SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.98826980235
R Square 0.97667720224
Adjusted R Square 0.97521952738
Standard Error 37074.7475526
Observations 18

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 920972774376.4920972774376 670.0240425 1.7373758E-14
Residual 16 21992590497.4 1374536906
Total 17 942965364873.8

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 15800.312506 19204.46386499 0.8227416614 0.4227480023 -24911.33194
Consum Intermediar 0.91264814294 0.03525804121 25.884822628 1.737376E-14 0.83790443503

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted PIB Residuals

1 92376.3287337 -11101.0287337
2 127443.647184 -9116.44718355
3 160116.63323 -7486.63323039
4 202883.964062 -4122.8640622
5 254654.933883 -5907.33388336
6 281497.741063 8991.05893652
7 334803.967591 12200.33240931
8 387684.26123 41294.7387704
9 491073.788632 46976.01136795
10 487369.714879 38975.58512088
11 549764.365408 -21517.3654082
12 615432.593561 -56187.7935611
13 653625.91443 -59883.0144301
14 674626.313258 -39166.9132584
15 704450.285597 -35860.1855974
16 717740.815444 -5153.01544381
17 722407.641723 42727.75827727
18 794322.49009 64337.10990998
Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
56511.96 -24911.33 56511.96
0.987392 0.837904 0.987392
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.988524
R Square 0.977179
Adjusted R 0.974137
Standard E 37876.09
Observatio 18

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 9.21E+11 4.61E+11 321.1513 4.869E-13
Residual 15 2.15E+10 1.43E+09
Total 17 9.43E+11

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -304017 556961.7 -0.54585 0.593195 -1491153 883118.5 -1491153 883118.5
Consum Int 0.839237 0.132747 6.322099 1.369E-05 0.556294 1.122179 0.556294 1.122179
log ci 63431.69 110397.6 0.574575 0.574096 -171875 298738.6 -171875 298738.6
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.957273
R Square 0.916372
Adjusted R 0.911145
Standard E 70204.32
Observatio 18

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 8.64E+11 8.64E+11 175.3234 4.883E-10
Residual 16 7.89E+10 4.93E+09
Total 17 9.43E+11

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -3661004 311554.6 -11.75076 2.787E-09 -4321470 -3000538 -4321470 -3000538
log ci 735190.8 55523.92 13.24097 4.883E-10 617485.3 852896.2 617485.3 852896.2
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.999688
R Square 0.999375
Adjusted R 0.999336
Standard E 6067.749
Observatio 18

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 9.42E+11 9.42E+11 25595.82 4.557E-27
Residual 16 5.89E+08 36817581
Total 17 9.43E+11

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 1292.884 3195.446 0.404602 0.691128 -5481.16 8066.927 -5481.16 8066.927
V.A.B. 1.120117 0.007001 159.9869 4.557E-27 1.105275 1.134959 1.105275 1.134959
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.767158
R Square 0.588531
Adjusted R 0.533669
Standard E 160831.4
Observatio 18

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 5.55E+11 2.77E+11 10.72738 0.001281
Residual 15 3.88E+11 2.59E+10
Total 17 9.43E+11

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept -110453 129472.3 -0.853104
Sold -125.549 29.38701 -4.272261
sold2 -0.005063 0.001399 -3.619444
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
0.407019 -386417 165510.4 -386417 165510.4
0.000668 -188.1859 -62.91205 -188.1859 -62.91205
0.002523 -0.008045 -0.002082 -0.008045 -0.002082
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.999937
R Square 0.999874
Adjusted R 0.999835
Standard E 3024.684
Observatio 18

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 9.43E+11 2.36E+11 25764.45 3.391E-25
Residual 13 1.19E+08 9148716
Total 17 9.43E+11

