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Making brands matter in turbulent times:

HOW TO STEER BRANDS


THROUGH A CRISIS
Beyond COVID-19

UPDATED
1 April 2020
2

Welcome to version 2.0


of our report…
On February 24th the COVID-19 crisis was still largely a China issue with only 2,069 infections elsewhere.
Now as we publish this updated version, the US and Italy have overtaken China and we have moved from
CHRIS REITERMANN
a regional problem to a global pandemic with over 930,000 infections and still rising.
Chief Executive,
Asia and Greater China It is an historic event posing never before experienced challenges to humanity, economies, countries and companies. We have seen
amazing stories of people connecting, governments stepping up and brands contributing to the efforts to contain this virus.

While the magnitude of this crisis is unprecedented, there are still valuable learnings from past events like SARS and the 2008
economic crisis that are applicable. This report has been updated with recent learnings from China and around the world on brands
that have dealt sensitively and positively with this crisis, and how consumer behaviour has changed and will continue to change.

China is now slowly getting back to work and whilst most of our efforts are around immediate recovery
and support, brands will need to be prepared to swiftly shift from recovery to rebound.

In every crisis there will be winners and losers. Some companies will falter, some will prosper.
We hope this paper will help readers to better navigate the now, the rebound and beyond.

To everyone, stay safe, stay home and make someone smile today!
3

In a crisis there is always


the seed of opportunity

危机
Wēi Jī

The Chinese word for crisis carries two elements,


danger and opportunity.
No matter the difficulty of the circumstances,
no matter how dangerous the situation,
at the heart of each crisis lies a tremendous opportunity.
4
Taking stock and looking ahead

There was hope initially that unprecedented connectivity and Even before the outbreak, we
the COVID-19 outbreak interdependence, bringing new entered 2020 and the Year of Brands that get it right are able to capture
would remain contained in challenges, and new the Rat anticipating growth up to 3x more market share through a
China. However, the opportunities too. We know pressures. COVID-19 is making downturn, and rebound faster and stronger
aggressive spread globally stronger and more adaptable an agile response more crucial
when good times return, for lasting
means that the EIU believe brands are better primed to than ever.
survive and strive during and
competitive gains.
that around half of the world
population could be affected. after a crisis. Ogilvy has created this
document to leverage the
The magnitude of the Brands need to be considering lessons of the past and help
economic losses will depend implications, not only on the prepare marketers for smart
on how the outbreak evolves, health of their business but on
and decisive action, at every
although there are now signs that of their relationships with all stage of the unfolding situation.
of China emerging from their audiences and
the slump. stakeholders.

While clearly not the first As marketers, the key challenge


time we have faced a crisis, in dealing with a crisis as
globalisation and digital mean dynamic and pervasive as this Increase in market share in first 2 years of recovery (Source: Hillier, Tony:
this is one we face with one, is the ongoing uncertainty. Successful Competitive Strategies for Recession and Recovery)
5
SARS,
a notable precedent
During the nine-month SARS was the tipping It is seen as the point that
outbreak, more than point for the internet as a led to Alibaba taking off
8,000 cases of SARS mass medium in China as as those millions, afraid
were confirmed and 774 people looked to mobile to go outside, began to
people died — 648 of phones and the web for shop online. Recovery was
them in Mainland China information and updates also rapid and most Asian
and Hong Kong. Initially about the outbreak. economies bounced back.
the Chinese institutions Shares in Sina, Sohu, and Shares in Cathay Pacific
were playing catch-up, Net Ease soared. Investor Airways tumbled 30 per
but over time they came interest in Chinese cent from December
to terms with the challenge. technology took off. It 2002 to April 2003 only
The Chinese government also triggered the digital to nearly double in the
has an unparalleled ability home entertainment next year as populations
to marshal resources, and market as millions of proved keen to not only
Chinese culture prizes people, confined to return to normal, but make
stoicism and the ability to homes or dormitories, up for lost time.
work through hardships. looked for distraction.
6
From sixth-largest economy
at time of SARS, to second today

