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The Probabilities of

Four Coin Tosses


Table of Odds
When you flip a coin, there are
2 outcomes - Heads or Tails We can now plot
Category Result Individual Group

(’The Side’ does not count) the table of probabilities: All Heads HHHH 0.0625 0.0625

Therefore the odds for either HHHT 0.0625


heads or tails is 0.5 or a half. Three Heads HHTH 0.0625 0.250
One Tail HTHH 0.0625
THHH 0.0625

HHTT 0.0625
HTHT 0.0625
Two Heads THHT 0.0625 0.375
Two Tails THTH 0.0625
Table of Outcomes Alternatively, a tree diagram
HTTH 0.0625
TTHH 0.0625
All Heads HHHH
Heads HTTT 0.0625
HHHT D HHHH One Heads THTT 0.0625
Tails C 0.250
Three Heads HHTH
One Tail HTHH
Since we are HHHT
Three Tails TTHT 0.0625
TTTH
flipping 4 coins HHTH
0.0625
THHH B HHTT
HHTT
there are 16 total HTHH
All Tails TTTT 0.0625 0.0625

HTHT outcomes as: HTHT


Two Heads THHT

Conclusion
HTTH
Two Tails A
THTH
HTTH
2 HTTT

1
= 1 THHH
TTHH
2 16 THHT The most probable outcome is Two heads, Two tails,
HTTT THTH and the least probable outcode is All Tails or All Heads.
One Heads THTT THTT This is due to the evidence in the table of probabilities
Three Tails TTHT TTHH as there are more possible outcomes where there are
TTTH TTHT two heads and two tails. On the other hand there is
All Tails TTTT
TTTH only one solution for both all heads and all tails.
TTTT

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