asks, that
and pettifoggers submerge the animal stake at an inflated price, at which lazy investors and hubristic executives. have no instinctive purchase detects credit card fraud 90
spirits of entrepreneurial executives, point he issued a press release exposing “My agenda has one item on it,” he on the difference between, per cent of the time but calls
the book is a revelation: a lively the extravagant pay-off. The publicity wrote. “To see GM succeed.” say, 250m, 2.5bn and 25tn. a good transaction a fraud
account of a long war against corporate jolted institutional investors out of We will read a headline 0.1 per cent of the time?
and investor smugness, in which Mr somnolent complacency about the andrew.hill@ft.com statistic and — particularly if Sounds good. At least, until
Perot’s battle with Smith stands out. companies they owned. Twitter: @andrewtghill the unit of measurement you take into account the
changes in the course of a actual base rate of fraud: if
direct or implied comparison there is one fraud every
— our brains cloud over and 10,000 transactions, then for
we become honorary every nine frauds spotted
F
one number, and it provides under consideration is firmly
are demanding of time and information a mental baseline. In the in the “millions” it
or Justin Gover, the next few and it takes a serious commitment.” crudest terms, that is what automatically feels meagre,
weeks could be the most GW’s pitch was focused on the poten- you are seeing when a whatever the figure may in
important of his career. Since tial of Epidiolex to treat severe forms of supermarket advertises a fact be. Then there is the
1999, the chief executive of paediatric epilepsy that are resistant to price reduction with the new percentage — which, fairly
GW Pharmaceuticals has led existing drugs: a category numbering price alongside the original; represented or not, is a
an audacious push to make medicines more than 93,000 children in the US or in pricing an item at £9.99, single digit. And then, I’m
from marijuana. Imminent results from alone. which “feels” more than just tempted to add, there is no
trials of Epidiolex, an experimental Unlike Sativex, which was licensed to a penny cheaper than a getting round that, as UK
drug for childhood epilepsy, will go a big pharma partners to sell and is not tenner. More subtly, simply business minister Anna
long way to determining the UK com- approved in the US, GW has kept full prefacing or associating a Soubry put it, £130m in this
pany’s chance of success. control of Epidiolex and tailored its small number with a parade case isn’t “an awful lot of
Positive data would support analysts’ development to the requirements of US of larger ones, or vice versa, money”, whichever gloss you
forecasts for blockbuster sales of more regulators. This makes its commercial “primes” our perception. put on it.
than $1bn a year and strengthen GW’s potential much greater but also in- Then there is the sleight So learn Google’s lesson
position at the forefront of a new cate- creases the pressure on Mr Gover as he of hand of absolute versus and remember, folks:
gory of “cannabinoid” therapies that Mr shepherds the company’s first wholly proportional presentation. reading this column
Gover believes could eventually treat owned product towards market. So, to take a recent example, increases your likelihood of
conditions as diverse as schizophrenia a considerable media panic winning every argument by
and diabetes. “This is what we’ve been ‘The scale of ambition attended findings by the several million per cent.
working towards for 16 years,” he says. World Health Organisation
“I’m excited but I wouldn’t be human if I and the drive for success that every 50g of processed artofpersuasion@ft.com
didn’t have some nerves.”
Mr Gover’s story is not just about his
are the most striking meat you eat a day raises
your risk of colorectal cancer The writer is the author of
efforts to bring credibility to the hazy things about working by 18 per cent. Terrifying, ‘You Talkin’ to Me?’ Rhetoric
world of medical marijuana. It is also a
case study in divergent attitudes to risk in California’ right? It’s less scary, though, from Aristotle to Obama
effects and legal risks? world-class UK biotech company.” Where 30 Wusong Road, Hongkou district WiFi Yes
Dr Guy hired Mr Gover, newly gradu- The chances of achieving that goal
ated with an MBA from Insead in will be much clearer once results arrive Plug sockets Yes Coffee Rmb40 ($6)
France, to help build the company and Justin Gover: US in search of a more receptive audi- GlaxoSmithKline and Eli Lilly. Europe from four separate phase-three clinical Open: 10am-6pm; closed Mon Privacy ★☆☆☆☆
soon made him chief executive. One of backing from US ence. Few industries demonstrate the has produced no biotech companies of trials — the make or break stage before
their first achievements was to per- investors was transatlantic divide in risk appetite bet- this scale. Mr Gover blames a lack of risk seeking regulatory approval — due to
suade an initially sceptical UK govern- crucial because ter than biotechnology. Since the 1980s, capital for the discrepancy. “The pool is report this year, the first within weeks. Shanghai used to be called this is a place for the true
ment to grant a licence to grow canna- their British US investors have built a new genera- so much wider and deeper in the US.” Hopes of success are high after posi- the Paris of the Orient and coffee cognoscenti — with
bis. An industrial greenhouse was built counterparts tion of drug companies working at the While in London GW faced increasing tive data from “compassionate access” Alt Coffee captures that Left Chinese characteristics.
somewhere in southern England — the were more cutting edge of medical science. The scepticism, in New York, Boston and programmes involving hundreds of US Bank feel — but with a Do not take a contact
location remains secret — with 24-hour averse to risk most successful of these, such as Gilead San Francisco, Mr Gover found inves- children. A paper in the Lancet medical touch of the futuristic. This there and expect to do lunch
security and vetted staff. Anna Gordon
and Amgen, are today worth more than tors eager to listen. GW’s success raising journal in December reported a median 15-seat café is only steps or cake though: Alt is all
In 2001 came a flotation on London’s traditional pharma groups such as funds in the US has encouraged others reduction in monthly seizures of 36.5 from the city’s best view: coffee, and the odour is its
junior Aim market but investor enthusi- per cent after treatment with Epidiolex. across the Huangpu River to best advertisement. Most
asm faded as the biotech sector — noto- However, there is no guarantee these the trio of neon-lit patrons sit at the communal
rious for long development cycles and GW Pharma’s drugs are made from Justin Gover, GW chief executive, says results will be replicated in placebo- skyscrapers and giant space table in the main room, next
high failure rates — fell out of favour. Pain relief compounds known as cannabinoids the company’s products come with controlled trials. GW has already suf- needle that give Shanghai to shop assistants packing
“We had some very difficult ups and found within the marijuana plant and guaranteed quality and clinically proven fered one setback in the past year when its distinctive branded up house-roasted beans for
downs,” recalls Mr Gover. credited with therapeutic benefits from concentrations of cannabinoids that a trial of Sativex for pain in cancer skyline. shipment all over China.
In truth, there were not many ups. pain relief to anti-inflammation. cannot be substituted with the raw patients failed to show any benefit. The shopfront café sports Alt’s owner is Japanese
The company did not help its case with Relaxed law Interest in the commercial potential of material. Moreover, they do not produce GW’s share price has more than no name plate. Those who and its signature coffees are
repeated R&D delays. By the end of the may ease cannabis has increased since four US the “high” associated with recreational halved in the past six months as the bio- love the place — a made by the Matsuya drip
decade, however, Mr Gover felt the mar- states — Alaska, Colorado, Oregon and marijuana use or the negative health tech bull-run that drove the company’s neighbourhood fixture for method. Staff adjust each
ket was failing to recognise progress. regulation Washington — decriminalised the drug effects of smoking pot. market capitalisation close to $3bn has more than a decade, in a city cup to the customer. But
GW had finally secured backing from and 19 others legalised its use for More than 85 cannabinoids have been given way to more sober judgments. where eateries open and each one takes 10 minutes,
more than 20 regulators around the medicinal purposes. identified but only two — known as Analysts say the stock could rise or fall close with alarming speed — so feel free to step outside
world for a multiple sclerosis treatment While this liberalisation could ease THC and CBD — are well understood. by 50 per cent depending on the trial already know it is there. And and admire a skyscraper
called Sativex — the first legally some of the extra regulatory hurdles that GW is researching others by breeding results; just the kind of binary risk Euro- for the rest of us, there is a while you wait — in this, the
approved cannabis-based medicine. Yet GW has faced in working with a plants with different concentrations of pean investors find hard to stomach. sandwich board on the most Parisian city in Asia.
the stock remained stuck at half its controlled substance, it might also create its various compounds. “If it works, the whole field of cannab- pavement. In a city so
initial offer price with little prospect of competitive pressures. If people can “We’ve gone from an interesting idea inoids will gain credibility,” says Mr glutted with Starbucks that Patti Waldmeir
additional finance to develop the next legally consume marijuana, why would to scientific respectability to regulatory Gover. “That’s the joy of double-blinded there are sometimes more Additional reporting by
product: Epidiolex. they need an expensive prescription approval,” says Mr Gover. “And we’re still trials: you have no way of knowing until than one at an intersection, Jackie Cai
Mr Gover then began looking to the drug to get its benefits? just at the beginning.” the results come in.”
Tuesday 2 February 2016 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES 11
ARTS
Iphigenia in Splott
National Theatre (Temporary), London
aaaae
The restored studios of G.F. Watts and Ian Shuttleworth
his wife Mary reveal much about their
work and lives, writes Richard Cork Not for the first time lately I have found
myself relishing the sensation of being
T
caught by a dramatic sucker punch. A
heWattsGalleryandMortu- piece of work seems, predictably and
aryChapelinCompton,Sur- uninterestingly, to be heading in one
rey, have long been places of direction but then swerves into alto-
pilgrimage for anyone fasci- gether more fascinating territory. This
nated by Victorian art and time the play in question is Gary Owen’s
architecture. But now, with the aid of a latest, which visits the National Theatre
£2.4m grant from the Heritage Lottery in a production that premiered last
Fund, the studios where George Frederic spring at Sherman Cymru in Cardiff.
Watts and his wife Mary worked have Sophie Melville’s unsettlingly upfront
also been restored and opened to the Effie begins by challenging the audience
public by the Watts Gallery Trust under in what she claims (probably rightly)
its director,PerditaHunt. are our middle-class assumptions about
Watts, popular, prolific and unabash- her. Clad in hoodie and leopard-print
edly high-minded, was active through- herself to social enterprises. Her studio Power-hub: clockwise, leggings, Effie prowls the stage recount-
out Queen Victoria’s long reign. Though doubled as a teaching room for villagers from main picture, Mary ing her lairy, drink- and drug-fuelled
a Londoner from birth, as he neared old who wanted to help create terracotta Seton Watts’s restored exploits in the less salubrious inner-city
age, he found the capital’s pollution tiles and panels for her Mortuary Chapel studio; G.F. Watts in his areas of Cardiff (of which Splott is one).
increasingly trying; after his marriage to in Compton’s cemetery nearby. The studio, 1900-04; portrait Those of us who recognise the classi-
the artist and designer Mary Seton chapel became an Arts and Crafts show- of Mary by G.F. Watts cal allusion in the title begin to wonder
Fraser-Tytler in 1886, he leased the piece, and a new model of the chapel, by (1887); G.F. Watts’s studio. where the analogy is with the daughter
Compton land — a hilltop site with pano- Henry Milner, is on display in Mary’s Below: Sophie Melville in whom Agamemnon sacrificed in order
ramic views of the surrounding wood- studio. So is a series of decorative ‘Iphigenia in Splott’ to give the Greek army fair winds as they
land — and commissioned the Arts friezes, in gesso and wood, which she David Grandorge; Watts Gallery; Mark Douet
sailed off to besiege Troy. Eventually
and Crafts architect Ernest George to made for the Cambridge Military Hospi- matters swim into focus: Effie, having
design the capacious house he called tal Chapel in Aldershot — long- refrained from accusing the married ex-
“Limnerslease”. The couple moved in on neglected religious works that have now soldier who knocked her up on a one-
July 18 1891. been fully conserved. night stand, loses boyfriend, home and
As you walk into Watts’s lofty studio, portraitist, he never wanted to devote Fascinating examples of pottery can prospects. So far, so sharply written,
it is the enormous south-facing window all his energies to painting eminent Vic- also be seen in Mary’s studio, testifying keenly performed and (by Rachel
that is most striking. Watts loved to rise torian sitters — although radical women to her success in establishing the Comp- O’Riordan) astutely directed, but still
long before dawn and to see how the fascinated him, and one vigorously han- ton Potters’ Arts Guild co-operative with just another gritty urban monologue.
advent of daylight transformed his dled canvas in the studio turns out to be local villagers. It won contracts with Lib- This is where Owen slews his vehicle
paintings. He also relished the challenge an unfinished portrait of Florence erty & Co as well as commissions from into the oncoming traffic. As Effie’s
of monumental compositions, and one Nightingale. Haunted by the transience architects including Edwin Lutyens. unborn baby begins to act up in its sec-
of his biggest paintings has returned of life, he kept a skeleton in his studio For several years before her husband’s ond trimester, the piece becomes an
here, on extended loan from Tate. cupboard and constantly laboured over death in 1904, Mary devoted a great deal account of her sufferings due to health
Called “The Court of Death”, it drama- such elaborate allegories as the of time to helping the octogenarian service funding cuts. The greater her
tises Watts’s obsession with mortality. immense “Love Steering The Boat of Watts carry on working. The depth of physical and emotional agony, the more
This overwhelming canvas, which he Humanity” (c.1900). her feelings is poignantly revealed in her incandescent the political indictment.
worked on for more than three decades Living in the Surrey Hills also made watercolour of him lying in bed, ill and Suddenly the play reveals its purpose:
(1870-1902), has been placed on a him determined to tackle landscape fragile. She eventually died in 1938, and to testify how countless ordinary folk
reconstruction of the pulley system painting. One of the resulting works, now the full extent of her commitment are being sacrificed to grant fair eco-
devised by Watts for moving paintings dominated by freely brushed images of to a wide range of projects — she also ran nomic winds to a dubious ideological
up and down while he worked on them. trees, is displayed on an easel in his stu- the local branch of the Women’s Suf- enterprise. When the initial chal-
Wandering round the studio, one dio. A photograph survives of Watts frage Society — is celebrated in the lenge to us is reprised, it serves to
gets a strong sense of this tireless painting avidly outdoors, as close as pos- newly opened studio. clarify that Effie’s own restraint (by
artist’s preoccupations. His palette and on another table, and throughout sible to the natural world he cherished. The rescue of this important artists’ not pressing for compensation) has
brushes rest on a table, and nearby an the studio are fragments of classical Mary, 32 years his junior, was an house reveals its significance as a power- saved at least some resources for us,
image from the Sistine Chapel ceiling sculpture, notably a reproduction of a extraordinary force, and her newly hub for the work created by both and to ask: what will happen when all
testifies to his love of Michelangelo (he figure from the Elgin Marbles in the restored studio is alive with evidence of husband and wife. such patience is exhausted?
was dubbed “England’s Michelangelo”). British Museum. an irrepressible dynamism. No less ide-
A Van Dyck reproduction can be found Although Watts was esteemed as a alistic than her husband, she dedicated wattsgallery.org.uk To February 20, nationaltheatre.org.uk
wigmore-hall.org.uk
mesmerising from the off, delivered Art Blakey’s Jazz Messengers, Locke tak-
JAZ Z intricate lines at full volume with a blur ing the central motif of “Along Came
of mallets. When he struck a particularly Betty” and transforming it into a tempo-
Joe Locke resonant note, he bounced back, as shifting original, “Betty One Note”.
Pizza Express Jazz Club, London though recoiling from the effort. The The focus of the gig, though, was
aaaae piece finally revealed its songbook ori- Locke’s recent album, Love Is a Pendu-
gins with a few solemn notes from lum, a five-movement suite based on a
Mike Hobart bowed double bass. Barbara Sfraga poem. Here he presented
The set continued with a reference to three pieces: the title track, “Love Is the
Joe Locke’s clean lines, crystalline tone Tide” and “Love Is Perpetual Motion”.
and shimmering vibrato recall the great The complex, multi-layered album
US vibraphonists Milt Jackson and captures the poem’s emotional riches
Bobby Hutcherson, but their fellow with horns, steel pans and more besides.
American boosts his technically assured But here Locke was on the rampage with
modernism with emotional commit- the fiery young rhythm section. Pianist
ment and compositional flair. At this Robert Rodriguez matched the leader’s
spirited end-of-tour gig, each piece intensity while Terreon Gully’s light
twisted, turned and changed tempo, tex- cymbals and dramatic backbeats locked
ture and groove. Even the opening cover into Ricky Rodriguez’s dead-centred
of the lovelorn ballad “Laura” was given doublebassandbassguitar.Lockeletthe
a high-octane, mood-shifting revamp. band stretch out, cueing the complexi-
The evening began at a canter. Three ties with grimaces and bodyswerves that
well-struck notes called order, vibes and added to the music’s vibrant immediacy.
piano briefly echoed the rondos and It was an uplifting gig that deserved its
fugues of the 1950s combo Modern Jazz broodingballadencore.
Quartet, then the pulse darkened to a Intense: Joe Locke with bassist Ricky
deep Latin funk. Locke, intense and Rodriguez at Pizza Express Jazz Club joelocke.com
12 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Tuesday 2 February 2016
Full tilt
Turbine manufacturers Vestas and Gamesa have recovered strongly since 2012, bringing costs under
control and restoring their margins. Gamesa’s current share of the global wind turbine market is
4.5 per cent, which if combined with Siemens’ 9.5 per cent would leapfrog Vestas into first place
Twitter: @FTLex Email: lex@ft.com Gross Margin (%) Net income Margin (%) Wind turbine manufacturers
Gamesa Gamesa Market shares (%)
Vestas Vestas
40 0 10 20 30
Ryanair: paying a special dividend, as it did after SFX Entertainment:
selling its Aer Lingus stake. That may 30 Siemens + Gamesa
share fly backs have tax implications for investors but
Vestas
facing the music
it does afford those who are less 20
Dividends do not mix very well with ebullient about industry prospects a Goldwind A unicorn in a hypnotic trance is more
airlines’ business models. Of the large choice in how the cash is deployed. 10 dangerous than you might think.
listed European airline groups, only GE Energy Yesterday, SFX Entertainment, the
easyJet has paid a regular and 0
Enercon electronic dance music festival
progressive dividend over the past few Japan: company whose events drew hundreds
years. It is not hard to see why. -10 Suzlon of thousands to parks and stadiums,
Aviation is a capital-intensive industry, bowing to yield filed for bankruptcy. The company, put
reliant on substantial debt financing of -20 United Power together by entertainment veteran
aircraft purchases. It is also cyclical and In Japan, cash no longer rules; it does Mingyang Robert Sillerman, went public less than
prone to external shocks from terrorist not even get to live in the palace. Since -30 three years ago. In the days after the
attacks, volcanic eruptions and oil last week, Japan’s banks must pay Envision float, its share price jumped and its
price volatility. 0.1 per cent to park excess reserves 2010 11 12 13 14 15* valuation pushed through $1bn —
There is a way around these with the central bank. Cash-rich Others “unicorn” territory, in start-up jargon.
FT graphic Sources: Statista; S&P capital * 12-months to Sept
uncomfortable realities. Ryanair has companies are even more incentivised But despite issuing debt and buying up
never paid a regular dividend. Since to distribute their surplus funds. smaller competitors, profit growth
2008 it has returned a total of €2.9bn Ever looser money has helped the It is not just bad luck that comes in about 30 per cent, whereas the cost of (after news of the talks broke) never materialised.
to investors via a combination of benchmark Topix index rally 5 per cent threes. European wind power goods have risen 18 per cent and Gamesa would cost 30 times trailing SFX was initially able to exploit the
special dividends and share buybacks since the announcement. The companies — turbine makers, not the operating expenses are down. Vestas’s earnings. Justifying that premium hype surrounding “millennial”
that fit around its capital allocation conditions are ripe for further gains. wind harvesters — had a fine 2015, in margins have improved similarly. will require growth and execution. businesses to attract investment. Its
priorities. It said yesterday that it Negative returns on yen cash make part due to events outside their Gamesa on Friday confirmed Yet conditions in target markets, reckoning, coming as capital has
would kick off another €800m yielding assets ever more appealing; control. Thank-you letters are owed another slice of luck, a potential such as Brazil, are tricky, and 2015’s become more discerning, is a warning
programme of share repurchases; the Japanese stocks yield shy of 2 per cent. to the European Central Bank, for combination with Siemens. Whatever exchange rate advantage is eroding. to other youth-oriented enterprises.
shares rose 5 per cent even though And dividends could rise: the Topix’s weakening the euro; President the outcome of their talks (currently Two, should Siemens combine Giving Mr Sillerman money three
Ryanair missed analysts’ forecasts for aggregate payout ratio is just 30 per Barack Obama, for renewing wind unclear) there is logic to a deal. A Gamesa’s €3.5bn in sales with its own years ago was not an absurd idea. In
net income. cent, below the 50 per cent of the S&P energy tax credits; and to the bigwigs Siemens-Gamesa combo would be the €5.5bn, 12 per cent of revenues would the 1990s he had built a concert
A blueprint for other cyclical, 500 in the US. who agreed an ambitious climate world’s largest turbine manufacturer. come from wind power. Chinese promotion business into Live Nation,
capital-intensive industries? Up to a Earnings, too, are growing. On Friday change deal in Paris, underpinning Siemens is dominant in the smaller competition will keep pressure on which he then sold for over $4bn. The
point. One criticism of share buybacks heavyweight NTT DoCoMo was among the case for renewable energy. offshore business, concentrated in margins. Falling prices for solar and EDM industry was fragmented and ripe
— that they leave investors with a a batch of companies beating analysts’ Luck is not the whole story. Vestas developed economies. Gamesa’s gas weaken the case for wind. for a well-funded operator to roll it up.
bigger slice of a smaller pie — is forecasts for third-quarter earnings — and Gamesa began to rally in mid- business is onshore and it is taking aim Renewables suffer from political risk SFX raised $220m of high yield debt in
blunted by Ryanair’s rapid growth. Its by about one-fifth. NTT said it would 2012, when Europe’s two leading pure at markets such as Latin America, and governments under fiscal early 2014 and has, in total, nearly
share count has fallen 8 per cent since buy back more than $4bn of its stock to play turbine makers began to where installed wind capacity lags pressure have shown no scruples $400m of debt and preferred stock.
2008 as equity has risen 62 per cent. lift shareholder returns. Yesterday, its restructure in response to losses behind Europe and North America. about switching course. US politics is But failure to increase revenue or
The relatively smooth ascent of its shares rose 15 per cent to decade highs. wrought by weak margins. It worked. Siemens’ shareholders should have going through a somewhat febrile control costs from the acquisition spree
share price has meant it rarely suffered Those in Sony, which also beat Since 2012, Gamesa’s sales are up two worries. One is price: at €17 a share patch. Luck can change. — it bought both festivals and digital
the indignity of buying back shares forecasts, did likewise. media businesses — have kept the
only to see the stock fall back. What might go wrong? If companies company from meeting its obligations.
Ryanair thinks it will keep growing; dole out too much cash, capital The dance music business is not
full-year profit will be at the top of its spending plans could suffer. There as the cost of holding it has only risen. Another year has passed and another the shares last year. By late summer intrinsically bad. SFX had 2015
forecast range and it plans to carry seems little immediate danger of this, Expect more cash to flow to investors chief executive has gone. The company Luxottica traded at its highest revenues of roughly $400m and held
80 per cent more passengers by 2024. though. Japanese companies have in the future. announced the exit of co-CEO Adil valuation ever: a ratio of enterprise 106 festivals. But the ambition it sold to
The shares do not look particularly record aggregate cash balances just shy Mehboob-Kahn late last week. That value to earnings before interest, tax, investors was not matched by its ability
overvalued (though they do trade at a of $1tn, suggesting that investment leaves his erstwhile partner, the depreciation and amortisation of more to execute.
higher multiple of profits than activity would not be constrained by a Luxottica: (relative) Luxottica veteran Massimo than 16. Even though that multiple A restructuring plan contemplates
easyJet’s). Yet much of the benefit of lack of resources. As increased payouts Vian, in charge. The shares fell 5 per has fallen in the past month or so, it wiping off more than $300m of debt.
expected lower fuel prices will be boost overall returns, investors may visionary cent. Perhaps the market’s patience with remains well above most listed Shareholders will be wiped out, which
passed through to customers in the become less concerned about the the game of musical chairs at the top of fashion companies and its own long- is bad news for Mr Sillerman who owns
form of lower fares, just when the outlook for growth. Fashion is not an industry in which age Luxottica is wearing thin. Mr Vian has a term average. more than 40 per cent of the common
industry is embarking on a period of China’s slowdown, too, is a possible comes before beauty. At Italy’s strong reputation as an operations man. The valuation does not price in any equity. He will also cede the CEO slot.
above-average capacity growth. worry. Yet CLSA points out that even as Luxottica, an exception has been made. The head visionary, Mr del Vecchio, risk on succession for Mr del Vecchio The new company may have a total
European capacity will grow more than earnings for those companies most In September 2014, the eyewear maker becomes executive chairman. (who is a sprightly 80). This is not only value of a few hundred million dollars.
7 per cent in 2016, says Citigroup, exposed to Chinese growth — such as and retailer lost its long-time chief Though business is sound, Luxottica pertinent because of the rotating CEOs. The shows will go on — at the much
putting more pressure on ticket prices. machinery makers and commodity executive Andrea Guerra just as has enjoyed a big boost from the strong He also owns most of the shares; his softer volume they should have been
As a low-cost carrier, Ryanair will trading companies — have been founder and chairman Leonardo del dollar recently. More than half of family is not involved in management. set to all along.
weather those conditions better than downgraded, earnings forecasts across Vecchio took a more active role. The revenues come from the US and these The dollar will not rise forever.
most of its rivals. Still, for buybacks to the index continue to rise. Other successor to Mr Guerra lasted 40 days. — unadjusted for currency movement Mr del Vecchio needs to ensure his
carry on working, Ryanair needs a lot markets clearly matter more. The market did not mind much: — jumped nearly a quarter last year, company has a stable executive suite Lex on the web
For notes on today’s breaking
to go right. For future returns, the Japanese companies will feel less Luxottica’s shares soared 35 per cent but only 4 per cent on a constant dollar and a succession plan should he need stories go to www.ft.com/lex
company should instead consider need than ever to hold cash for safety, last year, beating the Italian bourse. basis. Investors priced that benefit into to step away himself.
