Professional Documents
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Pacific Affairs, University of British Columbia Pacific Affairs
Pacific Affairs, University of British Columbia Pacific Affairs
Pacific Affairs, University of British Columbia Pacific Affairs
Author(s): J. S. Furnivall
Source: Pacific Affairs, Vol. 18, No. 2 (Jun., 1945), pp. 156-168
Published by: Pacific Affairs, University of British Columbia
Stable URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/2751753
Accessed: 03-05-2019 08:59 UTC
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THE FUTURE OF BURMA
J. S. FURNIVALL
. 156
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The Future of Burma
The Report throws further light on the situation from the trade
returns. In 1939-40 the exports were over Rs. 540 million and the
imports Rs. 252 million. Expressed in terms of the two chief items of
commerce, for every hundred baskets of rice sent abroad from Burma, it
received in return cotton goods to the value of less than fifty baskets.
That is a normal feature of the trade returns. The balance is often
explained as made good by invisible imports. In fact, however, a large
part (though no one can say how large a part) of the surplus of exports
over imports represents profits for which no service is rendered; to that
extent the imports are invisible because they do not exist. Moreover, of
the visible imports a large and increasing share were for non-Burmans.
These consisted largely of capital goods intended to increase the profits
of western enterprise; they paid also for services rendered in the cause
not of national welfare, but of economic development; and they repre-
sented an unnecessarily profuse expenditure on personal amenities
among the wealthier classes, almost exclusively non-Burman, and on
display in administrative and commercial buildings. (Even in Rangoon
there was no museum or art gallery, and, one may almost say, no public
library.)
The Report, however, ignores one important aspect of life in Burma,
which bears immediately on future policy. It is silent as to social dis-
organization, to the decay of the national religion, monastic institutions
and the national system of education, to clerical disorder, to the alarm-
ing prevalence and growth of crime, and to the corruption rampant in all
branches of the administration.
Moreover, apart from suggestions (pp. 6, 16) that these unsatisfactory
conditions arose because economic development took precedence over
social welfare and national interest, the Report does not attempt to
trace their cause or causes. It also contains no indication whether the
government was unable to prevent them or unwilling to prevent them.
In either case, whether the former government could not or would not
change them, people interested in the welfare of Burmans will wish to
be assured that the future government will be both able and willing to
produce different results, and the apparent omission to enquire into
causes necessarily impairs confidence in the remedies proposed.
157
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Pacific Affairs
India. Dominion status implies that Burmans shall possess full self-
government and that Burma shall be linked to Great Britain solely by
ties of interest and affection, and, therefore, that it shall be capable
of independence.
The objective envisaged by the Committee is rather different. It looks
forward to full self-government in Burma subject to the reservation of
certain Imperial rights, including reasonable security for British nationals
engaged in the industrial and commercial rehabilitation of the country
and safeguards (though possibly under some other name) for British
and Indian capital, enterprise and specialist knowledge.
Burmans, we are told, desire self-government "either as part of the
Commonwealth and Empire, or completely independent." But very few
Burmans understand the implications of independence or know any-
thing of the modern world; they have their own way of life and, for
the most part, want to follow it without interference from foreigners.
That is impossible. It is inevitable that Burma shall contribute its re-
sources as fully as possible to world welfare, and this is desirable in the
interest of Burmans so far as it does not hinder progress towards auton-
omy. But until Burmans are in a position to resist aggression they need
help in enforcing the terms on which access to the resources of the
country shall be allowed; and until they are able to control economic
development they need help in controlling it in the interest of national
welfare. The picture of the country in the above sketch of its conditions
shows that at present it is incapable of complete independence. Unless
the social and economic conditions allow of independence, forms of self-
government are futile. Great Britain should be best able to help Burma
to become capable of independence. Among Burmans, however, only an
enlightened minority realize that they need outside assistance and among
these, many, if not most, are suspicious of British offers of assistance; and
the conditions that have developed under British rule afford reasonable
ground for mistrust. The connection between Burma and Great Britain
might and should be far more useful to Burmans than to the British,
but very few Burmans appreciate this fact. If proposals for reconstruction
are to be effective they must be sound in themselves, they must capture
the imagination of the Burmese people, and must gain the confidence
of their leaders. The proposals in the Blue Print fail to satisfy any one
of these three conditions, and in some ways, especially with regard to
the reservations, although the Committee recognizes that every effort
should be made to carry the good will of Burmans, are likely to arouse
mistrust.
o 158
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The Future of Burma
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c 161 x
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resume their activities if these seem likely to be profitable, but not other-
wise. So far as the resumption of their activities is thought desirable, the
Government of Burma will presumably, so far as its means allow, assist
them in replacing and repairing destroyed or damaged goods and prop-
erty to the extent that this may be necessary to induce them to restart
their operations. The pronouncement cited does not seem to warrant the
payment of compensation in excess of this amount, and any such payment
regarded by Burmans as excessive would prejudice those harmonious
relations which the Committee recognizes as essential to the success of
reconstruction. The Report of the Committee suggests, however, that it
anticipates the payment of compensation on a much larger scale, with-
out reference either to the well-being of the people or the resumption
of activities. Large or small, the compensation would constitute an an-
nual charge on the revenues of Burma to be passed on as a liability from
the provisional government to the national government; provision
against default by the national government is examined below.
