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ONDK BAML TMT Conf FINAL 060315
ONDK BAML TMT Conf FINAL 060315
ONDK BAML TMT Conf FINAL 060315
May 2015
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation, including the accompanying oral presentation (collectively, this “presentation”), does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any
securities. This presentation is provided by On Deck Capital, Inc. (“OnDeck”) for informational purposes only. No representations express or implied are being made by
OnDeck or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein.
This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other legal authority. Forward-
looking statements include statements about scalability, growing distribution channels, credit predictability and information concerning our future financial performance,
business plans and objectives, potential growth opportunities, financing plans, competitive position, industry environment and potential market opportunities. Forward-
looking statements can also be identified by words such as "will," "enables," "expects," "allows," "continues," "believes," "anticipates," "estimates" or similar expressions.
Forward-looking statements are neither historical facts nor assurances of future performance. They are based only on our current beliefs, expectations and assumptions
regarding the future of our business, anticipated events and trends, the economy and other future conditions. Moreover, we do not assume responsibility for the accuracy
and completeness of forward-looking statements. As such, they are subject to inherent uncertainties, changes in circumstances, known and unknown risks and other
factors that are difficult to predict and in many cases outside our control.
As a result, you should not rely on any forward-looking statements. Our expected results may not be achieved, and actual results may differ materially from our
expectations. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ from our forward-looking statements are the risks that we may not be able to manage our anticipated
or actual growth effectively, that our credit models do not adequately identify potential risks, and other risks, including those under the heading “Risk Factors” in our Annual
Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 and in other documents that we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, from time to time
which are available on the SEC website at www.sec.gov. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements for any reason after the date of this
presentation to conform these statements to actual results or to changes in our expectations, except as required by law.
In addition to the U.S. GAAP financial information, this presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. We believe that non-GAAP measures can provide
useful supplemental information for period-to-period comparisons of our core business and is useful to investors and others in understanding and evaluating our operating
results. These non-GAAP measures have not been calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP. You should not consider them in isolation or as a substitute for an analysis of
our results under U.S. GAAP. There are a number of limitations related to the use of these non-GAAP measures versus their nearest GAAP equivalents. For example,
neither Adjusted EBITDA nor Adjusted Net (Loss) Income is a substitute for Net (Loss) Income. In addition, other companies may calculate non-GAAP financial measures
differently or may use other measures to evaluate their performance, all of which could reduce the usefulness of our non-GAAP financial measures as tools for comparison.
Adjusted EBITDA excludes some recurring costs, including interest expense associated with debt used for corporate purposes, non-cash stock-based compensation,
depreciation and amortization expense and fair value adjustment for our warrant liability. Therefore Adjusted EBITDA does not reflect interest expense, the non-cash
impact of stock-based compensation or working capital needs that will continue for the foreseeable future. Adjusted Net (Loss) Income excludes stock-based compensation
expense and warrant liability fair value adjustment which will continue for the foreseeable future and therefore will generally be more favorable than Net (Loss) Income
determined in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to the Non-GAAP Reconciliations at the end of this presentation for a description of these non-GAAP measures and a
reconciliation to Net (Loss) Income.
2
OnDeck Powers the Growth of Small Businesses
Through Lending and Technology Innovation
3
A Leading Online Platform for Small Business Lending
Originations
$2 Billion+ total originations $MM
1,158
Gross Revenue
30,000+ small business served $MM
158
5th Generation proprietary credit scoring model
65 56
29
73 net promoter score
2013 2014 Q1'14 Q1'15
4
Investment Highlights
5
Small Business Lending Market is Massive
and Underserved
$80-120Bn
Unmet
$80-120Bn
Demand for Small
Unmet
Business
Demand forLines
Small
of Credit
Business Lines
of Credit
28MM
U.S. Small Businesses $180Bn
Business Loan
Balances Under
$250,000 in
the U.S.