CROSSWORD
No. 15,153 Set by ARMONIE
ACROSS DOWN
1 Starts to look at tracks 1 Learning about current in the
through the country (6) river (5)
4 Speaks of panic with son (6) 2 Give hairstyle that’s in
8 Naughty Carol keeps a pub (7) fashion? Certainly! (7)
9 Problem for old Bob the repair 3 Purity Connie falsely showed
man (7) once appearing topless (9)
11 Purcell has developed 5 Comprehensive kid gets a
melancholy (10) quid (5)
12 Old people imprisoned – many 6 A small fastening can alter
lost (4) one’s course (3,4)
13 New information about soldier 7 Worker’s first wife died in
(5) shop (9)
14 Weirdo makes illegal drugs (8) 10 First-rate fish served with
16 Teacher having gym with pork (9)
students is badly put down (8) 13 Stable hand crosses stream
18 Money put into academic for a place to eat (9)
funds (5) 15 Now for a tango show (2,7)
20 Further inside the Royal 17 Drunken legions drink this . . . .
Society (4) (4,3)
21 Harmony in a musical 19 . . . . nastier sort of wine (7)
instrument (10) 21 Box the revolutionary way (5)
23 Fielder’s desire to get on (4,3) 22 Impossible idea one’s given up
24 Idea vet developed to change (3,2)
(7)
25 Speechless about batting a
JOTTER PAD short time (6)
26 Dishonour grips royal family
(6)
Prudential Aetna Easyjet Brent oil Xetra Dax Shanghai Gold Euro/dollar
Deutsche’s woes Why they Composite
could get even worse 3% 2% 3.4% 5.1% 0.4% 1.8% $10 0.5%
PATRICK JENKINS, PAGE 14
1,326.5p $103.8 1,601p $34.14 9,757.88 2,689.25 $1,127 $1.0887
COMPANIES
INSIDE BUSINESS
Banks
FINANCE
N
investigation
vate investors’ euro deposits. Department of Justice in a tax investiga- resort. Julius Baer would first advise volatility in financial markets would
Banks across Europe have found it tion — part of a series of penalties customers on “solutions that will have rise as a result. ine years ago, Deutsche Bank’s share price was
increasingly costly to service clients’ imposed on Swiss banks. positive returns”. Separately, Julius Baer confirmed that nudging €100. Like other banks in early 2007,
bank accounts in an era of persistently Assets under management rose 3 per But the bank could not rule out even it had received inquiries from authori- Germany’s biggest lender had enjoyed a great
sub-zero official borrowing costs. Large cent to SFr300bn. Excluding the US pro- imposing charges on retail clients’ Swiss ties investigating corruption surround- run. Its global investment bank was firing on
commercial and institutional clients vision, adjusted profits were SFr701.5m, franc deposits. ing Fifa, world football’s governing all cylinders. Business was booming at home.
already face charges to offset the costs of up 20 per cent compared with 2014. “There is a point in time when it just body, in Switzerland and the US. Annual profits had come in at €6bn, up 70 per cent. Its
negative official interest rates. As a consequence of the US settle- becomes uneconomical for us,” Mr Col- Mr Collardi said an employee had shares had jumped 24 per cent in a year. Josef Ackermann,
But the Swiss bank’s comments sug- ment, Boris Collardi, chief executive, lardi said. If Julius Baer imposed nega- been dismissed, but played down wider then chief executive, took home a €12m bonus on top of
gest private investors could face similar said he expected his 2015 pay and that of tive interest rates, he expected other repercussions. “There is no reason to his €1.15m salary, and hailed an “outstanding” bank,
negative interest rates. his senior colleagues would be lower banks would as well. have any fears,” he added. delivering “excellent value to our shareholders”.
Today, Deutsche shares are trading at a record low of less
than €17, below even the nadir of 2009 when Mr Acker-
mann’s words — like most of his peers’ — already looked
pretty hubristic.
Adele and John Cryan, who this year takes sole charge of Deutsche,
did his best to flush out the worst of the bank’s hidden
problems last week. A €12bn slug of writedowns, litigation
James Bond charges and restructuring costs pushed the bank to a
€6.8bn loss for 2015. His clean-up has been so dramatic
boost Sony that bulls are now starting to ask: is it finally time to buy
Deutsche stock?
It is a fair question. Despite the clear progress, Deutsche
is now worth less in market capitalisation terms than Dan-
ske Bank — hardly a household name outside its Danish
Investors in Sony added $3.3bn to its homeland (€23bn vs €25bn). More scientifically, Deut-
market value yesterday, sending sche shares are trading at barely 30 per cent of the book
shares up 12 per cent after the value of its net assets. If only as a break-up target, Deutsche
company reported robust earnings is surely absurdly cheap.
boosted by the latest James Bond film That argument may in time prove right — sentiment is
and sales of a recent Adele album. hard to predict. But here are five reasons why there may be
Third-quarter earnings, released even worse ahead for Deutsche.
on Friday after markets closed, First, the group’s core business is investment banking.
included stronger-than-expected Back in 2006, more than 70 per cent of those record profits
profits and reassured investors that came from the corporate and investment banking divi-
chief executive Kazuo Hirai’s efforts sion. This unit still dominates the balance sheet but it is
to rejig the group were on track. now lossmaking and revenues slumped 30 per cent in the
The results reinforced the last three months of the year.
company’s growing reliance on its Mr Cryan says some of that decline was deliberate as the
entertainment and PlayStation bank pulls back from low-margin activities, but it is also
businesses after a decline of Sony’s losing out because of low morale and tough competition.
sales in the mobile phone and Even the top performers in the sector are challenged by
television market. For the third capital requirements that
quarter, its entertainment and game penalise the kind of trading
divisions accounted for 44 per cent of that was once at Deutsche’s
Deutsche is now
total operating profit. heart. worth less in
Sony’s quarterly net profit rose 34 Second, Deutsche’s scope
per cent from a year earlier to to pivot towards another
market cap
Y120.1bn ($993m). strong business line looks terms than
Sony slightly raised the full-year more limited than that of its
profit target for its games division European peers. It does not
Danske Bank
following strong sales of its have the wealth manage-
PlayStation 4 video game consoles. ment franchise of Credit Suisse or UBS. Nor does it have
Kana Inagaki Daniel Craig plays the credit card strength of Barclays.
James Bond in ‘Spectre’ Its unglamorous business of transaction banking — cash
management and trade finance — is growing steadily but
that is hardly the basis for an inspiring strategic vision.
And do not expect one soon. Mr Cryan is a clean-up expert,
not a visionary.
Financial services. Algorithms Third, Deutsche’s constraints would be tough enough
without a quartet of macroeconomic challenges. These
‘Robo-advisers’ move to calm investor nerves are: the European Central Bank’s monetary policy, which
is restricting interest margins; the economic slowdown in
China, Germany’s third-largest trading partner; the poten-
tial problem of Brexit for any bank with thousands of
employees in the City of London; and the risk that the
ment since launching its robo service Wealthfront and Betterment, as well as ing that less than 1 per cent of about migrant crisis — particularly acute in Germany — poses to
Clients who rely on automated last March, says that it has asked staff to fund giants Fidelity and Vanguard and 63,000 accounts changed their risk pro- Schengen, the EU-without-borders regime that has given a
portfolio management seek work longer hours to cope with a brokers such as Schwab. file or portfolio composition in the first significant boost to economic productivity. This boost
roughly one-third increase in calls from This new breed of robo-advisers three weeks of 2016. would be reversed if lorries were stuck in border queues
reassurance in turbulent times customers since December. Online accounts for less than $100bn of AUM in Daniel Egan, director of behavioural instead of plying the autobahns.
chats have picked up too, as customers a US market worth at least $30tn. But finance and investing at New York- Fourth, Deutsche will book more “exceptional charges”.
BEN MCLANNAHAN — NEW YORK have sought advice on rebalancing port- Deloitte estimates that the robots could based Betterment, said the firm had Last year, the bank set aside more than €5.2bn to cover
folios and optimising tax bills amid the be managing $5tn to $7tn by 2025, as the received higher volumes of calls and pending litigation. There will be more this year.
The biggest “robo-advisers” are relying rougher environment of the past few biggest wealth management brands emails in recent weeks, and was trying Probes into its Russian business and its involvement in
on old-school call centres and blog posts weeks. start to compete more aggressively. to ease concerns by providing “very per- the structuring of residential mortgage-backed securities
to calm anxious investors, trying to per- “There are times when people just Morgan Stanley has said it is looking at a sonalised, very positive” notifications are the big risks. Last autumn, the US Department of Jus-
suade them that there is no need to want to talk — even if it’s just to rein- hybrid model — human advisers “aug- when customers log in. tice and the New York Department of Financial Services
abandon the algorithms in times of force that they’re doing the right thing,” mented” by digital technology — while Palo Alto-based Wealthfront, where widened their investigation of alleged money laundering
heightened volatility. said Tobin McDaniel, San Francisco- Bank of America Merrill Lynch is poised 60 per cent of clients are under 35 and at the Russian unit to look at suspected sanctions
Automated investment services have based president of Schwab Wealth to launch an automated offering that 90 per cent under 50, said that it had breaches.
expanded rapidly in the US in recent Investment Advisory, which offers robo could “complement” financial advisers, directed customers to online essays by Fifth, the idea that Deutsche could be bought by a rival is
years, attracting mostly younger cus- services to clients with at least $5,000 to according to a spokesperson. Burton Malkiel, the firm’s veteran chief flawed. As a systemically important financial institution
tomers with the promise of managing invest. Robo-advisers require customers to investment officer, who wrote the 1973 (Sifi), it is hard, if not impossible, to see regulators sanc-
pots of their money at a fraction of the “Without access to a professional ‘In these complete an online questionnaire on book, A Random Walk Down Wall Street. tioning a takeover.
cost of a human being. Yet almost all of when the market gets choppy, there’s a their goals and risk appetite. The soft- “This generation has already been So far, Deutsche has not even come under the kind of
that growth has been achieved in a gen- risk that some investors might make
volatile ware then selects a portfolio, often through two crashes; they have no illu- activist investor pressure that could lead to a break-up.
tly rising market — prompting some tra- emotional decisions that they’ll regret markets is focusing on cheap exchange traded sions that a professional could somehow The problem for any activist — as for Mr Cryan — is to set-
ditional rivals to predict that once prices later.” funds, and periodically rebalances to beat the market or protect them in a tle on a business activity that is large enough and sustaina-
drop and tensions rise, clients will no Analysts say last month’s stock mar-
where an optimise profits and taxes. downturn,” said Adam Nash, chief exec- bly profitable enough to define Deutsche’s future. For the
longer be happy to be guided by soft- ket slump — the worst start to the year automated Most of the worried callers to utive. “In these volatile markets is sake of all Deutsche’s stakeholders, including Germany
ware. for the S&P 500 for more than a decade Schwab’s Intelligent Portfolios service where an automated service shines. The itself, a solution is vital.
Charles Schwab, which has raced to — was a test for a fledgling industry that
service did not do anything with their accounts beauty of the computer is that it doesn’t
about $5.3bn in assets under manage- has lured dozens of start-ups, such as shines’ after hanging up, said Mr McDaniel, not- care, it’s open for business every day.” patrick.jenkins@ft.com
Banks Financials
UBS hires ex-Brevan Howard partner Pande Bonuses shrink in shift to higher fixed salaries
MILES JOHNSON to navigate the current market environ- likely to have less bullish markets,” said JOSEPH COTTERILL — LONDON to extend bonus caps, which apply to tries and regions,” the report said.
ment, with large bets on a strengthening Mr Smiles. “We have had a pretty good banks, to the investment industry. Base salaries in financial services
UBS has hired a former Brevan Howard The world’s banks, insurers and invest-
US dollar failing to compensate for run over the last seven years, so we are The European rules limit bonuses to worldwide are expected to increase by
partner to advise its ultra-wealthy fam- ment managers continued to cut staff
losses on other trades, which led to the now looking for ways to navigate more twice fixed pay for key executives with 2-3 per cent on average, the survey
ily office clients on the market impact bonuses last year in favour of increas-
industry as a whole losing money for volatile markets. If we are in an environ- shareholder approval and require up to found, including less than 2.5 per cent in
of the US Federal Reserve’s withdrawal ing fixed salaries, according to a new
investors last year. ment where there is more volatility you 40 per cent of the amount to be deferred North America and Europe.
from its post-crisis policy of ultra-low survey.
Simon Smiles, head of the ultra high need to find ways to make money from for at least three years. “There continues to be a concern that
interest rates.
net worth team at UBS, said the bank short-term opportunities.” A majority of companies polled by con- Regulations are being tightened else- increasing the focus on fixed guaranteed
UBS Wealth Management has was appointing Mr Pande, who formerly Mr Pande left Brevan Howard last sultants Mercer increased fixed pay for where with the Bank of England clamp- pay breaks the link between pay and
appointed Vinay Pande into a new posi- served as chief investment officer of the year around the time the hedge fund staff by more than 5 per cent and ing down on so-called bonus buyouts for performance, and may actually be
tion. He will be head of trading strate- World Bank, to use his expertise in decided to part company with several decreased bonuses by a similar amount. bankers switching jobs. counter-productive for aligning pay
gies in its chief investment office, cater- macro hedge fund management to find partners after its main hedge fund suf- Few of the companies that responded “Ratio caps are not affecting organi- with risk,” said Dirk Vink, a principal at
ing to what the bank calls “ultra high net short-term trading opportunities cre- fered its first ever loss over a calendar had plans to raise pay offers markedly sations’ compensation and benefits Mercer and co-author of the report.
worth” clients, alongside a team that ated by rising interest rates and cur- year in 2014. this year, in a sign that regulations to costs for the most part. If compensa- Banks in particular are also increasing
worked with him at Brevan Howard. rency movements. Before working at Brevan Howard, Mr limit bonuses are continuing to bite. tion and benefits are being affected, “role-based allowances” in addition to
The hire comes as many hedge funds “Looking at market performance this Pande was chief investment adviser at This year fund managers in Europe they are only slightly lower or higher making fixed salary a greater part of
have been left bruised by their inability year and last year we think we are more Deutsche Bank. have launched a fight to block proposals than pre-cap levels across all indus- overall compensation, the survey said.
Tuesday 2 February 2016 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES 15
COMPANIES
Ryanair’s new
flight path pays
off for investors
Planned €800m share buyback is
strongest evidence of recovery yet
TANYA POWLEY — LONDON But not all of Ryanair’s recent
progress is down to its new strategy.
Ryanair plans to return €800m to European airlines in general are benefit-
investors through its largest share ing from Europe’s modest economic
buyback to date, highlighting how recovery and lower fuel prices. Even Air
Europe’s leading budget airline has France-KLM and Lufthansa, flag carri-
made significant progress to overhaul ers hit by strikes, are predicting record
its aggressive image and poor customer profits for 2015.
service. There have also been setbacks. Rya- Chris Radburn/PA
The Dublin-based low-cost carrier nair’s third-quarter earnings missed
yesterday reported third-quarter net analysts’ expectations because it felt
profit of €102.7m, up 110 per cent com- compelled to cut fares after November’s
Ryanair
pared with the same period in 2014. terrorist attacks in Paris, which caused Profit after tax (€bn) Capital returns (€bn) Share price and index (rebased)
The €800m buyback is the strong- some people to shun air travel. 1.5 0.8 300
est evidence yet of Ryanair’s recovery The airline said average fares fell 1 per Special dividends
after two profit warnings in the cent to €40 in its third quarter, and 250
1.0 Buybacks 0.6
autumn of 2013, when Michael O’Leary, warned they could decline by 6 per cent
its outspoken chief executive, admitted in the three months to March 31. 200
the company annoyed too many Ryanair is not the only transport Ryanair
0.5 0.4 150
passengers and promised a strategy group to be affected by the Paris attacks.
overhaul. Last week, easyJet warned its revenue 100
Changes to Ryanair’s business model per seat in the three months to Decem- 0 0.2
included cutting baggage fees and other ber 31 was due to fall, while Stagecoach, 50
charges that put some people off travel- the bus and train operator, said last year European airlines index
-0.5 0 0
ling with the airline. It also sought to its earnings could be affected. 2008 10 12 14 16* 2008 10 12 14 16 17 2008 10 12 14 16
copy easyJet’s strategy of wooing busi- Ryanair also warned that its fourth * Q1 to Q3
ness people, partly by announcing plans quarter and next financial year could Sources: company; Thomson Reuters Datastream
to fly to more major European hubs see average fares hurt by unfavourable
rather than obscure airports far from currency movements and a €2.50
city centres. increase in Italy’s municipal tax that is ‘They have continues to be industry leading and He partly justified this stance by of 2013 it agreed to buy 175 short-haul
The company credits this new levied on passengers. falling.” referring to a volcanic eruption in Ice- passenger jets from Boeing in a $16bn
approach for the improvement in its for- However, analysts say Ryanair transformed Plans for the €800m buyback come land in 2010 that caused travel chaos by deal.
tunes, which saw it become the first air- has allayed fears that changes to its their after Ryanair said in September it would causing some of the biggest European Such is Ryanair’s confidence that it
line to carry 100m international passen- business model, notably its move into hand €400m to shareholders after the airspace closures since the second world confirmed yesterday that it expected to
gers during a single year in 2015. Last more major European airports, would business and sale of its 29.8 per cent stake in Aer Lin- war. hit the upper end of its net profit target
September, Ryanair raised its full-year result in significantly higher costs. the exciting gus to International Airlines Group, “It’s a very cyclical industry, you can for 2015-16. It also predicted it will carry
profit guidance for the year to March Ryanair said it expected unit costs owner of British Airways. This is being wake up to find a volcano erupting in 106m passengers.
2016 by 25 per cent, to a range of excluding fuel to fall by 2 per cent in thing is it supplemented in 2015-16 by a €400m your back yard, so we don’t want to Airline coverage This momentum looks unlikely to
between €1.17bn and €1.22bn. 2015-16. buyback. commit to a regular dividend,” he said. For further disappear. Ryanair is aiming to carry
“They have radically transformed “The shift in strategy seems to have
seems like While investors have benefited from “We prefer to do ad hoc chunky buy- analysis of the 180m passengers a year by 2024, by
their business and the exciting thing is it worked well in the context of cash,” says they’ve still ad hoc capital returns, Neil Sorahan, backs . . . which we think is a better
latest industry
developments, which time Mr O’Leary is targeting net
seems like they’ve still got a long way to Stephen Furlong, an analyst at Davy, got a long Ryanair’s finance director, said the air- position for our shareholders.” go to profit of €2bn.
go,” says Oliver Sleath, an analyst at Bar- Ryanair’s broker. line had no plans to commit to a regular Ryanair needs its new customer Additional reporting by Nathalie Thomas
clays. “It’s a cash machine. And the cost base way to go’ dividend or share buyback. service strategy to work — in the spring
ft.com/airlines
See Lex
16 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Tuesday 2 February 2016
COMPANIES
Nokia slides
as Samsung
the microscope amid calls to break up patents deal
disappoints
Shareholders seeking higher returns urge manufacturers to review their sprawling portfolios investors
ever, he adds: “The rationale for keeping
ANDREW WARD — LONDON
DAVID CROW — NEW YORK
Molecular breakdown a consumer division is a little more DANIEL THOMAS
TELECOMS CORRESPONDENT
frayed.”
Some of the world’s biggest pharmaceu- GSK Johnson & Johnson GSK is likely to face similar questions Shares in Nokia dropped to their lowest
ticals groups are facing calls to break up Revenues, 2014 ($bn) 40 Revenues, 2014 ($bn) when Sir Andrew Witty, chief executive,
80 level in almost six months after the
their diversified businesses in favour of delivers full-year results tomorrow. financial terms of a deal to share its
greater focus as shareholders push for Consumer healthcare Consumer healthcare About 45 per cent of its revenues come mobile phone patents with Samsung
higher returns on investment. 30 60 from vaccines and consumer health-
Vaccines disappointed investors.
In recent days, Johnson & Johnson has care, including Sensodyne toothpaste
been urged to review its sprawling port- 20 Medical devices 40 and Panadol painkillers. A deal struck with the South Korean
folio that ranges from baby oil to cancer Like Mr Gorsky, Sir Andrew argues group yesterday resolved a longstand-
drugs, and there were questions for Pharmaceuticals 10 20 that these businesses create a healthy ing patent dispute, which Nokia said
Novartis over the future of its struggling Pharmaceuticals buffer for the risks and volatility of the would help almost double the revenues
eyecare business. pharma market, where a failed clinical it made to about €1bn in 2015.
This week, Pfizer will update share- 0 0 trial or loss of patent protection can Net sales at Nokia Technologies, the
holders on plans for a potential Novartis Pfizer upend a pure-play drugmaker over- unit that licenses the group’s patents,
break-up, while GlaxoSmithKline is Revenues, 2015 ($bn) Revenues, 2014 ($bn) night. were expected to increase to about
likely to be pressed on whether it is con- 50 50 Moreover, GSK executives point to €800m every year following the award,
sidering a similar move. synergies from manufacturing and sell- the company said, but this was less than
All four cases are part of a Eyecare (Alcon) 40 Global innovative products – new drugs 40 ing prescription drugs, vaccines and the €900m expected by analysts. Shares
wider debate: should companies hedge Generics (Sandoz) over-the-counter products through in Nokia fell 13 per cent, the largest drop
the risks of drug development by diver- 30 Global vaccines, oncology 30 shared supply chains. in a single day since last April.
sifying into adjacent markets such as and consumer healthcare “If you split the businesses up you Pierre Ferragu, an analyst at Bern-
contact lenses (Novartis), toothpaste 20 20 would end up duplicating a lot of things stein, estimated that Samsung would
(GSK) and knee implants Global established pharmaceuticals that are currently done efficiently increase its annual payments by about
(Johnson & Johnson)? Or is it better to Pharmaceuticals 10
(mature products)
10 together,” says one executive. €115m, although Nokia did not break
focus resources on the higher-margin However, GSK is under pressure from out the exact number. He added that
0 0
business of making medicines? some investors for a shake-up after a this was “a major disappointment for
Disposals of non-core assets long period of weak performance. investors” despite meeting the lower
by several big pharma groups in recent Pharma slimming down Neil Woodford, below left, the high- end of his estimates. Mr Ferragu blamed
years has put the latter approach firmly Deal value ($bn) profile UK fund manager and big GSK hype around the potential of Nokia to
in the ascendancy. Merck of the US, for Jan 2013 Apr 2014 shareholder, told the BBC this month generate money from licensing reve-
example, jettisoned its consumer Abbott Labs spins off its Novartis sells its vaccines that the group was “like four FTSE 100 nues when extracting royalties in a satu-
healthcare business — with brands AbbVie drug development division to GSK and puts Dec 2015 companies bolted together” and did not rated smartphone market has become
including Coppertone sunscreen business its consumer assets into a May 2014 Oct 2015 Sanofi in talks with “do a particularly good job of managing increasingly difficult.
Merck sells its Bayer spins off Boehringer Ingelheim to
and Dr Scholl’s footcare — to sharpen its joint venture controlled all of the constituent parts”. Like at J&J, Nokia owns one of the largest portfo-
Feb 2013 consumer its Covestro swap its animal health unit
Pfizer spins off
by the UK group; Eli Lilly
division to Bayer lios of the patents that are needed to
acquires Novartis's plastics division for the German company's
manufacture smartphones and other
‘We will continue to Zoetis, its animal animal health business consumer health business ‘The consumer division is mobile devices, which the Finnish group
health unit
see pharma companies so big in scale, it could one retained following the sale of its devices
business to Microsoft two years ago.
shrink to grow’ Jul 2015 day have a life of its own’ Nokia also controls the Alcatel-Lucent
Baxter spins off
David Butts its Baxalta drug
Sir Andrew Witty portfolio of patents following its acquisi-
development arm tion of the French group.
competitive edge against “pure-play” there has not so far been a groundswell The agreement between Nokia and
drugmakers such as Bristol-Myers of investor support for his view. Samsung was set by the International
Squibb, AstraZeneca and Gilead Sci- 5.2 5.4 But Sir Andrew has become increas- Court of Arbitration of the International
ences. 64.0 14.7 14.2 20.3 1.7 7.3 12.4 ingly open in acknowledging the possi- Chamber of Commerce covering a five-
Meanwhile, Abbott and Baxter, two bility of a break-up even though he says year extension of a licence agreement
diversified US healthcare groups, spun he does not believe it makes sense today. that oversaw certain patents from the
off AbbVie and Baxalta, respectively, as He told Bloomberg TV this month: start of 2014.
standalone pharma companies. “The consumer division is so big in Ramzi Haidamus, president of Nokia
Even drugmakers which remain rela- scale, it could one day have a life of its Technologies, said: “We welcome the
tively diversified have taken steps to own.” additional compensation payable to
slim down. Novartis (animal health and 2013 2014 2015 Joe Jimenez, Novartis chief executive, Nokia under the extended agreement.”
vaccines), Bayer (plastics), Sanofi (ani- told the Financial Times that there were Nokia said Nokia Technologies would
FT graphic Sources: company; Dealogic; FT research
mal health) and Pfizer (animal health) still benefits from diversification pro- report net sales of about €400m in the
have relinquished unwanted businesses vided the components were all “leading fourth quarter 2015 and €1bn for the
or are in the process of doing so. Pfizer is dled management as businesses with time when US health systems are businesses with global scale and innova- full year 2015. This includes “catch-up
planning to go further with the likely different growth rates and capital needs clamping down on costs. tive power”. revenue” because the court award
separation of its “established products” vie for resources. In an open letter last Matt Miksic, a healthcare analyst at Analysts say the jury is out on exceeded revenue estimates already
portfolio of older drugs by 2019. week, Artisan Partners, an investment UBS, says there will always be worries whether the Swiss group’s Alcon eyecare recognised for the period. Nokia expects
“We will continue to see pharma com- manager with a $480m J&J holding, about J&J’s conglomerate structure unit fits that criteria after disappointing to receive at least €1.3bn of cash
panies shrink to grow,” says David Butts, called for a spin out of the consumer and “making them slower and harder to financial results last week. between 2016 and 2018 related to pat-
head of international life sciences merg- medical devices units “so that new, manoeuvre”. Until recently, the attitude of inves- ent arbitrations.
ers and acquisitions at CMS, a law focused and accountable management He agrees, however, that its breadth of tors seemed clear. Shares in Bristol-My- Mr Ferragu said intellectual property
firm. “You could say this is a move teams can lead them into the future”. products promises to be an advantage in ers Squibb, a pure-play pharma com- right revenues were only a “very small
towards . . . pure play, as companies However, there has so far been little an era when President Barack Obama’s pany among the leaders of a new gener- moving part” for Nokia, however. “One
unlock value in non-core businesses, sign of other investors rushing to back a Affordable Care Act has created greater ation of high-value cancer drugs, have should expect IPR payments to grow
then use cash to shore up the core break-up. Alex Gorsky, J&J chief exec- Decisive incentives for hospitals to bulk-buy. almost doubled since the start of 2013, more towards the lower end than the
business.” utive, said last week that the con- moment looms J&J executives argue that the compared with rise of just 3 per cent in higher end that we have been describing
This trend has left the most glomerate model had been “a signif- for UK maker of company would not have weathered GSK. in recent years. This represents a small,
medical
diversified drugmaker, J&J, look- icant driver [of growth] in the past marijuana the financial crisis nor its big patent However, in the year-to-date, Bristol- low-single-digit percentage moving part
ing increasingly out of step. and we expect it will be more Trial results for cliff — the loss of market exclusivity Myers Squibb is down 11 per cent and to the earnings power we anticipate for
Pharma is the US group’s largest important in the future”. Epidiolex crucial on branded drugs — were it not GSK is up nearly 5 per cent. J&J is also up Nokia on a three-year horizon.”
business but accounts for less J&J says it benefits from for GW Pharma for the stability of its medical devices since the start of the year. This could
than half of total sales; the rest research and development collab- — the first UK unit. reflect rising hopes of restructuring
company to test Telecoms
comes from medical devices and oration between different parts of “The management view is that the ahead. But it might also be a sign that, as
cannabinoid News, comment and analysis on
consumer products including the group; it also touts the ability device business is a kind of anchor and the global economic outlook dims, all aspects of the telecoms
market
Tylenol painkillers and Listerine to jointly market drugs and cash generator, with slower, but less vol- investors are reconsidering the merits of sector
mouthwash. devices to hospitals — giving it ft.com/ atile growth that can support the a business model designed to reduce
pharmaceuticals www.ft.com/telecoms
Critics say this model leads to mud- greater bargaining power at a pharma division,” says Mr Miksic. How- volatility and spread risks.