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -920.1262 2498.691 -0.368243 0.718619 -6318.221 4477.968 -6318.221 4477.968
Consum Int 0.12961 0.019002 6.820863 1.223E-05 0.088559 0.170661 0.088559 0.170661
V.A.B. 0.958098 0.023396 40.9514 3.957E-15 0.907554 1.008642 0.907554 1.008642
Sold -0.869114 0.824587 -1.053999 0.31108 -2.650526 0.912298 -2.650526 0.912298
sold^2 -1.73E-05 3.68E-05 -0.470233 0.64598 -9.68E-05 6.22E-05 -9.68E-05 6.22E-05
 PIB Consum Intermediar V.A.B. Sold sold^2
2000 81275.3 83905.3 73027.1 -1867.000 3485689
2001 118327.2 122329 106501.4 -1867.000 3485689
2002 152630 158129.2 137535.3 -3323.000 11042329
2003 198761.1 204989.9 176974.40 -2752.000 7573504
2004 248747.6 261716 222310.9 -5323.000 28334329
2005 290488.8 291128 256766.9 -7806.000 60933636
2006 347004.3 349536.3 306623.5 -11759.000 1.38E+08
2007 428979 407477.9 381378.1 -17822.000 3.18E+08
2008 538049.8 520763.1 481974.8 -19109.000 3.65E+08
2009 526345.3 516704.5 475620.8 -6871.000 47210641
2010 528247 585071.1 471396 -5864.000 34386496
2011 559244.8 657024.6 491686.5 -9382.000 88021924
2012 593742.9 698873.5 521609.1 -9268.000 85895824
2013 635459.4 721883.9 560520.5 -5816.000 33825856
2014 668590.1 754562.4 591797.3 -6538.000 42745444
2015 712587.8 769125 626481.6 -7789.000 60668521
2016 765135.4 774238.5 686372.9 -9255.000 85655025
2017 858659.6 853036.5 777981.5 -12028.000 1.45E+08

Consum Intermediar PIB

83905.3 81275.3
122329 118327.2
158129.2 152630 1000000
204989.9 198761.1 900000
261716 248747.6
800000
291128 290488.8 f
349536.3 347004.3 700000 R
407477.9 428979 600000
520763.1 538049.8
516704.5 526345.3 500000
585071.1 528247 400000
657024.6 559244.8
300000
698873.5 593742.9
721883.9 635459.4 200000
754562.4 668590.1 100000
769125 712587.8
0
774238.5 765135.4 0 1000
853036.5 858659.6

V.A.B. PIB
73027.1 81275.3
106501.4 118327.2 1000000

900000
f(x) = 1.
800000 R² = 0.9
700000 f(x) = 3
 1000000
137535.3 152630 900000
176974.40 198761.1 f(x) = 1.
222310.9 248747.6 800000 R² = 0.9
256766.9 290488.8 700000 f(x) = 3
306623.5 347004.3 R² = 0.
381378.1 428979 600000
481974.8 538049.8 500000
475620.8 526345.3
400000
471396 528247
491686.5 559244.8 300000
521609.1 593742.9
200000
560520.5 635459.4
591797.3 668590.1 100000
626481.6 712587.8
0
686372.9 765135.4 0 100000
777981.5 858659.6

Sold PIB f(x) = NaN x^NaN

ln(x) NaN
-1867.000 81275.3 R² = NaN
-1867.000 118327.2
-3323.000 152630
-2752.000 198761.1
-5323.000 248747.6
-7806.000 290488.8
-11759.000 347004.3
-17822.000 428979
-19109.000 538049.8
-6871.000 526345.3
-5864.000 528247
-9382.000 559244.8
-9268.000 593742.9
-5816.000 635459.4
-6538.000 668590.1
-7789.000 712587.8
-9255.000 765135.4
-12028.000 858659.6

-25000.000 -200

Consum Intermediar log ci PIB

83905.3 4.92378939453616 81275.3
122329 5.08752942553172 118327.2
158129.2 5.19901207377744 152630
204989.9 5.311732463581 198761.1
261716 5.41783027403194 248747.6
 291128 5.46408397685998 290488.8
349536.3 5.54349228471992 347004.3
407477.9 5.6101040592887 428979
520763.1 5.7166402036052 538049.8
516704.5 5.71324224385001 526345.3
585071.1 5.76720864635801 528247
657024.6 5.81758163050993 559244.8
698873.5 5.84439857313663 593742.9
721883.9 5.85846735595778 635459.4
754562.4 5.87769516042055 668590.1
769125 5.88599692809609 712587.8
774238.5 5.88887476336866 765135.4
853036.5 5.93096761429701 858659.6

