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FinQuiz - Curriculum Note, Study Session 10, Reading 25
FinQuiz - Curriculum Note, Study Session 10, Reading 25
FinQuiz Notes 2 0 2 0
1. INTRODUCTION
Security analysis involves ranking relative attractiveness may prove to be inaccurate or affected by unknown
of securities while portfolio construction involves events.
selecting the securities for investments and determine
the percentage of allocation to each one. Managers Predictions on return and risk are common to most
need to consider that their insights regarding returns/risks active investment styles.
= ∆
βbk = the sensitivity of the benchmark to each rewarded
factor
Fk = the return of each rewarded factor
2.1 Fundamentals of Portfolio Construction Rewarded factors include market, size, value and
momentum. Most individual securities have a beta > or <
Rewarded factors: Investment risks (such as market or 1 to the market factor and non-zero exposure to other
liquidity risks) for which the investors expect to be factors.
compensated by a long-term return premium.
Managers can add value by over and above the
Sources of active return is the same regardless of market portfolio by choosing exposures to rewarded risks
whether the manager follows a which differ from those of the market.
fundamental/discretionary approach,
quantitative/systematic approach, a bottom-up or top- Most managers use narrower market proxies as a
down approach, or a style such as value or growth at benchmark. Indices which do not include all publicly
reasonable price. Proportion of returns sourced from traded securities have a market beta which differs from
exposure to rewarded factors, alpha and luck with vary 1. Managers willing to create an exposure to rewarded
among managers and portfolio management risk, must establish the exposure relative to his or her
approaches. benchmark to achieve an expected excess return.
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Reading 25 Active Equity Investing: Portfolio Construction FinQuiz.com
Top-down approach seeks to understand overall geo- 3.1.3) A Summary of the Different Approaches
political, economic, financial, social, and public policy
environment and project how the expected • Exposure to rewarded factors is achieved
environment will affect (in the order illustrated below): using a bottom-up or top-down approach
• Top-down managers emphasize macro
factors while bottom-up managers
emphasize security-specific factors
Countries
Asset
Sectors Securtities • Top-down managers following a
classes
discretionary approach are more likely to
implement factor timing
• Systematic managers are unlikely to run
concentrated portfolio while discretionary
Bottom-up approach: Develops an understanding of the managers can have concentrated or
environment by evaluating the risk and return of diversified portfolios, depending on their
individual securities. The aggregate of risk & return strategy and portfolio management style.
expectations implies expectations for overall economic • Systematic top-down managers principally
and market environment. emphasize macro factors, factor timing and
have diversified portfolios. Few managers
Top-Down Approach Bottom-Up Approach belong to this category.
Rely on returns from Rely on returns from factors
factors o Emphasize security-
o Emphasize specific factors
macro factors
Investment process Embrace styles as Value,
emphasizes on Growth at Reasonable
factoring timing- Price, Momentum and
managers Quality.
opportunistically shift o Strategies are built
the portfolio to capture around
rewarded and documented
unrewarded factors rewarded factors
o May embrace
same security
characteristics
sought by
bottom-up
managers
o May raise cash
opportunistically
when overall
view of the
market is
unfavorable
Managers likely to run
portfolios
concentrated with
macro factors
Runs diversified or Runs diversified or
Reading 25 Active Equity Investing: Portfolio Construction FinQuiz.com
Constraints may be specified relative to the benchmark • Identify securities with desired characteristics
or without regard to it. and weigh them relative to their scoring on
Objectives and constraints of systematic managers are these characteristics
explicitly specified while those of discretionary managers • Identify securities with desired characteristics
are less explicitly specified. and weigh them per their ranking or risk on
these characteristics
Objectives and constraints can be stated in absolute
terms or relative to a benchmark. A formal optimization process allocates risk more
efficiently compared to alternative methodologies. The
Some optimization approaches specify their objectives in constraints and objective function will be reflective of a
terms of risk metrics such as portfolio volatility, downside manager’s philosophy and style. For example,
risk, maximum diversification and drawdowns. These
approaches do not integrate an explicit expected return • Stock pickers will have fewer constraints on
component but implicitly create an exposure to risk security weights compared to multi factor
factors. managers seeking to minimize idiosyncratic
risks
Note: Any objective function which focuses on • A sector rotation manager will have more
minimizing/managing risk will select low-beta or value permissive constraints with respect to sector
securities. concentration compared to value
Objective functions which creates an exposure to managers.
rewarded factors:
1 1 1
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3 3 3
Practice: Example 3 & 4, CFA
Curriculum, Volume 4, Reading 25.