COMPANIES
MARKET DATA
-0.34% -0.28% -0.33% -0.39% -0.25% -0.45% -0.06% -0.033% -0.655% -4.07%
1.98% 0.647% 1.268% 1.32%
Stock Market movements over last 30 days, with the FTSE All-World in the same currency as a comparison
AMERICAS EUROPE ASIA
Jan 02 - Feb 01 Index All World Dec 30 - Jan 29 Index All World Jan 02 - Feb 01 Index All World Jan 02 - Feb 01 Index All World Jan 02 - Feb 01 Index All World Jan 02 - Feb 01 Index All World
S&P 500 New York S&P/TSX COMP Toronto FTSE 100 London Xetra Dax Frankfurt Nikkei 225 Tokyo Kospi Seoul
2,063.36 13,009.95 6,242.32 10,743.01 18,982.23 1,961.31
12,615.67 6,060.10 17,865.23 1,924.82
1,933.72
9,757.88
Day -0.34% Month -5.41% Year -3.09% Day -1.61% Month -3.05% Year -14.04% Day -0.39% Month -2.97% Year -10.26% Day -0.41% Month 0.22% Year NaN% Day 1.98% Month -6.14% Year 1.08% Day 0.67% Month -1.86% Year -1.25%
Nasdaq Composite New York IPC Mexico City FTSE Eurofirst 300 Europe Ibex 35 Madrid Hang Seng Hong Kong FTSE Straits Times Singapore
5,065.85 1,437.53 9,544.20
43,630.77 21,914.40 2,882.73
42,977.50
1,344.75 8,788.50
4,600.90 19,595.50 2,602.41
Day -0.28% Month -8.14% Year -0.76% Day 2.92% Month 0.55% Year 4.22% Day -0.25% Month -6.56% Year -8.32% Day -0.31% Month -7.92% Year -15.52% Day -0.45% Month -10.58% Year -20.04% Day -1.02% Month -9.72% Year 11.76%
Dow Jones Industrial New York Bovespa São Paulo CAC 40 Paris FTSE MIB Milan Shanghai Composite Shanghai BSE Sensex Mumbai
17,603.87 43,349.96 4,637.06 21,418.37 26,117.54
4,392.33 3,539.18
40,188.69 24,824.83
16,411.85
18,485.95 2,688.85
Day -0.33% Month -5.84% Year -4.41% Day -0.54% Month -7.31% Year -14.34% Day -0.56% Month -5.28% Year -4.60% Day -0.92% Month -13.69% Year -9.84% Day -1.78% Month -24.03% Year -16.24% Day -0.18% Month -4.95% Year -14.93%
Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous
Argentina Merval 11221.60 11306.02 Cyprus CSE M&P Gen 67.20 67.41 Italy FTSE Italia All-Share 20189.89 20340.61 Philippines Manila Comp 6701.36 6687.62 Taiwan Weighted Pr 8156.96 8145.21 Cross-Border DJ Global Titans ($) 222.83 223.50
Australia All Ordinaries 5094.30 5056.60 Czech Republic
PX 914.71 921.07 FTSE Italia Mid Cap 31674.43 31512.27 Poland Wig 44182.36 44290.05 Thailand Bangkok SET 1297.34 1300.98 Euro Stoxx 50 (Eur) 3018.05 3045.09
S&P/ASX 200 5043.60 5005.50 Denmark OMXC Copenahgen 20 973.01 972.66 FTSE MIB 18485.95 18657.29 Portugal PSI 20 5082.29 5065.67 Turkey BIST 100 73481.09 72427.41 Euronext 100 ID 870.41 874.30
S&P/ASX 200 Res 2198.80 2191.90 Egypt EGX 30 5992.72 5986.78 Japan 2nd Section 4569.92 4482.16 PSI General 2440.99 2433.94 UAE Abu Dhabi General Index 4106.37 4054.37 FTSE 4Good Global ($) 5086.52 5092.50
Austria ATX 2140.96 2162.42 Estonia OMX Tallinn 883.96 881.46 Nikkei 225 17865.23 17518.30 Romania BET Index 6329.23 6268.84 UK FT 30 2825.80 2755.40 FTSE All World 247.42 247.58
Belgium BEL 20 3488.53 3486.22 Finland OMX Helsinki General 8135.32 8341.27 S&P Topix 150 1202.96 1177.61 Russia Micex Index 1773.21 1784.92 FTSE 100 6060.10 6083.79 FTSE E300 1344.75 1348.08
BEL Mid 5638.07 5619.49 France CAC 40 4392.33 4417.02 Topix 1462.67 1432.07 RTX 730.39 745.30 FTSE 4Good UK 5482.78 5496.49 FTSE Eurotop 100 2655.09 2665.01
Brazil Bovespa 40188.69 40405.99 SBF 120 3477.78 3492.82 Jordan Amman SE 2136.54 2147.00 Saudi-Arabia TADAWUL All Share Index 5985.72 5996.57 FTSE All Share 3325.54 3335.90 FTSE Global 100 ($) 1230.03 1235.61
Canada S&P/TSX 60 741.61 754.85 Germany M-DAX 19473.44 19478.04 Kenya NSE 20 3767.24 3773.17 Singapore FTSE Straits Times 2602.41 2629.11 FTSE techMARK 100 3813.57 3819.17 FTSE Gold Min ($) 953.14 943.88
S&P/TSX Comp 12615.67 12822.13 TecDAX 1698.35 1688.63 Kuwait KSX Market Index 510.72 511.45 Slovakia SAX 305.70 309.16 USA DJ Composite 5719.55 5717.76 FTSE Latibex Top (Eur) 1993.20 1943.20
S&P/TSX Met & Min 270.50 277.60 XETRA Dax 9757.88 9798.11 Latvia OMX Riga 617.89 616.05 Slovenia SBI TOP 688.77 683.78 DJ Industrial 16411.85 16466.30 FTSE Multinationals ($) 1394.55 1369.85
Chile IGPA Gen 18144.20 18243.46 Greece Athens Gen 557.16 552.83 Lithuania OMX Vilnius 486.04 485.57 South Africa FTSE/JSE All Share 49055.54 49141.94 DJ Transport 6915.72 6906.76 FTSE World ($) 439.40 439.63
China FTSE A200 7471.74 7598.93 FTSE/ASE 20 154.99 153.40 Luxembourg LuxX 1286.58 1298.24 FTSE/JSE Res 20 24432.28 24249.34 DJ Utilities 617.55 611.35 FTSEurofirst 100 (Eur) 3775.84 3789.20
FTSE B35 9785.43 9873.50 Hong Kong Hang Seng 19595.50 19683.11 Malaysia FTSE Bursa KLCI 1667.80 1634.53 FTSE/JSE Top 40 43881.35 44065.55 Nasdaq 100 4270.74 4279.17 FTSEurofirst 80 (Eur) 4090.35 4119.81
Shanghai A 2813.68 2864.76 HS China Enterprise 8144.85 8241.36 Mexico IPC 43630.77 42393.02 South Korea Kospi 1924.82 1912.06 Nasdaq Cmp 4600.90 4613.95 MSCI ACWI Fr ($) 375.02 367.64
Shanghai B 340.57 344.86 HSCC Red Chip 3462.68 3472.35 Morocco MASI 8898.99 8914.20 Kospi 200 233.67 232.10 NYSE Comp 9584.75 9632.70 MSCI All World ($) 1562.18 1532.68
Shanghai Comp 2688.85 2737.60 Hungary Bux 24126.70 23997.31 Netherlands AEX 429.68 431.28 Spain IBEX 35 8788.50 8815.80 S&P 500 1933.72 1940.24 MSCI Europe (Eur) 1342.00 1311.86
Shenzhen A 1747.70 1766.00 India BSE Sensex 24824.83 24870.69 AEX All Share 658.78 659.88 Sri Lanka CSE All Share 6363.18 6340.05 Wilshire 5000 19849.69 19926.10 MSCI Pacific ($) 2119.75 2098.02
Shenzhen B 1132.78 1146.77 S&P CNX 500 6341.60 6339.45 New Zealand NZX 50 6174.49 6170.22 Sweden OMX Stockholm 30 1344.85 1356.32 Venezuela IBC 14100.32 14032.15 S&P Euro (Eur) 1362.65 1369.28
Colombia COLCAP 1175.09 1165.38 Indonesia Jakarta Comp 4624.64 4615.16 Nigeria SE All Share 23916.15 23598.85 OMX Stockholm AS 466.96 469.40 Vietnam VNI 540.56 545.25 S&P Europe 350 (Eur) 1377.37 1380.52
Croatia CROBEX 1603.90 1602.60 Ireland ISEQ Overall 6448.24 6343.24 Norway Oslo All Share 596.62 603.36 Switzerland SMI Index 8310.99 8319.81 S&P Global 1200 ($) 1727.06 1727.61
Israel Tel Aviv 100 12.70 12.49 Pakistan KSE 100 31878.15 31878.15 Stoxx 50 (Eur) 2890.05 2902.41
(c) Closed. (u) Unavaliable. † Correction. ♥ Subject to official recalculation. For more index coverage please see www.ft.com/worldindices. A fuller version of this table is available on the ft.com research data archive.
CURRENCIES
DOLLAR EURO POUND DOLLAR EURO POUND DOLLAR EURO POUND DOLLAR EURO POUND
Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's
Feb 01 Currency Mid Change Mid Change Mid Change Feb 01 Currency Mid Change Mid Change Mid Change Feb 01 Currency Mid Change Mid Change Mid Change Feb 01 Currency Mid Change Mid Change Mid Change
Argentina Argentine Peso 14.1285 0.2205 15.3908 0.3417 20.3053 0.5770 Indonesia Indonesian Rupiah 13637.5000 -137.5000 14855.9934 -49.2909 19599.7726 59.8976 Poland Polish Zloty 4.0315 -0.0511 4.3917 -0.0259 5.7940 0.0029 ..Three Month 0.6958 -0.0092 0.7578 -0.0048 - -
Australia Australian Dollar 1.4113 -0.0024 1.5374 0.0077 2.0284 0.0230 Israel Israeli Shekel 3.9550 -0.0006 4.3084 0.0282 5.6841 0.0730 Romania Romanian Leu 4.1530 -0.0419 4.5240 -0.0150 5.9686 0.0182 ..One Year 0.6961 -0.0092 0.7571 -0.0049 - -
Bahrain Bahrainin Dinar 0.3768 -0.0004 0.4104 0.0023 0.5415 0.0065 Japan Japanese Yen 121.0250 -0.0400 131.8384 0.8398 173.9365 2.2058 Russia Russian Ruble 76.6194 1.4181 83.4652 2.0936 110.1170 3.4440 United States United States Dollar - - 1.0893 0.0073 1.4372 0.0187
Bolivia Bolivian Boliviano 6.9100 0.0100 7.5274 0.0612 9.9310 0.1434 ..One Month 121.0249 -0.0401 131.8384 0.8398 173.9364 2.2056 Saudi Arabia Saudi Riyal 3.7501 -0.0014 4.0852 0.0258 5.3896 0.0681 ..One Month - - 1.0893 -0.3292 1.4372 0.0187
Brazil Brazilian Real 3.9778 -0.0417 4.3332 -0.0162 5.7169 0.0151 ..Three Month 121.0247 -0.0406 131.8384 0.8398 173.9361 2.2050 Singapore Singapore Dollar 1.4238 0.0005 1.5510 0.0109 2.0463 0.0273 ..Three Month - - 1.0891 -0.3292 1.4372 0.0187
Canada Canadian Dollar 1.4007 -0.0066 1.5259 0.0031 2.0131 0.0169 ..One Year 121.0233 -0.0432 131.8383 0.8396 173.9364 2.2038 South Africa South African Rand 15.9980 0.0980 17.4274 0.2228 22.9922 0.4381 ..One Year - - 1.0879 -0.3292 1.4375 0.0187
Chile Chilean Peso 711.9650 1.6650 775.5779 6.9964 1023.2323 15.6717 Kenya Kenyan Shilling 102.4000 - 111.5493 0.7471 147.1687 1.9143 South Korea South Korean Won 1200.5000 1.6000 1307.7627 10.4905 1725.3522 24.7124 Venezuela Venezuelan Bolivar Fuerte 6.3050 0.0200 6.8683 0.0676 9.0615 0.1462
China Chinese Yuan 6.5790 0.0002 7.1668 0.0482 9.4553 0.1233 Kuwait Kuwaiti Dinar 0.3034 -0.0007 0.3305 0.0015 0.4360 0.0047 Sweden Swedish Krona 8.5316 -0.0433 9.2939 0.0154 12.2616 0.0981 Vietnam Vietnamese Dong 22280.0000 50.0000 24270.7254 216.6518 32020.6982 487.3911
Colombia Colombian Peso 3331.4800 37.3300 3629.1423 64.7000 4787.9856 115.2325 Malaysia Malaysian Ringgit 4.1550 - 4.5262 0.0303 5.9715 0.0777 Switzerland Swiss Franc 1.0177 -0.0070 1.1086 -0.0001 1.4626 0.0091 European Union Euro 0.9180 -0.0062 - - 1.3193 0.0084
Costa Rica Costa Rican Colon 536.8700 0.5800 584.8385 4.5448 771.5867 10.8593 Mexico Mexican Peson 18.2673 0.0995 19.8994 0.2409 26.2536 0.4826 Taiwan New Taiwan Dollar 33.4110 0.0735 36.3962 0.3233 48.0181 0.7289 ..One Month 0.9179 -0.0062 - - 1.3193 0.0084
Czech Republic Czech Koruna 24.8043 -0.1705 27.0205 -0.0036 35.6485 0.2218 New Zealand New Zealand Dollar 1.5357 -0.0099 1.6730 0.0005 2.2072 0.0147 Thailand Thai Baht 35.5975 -0.1350 38.7781 0.1137 51.1605 0.4740 ..Three Month 0.9177 -0.0062 - - 1.3191 0.0084
Denmark Danish Krone 6.8509 -0.0460 7.4630 0.0002 9.8460 0.0628 Nigeria Nigerian Naira 199.2500 0.2000 217.0527 1.6702 286.3610 4.0086 Tunisia Tunisian Dinar 2.0428 -0.0081 2.2253 0.0061 2.9359 0.0266 ..One Year 0.9166 -0.0062 - - 1.3185 0.0084
Egypt Egyptian Pound 7.8345 0.0795 8.5345 0.1432 11.2597 0.2592 Norway Norwegian Krone 8.6957 -0.0320 9.4726 0.0289 12.4974 0.1172 Turkey Turkish Lira 2.9542 -0.0055 3.2182 0.0155 4.2458 0.0474
Hong Kong Hong Kong Dollar 7.7766 -0.0062 8.4715 0.0500 11.1766 0.1366 Pakistan Pakistani Rupee 104.9150 0.0200 114.2890 0.7871 150.7833 1.9897 United Arab Emirates UAE Dirham 3.6727 -0.0003 4.0009 0.0265 5.2785 0.0682
Hungary Hungarian Forint 284.9131 -2.4074 310.3696 -0.5261 409.4755 1.9115 Peru Peruvian Nuevo Sol 3.4835 0.0128 3.7947 0.0393 5.0065 0.0833 United Kingdom Pound Sterling 0.6958 -0.0092 0.7580 -0.0048 - -
India Indian Rupee 67.8450 -0.0325 73.9068 0.4599 97.5065 1.2222 Philippines Philippine Peso 47.6800 0.0300 51.9401 0.3804 68.5254 0.9339 ..One Month 0.6958 -0.0092 0.7579 -0.0048 - -
Rates are derived from WM Reuters Spot Rates and MorningStar (latest rates at time of production). Some values are rounded. Currency redenominated by 1000. The exchange rates printed in this table are also available at www.FT.com/marketsdata
UK SERIES
FTSE ACTUARIES SHARE INDICES www.ft.com/equities FT 30 INDEX FTSE SECTORS: LEADERS & LAGGARDS FTSE 100 SUMMARY
Produced in conjunction with the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries Feb 01 Jan 29 Jan 28 Jan 27 Jan 26 Yr Ago High Low Year to date percentage changes Closing Day's Closing Day's
£ Strlg Day's Euro £ Strlg £ Strlg Year Div P/E X/D Total FT 30 2825.80 2755.40 2783.90 2753.90 2736.40 0.00 2875.90 2642.30 Food & Drug Retailer 6.61 Software & Comp Serv -1.87 Real Est Invest & Tr -5.50 FTSE 100 Price Change FTSE 100 Price Change
Feb 01 chge% Index Jan 29 Jan 28 ago yield% Cover ratio adj Return FT 30 Div Yield 1.76 1.81 1.79 1.81 1.81 0.00 3.93 2.74 Personal Goods 4.20 Food Producers -1.90 Electronic & Elec Eq -5.54 3I Group PLC 439.90 -2.10 Kingfisher PLC 324.50 -1.60
FTSE 100 (100) 6060.10 -0.39 6234.50 6083.79 5931.78 6782.55 4.10 1.47 16.58 3.26 4750.87 P/E Ratio net 25.36 24.72 24.96 24.67 24.61 0.00 19.44 14.26 Tobacco 4.07 Leisure Goods -2.47 Support Services -5.69 Aberdeen Asset Management PLC 245.00 -1.50 Land Securities Group PLC 1105 10.00
FTSE 250 (250) 16489.26 0.01 16963.78 16487.72 16196.55 16355.56 2.75 1.93 18.84 15.43 11487.24 FT 30 since compilation: 4198.4 high: 19/07/1999; low49.4 26/06/1940Base Date: 1/7/35 Oil & Gas Producers 2.60 FTSE 100 Index -2.54 FTSE SmallCap Index -5.82 Admiral Group PLC 1768 -6.00 Legal & General Group PLC 240.10 -3.40
FTSE 250 ex Inv Co (209) 17925.71 0.03 18441.57 17920.11 17585.38 17655.66 2.77 2.03 17.76 13.89 12731.71 FT 30 hourly changes Oil & Gas 2.49 Pharmace & Biotech -2.63 Travel & Leisure -5.94 Anglo American PLC 274.05 -3.40 Lloyds Banking Group PLC 64.19 -1.27
FTSE 350 (350) 3377.09 -0.32 3474.27 3387.97 3307.59 3704.56 3.87 1.53 16.93 2.05 5336.60 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 High Low Gas Water & Multi 2.31 Health Care -2.70 Construct & Material -6.06 Antofagasta PLC 374.00 -6.20 London Stock Exchange Group PLC 2461 -13.00
FTSE 350 ex Investment Trusts (309) 3355.02 -0.33 3451.57 3365.99 3285.12 3684.56 3.90 1.53 16.75 1.92 2729.74 2755.4 2782.8 2791.3 2785.3 2789.3 2792.5 2794.3 2806.9 2803.4 2825.8 2755.4 Fixed Line Telecomms 2.11 Nonlife Insurance -2.92 Industrial Eng -6.66 Arm Holdings PLC 1011 18.00 Marks And Spencer Group PLC 424.80 0.70
FTSE 350 Higher Yield (106) 3095.91 -0.65 3185.00 3116.12 3038.24 3627.80 5.64 1.28 13.80 2.01 5017.90 FT30 constituents and recent additions/deletions can be found at www.ft.com/ft30 Beverages 1.88 Technology -2.93 Chemicals -7.42 Ashtead Group PLC 893.50 -5.50 Merlin Entertainments PLC 413.70 -
FTSE 350 Lower Yield (244) 3336.68 0.02 3432.70 3336.12 3261.34 3419.35 2.05 2.21 22.05 1.87 3533.73 Consumer Goods 1.66 FTSE All{HY-}Share Index -3.15 Mining -7.62 Associated British Foods PLC 3150 - Mondi PLC 1155 19.00
FTSE SmallCap (287) 4364.65 0.00 4490.25 4364.76 4319.36 4430.97 3.01 1.39 23.88 8.40 5995.11 Telecommunications 1.42 Consumer Services -3.18 Basic Materials -8.02
FTSE SmallCap ex Inv Co (152) 3948.36 -0.10 4061.99 3952.24 3929.28 3859.71 2.98 1.86 18.03 6.02 5692.70 FX: EFFECTIVE INDICES Mobile Telecomms 0.95 Industrial Transport -3.23 Life Insurance -8.43
Astrazeneca PLC 4504 16.50 National Grid PLC 989.70 3.90
Aviva PLC 475.50 -5.30 Next PLC 6880 -45.00
FTSE All-Share (637) 3325.54 -0.31 3421.24 3335.90 3258.27 3638.29 3.84 1.52 17.10 2.17 5316.34 Utilities 0.88 Health Care Eq & Srv -3.47 Financials -8.51
Jan 29 Jan 28 Mnth Ago Feb 01 Jan 29 Mnth Ago Babcock International Group PLC 908.50 -6.50 Old Mutual PLC 167.00 -2.70
FTSE All-Share ex Inv Co (461) 3290.49 -0.32 3385.18 3301.10 3222.94 3605.73 3.88 1.54 16.77 1.95 2721.61 Oil Equipment & Serv -0.56 Tech Hardware & Eq -4.03 Real Est Invest & Se -8.81 Bae Systems PLC 509.00 -7.00 Pearson PLC 789.00 -
FTSE All-Share ex Multinationals (572) 1132.97 0.01 966.05 1132.82 1105.87 1164.05 2.96 1.57 21.55 1.02 1933.11 Australia 90.69 89.97 91.91 Sweden 79.67 79.47 80.18 NON FINANCIALS Index -1.21 Electricity -4.59 Financial Services -9.17 Barclays PLC 182.80 -3.20 Persimmon PLC 2067 31.00
FTSE Fledgling (100) 7372.55 0.04 7584.71 7369.30 7333.05 7001.47 2.60 1.28 30.03 11.43 13305.68 Canada 83.78 83.49 84.80 Switzerland 156.06 156.06 159.87 Media -1.63 Industrials -4.85 Automobiles & Parts -9.60 Barratt Developments PLC 611.00 11.50 Provident Financial PLC 2966 28.00
FTSE Fledgling ex Inv Co (50) 10283.07 -0.04 10578.99 10286.96 10261.26 8726.94 2.70 1.68 22.08 5.35 18036.01 Denmark 106.29 106.36 105.78 UK 87.58 88.27 90.93 Household Goods & Ho -1.80 General Retailers -4.96 Banks -10.83 Berkeley Group Holdings (The) PLC 3526 -9.00 Prudential PLC 1326.5 -41.00
FTSE All-Small (387) 3027.87 0.00 3115.00 3027.88 2997.23 3064.25 2.99 1.39 24.13 5.77 5339.96 Japan 128.27 130.24 127.81 USA 107.37 106.21 105.76 Aerospace & Defense -1.86 Equity Invest Instr -5.33 Forestry & Paper -14.84 Bg Group PLC 1047.5 -7.00 Randgold Resources LD 5045 78.00
FTSE All-Small ex Inv Co Index (202) 2949.79 -0.10 3034.68 2952.61 2935.86 2865.43 2.97 1.85 18.16 4.38 5388.44 New Zealand 111.32 110.24 115.71 Euro 87.31 87.43 86.26 FTSE 250 Index -5.41 Industrial Metals & -15.18 Bhp Billiton PLC 678.10 1.70 Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC 6271 37.00
FTSE AIM All-Share Index (848) 696.16 0.35 716.19 693.70 687.78 691.05 1.61 0.62 100.64 0.55 749.83 Norway 85.13 85.07 83.89
BP PLC 366.95 -9.15 RELX PLC 1228 -2.00
FTSE Sector Indices Source: Bank of England. New Sterling ERI base Jan 2005 = 100. Other indices base average 1990 = 100. British American Tobacco PLC 3864 -33.00 Rio Tinto PLC 1696 -18.00
Oil & Gas (18) 6043.79 -1.54 6217.72 6138.56 6037.06 7596.78 6.23 0.20 80.37 0.00 5062.06 Index rebased 1/2/95. for further information about ERIs see www.bankofengland.co.uk British Land Company PLC 748.50 8.50 Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC 555.00 -