Much
is different
this time
Web Supremacy:
China internet users top combined
population of Japan, Russia, Mexico and U.S.
CHINA IS THE
BELLWETHER OF
GLOBAL GROWTH
7
5 Lessons
Despite the
differences, 1 2 3 4 5
5 timeless &
timely lessons ‘BLACK SWAN’
EVENTS CAN
THERE
WILL BE
BUT IT WILL BE
A DIFFERENT
THE KEY IS
MANAGING ALL
BE
PREPARED
from the past BREAK A BRAND AN AFTER PLACE TIME HORIZONS Fortune favours
– OR MAKE IT Marketers who manage
are relevant ‘Black Swan’ events
We don’t yet
know when, but
Marked by lasting
shifts, both attitudinal to turn crisis into
the prepared, agile
and decisive –
today: like SARS, the 2008
GFC or COVID-19
when it happens,
it will happen fast,
and behavioural,
creating new needs,
opportunity are those
who consider and
true in good times,
even more so in
are moments-of- releasing pent-up new priorities and address impacts testing ones.
truth for brands (and demand. new competitive across the short,
marketers) of their opportunities. mid and long term.
purpose, values,
commitments; but
equally of their agility,
creativity and spirit.
8
Four scenarios for COVID-19

OPTIMISTIC BASELINE PESSIMISTIC PANDEMIC


10% CHANCE 50% CHANCE 30% CHANCE 10% CHANCE
Government response rapidly Outbreak under control by Virus becomes endemic. Transmission everywhere.
improves, China/Singapore/Korea end-March in China, end-June Vaccine in a year. No vaccine. Bad policy
path repeated elsewhere. Infections EU/US, end-Sept elsewhere. Nationalist sentiment rises. responses. 1-3% of population
dissipate end-March in China, Tourism + commodities weak China growth -2%, US -4%, dies. Nationalism. State control
end-May elsewhere. Rebound all year, China growth ~0%, Global -4%. Full recovery over some companies. Goods
in H2, China growth at ~4%, US ~-3%, Global ~-2%. not until 2022. shortages + mass layoffs.
US ~1%, Global~ 2%. Rebound in 2021.

Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit


9
COVID-19 INDUCED
ECONOMIC
DISRUPTION WILL
DISPROPORTIONATELY
IMPACT SOME
INDUSTRY
SECTORS MORE
THAN OTHERS

Source: Moody’s, Covid-19 Impact Heatmap, Coronavirus disrupts supply chains


10
Brand challenges now
WHAT IS CURRENTLY
ON MARKETERS’ MINDS?

HOW DO WE KEEP OUR How do we identify HOW CAN WE MOVE How do we innovate
FROM A PHYSICAL TO A
RELATIONSHIP WITH new occasions and
VIRTUAL CONFERENCE/
to find new ways to
OUR CONSUMERS GIVEN behaviours to drive
THE ABSENCE OF A relevance and trial? MEETING/PRODUCT deliver solutions and
PHYSICAL STORE? LAUNCH EFFECTIVELY services in line with the
AND SMARTLY?
new reality and new
behaviours?
HOW DO WE EXTEND
How do we promote our BRAND PROPOSITIONS
business without being INTO SERVICES AND How do we shift from
perceived as taking CONTENT TO KEEP offline-reliance to online
advantage of AUDIENCES INFORMED and delivery-based
the situation? AND CONNECTED? ecosystems?
11
CEO LEARNINGS THROUGH COVID-19:
FLEXIBILITY, AGILITY AND TRANSFORMATION

CONCERNS IN 2020 LEARNINGS IN 2020

Source: Nielsen China, Nielsen CEO survey on COVID-19 in Mar 2020 (n=20)
Q9. What is your Biggest Concern over the next 12 months, and your Biggest Learning over the past 2 months?
12
How to make your brand matter
across all time horizons

In times of crisis even more than in MATTER How do we get on the front foot in a
‘normal’ times, a key challenge is to LONG TERM changed landscape?
reconcile the distinct dynamics and (New Normal) * transform & be fit-for-purpose
requirements of different time
horizons - winning in the now, while
preparing for the medium-term, and


transforming for longer-term growth in MATTER How do we make up for lost ground?
changing times. MEDIUM TERM
* leverage shifts & drive momentum
Ogilvy’s OS helps marketers manage (Recovery phase) and competitive edge
their brand as a holistic and agile
system – where every action, every
experience, builds the brand and


business in interconnected ways. MATTER
How should we respond in
RIGHT NOW
the unfolding situation?
In times of crisis, the OS helps
marketers prioritise actions to take in
(Acute * be agile & optimise
the heat of the outbreak, while looking outbreak phase)
ahead to ensure their brands are
primed to take advantage of the
recovery and ‘new normal’ beyond.
13
Brand actions
to matter right now: ACTIVATE PURPOSE & OPTIMISE FUNNEL MIX