Sold sold2 PIB

-1867.000 3485689 81275.3
-1867.000 3485689 118327.2
-3323.000 11042329 152630
-2752.000 7573504 198761.1
-5323.000 28334329 248747.6
-7806.000 60933636 290488.8
-11759.000 138274081 347004.3
-17822.000 317623684 428979
-19109.000 365153881 538049.8
-6871.000 47210641 526345.3
-5864.000 34386496 528247
-9382.000 88021924 559244.8
-9268.000 85895824 593742.9
-5816.000 33825856 635459.4
-6538.000 42745444 668590.1
-7789.000 60668521 712587.8
-9255.000 85655025 765135.4
-12028.000 144672784 858659.6
 Corelartia dintre C.I. si P.I.B.
1000000

900000

800000
1.35842551831162 x^0.972616703030628
f(x) = 0.912648142938826 x + 15800.3125059853
700000 0.991979304599255
R² = 0.976677202242367
f(x) = 319289.288152299 ln(x) − 3661003.86191785
600000 R² = 0.916371960438037

500000

400000

300000

200000

100000

0
0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 800000 900000

Corelatia dintre V.A.B. si P.I.B.

1000000

900000
f(x) = 1.06158005836249
1.12011677095022 x^1.00436560474147
x + 1292.88352063315
800000 0.999808132090574
R² = 0.999375288517494
700000 f(x) = 329668.463458696 ln(x) − 3741395.07192325
 Corelatia dintre V.A.B. si P.I.B.
1000000

900000
f(x) = 1.06158005836249
1.12011677095022 x^1.00436560474147
x + 1292.88352063315
800000 0.999808132090574
R² = 0.999375288517494
700000 f(x) = 329668.463458696 ln(x) − 3741395.07192325
R² = 0.923361451672694
600000

500000

400000

300000

200000

100000

0
0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 800000 900000

f(x) = NaN x^NaN

ln(x) NaN
R² = NaN
Corelatia dintre Sold si P.I.B.
1000000

900000

800000

700000
f(x) = − 0.005063366297849 x² − 125.548980236497 x − 110453.316039274
R² = 0.588531125997091 600000

500000

400000

300000

200000

100000

0
-25000.000 -20000.000 -15000.000 -10000.000 -5000.000 0.000
0.995991968
0.999899995

0.767137537
 Ani Venituri Gospodarie Cheltuieli Gospodarie
2001 521.7948 516.5214
2002 658.5081 651.6581
2003 795.0871 781.4481
2004 1085.7949 1049.9436
2005 1212.18 1149.33
2006 1386.32 1304.66
2007 1686.74 1541.96
2008 2131.67 1915.19
2009 2315.99 2047.33
2010 2304.28 2062.95
2011 2417.26 2183.76
2012 2475.04 2244.47
2013 2559.05 2317.4
2014 2500.72 2269.25
2015 2686.77 2351.53
2016 2944.6 2523.99
2017 3391.67 2874.14
 Comert exterior -mil. euro-
Curs valutar Euro/Leu, Rata dobanzii de
Ani
mediu al perioadei referinta %
Export Import Sold

