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Basics: Stock Investment
Basics: Stock Investment
Basics: Stock Investment
Investment
Basics
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for Beginners
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money to grow, there
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in stocks.
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Stock
Investment
Basics
Stock
Investment
Basics
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f you want your money to grow,
there are hardly any better
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options than investing in stocks.
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properly selected and discarded, can
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Stock
Investment
Basics
What are
stocks and
shares?
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our share of Reliance, Infosys or
any other company represents
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a share of your ownership in the
company. You own a slice of every
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rupee of profit that the company
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Investment
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There are two powerful reasons why you should invest in stocks
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and they will work for you in the future, especially in a fast-growing
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country like India.
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Demographic Advantage: Tax Advantage
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G iven that most savers are still young
and India is a growing economy, at S hort-term capital gains on stocks
attract only a 10% tax and long-
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least 65% of your money should be in term gains attract zero tax. It is quite
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in cash and gold. Select companies will passively earning money on money by
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grow consistently over the long term with holding for a year attracts no tax while
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the overall growth in economy. Create a business enterprises that create value
.
diversified basket of such stocks from in the first place have to suffer a million
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Investment
Basics
Kinds of stocks
Companies can be classified by their market value, which is their
number of shares multiplied by market price. As defined by their
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size, Moneylife divides stocks as mega, large, mid, small and micro
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Stocks of those companies whose market capitalization is higher than Rs10,000 crore
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are classified as mega-cap stocks. These would include stocks of most well-known
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companies like Hindustan Unilever, Reliance Industries, Infosys etc. All companies in
.
the two main market indices, Sensex of BSE and Nifty of NSE have mega-cap stocks.
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Investment
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high prices.
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Moneylife micro-cap stocks:
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Stocks of companies whose market capitalization is below Rs100 crore are classified as
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micr-cap stocks by Moneylife.
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Others such as business newspapers, exchanges and mutual funds may follow a
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different classification.
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Value stocks:
Stocks of companies that have excellent assets and potential for growth but may be
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down in the dumps temporarily are called value stocks. Their prices would be lower
than what seems fair. There is a powerful investment approach that only invests in value
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How to measure
corporate
performance
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One of the first tenets of long-term investing is to find a way to value
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stocks based on the corporate performance. How do you measure
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corporate performance? To invest in stocks or stay away from them,
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you have to understand the following set of basic financial numbers
that signify a company’s health and its earnings growth:
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Operating Profit:
This measures the profitability of the core business operation and is expressed as sales
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Also called net profit, PAT captures absolute profit, but should not be studied
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EPS is expressed as net profit (profit after tax) divided by the number of shares. A
company with Rs 50 crore in earnings and a capital of 5 crore shares would have an
EPS of Rs 10. A continuously rising EPS is one of the most reliable predictors of future
price rise.
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Cash Flow:
Reported PAT and EPS can be traps since PAT is an accounting number arrived at after
lots of adjustments. A company can show healthy PAT but may have a poor or negative
cash flow. A negative cash flow also indicates that there is a fundamental problem with
the company’s operations: either the profitability is too low or money is stuck in high
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inventories and receivables.
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Profit Margins:
While profits are important, equally important is profitability – expressed as a
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percentage on sales. Expressed this way, margins allow us to compare companies
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across sectors and within a sector indicating how profitable the operations are.
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Capital employed is the total of all equity and preference capital, reserves and all debt.
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RoCE measures how the entire money invested in business is doing. RoCE is best
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compared to the cost of borrowing. If the interest on fixed deposits is 12% whereas
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a company is earning about 14% as RoCE, clearly it is not a great business for
shareholders.
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Dividends:
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A key measure is regular dividends to shareholders that give them confidence that the
company is in sound financial health. When dividends are increased, the message is
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that the company is prospering. When dividends are cut, investors receive the opposite
message and conclude that the company’s future prospects have dimmed.
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T he best stocks are those that have excellent financial performance and are not
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valued highly. If the price is in an upward trend, it helps. This would combine value
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with price action – an essential combination to win in the game of stock picking. The
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three most important measures of performance are sales growth, growth in net profit or
Profit After Tax (PAT) and return on equity (RoE). PAT indicates the absolute profitability
of operations. EPS indicates the profit per share and RoE indicates overall profitability
on owners’ (shareholders’) funds invested. Once you have decided to identify good
stocks based on these parameters, you will have to estimate whether they are
overvalued or not. You must at all times avoid buying stocks with poor financials.
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How to
invest in
stocks
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Primary market
T ag
he shares of a company are made _M
available to the investing public for
the first time through what is called an
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Secondary markets
Initial Public Offering. This is the first time
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a company issues stock. This segment fter an IPO is over, shares are
of the market is called primary market. traded or bought and sold in stock
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You can buy these stocks from the stock exchanges among investors in what is
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to sell. There are several approaches
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to valuation. All of them are partially
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true. You can use them only when you
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know the context in which they are
useful as also their limitations. Shares
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have an intrinsic value and a market
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divergence between the two. Either the market value is too high or
too low. And therein lies the opportunity. The intrinsic value is the
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Fundamental analysis:
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Theoretically, when you buy a share, you are buying a proportional share in a business.