DURING THE SUSTAIN ENGAGE ALL ACTIVATE SPEND SMARTER


ACUTE PHASE SHORT-TERM
SALES
AUDIENCES AND
STAKEHOLDERS
YOUR
PURPOSE
/ MORE FOR LESS

OF OUTBREAK * Maintain saliency * Beyond customers * Do more, say less. * Make every $ count:
but don't be /consumers comms, * Activate brand leverage data analytics for
opportunistic. carry out stakeholder purpose (or make sure full funnel optimisation & fix
* Re-allocate spend mapping to consider the you've identified a weak links.
behind most topically- needs and concerns of genuinely meaningful * Optimise drive-to-web,
relevant segments and all stakeholders, internal one) to support hygiene drive-to-commerce;
SKUs. + external, individual + and virus containment make online visibility +
institutional. efforts, and keep life transaction easier.
* Optimise channel (and livelihoods) going.
mix for shifts in media * Leverage social * Review channel mix to
channels for open & Add ‘brand-aligned’
consumption. secure reach vs shifts in
real-time response and value to people, the
media consumption.
* Rise above communication. community, and broader
Put bets on surging
self-serving and nation.
* Identify opportunities channels.
transactional - tailor to create ‘shared value’ * Not every brand
messaging and offers in needs to turn * Identify opportunities
programs, mobilising and and expand database.
real-time, to respond to connecting all parties for ‘caregiver’: support
shifting topical needs common benefit. across all needs and
and emotions. emotional need-states,
in line with brand benefit
* Sustain broad reach
and persona.
to facilitate new users
exposure and trial.
14
ADVERTISING INVESTMENT REDUCES RISK
354 BRANDS GROUPED ON THE BASIS OF RELATIVE ADSPEND

Balance short-term cost cutting


needs vs potential weakened
brand health through extended
off-air periods PROBABILITY OF SHARE GROWTH/ DECLINE

Share of communications awareness


greater than share of market?

Share of communications awareness


higher than previous year?
75%
36% 57%

Chances of share increase? 19%

Source: Kantar Millward Brown, July 2018


15
Brand actions
to matter right now:
Be where
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Long video
ADJUST CHANNELS AND
CONTENT MIX FOR
Short video
Sleep
people are now.
SHIFTS.
Linear TV
Support what
they’re doing now.
Mobile/online games

Online chat with friends/relatives

PUT BETS Online education


People’s attitudes and Responding, adding
ON SURGING CHANNELS Cooking/baking at home
behaviours are changing value and being agile
Offline learning/reading during COVID-19. As a in the NOW, especially
AND NEW ACTIVITIES Online entertainment brand this is a moment in lower-familiarity
THAT DRIVE SHORT- Working out at home
to recognise, connect,
engage and support
areas where people will
most value support
TERM SALES IMPACT Parenting these new changes. and be open to new
brands and will support
Supervising kids’ study Adjusting channel mix, relevancy in the LATER.
Working from home content and potential
partnerships will help
Live video/livestream
secure efficient reach
Leisure at home as well as relevance.
Nurture skin
Source: https://us.kantar.com/business/
brands/2020/survey-measures-coronavirus-
Pet time outbreak’s-impact-on-china’s-consumption/
16
What Matters Now
From To
Purpose in words Purpose in action

Self interest Act like a leader

Brand Strategy Brand as shared agenda

Competitors Partnerships

Relevant products and


Traditional Products
services

Use power for profit Use power for impact

Customers Inclusion

Source: Steering Brands Through COVID-19, https://www.ogilvy.com/feed/covid-19-webinar/