Oil & Gas Producers (11) 5749.76 -1.59 5915.23 5842.75 5746.87 7232.85 6.25 0.16 98.83 0.00 4979.61 Bt Group PLC 494.20 9.35 Royal Bank Of Scotland Group PLC 249.10 -3.60
Oil Equipment Services & Distribution (7)13550.35 -0.16 13940.30 13571.45 13296.88 16615.82 5.62 1.41 12.62 0.00 9965.72 FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES Bunzl PLC 1868 - Royal Dutch Shell PLC 1494.5 -23.50
Basic Materials (28) 2513.16 -0.36 2585.49 2522.21 2505.99 4633.91 8.15 1.88 6.52 1.30 2465.47 Burberry Group PLC 1189 -6.00 Royal Dutch Shell PLC 1500 -21.00
Chemicals (7) 10631.94 -0.26 10937.90 10659.83 10423.99 12042.09 2.70 2.27 16.34 35.08 9169.25 Feb 01 No of US $ Day Mth YTD Total
YTD Gr Div Feb 01 No of US $ Day Mth YTD Total YTD Gr Div Capita PLC 1159 -16.00 Royal Mail PLC 460.50 1.30
Forestry & Paper (1) 13575.33 1.67 13965.99 13352.01 13210.97 13974.95 2.66 3.37 11.16 0.00 14101.68 Regions & countries stocks indices % % % retn
% Yield Sectors stocks indices % % % retn % Yield Carnival PLC 3515 35.00 Rsa Insurance Group PLC 416.40 -
Industrial Metals & Mining (2) 595.32 -4.06 612.45 620.48 586.96 1683.84 1.93 -18.64 -2.77 0.00 519.52 FTSE Global All Cap 7741 422.59 2.0 -7.5 -6.3 578.71
-6.2 2.7 Oil & Gas 166 294.89 2.3 2.3 -3.3 450.86 -3.3 4.2 Centrica PLC 205.10 0.30 Sabmiller PLC 4194.5 12.00
Mining (18) 6479.22 -0.50 6665.68 6511.60 6493.10 13271.78 9.64 1.85 5.61 0.00 3326.54 FTSE Global All Cap 7102 435.07 2.1 -7.4 -6.2 585.34
-6.1 2.6 Oil & Gas Producers 116 275.86 2.0 2.0 -3.3 429.16 -3.3 4.3 Coca-Cola Hbc AG 1441 12.00 Sage Group PLC 625.50 4.50
FTSE Global Large Cap 1415 374.84 2.0 -7.2 -6.0 525.13
-5.9 2.8 Oil Equipment & Services 41 270.47 3.4 3.4 -2.6 377.59 -2.4 4.0 Compass Group PLC 1199 -4.00 Sainsbury (J) PLC 244.60 -0.50
Industrials (119) 4124.79 -0.70 4243.49 4153.80 4067.17 4400.11 2.70 1.21 30.70 1.31 4100.01
Construction & Materials (14) 5045.71 -0.06 5190.91 5048.70 4900.00 4679.67 2.33 -0.81 -53.15 0.00 5155.95 FTSE Global Mid Cap 1640 560.81 2.1 -7.8 -6.8 732.94
-6.8 2.2 Basic Materials 261 317.81 1.3 1.3 -9.6 465.98 -9.5 3.7 Crh PLC 1849 -5.00 Schroders PLC 2700 -24.00
Aerospace & Defense (9) 4189.64 -0.91 4310.21 4228.22 4148.12 5106.00 2.73 1.04 35.15 1.32 4332.55 FTSE Global Small Cap 4686 579.44 2.2 -8.6 -7.6 735.52
-7.6 2.2 Chemicals 122 534.30 1.3 1.3 -9.7 785.71 -9.6 2.9 Dcc PLC 5365 -40.00 Severn Trent PLC 2211 22.00
General Industrials (6) 3445.02 -0.47 3544.16 3461.31 3379.41 3182.72 3.31 1.67 18.12 0.00 3750.49 FTSE All-World 3055 247.58 2.0 -7.3 -6.1 357.70
-6.0 2.7 Forestry & Paper 16 176.78 1.9 1.9 -9.8 283.95 -9.8 3.8 Diageo PLC 1910.5 26.00 Shire PLC 3922 12.00
Electronic & Electrical Equipment (10) 5035.78 -0.80 5180.70 5076.60 4989.47 4982.57 2.45 1.90 21.44 0.00 4459.73 FTSE World 2539 439.63 2.0 -7.2 -6.0 852.87
-5.9 2.7 Industrial Metals & Mining 67 228.04 2.2 2.2 -11.4 335.81 -11.4 3.7 Direct Line Insurance Group PLC 379.50 4.90 Sky PLC 1097 15.00
Industrial Engineering (14) 7098.71 -0.53 7302.99 7136.46 7055.72 9247.31 4.23 1.57 15.03 10.28 8324.08 FTSE Global All Cap ex UNITED KINGDOM In 7417 434.47 2.1 -7.4 -6.3 586.74
-6.2 2.6 Mining 56 299.04 0.9 0.9 -7.6 438.23 -7.6 7.1 Dixons Carphone PLC 476.50 2.80 Smith & Nephew PLC 1153 -9.00
Industrial Transportation (8) 3806.01 -0.07 3915.53 3808.60 3752.43 4097.75 3.99 0.94 26.73 0.00 3201.88 FTSE Global All Cap ex USA 5743 388.18 1.4 -7.7 -7.0 563.76
-6.9 3.2 Industrials 534 279.19 2.0 2.0 -6.7 388.48 -6.6 2.5 Easyjet PLC 1601 53.00 Smiths Group PLC 939.00 -4.50
Support Services (58) 6237.11 -0.85 6416.60 6290.57 6158.21 6454.92 2.44 1.51 27.08 2.30 6261.22 FTSE Global All Cap ex JAPAN 6479 430.90 2.1 -7.4 -6.1 595.34
-6.0 2.7 Construction & Materials 109 396.74 2.1 2.1 -5.3 577.34 -5.3 2.3 Experian PLC 1176 -14.00 Sports Direct International PLC 416.40 0.80
FTSE Developed 2103 400.75 1.9 -7.3 -6.1 552.94
-6.0 2.7 Aerospace & Defense 28 473.44 2.3 2.3 -6.5 652.64 -6.5 2.2 Fresnillo PLC 739.00 17.00 Sse PLC 1432 -18.00
Consumer Goods (40) 18646.26 0.22 19182.85 18605.33 18127.45 17236.59 2.95 1.77 19.15 0.57 13154.20
FTSE Developed All Cap 5731 419.34 1.9 -7.5 -6.3 572.36
-6.2 2.6 General Industrials 56 205.97 2.7 2.7 -5.1 308.56 -4.7 2.8 Gkn PLC 278.10 -0.70 St. James's Place PLC 946.00 -7.00
Automobiles & Parts (1) 6535.48 -0.25 6723.55 6551.93 6540.18 8730.42 3.06 1.53 21.37 0.00 6010.29
FTSE Developed Large Cap 915 371.49 1.9 -7.2 -5.9 519.57
-5.8 2.8 Electronic & Electrical Equipment 69 282.57 1.6 1.6 -10.7 362.23 -10.7 2.1 Glaxosmithkline PLC 1434.5 -4.50 Standard Chartered PLC 460.00 -11.00
Beverages (6) 15857.01 0.88 16313.33 15718.42 15492.42 15015.87 2.41 1.72 24.07 0.00 10800.58
FTSE Developed Europe Large Cap 219 308.53 1.1 -8.0 -6.5 486.57
-6.4 3.7 Industrial Engineering 104 490.44 0.8 0.8 -8.5 671.29 -8.4 2.9 Glencore PLC 87.99 -1.49 Standard Life PLC 363.20 -0.30
Food Producers (10) 8736.93 -0.14 8988.35 8748.88 8477.96 8335.42 1.88 1.39 38.24 3.94 7314.83
FTSE Developed Europe Mid Cap 304 473.84 1.0 -8.6 -7.6 679.00
-7.5 2.7 Industrial Transportation 96 460.95 2.0 2.0 -6.9 639.13 -6.9 2.6 Hammerson PLC 588.00 4.50 Taylor Wimpey PLC 195.20 2.80
Household Goods & Home Construction (13)13647.66 0.83 14040.40 13535.72 13243.61 11078.05 2.13 2.54 18.43 0.00 9284.11
FTSE Dev Europe Small Cap 720 669.50 0.7 -9.2 -8.5 934.40
-8.4 2.4 Support Services 72 261.54 2.3 2.3 -5.2 349.77 -5.1 2.0 Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1341 -22.00 Tesco PLC 171.75 -1.65
Leisure Goods (2) 5397.87 1.03 5553.21 5342.86 5265.29 4857.60 4.43 1.32 17.05 0.00 4571.66
FTSE North America Large Cap 317 414.79 2.4 -6.6 -5.0 546.79
-4.8 2.4 Consumer Goods 423 401.46 1.8 1.8 -3.6 571.53 -3.5 2.5 Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC 2029 11.00 Travis Perkins PLC 1820 -5.00
Personal Goods (6) 23347.36 -0.38 24019.24 23436.71 22575.78 23554.31 2.80 3.22 11.09 1.04 15063.66
FTSE North America Mid Cap 394 597.02 2.8 -8.1 -6.8 737.65
-6.7 1.9 Automobiles & Parts 103 338.41 1.2 1.2 -11.3 462.62 -11.3 2.8 HSBC Holdings PLC 484.40 -7.90 Tui AG 1190 4.00
Tobacco (2) 47717.49 -0.41 49090.67 47915.68 46305.41 44076.28 4.18 1.18 20.34 0.00 29080.11
FTSE North America Small Cap 1516 593.17 3.0 -9.1 -7.5 713.20
-7.5 1.9 Beverages 48 568.55 1.4 1.4 -0.6 820.30 -0.6 2.5 Imperial Tobacco Group PLC 3803 17.00 Unilever PLC 3071.5 -13.50
Health Care (19) 9235.93 0.03 9501.71 9232.88 9044.88 9740.33 3.79 3.53 7.48 0.18 6734.42
FTSE North America 711 276.08 2.5 -6.8 -5.3 372.94
-5.1 2.3 Food Producers 106 547.40 2.3 2.3 -2.0 801.92 -1.9 2.2 Inmarsat PLC 1116 16.00 United Utilities Group PLC 967.00 10.50
Health Care Equipment & Services (7) 7091.85 -0.39 7295.94 7119.28 6961.73 6788.33 1.60 2.16 28.94 1.60 6014.29
FTSE Developed ex North America 1392 210.17 1.0 -8.0 -7.3 327.41
-7.2 3.2 Household Goods & Home Construction 47 390.20 2.1 2.1 -2.8 553.78 -2.5 2.4 Intercontinental Hotels Group PLC 2345 48.00 Vodafone Group PLC 225.45 1.55
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology (12)12475.67 0.07 12834.68 12466.73 12214.92 13281.84 3.99 3.58 7.01 0.00 8080.15
FTSE Japan Large Cap 177 298.88 0.8 -8.5 -8.8 373.89
-8.8 2.1 Leisure Goods 28 121.16 1.6 1.6 -8.1 156.00 -8.1 1.5 International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. 555.00 15.50 Whitbread PLC 4051 51.00
Consumer Services (96) 4778.23 0.43 4915.73 4758.00 4649.12 4793.46 2.39 1.57 26.71 7.19 4319.80 FTSE Japan Mid Cap 303 461.35 1.1 -5.8 -6.1 557.44
-6.1 1.6 Personal Goods 80 593.41 2.2 2.2 -0.7 804.70 -0.7 2.0
Food & Drug Retailers (7) 2765.16 -0.60 2844.73 2781.80 2684.24 3315.64 1.93 -1.50 -34.39 0.00 3161.98 Intertek Group PLC 2796 -34.00 Wolseley PLC 3451 -12.00
FTSE Global wi JAPAN Small Cap 782 487.79 0.8 -6.6 -7.3 608.35
-7.3 1.9 Tobacco 11 1248.34 2.1 2.1 2.6 2439.49 2.6 3.8 Intu Properties PLC 297.70 -1.30 Worldpay Group PLC 310.00 -3.00
General Retailers (32) 2805.10 0.34 2885.83 2795.54 2755.61 2897.60 2.59 2.24 17.26 1.98 3076.91
FTSE Japan 480 125.09 0.9 -7.9 2.0 Health Care
-8.3 175.82
-8.3 173 423.62 1.3 1.3 -7.6 590.36 -7.5 2.0 Itv PLC 270.50 3.70 Wpp PLC 1516 -1.00
Media (22) 7426.08 0.48 7639.79 7390.66 7170.61 7072.81 2.75 1.56 23.30 1.47 4385.15
FTSE Asia Pacific Large Cap ex Japan 530 498.15 2.0 -7.9 -7.9 745.29
-7.9 3.5 Health Care Equipment & Services 61 618.40 2.5 2.5 -4.8 709.35 -4.8 1.0 Johnson Matthey PLC 2463 -2.00
Travel & Leisure (35) 8382.48 0.72 8623.70 8322.32 8170.17 8161.23 2.08 1.92 25.00 29.43 7667.40
FTSE Asia Pacific Mid Cap ex Japan 431 691.81 2.0 -7.2 -7.4 998.31
-7.4 3.1 Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology 112 318.51 0.9 0.9 -8.4 461.22 -8.4 2.3
Telecommunications (7) 4100.47 1.11 4218.47 4055.29 3899.34 3883.42 3.99 0.24 102.64 0.00 4296.69 FTSE Asia Pacific Small Cap ex Japan 1427 464.68 1.6 -6.7 -6.9 661.70
-6.9 2.9 Consumer Services 386 370.73 1.5 1.5 -4.9 481.93 -4.8 1.8
Fixed Line Telecommunications (5) 5610.54 1.64 5772.00 5520.21 5314.03 4753.73 2.76 1.95 18.54 0.00 4865.75
Mobile Telecommunications (2) 5186.99 0.75 5336.26 5148.35 4946.39 5271.81 4.85 -0.44 -46.94 0.00 4851.23
FTSE Asia Pacific Ex Japan
FTSE Emerging All Cap
961
2010
395.62
533.12
2.0
3.1
-7.8
-7.2
-7.9 629.12
-7.8 3.5 Food & Drug Retailers
-6.7 760.58
-6.6 3.4 General Retailers
53 287.49
121 504.11
2.1
0.5
2.1
0.5
-4.1 389.12
-5.4 639.32
-4.0
-5.4
1.9
1.6
UK STOCK MARKET TRADING DATA
Utilities (7) 8491.10 0.21 8735.45 8473.52 8277.56 8973.42 4.78 1.36 15.36 33.42 9080.35 FTSE Emerging Large Cap 500 502.38 3.2 -7.3 -6.7 721.11
-6.7 3.5 Media 87 277.73 2.3 2.3 -4.0 361.76 -3.9 1.9 Feb 01 Jan 29 Jan 28 Jan 27 Jan 26 Yr Ago
Electricity (2) 8291.45 -1.12 8530.06 8385.04 8243.84 9527.99 6.10 1.34 12.21 145.17 11235.47 FTSE Emerging Mid Cap 452 670.34 3.1 -6.2 -5.6 952.01
-5.5 3.1 Travel & Leisure 125 360.28 1.9 1.9 -5.6 472.94 -5.5 1.8 SEAQ Bargains 4812.00 4506.00 4506.00 4543.00 4982.00 4571.00
Gas Water & Multiutilities (5) 8071.72 0.53 8304.01 8029.15 7831.15 8350.65 4.46 1.37 16.38 5.49 8636.11 FTSE Emerging Small Cap 1058 569.21 2.1 -7.3 -7.5 782.77
-7.5 3.2 Telecommunication 92 156.84 1.9 1.9 -0.4 277.08 0.0 4.2 Order Book Turnover (m) 93.50 63.19 63.19 78.30 55.92 -
Financials (284) 4143.74 -0.95 4262.98 4183.53 4075.95 4751.55 3.96 1.87 13.50 4.02 3622.59 FTSE Emerging Europe 99 262.71 2.5 -3.8 -1.6 386.08
-1.6 4.4 Fixed Line Telecommuniations 44 136.03 1.8 1.8 2.6 263.53 3.3 4.6 Order Book Bargains 1076462.00 996250.00 996250.00 1103104.00 981073.00 15.00
Banks (9) 3304.37 -1.71 3399.46 3361.72 3266.72 4243.17 4.97 1.37 14.73 0.00 2277.80 FTSE Latin America All Cap 243 568.52 4.4 -6.8 -5.0 840.59
-4.9 3.9 Mobile Telecommunications 48 157.16 2.0 2.0 -4.6 250.79 -4.6 3.7 Order Book Shares Traded (m) 1474.00 1685.00 1685.00 1528.00 1473.00 0.00
Nonlife Insurance (10) 2759.73 0.29 2839.15 2751.78 2702.48 2331.47 2.52 2.15 18.48 0.00 4638.02 FTSE Middle East and Africa All Cap 219 583.76 3.0 -7.3 3.0 Utilities
-5.6 870.71
-5.6 161 239.16 1.6 1.6 0.8 438.87 1.0 3.9 Total Equity Turnover (£m) 2744.22 3452.16 3452.16 3413.62 3005.07 -
Life Insurance/Assurance (11) 7141.32 -1.78 7346.83 7270.61 7015.93 8211.38 4.25 1.59 14.84 0.00 6555.81 FTSE Global wi UNITED KINGDOM All Cap In 324 307.12 1.0 -8.0 -6.6 485.66
-6.6 3.9 Electricity 110 262.18 1.9 1.9 1.3 476.26 1.5 3.7 Total Mkt Bargains 1193005.00 1152199.00 1152199.00 1243403.00 1095729.00 260.00
Index- Real Estate Investment & Services (21) 2818.59 0.22 2899.70 2812.42 2772.15 2794.46 2.25 5.73 7.75 0.57 7247.48 FTSE Global wi USA All Cap 1998 472.71 2.6 -7.2 -5.7 606.51
-5.6 2.2 Gas Water & Multiutilities 51 251.78 1.2 1.2 0.0 473.33 0.1 4.3 Total Shares Traded (m) 4312.00 4815.00 4815.00 4230.00 4945.00 35.00
Real Estate Investment Trusts (25) 2815.62 0.86 2896.65 2791.50 2723.62 3014.57 3.13 5.94 5.37 6.48 3335.13 FTSE Europe All Cap 1402 355.53 1.1 -8.1 3.4 Financials
-6.8 543.66
-6.7 674 181.19 2.3 2.3 -9.7 281.76 -9.6 3.3 † Excluding intra-market and overseas turnover. *UK only total at 6pm. ‡ UK plus intra-market turnover. (u) Unavaliable.
General Financial (32) 7315.09 -0.38 7525.60 7342.88 7152.50 7619.86 3.17 2.19 14.39 28.97 7969.48 FTSE Eurobloc All Cap 639 333.85 1.1 -8.3 -6.9 516.60
-6.8 3.2 Banks 243 157.94 1.9 1.9 -11.5 261.76 -11.4 3.8 (c) Market closed.
Equity Investment Instruments (176) 7293.45 -0.03 7503.33 7295.77 7201.16 7650.82 2.79 1.07 33.46 15.75 3843.84 FTSE RAFI All World 3000 3005 5080.16 1.9 -7.5 3.3 Nonlife Insurance
-6.4 6406.04
-6.3 70 201.46 2.3 2.3 -6.1 280.56 -6.0 2.5
Non Financials (353) 3931.24 -0.10 4044.38 3935.05 3846.71 4231.18 3.80 1.40 18.75 2.15 5508.53 FTSE RAFI US 1000 995 8394.38 2.6 -6.6 -5.1 10627.19
-4.9 2.7 Life Insurance 51 175.73 1.6 1.6 -11.4 266.66 -11.4 3.2
Technology (19) 1412.77 0.96 1453.42 1399.32 1360.64 1274.79 1.43 1.99 35.17 0.17 1766.86 FTSE EDHEC-Risk Efficient All-World 3055 298.12 2.0 -6.5 -5.5 400.96
-5.4 2.4 Financial Services 141 199.73 3.7 3.7 -10.2 266.30 -10.1 2.2 All data provided by Morningstar unless otherwise noted. All elements listed are indicative and believed
Software & Computer Services (13) 1817.68 0.34 1869.99 1811.54 1783.48 1399.90 1.96 1.83 27.81 0.48 2383.36 FTSE EDHEC-Risk Efficient Developed Europe 523 263.19 1.1 -6.9 2.8 Technology
-5.7 384.37
-5.7 185 165.16 3.0 3.0 -5.2 197.10 -5.2 1.8 accurate at the time of publication. No offer is made by Morningstar or the FT. The FT does not warrant nor
Technology Hardware & Equipment (6) 1549.97 1.49 1594.57 1527.22 1469.26 1579.46 0.98 2.25 45.20 0.00 1779.22 Software & Computer Services 85 300.69 3.0 3.0 -3.1 345.19 -3.0 1.1 guarantee that the information is reliable or complete. The FT does not accept responsibility and will not be
Technology Hardware & Equipment 100 116.66 3.0 3.0 -7.7 143.23 -7.6 2.7 liable for any loss arising from the reliance on or use of the listed information.
Hourly movements 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00 15.00 16.00 High/day Low/day The FTSE Global Equity Series, launched in 2003, contains the FTSE Global Small Cap Indices and broader FTSE Global All Cap Indices (large/mid/small cap) as well as the enhanced FTSE All-World index Series (large/ For all queries e-mail ft.reader.enquiries@morningstar.com
FTSE 100 6103.40 6080.69 6041.92 6064.11 6042.29 6008.36 6011.92 6012.58 6042.05 6103.40 5994.05 mid cap) - please see www.ftse.com/geis. The trade names Fundamental Index® and RAFI® are registered trademarks and the patented and patent-pending proprietary intellectual property of Research Affiliates, LLC
FTSE 250 16544.61 16505.31 16424.10 16481.65 16457.34 16425.73 16406.46 16403.24 16460.77 16561.60 16373.54 (US Patent Nos. 7,620,577; 7,747,502; 7,778,905; 7,792,719; Patent Pending Publ. Nos. US-2006-0149645-A1, US-2007-0055598-A1, US-2008-0288416-A1, US-2010- 0063942-A1, WO 2005/076812, WO 2007/078399 A2,
WO 2008/118372, EPN 1733352, and HK1099110). ”EDHEC™” is a trade mark of EDHEC Business School As of January 2nd 2006, FTSE is basing its sector indices on the Industrial Classification Benchmark - please see
Data provided by Morningstar | www.morningstar.co.uk
FTSE SmallCap 4368.38 4375.74 4383.38 4380.76 4384.34 4376.23 4375.80 4370.46 4373.44 4384.68 4364.65
FTSE All-Share 3346.51 3335.41 3315.88 3327.47 3317.18 3301.00 3301.91 3301.33 3316.88 3346.51 3293.70 www.ftse.com/icb. For constituent changes and other information about FTSE, please see www.ftse.com. © FTSE International Limited. 2013. All Rights reserved. ”FTSE®” is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange
Time of FTSE 100 Day's high:08:03:00 Day's Low15:04:15 FTSE 100 2010/11 High: 6242.32(01/01/2016) Low: 5673.58(20/01/2016) Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under licence.
Time of FTSE All-Share Day's high:08:03:00 Day's Low15:05:00 FTSE 100 2010/11 High: 3444.26(01/01/2016) Low: 3123.43(20/01/2016)
Further information is available on http://www.ftse.com © FTSE International Limited. 2013. All Rights reserved. ”FTSE®” is a trade mark of the
London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under licence. † Sector P/E ratios greater than 80 are not shown.
For changes to FTSE Fledgling Index constituents please refer to www.ftse.com/indexchanges. ‡ Values are negative.
Figures in £m. Earnings shown basic. Figures in light text are for corresponding period year earlier. §Placing price. *Intoduction. ‡When issued. Annual report/prospectus available at www.ft.com/ir
For more information on dividend payments visit www.ft.com/marketsdata For a full explanation of all the other symbols please refer to London Share Service notes.