162
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The Future of Burma
faith of those who wish to believe that Great Britain aims at making
Burma capable of independence, but it would have little or no effect on
those who mistrust Great Britain's intentions, and it would have no
effect whatever on the general body of the people, who do not even know
that there is such a thing as a Dominions Office. The situation in Burma
that we have described above arose because the government has always
been unwilling and too weak to resist the pressure of Western enter-
prise, and it has been too weak because it has been unable to command
the active consent of the people. To repair the damage would in any
case necessitate a strong government. Reconstruction would in any case
necessitate a strong government. To combine repair and reconstruction
the government must be more than doubly strong. No British Governor
will be strong enough. As the Committee remarks, "every effort should
be made to carry the goodwill of Burmans" and for that it is necessary to
appoint a Burman as Governor. For this there is strong precedent in the
appointment of Sir J. A. Maung Gyi. The Government will be strong in
proportion as the people accept him as their representative, and the
man to be appointed should therefore be one who can command most
support among the people. This would go far to capture the imagination
of the people and to gain the confidence of their leaders. During the
early days of reconstruction, and for some years later, he would be un-
able to maintain himself without British support; he would in fact be
unable to do so until the country should be capable of independence.
The people need help but do not know it; a Burman Governor would
recognize his need of British help, and would welcome the appointment
of a High Commissioner to give him the necessary assistance and advice.
That is very much the policy adopted by the Japanese and it is not only
lawful but common sense to learn from one's enemies. Such a combina-
tion would be much stronger not only to promote the national welfare
of Burma but to protect the interests of British enterprise than a Eur-
opean Governor. The first condition of successful reconstruction is then
the appointment of a Burman Governor, with a British High Commis-
sioner to help him. The Burman Governor, no less than a British Gov-
ernor, would of necessity be responsible to Parliament (acting possibly
as agent of some Regional Council) because the government can not
in fact (whatever the form) be made responsible to the people of Burma
until a sufficient proportion, an effective majority, recognize the con-
ditions of independence in the modern world.
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Pacific Affairs
Burmans." A British Governor would be tempted to aim at appeasement
rather than goodwill. This is expressly advocated in the Blue Print by
"the early import of consumer goods formerly enjoyed." If, for example,
the government aims at a "balanced economy" it must encourage the
local production of cotton goods, salt, salt fish, fish paste and so on. The
people must accept restrictions. Appeasement might exercise a tranquill-
ising influence, and make the people less zealous for independence; that
is not the way to make Burma as soon as possible capable of independ-
ence. Also the encouragement of foreign imports will be good for Brit-
ish, Indian and Chinese trade, and for the banks that finance the trade.
There is both on grounds of apparent political and economic interest a
temptation to pursue a policy of appeasement. A Burman Governor would
(or should) be stronger to resist the temptation towards appeasement,
and to recommend to the people the necessity for self-discipline in the
interest of national advancement.
, 164
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to happen if the representative assembly does not accept the draft? Is the
Parliament to accept blindfold any constitution that the representative
assembly approves? These are matters on which the Report is silent. A
constitution laid before the assembly by a Burman Governor is more
likely to be accepted than one devised by a British Governor. In either
case what is to prevent a self-governing country from changing its con-
stitution? It would seem that full self-government implies merely that
Burma shall have full power to do what it wants on condition that it
wants to do what Great Britain wants. This reservation is to be imbodied
in a treaty. One would imagine that this treaty should form part of the
constitution, but the Report appears to indicate the contrary. In that
case Burma would be signing a blank check. But how far would any
treaty provide safeguards for British interests?
The treaty is to embody conditions with regard to defense and certain
economic interests. How is it to be enforced in the event of infraction,
by military force or by law? Looked at from this standpoint the reserva-
tions in respect of defense are ominous. "How oft the means to do ill-
deeds make ill-deeds donel" Doubtless there would be ample legal pre-
text for resorting to armed force, and it would be possible to distinguish
between intervention in Burma and intervention by Mussolini in Abys-
sinia. But the distinction might be less obvious to the outside world, and
would probably be quite invisible to Burmans. In any case, if Great
Britain enforces the treaty by force of arms, the position returns to direct
rule by a foreign power, and we have got no further than we are now.
If alleged infractions of the treaty are to be settled by law or arbitration,
would Burmans be content with a British court, and would Great Britain
accept international arbitration? Given that a decision by international
arbitration goes against the Burman government, there are innumerable
ways within the law of making the position of foreign firms impossible.
The only security for British influence in Burma is that it can do much
more than any other power to help Burmans, and the condition of se-
curity is that a government accepted by the people of Burma as repre-
senting them, welcomes British assistance. Create such a government,
and the urgency for introducing democratic forms of government within
six years or any other fixed period disappears. But the constitution of a
government under a British Governor with the assistance and advice of
representative Burmans will not fulfill the necessary conditions.
The Governor is to be assisted by representative Burmans. Who are
these representative Burmans to be? If they are to be officials, dependent
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