17
Brand actions
to matter right now:
TO SUPPORT
PEOPLE’S
HEALTH AND
SAFETY

Unilever globally Baidu upgraded it’s Ogilvy is one of 35 Nike USA advocates for
committed to provide free real-time ‘epidemic agencies in Spain the need for social
soap, sanitiser, bleach and area’ map in more than working with five industry distancing in the fight
food to the value of €100 200 cities, helping bodies to use the against COVID-19.
million. Around half of this will protect public health collective power of
go to the COVID-19 Action and safety. The app advertising to fight the
Platform of the World pops up a geotagged spread of COVID-19.
Economic Forum. “epidemic reminder”.
18
Brand actions
to matter right now:
TO SUPPORT
PEOPLE’S
HEALTH AND
SAFETY

Employee stories in critical CSR - ‘Cheer for Wuhan’ cash Delivery - Encourage and Support frontline Safety - Safe dining tips
areas and food donations support delivery staff caregivers and contactless delivery

YUM China and its KFC brand stood out during the crisis. With over 9,000 stores (of which
more than 30% were shut) and 450,000 employees, Yum China navigated this crisis in a skilful
and calm manner. No staff were laid off, a massive shift into delivery was managed, and even
innovation happened during this time, with KFC offering raw meals for home preparation and
contact-less delivery services. KFC contributed to the relief efforts and refocused its
communications around employees and food safety.
19
Brand actions
to matter right now:
TO SUPPORT
PARTNERS,
SMALL
BUSINESSES &
COMMUNITIES
Zoom US offered free Vans will donate Alibaba China HSBC announced a
videoconferencing proceeds from each pair announced 20 measures support package to help
platform to K12 schools of custom designed to help businesses and their customers;
in many countries footwear to their small merchants in China, which including mortgage
globally as well as business partners in this included providing financial payment holidays,
providing extra features time of need. support, flexible job overdrafts and pledged
for on-line learning. opportunities and subsidising £5 billion to help
delivery personnel. struggling businesses.
20
Brand actions
to matter right now:
NOT ALWAYS
ABOUT PUBLIC
SERVICE,
BRANDS CAN
ALSO PROVIDE
POSITIVITY AND
UPLIFT IKEA Taiwan leveraged Chipotle UK created E-commerce giant
its brand promise of ‘Chipotle Together’ JD.com is collaborating
‘bringing joy into the lunchtime hangouts on with a series of alcohol
home’ and creative Zoom featuring celebrity brands to create a virtual
cheeky persona, to bring guests as a way of coping nightclub experience for
light relief to all those with social distancing. self-isolators.
forced to spend
Valentine’s day
quarantined at home.
21
Brand actions
to matter right now:
NOT ALWAYS
ABOUT PUBLIC
SERVICE,
BRANDS CAN
ALSO PROVIDE
POSITIVITY AND
UPLIFT
TikTok launched a new Time Out have temporarily Bottega Veneta launches a
entertainment and information changed their name to Time In virtual residency to provide a
initiative to help lighten the to remain relevant during social much-needed escape. The
mood amid lockdowns. distancing. They have also multi-platform concept will
#HappyAtHome saw well- updated their website with celebrate creativity in all its
known entertainers share live- articles that offer inspiration for forms, with live music
streams on the platform. things to do at home. performances and movie nights.
22
Brand actions
to matter right now:
AS A FORCE
FOR GOOD;
CHANGING
FOCUS

Ford USA is pulling all ads Coca-Cola Philippines are Anheuser-Busch InBev is
promoting its vehicles with halting all commercial redirecting $5 million that it
a new campaign describing advertising and redeploying normally spends on sports
their response to COVID- funds to provision of and entertainment marketing
19, including giving Ford protective equipment, to the American Red Cross to
Credit customers some delivery of food packs to the support the fight against the
payment relief. most vulnerable families, and pandemic. The donation
support for affected small comes as the sports world
retailers. remains shut down.
23
Brand actions to IN THE RECOVERY PHASE, MAKE UP FOR LOST GROUND
matter medium term: BY PRIMING MOMENTUM & LEVERAGING SHIFTS