in Q4 ꞌ14
30K $0.7Bn
OnDeck Unique Small OnDeck Loans Under
Businesses Served Management1
Sources: U.S. SBA, FDIC, Oliver Wyman, How “New-Form Lending” Will Shape Banks’ Small Business Strategies, 2013
1. As of 03/31/2015; Loans under management represents the unpaid principal balance plus the amount of principal outstanding for loans held for sale, excluding net
deferred origination costs, plus the amount of principal outstanding of term loans the company serviced for others, each at the end of the period. 6
Diversity of Small Businesses Creates Challenges
for Traditional Lenders…
Cash Flow Profile
Restaurant
CHALLENGES FOR
TRADITIONAL LENDERS
Credit Card Rev. Cash Rev. Monthly Exp. Inventory & Payroll
Landscaping Company
• Diverse businesses require
manual underwriting
• Technology and data
Landscaping Rev. Snow Removal Rev. Monthly Exp. Fuel & Payroll limitations
Plumbing Company
• Lack of standardized small
business credit score
7
…Leading to a Frustrating Borrowing Experience
for Small Businesses
FRUSTRATIONS FOR
SMALL BUSINESSES
8
The OnDeck Score®
Proprietary and Purpose Built for Small Business
Risk Grading
Proprietary • Exhaustive cross validation
10 Million+ C
Data • Feature engineering
small businesses in proprietary database • Adaptive learning
D
Social
Data
Accounting
E
2,000+ Data
data points per application
F
9
We Rely on the OnDeck Score for Greater Accuracy,
Predictability and Access
More Accurate than the Personal Credit Score Resulting in Funding Significantly More
at Predicting Bad Credit Risk1… Loans for the Same Risk…
100%
90% 40
% of Defaults Eliminated
20
10
10%
0%
100% 40% 20% 10% 0% Random Personal Credit OnDeck Score
Score
Acceptance Rate (%)
Automated
Online Review As Fast As
Minutes1 As Fast As Same Day
Immediately3
Hiring
Buying
Use Case Inventory
New Marketing Managing Cash Flow
Staff
1. Based on Q1 ꞌ15.
12
Established and Diverse Customer Base
700+ 30,000+
Small Businesses Served
Industries
in all 50 U.S. states
13
Integrated and Scalable Technology Platform
Data Technology
Online Powered
Aggregation,
Customer Servicing &
Analytics
Experience Collections
and Scoring
14
Diversified and Growing Distribution Channels
5,758
1,276
Direct 77%
2012 2013 2014
3,870
Strategic 1,346
437
Partners
2012 2013 2014
8,131 23%
5,955
3,731
Funding
Advisors
2012 2013 2014
Direct and Strategic Partners Funding Advisors
15
Robust Funding Platform
OnDeck
Marketplace® Diversified
Scalable
Securitization
Durable
Low-cost
Warehouse
Lines
Capital-efficient
Funding mix is shown as of March 31, 2015 based on the outstanding debt by funding source and Marketplace unpaid principal balance.
16
Consistent Portfolio Performance Over Time
9.0%
6.4% 6.9% 6.7%
5.5% 5.5%
4.4% 3.7%
0.0%
2 2 2
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Extend customer
Strategic partnerships
lifetime value
18
Industry Leading Management Team and Investors
Board of Directors
James Robinson III Ron Verni Jane J. Thompson
RRE Ventures Sage Software Walmart Financial Services
American Express CFPB Advisory Board
19
Financial Highlights
Rapid growth
20
Rapid Originations Growth
($MM)
1,158
459
416
227
173
21
Strong Gross Revenue Growth
($MM)
158
65
56
26 29
22
Illustrative Loan Economics
Revenues Expenses
Origination Fee
Acquisition
-–
Processing
and Servicing Loan
Interest Income
Funding Costs
= Profit
Losses
23
Compelling Customer Lifetime Value
$1.1 $16.2
Return3
($MM) $1.5
after
$1.9 9 quarters
$3.7
$5.0
$5.0
Investment
$2.8
Acquisition
Contribution2 +2Q +3Q +4Q +5Q +6Q +7Q +8Q +9Q To Date
Cost1
Q1 ꞌ13
1. Includes upfront internal and external commissions as well as direct marketing expenses.
2. Contribution is defined to include interest income and fees collected on initial and repeat loans, less acquisition costs for repeat loans, less the following items for both initial and
repeat loans: estimated third party processing and servicing expenses, estimated funding costs (excluding any cost of equity capital) and charge offs. For this purpose, processing
and servicing expenses are estimated based on the mix of new and renewal originations and outstanding principal balances.