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So, to figure out how much the stock is worth, you should determine how much the
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business is worth. To do this you have to make a detailed analysis of the financial
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condition of the company. This is known as “fundamental” analysis. Some believe that
this is the only rational approach to valuing stocks.
Quantitative approach:
There is another approach to investing. It is using computers and mathematics to
detect patterns, capture the pattern in models/formula and teach computers to provide
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Investment
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buys and sells based on these models. This is the quantitative approach to investing.
Applying quantitative tools is also called data mining. Quants or data miners develop
a hypothesis defining a relationship among various past data (prices, seasons/months,
streaks of winning or losing days etc.), then look for how statistically significant that
relationship is. This includes testing the relationship within data in different time periods,
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market environments, etc., in order to test the robustness of theory. Finally, they would
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take investment/trading positions by presuming that those past relationships would
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continue to hold in future. It is as close finance can come to a scientific approach.
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Technical analysis:
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Technical analysis is the study of market action, using price charts, to forecast future
price direction. The central belief in technical analysis is that all factors that influence
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Risks
involved
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in stock
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investment
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W ag
hile blue-chip stocks do rise steadily over time, stocks are market-linked
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products and so there returns are not guaranteed. Bonds return your money
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at the end of the tenure plus interest. Stocks may go up and down and while all good
stocks pay dividends, it is not mandatory. Companies can go bankrupt and your
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investment can disappear. How can you emerge as a successful investor? Consider the
following rules
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Count-down to
successful stock picking
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10 Ignore Extremes: Technical analysis is the study of market action,
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using price charts, to forecast future price direction. The central belief
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in technical analysis is that all factors that influence market prices (fundamentals,
political events, natural disasters, and psychological factors) are quickly discounted
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by the market and prices reveal everything. Investors who focus on chart readings call
themselves technical analysts or chartists.
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Avoid Big Losses: If a stock falls 90%, it has to rise by 900% to get
you back to where you were and that will not happen. So you can never allow
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yourself a catastrophic loss. Put predetermined stop losses to avoid being wiped out.
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Do whatever it takes to keep your downside limited and your upside unlimited.
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success. For instance, the simple idea of buying blue-chips on large declines
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works fine.
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03
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Learning from Experience: Deep experience is an essential
ingredient. Unless you are born with exceptional personality traits, losses
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will be a major part of life. It is even alright for traders to have a majority of losing
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trades, provided the losses are small and the winners are big. Winners learn from their
experience of losses and take responsibility for it..
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02
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Until then start in a small way, especially if you feel very confident. Prudent investing
rests on keeping up with the flow of basic information. Smart investors seek intelligent
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and consistent opinions and track some key investment parameters to ensure that
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their investments are on track. They avidly read market history which helps clear our
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minds about a lot of contemporary issues and trends. Besides, crunching numbers are
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an important part of the stock picking process and successful investors do their own
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number-crunching.
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16 Timeless
Tips for
profitable
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stock
in
az
investment
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Here is some timeless advice on stock investing
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01 An attempt at
02 If stocks don’t
03 Buy and hold does
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money leads to losses historical standards, stand Never average down a losing
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far higher than the initial aside or invest in very small investment unless it is part of a
investment. amounts. well-thought out method.
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04
a hot tip.
The best tip: there
is no such thing as 05 Don’t fall in love
with your stock; it
will never fall in love with you.
06 Valuations don’t
matter in the short
run and “short run” can last
It will fall with the market. for months and even beyond a
year.
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10 11 12
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Develop a method, Lots of humility Stocks fall more
stick to it and have helps. A rising tide than you think
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patience. raises all ships and so you may
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have been just lucky. possibly imagine.
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13 14 15
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industries and new ventures markets start in bad times. offer good values.
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16
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Don’t assume
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6 Stupidest Things
People Say about stock
investments
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in
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How much lower can it go?
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After the bust of 2000, the four hottest stocks met with the following fate. Pentamedia
fell from Rs 2109 to Rs 4, DSQ Software fell from Rs 2820 to Rs 6. DSQ Software has
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been now delisted from the exchanges and the promotor of the company is absconding.
Himachal Futuristic fell from Rs 2552 to Rs 7 and SSI with which the famous US stock
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exchange Nasdaq even had a joint venture, fell from Rs 7200 to Rs 40.
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As the saying goes, if you want to make 10 times your money, you can’t sell before the
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stock goes up 10 times. But nearly all investors sell too early thinking how high can it
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possibly go. The only way you make big money in stocks is letting them go higher - by
.
not taking a profit early. As another saying goes, let your profits ride...
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You can lose the entire Rs 20, a 100%. loss Whether a stock is Rs 5 or Rs 50 if it falls to
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In a bear market everything goes down. the best of stocks can lose up 60% of their
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value as happened with Wipro between 2000 and 2003. Long term is often short term
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goes sour and belief in the long term is simply a justification for people to not pay close
attention to your investments.
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member, what are you waiting for?
in
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Upgrade
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