• relative risk measure – measures with wide )*%#$ ,%-.%# % /"- "'0 !
Note: Assets in a portfolio can represent sectors, where RCij = the covariance of relative returns between
countries, or pools of assets representing risk factors asset i and j
(Value versus Growth, Small versus Large)
Note:
Example: An asset comprises three assets – A, B and C.
The contribution of asset A to total portfolio variance is • Depending on the composition of the
determined as follows: benchmark, a lower risk asset could increase
Weight of Asset A × Weight of Asset A × Covariance of active risk while a higher risk asset might
Asset A with Asset A reduce it.
+ • When allocating among countries, sectors,
Weight of Asset A × Weight of Asset B × Covariance of securities, and other factors the following
Asset B with Asset A principles hold:
+ o Introducing a low volatility asset to a
Weight of Asset A × Weight of Asset C × Covariance of benchmark within a portfolio
Asset C with Asset A benchmarked against a high
= Asset A’s contribution to total portfolio variance volatility index will increase active
risk.
o Introducing a high volatility asset
may reduce active risk if the asset
A manager should aim to minimize risks attributed to has a high covariance with the
sources which are not related to his perceived skills. benchmark.
Therefore, absolute portfolio variance comprises: 1)
variance attributed to factor exposures (and related to
manager’s skills) and 2) variance unexplained and is 4.2 Determining the Appropriate Level of Risk
expressed as:
Examples of risk targets for different mandates:
absolute risk of 10% Scenario 3: Leverage and its implications for risk:
• Long-only equity manager targets an active
risk of < 2% (a closet indexer) There is a level of leverage beyond which volatility
• Long-only equity manager targets an active reduces expected compounded returns.
risk of 6-10% (benchmark agnostic)
• Benchmark-agnostic manager targets an Expected geometric return = expected arithmetic return
absolute risk equal to 85% of index risk when there is no leverage:
Rg = Ra – σ2/2
The appropriate level of absolute or relative risk is a
function of manager’s:
where:
Rg = expected compounded/geometric asset return
• investment style and Ra = expected arithmetic/periodic return
• his/her conviction in the ability to add value. σ = expected volatility
Three scenarios which give insight into practical risk limits: The inclusion of the cost of funding will decrease active
returns and result in a faster decline of the Sharpe ratio.
Scenario 1: Implementation constraints: In this case, volatility will remain proportional to the cost
of funding.
These constraints degrade a portfolio’s information ratio
if active risk increases beyond a certain level. If realized volatility is greater than expected, the
combined impact of volatility and leverage on
Example: compounded return would be greater.
Consider two managers with the same information ratio Note: The Sharpe and information ratios do not always
but different levels of active risk. Manager can tolerate decrease following a rise in active risk, absolute risk or
higher risk and so increases active risk to match that of leverage. A reasonable increase in the latter three
Manager B. measures may lead to an increase in expected
compounded return.
• In the absence of constraints and costs,
manager can increase risk by scaling up 4.3 Allocating the Risk Budget
active weights which proportionally
increases active returns. Information ratio is
A manager can determine the contribution of each
unchanged
factor to the portfolio’s variance or active variance by
• In the presence of constraints and costs,
understanding position sizing and covariance.
leveraging the active risk will not
proportionally increase returns.
The decomposition of the sources of realized risk will help
o If short-selling is prohibited, he may
determine whether the risk budget has been used
be unable to increase underweights
effectively.
o If leverage is prohibited, he may be
unable to increase overweights
A fund’s strategy and style will dictate much of the
o If some securities have poor liquidity,
structure of its risk budget.
leveraging these position may be
imprudent and impact trading costs.