Tuesday 2 February 2016 FINANCIAL TIMES 19
MARKET DATA
FT 500: TOP 20 FT 500: BOTTOM 20 BONDS: HIGH YIELD & EMERGING MARKET BONDS: GLOBAL INVESTMENT GRADE
Close Prev Day Week Month Close Prev Day Week Month Day's Mth's Spread Day's Mth's Spread
price price change change % change change % change % price price change change % change change % change % Red Ratings Bid Bid chge chge vs Red Ratings Bid Bid chge chge vs
NTTDCMo 2885.00 2527.00 358.00 14.17 557.50 24.0 16.14 MTN Grp 127.00 139.50 -12.50 -8.96 -12361.00 -99.0 -4.43 Feb 01 date Coupon S* M* F* price yield yield yield US Feb 01 date Coupon S* M* F* price yield yield yield US
China Vanke 24.43 24.43 0.00 0.00 4.53 22.8 74.50 Naspers N 1972.96 1996.00 -23.04 -1.15 -180027.04 -98.9 -6.94 High Yield US$ US$
CanNatRs 29.99 29.99 0.00 0.00 5.09 20.4 -4.60 Firstrand 44.49 44.72 -0.23 -0.51 -4018.51 -98.9 5.00 Navient Corporation 06/18 8.45 BB- Ba3 BB 101.99 7.65 -0.03 0.96 6.82 Halliburton Company 02/27 6.75 A A2 A- 116.14 4.90 0.00 0.19 2.94
JapanTob 4835.00 4661.00 174.00 3.73 794.00 19.6 8.14 ChShpbldng 5.86 6.19 -0.33 -5.33 -2.01 -25.5 -37.66 High Yield Euro Korea Electric Power Corporation 08/27 6.75 AA- Aa2 AA- 101.12 6.72 0.00 -0.28 4.76
Facebook 114.75 112.21 2.54 2.26 17.74 18.3 9.72 Fanuc 15915.00 15810.00 105.00 0.66 -2860.00 -15.2 -24.50 Kazkommerts Intl BV 02/17 6.88 B Caa1 B 97.50 - 0.00 0.00 - Archer Daniels Midland Company 12/27 6.75 A A2 A 121.90 4.41 0.00 -0.07 2.46
NipponTT 5378.00 5028.00 350.00 6.96 766.00 16.6 11.21 Chna Utd Coms 3.96 4.05 -0.09 -2.22 -0.70 -15.0 -35.92 FleetBoston Financial Corp. 01/28 6.88 BBB Baa3 A- 121.17 4.61 0.00 -0.26 -
KDDI 3214.00 3008.00 206.00 6.85 445.00 16.1 1.90 Regen Pharm 409.80 420.09 -10.29 -2.45 -63.32 -13.4 -24.53 Emerging US$ E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company 01/28 6.50 A- A3 A 117.13 4.67 0.00 0.06 -
SandsCh 26.90 26.80 0.10 0.37 3.65 15.7 1.32 Pwr Cons Corp 6.10 6.31 -0.21 -3.33 -0.93 -13.2 -24.03 Mexico 09/16 11.40 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 106.80 1.49 0.03 0.01 0.44 SunTrust Banks, Inc. 01/28 6.00 BBB+ Baa1 A- 112.56 4.67 0.00 -0.44 -
MitsuiFud 3012.00 2803.00 209.00 7.46 405.50 15.6 -1.44 CNNC Intl 6.90 7.08 -0.18 -2.54 -1.00 -12.7 -27.67 Brazil 01/18 8.00 BB+ Baa3 BB+ 104.60 5.49 -0.16 -0.79 4.66
Russia 07/18 11.00 BB+ Ba1 BBB- 117.26 3.67 -0.01 0.19 2.84 Euro
Anadarko 37.33 39.09 -1.76 -4.50 5.02 15.5 -23.10 IM Baotou Stl 2.82 2.96 -0.14 -4.73 -0.32 -10.2 -21.88 Credit Agricole S.A. 03/27 2.63 BBB Baa3 A- 94.99 3.17 0.00 0.04 1.21
Ch Rail Gp 5.28 5.54 -0.26 -4.69 0.68 14.8 -10.36 GuosenSec 14.53 14.59 -0.06 -0.41 -1.62 -10.0 -26.43 Peru 03/19 7.13 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 113.70 2.60 0.00 0.02 1.77
Peru 03/19 7.13 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 114.01 2.60 0.00 0.20 0.84 Electricite de France (EDF) 03/27 4.13 A+ A1 A 120.15 2.08 0.00 0.18 0.12
LasVegasSd 44.35 45.10 -0.75 -1.66 5.24 13.4 1.09 Daqin 6.65 6.81 -0.16 -2.35 -0.74 -10.0 -22.85 BHP Billiton Fin Ltd 09/27 3.25 A+ A1 A+ 100.51 3.20 0.00 0.57 1.24
TokioMarine 4571.00 4248.00 323.00 7.60 514.00 12.7 -2.99 Illumina 157.11 157.95 -0.84 -0.53 -17.37 -10.0 -18.27 Brazil 01/21 7.88 BB+ Baa3 BB+ 94.86 6.09 0.13 -0.59 4.72
Colombia 07/21 4.38 BBB Baa2 BBB 100.33 4.35 -0.01 0.02 2.97 B.A.T. Netherlands Fin B.V. (Re - British American Tobacco) 03/29 3.13 A- A3 A- 109.49 2.28 0.00 -0.14 -
MitsubEst 2430.50 2367.50 63.00 2.66 269.50 12.5 -3.69 ChMrchSecs 14.60 14.98 -0.38 -2.54 -1.60 -9.9 -32.72
Poland 03/22 5.00 A- A2 A- 110.47 3.14 0.00 0.03 1.76 Yen
Sony 2836.00 2523.00 313.00 12.41 307.50 12.2 -5.53 Abbvie 53.22 54.90 -1.69 -3.07 -5.44 -9.3 -10.21
Turkey 09/22 6.25 - Baa3 BBB- 110.05 4.53 0.00 -0.32 3.16 Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. 07/15 0.94 NR WR NR 100.00 0.31 0.00 0.00 -
Schlmbrg 70.93 72.27 -1.34 -1.86 7.63 12.0 1.66 eBay 23.82 23.46 0.36 1.53 -2.32 -8.9 -13.36
EastJpRwy 11325.00 10990.00 335.00 3.05 1215.00 12.0 -1.09 Celgene 97.79 100.32 -2.53 -2.52 -8.91 -8.4 -18.38 Turkey 04/26 4.25 - Baa3 BBB- 95.63 4.85 0.00 -0.28 2.90 £ Sterling
ConocPhil 38.25 39.08 -0.83 -2.12 4.05 11.8 -18.21 ChStConEng 5.02 5.13 -0.11 -2.14 -0.44 -8.1 -20.82 Emerging Euro IPIC GMTN Limited 03/26 6.88 AA Aa2 AA 122.65 4.11 0.06 0.12 1.82
AirProd 129.86 126.71 3.15 2.49 13.55 11.6 -0.12 Alexion 142.45 145.93 -3.48 -2.38 -12.09 -7.8 -25.37 Brazil 02/15 7.38 BBB- Baa2 BBB 111.75 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.09 B.A.T. Intl Fin plc (Re - British American Tobacco) 09/26 4.00 A- A3 A- 104.67 3.47 0.06 0.29 1.18
Petrobras 6.93 6.93 0.00 0.00 0.72 11.6 -22.17 MitUFJFin 576.10 609.40 -33.30 -5.46 -48.60 -7.8 -23.91 Mexico 07/17 4.25 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 111.13 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.67 Data provided by SIX Financial Information. US $ denominated bonds NY close; all other London close. *S - Standard & Poor’s, M -
Mexico 02/20 5.50 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 121.63 2.06 0.00 0.00 0.68 Moody’s, F - Fitch.
Based on the FT Global 500 companies in local currency Based on the FT Global 500 companies in local currency
Bulgaria 09/25 5.75 BB+ - BBB- 115.61 3.84 0.00 -0.05 1.88
Data provided by SIX Financial Information & Tullett Prebon Information. US $ denominated bonds NY close; all other
London close. *S - Standard & Poor’s, M - Moody’s, F - Fitch.
INTEREST RATES: OFFICIAL BOND INDICES VOLATILITY INDICES GILTS: UK CASH MARKET
Feb 01 Rate Current Since Last Mnth Ago Year Ago Day's Month's Year Return Return Feb 01 Day Chng Prev 52 wk high 52 wk low Red Change in Yield 52 Week Amnt
US Fed Funds 0.25-0.50 16-12-2015 1.00 0.00-0.25 0.00-0.25 Index change change change 1 month 1 year VIX 20.45 0.25 20.20 53.29 10.88 Feb 01 Price £ Yield Day Week Month Year High Low £m
US Prime 3.50 16-12-2008 3.50 3.25 3.25 Markit IBoxx VXD 20.23 0.66 19.57 56.32 7.04 Tr 4pc '16 102.15 0.37 5.71 0.00 15.63 5.71 102.23 100.00 0.35
US Discount 0.75 18-02-2010 0.75 0.75 0.75 ABF Pan-Asia unhedged 173.96 0.76 0.39 0.39 0.19 -3.76 VXN 23.99 0.35 23.64 46.72 11.15 Tr 1.75pc '17 101.35 0.35 16.67 6.06 -25.53 -14.63 102.54 101.34 0.29
Euro Repo 0.05 10-09-2014 0.05 0.05 0.25 Corporates( £) 297.09 0.63 0.65 0.65 0.31 -3.11 VDAX 25.83 -1.56 27.39 30.63 - Tr 5pc '18 109.68 0.35 16.67 -12.50 -48.53 -39.66 113.36 109.34 0.35
UK Repo 0.50 05-03-2009 0.50 0.50 0.50 Corporates($) 249.36 0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 † CBOE. VIX: S&P 500 index Options Volatility, VXD: DJIA Index Options Volatility, VXN: NASDAQ Index Options Volatility. Tr 4.5pc '19 111.97 0.59 11.32 -9.23 -39.18 -21.33 114.88 111.04 0.36
Japan O'night Call 0.00-0.03 05-10-2010 0.03 0.00-0.10 0.00-0.10 Corporates(€) 212.39 0.35 0.52 0.52 0.56 -0.98 ‡ Deutsche Borse. VDAX: DAX Index Options Volatility. Tr 4.75pc '20 115.83 0.81 8.00 -7.95 -32.50 -10.99 118.80 114.45 0.33
Switzerland Libor Target 0.00-0.25 15-01-2015 0.00-0.75 -1.25--0.25 0-0.25 Eurozone Sov(€) 229.71 0.51 1.96 1.96 2.05 1.60 Tr 1.5pc '21 102.05 1.08 6.93 -6.90 -27.52 8.00 142.53 99.91 0.16
Gilts( £) 297.85 0.82 3.83 3.83 3.40 0.23 BONDS: BENCHMARK GOVERNMENT Tr 4pc '22 116.90 1.12 5.66 -6.67 -25.83 3.70 119.48 113.65 0.38
INTEREST RATES: MARKET Global Inflation-Lkd 240.57 0.55 0.94 0.94 0.16 -4.44 Red Bid Bid Day chg Wk chg Month Year Tr 5pc '25 129.49 1.52 4.83 -2.56 -18.72 15.15 134.22 124.47 0.35
Over Change One Three Six One Markit iBoxx £ Non-Gilts 298.89 0.63 1.34 1.34 0.99 -2.20 Date Coupon Price Yield yield yield chg yld chg yld Tr 4.25pc '27 126.32 1.78 4.09 -2.73 -16.43 17.88 131.38 119.79 0.31
Feb 01 (Libor: Jan 29) night Day Week Month month month month year Overall ($) 227.73 0.06 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 Australia 10/18 3.25 103.62 1.87 -0.01 -0.07 -0.08 0.00 Tr 4.25pc '32 129.51 2.11 3.43 -1.86 -12.81 19.21 136.52 121.93 0.35
US$ Libor 0.36740 0.000 0.246 0.000 0.42500 0.61260 0.86025 1.13975 Overall( £) 295.46 0.77 3.09 3.09 2.69 -0.49 11/27 2.75 99.65 2.79 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tr 4.25pc '36 131.52 2.28 2.70 -2.15 -12.31 19.37 140.03 123.52 0.28
Euro Libor -0.28286 0.000 -0.001 0.000 -0.23286 -0.18071 -0.10643 0.00329 Overall(€) 224.08 0.43 1.54 1.54 1.60 1.02 Austria 10/19 0.25 99.98 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tr 4.5pc '42 141.72 2.39 3.02 -1.65 -10.49 19.50 152.79 132.20 0.26
£ Libor 0.47813 0.000 -0.002 0.000 0.50944 0.58938 0.73313 0.99713 Treasuries ($) 220.93 0.05 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 10/25 1.20 105.58 0.61 0.03 -0.11 -0.25 0.00 Tr 3.75pc '52 135.01 2.32 2.65 -1.28 -10.42 14.85 144.82 121.95 0.22
Swiss Fr Libor 0.000 -0.78900 -0.75700 -0.69340 -0.62320 FTSE Belgium 06/18 0.75 101.81 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tr 4pc '60 147.91 2.27 3.18 -0.87 -10.98 13.50 158.80 131.72 0.22
Yen Libor 0.000 0.02143 0.04771 0.06143 0.15257 Sterling Corporate (£) 110.38 -0.20 - - 0.61 -7.24 06/26 1.00 101.88 0.81 0.03 -0.12 0.00 0.00 xd Ex dividend. Closing mid-prices are shown in pounds per £ 100 nominal of stock. Red yield: Gross redemption yield.
Euro Euribor 0.000 -0.22900 -0.16200 -0.08900 0.01500 Euro Corporate (€) 105.97 0.03 - - 0.62 -4.48 Canada 11/17 0.25 99.71 0.42 0.00 -0.01 -0.07 0.00 This table shows the gilts benchmarks & the non-rump undated stocks.
Sterling CDs 0.000 0.50000 0.60000 0.77500 Euro Emerging Mkts (€) 782.92 1.40 - - -9.33 -18.93 06/26 1.50 101.36 1.36 0.02 -0.01 -0.17 0.00
US$ CDs
Euro CDs
0.000
0.000
0.42000
-0.24500
0.59000
-0.18500
0.83000
-0.09500
Eurozone Govt Bond 115.19 -0.18 - - 1.73 -1.58 Denmark 11/18 0.25 101.48 -0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 GILTS: UK FTSE ACTUARIES INDICES
CREDIT INDICES Day's Week's Month's Series Series 11/25 1.75 110.59 0.63 0.02 -0.10 -0.24 0.00
Price Indices Day's Total Return Return
Short 7 Days One Three Six One Index change change change high low Finland 05/18 1.00 99.80 1.09 0.00 -0.09 -0.22 0.00
Fixed Coupon Feb 01 chg % Return 1 month 1 year Yield
Feb 01 term notice month month month year Markit iTraxx 09/25 0.88 102.53 0.60 0.02 -0.13 -0.26 0.00
1 Up to 5 Years 98.92 -0.16 2386.13 0.72 1.41 0.72
Euro -0.35 -0.25 -0.35 -0.25 -0.32 -0.17 -0.26 -0.11 -0.17 -0.02 -0.07 0.08 Crossover 5Y 369.94 1.83 -4.14 55.32 397.02 280.05 France 05/19 1.00 104.20 -0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2 5 - 10 Years 182.57 -0.39 3304.75 1.82 1.48 1.36
Sterling 0.40 0.55 0.40 0.55 0.45 0.55 0.55 0.65 0.70 0.85 0.95 1.10 Europe 5Y 93.26 1.38 -0.11 16.14 99.07 68.39 11/20 0.25 101.66 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
3 10 - 15 Years 209.48 -0.65 3901.71 2.57 0.08 1.87
Swiss Franc - - - - - - - - - - - - Japan 5Y 82.32 -1.43 -8.46 7.62 94.85 65.01 11/25 1.00 103.01 0.68 0.04 -0.11 -0.25 0.00
4 5 - 15 Years 188.93 -0.46 3448.98 2.04 1.04 1.57
Canadian Dollar - - - - - - - - - - - - Senior Financials 5Y 93.80 2.21 3.82 17.03 99.56 65.28 05/45 3.25 135.56 1.70 0.04 -0.14 -0.27 0.00
5 Over 15 Years 305.50 -1.19 4453.83 3.75 -3.40 2.32
US Dollar 0.32 0.42 0.32 0.42 0.35 0.45 0.55 0.65 0.75 0.85 1.10 1.20 Germany 04/19 0.50 102.91 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Markit CDX 7 All stocks 175.29 -0.66 3295.39 2.27 -0.79 2.04
Japanese Yen -0.20 -0.05 -0.20 -0.05 -0.25 0.00 -0.30 0.00 -0.15 0.10 -0.10 0.15 10/20 0.25 102.52 -0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emerging Markets 5Y 368.68 -2.42 -5.13 10.58 400.12 299.17 02/26 0.50 101.45 0.35 0.03 -0.12 0.00 0.00
Libor rates come from ICE (see www.theice.com) and are fixed at 11am UK time. Other data sources: US $, Euro & CDs: Day's Month Year's Total Return Return
Nth Amer High Yld 5Y 506.73 -8.81 -17.88 35.59 557.56 416.39 08/46 2.50 136.61 1.08 0.03 -0.15 -0.33 0.00
Tullett Prebon; SDR, US Discount: IMF; EONIA: ECB; Swiss Libor: SNB; EURONIA, RONIA & SONIA: WMBA. Index Linked Feb 01 chg % chg % chg % Return 1 month 1 year
Nth Amer Inv Grade 5Y 101.77 -1.24 -2.38 13.42 110.98 75.52 Greece 07/17 3.38 89.96 11.22 -2.13 -1.97 3.83 0.00
Nth AmerHiVol 5Y 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 283.44 100.00 1 Up to 5 Years 308.98 -0.14 0.19 -1.28 2370.48 0.61 0.16
02/26 3.00 64.17 9.18 -0.16 -0.06 1.14 0.00 2 Over 5 years 577.63 -1.23 3.08 -2.64 4268.79 3.21 -1.92
Websites: markit.com, ftse.com. All indices shown are unhedged. Currencies are shown in brackets after the index names. Ireland 10/17 5.50 109.97 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3 5-15 years 431.20 -0.59 1.50 -2.53 3287.76 1.83 -1.25
05/26 1.00 100.12 0.99 0.03 -0.07 0.00 0.00 4 Over 15 years 714.32 -1.48 3.72 -2.57 5177.19 3.76 -2.05
COMMODITIES www.ft.com/commodities BONDS: INDEX-LINKED Italy 10/18 0.30 100.74 0.02 0.00 -0.03 -0.06 0.00 5 All stocks 533.91 -1.08 2.65 -2.44 3998.12 2.83 -1.61
11/20 0.65 100.94 0.45 0.02 -0.08 -0.12 0.00
Energy Price* Change Agricultural & Cattle Futures Price* Change Price Yield Month Value No of
12/25 2.00 104.78 1.48 0.06 -0.08 -0.08 0.00 Yield Indices Feb 01 Jan 29 Yr ago Feb 01 Jan 29 Yr ago
Crude Oil† Feb 32.32 -1.37 Corn♦ Mar 368.25 -3.25 Jan 29 Jan 29 Prev return stock Market stocks
09/46 3.25 112.74 2.66 0.07 -0.04 -0.01 0.00 5 Yrs 0.95 0.89 0.91 20 Yrs 2.34 2.27 1.95
Brent Crude Oil‡ 34.33 -1.59 Wheat♦ Mar 473.25 -5.75 Can 4.25%' 21 126.84 -0.304 -0.254 -0.22 5.18 70909.51 7
Japan 01/18 0.10 100.51 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10 Yrs 1.69 1.63 1.42 45 Yrs 2.29 2.23 2.04
RBOB Gasoline† Feb 1.10 -0.03 Soybeans♦ Mar 877.75 -3.75 Fr 2.25%' 20 114.12 -0.828 -0.767 -0.05 20.31 215344.98 14
02/21 0.05 100.09 0.03 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.00 15 Yrs 2.13 2.07 1.76
Heating Oil† Feb 1.06 -0.02 Soybeans Meal♦ Mar 269.40 -2.60 Swe 0.25%' 22 108.73 -0.949 -0.897 1.50 32.00 236544.32 7
12/25 0.30 102.32 0.06 -0.04 -0.16 -0.20 0.00
Natural Gas† Feb 2.17 -0.14 Cocoa (ICE Liffe)X Mar 2067.00 58.00 UK 2.5%' 20 360.44 -1.323 -1.244 1.65 6.58 499679.03 25
12/45 1.40 108.73 1.02 -0.05 -0.16 -0.24 0.00 inflation 0% inflation 5%
Ethanol♦ - - Cocoa (ICE US)♥ Mar 2755.00 -10.00 UK 2.5%' 24 341.17 -0.898 -0.843 2.71 6.82 499679.03 25
Netherlands 04/17 0.50 101.13 -0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Real yield Feb 01 Dur yrs Previous Yr ago Feb 01 Dur yrs Previous Yr ago
Uranium Feb 36.75 0.00 Coffee(Robusta)X Mar 1375.00 -7.00 UK 2%' 35 234.37 -0.847 -0.811 4.26 9.08 499679.03 25
07/25 0.25 97.89 0.48 0.03 -0.11 -0.25 0.00 Up to 5 yrs -0.94 2.29 -1.00 -0.96 -1.69 2.30 -1.76 -1.59
Carbon Emissions - - Coffee (Arabica)♥ Mar 115.80 -0.65 US 0.625%' 21 102.59 0.148 0.218 1.71 35.84 1134496.56 36
Diesel Mar - - White SugarX 401.30 -5.70 New Zealand 03/19 5.00 107.39 2.52 -0.02 0.00 -0.20 0.00 Over 5 yrs -0.84 23.50 -0.89 -0.94 -0.87 23.59 -0.92 -0.97
US 3.625%' 28 133.08 0.779 0.218 1.65 16.78 1134496.56 36
Unleaded (95R) - - Sugar 11♥ 13.14 -0.02 04/27 4.50 112.35 3.18 -0.04 -0.10 -0.33 0.00 5-15 yrs -0.77 9.54 -0.83 -0.96 -0.88 9.55 -0.94 -1.09
Representative stocks from each major market Source: Merill Lynch Global Bond Indices † Local currencies. ‡ Total market
Norway 05/19 4.50 112.69 0.60 0.00 -0.06 -0.07 0.00 Over 15 yrs -0.85 29.06 -0.90 -0.93 -0.87 29.10 -0.92 -0.96
Base Metals (♠ LME 3 Months) Cotton♥ Mar 60.89 -0.07 value. In line with market convention, for UK Gilts inflation factor is applied to price, for other markets it is applied to par
03/25 1.75 103.58 1.33 0.00 -0.10 -0.06 0.00 All stocks -0.84 20.45 -0.90 -0.94 -0.88 20.60 -0.94 -0.98
Aluminium 1518.00 3.00 Orange Juice♥ Mar 134.70 2.35 amount.
Aluminium Alloy 1615.00 65.00 Palm Oil♣ Jan 562.00 - Portugal 06/19 4.75 112.71 0.89 0.04 0.05 0.23 0.00 See the FTSE website for more details: http://www.ftse.com/products/indices/gilts
Copper 4532.50 -36.50 Live Cattle♣ Feb 134.80 0.00 BONDS: TEN YEAR GOVT SPREADS 07/26 2.88 99.18 2.97 0.10 -0.09 0.00 0.00
Lead 1722.50 7.50 Spain 04/18 0.25 100.42 0.06 0.00 -0.04 -0.05 0.00 All data provided by Morningstar unless otherwise noted. All elements listed are indicative and believed accurate
Feeder Cattle♣ Mar 156.38 -3.63
Nickel 8510.00 -100.00 Lean Hogs♣ Feb 65.63 0.00 Spread Spread Spread Spread 04/26 1.95 102.64 1.67 0.06 -0.15 0.00 0.00 at the time of publication. No offer is made by Morningstar or the FT. The FT does not warrant nor guarantee
Tin 14875.00 175.00 Bid vs vs Bid vs vs Sweden 10/18 1.00 99.69 1.12 0.00 -0.11 -0.30 0.00 that the information is reliable or complete. The FT does not accept responsibility and will not be liable for any
Zinc 1617.00 -1.00 % Chg % Chg Yield Bund T-Bonds Yield Bund T-Bonds 05/25 2.50 117.07 0.60 -0.01 -0.10 -0.32 0.00 loss arising from the reliance on or use of the listed information. For all queries e-mail
Precious Metals (PM London Fix) Jan 29 Month Year Australia 2.79 2.43 0.83 Italy 1.48 1.13 -0.48 Switzerland 05/19 3.00 113.12 -0.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ft.reader.enquiries@morningstar.com
Gold 1126.50 14.70 S&P GSCI Spt 293.39 -5.92 -24.76 Austria 0.61 0.25 -1.35 Japan 0.06 -0.29 -1.89 05/26 1.25 115.96 -0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Silver (US cents) 1433.00 25.00 DJ UBS Spot 75.99 -3.31 -24.67 Belgium 0.81 0.46 -1.14 Netherlands 0.48 0.13 -1.48 United Kingdom 07/18 1.25 101.71 0.55 0.06 -0.06 -0.26 0.00 Data provided by Morningstar | www.morningstar.co.uk
Platinum 867.00 1.00 R/J CRB TR 164.18 -7.08 -25.17 Canada 1.36 1.01 -0.60 Norway 1.33 0.98 -0.63 01/21 1.50 102.04 1.08 0.07 -0.08 -0.30 0.00
Palladium 502.00 1.00 Rogers RICIX TR 1953.17 - - Denmark 0.63 0.28 -1.33 Portugal 2.97 2.61 1.01 09/25 2.00 103.32 1.62 0.06 -0.07 -0.25 0.00
Bulk Commodities M Lynch MLCX Ex. Rtn 231.14 -9.84 -33.05 Finland 0.60 0.25 -1.36 Spain 1.67 1.31 -0.29 12/46 4.25 141.07 2.37 0.07 -0.04 -0.19 0.00
Iron Ore (Platts) 43.35 0.95 UBS Bberg CMCI TR 11.50 -4.89 -25.39 France 0.68 0.33 -1.27 Switzerland -0.27 -0.63 -2.23 United States 12/17 1.00 100.32 0.83 0.03 -0.03 -0.21 0.00
Iron Ore (The Steel Index) 42.50 1.00 LEBA EUA Carbon 5.96 -14.86 -14.98 Germany 0.35 0.00 -1.60 United Kingdom 1.62 1.27 -0.33 12/20 1.75 101.76 1.38 0.05 -0.06 -0.36 0.00
GlobalCOAL RB Index 51.00 -3.00 LEBA CER Carbon 0.39 -18.75 -13.33 Greece 9.18 8.82 7.22 United States 1.96 1.60 0.00 11/25 2.25 102.61 1.96 0.03 -0.04 -0.29 0.00
Baltic Dry Index 314.00 -3.00 LEBA UK Power 2736.00 28.75 15.64 Ireland 0.99 0.64 -0.97 11/45 3.00 104.71 2.77 0.02 -0.02 -0.22 0.00
Sources: † NYMEX, ‡ ECX/ICE, ♦ CBOT, X ICE Liffe, ♥ ICE Futures, ♣ CME, ♠ LME/London Metal Exchange.* Latest prices, $ Data provided by SIX Financial Information & Tullett Prebon Information Data provided by SIX Financial Information & Tullett Prebon Information
unless otherwise stated.
