Stats: Modeling the World - Bock, Velleman, & DeVeaer Chapter 19: Confidence Intervals for Proportions Key Vocabulary: = standard error + margin of error + confidence level * cftical value * confidence interval * _one-proportion z-interval Calculator Skills: PropZint L : 1. Describe the sampling distribution model of p . What assumptions must you make for this description to be reasonable? s i ; Mep and oF / fe for the Soomplire ous tr bute model OFF. Inovdler to use Morvmad? we muse fave: Rssumptions: W (ndepandine Conditions: 6) Lourgy Ehougk CY) Randlemne ss 6 “f 107 Longe es 2. What is the standard error of 2 When would you use standard error in pide of standard § © . deviation? Conchibes We Stimete the sttndarol dawiatiia of & Samp CSCbULLWn, We AK oe Se E eM ror For Sampe Proportion 6, SECP = VF. 3. Explain the meaning of the following statement: “We are 95% confident that between 42.1% and 61.7% of sea fans are infected.” This S us ler bese Juess of Whure the Parameter ¢, and how Coviaen we ave thoy wks within that vange. 4, What is meant by a confidence interval? z what A CL Confidence intervae for, ies parame iS Qn interuad pf yalues us 26 the fit in. estioate soynegia of Crvec, found Fram dota Sb tha Cy of all a at is eneral for interval for | wrt =i I? avis tHe general form ofa Gonfidence Srhenewcronin er re amy, apls (tm CL fur the wie value oF @ POP) Leith ue REA: | pt 2 Sep lrrtoyveds (¢stimate +m p ¢) a thot Caplere a B-Score From the Mormal maclo tre covvesponcling (0 & Certain Z Peres i —‘Stats: Modeling the World - Bock, Velleman, & DeVeauor 6. Explain how to calculate margin of error. @ {ti ot - a pe. eran. ee 2 Ves Sine ne ae "Confidence interval? i SF he Confidence Level inorta Ses we the mar ol evror increases AS wee), (The con€i dente interval increases) 8. By how many times must the sample size 7 increase in order to cut the margin of error in half? 4 fmes as large 9. yee is i best to have high confidence and a small margin of error’? ieee ee means Ouy method almaost § corvece Ahsurers. A Small margen ee aad, dbs the thot saat howe pinned down the what repels oe, tor to0nk conf wie an Draw a sketch. ° Gael Uo 11, What is the critical value z’ for a 95% confidence interval? Draw a sketch. 957. “1.94, 4 221-96 ate nhc ot Weal 12, What is the critical value 2° for a.99% confideneé interval? Draw a sketch. Chapter 19: Confidence Intervals for Proportions‘Stats: Modeling the World - Bock, Velleman, & DeVeaucs 13, What assumptions and conditions must you consider before creating a confidence interval for a proportion? G6 Inslep enclence Assumphon @ Randomeeation Condition @ 107 Conditeen @ Sample Site Assumption © sucess [Failure Condition 14, What effect does increasing your sample size have on the margin of error? What effect does it have on the confidence level? What effect does it have on the confidence interval? AS n jacreages, the oF erro gees smaller. It mages the so alr val Smaller /mort preeise, 15. The formula used to determine the sample size n that will yield a confidence interval for a population proportion with a specified margin of error mis m=2* |. solve for n Chapter 19: Confidence Intervals for Proportions