2000 1.996 11273.000 13140.000 -1867.000 35.000

2001 2.603 12722.000 16045.000 -1867.000 35.000
2002 3.126 14675.000 17427.000 -3323.000 20.400
2003 3.756 14675.000 17427.000 -2752.000 18.850
2004 4.053 18935.000 24258.000 -5323.000 20.160
2005 3.623 22255.000 30061.000 -7806.000 9.680
2006 3.525 25850.000 37609.000 -11759.000 8.450
2007 3.337 29549.000 47371.000 -17822.000 7.450
2008 3.683 33725.000 52834.000 -19109.000 7.500
2009 4.237 29084.000 35955.000 -6871.000 8.000
2010 4.210 37251.000 43115.000 -5864.000 6.250
2011 4.238 40112.000 49496.000 -9382.000 12.120
2012 4.456 39902.000 49167.000 -9268.000 11.330
2013 4.419 43879.000 49695.000 -5816.000 10.520
2014 4.445 46814.000 53351.000 -6538.000 8.450
2015 4.445 49115.000 56902.000 -7789.000 6.740
2016 4.491 52171.000 61424.000 -9255.000 5.700
2017 4.568 57100.000 69128.000 -12028.000 5.570
Rezerve internationale Masa Monetara
-total- intermediara
mil euro mil.lei
5205.200 18506.00
7230.900 27051.20
8051.300 37371.20
8651.600 46074.10
13144.300 63176.80
18259.200 86230.30
22935.200 110442.30
27186.800 147918.40
28269.900 173628.80
30858.600 188013.00
35950.700 199586.40
37251.800 212058.900
35413.000 221829.600
35434.500 241251.000
35505.600 261572.700
35485.100 286126.300
37905.400 314026.000
37106.700 350473.800
 SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.800502
R Square 0.640804
Adjusted R 0.618354
Standard E 0.443772
Observatio 18

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 5.621263 5.621263 28.54389 6.602E-05
Residual 16 3.150944 0.196934
Total 17 8.772207

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 4.665586 0.185833 25.10628 2.801E-14 4.271637 5.059536 4.271637 5.059536
Rata dobanz
-0.062282 0.011658 -5.342649 6.602E-05 -0.086995 -0.037569 -0.086995 -0.037569

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

PredictedObservation
Curs valutar Euro/Leu,Residuals
mediu al perioadei
1 2.485712 -0.490112
2 2.485712 0.116988
3 3.395031 -0.269531
4 3.491568 0.264032
5 3.409978 0.643222
6 4.062695 -0.439295
7 4.139302 -0.614802
8 4.201584 -0.864284
9 4.19847 -0.51577
10 4.167329 0.069971
11 4.276323 -0.066423
12 3.910727 0.327173
13 3.95993 0.49607
14 4.010378 0.408622
15 4.139302 0.305298
16 4.245805 0.199195
17 4.310578 0.180222
18 4.318675 0.249425
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.788255781738883
R Square 0.621347177444778
Adjusted R Square 0.570860134437415
Standard Error 0.47057559983038
Observations 18

ANOVA
df SS
Regression 2 5.450586037664
Residual 15 3.321620927336
Total 17 8.772206965

Coefficients Standard Error

Intercept 2.08442095804185 0.378822374058
sold^2 -8.79617867475382E-10 1.88488288E-10
Sold(lei) -9.13233551451227E-05 1.84513509E-05

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Curs valutar Euro/Leu, mediu al perioadei Residuals

1 2.81237259533357 -0.81677259533
2 2.81237259533357 -0.20967259533
3 3.28765527885513 -0.16215527886
4 3.11091613318114 0.644683866819
5 3.80848702534677 0.244712974653
6 4.24247610361156 -0.61907610361
7 4.44742872427009 -0.92292872427
8 3.60180660001404 -0.26450660001
9 3.2416163970139 0.441083602986
10 4.10669993803854 0.130600061961
11 3.9231136402048 0.286786359795
12 4.39574440490365 -0.1578444049
13 4.38784133553536 0.068158664465
14 3.91339545770824 0.505604542292
15 4.05027782886467 0.394322171135
16 4.24030554296857 0.204694457031
17 4.38690857186616 0.103891428134
18 4.43968182695024 0.12841817305
 MS F Significance F
2.7252930188 12.307062177 0.00068676632
0.2214413952