20 FINANCIAL TIMES Tuesday 2 February 2016
Far East $ 600.40 - -11.02 0.00 Franklin Emg Mkts Debt Opp USD $ 16.29 - -0.42 7.37 Invesco Energy A $ 15.28 - 0.54 0.00 US Government Bond A1 $ 17.26 - 0.04 0.00
ACPI Global UCITS Funds Plc (IRL) Chartered Asset Management Pte Ltd DSM Capital Partners Funds (LUX) Invesco Euro Corporate Bond Fund (A) € 16.80 - 0.03 0.00 Lloyds Investment Fund Managers Limited (1000)F (JER) Value A1 $ 20.72 - 0.52 0.00
www.acpishard.com Other International Funds www.dsmsicav.com PO Box 311, 11-12 Esplanade, St Helier, Jersey, JE4 8ZU 01534 845555
Regulated Atlantis Investment Management Ltd (IRL) Regulated Frontier Capital (Bermuda) Limited Invesco Euro Inflation Linked Bond A € 15.56 - -0.05 0.00 Other International Funds
2nd Floor, 13 St Swithin's Lane, London EC4N 8AL CAM-GTF Limited $ 265175.46 265175.46 622.65 0.00 Other International
ACPI Emerging Mkts FI UCITS Fund USD A $ 103.91 - 0.44 0.00 www.atlantis-investmenet.com, Tel: 0207 877 3377 Global Growth I2 Acc € 129.00 - 4.10 0.00 Invesco Euro Reserve A € 322.64 - 0.00 0.00 Lloydstrust Gilt £ 12.4000xd - 0.0100 2.27 MMIP Investment Management Limited (GSY)
CAM GTi Limited $ 605.58 - -7.40 0.00 Commercial Property-GBP Class £ 71.42 - -0.53 - Regulated
ACPI Global Credit UCITS Funds USD A $ 13.85 - 0.02 0.00 Regulated Global Growth I1 Eur € 96.46 - 3.07 - Lloyds Investment Funds Limited
Invesco Euro Bond A € 7.13 - 0.00 0.00 Multi-Manager Investment Programmes PCC Limited
Atlantis China Fund $ 6.44 - 0.00 0.00 Raffles-Asia Investment Company $ 1.56 1.56 0.01 5.51 Global Real Estate-GBP C Class £ 45.26 - -0.50 - Euro High Income € 1.6050xd - 0.0040 2.95
ACPI Global Fixed Income UCITS Fund USD A $ 152.54 - 0.29 0.00 Invesco European Growth Equity A € 23.28 - 0.28 0.00 European Equity Fd Cl A Initial Ser € 2642.19 2642.19 62.94 0.00
Atlantis China Healthcare Fund $ 1.75 - 0.02 0.00 Edinburgh Partners Limited (IRL) European £ 7.3400 - 0.0710 1.29
Q ACPI India Fixed Income UCITS Fund USD A $ 9.69 - -0.04 - Invesco Global Absolute Return Fund A Class € 11.68 - 0.01 0.00 Japanese Equity Fd Cl A Initial Ser ¥ 368031.00 368031.00 6127.00 0.00
Atlantis Japan Opportunities Fund $ 2.55 - 0.10 0.00
27-31 Melville Street, Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH2 4DJ +353 1 434 5143 GYS Investment Management Ltd (GSY)
High Income £ 0.8504xd - -0.0027 5.04
ACPI India Fixed Income UCITS Fund USD A3 $ 82.89 - -0.31 0.00 Dealing - Fax only - +353 1 434 5230 Regulated Invesco Global Bond A Inc $ 5.44 - 0.00 0.76 MMIP - US EQUITY CLASS A 01 June 07 Series $ 1304.31 1304.31 168.32 0.00
Atlantis Asian Fund $ 6.18 - 0.02 0.00 FCA Recognised Taurus Emerging Fund Ltd $ 162.84 166.17 7.81 0.00 International £ 3.9110 - 0.0840 1.10
ACPI International Bond UCITS Fund USD A $ 18.03 - 0.03 0.00 Invesco Global Conservative Fund 90 (EUR) A € 11.83 - 0.03 0.00 Pacific Basin Fd Cl A Initial Ser $ 2059.34 2059.34 -82.99 0.00
Edinburgh Partners Opportunities Fund PLC
North American £ 15.3700 - 0.4700 0.20
European Opportunities I EUR € 2.28 - 0.03 2.53 Invesco Global Equity Income Fund A $ 54.87 - 0.63 0.00 UK Equity Fd Cl A Series 01 £ 2318.62 2346.23 -38.83 0.00
ACPI Select UCITS Funds PLC (IRL) Generali Worldwide Sterling Bond £ 1.4460xd - 0.0020 3.74
AXIOM European Opportunities I GBP £ 1.74 - 0.04 2.61 Invesco Global Inc Real Estate Sec A dist $ 8.98 - 0.11 2.31 Diversified Absolute Rtn Fd USD Cl AF2 $ 1589.77 - 3.37 0.00
Regulated Cheyne Capital Management (UK) LLP (IRL) PO Box 613, Generali House, Hirzel Street, St Peter Port, Guernesy, GY1 4PA 01481 714108
UK £ 6.1770 - 0.0240 1.60
Regulated European Opportunities I USD $ 2.48 - 0.01 2.30 International Insurances Invesco Global Inv Grd Corp Bond A Dist $ 11.82 - 0.01 3.04 Diversified Absolute Return Stlg Cell AF2 £ 1610.37 - 2.62 0.00
ACPI Balanced UCITS Fund USD Retail $ 13.28 - 0.00 0.00 ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS Lloyds Gilt Fund Limited
Cheyne Convertibles Absolute Return Fund € 1313.66 - 1.53 0.00 Global Multi-Strategy Managed $ 4.44 4.79 0.07 0.00
European Opportunities A EUR € 2.23 - 0.04 1.77 Invesco Global Leisure A $ 33.84 - 0.84 0.00
ACPI Balanced UCITS Fund EUR Retail € 10.00 - -0.01 0.00 Lloyds Gilt Fund Quarterly Share £ 1.2930xd - 0.0020 1.80
Cheyne Global Credit Fund € 114.67 - 0.15 0.00 UK Multi-Strategy Managed £ 4.60 4.95 0.06 0.00 LNG Capital (CYM)
Global Opportunities I USD $ 1.50 - 0.02 2.29 Invesco Global Smaller Comp Eq Fd A $ 53.39 - 0.92 0.00
ACPI Balanced UCITS Fund GBP Retail £ 10.12 - 0.00 0.00 Monthly Share £ 1.2440xd - 0.0000 1.80
Axiom Alternative Investments (FRA) Cheyne European Mid Cap Fund € 1103.40 - 4.80 0.00 EU Multi-Strategy Managed € 2.91 3.14 0.06 0.00
Kingsbury House, 15-17 King St, London SW1Y 6QU
1 Conduit Street - 4th floor - London W1S 2XA Global Opportunities I GBP £ 1.06 - 0.03 2.00 Invesco Global Structured Equity A $ 44.38 - 0.74 0.80 www.lngcapital.com, Tel: 0207 839 3456
ACPI Balanced UCITS Fund USD Institutional $ 10.00 - - - Lloyds Money Fund Limited
www.axiom-ai.com Tel: +44 330 822 0374 Global Bond USD $ 3.40 3.66 0.01 0.00 Regulated
Global Opportunities I EUR € 1.52 - -0.01 1.98 Invesco Global Total Ret.(EUR) Bond Fund A € 12.92 - 0.01 0.00 Sterling Class £ 52.6230 - 0.0010 0.10
ACPI Balanced UCITS Fund EUR Institutional € 10.00 - - - Regulated
Cheyne Capital Management (UK) LLP LNG Europa Credit Fund EUR (Est) € 1196.70 - 65.31 -
Axiom Contingent Capital € 999.83 - -0.77 - Global Opportunities A GBP £ 0.99 - 0.03 1.52 Invesco Gold & Precious Metals A $ 3.45 - 0.10 0.00 Lloyds Multi Strategy Fund Limited
ACPI Balanced UCITS Fund GBP Institutional £ 10.00 - - - Other International Funds
Genesis Asset Managers LLP Invesco Greater China Equity A $ 39.49 - 0.27 0.00 Conservative Strategy £ 1.0930 - 0.0040 1.97 LNG Europa Credit Fund GBP (Est) £ 1196.70 - 56.94 -
ACPI Horizon UCITS Fund $ 12.38 - 0.12 0.00 Axiom Contingent Capital £ 1004.68 - -0.80 - Cheyne European Event Driven Fund € 134.54 - -11.29 0.00 Pan European Opportunities I EUR € 1.40 - 0.02 -
Other International Funds
Growth Strategy £ 1.4550 - 0.0240 1.32 LNG Europa Credit Fund USD $ 1183.45 - -15.60 -
Axiom Equity $ 757.26 - 20.23 - Invesco India Equity A $ 48.52 - 0.45 0.00
Cheyne Real Estate Credit Holdings Fund £ 162.87 - 1.01 0.00 Emerging Mkts NAV £ 5.03 - 0.18 0.00
Invesco Japanese Equity Adv Fd A ¥ 3705.00 - 63.00 0.00 Aggressive Strategy £ 1.7640 - 0.0520 0.00
Axiom Equity € 795.67 - 21.40 0.00 Cheyne Real Estate Credit Holdings Fund III £ 112.40 - 0.42 0.00
Global USD Growth Strategy $ 1.2850 - 0.0250 0.00
Marlborough International Management Limited (GSY)
Axiom Obligataire $ 1717.68 - 0.85 0.00 HPB Assurance Ltd Invesco Japanese Value Eq Fd A ¥ 1251.00 - 33.00 0.00 Tudor House, Le Bordage, St Peter Port, Guernsey, CI, GY1 1DB +44 1481 71520
Cheyne Real Estate Debt Fund Class A1 £ 132.13 - 0.48 0.00
Anglo Intl House, Bank Hill, Douglas, Isle of Man, IM1 4LN 01638 563490 Dealing Daily FCA Recognised
Axiom Obligataire € 1713.21 - 0.64 0.00 Invesco Latin American Equity A $ 5.24 - 0.22 0.00
Cheyne Total Return Credit Fund - December 2017 Class $ 152.88 - -20.24 0.00 International Insurances Marlborough North American Fund Ltd £ 30.62 32.63 0.47 0.00
Axiom Obligataire £ 1726.36 - 0.66 0.00 Invesco Nippon Small/Mid Cap Equity A ¥ 1023.00 - 29.00 0.00
Cheyne Total Return Credit Fund 2020 $ 100.78 - -2.61 - Holiday Property Bond Ser 1 £ 0.50 - 0.01 0.00 M & G (Guernsey) Ltd (GSY)
Marlborough Tiger Fund Ltd F £ 23.89 25.45 0.14 0.00
EFG Hermes Invesco Pan European Equity A EUR Cap NAV € 17.28 - 0.16 0.00 Regulated
Algebris Investments (IRL) Holiday Property Bond Ser 2 £ 0.60 - 0.01 0.00
Regulated DIFC, The Gate Building, West Wing Level 6, PO BOX 30727, Dubai UAE The M&G Offshore Fund Range
BLME Asset Management (LUX) Cohen & Steers SICAV (LUX) Invesco Pan European High Income Fd A € 13.36 - 0.02 2.55
Contact: Telephone + 971 4 363 4029 Email AMsales@EFG-HERMES.com
Algebris Financial Credit Fund - Class I EUR € 130.75 - 0.06 0.00 BLME Sharia'a Umbrella Fund SICAV SIF Regulated
Corporate Bond 1300.05 1340.26 -1.67 3.18 Marwyn Asset Management Limited (CYM)
Other International Funds Invesco Pan European Small Cap Equity A € 21.38 - 0.31 0.00 Regulated
Regulated Haussmann
Algebris Financial Income Fund - Class I EUR € 109.90 - 0.94 0.00 European Real Estate Securities € 22.3403 - 0.4841 1.88 Global Basics 2247.85 2317.37 44.07 0.33
The EFG-Hermes Egypt Fund $ 29.93 - - 0.00 Other International Funds Invesco Pan European Structured Equity A € 16.68 - 0.24 0.00 Marwyn Value Investors £ 450.92 - -7.87 0.00
Income Fund - Share Class A Acc $ 1135.74 - 0.31 0.00
Algebris Financial Equity Fund - Class B EUR € 87.17 - 1.84 - Europ.RealEstate Sec. IX € 29.9617 - 0.6492 0.00 Global Leaders 3215.42 3349.39 74.47 1.15
EFG-Hermes Frontier Equity UCITS Fund Class I $ 1000.00 - - - Haussmann Cls A $ 2574.62 - -108.37 0.00
Income Fund - Share Class G Acc £ 1077.59 - 0.37 0.00 Invesco UK Eqty Income A £ 30.93 - 0.22 0.00
Algebris Asset Allocation Fund - Class B EUR € 95.64 - -0.75 - Gbl Listed Infrastructure I $ 9.7226 - 0.1528 - Global High Yield Bond 929.46 958.21 12.48 4.80
EFG-Hermes MENA Equity UCITS Fund Class A $ 1000.00 - - - Haussmann Cls C € 2248.78 - -95.69 0.00 Meridian Fund Managers Ltd
Gl Sukuk Fund - Share Class A Acc $ 1207.45 - 0.98 0.00 Invesco UK Investment Grade Bond A £ 0.99 - 0.00 2.84
Gbl Listed Infrastructure IX $ 9.7649 - 0.1536 - Global Macro Bond Fund 11526.34 11882.82 55.56 1.96 Other International Funds
Middle East & Developing Africa Fund (Final) $ 19.81 - - 0.00 Haussmann Cls D SFr 1188.89 - -51.05 0.00
Gl Sukuk Fund - Share class B Acc £ 1078.14 1078.14 0.97 0.00 Invesco US Structured Equity A $ 19.97 - 0.46 0.00
Alken Asset Management (LUX) Gbl RealEstate Sec. I $ 10.3507 - 0.2317 2.17 North American Dividend Fund 156.08 162.58 4.92 2.41 Global Gold & Resources Fund $ 184.00 - 2.35 -
Saudi Arabia Equity Fund SR 10.42 - -0.01 0.00 Invesco US Value Eq Fd A $ 28.36 - 0.75 0.00
61 Conduit Street, London, W1S 2GB
Gbl RealEstate Sec. IX $ 12.3238 - 0.2759 0.00 Optimal Income Fund 137.85 142.12 0.00 2.81 Global Energy & Resources Fund $ 31.18 - -3.49 -
www.alken-am.com Heartwood Wealth Management Limited (IRL)
Bank of America Cap Mgmt (Ireland) Ltd (IRL)
Regulated
Invesco USD Reserve A $ 87.02 - 0.00 0.00
Regulated Recovery Fund Limited 'A' Participating Shares 9194.34 9577.44 49.86 0.56
Regulated Ennismore Smaller Cos Plc (IRL)
Alken European Opportunities € 192.52 - 4.65 0.00 Heartwood Caut Multi Asset B Acc 137.57 - 1.18 0.00
Global Liquidity USD $ 1.00 - 0.00 0.49 5 Kensington Church St, London W8 4LD 020 7368 4220 Recovery Fund Limited 'I' Participating Shares 9180.21 9272.94 51.52 1.45 Mirabaud Asset Management (LUX)
Dynamic Emerging Markets A GBP Acc F £ 8.47 - 0.09 0.00 Smaller Cos Cls Four Shares (Est) € 15.43 - 0.16 0.00 Hermes Global Equity Fund Class R Acc € 3.74 3.74 0.09 0.00 Invesco Global Select Equity A $ 11.72 - 0.14 0.00 Gb.Conc.Eq.Fd.US $ 185.52 - 4.83 0.00
Daiwa SB Investments (UK) Ltd (LUX) MW Japan Fund Plc (IRL)
The Antares European Fund Limited Gb.Eq.Hdg Fd.Euro IRE T € 175.00 - 5.19 0.00 FCA Recognised
Asset Management
Eastern Europe A GBP Inc £ 39.88 - 0.41 1.85 5 King William Street, London EC4N 7DA Hermes Global ESG Equity Fund Class F Acc £ 1.15 1.15 0.03 0.00 Invesco Jap Eqty Core A $ 1.74 - 0.03 0.00
Other International
US Dollar Liquidity A F $ 13.03 - 0.00 0.00 OasisCresGl LowBal D ($) Dist $ 11.26 - 0.11 0.00 Pictet-Clean Energy-I USD F $ 71.68 - 1.93 0.00 PIMCO RAE Fundam.PLUS Gl.Dev.Inst Acc $ 9.93 - 0.20 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund GBP Cls B £ 113.13 - 1.20 3.43 Yuki Japan Value Select ¥ 12113.00 - 410.00 0.00
US Growth A F $ 61.19 - 0.13 0.00 OasisCresGl Med Eq Bal A ($) Dist $ 11.41 - 0.15 0.51 Pictet-Digital Communication-I USD F $ 242.52 - 4.17 0.00 PIMCO RAE Fundam.PLUS US Inst Acc $ 11.47 - 0.31 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund SGD Cls B S$ 112.76 - 1.20 3.35 Unicapital Investments (LUX) YMR Umbrella Fund
Regulated
YMR N Growth ¥ 16490.00 - -4.00 0.00
US Growth AH F € 42.36 - 0.09 0.00 Oasis Crescent Gbl Property Eqty $ 9.02 - 0.11 2.38 Pictet-Eastern Europe-I EUR F € 247.83 - 6.70 0.00 Socially Resp.Emerg.Mkts Bd Fd Inst Acc F $ 12.32 - 0.04 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund USD Cls B $ 112.91 - 1.20 3.20
Investments III € 5.03 - -22.38 -
Yuki Asia Umbrella Fund
US Growth AX F £ 42.93 - 0.37 0.00 Pictet-Em Lcl Ccy Dbt-I USD F $ 151.46 - 1.54 0.00 StocksPLUS{TM} - Inst Acc $ 21.78 - 0.55 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund YEN Cls B ¥ 12808.03 - 135.14 0.00
Investments IV - European Private Eq. € 247.75 260.13 -44.58 - Yuki Japan Rebounding Growth Fund JPY Class ¥ 22815.00 - 714.00 0.00
US Property A F $ 65.31 - -0.92 0.00 Pictet-Emerging Markets-I USD F $ 425.10 - 3.08 0.00 Total Return Bond - Inst Acc $ 27.28 - 0.10 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund USD Cls A $ 155.41 - 1.65 3.47
Investments IV - Global Private Eq. € 366.42 384.74 -49.81 - Yuki Japan Rebounding Growth Fund USD Hedged Class $ 901.01 - 27.88 -
Pictet-Emerging Markets Index-I USD F $ 192.92 - 5.20 0.00 UK Corporate Bond - Inst Acc £ 17.27 - 0.11 0.00 S W Mitchell Capital LLP (CYM) Renminbi Bond Fund GBP Cls A £ 150.53 - 1.60 3.71
Regulated
Morgens Waterfall Vintiadis.co Inc Pictet-Emerging Corporate Bonds I USD $ 104.85 - 0.24 0.00 UK Long Term Corp. Bnd Inst-Inst Acc £ 19.22 - 0.18 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund SGD Cls A S$ 149.10 - 1.59 3.62
S W Mitchell European Fund Class A EUR € 328.95 - -9.46 - Value Partners Hong Kong Limited (IRL) Zadig Gestion (Memnon Fund) (LUX)
Other International Funds
Pictet-Emerging Markets High Dividend I USD $ 84.63 - 1.05 0.00 UK Low Duration - Inst Acc £ 14.06 - 0.02 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund YEN Cls A ¥ 18966.00 - 199.00 0.00 www.valuepartners.net, fis@vp.com.hk FCA Recognised
Phaeton Intl (BVI) Ltd (Est) $ 376.84 - 7.44 0.00 S W Mitchell Small Cap European Fund Class A EUR € 231.38 - 0.21 - Regulated
Odey Asset Management LLP (CYM) Pictet-Emerging Markets Sust Eq I USD $ 78.24 - 1.94 0.00 UK Real Return - Inst Acc £ 22.94 - -0.04 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund EUR Cls A € 102.08 - 1.06 3.63 Memnon European Fund I GBP £ 113.02 - 2.64 0.00
The Charlemagne Fund EUR € 315.89 - -12.01 - Value Partners Asia ex-Japan Equity Fund $ 7.90 - 0.18 -
Regulated
Pictet-Environmental Megatrend Sel I EUR € 152.76 - 5.12 0.00 UK Sterling Long Average Duration - Inst Acc £ 22.52 - 0.31 0.00
OEI Mac Inc GBP A £ 409.98 - 51.79 0.00 Value Partners Classic Equity Fund USD Z Unhedged $ 9.64 - -0.03 0.00
Zebedee Capital Partners LLP (CYM)
Pictet-EUR Bonds-I F € 561.69 - 2.50 0.00 Unconstrained Bond - Inst Acc $ 11.70 - 0.00 0.00
OEI Mac Inc GBP B £ 236.17 - 34.38 0.00 S W Mitchell Capital LLP (IRL) Value Partners Classic Equity Fund CHF HedgedSFr 10.06 - -0.04 0.00 Regulated
Pictet-EUR Corporate Bonds Ex Fin i EUR € 143.24 - 0.60 0.00 US High Yield Bond Fund Inst Acc $ 26.67 - 0.10 0.00 Regulated
Value Partners Classic Equity Fund EUR Hedged € 10.17 - -0.04 0.00 Zebedee Focus Fund Limited Class A EURO Shares € 169.78 - -0.96 0.00
OEI MAC Inc USD $ 2188.18 - 273.75 0.00
SWMC European Fund B EUR € 14101.72 - 367.58 0.00
Pictet-EUR Corporate Bonds-I F € 199.77 - 0.68 0.00 Zebedee Focus Fund Limited Class B USD Shares $ 197.30 - -1.19 0.00
Odey European Inc EUR € 943.66 - 106.51 0.00 Value Partners Classic Equity Fund GBP Hedged £ 10.41 - -0.04 0.00
SWMC UK Fund B £ 10932.79 - 103.19 0.00
Pictet-EUR Government Bonds I EUR € 160.81 - 0.86 0.00 Zebedee Focus Fund Limited Class A USD $ 170.38 - -0.82 0.00
Natixis International Funds (Lux) I SICAV (LUX) Odey European Inc GBP A £ 363.95 - 41.44 0.00 Value Partners Classic Equity Fund GBP Unhedged £ 11.43 - 0.28 0.00
SWMC Small Cap European Fund B EUR € 12660.17 - 77.13 0.00
Cannon Bridge House, 25 Dowgate Hill, London, EC4R 2YA 0044 20 3216 9000 Pictet-EUR High Yield-I F € 236.69 - 0.42 0.00 E.I. Sturdza Strategic Management Limited (GSY) Value Partners Classic Equity USD Hedged $ 11.84 - -0.05 0.00
Odey European Inc GBP B £ 206.55 - 23.52 0.00 Regulated
FCA Recognised SWMC Emerging European Fund B EUR € 8538.89 - 224.90 0.00
Pictet-EUR Short Mid-Term Bonds-I F € 137.13 - 0.09 0.00
Harris Global Equity R/A (USD) $ 228.57 228.57 4.66 0.00 Odey European Inc USD $ 436.39 - 49.24 0.00 Nippon Growth Fund Limited ¥ 88573.00 - 4769.00 0.00 Value Partners Greater China Equity Fund $ 7.46 - 0.19 -
Asset Management
Pictet-Global Emerging Debt-I USD F $ 351.41 - 0.54 0.00
Asset Management
Odey Atlas Fund GBP I S £ 1.14 - 0.02 0.00 RobecoSAM Sm.Materials/N € 130.65 - 3.54 0.00 Nippon Growth (UCITS Fund Class D Institutional JPY) ¥ 49592.00 - 1366.00 0.00 Veritas Asian Fund A GBP H £ 383.17 - 4.63 0.25
Pictet-Global Megatrend Selection-I USD F $ 205.38 - 4.40 0.00
Odey Giano European Fund EUR R € 120.01 - -0.38 0.00 Polar Capital Funds Plc (IRL) RobecoSAM Sm.Materials/Na € 90.17 - 2.44 - Strategic China Panda Fund USD $ 1969.13 - 31.91 0.00 Veritas Asian Fund A EUR H € 310.78 - 4.37 0.23
Pictet-Greater China-I USD F $ 393.74 - -0.48 0.00 Regulated
Odey Naver Fund EUR I € 127.22 - -0.06 0.00
Pictet-Health-I USD $ 245.95 - 4.27 0.00 Asian Financials I USD $ 257.18 257.18 0.93 1.28
RobecoSAM Gl.Small Cap Eq/A £ 75.59 - 2.98 1.34 Strategic China Panda Fund Hedged EURO € 1918.71 - 29.69 0.00 Veritas China Fund A USD $ 129.88 - 0.33 0.39
Guide to Data
Odey Odyssey USD I $ 131.86 - -0.35 0.00 RobecoSAM Gl.Small Cap Eq/N € 147.94 - 5.37 0.00 Strategic China Panda Fund Hedged Sterling £ 1945.65 - 30.66 0.00 Veritas China Fund A GBP £ 134.42 - 0.35 0.40
Pictet-High Dividend Sel I EUR F € 151.93 - 3.88 0.00 Biotechnology I USD $ 14.93 14.93 0.19 0.00
Odey Orion Fund EUR I € 117.14 - 0.09 0.00 RobecoSAM Sustainable Gl.Eq/B € 170.91 - 5.17 0.00 Strategic Euro Bond Accumulating Class CHFSFr 982.16 - 1.03 0.00 Veritas China Fund A EUR € 128.38 - 0.33 0.40 The fund prices quoted on these pages are supplied by
Pictet-India Index I USD $ 89.77 - 2.31 0.00 European Income Acc EUR € 10.91 10.91 0.23 0.00
New Capital Fund Management Ltd (IRL) the operator of the relevant fund. Details of funds
Odey Swan Fund EUR I € 100.44 - -0.93 0.00 RobecoSAM Sustainable Gl.Eq/N € 147.63 - 4.48 0.00 Strategic Euro Bond Institutional Class EUR € 1010.87 - 1.08 0.00 Veritas Global Equity Income Fund D USD $ 107.12 - 0.85 4.51 published on these pages, including prices, are for the
Leconfield House, Curzon Street, London, W1J 5JB Pictet-Indian Equities-I USD F $ 410.71 - 0.48 0.00 European Ex UK Inc EUR Acc € 9.34 9.34 0.20 -
purpose of information only and should only be used
FCA Recognised RobecoSAM S.HealthyLiv/B € 173.62 - 5.15 0.00
Odey European Absolute Return GBP S £ 99.58 - 0.28 0.00 Financial Opps I USD $ 10.82 - 0.18 2.08 Strategic Euro Bond Fund Accumulating Class Shares € 1132.96 - 1.21 0.00 Veritas Global Equity Income Fund D EUR € 190.97 - 2.33 4.43 as a guide. The Financial Times Limited makes no
New Capital UCITS Funds Pictet-Japan Index-I JPY F ¥ 15411.66 - 330.96 0.00 representation as to their accuracy or completeness
RobecoSAM S.HealthyLiv/N € 161.94 - 4.81 0.00 Strategic Euro Bond Fund Distributing Class Shares € 1022.73 - 1.08 1.33 Veritas Global Equity Income Fund D GBP £ 145.78 - 1.46 4.27 and they should not be relied upon when making an
Asia Pac Bd USD Inst Inc $ 90.09 - -0.09 3.44 Pictet-Japanese Equities Opp-I JPY F ¥ 9245.84 - 258.43 0.00 GEM Growth I USD $ 7.71 - 0.20 0.00
investment decision.