3. Figures may not foot due to rounding.
24
Direct & Strategic Partner Channels Driving Higher Returns
22%
Direct / All Channels Funding Direct / All Channels Funding Direct / All Channels Funding
Strategic Advisor Strategic Advisor Strategic Advisor
Partner Partner Partner
1. Average number of loans
2. Total cash interest and origination fee collected divided by the quarterly average Unpaid Principal Balance, or UPB, outstanding of the cohort from inception though Q1 2015. Average UPB is
calculated by averaging UPB at inception with UPB at the last day of each quarter in the 9 quarter period.
3. Annualized Return on Assets, or “ROA,” for the cohort over the 9 quarters from Q1 2013 through Q1 2015. Annualized ROA is defined as Cumulative Net Return on an annualized basis
divided by the average UPB outstanding of the cohort from inception through Q1 2015. Cumulative Net Return equals cumulative Contribution including Acquisition Cost as defined on prior
slides. Average UPB is calculated as descripted in the prior footnote. 25
Economies of Scale Driving Higher Returns
Customers Acquired in Q1 ꞌ13 and Q1’14 Through 5 Quarters
• At comparable seasoning points, Q1’14 shows improved returns despite lower pricing
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Direct /Strategic All Channels Direct /Strategic All Channels Direct /Strategic All Channels
1. Total cash interest and origination fee collected divided by the quarterly average Unpaid Principal Balance, or UPB, outstanding of the cohort from inception though the first 5 quarters of the
cohort. Average UPB is calculated by averaging UPB at inception with UPB at the last day of each quarter in the 5 quarter period.
2. Annualized Return on Assets, or “ROA,” for the cohort over the first 5 quarters of the cohort life. Annualized ROA is defined as Cumulative Net Return on an annualized basis divided by the
average UPB outstanding of the cohort from inception through the first 5 quarters of the cohort life. Cumulative Net Return equals cumulative Contribution including Acquisition Cost as
defined on prior slides. Average UPB is calculated as descripted in the prior footnote. 26
Demonstrated Operating Leverage
81% 84%
68%
61%
54%
51%
($0.2)
($1.8)
($3.3)
($4.6)
($5.8)
($6.9)
($16.3)
($20.2)
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APPENDIX
1
Customer Lifetime Value Has Increased Q1’14 vs Q1’13
($MM) or
$4.2 $30.5
Return3
after
5 quarters
$9.7
$12.2 $12.2
$9.1 Investment
Acquisition
Contribution2 +2Q +3Q +4Q +5Q To Date
Cost1
Q1 ꞌ14
1. Includes upfront internal and external commissions as well as direct marketing expenses.
2. Contribution is defined to include interest income and fees collected on initial and repeat loans, less acquisition costs for repeat loans, less the following items for both initial and
repeat loans: estimated third party processing and servicing expenses, estimated funding costs (excluding any cost of equity capital) and charge offs. For this purpose, processing
and servicing expenses are estimated based on the mix of new and renewal originations and outstanding principal balances.
3. Figures may not foot due to rounding.
31
Appendix: Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation
Adjustments:
Adjusted EBITDA represents our net income (loss), adjusted to exclude interest expense associated with debt used for corporate purposes (rather than funding costs associated with
lending activities), income tax expense, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation expense and warrant liability fair value adjustment. EBITDA is impacted by changes
from period to period in the fair value of the liability related to preferred stock warrants. Management believes that adjusting EBITDA to eliminate the impact of the changes in fair value
of these warrants is useful to analyze the operating performance of the business, unaffected by changes in the fair value of preferred stock warrants which are not relevant to the
ongoing operations of the business. All such preferred stock warrants converted to common stock warrants upon initial our initial public offering in December 2014.
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Appendix: Non-GAAP Adjusted Loss Reconciliation
Adjustments:
Adjusted net loss represents our net income (loss) adjusted to exclude stock-based compensation expense and warrant liability fair value adjustment, each on the same basis and with the
same limitations as described before for Adjusted EBITDA.
33