Data & Analytics

9 April 2020

SERVICES

HUMAN

OF
TMENT MELAN SEC
19Response
COVID - 19 Response Analytics Task Force

Only
 Models
from
National ventilator needs over time 3 / 31/ 2020

NationalVentilator Need Over Time Here, ventilator needs are summed

across states.
)

Thousand
400

This is a worst-case scenario all

states were to peak simultaneously and
(

ventilators were not shared across states

Ne de
Ventilaors
“ Steady State assumes school closures
until summer , 25 % ofpeople telework ,
and there is some social distancing

The Steady State + 30 Day shelter- in

place scenario has a greater rebound
100 200 300
peak after the mitigation is relaxed
Day
(assuming further shelter- in -place policies
Unmitigated Steady State Steady State + 30 -Day Shelter in Place are not implemented to reduce future
peaks) than steady state

SERVICES

HUMAN
COVID - 19 Response Data & Analytics Task Force 2
OF
ENT MELAN SEC
Only
 Overall Potential Scenario Outcomes

Require Deaths
Require
Mitigation Parameter Infections Cases Hospitalizat Deaths
ICU Among 65 +
ion

Unmitigated
Unmitigated
Guess"
195M 125M
.
5 . 3M 965K 300K 255K

30-day shelter-in-place
followed by steady " Best
160M 105M 4 . 2M 740K 200K 170K
state mitigation Guess
measures

SERVICES

HUMAN
COVID - 19 Response Analytics Task Force 3
MELAN SEC
Only