Odey Wealth Management (CI) Ltd (IRL)
GEM Income I USD $ 8.62 - 0.25 0.00
RobecoSAM S.HealthyLiv/Na £ 107.76 - 3.55 - Strategic European Smaller Companies Fund EUR Class € 924.27 - 7.34 - Veritas Global Focus Fund D USD $ 24.27 - 0.46 0.71
Asia Pac Bd USD Ord Inc $ 92.05 - -0.10 2.70 www.odey.com/prices Pictet-Japanese Equity Selection-I JPY F ¥ 13675.51 - 408.43 0.00
The sale of interests in the funds listed on these pages
FCA Recognised RobecoSAM S.Water/A £ 167.23 - 5.54 1.23 Strategic Global Bond RMB Acc $ 1053.76 - 4.55 0.00 Veritas Global Focus Fund D EUR € 22.48 - 0.52 0.69 may, in certain jurisdictions, be restricted by law and
Asia Pac Eq EUR Ord Inc € 76.89 - 1.49 3.52 Pictet-LATAM Index I USD $ 44.90 - 1.96 0.00 Global Alpha I USD $ 11.84 11.84 0.22 0.00
the funds will not necessarily be available to persons
Odey Opportunity EUR I € 213.12 - 3.21 0.00 RobecoSAM S.Water/N € 157.93 - 4.72 0.00 Strategic Global Bond USD Acc $ 1051.83 - 2.60 0.00 Veritas Global Focus Fund D GBP £ 28.85 - 0.61 0.65
Asia Pac Eq GBP Ord Inc £ 79.49 - 1.57 4.14 Pictet-LATAM Lc Ccy Dbt-I USD F $ 103.73 - 1.39 0.00 Global Convertible I USD $ 10.82 10.82 0.01 0.00 in all jurisdictions in which the publication circulates.
Persons in any doubt should take appropriate
Global Insurance I GBP £ 4.15 - 0.14 0.00 Strategic US Momentum and Value Fund $ 708.76 - 19.06 0.00 Veritas Global Focus Fund A GBP £ 27.86 - 0.59 0.38 professional advice. Data collated by Morningstar. For
Asia Pac Eq USD Ord Inc $ 80.38 - 1.54 3.52 Pictet-Pacific Ex Japan Index-I USD F $ 301.15 - 3.77 0.00
Omnia Fund Ltd other queries contact reader.enquiries@ft.com +44
Global Technology I USD $ 21.23 - 0.52 0.00 Strategic US Momentum & Value Fund USD I Class $ 470.97 - 12.67 0.00 Veritas Global Focus Fund A EUR € 13.10 - 0.30 0.39
Asia Pac Eq USD Inst Acc $ 86.50 - 1.64 0.00 Pictet-Premium Brands-I EUR F € 145.44 - 3.99 0.00 (0)207 873 4211.
Other International Funds
Healthcare Blue Chip Fund I USD Acc $ 9.97 9.97 0.18 0.00 Strategic US Momentum and Value EUR Hedged Class EUR € 494.11 - 13.34 0.00 Veritas Global Focus Fund A USD $ 23.41 - 0.44 0.41
Asia Pac Eq USD Inst Inc $ 87.89 - 0.48 4.36 Estimated NAV $ 833.84 - -21.78 0.00 Pictet-Quality Global Equities I USD $ 130.74 - 2.73 0.00 The fund prices published in this edition along with
Strategic US Momentum and Value CHF Hedged Class CHFSFr 490.77 - 13.17 0.00 additional information are also available on the
Healthcare Opps I USD $ 34.70 - 0.61 0.00 Veritas Global Focus Fund C GBP £ 30.25 - 0.64 0.00
Dyn Europ Eq EUR Ord Inc € 163.48 - -2.49 0.73 Pictet-Russia Index I USD $ 45.18 - 1.33 0.00 Financial Times website, www.ft.com/funds. The
Veritas Global Focus Fund C EUR € 23.68 - 0.55 0.00 funds published on these pages are grouped together
Dyn Europ Eq GBP Ord Inc £ 173.28 - -2.64 1.11 Pictet-Russian Equities-I USD F $ 39.22 - 0.94 0.00 Income Opportunities B2 I GBP Acc £ 1.67 1.67 0.03 0.00 by fund management company.
Japan Alpha I JPY ¥ 192.07 192.07 6.67 0.00
Schroder Property Managers (Jersey) Ltd The Hartford International Funds (IRL) Veritas Global Focus Fund C USD $ 25.49 - 0.48 0.00
Dyn Europ Eq USD Ord Inc $ 163.24 - -2.48 0.73 Pictet-Security-I USD F $ 188.50 - 3.36 0.00 Regulated Prices are in pence unless otherwise indicated. The
Other International Funds
Veritas Global Equity Income Fund A GBP £ 139.66 - 1.40 4.28 change, if shown, is the change on the previously
China Equity EUR Ord Acc € 110.13 - -0.52 0.00 Pictet-Select-Callisto I EUR € 104.09 - 0.35 0.00 Japan I JPY ¥ 1918.66 - 32.35 1.08 Gbl Govt Bond (Ex Japan) Index (GBP) £ 1704.99 - 21.95 0.00
Indirect Real Estate SIRE £ 134.51 140.66 1.17 2.78 quoted figure (not all funds update prices daily). Those
Veritas Global Equity Income Fund A EUR € 185.46 - 2.25 4.44 designated $ with no prefix refer to US dollars. Yield
China Equity GBP Ord Acc £ 114.53 - -0.44 0.00 Pictet-Small Cap Europe-I EUR F € 1065.13 - 19.38 0.00 North American I USD $ 16.54 16.54 0.41 0.00 UK Corporate Bond £ 1574.88 - -1.68 0.00 percentage figures (in Tuesday to Saturday papers)
UK Absolute Equity I GBP £ 12.50 12.50 -0.08 0.00 Veritas Global Equity Income Fund A USD $ 103.05 - 0.81 4.51 allow for buying expenses. Prices of certain older
China Equity USD Ord Acc $ 112.13 - -0.52 0.00 Optima Fund Management Pictet-ST.MoneyMkt-I € 140.44 - 0.00 0.00 SIA (SIA Funds AG) (LUX) Gilt £ 1620.95 - -2.72 0.00 insurance linked plans might be subject to capital
Other International Funds Regulated Veritas Global Equity Income Fund C GBP £ 167.91 - 1.68 - gains tax on sales.
China Equity USD Inst Acc $ 115.43 - -0.53 0.00 Pictet-ST.MoneyMkt JPY I USD ¥ 101509.46 - 3.87 0.00 Global Eq (Ex Japan) Index Fund ¥ 1.30 - 0.03 0.00
Cuttyhunk Fund II Limited $ 1350.67 - 22.88 0.00 LTIF Classic € 310.07 - 10.22 0.00
Europ. Equity Fd EUR € 97.45 - -1.48 - Pictet-ST.MoneyMkt-ICHF SFr 124.10 - 0.00 0.00
Polar Capital LLP (CYM)
Global Eq (ex Japan) Class HJ4 ¥ 1.35 - 0.03 0.00
Veritas Global Equity Income Fund C EUR € 222.86 - 2.71 - Guide to pricing of Authorised Investment Funds:
Regulated LTIF Natural Resources € 66.72 - 2.24 0.00 (compiled with the assistance of the IMA. The
JENOP Global Healthcare Fund Ltd $ 14.76 - -0.27 0.00 Veritas Global Equity Income Fund C USD $ 123.10 - 0.97 - Investment Management Association, 65 Kingsway,
Europ. Equity Fd GBP £ 96.03 - -1.46 - Pictet-ST.MoneyMkt-IUSD $ 135.39 - 0.00 0.00 ALVA Convertible A USD $ 128.02 - -0.62 0.00 Global Eq (ex Japan) Class JP5 ¥ 1.45 - 0.06 0.00
LTIF Stability A ACCU € 157.73 - 2.78 0.00 London WC2B 6TD.
OPTIKA Fund Limited - Cl A $ 94.86 - -2.67 - Veritas Global Real Return Fund A USD $ 20.75 - 0.34 0.30
Europ. Equity Fd USD $ 96.30 - -1.46 - Global Eq Ex Japan Index Fund (Hedge) ¥ 1.33 - 0.05 0.00 Tel: +44 (0)20 7831 0898.)
Pictet-Timber-I USD F $ 131.10 - 4.97 0.00 European Conviction A EUR € 144.65 - 3.79 0.00
Optima Fd NAV (Est) $ 85.69 - 0.23 0.00 Veritas Global Real Return Fund A GBP £ 11.62 - 0.19 0.32
Global Val.Cr.Fd GBP Ord Inc £ 106.90 - 0.11 3.70 Pictet Total Ret-Agora I EUR € 117.18 - 0.54 0.00 Gbl Govt Bond (Ex Japan) Index ¥ 1.34 - 0.02 0.00 OEIC: Open-Ended Investment Company. Similar to a
European Forager A EUR € 178.02 - 3.04 0.00 SIA (SIA Funds AG) (CH) unit trust but using a company rather than a trust
Optima Discretionary Macro Fund Limited $ 87.21 - -1.06 0.00 Veritas Global Real Return Fund A EUR € 12.23 - 0.20 0.12
Global Val.Cr.Fd USD Inst Acc $ 120.31 - 0.16 0.00 Pictet Total Ret-Corto Europe I EUR € 134.89 - 0.60 0.00 Other International Fds Gbl Govt Bond (ex Japan) Class JP4 ¥ 1.32 - 0.03 0.00 structure.
The Dorset Energy Fd Ltd NAV $ 20.39 - 1.97 0.00 Retail
Global Val.Cr.Fd GBP Ord Acc £ 173.39 - 0.13 0.00 LTIF Stability Growth SFr 185.70 - 3.40 - Japan Equity Index Fund ¥ 1.01 - 0.02 0.00 Different share classes are issued to reflect a different
Pictet Total Ret-Divers Alpha I EUR € 105.20 - -0.08 0.00 Polunin Capital Partners Ltd
Platinum Fd Ltd $ 78.42 - -3.04 0.00 Veritas Asian Fund B USD $ 207.05 - 2.02 0.00 currency, charging structure or type of holder.
Other International Funds LTIF Stability Inc Plus SFr 159.40 - 2.90 0.56
Global Val.Cr.Fd USD Ord Acc $ 162.81 - 0.12 0.00 Pictet Total Ret-Kosmos I EUR € 108.16 - -0.38 0.00 Japan Equity Class JP3 ¥ 1.22 - 0.02 0.00
Platinum Fd Ltd EUR € 15.20 - -0.59 0.00 Emerging Markets Active $ 40.75 - 0.67 - Veritas Asian Fund B GBP £ 282.35 - 3.41 0.00 Selling price: Also called bid price. The price at which
Global Val.Cr.Fd EUR Ord Acc € 151.33 - 0.11 0.00 Pictet Total Ret-Mandarin I USD $ 111.54 - 0.63 0.00 units in a unit trust are sold by investors.
Platinum Japan Fd Ltd $ 50.95 - -1.11 0.00 Luxcellence Em Mkts Tech $ 851.68 - 16.03 0.00 Veritas Asian Fund B EUR € 228.85 - 3.21 0.00
Swiss Select Equity Inst Acc SFr 111.33 - -0.79 0.00 Pictet-US Equity Selection-I USD $ 178.54 - 4.65 0.00
Standard Life Wealth (JER) The National Investor (TNI) Buying price: Also called offer price. The price at
Optima Partners Global Fd (Est) $ 13.52 - 0.04 0.00 PO Box 189, St Helier, Jersey, JE4 9RU 01534 709130 www.tni.ae Veritas China Fund B GBP £ 130.29 - 0.33 0.00 which units in a unit trust are bought by investors.
Polunin Developing Countries $ 660.82 666.44 12.00 0.00
Swiss Select Equity Ord Acc SFr 109.98 - -0.79 0.00 Pictet-US High Yield-I USD F $ 142.29 - 0.34 0.00 FCA Recognised Includes manager’s initial charge.
Other International Funds
Optima Partners Focus Fund A $ 15.38 - -0.26 0.00 Polunin Discovery - Frontier Markets $ 1304.50 - 28.52 0.00 Standard Life Offshore Strategy Fund Limited Veritas China Fund B EUR € 163.91 - 1.09 0.00
US Growth USD Ord Acc $ 188.56 - 4.79 0.00 Pictet-USA Index-I USD F $ 171.61 - 4.15 0.00 TNI Blue Chip UAE Fund * AED 9.14 - 0.41 0.00 Single price: Based on a mid-market valuation of the
Polunin Small Cap $ 1266.92 1282.76 24.45 0.00 Bridge Fund £ 1.5807 - 0.0216 1.89 Veritas Global Focus Fund B USD $ 16.90 - 0.32 0.00 underlying investments. The buying and selling price
US Growth EUR Ord Acc € 180.08 - 4.60 0.00 Pictet-USD Government Bonds-I F $ 646.89 - 2.17 0.00 TNI Funds Ltd (BMU) for shares of an OEIC and units of a single priced unit
Oryx International Growth Fund Ltd Diversified Assets Fund £ 1.1528 - 0.0068 3.02 Veritas Global Focus Fund B GBP £ 21.27 - 0.44 0.00 trust are the same.
US Growth GBP Ord Acc £ 189.22 - 4.87 0.00 MENA Hedge Fund $ 938.96 - 33.96 0.00
Other International Funds Pictet-USD Short Mid-Term Bonds-I F $ 130.14 - 0.13 0.00
Private Fund Mgrs (Guernsey) Ltd (GSY) Global Equity Fund £ 1.8408 - 0.0342 0.64 Veritas Global Focus Fund B EUR € 15.60 - 0.36 0.00
TNI Funds Plc (Ireland) Treatment of manager’s periodic capital charge:
US Growth USD Inst Acc $ 169.91 - 1.78 0.00 NAV (Fully Diluted) £ 7.21 - 0.28 0.00 Pictet-USD Sov.ST.Mon.Mkt-I $ 102.70 - 0.00 0.00 Regulated The letter C denotes that the trust deducts all or part
Global Balanced Fund - Income Units £ 1.3349 - 0.0124 2.07 MENA UCITS Fund * $ 960.24 - 22.76 0.00 Veritas Global Equity Income Fund B GBP £ 128.37 - 1.28 4.30
of the manager’s/operator’s periodic charge from
Wealthy Nat Bd EUR Inst Inc € 104.99 - 0.46 3.81 Pictet-Water-I EUR F € 273.20 - 8.06 0.00 Monument Growth 26/01/2016 £ 457.27 462.20 -2.15 1.32
capital, contact the manager/operator for full details
Global Balanced Fund - Accumulations Units £ 1.5619 - 0.0145 2.04 Veritas Global Equity Income Fund B EUR € 170.04 - 2.05 4.45
OTP Asset Management Romania SAI SA ((ROM)) of the effect of this course of action.
Wealthy Nat Bd GBP Inst Inc £ 109.15 - 0.49 3.77
www.otpfonduri.ro Global Fixed Interest Fund £ 0.9543 - 0.0029 5.47 Veritas Global Equity Income Fund B USD $ 102.07 - 0.80 4.53
Wealthy Nat Bd EUR Ord Inc € 103.87 - 0.36 3.56 Other International Funds Pimco Fds: Global Investors Series Plc (IRL) Prusik Investment Management LLP (IRL) Exit Charges: The letter E denotes that an exit charge
Enquiries - 0207 493 1331 Sterling Fixed Interest Fund £ 0.8337 - -0.0008 4.28 Veritas Global Real Return Fund B USD $ 20.11 - 0.32 0.00 may be made when you sell units, contact the
PIMCO Europe Ltd,11 Baker Street,London W1U 3AH
Wealthy Nat Bd GBP Ord Inc £ 109.78 - 0.49 3.48 OTP Comodisro RON 16.89 - 0.00 - Regulated manager/operator for full details.
http://gisnav.pimco-funds.com/
UK Equity Fund £ 1.8259 - 0.0175 2.88 Veritas Global Real Return Fund B GBP £ 11.40 - 0.19 0.00
OTP Obligatiuni RON 14.31 - 0.01 - Dealing: +44 20 3640 1000 Prusik Asian Equity Income B Dist $ 146.27 - 0.92 4.40 Time: Some funds give information about the timing of
Wealthy Nat Bd USD Ord Inc $ 106.54 - 0.39 3.49
PIMCO Funds: +44 (0)20 3640 1407 Veritas Global Real Return Fund B EUR € 13.07 - 0.21 0.00 price quotes. The time shown alongside the fund
New Capital Alternative Strategies OTP Avantisro RON 8.00 - 0.10 - FCA Recognised Prusik Asia A $ 178.41 - 0.21 0.00 manager’s/operator’s name is the valuation point for
All Weather Fd USD Cls $ 117.83 - -0.64 0.00
Toscafund Asset Management LLP (UK) their unit trusts/OEICs, unless another time is
OTP Euro Bond € 12.43 - 0.00 - Capital Securities Inst Acc $ 14.65 - 0.05 0.00 Prusik Asian Smaller Cos A $ 129.84 - 0.35 0.00 indicated by the symbol alongside the individual unit
www.toscafund.com
Veritas Asset Management LLP trust/OEIC name.
All Weather Fd EUR Cls € 105.67 - -0.67 0.00 Commodity Real Return Fund Inst Acc $ 5.61 - 0.09 0.00 Authorised Funds
OTP Dollar Bond $ 10.59 - 0.00 - www.veritas-asset.com
Aptus Global Financials B Acc £ 2.85 - 0.07 4.85 Other International Funds The symbols are as follows: ✠ 0001 to 1100 hours; ♦
All Weather Fd GBP Cls £ 113.91 - -0.67 0.00 OTP Premium Return RON 1062.13 - 5.85 - Credit Absolute Return Fund Inst Acc $ 10.82 - 0.00 0.00 Purisima Investment Fds (CI) Ltd (JER)
1101 to 1400 hours; ▲1401 to 1700 hours; # 1701 to
Regulated Aptus Global Financials B Inc £ 2.50 - 0.07 5.01 Real Return Asian Fund USD (Est) € 277.60 - -26.20 0.00 midnight. Daily dealing prices are set on the basis of
Tactical Opps USD Cls $ 115.54 - 3.20 0.00 Diversified Income - Inst Acc $ 18.95 - 0.07 0.00
PCG B 151.61 - 0.23 0.00 the valuation point, a short period of time may elapse
Stenham Asset Management Inc Real Return Asian Fund GBP (Est) £ 296.77 - -7.03 0.00 before prices become available. Historic pricing: The
Tactical Opps EUR Cls € 96.53 - 2.64 0.00 Diversified Income Durat Hdg Fund Inst Acc $ 10.88 - 0.00 0.00
PCG C 149.47 - 0.23 0.00 www.stenhamassetmanagement.com letter H denotes that the managers/operators will
Toscafund Asset Management LLP Real Return Asian Fund EUR (Est) $ 292.91 - -10.89 0.00 normally deal on the price set at the most recent
Tactical Opps GBP Cls £ 108.13 - 2.90 0.00 Emerging Asia Bond Fund Inst Acc $ 9.39 - 0.09 0.00 Other International Funds
www.toscafund.com valuation. The prices shown are the latest available
Emerging Local Bond - Inst Acc $ 10.44 - 0.12 0.00 Stenham Asia USD $ 128.00 - -1.80 - Other International Funds before publication and may not be the current dealing
Putnam Investments (Ireland) Ltd (IRL) levels because of an intervening portfolio revaluation
Regulated Stenham Credit Opportunities A Class USD $ 99.47 - -1.45 0.00 Tosca A USD $ 305.04 - -1.61 0.00 Waverton Investment Funds Plc (1600)F (IRL)
or a switch to a forward pricing basis. The
Emerging Markets Bond - Inst Acc $ 36.68 - 0.08 0.00
waverton.investments@citi.com managers/operators must deal at a forward price on
Putnam New Flag Euro High Yield Plc - E € 979.68 - 1.84 4.13 Stenham Equity UCITS USD $ 127.84 - 0.20 0.00 Tosca Mid Cap GBP £ 245.63 - -7.49 0.00 FCA Recognised
Permal Investment Mgmt Svcs Ltd Emerging Markets Corp.Bd Fund Inst Acc F $ 12.31 - 0.04 0.00 request, and may move to forward pricing at any time.
www.permal.com Waverton Asia Pacific A USD $ 15.82 - 0.13 5.83 Forward pricing: The letter F denotes that that
Stenham Growth USD $ 214.36 - -1.09 - Tosca Opportunity B USD $ 334.27 - -12.71 0.00
Emerging Markets Short-Term Local Currency Fund $ 11.40 - 0.06 0.00 managers/operators deal at the price to be set at the
Other International Funds
Waverton Global Bond Fund Cls A $ 8.49 - -0.01 4.27 next valuation.
Offshore Fund Class A US $ Shares Stenham Healthcare USD $ 184.07 - 0.80 0.00 Pegasus Fund Ltd A-1 GBP £ 55.26 - -0.15 0.00
Euro Bond - Inst Acc € 22.86 - 0.08 0.00
Waverton Global Equity Fund A GBP £ 13.37 - 0.35 0.61 Investors can be given no definite price in advance of
Northwest Investment Management (HK) Ltd Investment Holdings N.V. $ 5417.00 - -70.68 0.00 Euro Credit - Inst Acc € 14.77 - 0.05 0.00 Stenham Managed Fund USD $ 113.54 - -0.62 -
the purchase or sale being carried out. The prices
11th Floor, Kinwick Centre, 32, Hollywood Road, Central Hong Kong +852 9084 4373 Waverton UK Fund A GBP £ 12.60 - 0.10 1.98 appearing in the newspaper are the most recent
Macro Holdings Ltd $ 4176.78 - -15.24 0.00 Euro Income Bond - Inst Acc F € 12.80 - 0.02 0.00 Stenham Macro UCITS USD $ 100.11 - -1.08 0.00
Other International Funds provided by the managers/operators. Scheme
Fixed Income Holdings N.V. $ 349.32 - -14.81 - Stenham Multi Strategy USD $ 115.54 - -0.74 - Waverton Equity Fund A GBP £ 13.98 - 0.16 0.20 particulars, prospectus, key features and reports: The
Northwest $ class $ 2329.36 - -28.58 0.00 Euro Long Average Duration - Inst Acc € 22.57 - 0.29 0.00 most recent particulars and documents may be
Northwest Warrant $ class $ 1969.35 - -444.40 0.00 Permal Absolute Return Fund $ 163.19 - -0.40 0.00 Robeco Asset Management (LUX) Stenham Quadrant USD A $ 398.60 - -2.93 - Waverton Sterling Bond Fund A GBP £ 9.27 - -0.02 4.07 obtained free of charge from fund
Euro Low Duration Fund Inst Acc € 11.24 - 0.01 0.00 managers/operators. * Indicates funds which do not
Coolsingel 120, 3011 AG Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
www.robeco.com/contact Stenham Trading Inc USD $ 115.43 - -0.76 - price on Fridays.
Euro Real Return - Inst Acc € 13.46 - 0.07 0.00
FCA Recognised WA Fixed Income Fund Plc (IRL)
Stenham Universal USD $ 430.13 - -1.32 - Charges for this advertising service are based on the
Euro Short-Term Inst Acc € 12.23 - 0.00 0.00 Regulated
Asia-Pacific Equities (EUR) € 123.53 - 4.24 0.00 number of lines published and the classification of the
Stenham Universal II USD $ 159.28 - -0.56 0.00 European Multi-Sector € 117.04 - 0.83 0.00 fund. Please contact data@ft.com or
Euro Ultra Long Duration - Inst Acc € 30.16 - 0.37 0.00
Chinese Equities (EUR) € 64.82 - 1.40 0.00 call +44 (0)20 7873 3132 for further information.
