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PERSISTENT SYSTEMS

EQUITY RESEARCH - MODEL


DISCUSSION ON EQUITY RESEARCH MODEL - PERSISTENT SYSTEMS
Investment stocks

fundamental approach

decision should I invest in the stock at the CMP

value of company = Intrinsic Value > CMP more than 15%

Project Company
starting t = 0 does not start at t =0
life is finite life is infinite (going concern)
assumptions were given to us we have figure out the drivers and take assumptions

IMPORTANT SECTIONS OF AN ANNUAL REPORT --> INVESTMENT ANALYSIS


1 CHAIRMAN'S SPEECH VISION & MISSION
2 DIRECTOR'S REPORT OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE
3 MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION & ANALYSIS (MDA) COMMENTARY ON LATEST RESULTS
4 INDUSTRY REPORT DEMAND & SUPPLY OF THE SECTOR
5 FINANCIAL STATEMENT DATA (IS/BS/CFS)
REVENUE
DRIVERS

IS

COST DRIVERS

CFS

ASSET
SCHEDULE

BS

BALANCE SHEET
RATIO

HISTORICAL
DATA

ANNUAL
REPORT
ESTIMATES OF
CASH FLOW VALUATION

Intirinsic Price >


CMP

+15% BUY
FORECASTS INVESTMENT
DECISION
DCF

RELATIVE
VALUATION
Persistent Systems
Layout
(All numbers are INR Million, except per share data)
(Red for Assumptions, Blue for Actual Data, Black for Calculations)
Date Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Year 2013-A 2014-A 2015-A 2016-A 2017-A 2018-A
Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
2019-E 2020-E 2021-E 2022-E 2023-E 2024-E
Persistent Systems
Income Statement
(All numbers are INR Million, except per share data)
(Red for Assumptions, Blue for Actual Data, Black for Calculations)
Date Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17
Year 2013-A 2014-A 2015-A 2016-A 2017-A

Revenue from Operations


Other Income
Total Sales

Employee Benefits Expense


Cost of Professionals
COGS

Gross Profit

Other Expenses
EBITDA

Depreciation and Amortisation


EBIT

Interest Expense
EBT

Exceptional Items
PBT

Tax Expense
PAT

EPS
Basic
Diluted

Number of Shares
Basic
Diluted
Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
2018-A 2019-E 2020-E 2021-E 2022-E 2023-E 2024-E

30,337
1,191
31,528

18,316
3,181
21,497

10,031

4,153
5,878

1,585
4,293

1
4,293

-
4,293

1,062
3,231

40.39
40.39

80
80

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