When evaluating an investment manager, the asset
o If policy restricts maximum position
owner needs to understand the drivers of active risk that
sizes, manager may not be able to
can lead to differences in realized returns over time.
scale up active risk
FinQuiz Notes 2 0 2 0
5. Additional Risk Measures Used in Portfolio Construction and Monitoring
Risk heuristics can be used to limit unknown or In discretionary strategies: used as part of a feedback
unexpected risks, a major managerial concern such as: mechanism to determine whether portfolio will remain
within predefined risk tolerance limits following the
• A single position is limited to the lesser of: proposed change
o Five times the weight of the security
in the benchmark or All risk measures (formal or heuristic) can be expressed in
o 2% absolute or relative terms. In many cases, a portfolio
• The portfolio must have a weighted average imposes both formal and heuristic portfolio constraints.
capitalization < 75% of the index
• The portfolio may not size positions such that 5.3 The Risks of Being Wrong
it exceeds two times the average daily
trading volume of the past three months.
The consequences of being wrong about risk
• The portfolio’s carbon footprint must be
expectations is more severe when a strategy is
restricted.
leveraged.
The above constraints can limit active manager’s ability Example: A hedge fund owned a two times levered
to exploit their insights into expected returns but may portfolio of highly rated mortgage-related securities. The
also safeguard against overconfidence. prices of these securities declined sharply following
concerns related to the economy and market liquidity
Managers who manage portfolio risk using a bottom-up even though the securities were not materially exposed
process rely on heuristic characteristics to express their to subprime mortgages. The presence of leverage and
risk objectives. The portfolio construction process ensures price declines forced managers to sell their positions
that this heuristic risk is achieved. before price recovery.
Statistical risk measures used in portfolio construction these measures. This is because it may be difficult to
depend on management style. measure and forecast such risk measures as volatility and
value at risk. Such risk measures are usually expressed as
Example: Long/short managers with a neutral market a soft target by managers.
exposure and exposure to other risk factors target
volatility within a pre-defined range. If restrictions imposed by an active manager are too
tightly anchored to the benchmark index, the resulting
For portfolios comprising limited number of securities, portfolio may too closely resemble benchmark
formal risk measures will be less appropriate because performance.
estimation errors in parameters will be greater.
Practice: Example 6, CFA
Measures of portfolio risk must be relevant to the nature
Curriculum, Volume 4, Reading 25.
and objective of the portfolio mandate.
Implicit Costs – Market Impact and the 1. breaking a large trade into smaller pieces or
6.1 Relevance of Position Size, Assets under 2. trading in unlit venues such as dark pools
Management, and Turnover and crossing networks in which traders can
trade anonymously with each other.
The price movement (or market impact) resulting from a
security sale/purchase can erode alpha. A manager’s
Based on studies, small-cap have had higher effective
investment approach and style will influence the extent
trading costs than large-cap stocks and illiquidity can be
to which he/she is exposed to market impact costs.
very cyclical, increasing prior to the beginning of a
recession and decreasing towards the end of the
Key points on market impact costs:
recession.
A well-constructed portfolio should deliver results to factor exposures, the product with the
consistent with an investor’s risk and return expectations. lower absolute and active risk is preferred
A well-constructed portfolio possesses: (assuming similar costs).
• If two products have similar absolute and
• a clear investment philosophy and a active risks and costs, and managers have
consistent investment process, similar alpha skills, the product having a
• risk and structural characteristics as promised higher active share is preferred because it
to investors, leverages the manager’s alpha skills and
• a risk-efficient delivery methodology, and increases expected return.
• reasonably low operating costs given the
strategy.
The risk-efficiency of a portfolio should be judged in the
Investors and managers may seek different context of the investor’s total portfolio. The diversification
characteristics in a well-structured portfolio. At a effect of each manager’s portfolio on the total investor’s
minimum, well-structured portfolios should deliver portfolio should be considered when determining the
promised characteristics in a cost- and risk-efficient way. well-structured portfolio.
Long/Short, long extension and market neutral strategies o long and short positions may be
can be used to exploit both positive and negative related or unrelated
insights on stock performance.
Market-neutral strategies:
Long/short strategies:
A. Long-term risk premiums In long-only investing, buying and selling stocks are
straight-forward, intuitive transactions.