DURING THE FUEL BRAND PRIME FOR INNOVATE AND SHIFTS


POST-OUTBREAK SALIENCY MOMENTUM
UPON REBOUND
RESHAPE YOUR
PORTFOLIO
TOWARDS DIGITAL
CHANNELS
RECOVERY AND BEHAVIOURS
* Sustain spend and * Identify categories and * Leverage data and * Review Customer
earned exposure / segments that will most insights to identify the Engagement & Content
talkability to keep benefit from pent-up most significant and plans.
brands salient in demand and economic lasting shifts. * Address new needs
anticipation of the stimulus. * Accelerate claims and priorities in Digital
rebound. * Identify priority parts innovation, product content / Digital services
* IPA data shows of portfolio with greatest innovation, CX / Utility /Commerce.
brands that sustain potential. innovation. * Leverage martech and
exposure throughout * Work with your media * Consider how to automation to enable
a crisis, can increase agency to re-allocate leverage and strengthen more personalised and
share 3x during budgets and secure quality Health & Wellness contextual creation and
downturns, but also ad stock. connections, across distribution of content in
rebound faster categories. real-time.
* Leverage CRM
and stronger
in recovery. and social platforms to
activate existing users,
and turn new followers
into trialists.
24
Brand actions to IN THE RECOVERY PHASE MAKE UP FOR LOST GROUND
matter medium term: BY FUELING SALIENCY & PRIMING FOR MOMENTUM

DURING THE FUEL BRAND PRIME FOR MOMENTUM


POST-OUTBREAK SALIENCY ON REBOUND
RECOVERY ‘Surplus’ share of spend / exposure generates
faster market share gains in downturns’
depressed media spend
Companies cutting investment by 50% for 1 year
before returning to normal weight take up
to 2 years to recover lost share.
Those that increase exposure during downturn can
gain up to 3x more share in the first 2 years of recovery.

Source: Hillier, Tony: Successful Competitive Strategies Source: Binet, Les and Field, Peter: Marketing In The Era Of Accountability,
For Recession And Recovery) 2007 Base: 880 successful marketing campaigns, 1979 — 2006
25
Brand actions to matter medium term:
CATEGORIES ARE BEING AFFECTED
– AND WILL REBOUND, DIFFERENTLY

DURING OUTBREAK AFTER OUTBREAK


CANCEL OR REDUCE INCREASE INCREASE CANCEL OR REDUCE

Source: https://us.kantar.com/business/brands/2020/survey-measures-coronavirus-outbreak’s-impact-on-china’s-consumption/
26
Brand actions to matter medium term:
CATEGORY FIRST-TIMERS
ARE AN OPPORTUNITY
TO CONVERT INTO
REGULAR USERS
PERCENTAGE OF
FIRST-TIMERS

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Online medical
This outbreak has 84% tried at least one consultancy Brands can look for
also nudged/forced new service for the Online opportunities for
many consumers to first time, the highest education disproportionate share
try something being online medical Work from home
gains by activating
they’ve never used consultancy (34%) software/app their loyal users'
before, creating an and online education endorsements, and
Paying for digital
opportunity for (33%), followed by entertainment service competitively-
many new sectors. working from home designed promotions
Livestream app
software/app (29%) – eg bulk buying
and paying for digital Social e-commerce/ incentives that secure
entertainment service community group purchase franchise through the
(26%). Buying home event and beyond.
fitness equipment
Online banking

Source: https://us.kantar.com/business/brands/2020/survey-
measures-coronavirus-outbreak’s-impact-on-china’s-consumption/
27
Brand actions to
matter medium term:
NEW BUSINESS AND
SERVICE MODELS BORN
OUT OF NECESSITY
DURING THE CRISIS
MAY PROVIDE NEW
OPPORTUNITIES FOR
DISRUPTION AND Faced with the prospect of
empty cinemas, Huanxi Media
Chinese real estate company Sunac
(Rongchuang) went live on an online

ONGOING COMPETITIVE radically changed its film


distribution by inviting digital
platform which provides real-time online
services for consumers to virtually view,