t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
5.5023702421 6.07832E-05 1.27698018475 2.8918617313 1.2769801848 2.8918617313
-4.6666977513 0.0003040682 -1.2813711E-09 -4.778646E-10 -1.281371E-09 -4.778646E-10
-4.9494129565 0.0001747064 -0.0001306515 -5.199523E-05 -0.0001306515 -5.199523E-05
 Curs valutar
Rata dobanzii de
Ani Euro/Leu, mediu al Sold
referinta %
2000 perioadei1.996 -1867.000 35.000
2001 2.603 -1867.000 35.000
2002 3.126 -3323.000 20.400
2003 3.756 -2752.000 18.850
2004 4.053 -5323.000 20.160
2005 3.623 -7806.000 9.680
2006 3.525 -11759.000 8.450
2007 3.337 -17822.000 7.450
2008 3.683 -19109.000 7.500
2009 4.237 -6871.000 8.000
2010 4.210 -5864.000 6.250
2011 4.238 -9382.000 12.120
2012 4.456 -9268.000 11.330
2013 4.419 -5816.000 10.520
2014 4.445 -6538.000 8.450
2015 4.445 -7789.000 6.740
2016 4.491 -9255.000 5.700
2017 4.568 -12028.000 5.570

sold^2 Sold(lei) Curs valutar Euro/Leu, mediu al perioadei

75693828.048 -8700.22 1.9956
75693828.048 -8700.22 2.6027
239790799.63 -15485.18 3.1255
164463183.46 -12824.32 3.7556
615296954.83 -24805.18 4.0532
1323210466 -36375.96 3.6234
3002704633 -54796.94 3.5245
6897388872 -83050.52 3.3373
7929535618 -89047.94 3.6827
1025207396 -32018.86 4.2373
746723392.54 -27326.24 4.2099
1911448893 -43720.12 4.2379
1865279356 -43188.88 4.456
734548758.55 -27102.56 4.419
928242963.73 -30467.08 4.4446
1317453335 -36296.74 4.445
1860050261 -43128.3 4.4908
3141656308 -56050.48 4.5681

Rata dobanzii de
Curs valutar Euro/Leu, mediu al perioadei
referinta %
35.000 1.996
 35.000 2.603
20.400 3.126
18.850 3.756
20.160 4.053
9.680 3.623
8.450 3.525
7.450 3.337
7.500 3.683
8.000 4.237
6.250 4.210
12.120 4.238
11.330 4.456
10.520 4.419
8.450 4.445
6.740 4.445
5.700 4.491
5.570 4.568

Rez(lei) Curs valutar Euro/Leu, mediu al perioadei

24256.232 1.996 Corelatia di
33695.994 2.603 schimb
37519.058 3.126
40316.456 3.756 5.000
61252.438 4.053 4.500
85087.872 3.623 f(x) =
4.000 R² = 0
106878.032 3.525
3.500
126690.488 3.337
131737.734 3.683 3.000
143801.076 4.237 2.500
167530.262 4.210 2.000
173593.388 4.238
1.500
165024.58 4.456
165124.77 4.419 1.000
165456.096 4.445 0.500
165360.566 4.445 0.000
176639.164 4.491 0 20000 40
172917.222 4.568

M2 (lei) Curs valutar Euro/Leu, mediu al perioadei

86237.96 1.996
126058.592 2.603
174149.792 3.126
214705.306 3.756
 294403.888 4.053
401833.198 3.623
514661.118 3.525
689299.744 3.337
809110.208 3.683
876140.58 4.237
930072.624 4.210
988194.474 4.238
1033725.936 4.456
1124229.66 4.419
1218928.782 4.445
1333348.558 4.445
1463361.16 4.491
1633207.908 4.568
 Rezerve Masa Monetara
internationale -total- intermediara
mil euro mil.lei Sold(lei) Rez(lei) M2 (lei)
5205.200 18506.00 -8700.22 24256.232 86237.96
7230.900 27051.20 -8700.22 33695.994 126058.6
8051.300 37371.20 -15485.18 37519.058 174149.8
8651.600 46074.10 -12824.32 40316.456 214705.3
13144.300 63176.80 -24805.18 61252.438 294403.9
18259.200 86230.30 -36375.96 85087.872 401833.2
22935.200 110442.30 -54796.94 106878.032 514661.1
27186.800 147918.40 -83050.52 126690.488 689299.7
28269.900 173628.80 -89047.94 131737.734 809110.2
30858.600 188013.00 -32018.86 143801.076 876140.6
35950.700 199586.40 -27326.24 167530.262 930072.6
37251.800 212058.900 -43720.12 173593.388 988194.5
35413.000 221829.600 -43188.88 165024.58 1033726
35434.500 241251.000 -27102.56 165124.77 1124230
35505.600 261572.700 -30467.08 165456.096 1218929
35485.100 286126.300 -36296.74 165360.566 1333349
37905.400 314026.000 -43128.3 176639.164 1463361
37106.700 350473.800 -56050.48 172917.222 1633208

f(x) = NaN ln(x) NaN

R² = NaN
Corelatia dintre sold si cursul valutar

5
4.5
f(x) = − 8.79617867475382E-10 x² − 9.13233551451226E-05 x + 2.08442095804185
R² = 0.621347177444778 4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
-100000 -90000 -80000 -70000 -60000 -50000 -40000 -30000 -20000 -10000 0

Corelatia dintre Rata dobanzii si Cursul valutar

5.000
4.500
4.000
 Corelatia dintre Rata dobanzii si Cursul valutar

5.000
4.500
4.000 f(x) = − 0.001784184853332 x² + 0.00867332249034 x + 4.18406111092398
3.500 R² = 0.675941809403774

3.000
2.500
2.000
1.500
1.000
0.500
0.000
0.000 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 40.000

Corelatia dintre Rezervele internationale si Cursul de

schimb
5.000
4.500
f(x) = 0.909308181771964 ln(x) − 6.62841392601273
4.000 R² = 0.727026285662376
3.500
3.000
2.500
2.000
1.500
1.000
0.500
0.000
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 180000 200000

Corelatia dintre Masa Monetara si Cursul de schimb

5.000

4.500 f(x) = 0.71032702697378 ln(x) − 5.57789950392774

R² = 0.791906765443669
4.000

3.500

3.000
 Corelatia dintre Masa Monetara si Cursul de schimb
5.000

4.500 f(x) = 0.71032702697378 ln(x) − 5.57789950392774

R² = 0.791906765443669
4.000

3.500

3.000

2.500

2.000

1.500

1.000

0.500

0.000
0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 1400000 1600000 1800000
 0.788226
lutar

5
4.5
2.08442095804185
4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
0 -20000 -10000 0
0.822131

0.852643

0.889888
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.7882557817389
R Square 0.6213471774448
Adjusted R 0.5708601344374
Standard E 0.4705755998304
Observatio 18

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 5.450586 2.725293 12.30706 0.000687
Residual 15 3.321621 0.221441
Total 17 8.772207

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
Intercept 2.0844209580419 0.378822 5.50237 6.078E-05 1.27698 2.891862 1.27698 2.891862
Sold(lei) -0.0000913234 1.845E-05 -4.949413 0.000175 -0.000131 -5.2E-05 -0.000131 -5.2E-05
sold ^2 -0.000000000880 1.885E-10 -4.666698 0.000304 -1.28E-09 -4.78E-10 -1.28E-09 -4.78E-10
Upper 95.0%
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.978961166675814
R Square 0.95836496585927
Adjusted R Square 0.844745856327963
Standard Error 0.182216438854587
Observations 18

ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 7 8.406976 1.200997 42.2001
Residual 11 0.365231 0.033203
Total 18 8.772207

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value

Intercept -6.56847625943989 2.19741 -2.98919 0.012316
Sold(lei) 1.29448178594217E-06 1.483E-05 0.087273 0.932023
sold ^2 -6.53870252977586E-11 1.304E-10 -0.50151 0.625897
Rata dobanzii de referinta % 0 0 65535 #NUM!
Rata dobanzii de referinta % 0.10837251876794 0.033367 3.247853 0.007765
rata dobanzii ^2 -0.00273414421742 0.000655 -4.176622 0.001545
ln rezerve -1.29469938350811 0.966841 -1.339103 0.207551
ln masa monetara 2.83416201477559 0.705984 4.014487 0.002035
 0.978928