An investor’s motivation to be long-only is based on the
belief that there is a positive long-run premium earned Short-selling transactions are more complex. Investors
from bearing market risk. need to find shares to borrow – some stocks are difficult
Alternatively, investors may believe that risk premiums to borrow while others are hard to locate and cost of
may be earned from other risk sources such as Size, borrowing these shares may be high. Collateral should
Value or Momentum and investors must own securities also be provided by short-sellers.
with these risk exposures, over time, to capture return
premiums. Many countries mandate regulated investment entities
to employ a custodian for all transactions. The
Note: Cyclicality of size, value, and momentum factors involvement of a custodian will require forming
means that the expected positive risk premium over the complicate three party agreements between the fund,
long-term may not offset potential risk of market declines prime broker and custodian to govern buying and selling
or other reversals. Investors may resort to short-selling of securities and for collateral management.
some securities
When a custodian is not used, investors are exposed to
B. Capability and scalability counterparty risk and collateral is held in a general
operating account of prime broker. If the prime broker
Long-only investing, particularly focused on large-cap goes bankrupt, the collateral can vanish. Operational
stocks, offers greater investment capacity compared to risk is greater with long/short investing.
other approaches.
F. Management costs
Large institutional investors such as pensions funds face
no effective capacity constraints when relying on long- Long-only investing is less expensive in terms of
only, large-cap investing. management fees and from an operational perspective.
Long-short investing is many time more expensive. Types
Long-only strategies focusing on illiquid and smaller of long/short products include active extension (charge
stocks or which employs a strategy that involves high management fees ranging from 0.5% to 1.5%), market
portfolio turnover, face capacity constraints. neutral and directional strategies (charge hedge fund
fixed fees of 1%-2% and performance fees of 20%.
The capacity of short-selling strategies is limited by the
securities available for borrowing. G. Personal ideology
C. Limited legal liability Some investors prefer long-only investing for ideological
reasons and believe that short-selling strategies which
Common stocks are limited liability financial instruments – directly gain from the loss of others are morally wrong.
the floor is equal to zero and the maximum amount of
loss for an investor = investment amount. Long-only Other investors believe short-selling requires greater
investing establishes a floor on maximum loss. expertise which they do not have while others argue that
short-selling requires significant leverage which may be
Naked short-selling: Involves the short-selling of tradeable too risky for their risk appetite.
securities without borrowing it first or ensuring it can be
borrowed. Short-sellers have an unlimited loss exposure.
8.2 Long/Short Portfolio Construction
As stock price increases, investors lose money and there
is no limit on potential price increase. This is a high risk
strategy. Investors may prefer long/short strategies because:
Long/short strategies are less risky than long- or short-only • conviction of negative views can be more
strategies. strongly expressed when short-selling is
permitted
D. Regulatory • short-selling can help reduce exposures to
sectors, regions, general market movements
Some countries ban short-selling while other temporarily and allows investors to focus on their unique
ban or have restricted short-selling. skill set
• full extraction of benefit of risk factors
Many countries that allow short-selling prohibit or restrict requires a long/short approach
naked short-selling.
Implementation of long/short strategies varies with
E. Transactional Complexity intended purpose:
Reading 25 Active Equity Investing: Portfolio Construction FinQuiz.com
Absolute exposure = absolute value of longs – absolute Market-neutral strategies are used by investors who want
value of shorts to remove effects of general market movements and
Net exposure = Longs + absolute value of shorts focus on their return-forecasting skills. This strategy can
be risky if stocks prices rise as investors lose out on the
Equal risk premium products, which seek to extract risk opportunity. However, such strategies bring
premiums from rewarded factors across asset classes, diversification to an overall portfolio and help to partially
may use long/short strategies. Managers using this offset losses when prices decline.
approach employ long and short positions and leverage
(or deleveraging) to arrive at the most efficient Market-neutral portfolio construction aims to match and
combination of rewarded factors. offset systematic risks of long positions with those of short
positions. Targeted beta of the portfolio should be zero
Long/short managers define their exposure as part of the when beta is used as a systematic risk measure.
portfolio construction process. All strategies must
establish parameters regarding desired levels of gross A market-neutral strategy is expected to generate a
and net exposures. positive information despite eliminating a portfolio’s
market exposure. seeks to eliminate risk. The objective of
8.3 Long Extension Portfolio Construction the strategy is to neutralize risk which the manager has
no comparative advantage in forecasting to focus on
his/her specific skills.
Long extension strategies represent a hybrid of long-only
and long/short strategies. They are also often called
Characteristics of market-neutral strategies:
enhanced active equity strategies.
Risks of short-selling: