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a dv e rt i s e m e n t
* * * * * WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 15, 2017 ~ VOL. CCLXIX NO. 37 WSJ.com HHHH $3.00
DJIA 20504.41 À 92.25 0.5% NASDAQ 5782.57 À 0.3% STOXX 600 370.20 À 0.02% 10-YR. TREAS. g 10/32 , yield 2.470% OIL $53.20 À $0.27 GOLD $1,223.90 g $0.50 EURO $1.0579 YEN 114.26
WASHINGTON—Federal
Flynn and adds to the political
pressure on the White House,
came after the president’s
spokesman Sean Spicer, at a
Fallout for Trump
Gerald F. Seib: White
took weeks for Mr. Trump to
push him out.
Mr. Spicer said the presi-
dent was informed about the
Marc Lotter. Mr. Lotter didn’t
explain the lag in the vice
president’s knowledge.
It is unclear what Mr. Flynn
House at crossroads....... A4
Business & Finance agents questioned then-Na- Jan. 23 news briefing, said Mr. Ex-SEAL is front-runner for contents of Mr. Flynn’s conver- told the FBI agents, or
tional Security Adviser Mike Flynn didn't discuss U.S. sanc- national security post..... A4 sations with the Russian am- whether his account during
Flynn in January, shortly after tions with Sergey Kislyak, Rus- Flynn is first casualty of bassador in late January, and the interview was contradicted
he unraveling of two the White House denied he sia’s ambassador to the U.S. White House officials spent a by intelligence intercepts. But
T health-insurance merg-
ers worth a combined $82
had talked about sanctions
with a Russian official, accord-
At that point, U.S. intelli-
gence officials had already in-
turmoil..................................... A5
“few weeks” looking into the
matter.
the very act of undergoing an
interview is potentially signifi-
billion all but quashes a ing to people familiar with the tercepted conversations be- Mr. Flynn’s departure gen- Vice President Mike Pence, cant for Mr. Flynn because it
deal boom that would have matter. tween the two men in which erated more questions Tues- who had vouched publicly for is a crime to lie to the FBI;
reshaped the industry. A1 The Federal Bureau of In- they discussed the sanctions, day about what Mr. Trump, a Mr. Flynn, didn’t learn until charges have been filed
vestigation interview, which according to people familiar Republican, knew about Mr. Feb. 9 about the discussion of against senior officials in pre-
Yellen signaled that the
raises the legal stakes for Mr. with the matter. Flynn’s activities and why it sanctions, said his spokesman, Please see PROBE page A4
Fed could consider a rate
rise in March if the economy
continues to strengthen. A2
U.S. Makes Show of Force in Europe as NATO Debates Budget
Goldman, J.P. Morgan
and BofA hit fresh trading
milestones amid a boom in
Antitrust
shares of U.S. banks. A1
Investors scooped up
Rulings
stocks, sending indexes to
new highs. The Dow rose
92.25 to 20504.41. B15, B16 Put Chill
Trian has built a $3 bil-
lion-plus stake in P&G, add-
ing urgency to the consumer
On Health
giant’s turnaround efforts. A1
GM is weighing a sale of
its Opel unit to France’s Peu-
Mergers
geot, signaling a retreat from
BY ANNA WILDE MATHEWS
the European market. B1
AND BRENT KENDALL
DANIEL MIHAILESCU/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
U.S. NEWS
Yellen Signals Potential March Rate Move
BY HARRIET TORRY “The tone was certainly “would be unwise,” since it deal of urgency” to raise rates,
consistent with a first-half rate could force the Fed to lift rates Atlanta Fed President Dennis
Federal Reserve Chair- hike, but probably not hawkish more aggressively if inflation Lockhart said Tuesday in
woman Janet Yellen signaled enough to make the March shoots higher, which could risk Huntsville, Ala. “I don’t know
Tuesday that the central bank meeting a likely outcome,” J.P. pushing the economy into re- what the committee will de-
could consider raising short- Morgan Chase economist Mi- cession. cide in March, but I don’t see
term interest rates at its next chael Feroli said in a note to That message was echoed really compelling reasons to
policy meeting in March if the clients. Tuesday by two other Federal move” at that gathering, he
economy continues to Central-bank officials lifted Reserve officials. Dallas Fed told reporters.
strengthen as expected. the federal-funds rate in De- President Robert Kaplan said One uncertainty for the Fed
An increase in the Fed’s cember to a range between in Houston that rate increases is the potential impact of Mr.
HILL ®
sition’s potential impact on
large, multistate employers
that offer health coverage to
their workers.
Both acquisitions came to-
core commercial franchise. The
Humana deal would have
vaulted it to the top position
in the growing Medicare Ad-
vantage business.
fordable Care Act’s exchanges
this year after losses, also said
it would fully withdraw from
the business in 2018. Mr.
Broussard said the insurer was
seeking billions of dollars in
damages from Anthem in-
cludes “the amount of pre-
mium that Cigna shareholders
did not realize as a result of
CORRECTIONS AMPLIFICATIONS
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL the two merger partners, in-
(USPS 664-880) cluding battles over strategy,
(Eastern Edition ISSN 0099-9660)
(Central Edition ISSN 1092-0935) direction and leadership that
(Western Edition ISSN 0193-2241) have become increasingly pub-
Editorial and publication headquarters:
1211 Avenue of the Americas, Netherlands-based com- Singer Katy Perry at the lic over the past several
New York, N.Y. 10036 pany OCI NV is close to com- Grammy Awards on Sunday months.
Published daily except Sundays and general
legal holidays. Periodicals postage paid at New
pleting a nitrogen fertilizer wore an armband with the Analysts have long said liti-
York, N.Y., and other mailing offices. plant in Wever, Iowa, and the word “persist.” A Life & Arts gation between the two ap-
POSTMASTER: Send address changes to The chief executive of the Ameri- article Monday about the peared likely in the event of a
Wall Street Journal, 200 Burnett Rd., Chicopee,
MA 01020. cas for OCI is Ahmed El-Ho- Grammys incorrectly said the negative antitrust ruling. Dur-
All Advertising published in The Wall Street shy. A Commodities article on armband read “resist.” ing trial proceedings that be-
Journal is subject to the applicable rate card,
copies of which are available from the Monday about the U.S. fertil- gan in November, Anthem
Advertising Services Department, Dow Jones izer sector incorrectly said DuPont Co. said it would mounted a legal defense of the
& Co. Inc., 1155 Avenue of the Americas, New
York, N.Y. 10036. The Journal reserves the
OCI Americas is building the pay half of a $670.7 million merger single-handedly. Cigna
right not to accept an advertiser’s order. Only plant, and it incorrectly said proposed settlement of litiga- lawyers said very little during
publication of an advertisement shall Mr. El-Hoshy is CEO of OCI tion over perfluorooctanoic the proceedings, and when
constitute final acceptance of the advertiser’s
order. Americas. acid in drinking water in Ohio they did, it usually didn’t help
Letters to the Editor: and West Virginia, while Anthem’s position.
Fax: 212-416-2891; email: wsj.ltrs@wsj.com
The price of cocoa in Lon- Chemours Co., which DuPont Cigna said Tuesday that An-
NEED ASSISTANCE WITH don on Feb. 8 closed at a 3½- spun off in 2015, would pay them had breached their
Oceanfront Luxury, Sunny & 70s YOUR SUBSCRIPTION? year low. A Commodities arti- the other half. A Page One agreement by not using its
One Hour from LA in Newport Beach, CA CONTACT CUSTOMER SUPPORT. cle on Thursday about cocoa What’s News item in some edi- “reasonable best efforts” to
By web: customercenter.wsj.com prices incorrectly said it tions Tuesday incorrectly said win regulatory approval for
By email: wsjsupport@wsj.com closed at a five-year low on DuPont would pay the full the deal.
PELICANHILL.COM By phone: 1-800-JOURNAL
(1-800-568-7625)
that date. amount. Anthem declined to com-
ment Tuesday beyond its
888.802.1777 Or by live chat at wsj.com/
livechat Readers can alert The Wall Street Journal to any errors in news articles statement disputing Cigna’s
by emailing wsjcontact@wsj.com or by calling 888-410-2667. right to break off the merger.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * * * * Wednesday, February 15, 2017 | A3
U.S. NEWS
Universities,
Facing Cuts,
Target Tenure
GOP lawmakers move ductions in public support for
colleges led to steep tuition in-
to scale back or end creases that have driven up
job protections for student debt and magnified
scrutiny on the business prac-
longtime professors tices of universities. Conserva-
to rewrite the order or find more than 20 existing court Timothy Heaphy, a former U.S.
another legal path forward. cases against the order will Attorney in Virginia who rep-
In a 22-page ruling late Mon- stand if a new order is issued. resented a visa-holder initially
day, U.S. District Judge Leonie affected by the travel ban.
Brinkema said Mr. Trump’s ex- The Virginia ruling poten-
ecutive order likely violated tially presents a thornier prob-
constitutional protections
Focus on religious lem, because Judge Brinkema
against religious discrimination, discrimination found that the executive order
and she barred enforcement of improperly targeted Muslims
part of the order in Virginia
complicates case for without any evidence of a na-
while the case continues. Trump administration. tional security threat that
The White House has said it might justify a travel ban.
is working toward rewriting the None of the court rulings so
executive order to make it more far have considered the under-
legally palatable, and the Vir- The White House faces po- lying legality of the executive
ginia decision adds another litical pressure to move quickly order, but have weighed
layer of complexity to the effort. on a new order to show it is on whether it should be sus- Nabil Alhaffar and her husband Muhamad Alhaj Moustafa, both Syrian citizens, at Washington Dulles
That decision follows one last the offensive after the court pended while the arguments International Airport last week. In January, she was denied re-entry to the U.S. after visiting Qatar.
week from the Ninth U.S. Circuit defeats. That could conflict on its fundamental legality
Court of Appeals in San Fran- with a typical legal strategy, make their way through the regarding national security and
©T&CO. 2017
cisco, which said Mr. Trump’s which counsels a slower, more courts. In suspending the or- immigration that should not be
temporary travel ban on people deliberate approach. der, the judges have found second-guessed by the court.
arriving from seven Muslim-ma- The Ninth Circuit’s focus on that the underlying legal chal- Judge Brinkema, in question-
jority countries should remain due process gave the Trump lenges are likely to succeed. ing those denials, cited previ-
on hold nationwide. administration a road map to The Trump administration ous statements from Mr. Trump
The White House has said the write a narrower order that vigorously denies that the or- and his aides about seeking to
ban is necessary to thwart ter- might withstand legal scrutiny. der was a Muslim ban and ar- bar Muslims from entering the
rorist attacks. The Justice De- It could perhaps take aim at gued that the president has a U.S., linking those statements
partment declined to comment restricting the travel of indi- clear right to make decisions to the executive order.
BETTER THAN
Door Opens to Gene Editing in Embryos A BOUQUET
AND GUARANTEED TO TURN HEADS
BY AMY DOCKSER MARCUS cal questions. Gene editing is TIFFANY VICTORIA®
still a novel technology and can
Clinical trials involving the have unintended, potentially
editing of genes in sperm, harmful, consequences that
eggs and early-stage embryos would then be passed on to fu-
could be permitted under cer- ture generations.
tain conditions, the National For years, such questions re-
Academies of Sciences and the mained in the realm of specula-
National Academy of Medicine tion. But the introduction of a
SANDY HUFFAKER/BLOOMBERG NEWS
U.S. NEWS
I
t’s not clear that an ad- with the deepest experience
ministration can reach a in Washington, Mr. Pence
crossroads in just 25 has always had the potential
days, but the new Trump to emerge as a dominant
administration may have ar- player, internally and exter-
rived at precisely that. nally.
The resignation of na- The second figure at this
tional security adviser Mike turning point is Mr. Priebus.
O
nections between Russia bassador Sergey Kislyak, provided “incomplete infor- tween the Trump team and are pressing for a joint ne advantage for Mr.
and the Trump team. The and indications that in mation” about his phone Russian representatives in House-Senate intelligence Trump is that he is
second is whether someone those conversations he dis- communications. The key to an attempt to influence the committee inquiry, or the only now getting his
can steer the administration cussed the economic sanc- his downfall was misleading presidential campaign. formation of a select com- full A team on the field: Rex
toward calmer waters; the tions the Obama administra- Mr. Pence, who proceeded Both Democrats and Re- mittee specifically charged Tillerson, Jim Mattis and
key figures in that effort tion had just imposed on to convey misleading ac- publicans in Congress have with investigating Russian Steven Mnuchin have been
may well be Vice President Russia over its alleged in- counts on national televi- pledged to investigate the interference in the election. sworn in as secretaries of
Mike Pence and White terference in the 2016 elec- sion. Russian activity, and that in- Either route would signifi- state, defense and Treasury,
House chief of staff Reince tion. Any promise that the quiry may include a look into cantly increase the profile respectively. With them in,
D
Priebus. new administration would emocrats in Congress a lengthy dossier compiled and resources devoted to and Mr. Flynn out, a new dy-
For now, the biggest unwind those sanctions will demand to know by a former British intelli- getting to the bottom of Rus- namic is about to form, and
problem for President Don- could have represented a vi- more about those con- gence agent alleging both sia’s role, and, by extension, perhaps at a time when that
ald Trump is that the quest olation of the Logan Act, versations now, and espe- that the Russian government any connection to the Trump is what the president needs
to learn more of his team’s which prohibits a private cially what Mr. Trump knew holds compromising infor- campaign. and wants.
FACTUAL TV IS BACK!
the ambassador not to “over- Source: Congressional Research Service THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. said.
react’’ to the measures, sug- Mr. Trump fired Ms. Yates
gesting Mr. Trump administra- familiar with the discussions. tigating communications be- the Monday after she contacted
Stream more than 1,500 science, history, tion’s would soon be able to be At that point, acting Attorney tween Mr. Flynn and Mr. the White House because she
more friendly to Russia, these General Sally Yates, a holdover Kislyak. In comments on Jan. had declined to defend an exec-
tech & nature documentaries ad-free, people said. from Mr. Obama’s administra- 23, Mr. Spicer said the two utive order on refugees and vis-
anytime & anywhere for just $2.99/month. Word of the contact be- tion, discussed the issue with had discussed four other top- itors to the U.S.
tween the two men first sur- other officials, including FBI ics, including a planned phone With Mr. Flynn’s resigna-
faced in mid-January. On Jan. Director James Comey, who call between the presidents of tion, the White House named
15, Mr. Pence told CBS that Mr. convinced her to wait a bit lon- the two countries, but not the Keith Kellogg, the chief of staff
Flynn never discussed sanc- ger before alerting the White issue of sanctions. at the National Security Coun-
tions with the Russian ambas- House, so that their investiga- Some U.S. intelligence offi- cil who advised Mr. Trump
sador. tion could develop more infor- cials grew uneasy at the possi- during the 2016 campaign, as
That statement alarmed U.S. mation, these people said. bility that Russian authorities acting national security ad-
intelligence officials, who knew A week after Mr. Pence’s could, in theory, blackmail Mr. viser.
of intercepts showing the two statement, The Wall Street Flynn at some future time by —Shane Harris,
had, in fact, discussed the Journal reported that U.S. in- threatening to reveal the true Byron Tau, Siobhan Hughes
sanctions, according to people telligence agencies were inves- nature of the discussions, contributed to this article.
Former Navy SEAL and another person familiar If Adm. Harward is chosen, for Mr. Mattis to make inroads
with the matter. his selection stands to increase in a White House that so far
Top Choice for Post Adm. Harward retired from Mr. Mattis’s political influence has been dominated by cam-
the Navy in 2013 and is cur- within the Trump administra- paign-trail aides who have per-
Retired Vice Admiral Bob rently chief executive of Lock- tion. The secretary of defense sonal relationships with Mr.
Harward favorite for Flynn job heed Martin Corp.’s operation in has been trying to place Adm. Trump.
the U.A.E. Harward in a White House job Adm. Harward, who has run
He is being considered since last month, according to Lockheed’s operation in the
The front-runner to succeed alongside Keith Kellogg, the re- the U.S. official and the person U.A.E. since his retirement from
Michael Flynn as White House tired three-star Army general familiar with the staffing deci- the Navy, served on the Na-
national security adviser is a who took over as acting na- sions, who both said the Penta- tional Security Council in 2005
former Navy SEAL and retired tional security adviser late Mon- gon chief wanted his longtime as part of a military tour under
three-star admiral who became day, and former Central Intelli- protégé as “eyes and ears” in President George W. Bush.
one of Defense Secretary Jim gence Agency Director David the White House. The son of a U.S. Navy
Mattis’s most-trusted col- Petraeus, a retired four-star Adm. Harward was recently sailor, Adm. Harward grew up in
leagues while leading troops in Army general, according to ad- at the White House interview- Iran in the years before the
Afghanistan and Iraq. ministration officials. ing for a senior staff position on 1979 revolution, attending the
Retired Vice Admiral Bob The deliberations mean that the National Security Council Tehran American School, while
Harward, who served as Mr. the high-level national security and had been on a list of candi- his father served there. He
The antidote for “reality” TV TM
Mattis’s deputy at U.S. Central post is all but certain to stay in dates to serve as undersecre- learned Persian, according to of-
Command during the secretary’s the hands of a former military tary of defense for intelligence, ficers who served with him.
career as a Marine Corps gen- officer, continuing President the U.S. official said. Adm. Harward didn’t re-
Start Your 60-Day Free Trial eral, is at the top of the list for Donald Trump’s reliance on re- The departure of Mr. Flynn spond to requests for comment
the influential White House tired top-level brass for his na- opens up a more influential job. on this article.
WITH PROMO CODE: WS post, according to a U.S. official tional security apparatus. It also provides an opportunity —Paul Sonne, Shane Harris
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * * * * Wednesday, February 15, 2017 | A5
U.S. NEWS
Donald Trump’s
First 100 Days
Theadministration’slatest
Flynn Is First Casualty of Turmoil
actionsandagendaataglance In just a few weeks, Jared Kushner, the president’s
son-in-law and top adviser,
new administration is later called Mr. Ruddy and
TUESDAY sidetracked by lapses, briefed him on plans to im-
u Links to Russia: In the prove communications going
wake of Michael Flynn’s resig- attacked by allies forward. The media executive
nation as President Donald now has reversed his opinion
Trump’s national security ad- BY MICHAEL C. BENDER of the White House team.
viser, lawmakers on both AND REBECCA BALLHAUS Even for a White House that
sides of the aisle demanded has been in nearly constant
further investigations into ties WASHINGTON—Dining at damage control, Mr. Flynn was
between Mr. Trump’s team his oceanside resort in Florida a consistent flashpoint.
and Russia. on Friday, President Donald Two days before Mr.
Trump was surprised to learn Trump’s inauguration, Mr.
u Regulation changes: Mr. that National Security Adviser Kushner and senior adviser
Trump signed legislation re- Mike Flynn was sitting at a Steve Bannon took a red-eye
pealing a rule requiring energy nearby table, a person familiar flight from New York to Wash-
firms to report payments to with the event said. ington to ease concerns about
CARLOS BARRIA/REUTERS
foreign governments for the “What is he doing here?” Mr. Flynn from incoming cabi-
right to develop oil, gas and the president said, describing net members, including even-
mineral assets. It is the start the man who was once at the tual Secretary of State Rex Til-
of a GOP effort to roll back center of his political orbit as lerson and Defense Secretary
Obama-era rules. “very controversial.” Jim Mattis.
The moment epitomizes The administration later in-
u Christie lunch: The presi- how quickly fortunes can Former National Security Adviser Mike Flynn, shown last week, resigned on Monday. stalled Keith Kellogg as Mr.
dent had lunch with New Jer- change amid the chaos that Flynn’s staff chief and elevated
sey Gov. Chris Christie and his has defined the opening act of President Mike Pence. their own as they jockey for that the president had “full the role of homeland security
wife. The White House said Mr. Trump’s presidency. In just “It’s a dysfunctional White power and influence with the confidence” in Mr. Flynn only adviser, Tom Bossert, to give
they discussed combating a few weeks, the nascent ad- House, and nobody knows president. to be contradicted within the him equal sway inside the
drug use, but speculation con- ministration is being weighed who’s in charge,” Sen. John Kellyanne Conway, a senior hour by press secretary Sean White House as Mr. Flynn.
tinued about whether he is down from within, sidetracked McCain (R., Ariz.) told report- adviser, faces calls for an eth- Spicer, who said the president On Tuesday, Mr. Kellogg,
being considered for a job. by dishonesty and potential ers on Tuesday. ics investigation and possible was still evaluating the na- who was named interim na-
ethical lapses as well as at- Several congressional com- disciplinary action. The Office tional security adviser’s status. tional security adviser follow-
u Ethics: A nonpartisan gov- tacks from his own supporters mittees are investigating the of Government Ethics wrote to Chief of Staff Reince Prie- ing Mr. Flynn’s resignation, led
ernment ethics agency has and fellow Republicans. possible role that Russia the White House on Tues- bus also found himself with an all-hands meeting of Na-
recommended that the White Mr. Flynn on Monday be- played in the 2016 elections. In day that there was “strong unwanted attention tional Security Council staff.
House investigate and con- came the first casualty of that addition, the Oversight Com- reason” to believe Ms. Conway when Newsmax Chief Execu- The message was direct and
sider disciplining Kellyanne chaos, resigning as head of the mittee has begun examining is- violated ethics rules for en- tive Christopher Ruddy, one of simple, said one attendee:
Conway, a senior adviser to National Security Council after sues related to conflicts of in- dorsing the product line of Mr. the president’s friends and a Keep working hard, and please,
Mr. Trump, after she en- he lost the president’s trust by terest and protection of Trump’s daughter during a member of the Mar-a-Lago don’t quit.
dorsed his daughter’s fashion failing to fully disclose his con- classified information in the television interview. oceanside resort, on Sunday —Peter Nicholas, Damian
line in a television interview. versations with Russian offi- new White House. Ms. Conway also appeared talk shows expressed frustra- Paletta, Shane Harris
cials to senior White House of- The administration’s senior to be out of the loop, going on tion with Mr. Priebus’s perfor- and Richard Rubin
WHAT’S AHEAD ficials, including Vice ranks are creating headlines of television Monday to declare mance. Messrs. Priebus and contributed to this article.
Mr. Trump is scheduled to
travel to Charleston, S.C., on
Friday to attend the rollout of
a new Boeing Co. aircraft, the
first 787-10 Dreamliner. Labor Pick Faces Tough Questions on Tax Delay
QUOTES WASHINGTON—Senate ap- several sensitive matters. Mr. Puzder can afford no Collins of Maine, a centrist Re- Mr. Puzder didn’t pay taxes
“Yes, Gen. Flynn does enjoy proval of Andy Puzder to lead Mr. Puzder, a fast-food ex- more than two GOP defections publican, told reporters this on the housekeeper until Mr.
the full confidence of the the Department of Labor will ecutive, is expected to face ex- in the Senate, where Republi- week. “I expect a very long Trump nominated him in De-
president.” hinge in large part on his tes- tensive questioning at the cans hold a 52-48 majority. hearing.” cember. Mr. Puzder’s spokes-
—Ms. Conway, timony in a confirmation hear- Health, Education, Labor and While no GOP senator has op- Even some members of the man has said he wasn’t aware
on MSNBC Monday afternoon Pensions Committee over his posed the nomination, a num- Senate GOP leadership said of the housekeeper’s immigra-
By Kristina Peterson, delay in paying taxes on an ber have fallen short of a full Tuesday they would wait to tion status in the four to five
Mr. Trump is “a very loyal Natalie Andrews undocumented worker he em- endorsement. So far, no Demo- hear what Mr. Puzder says. years she worked part-time
person, and by night’s end and Eric Morath ployed as a housekeeper and crat has supported him. Sen. John Thune (R., S.D.) for his family.
Mike Flynn had decided it on his former wife’s allega- “There are many issues that said he would “wait and see Her employment was termi-
was best to resign.” ing Thursday, as an unusually tions of domestic abuse, which have been raised about him, what his explanation is on nated after Mr. Puzder discov-
—Ms. Conway large number of GOP senators she later recanted. Similar tax and I’m sure that all of them Thursday.… He’s going to have ered she was an illegal immi-
on NBC Tuesday morning are reserving judgment until issues have derailed nominees will be thoroughly addressed a chance to answer a lot of grant about five years ago, the
they hear his explanation of in previous administrations. in the hearing,” Sen. Susan those questions.” spokesman said.
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A6 | Wednesday, February 15, 2017 NY * *** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
High Stakes for Netanyahu-Trump Talks
Israeli premier begins eased sanctions on Iran.
The Israeli leader has kept
Washington meetings uncharacteristically quiet be-
as president tempers fore his meeting at the White
House. Mr. Trump’s mixed sig-
some favorable stances nals on his position on Jewish
settlements have particularly
Israeli Prime Minister Benja- put the Israeli leader in a bind.
min Netanyahu began meetings Israeli officials said Mr. Netan-
in Washington Tuesday ahead of yahu doesn’t want to get ahead
a critical summit with President of Mr. Trump’s own position,
Donald Trump that officials in after years of clashes with Mr.
both countries hope will clarify Obama.
case about whether he at- step down and the process to major television station. That
TEL AVIV—Corruption tempted to negotiate favorable replace him would begin,” said compares with 28% who think
probes have left Israeli Prime coverage with a top Israeli Emmanuel Navon, a former he is being honest. The major-
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu newspaper. An opposition law- parliamentary candidate for ity of Israelis believe Mr. Ne-
weakened at home on the eve maker is petitioning Israel’s Mr. Netanyahu’s Likud Party tanyahu should step down if he
of his first summit with Presi- highest court to order authori- and a political analyst. is indicted, according to a poll
dent Donald Trump. ties to open a third criminal Likud lawmakers have made last week by the Israel Democ-
The scandals have dented investigation into a potential public statements of support for racy Institute, a think tank.
Mr. Netanyahu’s standing, ac- conflict of interest for Mr. Ne- the leader. But party members Criminal charges wouldn’t
cording to polls, and embold- tanyahu in the government are also considering options in automatically force the pre-
ened opposition politicians to purchase of submarines. case of an indictment, according mier to step down by law. But
seek his ouster. Mr. Netanyahu has denied to lawmakers in other parties. many lawmakers predict the
Police have questioned the any wrongdoing, labeling the al- More than half of the public country’s second-longest-serv-
prime minister several times legations a campaign by Israeli doesn’t believe the prime min- ing leader would have to re-
An Israeli police car outside Mr. Netanyahu’s residence in January. in recent weeks about whether media to force him from power. ister’s statements that he sign, at least temporarily, until
The prime minister is being investigated in two criminal cases. he received unlawful gifts “If Netanyahu is indicted, hasn’t broken any laws, accord- he could clear his name.
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eginning today, China’s Xiamen Airlines will launch new nonstop airline industry and do not blindly
wander into other industries mar-
kets,” CEO Zhao Dong said.
flights from NewYork to Fuzhou in Eastern China, shortening the In 2016, Xiamen Airlines won the
China Quality Award, the most pres-
journey between the two cities by 5 1/2 hours. tigious award given in the field of
quality management in China, com-
parable to the American Baldrige
Xiamen will operate a Boeing Wednesdays and Saturdays and Province, is the home of more than National Quality Award. The com-
787-9 Dreamliner on the route, from New York’s JFK Airport at 2 million people living in the United pany this week will sign an agree-
with seating for 287. Business-class 12:55 p.m. local time. States. Among them, about 650,000 ment with the United Nations as
seats on the flight are capable of This marks the first direct flight live in New York. the world’s first airline to cooperate
reclining into a flat 6 ½-foot-long on the 8,700-mile route between the Founded in 1984, Xiamen with the U.N. to carry out sustain-
bed, allowing passengers to sleep Eastern China province of Fujian Airlines now has a fleet of 171 able development goals for the air-
comfortably. In economy class, the and the United States, offering even Boeing aircrafts — the largest line industry.
seats have 33 inches of pitch, al- more convenience for people who all-Boeing airline in China. With A SkyTeam Alliance member,
lowing plenty of legroom. Classic want to visit Fujian Province. The 30 years of profitability, Xiamen Xiamen Airlines transports 26 mil-
Fuzhou cuisine and Fujian tea will expected one-way flight time will be Airlines ranks first in global airline lion passengers every year and op-
be served on board. around 141/2 hours, where it previ- financial ratings among all Chinese erates routes from Fujian to Sydney,
Flights will depart from Fuzhou at ously took at least 20 hours. airlines. Melbourne, and Seattle as well as six
9:15 a.m. Beijing time on Mondays, Fuzhou, the capital city of Fujian “We only focus our business in the other intercontinental flights.
Paid for by the Xinhua News Agency, the official press agency of the People’s Republic of China.
The Wall Street Journal news organization was not involved in the creation of this content.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * * * * Wednesday, February 15, 2017 | A7
company, which have lagged has faced an activist. In 2012, thing and will do the same.” bloated to manage effectively, if opinionated, shareholder.
behind the broader market for William Ackman’s Pershing P&G shares have gained which caused their stock Trian didn’t reveal a new
the past year, jumped 3% in Square Capital Management LP 5.7% this year including divi- prices to languish in recent investment in all of 2016, fo-
late trading to $90.40. invested in the company and dends, outpacing the S&P years. It also came as activist cusing instead on its portfolio
P&G has been slashing costs called for a CEO change amid 500’s 4.2% return, but the investors used their war companies, after making three
and shedding dozens of brands slumping profits. A year later, share’s price has trailed the chests to pressure boards to new investments in 2015. One
to refocus on its biggest busi- Robert McDonald was replaced benchmark over the past one- move more quickly. of them was then its biggest
nesses. But it has struggled to by his old boss, A.G. Lafley, who year and three-year periods. P&G spent $80 billion over ever, a $2.2 billion stake in GE.
boost sales growth as it bat- remained chairman until last P&G fared better than many two decades scooping up But it was also ramping up
tles a sluggish global economy, year. Company veteran David of its rivals in the second half brands including Gillette ra- for this new bet by fundraising
price pressures and competi- Taylor is now chairman and CEO. Nelson Peltz of 2016, capturing market share zors, Duracell batteries and and selling some other stakes.
tion from internet upstarts. Mr. Taylor, who took over in in many categories. Analysts Iams pet food, only to end up During 2016, it sold a $1.8 bil-
Historically, Trian—known November 2015, has opted watched organic sales growth, say the environment is tough selling some of them to focus lion investment in PepsiCo, af-
for publishing detailed reports against launching new brands which excludes acquisitions or for consumer-staples sellers, on boosting sales of Tide, ter a three-year campaign that
on its investment targets—has or buying a hot startup. divestments as well as cur- also because of macroeconomic Pampers and other mainstays. included a bid to break up the
focused on companies it be- “I understand the desire for rency swings, has been stuck factors like currency volatility. In October, P&G completed the soda and snack maker, and a
lieves need tighter focus on faster growth and for a single- between 1% and 3% in recent Several big research firms have $11.6 billion sale of dozens of $383 million position in money-
core operations, as well as on minded short-term objective, years. In January, P&G in- downgraded P&G shares, in- beauty brands, including Cov- manager Legg Mason Inc.
cutting costs and management but we’ve seen this movie be- creased its target for the year cluding Goldman Sachs Group erGirl makeup and Clairol hair Trian raised a specific fund
bureaucracy. As with other ac- fore, and frankly, we don’t ending in June to between 2% Inc., which put a sell rating on dye, to Coty Inc. for the P&G position in recent
tivists, it also is known for ad- want to live the sequel,” Mr. and 3%—though that is still the company in January. The activist world has been in months, tapping large invest-
vocating for asset sales or Taylor said at a meeting with well below prerecession levels. P&G, General Electric Co. guessing mode on the new Trian ment pools like sovereign-
breakups. Trian sometimes analysts in November after his Bernstein analyst Ali Dibadj and some other American cor- position, particularly since Mr. wealth funds and pension
works quietly from inside the first year at the helm. has long advocated a breakup porations are rushing to shed Peltz said in December that he funds, people familiar with the
boardroom and at other times The company’s closely of P&G. He said P&G’s resis- underperforming divisions and and his partners, Ed Garden and matter have said.
IN DEPTH
LIFE&ARTS
WORK & FAMILY | Sue Shellenbarger
TELEVISION
wide with the first footage of a snow leop- Please see EARTH page A13
Scenes of hatchling marine iguanas, left, trying to outrun racer snakes, right, on Galapagos went
viral and helped drive huge TV ratings in the U.K. for “Planet Earth II.”
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A10 | Wednesday, February 15, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, February 15, 2017 | A11
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A12 | Wednesday, February 15, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, February 15, 2017 | A13
EARTH
Installation view at MCA with Co-produced by BBC America,
Charles Atlas’s ‘MC9’ (2012). “Planet Earth II” is narrated by the
godfather of British nature films,
were organized by the Walker ar- David Attenborough. (For the orig-
tistic director, Fionn Meade, Continued from page A9 inal series in 2006, Discovery sub-
along with Philip Bither, Joan take down a galloping giraffe, and stituted Sir David’s narration with
Rothfuss, Mary Coyne and (at when a bat does battle with a Sigourney Weaver for the U.S. au-
MCA) Lynne Warren, with most scorpion in the deserts episode. dience.)
selections coming from the In a quieter moment, a camera Extensive pre-shoot research mit-
Walker’s Merce Cunningham mounted above a male bird of par- igates the risk of missing the money
Dance Company collection. The adise offers a potential partner’s shot. For example, Unforgiving
Walker takes you from Cunning- view of his mating dance, reveal- weather and volcanic terrain gave
ham’s early explorations with ing a flash of green plumage that a them one chance to embed with a
John Cage to 2007, when, wheel- scientist on the shoot didn’t know massive colony of chinstrap pen-
chair bound, Cunningham “per- he had. guins on uninhabited Zavodovski Is-
forms” “Cage’s 4’33”” on film for The team that captured that land in the South Atlantic.
Tacita Dean, sitting in perfect jungle ballet, led by producer and As an overseer of the series, Mr.
quietude surrounded by ambient director Emma Napper, also towed Gunton has to manage the psychol-
noise. a camera behind a canoe to find ogy of field teams and corporate
But I was particularly drawn in river dolphins that roam flooded bosses—both obsessed with getting
both shows to “MC9” by the me- forests in Brazil. The species had awe-inspiring footage. “Part of my
dia artist Charles Atlas. In dark- been discovered only a couple of job is to make sure everyone is on
ened galleries, fragments from 40 years before. “We wanted to film the train, saying, ‘Yes, this is going
years of his filming the Merce an animal that people knew noth- to be a success,’ even when I’m se-
Cunningham Dance Company are ing about, so that makes it almost cretly crying in the cupboard.”
MCA CHICAGO
distributed among nine video impossible,” Ms. Napper says. For For all its success, the original
screens, some immense and en- about six weeks they caught only “Planet Earth” was criticized in
gulfing. Why was I so drawn? glimpses through opaque water conservation circles for flaunting
Partly because I never saw a live and dense trees until their camera- the spectacle of wildlife without
EXHIBITION REVIEW Cunningham performance. His equipped drones discovered a showing the man-made threats
company dissolved, as intended, group of seven or eight dolphins. facing it. That was “a reason to go
THE NATURE OF
after his death, in 2011. Dancers’ Tech innovations didn’t make back” for a sequel, Mr. Gunton
muscle memory still offers some the shoots any less painstaking. says. In “Planet Earth II,” environ-
testimony: I saw it ecstatically re- Ms. Napper’s team spent four mental problems become one of
alized in Cunningham excerpts at years gathering research and foot- the many challenges that face spe-
BBC AMERICA
amusing, but ponderous and ma- danced against. Merce Cunningham: Common
nipulative. So why bother with The Walker exhibition is the Time
Merce? more imposing, almost three Walker Art Center, through July 30
Yet there I was last week, in times the size of the MCA’s, Museum of Contemporary Art A crew in Madagascar, including cameraman Rob Drewett, crossed flooded
two different cities (Minneapo- though both are revealing. They Chicago, through April 30 terrain and boarded a helicopter in pursuit of a super swarm of locusts.
Island of
beautiful, Lana’i is the Hawaii
captured in vintage postcards.
Lana’i by
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A14 | Wednesday, February 15, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
SPORTS
HEARD ON CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
THE FIELD
Soccer’s Most Decorated Student
Having cycled through the world’s best managers, Xabi Alonso’s education in the game is unmatched
BY JOSHUA ROBINSON
Munich
Xabi Alonso didn’t need the
notebook when he was 22. That
was before he made his name as a
midfielder at Liverpool, before he
won the Champions League twice
The East Is Upended by and the World Cup once, and long
before he considered life after
Love Injury, Ibaka Trade playing soccer.
The NBA season was sleepwalk- Five or six years ago, however,
ing to the All-Star break on Tuesday it began to dawn on him that his
morning when it was suddenly career was far from ordinary: Over
awakened with a jolt. In less than more than a decade, Alonso had
one hour, the entire Eastern Confer- picked the brains of the greatest
ence was upended. managers on the planet every day.
Since the season began—and re- His soccer education—which ran
ally since the return of LeBron through Rafa Benitez at Liverpool;
James three years ago—the Cleve- Jose Mourinho at Real Madrid;
land Cavaliers have been the heavy and now Pep Guardiola and Carlo
favorite to win the East. And they Ancelotti at Bayern Munich—was
still are. But their shot at the No. 1 the sport’s Harvard, Yale and
seed and home-court advantage Princeton all rolled into one.
took a hit when the team an- Alonso had to get this on paper.
nounced that All-Star forward Kevin Today, while anchoring Bayern
Love’s (above) left knee required ar- Munich’s midfield, he keeps a sin-
throscopic surgery that will keep gle Moleskine full of training plans
him sidelined for at least six weeks. and errant thoughts from his time
It was only the latest twist in in the world’s most successful
what has been a typically chaotic teams. He doesn’t know what he’ll
season for the Cavs. And it only in- do with it yet. But as the 35-year-
creased the burden on James— old Alonso considers sliding from
which was significant to begin with. midfield into management—this
The most fearsome player in the may be his final season—he figures
league is still averaging 37.6 min- the wisdom of Mourinho, Guardiola
utes per game, more than all but et al might come in handy.
one NBA player, which is an inexpli- “I am a midfielder, I’m not a
cably heavy load for a 32-year-old striker. I like control,” he said
star whose team’s championship here, ahead of Bayern’s Champions
defense relies on him being at his League round of 16 game against
best in the playoffs. Arsenal on Wednesday. “So how to Xabi Alonso joined Bayern Munich in 2014,
That one player is Toronto guard deliver that control is what goes after stints with Liverpool and Real Madrid.
Kyle Lowry. But less than an hour through my mind—in different sys-
MATTHIAS SCHRADER/ASSOCIATED PRESS
after the news of Love’s injury, Ya- tems, in different games.”
hoo Sports reported the Raptors If ever there was a player who And that’s precisely what worries Ancelotti ran the midfield for the knows his position and he thinks
had traded for Orlando Magic for- seemed perfectly suited to the dug- Alonso. all-conquering AC Milan side of so fast,” Bayern and Chile mid-
ward Serge Ibaka (below), securing out, it’s Alonso. The only person Despite recent headlines to the the late 1980s; Chelsea’s Antonio fielder Arturo Vidal said.
Lowry and DeMar Derozan the help who isn’t certain about it yet is him, contrary, he hasn’t fully made up Conte was a key cog in the Juven- As far as Alonso is concerned, it’s
they need to knock off Cleveland. even if all the lessons are there. his mind about his future. There tus team of the 1990s; and Real’s the only position he could play. “I
The Raptors, who lost to Cleve- From Guardiola, the man Alonso may be another season in his legs. Zinedine Zidane, who won the have to play mostly in central mid-
land in the conference finals last joined Bayern for in 2014, he And if there isn’t, he said he would Champions League in his first sea- field,” he said. “And I have always
season, needed some kind of learned how to preach a particular need time to come down from his son as Madrid manager, is one of taken that responsibility, not to take
shakeup. They had fallen to fifth brand of soccer, “how to be able to playing career before heading into his generation’s greatest players. the orders, but to deliver the idea of
place in the East and ceded their convince the players that this is management. Of course, playing achievements the manager into the team.”
claim as the team most likely to the right way,” he said. With “I know pretty well the life as a don’t guarantee success. But as Alonso felt a special connection
upset the Cavs to the Boston Celt- Mourinho at Real Madrid, he footballer, how it is. But the life as more managers find it difficult to with Guardiola when he was taking
ics, whose surge into second place watched a manager keep his team a citizen, having to find what to keep a lid on the egos of young, his ideas into battle—he made a
had Dallas Mavericks coach Rick emotionally on the boil without do, it’s going to be a new stage,” super-rich players, pointing to a habit of dropping into Guardiola’s
Carlisle calling them a legitimate erupting—especially when Barce- he said. “You need to be 100% sure full trophy cabinet at home helps office to talk tactics and dissect
T-B: NICK WASS/ASSOCIATED PRESS; MIKE EHRMANN/GETTY IMAGES
threat to get to the Finals. lona was in their sights. that you want to do it, because it’s command respect. “It’s important opponents. His one regret is that
—Ben Cohen Barca “were so great and with so demanding. It’s so stressful.” for a manager to come in and have in their two seasons together, they
Madrid, we were growing, but we That transition, should Alonso the credit and respect from the never won the Champions League.
were still not on that level. We make it, would be perfectly in players,” said Alonso. Now, with Guardiola’s foundation
needed to be really, really... in- keeping with the trend of the mo- Alonso made his career on the in place, Alonso is hoping to finish
tense. Let’s leave it that way,” ment in European soccer manage- pitch by excelling at one of the the job under Ancelotti and be-
Alonso said. ment. Where it was traditionally least glamorous jobs this side of come only the second player ever
But fundamentally, Alonso felt an avenue for former players with the ball boys. His role consists of to lift the trophy with three differ-
those managers were more similar pedestrian careers, the most pres- sitting in front of the back line, ent clubs. (The other was Dutch
than they seemed. For all of their tigious management jobs now protecting his defenders, and link- midfielder Clarence Seedorf.)
public persona—Ancelotti the el- practically require a glittering ré- ing play to the attacking players. “To win the Champions League,
der statesman, Guardiola the effer- sumé of on-field achievements. Timing and vision are everything. some time along the way, you need
vescent genius, Mourinho the dour Just take a look around the That job is perfectly suited to one day of luck,” said Alonso, who
schemer, and Benitez the frenzied summits of the top leagues. In Alonso’s two best qualities: his experienced miracles to win it
planner—he saw the same obses- England, Spain and Germany the passing vision and his uncanny with Liverpool in 2005 and Real in
siveness in all of them. These were coaches leading the league all had ability to take up space. 2014. “So far it hasn’t happened
men utterly consumed by soccer. stellar playing careers. Bayern’s “He’s such a calm player, he here in Bayern. We need one.”
On Bag Fee
BY MIKE VILENSKY wrote. “Most objectionable is
AND MARA GAY that the law was drafted so
that merchants keep the five-
Gov. Andrew Cuomo said cent fee as profit, instead of
Tuesday he would sign a bill the money being used to
that halts a 5-cent fee on solve the problem of plastic
plastic bags in New York City. bags’ environmental impact.”
The measure places a one- Mr. Cuomo said he would
year moratorium on a law establish a state task force to
passed by the City Council study the issue.
last year; the law would have At City Hall, the news was
gone into effect Wednesday. met with deep disappoint-
The governor’s decision is ment. Mayor Bill de Blasio, a
a loss to liberal environmen- Democrat, didn’t comment.
talists and a victory for con- Council members Brad
servatives who argued the Lander and Margaret Chin,
Stan Patz left a Manhattan courthouse Tuesday after a jury convicted Pedro Hernandez, below, of killing his son, Etan, in 1979. law was a regressive tax on two sponsors of the law, said
the working class. in a joint statement that they
BY THOMAS MACMILLAN
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BACK ON THE FIELD: Pitcher Jacob deGrom, manager Terry Collins and other Mets in Port St. Lucie, Fla.
The team was one of over a dozen that held their first scheduled spring-training workouts Tuesday.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A14B | Wednesday, February 15, 2017 NY * ***** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Catch, a West Highland Terrier, gets a reward for enduring a beauty regimen. Walter and Dodi Horowitz with Flyer, their Golden Retriever. And a smiling Taylor Forbes with Quitara, a Spinone Italiano.
CLOCKWISE: ANDREW LAMBERSON FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL (3); MIKE SEGAR/REUTERS
a woman wearing heart-shaped best in show three times, in-
glasses. Oh well, it was Valen- cluding in 2002.
tine’s Day, after all. Three new breeds joined the
Tuesday was also the last competition this year. The
day of the 141st annual West- American hairless terrier was
minster Kennel Club Dog Show, bred from the rat terrier and
which culminated at Madison dates from the 1970s. The
Square Garden with the Best in Pumi, a breed native to Hun-
Show award, won by a German gary, is bred to herd cattle,
shepherd named Rumor. sheep and pigs. The Sloughi, a
The canine made last year’s dog from North Africa, is now
best-in-show finals at West- part of the hound group.
minster, losing to a German This year’s competition in-
shorthaired pointer. The last cluded 200 breeds. The show
win by a German shepherd or also included agility and obedi-
by a dog from the herding ence contests.
group came in 1987. The Westminster Kennel
Some 2,500 pooches took Club, established in 1877, is a
part in the competition, which nonprofit group. For the fiscal
kicked off Saturday. Each had year ending April 2015, the
its own digital profile for media club’s revenue topped $3.8 mil-
use, according to the club web- lion, drawn from show spon-
site. sorship, television rights, ticket
Besides Rumor, others vying sales and other fees related to
for Best in Show included a the show. TOP DOG: Rumor, a German shepherd, won Best in Show at the Westminster Kennel Club Dog Show at Madison Square Garden Tuesday.
February 18th* Lincoln Center this year. N.J., was charged Tuesday with
At a hearing Tuesday in Man- one count of misapplication con-
hattan, Judge Sean Lane said he cerning a program receiving fed-
was pleased to see Big Apple Cir- eral funds. He faces up to 10
cus find a new owner after seek- years in prison, prosecutors said
ing chapter 11 protection in No- The 42-year-old Mr. Joseph,
vember. who was associate athletic di-
Sarasota, Fla.-based Compass rector, routed payments that
hopes to reach a long-term agree- should have gone to Baruch Col-
ment with Lincoln Center and lege to his own bank accounts, LOFTY GOAL: New Haven, Conn., has halted work on a mosque
plans to establish new adminis- according to a federal complaint. because two minarets are 24 feet too tall. The building’s owner
trative offices for the circus in the Mr. Joseph worked at the col- must figure out how to make the 81-foot-tall towers smaller.
city. lege from 2002 to September,
—Jonathan Randles when he resigned. The figures are based on sci- dren as young as 14 years old to
An attorney for Mr. Joseph entific research and will be used wed can trap minors in sexual
said his client was looking for- to help the state and its com- abuse and domestic violence be-
CORRECTIONS ward to addressing the accusa-
tions.
munities prepare for climate
change.
cause they have limited access
to legal services and shelters.
AMPLIFICATIONS Baruch President Mitchel
Wallerstein said he would take
New York is working to help
local governments, businesses
On Tuesday, Democratic As-
semblywoman Amy Paulin intro-
further steps to improve over- and others prepare to protect duced a bill to raise the mini-
sight. people and property, said Basil mum age for marriage to 17.
Scott Strauss, the mayor of —Corinne Ramey Seggos, the state’s environmen- New York is one of three
Mineola, N.Y., hasn’t decided tal conservation commissioner. states that allow 14-year-olds to
whether to support or oppose CLIMATE CHANGE —Associated Press marry with parental and judicial
a $2 billion plan to ease bot- consent. Twenty-seven states
tlenecks on the Long Island New York State Sets have no minimum age in state
Rail Road. An article Tuesday Sea-Level Projection CHILD MARRIAGE statute.
said Mr. Strauss opposes the Ms. Paulin says 3,850 minors
project. New York state has adopted Measure Would Raise were married in New York state
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, February 15, 2017 | A15
OPINION
Dieselgate Is a Political Disaster BOOKSHELF | By Laura Vanderkam
Contrary to
usual prac-
tice, we’ll be-
We have here an emblem of
the Western world’s infirmity.
Multiple irrationality loops
Living
gin with the
punch-line:
less than
4/1,000ths of
have taken over. Climate policy
is the primary example—a
pure traffic in costly gestures
that create no real benefits for
For Likes
BUSINESS
WORLD a degree Cel-
sius. That’s
the public. In the U.S., the to-
tality of Obama climate poli-
The Happiness Effect
By Holman W.
By Donna Freitas
S
might be and solar subsidies—would not
spared half a century from make a detectable difference in ocial media sites can be addictive. Almost as addictive:
now thanks to Europe’s deci- the earth’s climate even if complaining about what social media does to young
sion, starting after the Kyoto given a century to work their people. In the popular telling, anyone under 25 is a nar-
treaty in the late 1990s, to nonmagic. Yet the cost will be cissist, convinced that every meal must be photographed and
switch more than 50% of its A gas station in Frankfurt, December 2014. hundreds of billions. shared. Students bully one another online and send naked
passenger cars to diesel. The alleged chaos in Amer- photos with alarming regularity. Such behaviors may be
For this negligible result, lane of adopting a technology saw a chance to solve one real ica that Donald Trump has worth worrying about, but the real threat is more insidious,
Europe got significantly dirtier that now appears to be a com- problem—the excessive influ- wrought, we should remember, alleges Donna Freitas in her thought-provoking book “The
air. Paris, on some days, suf- mercial and regulatory dead- ence of government and labor was deliberately sought by Happiness Effect.”
fers worse smog than Beijing. end. More than 70% of BMW appointees on Volkswagen’s millions of American voters. The real downside of Facebook, Instagram and their ilk,
Though his methodology may and Daimler cars made for the supervisory board, where they Maybe this is why. Ms. Freitas argues, is constant cheeriness. Young people learn
European market last year work together to inflate em- In the business world, it’s that any hint of unhappiness or failure may not be posted; it
were diesel. When honestly ployment. It takes VW twice as widely understood that the es- can haunt their futures and damage their “brands.” This im-
Typical of Western tested, one study shows the many workers to build a car as sence of “job satisfaction,” even perative then creates a vicious circle. “Because young people
latest “Euro 6 Standard” vehi- it does Toyota. more than pay or benefits, is a feel so pressured to post happy things on social media, most
leadership was a cles miss their pollution tar- And VW reformers looked belief that the people at the top of what everyone sees on social media from their peers are
policy of huge cost gets by a whopping 400%. set to prevail at this past sum- are making good decisions. happy things; as a result, they often feel inferior because they
Virtually everyone agrees mer’s annual meeting until, at Think of Trumpism not as a aren’t actually happy all the time,” Ms. Freitas writes. Young
and zero benefit. Europe’s “dash for diesel” was the last minute, the company’s bundle of policy solutions but a people feel that they have to be online almost all the time,
a monstrous policy error, not ruling families, the Porsches scream of frustration from an but they cannot share their real selves there, a situation that
to mention the proximate cause and the Piëchs, caved to a electorate that knows America produces even greater unhappiness. “For better or worse,
be questionable, a U.K. govern- of the emissions-cheating scan- jigged-up rescue of the status hasn’t been making good deci- students are becoming masters of appearing happy, at signifi-
ment scientist estimates that dal that has engulfed Volks- quo. sions lately. Next up are Ger- cant cost,” she says. The “happiness effect” isn’t as lurid a
thousands of citizens die each wagen and other auto makers. In place of depoliticizing man, French and Dutch elec- woe as teens sending racy
year because of increased ni- Yet the overarching imperative the company and improving tions this year where similar pictures, but it is an impor-
trogen oxide and soot emis- today is to vilify the car com- efficiency, Volkswagen ad- dissatisfactions are roiling. tant phenomenon to under-
sions. panies and insist they do better opted a set of faddish prom- Congrats to those who can stand and one that parents,
The word “microcosm” was at achieving meaningless re- ises to invest in electric cars, discern at this early moment teachers and college adminis-
invented for Europe’s diesel ductions in CO2 emissions, now ride-sharing and the new whether the populist upsurge trators need to address.
snafu—a microcosm of the by forcing them to build elec- “mobility economy.” All this is a symptom of our further To study this happiness ef-
governance failures that are tric cars that customers must was cover for the real unraveling or the start of a fect, Ms. Freitas, interviewed
breeding political revolt in be bribed and pressured into agenda—a big pay hike and turnaround. Much may depend nearly 200 college students and
much of the advanced indus- buying. Not to be questioned, fresh promises of job security on our reviled elites. The conducted an online survey of
trial world. Europe has gone though, is the green agenda or for unionized workers despite Trump cabinet is full of them. hundreds more. She found that
overnight from pushing and the competence of Europe’s po- the $25 billion (and growing) So is the Democratic opposi- young people had a nuanced rela-
subsidizing citizens to adopt litical class. cost of the diesel cheating tion that is taking an increas- tionship with social media. They
diesel vehicles, to punishing When a government conceit scandal. ingly unreasoning and rejec- cannot live without their phones,
them with taxes and excluding goes pop in such a disastrous As a lengthy Reuters report tionist stance toward but they dislike many aspects of their
them from downtown areas. way, we usually get reform. frankly summarized, Volks- Trumpism. As a class, these online worlds. Facebook in particular long ago acquired a
Britain is contemplating a That won’t be the case here. wagen’s new “strategy” is experienced operators un- reputation for being a “highlight reel.” People naturally post
scheme to pay owners to scrap But at least, in this mael- chiefly a political kludge de- avoidably will be needed to updates from significant events: vacations, parties, gradua-
their diesel cars. strom, Volkswagen’s outside signed to create a simulacrum lend a hand to correct the fail- tions. In theory, young digital natives enamored with them-
Europe’s entire auto indus- shareholders and German cor- of change so real change ures that their own class has selves might post any concern, worry or bad grade that flit-
try was led down the primrose porate-governance reformers doesn’t have to happen. so much contributed to. ted through their lives too.
But Ms. Freitas, a social-science researcher who has taught
at several colleges, learns that adults have been remarkably
Donald Trump’s Medicaid Promise successful in convincing young people that social-media posts
can follow them forever. College admissions officers and fu-
ture employers can look back in time and see posts complain-
In the midst program’s costs in poorer counselor Kellyanne Conway 28% for the 17 states that ing about a difficult boss or admitting loneliness. “People
of the tumult states. They proposed, in- said shortly after Mr. opted out. cannot get jobs or not get interviews because of what they
that now stead, giving states a choice Trump’s inauguration that his The people who have gotten put on social media,” one student laments. Yet avoiding so-
grips Wash- between a per capita allot- health plan would include medical coverage under Medic- cial media is almost impossible; professors, for instance, cre-
ington, it is ment or a block grant. Medicaid block grants, he has aid, many of whom never be- ate discussion groups on Facebook. So the beast must be
easy to forget Led by Rep. Tom Price— not said so publicly. The fore had access to health care, mollified and a “personal brand” maintained: that of a studi-
POLITICS that President who now heads the Depart- president’s recent statement include large numbers of work- ous yet social person who does the right activities and holds
Trump has ment of Health and Human that a full plan could be de- ing-class Trump supporters. the right opinions. “Many students have begun to see what
& IDEAS
yet to send Services—Republicans on the layed until the end of the Many of them do not know they post (on Facebook, especially) as a chore—a homework
By William
Congress ei- House Budget Committee pro- year suggests that the matter that the Obama-era Medicaid assignment to build a happy facade,” Ms. Freitas reports.
A. Galston
ther a budget vided specifics. They would remains unsettled. expansion is what made this
or a single repeal all of ObamaCare, in- possible. They will certainly
piece of legislation. When he cluding the Medicaid expan- find out if the plug is pulled. Only 19% of college students agreed that ‘I am
does, some longstanding ten- sion. In place of Medicaid, If he had run on a Elected officials from these open about my emotions on social media.’
sions within the Republican they proposed “State Flexibil- states already know. West Vir-
coalition are likely to occupy ity Funds” that would nullify platform of slashing ginia’s Republican senator, A full 73% said they always try to appear happy.
center stage. “intrusive federal dictates.” entitlements, he Shelley Moore Capito, recently
Take Medicaid, a core ele- Relative to the current budget remarked that “there’s talk of
ment of both the Affordable baseline, the House budget wouldn’t be president. just totally excluding . . . Med- Needless to say, this duty to appear happy for the audi-
Care Act and GOP efforts to would reduce Medicaid spend- icaid expansion [from the Re- ence—and, yes, many students speak of friends and family
rein in federal spending. Ac- ing by roughly $1 trillion— publican replacement for that way—can grate on the performers. It is a special torture
cording to the Department of around 20%—over the next Mr. Trump has good reason ObamaCare]. That’s 184,000 for young people who are clinically depressed, and it has led,
Health and Human Services, of decade. Because the cuts build to proceed cautiously. Of the people in my state.” She Ms. Freitas alleges, to the rise of sites such as Yik Yak, where
the roughly 20 million people over time, the reduction in 30 states he carried last No- added, laconically, “That’s people let it all hang out, sometimes in vile ways, under the
who have gained health-care 2026 would be even greater, vember, 13 have accepted the problematic.” It sure is. cloak of anonymity. Parents and colleges are quick to teach
coverage since the enactment about 25%. ObamaCare option of expand- Mr. Trump is not Paul Ryan. young people how to appear professional online, Ms. Freitas
of ObamaCare, more than half It is hard to find anyone ing their Medicaid programs. He did not campaign on a plat- notes, but they have done much less to help students cope
have done so through the ex- who believes that states could Of these 13 states, nine have form of balancing the budget with the emotional effects of being surrounded by every-
pansion in the Medicaid pro- manage funding cuts of this Republican governors, and 12 by slashing entitlements. If he one’s carefully curated perfection.
gram rather than the individual magnitude without reducing have legislatures controlled had, he would not be president Ms. Freitas’s detailed survey adds substance to her com-
insurance market. the numbers of beneficiaries, by Republicans. And all of today. The people he mobi- pelling thesis. Her interviews with 184 randomly selected, di-
Last year, congressional Re- the scope of benefits, or both. them have benefited from lized into the electorate bene- verse students from 13 colleges—public and private, selective
publicans made clear what This would make many people participating. fit disproportionately from the and less so—covered faith, parents, selfies, sexting and indi-
they would do with the pro- unhappy, including—appar- Over the past four years, programs conservatives regard vidual social-media histories. Her online questions for 884
gram if they had a cooperative ently—the president. the three states with the as the principal obstacles to more students tested ideas that were developed from these
president. Led by Speaker During a 2015 interview largest reductions in their their vision of limited govern- conversations. A full 73% of her survey respondents agree
Paul Ryan, the House Republi- with the Heritage Foundation’s uninsured populations have ment. They know it, and so that “I try always to appear positive/happy with anything at-
cans’ “Better Way” declared Daily Signal, the soon-to-de- been Kentucky, Arkansas and does Mr. Trump. tached to my real name.” Only 19% of respondents agreed
that “the status quo of today’s clare candidate offered some West Virginia, each of which Ultimately, the success of that “I am open about my emotions on social media.”
Medicaid program is unsus- blunt and bracing remarks on expanded Medicaid. They the Trump administration’s Some of her interviews contain real gems. One woman re-
tainable.” They objected to its the topic of entitlements. “I’m gave Mr. Trump margins of legislative program depends ported being so attached to her phone that, mugged for it
open-ended character, and not going to cut Social Secu- victory between 27 and 42 on the president’s ability to on a bus, she pursued the muggers and to get it back gave
they criticized the current rity like every other Republi- points. The 13 Trump states bend conservatives to his will, them $150 (that, apparently, they hadn’t asked for previ-
funding formula, which re- can and I’m not going to cut that chose to participate re- and so does the political via- ously). People alter privacy settings to share different iden-
quires the federal government Medicare or Medicaid,” he de- duced their uninsured rates bility of the expanded coali- tities with different people; a young Muslim woman reports
to pay a larger share of the clared. Although White House by 50%, compared with only tion he created. that she has different Facebook group settings for female
and male friends so that she can post selfies of her uncov-
ered hair (which the men should not see). One young man
A Gamble Helped Black Students Thrive tells her that he doesn’t think his generation is any more
self-centered or self-obsessed than any other. “It’s just that
his generation,” Ms. Freitas writes, “happens to have the
By William Mattox Bethune reached out to James During her performance last sung today. But I see in Mrs. tools ‘to show everybody’ how self-centered and self-ob-
N. Gamble, son of the Procter week, Ersula Odom re-enacted DeVos echoes of James N. sessed they are. ‘Everybody wants to be noticed,’ he says.
S
Tallahassee, Fla. & Gamble co-founder and a the story of how Bethune and Gamble—another Midwestern ‘Everybody likes feeling approval. They all like it when
omething curious hap- regular vacationer in Daytona. her students huddled one Protestant Republican with a other people like them.’ ” Anyone who has posted a photo
pened at a Black History Bethune told Gamble she night in their schoolhouse as family fortune from a clean- on Instagram and then checked 10 times over the next two
Month program held at wanted more than money. She an angry mob of Ku Klux Klan ing-products company. Like hours to count the number of “likes”—and possibly even
Florida A&M University last needed someone who would members assembled outside. Gamble, Mrs. DeVos has given called her sister to remind her to “like” the post and get the
week. An actress portraying share her vision for giving un- Suddenly, the voice of one generously to help disadvan- numbers up—knows this feeling.
African-American educator derprivileged black children schoolgirl pierced the dark- taged kids receive a good edu- In her zeal to be thorough, Ms. Freitas sometimes falls
Mary McLeod Bethune more opportunities. ness, singing the comforting cation, and she has fully into repetition, and she spends relatively little time on what
(1875-1955) praised someone Gamble was so impressed hymn “God Will Take Care of bought into a philosophy that exactly can be done to help young people navigate this
with a demographic profile ee- with Bethune and her students You.” When Bethune and the places the needs of children world. Her most intriguing suggestion—that schools and em-
rily similar to Betsy DeVos, that he bought into her vi- other students joined in the re- ahead of the interests of the ployers declare it unethical to consult applicants’ social-me-
who earlier that day was con- sion—wholeheartedly. He not sounding chorus, the Klans- education establishment. dia accounts—would be a game-changer. It would also proba-
firmed by the Senate as educa- only became the chairman of men realized that they were up That’s something that bly be unworkable. Hiring people is enough of a risk that
tion secretary. As the program Bethune’s school, but enlisted against forces they dare not should give pause to all of the those doing the hiring want any information they can get. So
unfolded, it became easy to see the support of other wealthy cross. Sheepishly, they turned new education secretary’s de- instead she retreats to the common admonition that we all
why the performer decided to businessmen, including John and walked away. tractors—especially those who need unplug for a while so less energy is wasted “conform-
speak up. D. Rockefeller. I realize some people think last Friday stood in a school- ing to others’ desires” in search of “likes” and more efforts
When Bethune started her The influx of financial re- Mrs. DeVos should be disqual- house door to block Mrs. De- can be made on “self-discovery and discovery of the world.”
Daytona School for Negro Girls sources helped. Bethune had ified from public service be- Vos from entering. That’s a nice thought, but considering that only a handful of
in 1904, the education estab- previously made school desks cause she supports giving stu- Ms. Freitas’s respondents say they aren’t on social media, it’s
lishment had little interest in out of discarded boxes and dents more opportunities, Mr. Mattox is director of the an idea unlikely to go viral.
seeing young black children crates, and ink for pens out of including the option of at- Marshall Center for Educa-
receive good instruction. So elderberry juice. But outside tending faith-based schools tional Options at the James Ms. Vanderkam’s most recent book is “I Know How She
she looked elsewhere for help. funding didn’t solve everything. where such hymns are often Madison Institute. Does It: How Successful Women Make the Most of Their Time.”
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
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A16 | Wednesday, February 15, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
OPINION
REVIEW & OUTLOOK LETTERS TO THE EDITOR
The Michael Flynn Fallout Both Parties Have Many With Trump Trauma
M
ichael Flynn’s resignation as national be leaked to the press. The conversations of Joseph Epstein’s “At the Trump coined the term “Trumpenfreude,”
security adviser is an opportunity for American citizens are supposed to be pro- Trauma Center, Nobody Comes for meaning the glee or satisfaction ex-
Treatment” (op-ed, Feb. 8) seems to perienced by Democrats watching
Donald Trump to stabilize his White tected, lest private reputations be ruined
suggest that Trump Trauma is a psy- the Republican Party slit its own
House operation. But it’s also without accountability. So chosomatic illness that affects pro- throat. Mr. Krugman was anticipat-
an opening for Congress to Congress should include it’s unsettling to read that so gressives. He neglects to consider ing that Mr. Trump’s candidacy
clarify the troubling intelli- the leaked transcripts many in the government the moderates and even conserva- would bring down the Republican
gence machinations over Mr. claim to have read the tran- tives who are experiencing real Party in ruins. Of course, just the op-
Flynn’s 2016 campaign con- in its Russia probes. scripts of Mr. Flynn’s conver- symptoms caused by Mr. Trump’s posite happened, and now Trumpen-
tacts with Russia. sations with the Russian am- first two weeks in office: an ill- freude might be a good term for
Mr. Flynn became a politi- bassador, and then spoke thought-out travel ban that feeds the those who take pleasure in the pain
cal liability after his account of Dec. 29 phone about them to the press. narrative of radical extremists that endured by victims of Trump
calls with the Russian ambassador was contra- If these leaks are retribution against Mr. we are an anti-Muslim country, Trauma. And for those who espe-
dicted by news reports. In his resignation letter, Flynn by an intelligence community aggrieved equating the U.S. with Vladimir Pu- cially enjoy how Mr. Krugman was so
tin’s authoritarian regime in Russia, utterly incorrect, we need a new
the former intelligence officer said he had given by Mr. Trump’s negative comments during the
obsessing over the size of the crowd term: KrugmanTrumpenfreude.
Vice President Mike Pence “incomplete infor- campaign, then the White House has a bigger at his inauguration, promising an ex- SAM KAZMAN
mation” about whether he had discussed U.S. problem than a national-security job opening. penditure of government resources Competitive Enterprise Institute
sanctions against Russia on these calls. It faces a bureaucratic insurrection that can do to investigate fraud in the popular Washington
Initially Mr. Flynn claimed Russian sanc- great damage with other leaks that may or may vote, without any evidence that it
tions hadn’t come up in the conversations, and not include accurate information. may have occurred, and attacking Mr. Epstein sees progressive
that’s what the Vice President said in defending This should also worry civil libertarians who our intelligence agencies. Mr. Ep- Americans like me as self-righteous
him on CBS’s “Face the Nation.” But U.S. offi- claim to be worried about the surveillance state. stein’s article reminds me of the doc- and condescending toward President
cials then leaked to the press that transcripts Yet the same voices who call Edward Snowden tor who tells a patient that is bleed- Trump, but I disagree. I see real fear
of Mr. Flynn’s phone calls show that sanctions a hero don’t seem concerned about the leaks of ing profusely from his right arm that for our unity as Americans, our ide-
were discussed. “This was an act of trust, these transcripts about Mr. Flynn. They fret because there is nothing wrong with als and our safety from terrorism.
his left leg, it must all be in his Schoolyard silliness about Mr.
whether or not he misled the Vice President about Mr. Trump’s speculative authoritarian head. Trump’s curious hair has nothing to
was the issue,” White House press secretary menace but don’t want to ask if authoritarian TOM QUIGLEY do with my deep concerns about his
Sean Spicer said Tuesday. tactics were used against Mr. Flynn. Garden City, N.Y. ability to lead us wisely and fairly.
Fair enough, if that’s the real reason. But as The House and Senate intelligence commit- JYL LEININGER
troubling is the fact that Mr. Flynn may have tees ought to include any FISA warrants and Over a year ago, Paul Krugman Seattle
been targeted for political destruction by intel- leaks as part of their probe. Someone—perhaps
ligence sources inside the government. We the President—should declassify any FISA or-
wrote Tuesday that the existence of transcripts der request and the Flynn transcripts if they Fiduciary Rule Is Already Paying Dividends
of Mr. Flynn talking with a foreign official sug- don’t harm other reputations.
gests that he may have been the subject of a As for Mr. Flynn’s successor, the White Regarding “Trump Moves to Undo That certainly hasn’t been my experi-
Dodd-Frank” (page one, Feb. 3): I ence with the retirement industry,
Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISA) House is floating the names of three retired
have been a 401(k) committee mem- and I am thankful that the threat
warrant. military officers, including David Petraeus, who ber for our company for 16 years. We that the retirement industry would
Some media outlets have reported that the would be first-rate. But Mr. Trump may benefit have been stiff-armed by several have to act in the “best interest of
FBI requested the warrant as part of the from taking some time to consider what he re- fund providers as we attempted to their clients” allowed us to provide a
Obama Administration’s investigation into ally wants in that job. negotiate a lower-cost universe of lower-cost option to our partici-
contacts between associates of Mr. Trump He already has military voices in his councils funds for our participants. It was ob- pants.
and Russian banks. Democrats are now de- and perhaps he should consider other points vious to us in July 2015 when ru- JOHN N. MEEKS
manding hearings, which they believe will of view. He needs someone who understands mors of the fiduciary rule by the La- San Marcos, Texas
expose more serious and unseemly interac- strategy, not merely tactics; who has the bor Department began to surface in
tions between Vladimir Putin and the Trump strength and experience to impose some disci- our quarterly discussions with our What is so radical about requiring
campaign. The House and Senate intelligence pline on the NSC; and who will be an honest provider that there could be avenues investment advisers to act in the
for discussion of lower-cost options. best interest of their clients? As an
committees are already investigating Rus- broker who will give Mr. Trump genuine policy
As the April 2017 implementation attorney for 50 years who lived com-
sian election meddling. choices. Former diplomat John Bolton could date approached and our plan size fortably under that duty, and now a
But readers should understand how rare it also do the job. Better for Mr. Trump to take increased, those discussions moved retiree who relies on an investment
is for electronic intercepts of a private U.S. his time and get it right rather than make a forward with increasing velocity. As adviser for my family’s financial se-
citizen—which Mr. Flynn was at the time—to hasty pick he might later regret. a result, we have been able to sub- curity, I would expect nothing less.
stantially reduce the fund cost to our If President Trump feels other-
F
irst reports are often wrong, espe- cession: “It does not fit with socialism and cost offering wouldn’t have been quired to formally notify the clients
cially when it comes to Pyongyang, my father was against it.” made available to our participants. of that fact. Then, watch as clients
My experience is certainly contrary flee to advisers who care.
but it’s worth noting Tuesday’s news He added that he remained in touch with to what your story reported that the Are you listening, SEC?
that Kim Jong Nam, the es- his uncle, Jang Song Thaek, roll back of the fiduciary rule would PHILIP MCBRIDE JOHNSON
tranged half-brother of The exiled brother of who was Pyongyang’s No. 2 provide participants “better choices.” Fernandina Beach, Fla.
North Korean dictator Kim North Korea’s dictator official and main link to the
Jong Un, was poisoned to Chinese government until
death in a Malaysian airport. is poisoned in Malaysia. Kim Jong Un executed him in
This has the look of another
overseas assassination by
2013.
Such comments and asso-
Two Views on the Precision of Climate Models
the Kim regime—and a reminder that behind ciations fueled speculation that China was Holman Jenkins writes: “Two mea- nificantly greater than 50%.
its missile launches and nuclear tests, North grooming Kim Jong Nam as a possible pup- surements separated by less than the Mr. Jenkins is correct in saying that
margin of error are the same” scientists should be more explicit in
Korea remains an inherently unstable and pet in case Kim Jong Un was deposed.
(“Change Would Be Healthy at U.S. Cli- recognizing the degree of uncertainty
vulnerable regime. There’s scant evidence to support this, but mate Agencies,” Business World, Feb. in their measurements. But he in turn
Kim Jong Nam, 45, was Kim Jong Il’s eldest an assassination in Malaysia would certainly 4). This statement is fundamentally un- should recognize that, in a complex
son and heir apparent until 2001, when he was confirm that Kim Jong Un considered him true and, were it to be accepted by pol- world, we must rely on probabilities as
caught trying to use a false Dominican pass- a problem. icy makers, would have severely nega- the basis of decision-making.
port to enter Japan and visit Tokyo Disney- Commentary on North Korean intrigue often tive consequences for the evaluation of ADAM KURLAND
land. Apparently sidelined by this embarrass- focuses on its sensational or otherworldly evidence. The concept of margin of er- New York
ing episode, he began living in the Chinese qualities, and this case may prove no different, ror is meant to recognize that, while
city of Macau while the younger brother was as news reports claim the hit was carried out the point estimate (in this instance, Statistics? Margin of error? Confi-
groomed in his place and took power after by female agents with poisoned needles or temperature) should be viewed as the dence intervals? Don’t be absurd. None
their father’s death in 2011. spray. More important, though, is to recognize most accurate one, there exists a de- of these things matter at the altar of
gree of uncertainty. To imply that this Climate Religion.
On the rare occasions he spoke out from the growing danger of a regime that is fanati-
uncertainty completely negates the un- As a petrochemical industry engi-
exile, Kim Jong Nam criticized the North Ko- cal, fragile—and has nuclear weapons. derlying assertion is equivalent to be- neer who cares deeply about climate
rean system. “North Korea should pay atten- The Trump Administration says it has lieving that one can’t make a judgment change, I am keenly aware of this. Most
tion to reform and openness. If it continues launched a North Korea policy review, and not without complete information. Saying people, however, aren’t going to be up-
like this, it cannot become an economic a moment too soon. Regardless of how or why two measurements are within the mar- set over the National Oceanic and At-
power,” he told a Japanese newspaper in 2011, Kim Jong Nam was killed, the U.S. and its al- gin of error doesn’t mean that the pre- mospheric Administration omitting ba-
contrasting his country’s poverty with China’s lies need plans to handle a Pyongyang palace dicted relationship isn’t true, but sic statistics when they believe that
success. He also condemned hereditary suc- coup as well as a nuclear assault. rather that scientists aren’t “X” cer- climate Armageddon is nigh. But they
tain. This “X” is generally equal to 95%, miss the larger point.
T
he conceit that the five major commer- ObamaCare promotes and rewards health-care
A Very Human Abe Lincoln based scientific debate in the public
sphere will be paramount in this cen-
cial health insurers will consolidate to consolidation on the premise that larger conglom- Left Behind One Nation tury. If those debates are conducted in
three seems to be dissolving, as four of erates lead to efficiencies and are more respon- Perhaps Abraham Lincoln had feet the same frenetic and emotional fash-
those insurers called off a pair sive to government control. of clay, as Elizabeth Brown Pryor ion that climate is being debated, we
of mega-mergers on Tuesday. Antitrust kills two tie- By converting insurers into seems bent on proving in her “Six should all be concerned about how we
The immediate reasons were ups, but reform will public utilities, the law reduced Encounters With Lincoln,” reviewed might be branded or persecuted for
legal objections, but perhaps choice and eliminated most by Carol Bundy (Books, Feb. 4). The our opinion. We owe it to future gener-
this retreat is a sign of hope create a better market. margins for competition. Price image of Harriet Beecher Stowe and ations not just to make the right deci-
for insurance markets. controls suppress innovation her girlfriends laughing at him re- sions on climate, but also to conduct
minds me of Gen. George McClellan our debate on the issue in a manner
After 18 months of court- and discourage new entrants.
strutting about in his tailored uni- consistent with the scientific method
ship among the Big Five starting in 2015, the out- The ObamaCare business, which has left most in- form and calling Lincoln a “baboon,” we claim to cherish.
going ObamaJustice Department’s antitrust divi- surers underwater, was never the great profit- but never quite managing to get his TOM MYSZ
sion sued to block the $34 billion Aetna-Humana making opportunity that some imagined in troops deployed effectively. As Ms. Oakland, Calif.
tie-up as well as Anthem’s $48 billion acquisition 2009-2010. The CEOs pursuing mergers were re- Stowe and Ms. Pryor wrote their
of Cigna. Federal judges blocked both transac- sponding to ObamaCare’s regulatory logic. books, neither had the responsibility
tions earlier this year. Anthem had planned to ap- But that logic is less persuasive now that of dealing with casualty reports, ur- Pepper ...
peal but on Tuesday Cigna pulled the plug after Congress plans to break up the ObamaCare sta- gent requests for supplies, horren-
Aetna and Humana did the same. tus quo to nurture a more vibrant insurance dous personal losses, the need for
And Salt
This is due less to the legal merits than to the market. Deregulation would allow insurers to of- immediate decisions and political chi- THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
pliability of antitrust law that lets enforcers and fer a wider selection of benefit designs and canery by all and sundry.
The indisputable fact is that when
judges define a market as they see fit. The higher-value options and prices.
Lincoln died, he left behind one na-
court’s analysis of the Anthem “market” was Competition may come back in style, not tion. Now, perhaps more than any
limited to “national accounts”—large businesses least because innovations in health-care organi- time since then, we need to be re-
with more than 5,000 employees in at least two zation seldom emerge from huge bureaucracies. minded of his admonition to over-
states, which is suspiciously specific. They come from entrepreneurial businesses come our human failings and listen to
The Aetna deal was meant to expand partici- with new ideas, and investors are less likely to our better nature: “With malice to-
pation in Medicare Advantage, which allows se- back them if they face a rampart of entrenched ward none, with charity for all.”
niors to opt for private plans. The trial judge incumbents. There has been no new net health PAT DICK
ruled that fee-for-service Medicare doesn’t com- insurance business formation since 2008, which Castle Rock, Wash.
pete with Advantage plans, when the reason the is not a sign of economic health.
Advantage alternatives exist is to drive down The for-profit insurance industry will survive Letters intended for publication should
premiums or improve quality through competi- with five independent companies, and maybe be addressed to: The Editor, 1211 Avenue
of the Americas, New York, NY 10036,
tion with traditional Medicare. even improve with more startups in a deregu- or emailed to wsj.ltrs@wsj.com. Please
In theory, the mergers are justified by econo- lated market. Meantime, the Trump antitrust include your city and state. All letters
mies of scale and to build negotiating leverage team can improve on the record of its predeces- are subject to editing, and unpublished
against the increasingly consolidated and some- sors by next working to break up ObamaCare’s letters can be neither acknowledged nor “Today’s meeting is about sales
returned.
times oligopolistic hospital supersystems. local hospital monopolies. quotas, yes, but love will find a way.”
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, February 15, 2017 | A17
OPINION
D
always describe the West Bank as administration ought to ask: What is
onald Trump ran for presi- “disputed” land and speak against the the evidence for this? When did the
dent pledging to throw off phrase “Palestinian territory”—except Palestinians give up their long-term
political correctness and when used in the future tense. It commitment to destroy Israel, and
tell bold truths. That’s should also recognize that Israel came which leaders backed such a dramatic
something to keep in mind to the territory it holds not only dur- change? Undoubtedly, many Palestin-
this week. On Wednesday Israeli ing a defensive war but also through ians are willing and even eager for
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu historical and legal claims, including peace. Yet it is still taboo in Palestin-
will visit the White House. Thursday the 1922 League of Nations mandate ian debate to publicly suggest accept-
will bring Senate confirmation hear- to establish a Jewish homeland. ing Israel’s legitimacy or renouncing
ings for David Friedman, Mr. Trump’s • Millions of Palestinian “refugees” the claims of the “refugees.”
nominee for ambassador to the Jew- have a “right of return” to Israel. The Washington is practiced at super-
ish state. Both events offer an oppor- standard international view is that ficial evenhandedness, always issuing
REUTERS
tunity for the fearless truth-telling Israel has prevented five million Pal- parallel-seeming statements about
that Mr. Trump promised. estinians, many living in “refugee both sides. What the Trump adminis-
camps,” from returning to their Then-candidate Donald Trump with the Israeli prime minister, Sept. 25, 2016. tration can bring is genuine even-
homes. But practically none of these handedness: respecting each side’s
Netanyahu’s Washington people are refugees as normally de- newborn Israel without international the capital to record that they were truths and rejecting each side’s false-
fined; rather they are the descen- assistance. born in Israel. hoods, even when this leads to a po-
visit is an opportunity dants of refugees. The Arab world • Israelis and Palestinians have • There was no ancient Jewish sition that seems “unbalanced.”
to debunk pernicious has kept them in misery for three comparable claims to Jerusalem. This presence in Israel. Palestinian leaders Israel, too, should move toward a
generations to preserve their plight is the best example of the false insist that this is true, and that the strategy of truth-telling and stop ap-
falsehoods about Israel. as a weapon against Israel. “evenhandedness” that has long char- historical Jewish temples were not peasing the false international consen-
The U.S. has failed to challenge acterized American policy—saying, actually located on the Temple Mount sus. It ought to make its case defiantly
this false narrative. It is the principal for instance, that “Jerusalem is sa- in Jerusalem. This feeds their claim to the world. Israel can be ready and
The U.S. has long favored Israel, financial supporter of Unrwa—the cred to both religions.” Although the that the Jews came to Israel as for- willing to make concessions for peace
even during the relative chill of the United Nations Relief and Works city’s Al Aqsa mosque is significant in eign colonialists imposed by the Eu- without pretending that today there
Obama administration. Washington Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Islam, Jerusalem itself has essentially ropeans after the Holocaust. are any terms on which the Palestin-
has nevertheless parroted or pas- Near East—whose sole purpose is to no religious importance. It is not This falsehood can be sustained ians are willing to agree. The Israelis
sively accepted the conventional provide for the basic needs of these mentioned in the Quran or in Muslim only because it is politely tolerated should continue to help the Palestinian
falsehoods about the Israeli-Pales- perpetual “refugees.” prayers. It was never the capital of by the U.S. and Europe—and some- economy but not refrain from publiciz-
tinian conflict. If Mr. Trump wants Privately, American diplomats un- any Islamic empire. times supported by U.N. agencies like ing the ways that Palestinians sabo-
to advance the possibility of peace, derstand that the normal description Peace requires recognizing three Unesco. It works against the possibil- tage the effort and undermine their
he should begin by challenging the of Palestinian “refugees” is a fraud things: that Jerusalem must remain ity of peace by denying the Palestin- own welfare.
five big untruths that sustain the and that these descendants have no the capital of Israel; that the city’s re- ians a moral basis for negotiating Even in a conflict as fraught as
anti-Israel consensus: legal “right of return.” A first step to ligious sites must be protected and with Israel. The Trump administra- this one, there remain underlying
• Israel occupies “Palestinian terri- peace, then, would be to end the cha- free, as they have been only under tion should contradict these absurd truths—and American policy in the
tory.” This is nonsensical: There rade and begin to dismantle Unrwa. the Jewish state; and that any provi- denials of history so often that Pales- Middle East will benefit from telling
never has been a Palestinian govern- The Trump administration might also sion for a Palestinian capital must tinian leaders begin to look foolish to more of them.
ment that could hold any territory, mention the estimated 800,000 Jew- not threaten the city’s peaceful unity. their own people.
meaning Israel could not have taken ish refugees who, in the late 1940s A bold truth-teller would also move • The Palestinians are ready to Mr. Singer, a founder of the Hud-
“Palestinian land.” Quite possibly and early ’50s, were thrown out of the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem, de- accept a “two-state solution” to end son Institute, is a senior fellow at the
large parts of the West Bank should the Arab countries where they had spite the threats of a violent re- the conflict. The U.S. has a tendency Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic
become Palestinian territory, but that been living for millennia. Most of sponse, and would allow the pass- to assume that Palestinian leaders Studies at Bar-Ilan University in Is-
is a different claim. them settled in an impoverished, ports of American citizens born in are ready to accept Israel if suitable rael.
T
especially on small banks, without wife and I decided to buy a house. We asked for. Despite having all the re- they are not nearly high enough. The
here’s a straightforward way to actually making the financial system applied for a loan with a bank where I cords of my on-time monthly rental odds of a bailout in the next century
help prevent the next financial safer. But the assertion that capital have been a customer for many years. payments in my checking account, are still nearly 70%. Large banks need
crisis, fix the too-big-to-fail requirements are holding back lend- I assumed that my long record with the bank demanded a copy of my to be able to withstand around a 20%
problem, and still relax regulations ing is demonstrably false. the bank and our good credit would lease and to speak with my landlord. loss on their assets to protect against
on community lenders: increase capi- How can I prove it? Simple: Bor- make it easy. With the required 20% The banker called me to apologize, taxpayer bailouts in a downturn like
tal requirements for the largest rowing costs for homeowners and down payment, we were prequalified admitting that the requests were ri- the Great Recession, according to a
banks. In November, the Federal Re- businesses are near record lows. If diculous but saying that there was no 2015 analysis by the Federal Reserve.
serve Bank of Minneapolis, which I loans were scarce, borrowers would reasoning with the underwriting de- Unfortunately, regulators have taken it
lead, announced a draft proposal to be competing for them, driving up Financial CEOs say capital partment. As we waited, we began to easy on the large banks, which today
do precisely that. Our plan would in- costs. That isn’t happening. Nor do wonder if we wanted to buy the have only about half of the equity they
crease capital requirements on the other indicators suggest a lack of requirements are already house at all. Wouldn’t continuing to need.
biggest banks—those with assets loans. Bank credit has grown 23% too high, but the facts rent be so much easier? There is a simple and fair solution
over $250 billion—to at least 23.5%. over the past three years, about twice In the end, the bank funded the to the too-big-to-fail problem. Banks
It would reduce the risk of a taxpayer as much as nominal gross domestic suggest otherwise. loan. I felt bad for the underwriters, ask us to put 20% down when buying
bailout to less than 10% over the next product. Only 4% of small businesses who seemed unable to exercise judg- our homes to protect them in case we
century. surveyed by the National Federation ment or use common sense. The im- run into trouble. Similarly, taxpayers
Alarmingly, there has been recent of Independent Business report not for a mortgage with a rate of 3.375% pression I got was that people at the should make large banks put 20%
public discussion of moving in the op- having their credit needs met. fixed for the first 10 years. That was bank were simply paralyzed by fear— down in the form of equity to prevent
posite direction. Several large-bank If capital standards are relaxed, an attractive rate, suggesting capital that they might make a mistake, that bailouts in case the financial system
CEOs have suggested that their capital banks will almost certainly use the was not holding back lending. regulators would be breathing down runs into trouble. Higher capital for
requirements are already too high and newly freed money to buy back their The prequalification was easy. their necks. large banks and streamlined regula-
are holding back lending. As this stock and increase dividends. The Then the frustration began. The I have spoken to many borrowers tion for small banks would minimize
newspaper reported, Bank of America goal for large banks won’t be to in- mortgage banker asked for myriad at other banks, and they tell me simi- frustration for borrowers. If 20%
CEO Brian Moynihan recently asked, crease lending, but to boost their documents: bank statements, 401(k) lar stories. It has become needlessly down is reasonable to ask of us, it is
“Do we have [to hold] an extra $20 bil- stock prices. Let’s not forget: That’s statements, brokerage statements, difficult for qualified borrowers to reasonable to ask of the banks.
lion in capital? Which doesn’t sound the job of a bank CEO. It isn’t to pro- tax returns, W-2s, insurance records get loans. But again, the problem
like a lot, but that’s $200 billion in tect taxpayers. and so on. That all seemed reason- isn’t the capital requirements—it’s Mr. Kashkari is president of the
loans we could make.” So if capital requirements aren’t able, but as the weeks rolled on, the everything else. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
It is true that some regulations the problem, why does it feel so hard requests for more documentation Capital is the best defense against and a participant in the Federal Open
implemented after the 2008 financial to get a loan today? I can speak from kept coming. After a month or so, I bailouts. Although capital standards Market Committee.
WORLD NEWS
President’s Absence Roils Already-Reeling Nigeria and its lenders are in the details.
The biggest gap is political.
Athens is looking for a way to
make fresh austerity digestible
BY JOE PARKINSON across Nigeria’s northeast. in a country that is deeply
AND GBENGA AKINBULE Diminishing Returns President Buhari’s greatest weary of a bailout that began
Since President Muhammadu success has been in rallying a in 2010 and still hasn’t put the
ABUJA, Nigeria—Roiled by Buhari's 2015 election, Nigeria's demoralized army and chasing country back on its feet.
antigovernment protests, re- economy has sunk into its worst Boko Haram back into its forest The IMF is looking to protect
vived insurgencies and its doldrums in decades. hideout; working with neighbor- its credibility, which has suf-
worst recession in three de- ing Chad, Niger and Cameroon fered from the failings of the
cades, Africa’s most populous 15.0 % change in GDP to reclaim territory that once Greek bailout. Eurozone govern-
nation is now fretting about 12.5 sprawled the size of Belgium. ments are eager to avoid domes-
the health of its president. Mr. Buhari in January tically unpopular concessions to
Muhammadu Buhari, the 74- 10.0 played a pivotal role in per- Greece ahead of elections in
BAYO OMOBORIOWO/ASSOCIATED PRESS
year-old who won the 2015 suading former Gambian Pres- Germany and elsewhere.
7.5
elections in Nigeria’s first dem- ident Yahya Jammeh to re- Data released on Tuesday
ocratic transition of power, this 5.0 spect his election defeat, showed Greece’s economy un-
month extended what had been deploying a Nigerian warship expectedly shrank 0.4% in the
2.5
billed as a 10-day vacation to off Gambia’s coast. fourth quarter last year.
London for undisclosed medical 0 But his economic inheritance
reasons. The former military has been less fortuitous than
ruler, deposed in a 1985 coup –2.5 that of Mr. Jonathan, who gov- Up and Down
before entering civilian politics, ’91 ’00 ’10 ’16* erned during an oil boom that Quarterly change in Greece’s
has yet to comment or offer *Estimate underpinned the rapid expan- gross domestic product
details on his health. Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari, right, met with Gambia’s Source: International Monetary Fund sion of a Nigerian middle class
His office has insisted the then-president, Yahya Jammeh, left, in Banjul, Gambia, on Jan. 13. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. in tandem with rampant cor- 2%
president is “hale and hearty” ruption. Critics argue Mr. Bu-
and has released pictures of him The questions about Mr. Bu- changes in economic policy. year-old Mr. Yar’Adua left for hari’s economic policy has
watching television and meeting hari—and concern over a poten- Some carried placards saying Saudi Arabia for medical treat- worsened the country’s malaise. 1
advisers. His wife, Aisha Mu- tial power struggle—come as Af- Mr. Buhari had “gone AWOL” ment and returned months Nigerian commentators say
hammadu Buhari, returned to rica’s top oil producer is gripped from the presidency. later on a life-support machine; there are important distinc-
Nigeria over the weekend. by a political crisis. The collapse Government ministers say he died shortly after. The tions between the optics of Mr. 0
“The president will soon re- in the price of oil—which con- the worst of the economic crisis power struggle during his ill- Yar’Adua’s illness and Mr. Bu-
turn to Nigeria and there’s no tributes some 95% of Nigeria’s is over and that efforts to dimin- ness elevated to the presidency hari’s, with the latter disclos-
cause to worry,” said Garba export revenue—has sparked a ish the country’s dependence on Goodluck Jonathan, a zoologist ing he was having medical –1
Shehu, a spokesman for Mr. Bu- foreign-exchange shortage that oil are starting to bear fruit. from the Christian south with a tests and promptly transferring
hari, on local television on has choked business activity. A The speculation over the reputation for deal making. legislative powers to his dep-
Tuesday, a day after the Nige- revived insurgency in the oil- president’s health has an The power vacuum caused uty, Yemi Osinbajo. –2
rian presidency said Mr. Buhari producing Niger Delta region added potency for many Nige- by Mr. Yar’Adua’s illness—and “I think that the health status 2014 ’15 ’16
discussed by telephone a possi- has exacerbated the crisis. rians, many of whom recall the its coverup by his advisers— of Mr. President is an issue that
Note: Data adjusted for inflation and
ble new arms deal with U.S. Last week, protesters gath- 2010 death of President Um- paralyzed the government only Mr. President would dis- seasonal effects
President Donald Trump as part ered in Abuja and the commer- aru Musa Yar’Adua. while the jihadist Boko Haram cuss at the appropriate time,” Source: Elstat
of terrorism-fighting efforts. cial capital Lagos to demand In November 2009, the 58- insurgency began to take hold Mr. Osinbajo said this month. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
S&P 2337.58 À 0.40% S&P FIN À 1.24% S&P IT À 0.28% DJ TRANS g 0.33% WSJ $ IDX À 0.13% LIBOR 3M 1.037 NIKKEI (Midday) 19473.50 À 1.22% See more at WSJMarkets.com
Funds on SUBSCRIBERS,
IN MILLIONS
AD REVENUE,
MILLIONS*
about 6% Tuesday before word
of the acquisition surfaced.
SoftBank, run by Masayoshi
Alder Hill
A
Airbus..........................B3
Management.............B8
Dr Pepper Snapple
Group.......................B15
DuPont........................A2
E
Owlchemy Labs...........B4
P
PepsiCo......................B15
Petróleos Mexicanos B14
New Woes Arise at Toshiba
BY TAKASHI MOCHIZUKI
Allergan.......................B6 Elliott Management ... B1 Pfizer...........................B6
AllianceBernstein Emperor Group............B8 Procter & Gamble.......A1
Holding......................B6 TOKYO—Toshiba Corp.’s
Exelon..........................B5 PSA Group.................B15
Alphabet ................ B1,B4 problems threatened to spiral
F R out of control as the electronics
Amazon.com ............... B4
Facebook......................B4 Renault ................ B2,B15 giant projected a $6.3 billion
American Airlines
Group.........................B3 Fang Holdings.............B6 RocketWerkz...............B4
write-down, postponed its
American International Fortress Investment earnings report because of alle-
Rolls-Royce Holdings..B3
Group.........................B6 Group.........................B1 gations of impropriety and said
S its chairman was resigning—all
Appaloosa G
Management.............B6 Samsung Electronics in the space of a day.
General Motors ... B1,B15
Apple.........B3,B4,B6,B15 ............................... B3,B4 The delay in the earnings
Goldman Sachs.........B15
ARM Holdings.............B1 Savills..........................B8 report sent Toshiba shares
Green Street down 8% in Tokyo trading
Astoria Financial ...... B15 Advisors....................B8 Scana...........................B2
Sodexo.........................B5 Tuesday. At midday Wednes-
AT&T............................B4 Groupe PSA.................B1
SoftBank Group..........B1
day in Tokyo, shares were
B H down 10%. Toshiba’s president
Sony.............................B4
said he was willing to sell most
BARRA
Continued from the prior page
the European Union led to
losses last year, even as the
company reported $12 billion
in North American profit.
Abandoning Opel would
leave GM as the only top-tier
auto maker without a substan-
tial presence in Europe. Ford
Motor Co. and Fiat Chrysler
KAI PFAFFENBACH/REUTERS
BUSINESS NEWS
Berkshire
Boosted
CSX Takes Fight to Shareholders
Railroad company
Apple Bet reveals activist
investor’s demands
Before Rise and calls for vote
BY NICOLE FRIEDMAN CSX Corp. turned the tables
on an activist investor that
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire threatened a fight for control
Hathaway Inc. increased its of the railroad operator’s
stake in Apple Inc. by more board, revealing the investor’s
than 200% in the fourth quar- demands and calling for its
ter, just before the iPhone shareholders to vote on the
maker rallied to a record. matter.
The purchases expanded
Berkshire’s stake in the tech- By David Benoit,
nology giant to $6.6 billion as Jacquie McNish
of Dec. 31. Its 57.4 million and Paul Ziobro
shares as of that date would be
valued at about $7.7 billion The company said it made a
whether it was his position or The neighboring California cheaper for U.S. retailers in from a year earlier.
Mr. Combs’s. ports of Los Angeles and Long the final weeks of 2016, which Mr. O’Connell said Janu-
Separately, Berkshire also Beach imported 714,413 loaded may have further driven a ary’s strong volumes may be
added a $2.2 billion stake in 20-foot equivalent units, a surge in retail orders. due to importers taking ad-
Southwest Airlines Co. during standard measure for con- But a drop-off in consumer vantage of exceptionally low
the fourth quarter and in- tainer cargo, in January. That confidence in recent weeks, ocean freight rates amid a glut
creased its holdings in Ameri- amounted to a 10.6% increase combined with backups re- of capacity in the ocean ship-
can Airlines Group Inc., Delta over a year earlier—the stron- Shipping container cranes at the Port of Long Beach, Calif. lated to the Lunar New Year ping business. Beginning in
Air Lines Inc. and United Con- gest import performance at Chinese export shipments to U.S. markets were up 6% in January. holiday, will likely slow the April, just three major ocean
tinental Holdings Inc. the nation’s largest port com- flow of imports to the U.S. for carrier alliances will account
Berkshire’s third-quarter plex since last year’s peak Authority reported a monthly omist Jock O’Connell. the first half of February. The for the vast majority of trade
2016 investments in American, month of August. On the ex- record for container volume in Much of January’s strong Global Port Tracker report by to and from the U.S., and that
Delta and United surprised fol- port side, Los Angeles and January, and the Port of Oak- import volume came from the National Retail Federation could drive up rates slightly,
lowers of Mr. Buffett. The bil- Long Beach handled more land, Calif., said imports were China, where exports rose and Hackett Associates LLC Mr. O’Connell said.
lionaire investor has criticized than 600,000 TEUs, but more up 3.6% over the same month 7.9% globally from a year ear- estimates that February im- “It’ll definitely still be
airlines for decades as money- than half of them were empty. last year. lier, producing China’s highest port volume will be slightly cheaper to make things in
losers. However, he told Char- According to research firm “We’re still seeing a modest monthly trade surplus in down from last year. China,” said Ryan Petersen,
lie Rose in a January interview Panjiva, which tracks trade amount of domestic economic nearly half a year. Still, March and April chief executive of Flexport
that investing in airlines was data, U.S.-bound ocean ship- growth in the U.S., generating Chinese export shipments should continue the growth Inc., a startup that arranges
“in large part my decision.” ments increased 5% across all demand for imported prod- to U.S. markets were up 6% in trend, the monthly report international freight ship-
Mr. Buffett declined to com- of the nation’s ports in Janu- ucts, and the dollar continues January, according to Panjiva, said. For the first half of the ments for small and midsize
ment through an assistant. ary. The South Carolina Ports to be strong,” said trade econ- as retailers restocked invento- year, NRF and Hackett Associ- companies.
BUSINESS WATCH
COMCAST For NBC News, a unit of by a settlement over corruption identified last month when seek-
Comcast Corp.’s NBCUniversal, charges, the fall in the British ing an initial arrest warrant for
NBC News Shuffles the partnership will give it a pound and setbacks on aircraft- the 48-year-old Samsung Elec-
Leadership Ranks strong international platform engine programs. tronics Co. vice chairman. A
and an opportunity to better Rolls-Royce, best known for court denied that request. Explore Costa Rica on a Caravan fully guided tour
NBC News is shaking up its compete with Time Warner Inc.’s making engines for Boeing Co. Prosecutors said they would
CostaRica
executive ranks in anticipation of CNN International. NBC News and Airbus SE’s long-range also seek an arrest warrant for
acquiring a stake in Euronews, a will also be able to draw from planes, reported an £83 million Park Sang-jin, a Samsung Elec-
European news channel that Euronews reporting for its news profit for the prior year. The tronics president who was
reaches nearly 300 million platforms, including its morning loss in the latest year reflected grilled by prosecutors this week.
homes in Europe, Africa and the and evening news shows and its a noncash accounting hit from The accusations against Mr. Park 8-Day Tour $1195 + tax, fees
Middle East. MSNBC cable network. the revaluation of U.S. currency were largely similar to those
In a memo to staff, NBC As part of the agreement, hedges after the pound against Mr. Lee. Prosecutors, Includes all hotels, all meals, and all activities.
News Chairman Andy Lack said Euronews will be rebranded as slumped following the country’s however, didn’t accuse Mr. Park Fully guided from start to finish.
Deborah Turness, the president Euronews NBC. vote to leave the European of perjury.
of NBC News, will become presi- —Joe Flint Union. It also included a £671 A Samsung spokeswoman Costa Rica: Detailed Itinerary at Caravan.com
dent of NBC News International, million, one-time charge for declined to make Mr. Lee or Mr.
a newly created position that ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS bribery settlements with U.S., Park available to comment. Day 1. Your tour begins in San José, Costa Rica.
will oversee the partnership with British and Brazilian authorities —Timothy W. Martin
Euronews. Noah Oppenheim, a Jet-Engine Maker after the company admitted to and Eun-Young Jeong Day 2. Explore the active Poás Volcano.
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charge of NBC’s morning show Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC watched underlying pretax profit Day 4. Hike the Hanging Bridges.
franchise “Today,” will succeed said Tuesday that it swung to fell for a third year to £813 mil-
Ms. Turness.
Both will report to Mr. Lack.
a net loss of £4.03 billion
($5.05 billion) for 2016, stung
lion from £1.43 billion a year ear-
lier. Underlying sales fell 2% to
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Neither happened. Its $20 “The return on investment is Rift headsets, while HTC sold Sony’s PlayStation division. same cell tower at the same
strategy game, “Out of Ammo,” not enough for us.” about 420,000 units of its Vive. “You have to put a headset on time, users who have exceeded
has recouped only about 60% Voyager Capital in 2015 in- “All the enthusiasm from VR and experience it.” those levels that month will get
of the roughly $650,000 spent vested $100,000 in Envelop manufacturers and developers Headset makers are orga- a slower connection than every-
creating the game, according VR, whose software lets users Number of high-end headsets just hasn’t been met with the nizing demonstrations at more one else until the congestion
to Dean Hall, the company’s in VR interact with traditional sold in 2016, according to IDC. same volume from the con- public places, such as malls, passes. A problem for smart-
chief executive. For now, Rock- desktop apps. The startup sumer market,” said Shauna college campuses and festi- phone owners is that it is hard
etWerkz is going back to mak- closed its doors in January de- Heller, founder of advisory firm vals. They are also working to to know when or where that
ing traditional computer spite raising more than $5 Clay Park VR and a former de- make VR more user-friendly, might happen. Verizon says:
games. million, according to Erik Ben- roughly $1.4 billion. veloper-relations specialist at such as by pursuing higher- “While we don’t expect to do
Proponents have heralded son, a partner at Voyager. The estimated results were Facebook’s Oculus VR. end headsets that don’t re- that very often, network man-
virtual reality, or VR, as the Startups committed to rid- short of IDC’s projections, and Supporters are convinced quire a PC. agement is a crucial tool that
next big step in computing. ing out VR’s bumpy start likely the firm nudged down its 2017 VR will succeed. Nearly 10% of Meantime, Facebook and benefits all Verizon customers.”
But while VR goggles that face a more challenging jour- forecast to 6.4 million units people playing “Resident Evil 7: HTC are supporting developers Another restriction on Veri-
rely on smartphones have sold ney than they envisioned, Mr. for $3.2 billion in sales. Biohazard” on PlayStation 4 do with hundreds of millions of zon’s unlimited plan: custom-
well, sales of costlier headsets Benson said. Envelop VR’s CEO Other research firms re- so in VR, according to Capcom dollars in assistance. ers can pay only with a debit
card or checking account.
That change is probably
VOA.ORG
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MANAGEMENT
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B6 | Wednesday, February 15, 2017 * *** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
FINANCE WATCH
centerpiece of an effort to im-
prove results amid pressure
from billionaire investors Carl
Icahn and John Paulson to
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN Ltd., China’s largest online real- break up. Mr. Paulson and a
estate portal, has since at least lieutenant for Mr. Icahn now
Funds Link Fees 2010 published its compilation of sit on AIG’s board.
To Performance home prices in 100 Chinese cit- AIG alerted investors to a
ies into a monthly index. The in- material fourth-quarter
AllianceBernstein Holding LP dex usually shows sharper in- charge in announcing a rein-
has filed plans to launch six mu- creases in China’s runaway surance agreement last
tual funds that charge fees only property prices than the official month, with Warren Buffett’s
when they outperform their index. Berkshire Hathaway Inc.,
benchmark indexes, to compete Fang decided to stop updating without disclosing the dollar
with popular lower-cost invest- the index online to avoid disrupt- amount. Under the pact, one
ments. ing the property market, Vincent of the largest ever of its kind,
The New York money man- Mo, Fang’s chairman and chief AIG is paying Berkshire
ager sought regulatory approval executive, told The Wall Street roughly $10 billion. Most of
in December to offer its AB Per- Journal. the cost of AIG’s reserve
formance Fee Series stock —Dominique Fong charge will be covered under
DOUG MILLS/ASSOCIATED PRESS
The Mart
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their auditor pass judgment
on that assessment. Share-
holder advocates say the rule,
those pushing to revamp the
rule. “I think with the general
sort of regulatory skepticism
riving: A coming version of
the Financial Choice Act, Re-
publicans’ proposed replace-
ularity of low-cost index-track-
ing funds and a difficult
environment for stock pickers.
known as Section 404(b), that goes along with the new ment for Dodd-Frank—put in SoftBank gains a global net-
ANNOUNCEMENTS BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY helps ensure companies are administration, you’re seeing place after the financial cri- work of investors that could
giving accurate numbers to more of a direct focus on sis—would apparently relax help it find and structure deals.
investors. Groups like the U.S. 404.” the Sarbanes-Oxley provision It also picks up an asset-man-
Chamber of Commerce say the The rule’s supporters are by exempting even more com- agement back office—compli-
Growing Naples FL based concrete terrazzo rule is too costly and burden- girding to defend it. For com- panies from it than had been ance, legal and other func-
products manufacturer seeking a working some for small companies. panies, “it creates a greater planned under previous ver- tions—that could help as it
partner with operations experience. The fight over the rule sense of accountability that sions of this legislation. builds out its own investing
Minimum investment requirement $250k has been simmering for years, shouldn’t go away,” said San- The most recent version of business.
with potential to buyout existing partner. but both sides say President dra Peters, head of financial- the legislation called for rais- SoftBank believes it can dou-
Email tonyd5441@gmail.com Trump’s antiregulatory push reporting policy for the CFA ing the threshold under which ble Fortress’s assets in the next
has given it renewed intensity. Institute, which represents companies are exempt from few years, partly by shopping
This “changed the mind-set,” chartered financial analysts the rule to a market capital- its funds to Mr. Son’s network
Christopher D. Miller O&MA said John Berlau, a senior fel- who work with individual in- ization of $250 million. A ver- of sovereign funds and global
Venture Capital Attainment Service sion of the legislation will billionaires, according to people
Commercial Finance - Business Loan raise that to $500 million, ac- familiar with the matter. It
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, February 15, 2017 | B7
This spring, The Wall Street Journal will bring together leading figures in business, finance and government to discuss
the opportunities and risks shaping the future of America’s middle market—the engine of U.S. growth, job creation and
competitiveness. The Journal’s senior editors will lead dynamic discussions with experts on top business issues, and
explore how the legislative, regulatory and trade policies of the new administration and Congress will impact the sector.
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B8 | Wednesday, February 15, 2017 * *** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
TH REAL ESTATE
BY SUZANNE KAPNER ment signed in 1975 that pre-
vents the landlord from mak-
As mall owners scramble to ing changes to the property
12%
it expects more defaults to oc- Alder Hill said in the report $82.24, respectively, though Still, some investors remain
cur in lower-quality malls dur- it recently placed a short posi- 85 they rebounded slightly late skeptical that loan defaults
ing the wave of retail closures, tion—a wager that an asset’s last week, according to data may happen earlier than ex-
including department stores. value would fall—betting cer- CMBX 6 BB from securities-data tracker pected.
“We expect 2017 to be a tain low-rated securities would 80 Markit, which publishes the Last week, Deutsche Bank The Chinese yuan’s rise against
tipping point for the pace of suffer a loss of 30% to 70%. Jan. Feb. CMBX index. AG analysts recommended the pound since June referendum
retail store closures and rent One way to short these Source: Markit The problems facing malls shorting risky slices of debt
reductions,” said the report, commercial mortgage-backed THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. are a symptom of a weak envi- tied to malls, noting there had
reviewed by The Wall Street securities is through the ronment for retailers. In Janu- been some hesitation to make
Journal. CMBX, a little-known credit- being a “toxic cocktail” of de- ary, Sears Holdings Corp. said such a recommendation earlier. from TH Real Estate, a London-
The report said the fund’s default-swap index that tracks teriorating fundamentals, add- it would close 150 stores, They pointed to lackluster based investment manager
researchers visited malls and the values of bonds backed by ing that investors don’t appre- while Macy’s Inc. gave more retail sales over the holidays owned by investment-manage-
created their model based on mortgages on malls, office ciate the risks posed by mall details of a plan to close 100 and said the risk of a more ment firm Nuveen, the group
individual properties. They buildings and other commer- loans. stores, weakening sentiment rapid contagion from retailer said.
found a pattern in which rap- cial property. Alder Hill de- “High-risk loans are loans among mall investors. bankruptcies and stores clo- A subsidiary of Hong Kong
idly changing consumer tastes scribed a portion of the index, backed by malls that we be- “The issues with weak an- sures would lead to a pickup conglomerate Emperor Group
and the growth of e-commerce known as CMBX Series 6, as lieve are highly likely to be- chor tenants have been around in mortgage defaults. in January said it bought a
building with offices and
shops in the hip London
Tech Startups Fuel a Boom in Berlin Office Space neighborhood of Soho for
£260 million.
The influx from China and
Hong Kong stands out because
BY FRIEDRICH GEIGER other overseas real-estate in-
vestors have taken a step back
BERLIN—A booming tech- from London. Commercial
startup scene is fueling a re- real-estate transaction volume
naissance of the German capi- in the U.K. capital was £21.5
tal’s moribund office market. billion last year, down 45%
In a sign of how scarce of- from 2015, according to Real
fice space has become here, Capital Analytics.
rental contracts in attractive Uncertainty over the impact
central locations have been of Brexit and high prices after
auctioned off to aspiring ten- a multiyear property boom
ants—a radical change from have been hurdles too high for
the not-too-distant days when some investors.
developers were falling over But Chinese investors have
themselves to woo tenants. taken a different view. For them,
“I’ve experienced it several “London still proves attractive,”
times recently that there were said Alistair Meadows, head of
six or seven applicants for a U.K. Capital Markets at JLL.
lease,” said Christian Leska, A weakened currency is
head of the Berlin office of re- only a part of the surge in in-
altor Savills PLC. “They had to terest, brokers and analysts
go through an application pro- said. “Pricing considerations
cess during which some of- are far and away more impor-
fered a euro or two more per tant,” said Joe Valente, head
SEAN GALLUP/GETTY IMAGES
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B12 | Wednesday, February 15, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS DIGEST
EQUITIES
Dow Jones Industrial Average S&P 500 Index Nasdaq Composite Index
Last Year ago Last Year ago Last Year ago
20504.41 s 92.25, or 0.45% Trailing P/E ratio * 20.82 16.65 2337.58 s 9.33, or 0.40% Trailing P/E ratio * 24.48 20.58 5782.57 s 18.62, or 0.32% Trailing P/E ratio * 25.15 19.81
High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 17.38 14.59 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 17.75 15.25 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 19.65 16.38
trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 2.31 2.70 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 2.04 2.39 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 1.15 1.30
All-time high 20504.41, 02/14/17 All-time high: 2337.58, 02/14/17 All-time high: 5782.57, 02/14/17
Alexandria, VA 800-247-5626 0 Mexico peso .0494 20.2587 –2.3 Iceland krona .008872 112.72 –0.2
Federal-funds Peru new sol .3066 3.262 –2.7 Norway krone .1191 8.3995 –2.8
target rate 0.50 Popular Direct 2.28% 1.00 –6 s Uruguay peso .03505 28.5300 –2.8 Poland zloty .2458 4.0692 –2.8
t One year ago
t
New York, NY 800-274-5696 WSJ Dollar index Venezuela b. fuerte .100150 9.9851 –0.1 Russia ruble .01753 57.058 –6.9
0.00 0.00 –12
EverBank 2.30% Asia-Pacific Sweden krona .1119 8.9342 –1.9
1 3 6 1 2 3 5 710 30 2016 2017 Switzerland franc .9936 1.0064 –1.2
Jacksonville, FL 855-228-6755 Australian dollar .7663 1.3050 –6.0
–0.50 month(s) years Turkey lira .2740 3.6503 3.6
State Farm Bank 2.30% China yuan .1456 6.8668 –1.1
MAM J J A S O N D J F maturity Ukraine hryvnia .0368 27.1500 0.2
Hong Kong dollar .1289 7.7597 0.1
2016 2017 Bloomington, IL 877-734-2265 UK pound 1.2467 .8021 –1.0
India rupee .01496 66.830 –1.7
Sources: Ryan ALM; Tullett Prebon; WSJ Market Data Group Middle East/Africa
Indonesia rupiah .0000750 13326 –1.5
Yield/Rate (%) 52-Week Range (%) 3-yr chg Japan yen .008752 114.26 –2.3 Bahrain dinar 2.6525 .3770 –0.05
Interest rate Last (l)Week ago Low 0 2 4 6 8 High (pct pts)
Kazakhstan tenge .003106 321.94 –3.5 Egypt pound .0606 16.4975 –9.0
Federal-funds rate target 0.50-.75 0.50-.75 0.25 l 0.75 0.50 Corporate Borrowing Rates and Yields Macau pataca .1246 8.0289 1.4 Israel shekel .2668 3.7478 –2.6
Malaysia ringgit .2247 4.4500 –0.8 Kuwait dinar 3.2751 .3053 –0.1
Prime rate* 3.75 3.75 3.50 l 3.75 0.50 Yield (%) 52-Week Total Return (%)
Bond total return index Close Last Week ago High Low 52-wk 3-yr New Zealand dollar .7169 1.3949 –3.4 Oman sul rial 2.5968 .3851 0.03
Libor, 3-month 1.04 1.04 0.62 l 1.04 0.80 Pakistan rupee .00954 104.825 0.4 Qatar rial .2746 3.642 0.04
Money market, annual yield 0.31 0.31 0.22 l 0.32 -0.10 Treasury, Ryan ALM 1424.942 2.090 2.005 2.186 1.141 –2.390 2.741 Philippines peso .0200 49.952 0.7 Saudi Arabia riyal .2666 3.7504 –0.01
Five-year CD, annual yield 1.24 1.22 1.17 l 1.32 -0.09 10-yr Treasury, Ryan ALM 1687.252 2.470 2.389 2.600 1.366 –0.539 2.940 Singapore dollar .7038 1.4208 –1.8 South Africa rand .0763 13.1064 –4.3
30-year mortgage, fixed† 4.11 4.13 3.43 l 4.29 -0.26 South Korea won .0008780 1138.90 –5.7
DJ Corporate 361.614 3.255 3.190 3.410 2.460 5.504 3.801 Close Net Chg % Chg YTD%Chg
Sri Lanka rupee .0066423 150.55 1.4
15-year mortgage, fixed† 3.29 3.31 2.70 l 3.50 -0.11 Aggregate, Barclays Capital 1880.410 2.640 2.570 2.770 1.820 1.055 2.607 Taiwan dollar .03254 30.735 –5.3 WSJ Dollar Index 91.26 0.11 0.13 –1.80
Jumbo mortgages, $424,100-plus† 4.38 4.41 4.02 l 4.88 -0.11 High Yield 100, Merrill Lynch 2738.643 5.315 5.441 8.341 5.248 19.826 3.435 Sources: Tullett Prebon, WSJ Market Data Group
Five-year adj mortgage (ARM)† 3.38 3.41 2.97 l 4.03 -0.21
Fixed-Rate MBS, Barclays 1938.780 2.890 2.860 3.070 1.930 0.177 2.613
New-car loan, 48-month 3.17 3.16 2.87 l 3.38 0.26
HELOC, $30,000 4.69 4.70 4.29 l 4.84 -0.45
Muni Master, Merrill 502.081 2.174 2.135 2.516 1.297 –1.028 2.944 COMMODITIES
Bankrate.com rates based on survey of over 4,800 online banks. *Base rate posted by 70% of the nation's largest EMBI Global, J.P. Morgan 760.369 5.739 5.802 6.924 5.134 13.985 6.506 Commodities Tuesday 52-Week YTD
banks.† Excludes closing costs. Pricing trends on someClose
raw materials, or commodities
Sources: SIX Financial Information; WSJ Market Data Group; Bankrate.com Sources: J.P. Morgan; Ryan ALM; S&P Dow Jones Indices; Barclays Capital; Merrill Lynch Net chg % Chg High Low % Chg % chg
WSJ
TR/CC CRB Index 0.22 158.87
Crude oil, $ per barrel 53.20 0.27 0.51 54.06 29.04 83.20 -0.97
Real-time U.S. stock quotes are available on WSJ.com. Track most-active stocks, new highs/lows, mutual funds and ETFs. Natural gas, $/MMBtu 2.905 -0.039 -1.32 3.93 1.64 52.65 -21.99
.COM
Plus, get deeper money-flows data and email delivery of key stock-market data. All are available free at WSJMarkets.com Gold, $ per troy oz. 1223.90 -0.50 -0.04 1364.90 1127.80 1.32 6.43
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, February 15, 2017 | B13
COMMODITIES WSJ.com/commodities
Metal & Petroleum Futures July 3.215 3.247 3.194 3.217 –.023 99,101 Milk (CME)-200,000 lbs., cents per lb.
Oct 3.239 3.267 3.222 3.241 –.023 97,389 Feb 16.87 16.88 16.86 16.88 .01 4,179 Currency Futures
Contract Open March 16.79 16.97 16.76 16.91 .07 4,429
Open High hi lo Low Settle Chg interest Agriculture Futures Cocoa (ICE-US)-10 metric tons; $ per ton. Japanese Yen (CME)-¥12,500,000; $ per 100¥
Copper-High (CMX)-25,000 lbs.; $ per lb. March .8797 .8837 .8740 .8764 –.0043 192,126
March 1,889 1,969 1,889 1,929 40 636
Corn (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. June .8835 .8875 .8779 .8803 –.0044 9,657
Feb 2.7560 2.7600 2.7370 2.7310 –0.0455 459 May 1,907 1,943 t 1,893 1,905 –20 131,759
March 2.7855 2.8145 2.7135 2.7370 –0.0460 105,239 March 375.00 375.25 373.00 374.25 –1.25 404,228 Coffee (ICE-US)-37,500 lbs.; cents per lb. Canadian Dollar (CME)-CAD 100,000; $ per CAD
May 382.25 382.50 380.25 381.75 –1.00 475,047 March .7653 .7680 .7631 .7650 –.0004 120,981
Gold (CMX)-100 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. March 144.75 145.80 142.50 143.65 –.60 18,513
June .7663 .7686 .7639 .7658 –.0004 2,901
Feb 1225.90 1233.50 1222.10 1223.90 –0.50 1,077 Oats (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. May 146.85 148.00 144.80 145.95 –.60 89,627
March 253.00 256.00 252.50 254.00 –.75 3,671 British Pound (CME)-£62,500; $ per £
April 1226.10 1236.00 1222.70 1225.40 –0.40 269,091 Sugar-World (ICE-US)-112,000 lbs.; cents per lb. March 1.2532 1.2555 1.2449 1.2471 –.0062 207,783
June 1229.60 1238.90 1226.20 1228.60 –0.30 65,180 May 251.75 256.50 250.75 254.00 3.50 3,671 March 20.04 20.52 20.04 20.47 .47 165,590
Soybeans (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. June 1.2560 1.2582 1.2479 1.2501 –.0061 1,712
Aug 1234.50 1242.00 1229.50 1231.80 –0.30 19,040 May 20.00 20.43 20.00 20.37 .38 275,518 Swiss Franc (CME)-CHF 125,000; $ per CHF
Dec 1239.90 1248.20 1236.40 1238.00 –0.20 29,810 March 1055.00 1056.00 1042.50 1045.00 –9.25 204,777 Sugar-Domestic (ICE-US)-112,000 lbs.; cents per lb. March .9951 .9981 .9929 .9944 –.0013 47,572
Feb'18 1246.60 1250.50 1246.60 1241.30 –0.10 4,596 May 1065.75 1067.00 1053.50 1056.00 –9.75 280,912 May 30.40 30.40 30.40 30.30 .07 947 June 1.0023 1.0039 .9990 1.0003 –.0013 217
Palladium (NYM) - 50 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. Soybean Meal (CBT)-100 tons; $ per ton. July 30.30 30.39 30.30 30.39 .10 1,795 Australian Dollar (CME)-AUD 100,000; $ per AUD
Feb 732.85 732.85 732.85 780.95 5.95 1 March 343.80 343.80 338.80 339.50 –3.70 85,252 Cotton (ICE-US)-50,000 lbs.; cents per lb. March .7634 .7692 s .7613 .7648 .0008 121,733
March 775.00 784.90 773.65 780.90 5.95 20,242 May 348.20 348.40 343.20 343.90 –3.90 163,255 March 76.65 76.73 75.90 76.32 –.29 54,492 June .7623 .7674 s .7598 .7631 .0008 1,339
April 778.25 781.40 777.65 781.65 6.05 12 Soybean Oil (CBT)-60,000 lbs.; cents per lb. May 78.04 78.37 77.52 77.95 –.26 138,065 Sept .7623 .7664 s .7600 .7619 .0008 689
June 776.00 785.45 776.00 782.20 5.85 10,074 March 34.21 34.32 33.75 34.14 –.03 93,692 Orange Juice (ICE-US)-15,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Mexican Peso (CME)-MXN 500,000; $ per MXN
Sept 783.20 783.90 780.55 783.45 6.10 21 May 34.45 34.60 34.02 34.41 –.03 141,089 March 167.20 173.00 167.20 170.00 2.90 6,211 March .04910 .04929 s .04876 .04912 .00012 140,966
Platinum (NYM)-50 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. Rough Rice (CBT)-2,000 cwt.; $ per cwt. May 165.00 169.50 165.00 165.85 1.05 4,176 June … .04859 s .04807 .04840 .00012 48,016
Feb 978.80 979.10 978.80 1000.10 1.90 42 March 948.00 952.00 941.00 943.50 –5.00 8,199 Euro (CME)-€125,000; $ per €
April 1001.10 1011.90 998.70 1002.20 1.90 58,801 May 973.50 975.50 966.50 968.00 –5.00 3,559 Interest Rate Futures March 1.0606 1.0644 1.0571 1.0583 –.0027 396,272
Silver (CMX)-5,000 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. Wheat (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. June 1.0654 1.0694 1.0622 1.0634 –.0027 10,946
Feb 17.950 17.960 17.930 17.872 0.068 124 March 450.50 452.00 446.25 449.50 –2.75 135,302 Treasury Bonds (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100%
March 17.810 18.090 s 17.730 17.889 0.068 97,499 May 464.75 466.00 460.00 463.50 –3.50 172,731 March 151-100 151-170 149-290 150-200 –24.0 628,110 Index Futures
Crude Oil, Light Sweet (NYM)-1,000 bbls.; $ per bbl. Wheat (KC)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. June 150-030 150-090 148-210 149-120 –24.0 6,289
March 52.91 53.72 52.86 53.20 0.27 241,481 March 465.75 467.00 461.25 465.25 –1.50 48,545 Treasury Notes (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100% Mini DJ Industrial Average (CBT)-$5 x index
May 478.00 479.50 473.75 478.00 –1.50 83,452 March 20382 20496 s 20346 20482 99 127,639
April 53.42 54.19 53.36 53.71 0.28 398,162 March 124-175 124-200 123-310 124-075 –11.5 3,210,911 June 20326 20432 s 20286 20420 98 1,049
May 53.84 54.58 53.78 54.12 0.26 225,381 Wheat (MPLS)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. June 124-000 124-025 123-130 123-220 –11.5 106,038
March 569.50 570.25 565.75 568.25 –2.50 22,446 S&P 500 Index (CME)-$250 x index
June 54.22 54.95 54.15 54.48 0.23 257,909 5 Yr. Treasury Notes (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100% March 2325.50 2337.50 s 2320.00 2337.00 10.70 70,331
July 54.56 55.22 54.46 54.78 0.22 112,121 May 569.50 570.00 564.75 568.00 –2.50 33,149
March 117-272 117-290 117-155 117-202 –8.0 3,082,403 June 2327.00 2332.20 s 2315.20 2332.10 10.90 1,399
Dec 55.16 55.80 55.05 55.35 0.18 229,060 Cattle-Feeder (CME)-50,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Mini S&P 500 (CME)-$50 x index
March 121.825 124.150 121.675 124.000 2.175 17,486 June 117-162 117-175 117-037 117-085 –8.5 204,635
NY Harbor ULSD (NYM)-42,000 gal.; $ per gal. 2 Yr. Treasury Notes (CBT)-$200,000; pts 32nds of 100% March 2326.50 2337.75 s 2319.75 2337.00 10.75 2,938,992
March 1.6264 1.6559 1.6238 1.6382 .0109 97,216 April 122.000 124.025 121.775 123.900 1.925 13,257
March 108-130 108-135 108-100 108-110 –2.2 1,402,040 June 2321.75 2333.00 s 2315.00 2332.00 10.75 53,301
April 1.6369 1.6666 1.6347 1.6496 .0113 84,339 Cattle-Live (CME)-40,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Mini S&P Midcap 400 (CME)-$100 x index
Feb 115.975 117.400 115.575 117.375 1.450 12,997 June 108-030 108-037 108-000 108-010 –2.7 11,670
Gasoline-NY RBOB (NYM)-42,000 gal.; $ per gal. March 1723.70 1731.10 s 1716.00 1727.80 4.30 94,603
March 1.5450 1.5759 1.5339 1.5467 .0021 77,623 April 112.500 114.075 112.200 114.000 1.475 137,751 30 Day Federal Funds (CBT)-$5,000,000; 100 - daily avg. June 1717.10 1726.80 s 1715.20 1725.30 4.30 20
April 1.7550 1.7876 1.7532 1.7650 .0049 98,135 Hogs-Lean (CME)-40,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Feb 99.343 99.345 99.343 99.342 –.001 100,521 Mini Nasdaq 100 (CME)-$20 x index
Natural Gas (NYM)-10,000 MMBtu.; $ per MMBtu. Feb 74.950 75.200 s 74.950 75.175 .425 13,058 April 99.300 99.305 99.280 99.290 –.010 396,275 March 5259.3 5278.0 s 5239.8 5276.0 16.8 229,745
March 2.923 2.953 t 2.887 2.905 –.039 137,001 April 70.000 71.625 70.000 71.300 1.600 102,636 10 Yr. Del. Int. Rate Swaps (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100% June 5259.3 5277.0 s 5239.8 5275.3 16.8 1,064
April 3.006 3.047 t 2.986 3.005 –.027 195,851 Lumber (CME)-110,000 bd. ft., $ per 1,000 bd. ft. March 93.938 94.000 93.328 93.703 –.313 31,653 Mini Russell 2000 (ICE-US)-$100 x index
May 3.079 3.120 t 3.061 3.084 –.024 176,022 March 365.00 369.80 364.00 365.40 … 2,444 1 Month Libor (CME)-$3,000,000; pts of 100% March 1390.40 1398.80 1383.70 1398.50 6.20 620,820
June 3.152 3.186 t 3.132 3.153 –.022 72,469 May 367.50 374.90 367.40 369.90 1.00 1,997 March 99.1850 99.1850 99.1825 99.1825 –.0100 20 June 1385.50 1393.30 1383.30 1396.50 6.20 603
April 99.1450 99.1450 99.1275 99.1275 –.0150 255 Mini Russell 1000 (ICE-US)-$100 x index
March 1290.10 1296.80 s 1288.60 1298.20 5.20 7,817
Eurodollar (CME)-$1,000,000; pts of 100% U.S. Dollar Index (ICE-US)-$1,000 x index
March 98.9250 98.9275 98.9025 98.9100 –.0125 1,460,579
Cash Prices | WSJ.com/commodities Tuesday, February 14, 2017 June
Sept
98.7550
98.6350
98.7600
98.6350
98.7250
98.5850
98.7400
98.6050
–.0150
–.0250
1,435,191
1,146,311
March
June
100.95
100.91
101.39
101.29
100.70
100.65
101.23
101.15
.28
.26
70,046
2,918
These prices reflect buying and selling of a variety of actual or “physical” commodities in the marketplace— Dec 98.4800 98.4850 98.4250 98.4450 –.0350 1,306,034 Source: SIX Financial Information
separate from the futures price on an exchange, which reflects what the commodity might be worth in future
months.
Tuesday Tuesday Tuesday Bonds | WSJ.com/bonds
Coins,wholesale $1,000 face-a 13948 Soybeans,No.1 yllw IL-bp,u 10.1350
Energy
Other metals Wheat,Spring14%-pro Mnpls-u 6.6300 Tracking Bond Benchmarks
Propane,tet,Mont Belvieu-g 0.7851 LBMA Platinum Price PM *999.0 Wheat,No.2 soft red,St.Louis-bp,u 4.4950
Butane,normal,Mont Belvieu-g 1.2297 Wheat - Hard - KC (USDA) $ per bu-u 4.1525 Return on investment and spreads over Treasurys and/or yields paid to investors compared with 52-week
Platinum,Engelhard industrial 1006.0
NaturalGas,HenryHub-i 2.860 Platinum,Engelhard fabricated 1106.0 Wheat,No.1soft white,Portld,OR-u 4.8725 highs and lows for different types of bonds
NaturalGas,TranscoZone3-i 2.800 Palladium,Engelhard industrial 786.0 Total Total
NaturalGas,TranscoZone6NY-i 2.880
Food return YTD total Yield (%) return YTD total Yield (%)
Palladium,Engelhard fabricated 886.0
NaturalGas,PanhandleEast-i 2.650 Beef,carcass equiv. index close return (%) Index Latest Low High close return (%) Index Latest Low High
Aluminum, LME, $ per metric ton *1867.5
NaturalGas,Opal-i 2.660 choice 1-3,600-900 lbs.-u 176.13 Mortgage-Backed Bloomberg Barclays
Copper,Comex spot 2.7310 Broad Market Bloomberg Barclays
NaturalGas,MarcellusNE PA-i 2.490 select 1-3,600-900 lbs.-u 173.51
Iron Ore, 62% Fe CFR China-s 91.0 1938.78 -0.03
NaturalGas,HaynesvilleN.LA-i 2.740 Broilers,dressed 'A'-u n.a. 1880.41 0.2 U.S. Aggregate 2.640 1.820 2.770 Mortgage-Backed 2.890 1.930 3.070
Shredded Scrap, US Midwest-s,w 282
Coal,C.Aplc.,12500Btu,1.2SO2-r,w 50.050 Broilers, National comp wghtd-u,w 0.8468 1919.15 0.1 Ginnie Mae (GNMA) 2.820 1.850 2.990
Steel, HRC USA, FOB Midwest Mill-s 625 U.S. Corporate Indexes Bloomberg Barclays
Coal,PwdrRvrBsn,8800Btu,0.8SO2-r,w 11.800 Butter,AA Chicago 2.1300
Fibers and Textiles Cheddar cheese,bbl,Chicago 165.00 2638.28 0.4 U.S. Corporate 3.380 2.750 3.710 1133.42 -0.1 Fannie mae (FNMA) 2.900 1.950 3.090
Metals
Cheddar cheese,blk,Chicago 161.00
Burlap,10-oz,40-inch NY yd-n,w 0.5825 2531.41 0.5 Intermediate 2.850 2.190 3.110 1745.21 -0.1 Freddie Mac (FHLMC) 2.920 1.980 3.110
Gold, per troy oz Milk,Nonfat dry,Chicago lb. 90.25
Cotton,1 1/16 std lw-mdMphs-u 0.7507 0.6
Engelhard industrial 1236.25 Cocoa,Ivory Coast-w n.a. 3517.20 0.3 Long term 4.550 3.960 5.130 502.08 Muni Master 2.174 1.297 2.516
Cotlook 'A' Index-t *85.65 1.4496
Engelhard fabricated 1328.97 Coffee,Brazilian,Comp
Hides,hvy native steers piece fob-u 75.000 542.33 0.3 Double-A-rated 2.750 1.980 2.870 349.07 0.5 7-12 year 2.278 1.300 2.618
Handy & Harman base 1230.75 Coffee,Colombian, NY 1.6303
1366.13 Wool,64s,staple,Terr del-u,w n.a. 0.6050
Handy & Harman fabricated Eggs,large white,Chicago-u 674.31 0.6 Triple-B-rated 3.710 3.180 4.430 387.27 0.4 12-22 year 2.739 1.610 3.047
LBMA Gold Price AM *1229.40 Grains and Feeds Flour,hard winter KC 14.35
LBMA Gold Price PM *1222.25 Hams,17-20 lbs,Mid-US fob-u n.a. High Yield Bonds Merrill Lynch 372.68 0.4 22-plus year 3.337 2.027 3.622
Krugerrand,wholesale-e 1273.43 Barley,top-quality Mnpls-u n.a. Hogs,Iowa-So. Minnesota-u 72.17 Global Government J.P. Morgan†
396.62 2.1 High Yield Constrained 5.760 5.760 9.781
Maple Leaf-e 1285.67 Bran,wheat middlings, KC-u 74 Pork bellies,12-14 lb MidUS-u n.a.