Significance F
1.236E-06

Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

-11.40494 -1.73201 -11.40494 -1.73201
-3.14E-05 3.394E-05 -3.14E-05 3.394E-05
-3.52E-10 2.216E-10 -3.52E-10 2.216E-10
0 0 0 0
0.034931 0.181814 0.034931 0.181814
-0.004175 -0.001293 -0.004175 -0.001293
-3.422702 0.833303 -3.422702 0.833303
1.280303 4.388021 1.280303 4.388021
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9789611667
R Square 0.9583649659
Adjusted R Square 0.9356549472
Standard Error 0.1822164389
Observations 18

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 6 8.406976 1.401163 42.2001 5.792E-07
Residual 11 0.365231 0.033203
Total 17 8.772207

CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Intercept -6.5684762594 2.19741 -2.98919 0.012316 -11.40494 -1.73201 -11.40494
Sold(lei) 1.2944818E-06 1.483E-05 0.087273 0.932023 -3.14E-05 3.394E-05 -3.14E-05
sold ^2 -6.538703E-11 1.304E-10 -0.50151 0.625897 -3.52E-10 2.216E-10 -3.52E-10
Rata dobanzii de referinta % 0.1083725188 0.033367 3.247853 0.007765 0.034931 0.181814 0.034931
rata dobanzii ^2 -0.0027341442 0.000655 -4.176622 0.001545 -0.004175 -0.001293 -0.004175
ln rezerve -1.2946993835 0.966841 -1.339103 0.207551 -3.422702 0.833303 -3.422702
ln masa monetara 2.8341620148 0.705984 4.014487 0.002035 1.280303 4.388021 1.280303
Upper 95.0%
-1.73201
3.394E-05
2.216E-10
0.181814
-0.001293
0.833303
4.388021
 Rata dobanzii de rata dobanzii log log masa
referinta % ^2 rezerve monetara
Sold(lei) sold ^2
-8700.22 75693828.0484 35.00 1225.000 4.384823 4.935698
-8700.22 75693828.0484 35.00 1225.000 5.100572
-15485.18 239790799.632 20.40 416.160 4.574252 5.240923
-12824.32 164463183.462 18.85 355.323 4.605482 5.331843
-24805.18 615296954.832 20.16 406.426 4.787123 5.468944
-36375.96 1323210465.92 9.68 93.702 4.929868 5.604046
-54796.94 3002704633.36 8.45 71.403 5.028888 5.711521
-83050.52 6897388872.27 7.45 55.503 5.102744 5.838408
-89047.94 7929535618.24 7.50 56.250 5.11971 5.908008
-32018.86 1025207395.7 8.00 64.000 5.157762 5.942574
-27326.24 746723392.538 6.25 39.063 5.224093 5.968517
-43720.12 1911448892.81 12.12 146.894 5.239533 5.994842
-43188.88 1865279355.65 11.33 128.369 5.217549 6.014405
-27102.56 734548758.554 10.52 110.670 5.217812 6.050855
-30467.08 928242963.726 8.45 71.403 5.218683 6.085978
-36296.74 1317453334.63 6.74 45.428 5.218432 6.124944
-43128.3 1860050260.89 5.70 32.490 5.247087 6.165352
-56050.48 3141656308.23 5.57 31.025 5.237838 6.213041
 Masa monetara
Rez(lei)
(lei)
Curs valutar Euro/Leu, mediu al perioadei
1.9956 24256.23 86237.96
2.6027 33695.99 126058.592
3.1255 37519.06 174149.792
3.7556 40316.46 214705.306
4.0532 61252.44 294403.888
3.6234 85087.87 401833.198
3.5245 106878 514661.118
3.3373 126690.5 689299.744
3.6827 131737.7 809110.208
4.2373 143801.1 876140.58
4.2099 167530.3 930072.624
4.2379 173593.4 988194.474
4.456 165024.6 1033725.936
4.419 165124.8 1124229.66
4.4446 165456.1 1218928.782
4.445 165360.6 1333348.558
4.4908 176639.2 1463361.16
4.5681 172917.2 1633207.908