EDGE pioneer Bytedance (owner of


TikTok) to buy the copyright of
select, consult, purchase and recommend
houses they were unable to physically visit.
Chinese film ‘Lost in Russia’. The Once the platform and new behaviour
film premiered over New Year
established, will this fast become the new
for free on the Bytedance video
normal in property sales?
platform.
28
Brand actions to
matter long term: TRANSFORM TO LEAD IN A CHANGED LANDSCAPE
DURING THE BRAND SUSTAINABLE CE & CX CRISIS & DIGITAL
NEW NORMAL T R A N S F O R M A T IO N T R A N S F O R M A T IO N T R A N S F O R M A T IO N REPUTATION
T R A N S F O R M A T IO N
T R A N S F O R M A T IO N

PHASE * Re-evaluate * Turn crisis-time * Re-evaluate * Implement crisis * Revisit and prioritise
brand positioning, ‘CSR’ into ongoing Customer Experience preparedness plans, digital transformation
proposition and purposeful brand for greater incl. risk-assessment goals, strategy and
portfolio priorities engagement - personalised value audit, crisis response roadmap.
for accelerated across full value and responsiveness. plan and training,
growth in new chain, and across all reputation repair * Accelerate shift to
landscape / stakeholders. * Accelerate plans. mobile and e-com-
segments. employee experience first business models.
* Innovate to create transformation for * Update
* Identify shared value and drive greater personalised stakeholder * Scale digital channels
opportunities for impact across locally- engagement, and influencer and innovation that
first-mover edge, and category- productivity and ecosystem – proved successful
serving future relevant SDGs. flexibility. focus on top 100 during the crisis: social
needs by creating stakeholders. commerce, live
or modifying a * Leverage data and streaming, delivery,
product / service / Martech to enable * Revisit Public online customer service,
experience. personalisation-at- Affairs strategy and agile production,
scale. activation plans. martech.
29
BRANDS SHOULD
ADAPT TO NEW
ROLES AROUND
CONSUMER NEEDS
PRECIPITATED BY
COVID-19

As we emerge from the


crisis we’ll be more life
orientated

Source: Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs https://innovationexcellence.com/blog/2020/03/30/maslows-revenge/


30
THE UNEXPECTED
CATALYST FOR
THE NEW REALITY

The New The New The New The New


Consumer Product Needs Retail Marketing

Smart Shopping| Healthier Innovation | Packaging | Unmanned | Intelligent | Pricing | Brand Building |
Lifestyle Emerging Need Gaps Experiential | Digital Occasions Building

TECHNOLOGY TRANSFORMED CONSUMPTION

Source: Nielsen China, The New Reality of 2020: Covid-19’s Impact on China Retail and Consumer Landscape
31
Summary
When we come through this, the world will be a different place;
decide what sort of company you want to be.

There will be pain and loss, neglected them in the mad Brands will matter more in the company withstand testing
but the COVID-19 crisis will dash to embrace digital, but world COVID-19 leaves times.
eventually be behind us. The now we must return our behind, but the base of a
world it leaves behind will be focus to long-term brand better, more resilient brand Brands will need to find new
permanently changed. We health and worship less at needs to be laid now, amidst reserves of agility, creativity,
will spend less time in the air the altar of short-term the uncertainty of the crisis. and resolve. Those that do will
and more online. Work will be metrics. This crisis will Brands do that by building shape the way consumers view
less a place and more a state accelerate digital trust by acting, visibly and them in the midst of the crisis
of mind, and the minds we transformation, burning the decisively, with an essential and in the new world that
shape to live in this new world laggards and lighting the and authentic purpose. follows, and emerge from these
will be educated differently. way for the leaders. We will uncertain times with a sharp
And we will have adopted yet cross the remaining No one can plan for the exact competitive edge.
more technology. distance to full digital nature of a crisis such as this,
transformation faster and but a tightly-woven braid of
Business will change too. with a greater strategic brand purpose, value, and
Brands, especially. We have sense. commitment can help a
32
Actions for Now
and the Future:
TOP TEN
CHECKLIST 1 6
Don’t wait for recovery; Maximise
adapt to changes and the value and power
focus investment on of existing customers.
what is profitable now.

2 Review product / SKU


portfolio due to changed
consumer behaviour. 7 Use the slowdown
to innovate.

3 8
Disruption provides Have a long-term brand/
opportunity; revisit brand portfolio plan centered on
value and differentiation. changed consumer behaviour.