American Eagle-e 1285.67 Corn,No. 2 yellow,Cent IL-bp,u 3.5550 Pork loins,13-19 lb MidUS-u 0.8964 398.11 3.5 Triple-C-rated 9.982 9.982 21.231 532.59 -0.8 Global Government 1.510 0.750 1.520
Mexican peso-e 1484.32 Corn gluten feed,Midwest-u,w 92.8 Steers,Tex.-Okla. Choice-u n.a. 750.19 -0.4
2738.64 2.1 High Yield 100 5.315 5.248 8.341 Canada 1.950 0.770 1.980
Austria crown-e 1203.21 Corn gluten meal,Midwest-u,w 520.1 Steers,feeder,Okla. City-u,w 150.29
Austria phil-e 1285.67 Cottonseed meal-u,w 225 359.80 2.2 Global High Yield Constrained 5.404 5.404 9.238 361.41 -2.0 EMU§ 1.267 0.512 1.322
Hominy feed,Cent IL-u,w 85 Fats and Oils
Silver, troy oz. 290.52 1.2 Europe High Yield Constrained 3.022 3.022 6.500 686.62 -2.8 France 1.140 0.270 1.190
Engelhard industrial 18.0200 Meat-bonemeal,50% pro Mnpls-u,w 288 Corn oil,crude wet/dry mill-u,w 37.7500
Engelhard fabricated 21.6240 Oats,No.2 milling,Mnpls-u 2.9400 Grease,choice white,Chicago-u 0.2750 U.S Agency Bloomberg Barclays 509.79 -0.9 Germany 0.380 -0.100 0.490
Handy & Harman base 17.8950 Rice, 5% Broken White, Thailand-l,w 344.00 Lard,Chicago-u n.a. 0.3
1608.78 U.S Agency 1.790 1.150 1.910 285.30 -1.0 Japan 0.450 -0.120 0.470
Handy & Harman fabricated 22.3690 Rice, Long Grain Milled, No. 2 AR-u,w 20.63 Soybean oil,crude;Centl IL-u 0.3249
LBMA spot price £14.3677 Sorghum,(Milo) No.2 Gulf-u 7.2200 Tallow,bleach;Chicago-u 0.3125 1449.28 0.2 10-20 years 1.580 0.960 1.710 557.52 -1.5 Netherlands 0.610 0.020 0.680
(U.S.$ equivalent) 17.9050 SoybeanMeal,Cent IL,rail,ton48%-u 336.50 Tallow,edible,Chicago-u 0.3450
3144.93 0.8 20-plus years 3.270 2.390 3.460 902.57 -1.2 U.K. 1.650 0.960 2.060
2358.08 0.7 Yankee 2.910 2.320 3.090 760.37 2.9 Emerging Markets ** 5.739 5.134 6.924
KEY TO CODES: A=ask; B=bid; BP=country elevator bids to producers; C=corrected; E=Manfra,Tordella & Brooks; G=ICE; I=Natural Gas Intelligence; *Constrained indexes limit individual issuer concentrations to 2%; the High Yield 100 are the 100 largest bonds † In local currency § Euro-zone bonds
L=livericeindex.com; M=midday; N=nominal; n.a.=not quoted or not available; R=SNL Energy; S=The Steel Index; T=Cotlook Limited; U=USDA; W=weekly, Z=not quoted.
*Data as of 2/13 ** EMBI Global Index Sources: Merrill Lynch; Bloomberg Barclays; J.P.Morgan
Source: WSJ Market Data Group
CREDIT MARKETS
COMMODITIES
$5
would cut more than four mil- -0.6
keeping by the Commodity Fu- cents, or 0.7%, to $55.97.
lion barrels a day to stabilize tures Trading Commission. The cuts from the Organi-
prices during the financial cri- Amount cut That carries risks for zation of the Petroleum Ex-
sis, there was only one excep- -0.8 grows by prices, Mr. King said. “There’s porting Countries are provid-
Recent trading range, between tion: Iraq. This time, the excluding a lot of complacency out there. ing a tailwind, but most
$51 and $56 a barrel, of crude oil group’s agreement exempted Libya and If these bets start to unwind, observers believe it is going to
two big producers, Nigeria and -1.0 Nigeria it will be a bloodbath.” take something extra to push
Libya, and allowed Iran to in- To be sure, OPEC’s swiftly prices out of the current range
crease a bit, too. executed production cut has and toward $60 a barrel.
signs that U.S. oil output is in- Including Nigerian and Lib- -1.2 helped the group’s credibility. The OPEC data released
creasing, that oil storage is yan output, BNP Paribas SA For years, it had been consid- Monday showed a month-over-
falling and that other big pro- put OPEC’s compliance rate at Sources: International Energy Agency; The Organization of the ered all but dead, incapable of month decline of 890,000 bar-
ducers like Russia are curtail- 77%, and if Nigerian output Petroleum Exporting Countries; U.S. Energy Information Administration putting aside its internal dis- rels a day in January.
ing flows of petroleum. keeps rising, that could fall to THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. putes and geopolitics. Market participants are
The complicated math has 63%, BNP said—about the Jim Krane, an energy stud- awaiting the next set of data
helped put a cap on oil prices same level as in 2009. U.S. En- barrels a day this year, but the than the 300,000 barrels a day ies fellow at Rice University’s on U.S. inventories of crude
and kept crude trading in a ergy Information Administra- deal was light on details, mak- it agreed to cut. Goldman Baker Institute in Houston, and fuel, expected to be re-
roughly $5 band between $51 tion numbers suggest OPEC ing it difficult to judge compli- Sachs Group Inc. estimates to- said the agreement showed leased Wednesday. Analysts
and $56 a barrel, following a cuts, including Nigeria and ance, traders said. tal compliance by OPEC and 11 that archenemies such as and traders surveyed by The
20% surge in prices after the Libya, amount to about 75% of Russia, the world’s largest non-OPEC countries, which Saudi Arabia and Iran could Wall Street Journal expect
Nov. 30 OPEC deal. what it promised. producer, cut 100,000 barrels agreed to jointly cut output in make a deal. Also, new satellite that crude stockpiles rose by
The latest evidence of this Another wild card is non- a day in January, the Interna- December, at about 85%. technologies mean oil ship- 2.9 million barrels last week.
came Monday, when OPEC— OPEC production. Russia and tional Energy Agency said last “It is a numbers game,” ments are now very transpar- Some analysts have said
notorious for not following 10 other countries said they week, but that was down from said Doug King, chief invest- ent, he said, adding, “Cheating that the large inventory
through on its own agree- would cut a total of 558,000 post-Soviet records and less ment officer at RCMA Asset is very easy to detect.” builds in the U.S. have been
Management and manager of But there are also concerns seasonal and that the extra
Amount Payable / that firm’s $230 million Mer- that the current levels of com- barrels exported by many
Dividend Changes Company Symbol Yld % New/Old Frq Record chant Commodity hedge fund. pliance with the cuts won’t last. OPEC members before the
VicSh US LC High Div Vol CDL 1.8 .06037 M Feb17 /Feb16 “Despite good noises from Saudi Arabia says it has cut start date of the cuts are
Dividend announcements from February 14. VicSh US SC Hi Div Vol CSB 1.3 .04582 M Feb17 /Feb16
VicSh US SC Vol Wtd CSA 0.5 .01845 M Feb17 /Feb16 OPEC, there are important ex- almost 800,000 barrels a day now starting to show.
Amount Payable / WBI Tactical Hi Incm WBIH 1.8 .03511 M Feb17 /Feb16 emptions and we don’t really by itself, far more than the The American Petroleum
Company Symbol Yld % New/Old Frq Record WBI Tactical Incm Shares WBII 0.4 .00732 M Feb17 /Feb16
WBI Tactical LCY Shares WBIG 1.0 .01723 M Feb17 /Feb16 know what’s going on in Rus- 486,000 barrels a day it agreed Institute, an industry group,
Increased
Jack Henry & Associates 1.4 .31 /.28 Mar17 /Mar02
sia.” to and carrying the load for said late Tuesday that its own
JKHY Q Foreign
Lear Corp LEA 1.4 .50 /.30 Q Mar23 /Mar03 DHX Media Var Voting DHXM 1.3 .01445 Q Mar17 /Feb24 Another wrinkle for the countries that have fallen short data for the week showed a
QCR Holdings QCRH 0.5 .05 /.04 Q Apr05 /Mar17 Itau Unibanco Holding ADR ITUB 0.4 .00482 M Apr13 /Mar03 deal is U.S. shale producers, of their goals, such as Algeria, 9.9-million-barrel increase in
Thomson Reuters TRI 3.1 .345 /.34 Q Mar15 /Feb23 Restaurant Brands Intl QSR 1.3 .18 Q Apr04 /Mar03
Scorpio Tankers STNG 0.9 .01 Q Mar30 /Feb23 which are using the bump in Iraq and the United Arab Emir- crude supplies, a 717,000-barrel
Funds and investment companies Vermilion Energy VET 4.9 .16355 M Mar15 /Feb23 prices over the past two ates. rise in gasoline stocks and a
Master Income ETF HIPS 6.9 .1075 M Feb17 /Feb16
Source Capital SOR 3.7 .35 Q Mar15 /Feb24 Special months to jump-start output. The kingdom often reduces 1.5-million-barrel increase in
VicSh Developed Enh Vol CIZ 0.2 .00464 M Feb17 /Feb16 Amerco UHAL 1.00 Mar09 /Feb23 OPEC on Monday doubled its output in the winter for main- distillate inventories.
VicSh US 500 Enh Vol Wtd CFO 0.7 .02601 M Feb17 /Feb16 National Presto Inds NPK 0.9 4.50 Mar15 /Mar01
VicSh US 500 Vol Wtd CFA 0.7 .0252 M Feb17 /Feb16 estimate of non-OPEC produc- tenance anyway, and it isn’t —Alison Sider
VicSh US Disc Enh Vol Wtd CSF 0.5 .018 M Feb17 /Feb16 KEY: A: annual; M: monthly; Q: quarterly; r: revised; SA: semiannual; tion growth in 2017, blaming clear how long it will maintain and Kevin Baxter
VicSh US EQ Incm Enh Vol CDC 1.8 .06334 M Feb17 /Feb16 S2:1: stock split and ratio; SO: spin-off. “a pickup in drilling activities low production levels.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * * * * Wednesday, February 15, 2017 | B15
Email: heard@wsj.com
HEARD ON THE STREET FINANCIAL ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY WSJ.com/Heard
General Motors’ Adieu to Europe—and to Global Scale But some investors still
think the Fed is going to fall
short. Interest-rate futures
General Motors cutting ness, that is a damning in- GM’s European staff, would than they are in the U.S. It are priced for only two rate
its losses in Europe may be Scaling Up dictment of its supply-chain be tough, as Volkswagen’s seems premature to get ex- increases this year, with a
the right move, but it also Top 10 European car makers in management. sobering example shows. cited about cost savings. slight chance of a third.
could take GM out of the 2016, market share by unit sales That said, PSA isn’t cer- VW’s cost-cutting “pact for Meanwhile, GM will need It isn’t hard to come up
ranks of global car makers at VW Group 23.9% tain to prove a better parent the future” with unions has to justify its retreat. Without with scenarios in which the
a point when scale is critical. Renault 10.2 for Opel. True, it could be broken down in recent weeks Opel, it would have made Fed ends up going on hold
PSA Group, the French PSA 9.9 easier for another European amid accusations that man- fewer cars than the Renault- again—say, if the economy
manufacturer that makes the Ford 7.0 business to find savings in agers are cutting further Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance hits a rough patch or if polit-
Peugeot and Citroën brands, BMW 6.7 sourcing than GM and PSA than agreed. last year. GM could keep ical uncertainties roil mar-
confirmed media reports Opel 6.7 Chief Executive Carlos Tava- It is also unclear what GM some European exposure by kets. A more likely scenario
FCA 6.7
Tuesday that it was explor- Daimler 6.2
res has done an extraordi- Europe’s brands would add taking a stake in PSA in ex- might be that fiscal stimulus,
ing an acquisition of GM’s Toyota 4.2 nary job of bringing the commercially to the PSA change for Opel. But GM sold or the anticipation of stimu-
European business, owner of Nissan 3.7 company back from the portfolio. a 7% stake in the company in lus, pushes up the economy
Opel and Vauxhall. Given Source: ACEA brink of bankruptcy in 2013. PSA shares jumped 4% on 2013—just before PSA shares and leads the Fed to raise
that the unit hasn’t turned a Its core automotive business news of the potential deal, in rose by 85%. rates more rapidly.
profit since 2000 and is However, it also runs made a 6.8% operating mar- recognition that the Euro- As the burden of investing The one thing that seems
plagued by overcapacity counter to the industrial gin in the first half of 2016, pean car industry needs con- in new technology mounts, unlikely is that the economy
even in a relatively buoyant logic of automotive consoli- compared with a 15-year av- solidation. But the barriers size matters. Perhaps Opel does great, but the Fed doesn’t
market, selling it makes nar- dation allowing cheaper erage of 1%. are as much political as geo- doesn’t offer the kind of raise rates rapidly enough. But
row financial sense for GM. manufacturing and sourcing But replicating that suc- graphic: Jobs in the car in- scale any sensible car maker that seems to be just what in-
Its shares bounced on the of parts. If GM faces no extra cess in Germany, which dustry are arguably even would want. vestors are betting on.
news. costs in its core U.S. busi- houses roughly two-thirds of more sensitive in Germany —Stephen Wilmot —Justin Lahart
EQUITIES
AHEAD OF THE TAPE | Steven Russolillo
Shares of PepsiCo
Losing Their Fizz
The cola Mexico and Russia are two
wars have of PepsiCo’s biggest revenue
turned from drivers outside of the U.S. In
a stalemate 2015, they represented 10%
to a rout re- of the company’s sales, down
cently. from 15% in 2011.
Over the Even rival Dr Pepper
past five years, PepsiCo Snapple Group Inc., which is
shares have beaten those of more domestically oriented
Coca-Cola Co. by 50 percent- than PepsiCo and Coke,
age points. By diversifying warned Tuesday that its
its business, the snack-and- profit this year would be
beverage giant’s sales and pressured by the weak Mexi-
volumes have risen along can peso.
with 15 consecutive quarters The company has fallen
of profit margin expansion. behind a prior target of tri-
RICHARD B. LEVINE/ZUMA PRESS
6
dential election, underper- surpassed its previous record jumped 1.8%. rate rise at the Fed’s meeting
forming the S&P 500 by 11 set Oct. 31, 2007. The yield on The S&P 500 rose 9.33 in March, according to data
percentage points as the Sweet and Sour the 10-year Treasury note rose points, or 0.4%, to 2337.58, from CME Group, up from 13%
market has raced to records. Share-price performance to its highest level in more and the Nasdaq Composite on Monday.
While PepsiCo’s profitabil- than a week. added 18.62 points, or 0.3%, to The number of records reached The WSJ Dollar Index,
ity has been boosted by cost 75% The moves came after Fed- 5782.57, record closes for both by the Dow industrials this year which measures the dollar
cuts and price increases, the PepsiCo eral Reserve Chairwoman indexes. against a basket of 16 curren-
fact remains that it still gets 50 Coca-Cola Janet Yellen signaled Tuesday Apple set new intraday and cies, rose 0.1%, reversing
almost half of its revenue that the central bank could closing highs, climbing 1.73, or course from earlier in the ses-
from outside the U.S. That consider raising short-term 1.3%, to 135.02, a day after it Some investors and ana- sion. Higher rates tend to
25
includes countries with weak interest rates at its next pol- closed at a record for the first lysts have cautioned that a make the dollar more attrac-
currencies, such as Mexico, icy meeting in March, citing time since February 2015. more aggressive approach tive to yield-seeking investors.
Russia, the U.K. and Brazil. 0 recent job gains and rising Government bonds and from the Fed could derail the Early Wednesday, Japan’s
PepsiCo’s international ex- inflation. their stock-market proxies stock rally that has taken in- Nikkei Stock Average was up
posure, particularly in to- Earlier in the day, govern- pulled back. The yield on the dexes to records multiple 1.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang
–25
day’s political environment, ment data showed that the 10-year Treasury note rose to times this year. Seng Index and Australia’s
makes it more vulnerable to 2012 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 U.S. producer-price index rose 2.470% from 2.434% Monday, Still, others say continuing S&P ASX 200 were up 1%.
earnings turbulence than do- Source: FactSet in January at the quickest rate marking the fourth consecu- growth in the U.S. economy South Korea’s Kospi was up
mestically focused peers. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. in more than four years, a sign tive session of rising yields should support stocks. Inves- 0.4%.
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B16 | Wednesday, February 15, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS
A Remarkable Turnaround for Stocks
Market has reversed
from year ago’s trough What a Difference a Year Makes
to racking up record Investors are much more optimistic about the U.S. economy than they were in mid-February of last
highs 3 days in a row year, when U.S. stocks and oil prices cratered as fears mounted about the possibility of a recession. S&P 500 market
S&P 500 capitalization
BY BEN EISEN AND AKANE OTANI 2400 $20 trillion