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Persistence of K103N-Containing
Persistence of K103N-Containing
Persistence of K103N-Containing
Figure 1. Analysis of K103N-containing variants in women after single-dose nevirapine administration. The present study analyzed women enrolled
in the long-term follow-up study of the HIV Network for Prevention Trials 012 cohort (see Subjects, materials, and methods). Sixty of those women
had K103N detected at the 6–8-week visit by use of the LigAmp assay (assay cutoff, 0.5% K103N) and 84 did not. Follow-up samples were analyzed
with the LigAmp assay. For each subsequent study visit, samples were tested from women who either had no sample available from the prior visit
or who had K103N detected at the prior visit. For each woman, after fading of K103N was documented (!0.5% K103N), samples from subsequent
study visits were not analyzed. Data are the no. of women tested at each study visit who had positive results (K103N was detected at ⭓0.5% with
the LigAmp assay), negative results (K103N was not detected with the LigAmp assay), or no sample available for testing.
NOTE. Data are estimated cumulative percentages (95% confidence intervals) of women in whom
fading was documented. Fading was defined as failure to detect K103N using the LigAmp assay, with an
assay cutoff of 0.5%. A survival analysis approach was used to estimate fading of K103N-containing variants.
Estimates of time to fading were obtained using a modified Kaplan-Meier estimator (Turnbull estimator)
with discrete time steps (visits 1–5 corresponding to the 6–8-week, 2-year, 3-year, 4-year, and 5-year visits).
Women were considered right-censored at their last sample collection visit if they were still resistant at
this last visit (5 women). Women were considered interval-censored if fading was observed between visits
(55 women). Finally, women were considered left-censored if no K103N was detected at the 6–8-week
visit (84 women). In those women, the event (fading) was considered to have occurred before the obser-
vation period began. Both univariate and multivariate analysis of baseline factors associated with fading
used a Weibull survival model for time to fading of resistance. To compute P values for the difference
between point estimates at a given visit, a 2-sided Z test was used, with pointwise SEs obtained from the
Turnbull estimator. Analyses were conducted using SAS (version 9.1; SAS Institute).
a
Subtype A, n p 88; subtype D, n p 56; total, n p 144.
b
Subtype A, n p 30; subtype D, n p 30; total, n p 60.
ment for the follow-up study and their consent for the follow- not have 2-year results but did have 3-year results (interval
up study were obtained 12 years after they received SD NVP censored), standard Kaplan-Meier estimates could not be used
in HIVNET 012. The level of K103N detected at 6–8 weeks to estimate the cumulative probability of fading at each study
was similar among women with 2-year samples (median, 2.2%) visit. The Turnbull estimate (a Kaplan-Meier–type estimate
to that of those without 2-year samples (mean, 2.3%; P p modified for interval censored data) uses the intuitive as-
.44); however, there is some imbalance in subtype. Women with sumption that the distribution of missing test data at each study
subtype A compose a higher proportion of those with samples visit can be estimated from available test data from the same
at 2 years (14/20 of those who were tested at 2 years were visit. This approach provides estimates and corresponding con-
subtype A vs. 16/40 of those who were not tested; P p .055). fidence intervals (CIs) of the cumulative percentage of women
Among all 144 women, we documented undetectable K103N with undetectable K103N at each study visit (cumulative rate
in a total of 100 women by 2 years, 127 by 3 years, and 139 of fading). The estimated cumulative rates of fading for all 144
by 4 and 5 years (figure 1). The remaining women either had women at 2, 3, 4, and 5 years by use of this model were 87.6%,
K103N detected or had no sample available for testing. Figure 91.9%, 99.1%, and 99.1%, respectively (table 1). When the
1 shows the number of women tested at each study visit. Among analysis was limited to the 60 women with K103N detected at
the 60 women who had K103N detected at 6–8 weeks, we 6–8 weeks, the estimated cumulative rates of fading at 2, 3, 4,
documented undetectable K103N in 16 women by 2 years, 43 and 5 years were 63.0%, 80.7%, 97.8%, and 97.8%, respectively
by 3 years, and 55 by 4 and 5 years. Whenever K103N was (table 1). The estimated rates of fading were consistently lower
detected in samples after the 6–8-week visit, the level of K103N in subtype D than A, both among all 144 women and among
in the viral population was low. The mean percentage of K103N the subset of 60 women who had K103N detected at 6–8 weeks
among women with detectable K103N was 1.2% at 2 years (30 women with subtype A and 30 women with subtype D)
(n p 4 women; range, 0.9%–1.8%) and 0.8% at 3 years (n p (table 1). Among those 60 women, the mean number of years
9 women; range, 0.5%–1.2% K103N). to the first available follow-up sample was similar for women
A statistical model was used to estimate the cumulative rate with subtype A, compared with those with D (2.9 years for
of fading of K103N. In this study, in which many women did both subtypes; P p .94, t test).