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REFRIGERATOR

Forecasting Moving averages - 2 period moving average


3

Num pds 2 To change the number of periods use the scrollbar, do not change the cell itself

Data Forecasts and Error Analysis


Forecasting
Period Demand Forecast Error Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err
Month 1 40 80
Month 2 47
70
Month 3 50 43.5 6.5 6.5 42.25 13.00%
Month 4 49 48.5 0.5 0.5 0.25 01.02% 60
Month 5 56 49.5 6.5 6.5 42.25 11.61%
50
Month 6 53 52.5 0.5 0.5 0.25 00.94%

Value
Month 7 55 54.5 0.5 0.5 0.25 00.91% 40
Month 8 63 54 9 9 81 14.29%
Month 9 68 59 9 9 81 13.24% 30
Month 10 65 65.5 -0.5 0.5 0.25 00.77%
20
Month 11 72 66.5 5.5 5.5 30.25 07.64%
Month 12 69 68.5 0.5 0.5 0.25 00.72% 10
Total 38 39 278 0.641338
0
Average 3.8 3.9 27.8 0.0641338
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bias MAD MSE MAPE
Time
SE 5.894913
Next period 70.5 Demand Forecast

Forecasting Moving averages - 5 period moving average

Num pds 5 To change the number of periods use the scrollbar, do not change the cell itself

Data Forecasts and Error Analysis Forecasting


Period Demand Forecast Error Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err 80
Month 1 40
Month 2 47 70
Month 3 50
60
Month 4 49
Month 5 56 50
Month 6 53 48.4 4.6 4.6 21.16 08.68%
Value

40
Month 7 55 51 4 4 16 07.27%
Month 8 63 52.6 10.4 10.4 108.16 16.51% 30
Month 9 68 55.2 12.8 12.8 163.84 18.82%
Month 10 65 59 6 6 36 09.23% 20
Month 11 72 60.8 11.2 11.2 125.44 15.56% 10
Month 12 69 64.6 4.4 4.4 19.36 06.38%
Total 53.4 53.4 489.96 82.45% 0
Average 7.628571 7.628571 69.99429 11.78% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bias MAD MSE MAPE Time
SE 9.899091
Next period 67.4 Demand Forecast

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