4 9
Think outside your Redesign/optimise your
physical brand experience. go to market plan: consider
eCommerce acceleration product mix, geography,
plan: product mix, new sales channels and
channels, data systems. customer segment focus.

5 10
Identify new growth Be ready for the After.
opportunities: new occasions, Agility is a must.
new services.
33
Making brands matter in turbulent times:

HOW TO STEER BRANDS Chris Reitermann


THROUGH A CRISIS Chief Executive,
Greater China and Asia
Beyond COVID-19 chris.reitermann@ogilvy.com

Natalie Lyall
Head of Marketing, Asia
natalie.lyall@ogilvy.com

Benoit Wiesser
Chief Strategy Officer, Asia
benoit.wiesser@ogilvy.com

Scott Kronick
Chief Executive, Public Relations
& Influence, Asia
scott.kronick@ogilvy.com
34
Appendix
Sources/links: MARKET SHARE CHANGE IN FIRST TWO YEARS OF RECOVERY FROM INCREASED MARKETING SPEND IN RECESSION
Source: Hillier, Tony: Successful Competitive Strategies for Recession and Recovery

CHINESE LANGUAGE SEARCHES FOR CORONAVIRUS


Source: Baidu Search Index, Capital Economics https://www.capitaleconomics.com/the-economic-effects-of-the-coronavirus/

‘SURPLUS’ SHARE OF EXPOSURE GENERATES FASTER MARKET SHARE GROWTH


Source: Binet, Les and Field, Peter: Marketing in the Era of Accountability, 2007 Base: 880 successful marketing campaigns,
1979 — 2006

CHINA WEB SUPREMACY


Source: China Internet Network Information Center

NATIONAL GDP
Source: World Bank

TRANSPORT CONGESTION INDEX


Source: USB, February 2020

WHAT ARE STAY-AT-HOME CONSUMERS DOING?


OUTBREAK’S IMPACT BY INDUSTRY: POSSIBLE LEVEL OF REBOUND OF EACH INDUSTRY
Source: https://us.kantar.com/business/brands/2020/survey-measures-coronavirus-outbreak’s-impact-on-china’s-consumption/

INTERNET USERS IN CHINA


Source: China Internet Network Information Center

OGILVY ON RECESSION - OPTIMISING THE MARKETING BUDGET IN RECESSION


Source: https://www.warc.com/content/paywall/article/ogilvy_on_recession__optimising_the_marketing_budget_in_recession/90396

BRANDING IN A RECESSION - A SURVIVOR’S GUIDE


Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidvinjamuri/2019/01/03/branding-in-a-recession-a-survivors-guide/#6c1bd8a2b0e2

FOUR SCENARIOS FOR CORONAVIRUS: WORSE THAN SARS


Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit

PURCHASING MANAGERS’ INDEX


Source: National Bureau of Statistics: Haver Analytics
35
Appendix
Sources/links: ADVERTISING INVESTMENT REDUCES RISK
Source: Peter Field, “Marketing in a downturn”, Market Leader, 2008

PROBABILITY OF SHARE GROWTH/DECLINE


Source: Kantar Millward Brown, July 2018

COVID-19 IMPACT HEAT MAP


Source: Moody’s

COVID COMPENDIUM FOR GLOBAL MARKETERS: WHAT ACTIONS ARE BRANDS TAKING AROUND THE WORLD?
Source: World Federation of Advertisers

MASLOW’S HIERARCHY OF NEEDS


Source: https://innovationexcellence.com/blog/2020/03/30/maslows-revenge/

THE UNEXPECTED CATALYST FOR NEW NEEDS


Source: Nielsen China, The New Reality of 2020: Covid-19’s Impact on China Retail and Consumer Landscape

NEW RESOURCES FOR LEADERS


Source: Nielsen China, Nielsen CEO survey on COVID-19 in Mar 2020

CEO TOP LEARNINGS THROUGH COVID-19


Source: Nielsen China, Nielsen CEO survey on COVID-19 in Mar 2020

CONSUMPTION AREAS THAT ARE STARTING TO RECOVER


Source: Reuters Communications

WHAT MATTERS NOW


Source: Steering Brands Through COVID-19, https://www.ogilvy.com/feed/covid-19-webinar

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