Global Advantage - Inst Acc $ 11.88 - -0.01 0.00 TreeTop Asset Management S.A. (LUX)
Em Stars Equities (EUR) € 157.53 - 4.70 0.00
Regulated
Global Advantage Real Return Fund Inst Acc $ 8.23 - 0.02 0.00
Stratton Street Capital (CI) Limited (GSY)
Emerging Markets Equities (EUR) € 130.33 - 3.82 0.00 Regulated TreeTop Convertible Sicav
Oasis Crescent Management Company Ltd Pictet Asset Management (Europe) SA (LUX)
Global Bond - Inst Acc $ 28.07 - 0.12 0.00 Japan Synthetic Warrant Yen Class ¥ 1362.59 - -419.81 0.00 International A € 273.81 - 2.84 0.00
15, Avenue J.F. Kennedy L-1855 Luxembourg Flex-o-Rente (EUR) € 111.05 - 0.30 0.00
Other International Funds
Tel: 0041 58 323 3000 Global Bond Ex-US - Inst Acc $ 19.76 - 0.12 0.00 Japan Synthetic Warrant GBP Hedged Class £ 197.20 - -2.68 0.00 International B $ 351.70 - 3.67 0.00
Oasis Crescent Equity Fund R 9.17 - 0.01 0.00 Glob.Consumer Trends Equities (EUR) € 147.51 - 4.37 0.00
FCA Recognised
Global High Yield Bond - Inst Acc $ 19.46 - 0.07 0.00 Japan Synthetic Warrant USD Class $ 15.08 - -4.14 0.00 International C £ 119.00 - 1.35 0.00
Pictet-Absl Rtn Fix Inc-HI EUR € 106.02 - -0.07 0.00 High Yield Bonds (EUR) € 120.26 - 0.49 0.00
Global Investment Grade Credit - Inst Income $ 12.03 - 0.04 3.82 Japan Synthetic Warrant USD Hedged Class $ 196.54 - -2.43 0.00 International D € 254.22 - 2.70 3.38 Yuki International Limited (IRL)
Oasis Global Mgmt Co (Ireland) Ltd (IRL) Pictet-Absl Rtn Glo Div-I EUR F € 122.20 - 0.18 0.00 Lux -O- Rente (EUR) € 145.57 - 1.29 0.00
Tel +44-20-7269-0207 www.yukifunds.com
Regulated Global Investment Grade Credit Fund Inst Acc € € 11.76 - 0.12 0.00 TreeTop Global Sicav Regulated
Pictet-Agriculture-I EUR F € 175.05 - 5.35 0.00 New World Financials (EUR) € 47.49 - 1.50 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund AUD Cls A A$ 112.94 - 1.21 3.62
Oasis Global Investment (Ireland) Plc Global Opp.A € 130.72 - 2.48 0.00 Yuki Mizuho Umbrella Fund
Global Investment Grade Credit Fund Inst Acc $ $ 16.62 - 0.06 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund AUD Cls B A$ 114.82 - 1.24 3.38
Oasis Crescent Global Short Term Income Fund $ 0.98 - 0.00 0.91 Pictet-Asian Equities Ex Japan-I USD F $ 185.89 - 0.49 0.00 US Premium Equities (EUR) € 166.94 - 4.69 0.00
Global Opp.B $ 127.78 - 1.60 0.00 Yuki Mizuho Japan Dynamic Growth ¥ 6617.00 - 210.00 0.00
Global Multi-Asset - Inst Acc $ 13.65 - 0.21 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund CHF Cls A SFr 109.36 - 1.14 3.71
Oasis Global Equity $ 25.81 - 0.49 0.24 Pictet-Asian Local Currency Debt-I USD F $ 152.03 - 0.54 0.00 US Premium Equities (USD) $ 186.66 - 5.20 0.00
Global Opp.C £ 172.00 - 4.33 0.00 Yuki Mizuho Japan Large Cap ¥ 777.62 - -0.38 0.00
Global Real Return - Inst Acc $ 18.07 - 0.10 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund CHF Cls B SFr 109.34 - 1.13 3.44
Oasis Crescent Global Investment Fund (Ireland) plc Pictet-Biotech-I USD F $ 658.44 - 6.37 0.00
Sequoia Equity A € 127.50 - 2.80 0.00 Yuki Japan Low Price ¥ 25018.00 - 418.00 0.00
Oasis Crescent Global Equity Fund $ 26.31 - 0.51 0.00 Income Fund Inst Acc $ 12.30 - 0.05 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund CNH Cls A CNH 121.46 - 1.30 3.49
Pictet-Brazil Index I USD $ 31.65 - 1.73 0.00
Sequoia Equity B $ 129.12 - 2.59 0.00
Oasis Crescent Variable Balanced Fund £ 10.25 - 0.10 0.98 Inflation Strategy Fund Inst Acc $ 8.48 - 0.10 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund CNH Cls B CNH 121.39 - 1.30 3.24
Pictet-CHF Bonds I CHF SFr 509.93 - 2.51 0.00
Sequoia Equity C £ 156.04 - 5.29 0.00
OasisCresGl Income Class A $ 10.68 - -0.01 2.45 Low Average Duration - Inst Acc $ 14.80 - 0.02 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund Euro Cls B € 111.19 - 1.16 3.36
Pictet-China Index I USD $ 91.19 - 2.32 0.00
PIMCO RAE Fundam.PLUS Em.Mkts Inst Acc $ 7.36 - 0.22 0.00
22 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Tuesday 2 February 2016
Stephen
Foley Puerto Rico proposes debt swap deal
Plan seen as opening salvo tain legal guarantees and faces a fresh omy, endless deficits and increasing
$23bn 25 per cent of the revenues the island
round of payments this year that it says debt.” earns in excess of its current projections.
while policymakers await it will be unable to make. The proposal would exchange debt The amount that If the debt swap is accepted as pro-
Puerto Rico is
Bank shares present Washington’s assistance Officials and bankruptcy experts
working on restructuring its estimate
that Puerto Rico faces $33bn of sched-
issued by the commonwealth and sev-
eral of its agencies into two new securi-
ties with greater legal protections, post-
seeking to cut from
its debt burden
posed, Puerto Rico’s debt service-to-
revenue ratio will fall to near 15 per cent
from 36 per cent currently, a figure that
a buying opportunity ERIC PLATT — NEW YORK
Puerto Rico is seeking to cut nearly
uled payments over the next decade.
The working group has identified new
poning payments until at least 2018 as
policymakers work to jump-start
46 %
Haircut that
ranks among the highest of US states.
“There is potential for full recovery in
A
The commonwealth is offering credi- budget remains significantly stressed interest in 2018. Principal payments bondholders.
ny postmortem on the terrible performance tors invested in $49.2bn of some of its without the ability to restructure debt would begin in its 2021 fiscal year, when Holders of general obligation bonds,
of the equity market in January has to focus most senior securities a swap for new payments. Puerto Rico lacks access to interest payments are projected to considered the most senior debt, would
on the financial sector. Financial stocks debt worth $26.5bn. bankruptcy protection and has been reach 5 per cent a year. take a haircut of about 28 per cent in the
account for 16 per cent of the S&P 500 in the The plan, presented last Friday and shut out of capital markets. The rest of the debt would be placed in new bonds. Investors owning debt
US, and their 9 per cent slide last month is publicly disclosed yesterday, is seen as “A crisis of this magnitude must be a so-called growth bond, with payouts issued by the Puerto Rico Sales Tax
the biggest single reason the benchmark index is 5 per cent an opening salvo from Puerto Rican pol- addressed in concert,” said Victor Sua- dependent on economic growth. Pay- Financing Corporation, known as
lower than at the start of the year. icymakers who are still awaiting assist- rez, secretary of state. “Otherwise we ments on these bonds would not begin Cofina, would take losses of 51 per cent.
This dramatic underperformance seems out of step with ance from Washington. The island has risk our ability — and the opportunity — until 10 years after a restructuring was Other creditors would sustain losses on
what is happening in the economy, where concerns centre defaulted on several debts that lack cer- to escape the spiral of a stagnating econ- agreed and would be capped at up to average of about 61 per cent.
on China and the energy sector, to which US banks have lit-
tle exposure. The bank earnings season was actually quite
positive, with fourth-quarter results coming in ahead of
expectations in most cases, yet goliaths including Bank
of America, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley lost more than Analysis. Equities
15 per cent of their value last month.
For several reasons bank shares appear to have over-
shot, suggesting a lucrative buying opportunity.
Why do financials appear to have borne the brunt of the
January selling? One reason is the unwinding of bullish
Platform party topples over into hangover
bets placed in the run-up to the Federal Reserve’s first
interest rate rise in December. Many investors had hoped
that higher rates would give banks cover to improve their
net interest margin, the difference between the rate at Investors turn against funding Share prices
which they borrow money (from depositors) and lend it model that allows companies Rebased
out (to businesses). Valeant Pharms Platform
With cloudier prospects for the economy, however, the to expand through acquisition Altice Speciality Products
pace of Fed rate rises looks like it will be much slower than Nomad Foods S&P 500
first hoped. This is disappointing, but it does not justify the 100
MILES JOHNSON, DAN MCCRUM
scale of the sell-off. AND ARASH MASSOUDI
Another explanation lies in investor psychology. Per-
haps inevitably, given what markets went through in Last week Bill Ackman, the showman 80
2008, it is hard to discuss a turn in the credit cycle and to investor, did one of the hardest things a
weigh the risks of a future recession without imagining a hedge fund manager must do — stand 60
financial crisis. But the world can go through some quite up and admit having made a mistake.
terrible economic events without triggering a financial Investors in Pershing Square, his
meltdown. US banks’ bad hedge fund, suffered several billion dol- 40
loans to oil companies would lars in paper losses last year, in large
never approach the scale of
BofA and its part because of the market’s loss of faith
the exposures to the US hous- peers are trading in “platform companies” — for which 20
ing market that triggered the Mr Ackman has been Wall Street’s Aug 2015 Jan
2008 runs.
at ‘recession greatest cheerleader. 2016
Despite the massive rise in prices but Companies such as Valeant Pharma- Investment banking fees paid
bank capital and all the new ceuticals and Altice had taken advan-
regulations, many people in
no recession’ tage of cheap borrowing costs to buy up
2013-15 ($m)
January were willing to place businesses, helping them to expand
bets on another financial crisis, or at least take out quickly. Until last August they were
hedges against one. some of the fastest-rising stocks, jump- Altice 484
Myron Scholes and Ashwin Alankar, experts in the ing higher with each new deal and gen-
options markets who work at asset manager Janus Capital, erating enormous fees for the Wall Valeant 397
have spotted a sharp increase in the cost of insurance Street institutions that funded and
against a banking sector meltdown. They monitor what advised them. Platform Specialty
they call the “worst loss” scenario implied by options “We believe that ‘platform value’ is Products 180
prices — the share price decline ascribed a 10 per cent real, but, as we have been painfully
probability by options traders. reminded, it is a much more ephemeral Nomad Foods 22
According to Messrs Scholes and Alankar, the market is form of value than . . . other assets,” a
suggesting a worst-case scenario of a 28 per cent decline in contrite Mr Ackman told investors. “It
financial stocks over the next three months — a financial depends on access to low-cost capital, Total 1008
crisis-scale decline. uniquely talented members of manage-
Options prices have signalled similar levels of fear ment, and the pricing environment for
before, but only rarely, and only at the hottest moments of transactions.”
Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream
the eurozone debt crisis or US debt ceiling debacles. With that admission, it appears the
“I cannot identify a big source of risk,” Mr Alankar told platform party may have come to an
me last week, “but the market is seeing something. I worry end. Valeant shares have more than
we could be missing something.” halved since August, wiping $74bn from Cheerleader investment banking fees supporting the able to Wall Street analysts. “Financial tinue, it is no longer willing to finance
Perhaps we are. Perhaps banks are concealing risks that its value, alongside net debt of $30bn. at bay: Bill deal sprees of Valeant, Altice, Platform engineering can mask underlying fun- deals, so the model falls apart.
are not immediately apparent from their results or their Investors are less willing to lend to these Ackman Specialty Products and Nomad Foods, damentals for a long time but not for “As these companies get bigger and
balance sheet statements. Or perhaps the market has over- companies cheaply, hampering their conceded last according to estimates by Thomson ever,” says David Puritz at BlueMoun- bigger they need to do bigger deals to
reacted to signs that the credit market has turned and the access to growth through acquisitions. week that the Reuters and Freeman Consulting. To tain Capital, the hedge fund. sustain the growth,” says Jim Litinsky,
economic outlook is darkening. For investors still holding the shares value of survive and service a collective $78bn “There are a lot of legitimate reasons head of JHL Capital, a Chicago-based
The latter is the opinion of banking analyst Mike Mayo, and debt, the question is how painful the platform debt burden, these companies’ manag- why roll-up plays can make sense for hedge fund. “At some point the deals get
whose “sell” recommendation on BofA had seemingly hangover will be. companies could ers need to deliver on promises to gener- investors, but the underlying businesses so big they can no longer be done, and
been carved on a tablet of stone. Yet last week he raised his In its simplest form, a platform com- be ‘ephemeral’ ate growth organically. need to grow and benefit from their new the model goes into reverse.”
rating to “outperform” after more than three years of neg- pany is one that expands by constant Scott Eells/Bloomberg
Roll-ups work because fast-growing corporate structure, which isn’t always Advocates of this “buy-and-build”
ativity, saying January’s falls were out of hand. acquisitions, usually powered by huge companies tend to be considered more the case.” model include Martin Franklin, who,
As Mr Mayo put it, BofA and its peers are trading at debt. To its critics it has an uglier name, valuable. Investors are willing to pay a One spectacular example was Tyco, a supported by Mr Ackman, launched
“recession prices but no recession”. On a share price-to- associated with repeated corporate higher multiple for the profits gener- conglomerate that made 120 big acqui- Platform and Nomad
tangible book value, bank stocks have fallen to levels blow-ups over the past quarter of a cen- ated each year if they think those profits sitions and many more lesser ones in a Mr Chanos, who has a short position
below the pre-financial crisis period, suggesting concerns tury — the roll-up. will be bigger in the future. decade of frenetic dealmaking, capped in several prominent platform compa-
about widespread asset impairments. One does not even “A roll-up is basically a company Aggressive use of accounting treat- by the departure in 2002 of Dennis nies, notably Valeant, says: “In a bull
have to be bullish on the economic outlook to be bullish on dependent on acquisitions for growth,” ments for takeovers can temporarily Kozlowski, chief executive, after an market people tend to forget that these
the stocks; many banks could weather a mild recession says Jim Chanos, the short seller who boost profits and cash flow, but taking accounting scandal. are just low-multiple businesses piled
and still increase their book value. helped bring down Enron. “A business this path requires ever greater deals to The roll-up model can contain the on top of each other.”
It would not be the first time markets have panicked or which has no dynamic revenue growth, sustain the impression of growth. seeds of its own destruction. It relies on Asked why memories are short, he
overshot. It is at such moments that buying opportunities where management spins a story that Multiple acquisitions can also make a low cost of capital, which means it is says: “They’re investment banking
open for the smart long-term investor. they can extract synergies from stack- accounts increasingly complex, and give dependent on wider sentiment and in- driven, number one. Those roll-ups are
ing these acquired businesses up.” greater leeway for managements to vestor psychology. Once the market just huge fee payers to Wall Street.”
stephen.foley@ft.com Wall Street generated $1.1bn in present numbers in a way that is favour- ceases to believe that growth will con- www.ft.com/lombard
Crude price trajectory divides hedge funds German Bund yields bounce off record lows
DAVID SHEPPARD AND ANJLI RAVAL have a record long position in Brent their bets against the price last week. By ROCHELLE TOPLENSKY AND JOEL LEWIN against a backdrop of slumping com- with incentives for banks to increase
equivalent to 360m barrels, or almost historical standards the combined short modity prices and worries over global lending.”
Hedge funds are increasingly split over German government bond yields
four days of global oil demand, which position of WTI and Brent remains very economic activity. In the US solid demand for Treasuries
the next move for oil after its rebound dropped to record lows yesterday, tak-
will benefit if prices climb further. large at more than 340m barrels. Since Japan embraced a negative reflects the view that the Federal
from a 12-year low last month, setting ing a cue from Japan’s debt market,
That could put more pressure on the Oil’s volatility this year follows a near interest rate policy late last week, Reserve will delay further raising offi-
the market up for further sharp price with buying buoyed by the anticipation
market if the hoped-for rally does not 75 per cent crash over 18 months. Saudi demand for eurozone government debt cial borrowing costs. US inflation expec-
changes in 2016. of further easing from the European
materialise and traders are again forced Arabia, Opec’s de facto leader, has has intensified. “Bond markets remain tations have fallen sharply and the bond
Central Bank next month.
The market has been torn between fears to sell. Brent fell almost 5 per cent refused to cut production without the on a roll globally after the Bank of Japan market has pushed out the timing of the
of Iran’s post-sanctions exports and towards $34 a barrel yesterday as Opec’s co-operation of other members and big The five-year yield fell 1 basis point to a joined in the rates race to the bottom,” next move from March to September.
signs that the price crash has increased powerful Gulf members said there were non-Opec producers such as Russia. record low of minus 0.32 per cent, while said strategists at Commerzbank. Mario Draghi, ECB president, has sig-
the odds of Opec agreeing production no plans for an emergency meeting, Venezuela, a price hawk in Opec, sent the seven-year yield fell 2bp to a new Negative-yielding bonds in Japan and nalled that further easing could come as
cuts with other countries. despite efforts from Venezuela. its oil minister, Eulogio del Pino, to meet low of minus 0.10 per cent. The 10-year Europe have climbed to $5.5tn as global soon as March. “The governing council
Brent crude surged almost a third “No expectations of a production his Russian counterpart, Alexander Bund touched a low of 0.305 per cent central banks adopt increasingly abnor- will review and possibly reconsider its
between January 20 and 29, snapping agreement, together with a volume free- Novak, yesterday as part a tour to rally yesterday but then rose to 0.35 per cent. mal policies to jump-start economic stance when it meets in March,” said
back from a 12-year low near $27 a bar- for-all, will see prices slip back to the support for co-ordinated cuts. After the “Despite unchanged or recovering activity and boost inflation. Benoît Cœuré, ECB executive board
rel to $35 by Friday. mid-twenties and potentially lower,” meeting Mr Novak said he would be pre- risk markets, Bund yields have fallen After disappointing markets in member, yesterday.
Funds that had helped build a near- said David Hufton at PVM, an oil broker pared to join any “multilateral consulta- over the past few sessions as investors December, the ECB could follow the BoJ Eurozone government bonds have
record bet against oil at the beginning of in London. “A credible production tions”, though there are few signs Mos- have continued to seek safe assets,” said and try to surprise markets with the made impressive gains this year. Ger-
the year cut their bearish Brent posi- agreement, to be implemented rapidly, cow is yet prepared to join a formal cut. Justin Knight at UBS. force of its easing, said Commerzbank. man 10-year yields have fallen 3bp to
tions by a quarter, according to data will see prices back at $50 a barrel.” Mr del Pino will fly to the Gulf to meet Investors have stepped up purchases “The near-term sequel is that euro 0.33 per cent and Citigroup strategists
from the Intercontinental Exchange. In the US benchmark, West Texas energy officials from Qatar, Saudi Ara- of top-tier government debt this year as money markets may speculate on a expect with “high conviction” that 10-
At the same time money managers Intermediate, hedge funds increased bia and Iran this week. they expect further central bank easing larger ECB depo [deposit rate] cut but year yields could drop to 0.2 per cent.
Tuesday 2 February 2016 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES 23
Global overview
TRADING POST Markets update
Jamie
Chisholm
Disappointing China data weigh S&P 500 index
Change on day 0.46%
T
betting on a weaker renminbi
fle, perhaps, or a skirmish — then 6.3
raders in both the oil and equity markets have China’s ruling Communist party has
been blaming each other for their unsettling made it clear: this is war. People’s Bank of China surprises
start to the year. Last week the party mouthpiece, the with a 1.9 per cent devaluation and
6.4
Yet both are being influenced by much People’s Daily newspaper, used a front- a pledge to allow markets a greater
larger changes in their common environment page editorial to warn hedge fund man- role in setting the exchange rate
— changes that have increased codependency, aggravated ager George Soros off a fight over the
asset class contagion and suffocated, at least for now, renminbi and the Hong Kong dollar in a 6.5
some pretty obvious and potentially rewarding longer- piece titled “Declaring war on China’s The spread between
term differentiations. currency? Ha ha”. the onshore and offshore
PBoC reportedly intervenes
Equities and oil experienced a pretty awful January. The People’s Bank of China squashed renminbi widens as
to close the gap between the 6.6
Notable price declines have occurred in the context of wild speculative bets a fortnight ago when its investors bet on faster
onshore and offshore rates
volatility, including intraday swings. And the correlation heavy intervention produced painful depreciation to come
– just as China goes on its
between the two has been unusually high, with the asset swings — so it perhaps considers that it week-long Golden Week break
classes tending to move together, alternating between has had the last laugh. 6.7
sharply lower and higher. Its target, however, was the offshore Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Quite a few analysts have rushed to attribute causation renminbi rate, whose weakness was
2015 2016
to such high correlation. Because energy names account sending dangerous signals to onshore FT graphic Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream
for a sizeable part of the S&P index, large oil price falls are investors, prompting fears over
deemed to depress this component’s earning potential and increased capital flight. And in the past
worsen sentiment for equities as a whole. week it has softened again. ‘Name me a borrowing costs for the currency soar- summer that first opened a significant the Federal Reserve admits, potentially
For their part, oil traders feel that a sell-off in equities Traders use cat-and-mouse analogies ing to unheard-of levels in a painful gap between the two rates. at its March meeting, that it is unlikely
amplifies worries about global growth, damping energy as often as military ones when discuss- US hedge blow to any investor who was short the Closing the offshore market is not to raise interest rates four times this
consumption forecasts and putting pressure on energy ing run-ins with central banks. And in fund that isn’t currency and therefore forced to cover impossible but would be tricky and year, as it has forecast.
prices. And both worry that the disinflationary impulses the cartoon world of Tom and Jerry, they short the the position. potentially politically fraught. For years In the meantime, traders are hoping
accentuate the risk of a general deflation that would point out, Jerry the mouse does not need But all Jerry-like bets were not van- the offshore market has been used to that the looming lunar new year holiday
encourage consumers to postpone purchases in anticipa- to kill Tom the cat; he just needs to upset renminbi still quished. Last week Bill Ackman told boost overseas use of the Chinese cur- damps activity this week and next,
tion of lower prices in the future. him and live to fight another day. — even if investors in his Pershing Square hedge rency, encouraging international com- when the onshore market has a week-
While there is some validity to these arguments, they The gap between the two rates, which they’re not fund he was still short the renminbi. panies to borrow in it. long holiday and Hong Kong, centre of
are far from compelling as at its peak last month reached about “Name me a US hedge fund that isn’t Most pertinent for renminbi followers offshore trading, closes for three days.
robust explanations for the 2 per cent, is a problem for Beijing. The sure what will short the renminbi still,” says one Asia- could be the G20 central bankers’ meet- The PBoC appears to have been inject-
rather unusual correlations
The bigger larger it gets, the less serious the govern- happen next’ based strategist. “They all have to be — ing, hosted by China, this month. Ana- ing extra liquidity into the market
that have developed between reality promises ment’s pledges to allow market forces to their investors expect it — even if they’re lysts are speculating that because no before the break — more than it usually
oil and equities around the direct the currency look. The gap is also not sure what will happen next.” country wants to see China depreciate does — in an effort to stem any liquidity
world.
further volatility dangerous: offshore weakness is read as Suggestions of what China should, or sharply — or for its actions to cause the drain from capital outflows.
For a start, lower oil prices and unusual a warning by onshore investors, trigger- could, do range from a one-off devalua- sort of volatility suffered in January — a But some investors have warned that
translate into huge windfall ing capital flight if they fear an exchange tion, big enough to get ahead of market joint statement could be used to signal weak-renminbi bets are not safe over
gains for consumers, leaving
correlations rate threat to their assets. expectations, to the closure of the off- international support in an effort to the holidays. The PBoC used thin liquid-
them with more to spend on Briefly the PBoC eradicated the gap shore market. deter investors from fresh bearish ren- ity before October’s long Golden Week
other items. Indeed it is not so long ago that an oil price between the tightly controlled onshore Neither of those is considered the minbi bets. holiday to intervene unexpectedly and
plunge was viewed as unambiguously positive for western rate and the offshore one. Its interven- most likely next step, however. It was There is another possibility: the dollar squeeze offshore weakening bets. Some-
countries — and also for quite a few developing economies. tion, buying renminbi, sent offshore the PBoC’s supposed one-off move last could come to the renminbi’s rescue if times Tom surprises Jerry.
To the extent that more production is taking place in the
US in particular, the macroeconomic impact of the related
losses is still less than the consumption gains.
The questionable causality is amplified by the lack of Capital markets
differentiation. The equity market sell-off has been indis-
criminate, encompassing even airlines and retail names
serving segments of the population that disproportion-
ately benefit from the fall in oil prices, including lower-
Recovery hopes rise
income consumers. Similarly, only gold has been spared
the generalised decline in commodity prices.
going into February
A better explanation of the correlation between oil and
equities is that both are being influenced by three more
general developments. ROGER BLITZ, DAN MCCRUM, improve sentiment towards
First, downward revisions in global growth projections ELAINE MOORE AND GAVIN risk assets.
JACKSON
on account of concerns about uncharacteristic policy mis- Alexander Altmann at Cit-
haps in China and other emerging economies. These have January’s pessimism will igroup said the positive
added to the unsettled demand situation for oil and is plac- give way to a more upbeat impact of cheap oil was still
ing a cloud over corporate earnings — shown last week by February, if a snapshot of feeding through, because
Apple’s revenue miss and lower second-quarter guidance. market opinion is any guide. “the low-income consumer is
Second, the loss of safety nets. The December interest paying down more debt
rate shift by the US Federal Reserve has crystallised an Investors, asset managers rather than spending”.
important reality for equity investors — notwithstanding and strategists asked by the Wall Street’s pessimism
Japan following Europe into negative policy rates, they can FT to give reasons to be was not shared on Main
no longer rely to the same extent on central banks to uni- cheerful unearthed evidence Street, he added. “Markets
formly maintain ultra-low interest rates as a way of for optimism. may be in a funk but con-
encouraging financial risk-taking and pushing more Alberto Gallo at RBS cited sumers in the US and Europe
money into stocks. Meanwhile the oil market has yet to more fiscal stimulus in are becoming more confi-
recover from the shock of seeing Opec reject being the Europe, the potential for US dent on the back of falling
swing producer on the downside, or exiting its historical infrastructure spending and unemployment and rising
role of limiting production to counter a price decline. attractive valuations in US incomes.”
Third, there are very few sizeable balance sheets willing credit markets and Euro- US wage growth was “still
to step into markets, even when segments have visibly pean equities. fine”, said Mr Altmann.
overshot. The countercyclical risk appetite of the broker- “Other markets are priced Even if the US economy
dealer community has been muted by both regulatory and for a strong recovery, like US was weakening, said Mr Rid-
market pressures. equities or emerging market dell, that might be no bad
Rather than blame each other, both oil and equity trad- corporate debt,” he said. thing. “If you believe that a
ers need to realise that they are part of a much bigger real- Optimism can be found in lot of the problems in finan-
ity. It is one that promises continued volatility, coupled the places where pessimism cial markets have been
with excessive contagion, unusual correlations and some has run deep. China worries, driven by a strong US dollar
yet to be exploited opportunities for longer-term returns. plunging oil prices and Fed- and, linked to this, a Fed that
eral Reserve monetary tight- is in tightening mode, then
Mohamed El-Erian is chief economic adviser to Allianz, chair of ening have gripped senti- the surprise weakening in US
President Obama’s Global Development Council, and author ment. “The market seems to data since mid-November
of the book ‘The Only Game in Town’ be pricing almost the sum of should make you more posi-
all these fears,” said David tive on markets,” he said.
Riley at BlueBay, the asset Europe continues to
manager. “[This] is arguably recover, according to Zoso
overdone.” Davies at Barclays. “Lending
Mike Riddell at Allianz conditions remain easy and
More comment and data on ft.com said Chinese PMI data sug- we are seeing signs of domes-
gested “no imminent col- tic credit demand driven by
lapse”. Kevin Daly at Aber- investment plans,” he said.
Y Fast FT Our global economies, headed deen Asset Management and Longer-term pick-me-ups
team gives you market- by Brazil, Russia, India Alan Wilde of Baring Asset included Brazil — “approach-
moving news and views, and China. Management saw stability in ing an inflection point”, said
24 hours a day, five days ft.com/beyondbrics renminbi movements. Mr Riley — and China. Every-
a week. ft.com/fastft “Concerns will persist one knew China needed to
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comment from more affecting companies and ated, according to Mr Wilde. growth would come from. “It
than 40 emerging markets. ft.com/lexvideo He said the oil price was con- might be right to be optimis-
solidating and would tic, but perhaps not yet.”